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Aston Villa v Liverpool : Premier League match betting preview, prediction and odds

Villa Park, Birmingham

Unai Emery Etxegoien welcomes Arne Slot to the Villa Park on Friday night, as their Aston Villa and Liverpool charges do battle in the English Premier League. Quite simply, we want you to win betting on this game. To this end, statistics for seventeen major betting market have been published below, with head-to-head history and particularly important form streaks highlighted. The best odds are also given.

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Aston Villa's next match is v Freiburg at 20:00 on Wednesday 20th May
Liverpool's next match is v Brentford at 16:00 on Sunday 24th May
The last English Premier League meeting between A Villa and Liverpool was on Friday 15th May 2026
English Premier League
May 15th 2026
A Villa 4
2 Liverpool
 
M. Rogers 42'52' V. van Dijk
O. Watkins 57'90' V. van Dijk
O. Watkins 73'
J. McGinn 89'
 
AVL
LIV
Shots On
9
5
Shots Off
2
8
Corners
4
9
Possession
45%
55%
Fouls
12
9
Yellow/red cards
3/0
1/0
 
A VillaLiverpool
 
M. Cash
V. Nilsson Lindelöf (R. Barkley 46')
E. Konsa Ngoyo
L. Digne
P. Francisco Torres
J. McGinnfootball icon (J. Sancho 90')
Y. Tielemans (D. Soares de Paulo 90')
E. Buendía (I. Maatsen 85')
O. Watkinsfootball iconfootball icon
D. Martínez
M. Rogersfootball icon
G. Mamardashvili
(F. Chiesa 66') J. Gomez
football iconfootball iconV. van Dijk
I. Konaté
Milos Kerkez
D. Szoboszlai
A. Mac Allister
C. Jones
(F. Wirtz 66') R. Gravenberch
(M. Salah 74') C. Gakpo
R. Ngumoha

Want to know who’s consistently beating the odds? Check out the Top Premier League Tipsters and see the most profitable experts for this season!

If you’re keen on betting across various leagues and markets, our Live Bets page showcases active accumulator bets and real-time tips.

Best Tip: Over 1.5 goals

We are making over 1.5 goals our top tip on this fixture, meaning that the sides will score a minimum of 2 goals between them during 90 mins. Both A Villa and Liverpool's recent form stats suggest things will go that way, while their head-to-head (H2H) record adds further weight to the argument. The bookies make it the most likely outcome in this market too, available at 1.15.

In-Play
Win / Draw / Win
Over / Under 1.5 Goals
Over / Under 2.5 Goals
Over / Under 3.5 Goals
Win To Nil
Both Teams To Score
Correct Score
Both Teams To Score & Result
Double Chance
Half Time / Full Time
Over / Under 0.5 Goals
Over / Under 4.5 Goals
Over / Under 5.5 Goals
Draw No Bet
Team To Score First
If you’re looking for a winner in this match, we think A Villa are the most likely. Our predictive algorithm gives them a 37% chance of victory, and the bookies have them at a best price of 3.00.

Checkout the hundreds of tips picked but our top win/draw/win tipsters

Change odds
Predictions Add Bet365 Coral
A Villa
37%
17/101/1000
Draw
25%
12/566/1
Liverpool
37%
31/20750/1
Draw 1-1
12%
6/121/10
A Villa 1-0
9%
10/129/10
Liverpool 1-0
8%
9/119/4
A Villa 2-1
8%
10/129/20
Liverpool 2-1
8%
10/118/5
Draw 0-0
6%
10/14/1
A Villa 2-0
6%
14/15/1
Liverpool 2-0
6%
14/19/1
Draw 2-2
6%
14/111/4
A Villa 3-1
4%
22/14/9
Liverpool 3-1
4%
22/110/1
A Villa 3-0
3%
28/114/1
Liverpool 3-0
3%
28/122/1
Liverpool 3-2
3%
28/112/1
A Villa 3-2
3%
33/117/4
Over 2.5 Goals
53%
4/51/3
Under 2.5 Goals
47%
1/121/10
Home 1st Goal
48%
20/2113/10
Away 1st Goal
48%
20/2111/10
No 1st Goal
4%
10/119/5
BTTS - Yes
57%
4/68/13
BTTS - No
43%
11/106/5
BTTS - Home Win
19%
4/11/1000
BTTS - Draw
19%
10/390/1
BTTS - Away Win
19%
4/180/1
Home/draw
63%
1/21/1000
Away/draw
63%
4/945/1
Home/away
75%
3/101/1000
Over 1.5 Goals
77%
1/42/9
Under 1.5 Goals
23%
3/114/5
Over 3.5 Goals
31%
11/58/15
Under 3.5 Goals
69%
4/117/5
Over 4.5 Goals
15%
9/213/8
Under 4.5 Goals
85%
1/74/9
Over 5.5 Goals
7%
10/12/1
Under 5.5 Goals
93%
1/207/20
Over 0.5 Goals
94%
1/202/13
Under 0.5 Goals
6%
10/14/1
Home DNB
55%
5/61/1000
Away DNB
55%
5/680/1
A Villa win to nil
19%
4/1-
Liverpool win to nil
19%
7/2-
A Villa / A Villa
19%
7/28/13
A Villa / Liverpool
3%
28/15/1
A Villa / Draw
6%
14/113/5
Draw / A Villa
13%
11/225/1
Draw / Liverpool
13%
11/220/1
Draw / Draw
16%
9/220/1
Liverpool / A Villa
3%
28/1150/1
Liverpool / Liverpool
21%
10/380/1
Liverpool / Draw
6%
14/190/1
Win / draw / win Premier League table

