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Leeds United v Brighton and Hove Albion : Premier League match betting preview, prediction and odds

Sun 17th May, 15:00 BST, Elland Road, Leeds

We’ve English Premier League action to look forward to on Sunday afternoon, as Daniel Farke and his Leeds United side host Fabian Hürzeler’s Brighton and Hove Albion at the Elland Road. We've analysed both sides' last 20 Premier League matches, as well as trends within the competition and the betting market, to generate our percentage predictions. All the statistics, including head-to-heads, are shown below, alongside the best odds.


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In-Play
Win / Draw / Win
Over / Under 1.5 Goals
Over / Under 2.5 Goals
Over / Under 3.5 Goals
Win To Nil
Both Teams To Score
Correct Score
Both Teams To Score & Result
Double Chance
Half Time / Full Time
Over / Under 0.5 Goals
Over / Under 4.5 Goals
Over / Under 5.5 Goals
Draw No Bet
Team To Score First

Checkout the hundreds of tips picked but our top win/draw/win tipsters

Change odds
Predictions Add Bet365 Coral
Leeds
44%
--
Draw
26%
--
Brighton
30%
--
Draw 1-1
12%
--
Leeds 1-0
10%
--
Leeds 2-1
9%
--
Brighton 1-0
8%
--
Leeds 2-0
8%
--
Brighton 2-1
7%
--
Draw 0-0
7%
--
Draw 2-2
5%
--
Brighton 2-0
5%
--
Leeds 3-1
4%
--
Leeds 3-0
4%
--
Brighton 3-1
3%
--
Leeds 3-2
3%
--
Brighton 3-2
2%
--
Brighton 3-0
2%
--
Over 2.