A Villa have played 36 matches so far this season and are in 5th position in the league.

Performance against teams above them in the league

6 of those games have come against teams above them in the table. They have lost 3 games, drawn zero and won 3. A Villa have conceded 11 goals, scored 7, failed to score in 1 match and kept 1 clean sheet.

Home league performance

A Villa have played 18 games at home, winning 11, drawing 2 and losing 5 fixtures. They have scored 28 goals, conceded 20 goals, kept 6 clean sheets and failed to score 4 times in home league games.

Liverpool lay in 4th place on 59 points in the Premier League league table having played 36 matches.

Performance against teams below them in the league

They have played 30 games against teams below them in the table, winning 16, drawing 7 and losing 7 games. They have scored 55 goals and kept 8 clean sheets against lower placed opposition. Liverpool have conceded 38 goals and have failed to score in 2 matches.

Away league performance

Liverpool have played 18 away games, winning 7, drawing 3 and losing 8 games. They have scored an average of 1.5 goals per away game and conceded an average 1.6 goals per away game.

Won
Draw
Lost
A Villa
Liverpool
Results by League Table
TEAM PLD W D L GD PTS HOME AWAY HOME AWAY
1
Arsenal3624754279 
w
 
2-1F
l
 
4-1A
w
 
1-0F
d
 
0-00-0
2
Man City3623854377 
w
 
1-0F
May 24
l
 
1-2F
l
 
3-0A
3
Man Utd37191171668 
w
 
2-1A
l
 
3-1A
l
 
1-2A
l
 
3-2A
4
A Villa3718811662 
-
-
w
 
2-0F
l
 
4-2A
5
Liverpool37178121059 
w
 
4-2F
l
 
2-0A
-
-
6
Bournemouth3613167455 
w
 
4-0F
d
 
1-1F
w
 
4-2F
l
 
3-2A
7
Brighton37141112953 
w
 
1-0F
w
 
3-4A
w
 
2-0F
l
 
2-1A
8
Brentford37141013352 
l
 
0-1A
l
 
1-0A
May 24
l
 
3-2A
9
Sunderland37131212-751 
w
 
4-3F
d
 
1-1F
d
 
1-1A
w
 
0-1F
10
Chelsea36131013649 
l
 
1-4F
w
 
1-2A
d
 
1-1F
l
 
2-1A
11
Newcastle3714716049 
d
 
0-00-0
w
 
0-2F
w
 
4-1A
w
 
2-3F
12
Everton37131014-249 
l
 
0-1A
d
 
0-00-0
w
 
2-1F
w
 
1-2F
13
Fulham3714716-649 
w
 
3-1A
l
 
1-0A
w
 
2-0F
d
 
2-2A
14
Leeds37111412-447 
d
 
1-1A
w
 
1-2A
d
 
0-00-0
d
 
3-3F
15
C Palace37111214-945 
l
 
0-3A
d
 
0-00-0
w
 
3-1F
l
 
2-1A
16
Nottm Forest37111016-343 
w
 
3-1F
d
 
1-1F
l
 
0-3A
w
 
0-1F
17
Spurs3691116-938 
l
 
1-2A
w
 
1-2A
d
 
1-1F
w
 
1-2F
18
West Ham379919-2236 
w
 
2-0F
w
 
2-3A
w
 
5-2F
w
 
0-2F
19
Burnley364923-3621 
w
 
2-1F
d
 
2-2A
d
 
1-1F
w
 
0-1F
20
Wolves3731024-4119 
w
 
1-0F
l
 
2-0A
w
 
2-1F
l
 
2-1A
Win / draw / win form
A Villa 4TH
20 league games
Home
Overall
Goals: Scored
31
Conceded
20
Games: Scored
16 / 20
Conceded
12 / 20
Clean sheets
8 / 20
Failed to score
4 / 20
Won
13
D
2
Lost
5
Goals: Scored
25
Conceded
29
Games: Scored
15 / 20
Conceded
16 / 20
Clean sheets
4 / 20
Failed to score
5 / 20
Won
7
Draw
5
Lost
8
Liverpool 5TH
20 league games
Away
Overall
Goals: Scored
30
Conceded
35
Games: Scored
18 / 20
Conceded
15 / 20
Clean sheets
5 / 20
Failed to score
2 / 20
Won
7
D
3
Lost
10
Goals: Scored
34
Conceded
24
Games: Scored
18 / 20
Conceded
15 / 20
Clean sheets
5 / 20
Failed to score
2 / 20
Won
9
Draw
6
Lost
5
Win / draw / win head to head (H2H)
10
Liverpool have not lost to A Villa in 10 consecutive league meetings
League games at A Villa since 1992
A Villa
Liverpool
Goals: Scored
33
49
Games: Scored
17 / 30
23 / 30
Clean sheets
7 / 30
13 / 30
AVL
7
D
7
LIV
16
League games at Liverpool since 1993
Liverpool
A Villa
Goals: Scored
60
30
Games: Scored
28 / 31
19 / 31
Clean sheets
12 / 31
3 / 31
AVL
6
D
6
LIV
19
Goal Statistics

Aston Villa's defensive record is very strong, U. Emery Etxegoien's men having conceded 1 or less in 6 consecutive English Premier League outings. An underwhelming PG rating of 1.4 for Liverpool makes sense in this context.

A Villa 4th Liverpool 5th
Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction
1.4
goals
1.4
goals
Scoring probability
Scoring probability
0
25%
1
35%
2
24%
3
11%
4+
There is a 60% probability that A Villa will score no more than 1 goal
0
25%
1
35%
2
24%
3
11%
4+
There is a 60% probability that Liverpool will score no more than 1 goal
 
20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games
-3
A Villa’s goalscoring at home has been inline with predictions
-5
Liverpool’s goalscoring when away has been inline with predictions
1.6
average goals scored
1.5
average goals scored
1.0
conceded
1.8
conceded
 
Attack defence ratings
Premier League - 2025/2026 season
A Villa
PG (predicted goals)
Liverpool
1.4
1.4
Attack rating
AVL
LIV
20%
better
view stats
Games scored26
32
Failed to score10
4
Scored first14
21
Goals scored50
60
Avg. goals scored1.4
1.7
Avg. shots per game9
10
Avg. shots per goal6
6
Conversion rate for16
16
Avg. XG for1.4
1.7
KickOff rating
+20%
Defence rating
AVL
LIV
5%
better
view stats
Games conceded27
26
Clean sheets9
10
Conceded first19
13
Goals conceded46
48
Avg. goals conceded1.3
1.3
Avg. shots/game conceded9
8
Avg. shots/goal conceded7
6
Conversion rate against15%
16%
Avg. XG against1.4
1.2
KickOff rating
+5%

A Villa v Liverpool Premier League lLine ups will show here when available.

A Villa Premier League squad statistics 2025/2026
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
371479
M RogersO WatkinsL DigneM Cash
Line-upAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
E Martínez GLK321
2
-
M Cash DEF3433
9
-
E Konsa DEF34
1
P Torres DEF20
1
-
L Digne DEF317
3
-
V Lindelöf MID161
-
Y Tielemans MID244
-
J McGinn MID2954
5
-
M Rogers MID37106
7
-
E Buendía MID3562
6
-
O Watkins FWD36143
4
-
Subs
M Bizot GLK6
2
-
A García DEF5
-
I Maatsen DEF291
2
-
R Barkley MID203
1
-
D Luiz MID121
1
-
L Bogarde MID27
5
-
T Abraham FWD122
-
J Sancho FWD232
-
L Bailey FWD121
1
-
Liverpool Premier League squad statistics 2025/2026
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
37779
V Dijk C GakpoD SzoboszlaiD Szoboszlai
Line-upAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
G Mamardashvili GLK10
-
J Gomez DEF202
4
-
I Konaté DEF351
6
-
V Dijk  DEF376
4
-
M Kerkez DEF3321
4
-
R Gravenberch MID3553
5
-
A Mac Allister MID3624
6
-
D Szoboszlai MID3567
8
1
C Jones MID332
2
-
R. Ngumoha MID1821
-
C Gakpo FWD3575
3
-
Subs
F Woodman GLK3
-
A Robertson DEF231
-
T. Ndiaye DEF
-
F Wirtz MID3253
1
-
T. Nyoni MID5
-
J. McConnell MID
-
M Salah FWD2676
1
-
F Chiesa FWD2621
3
-
W. Wright FWD
-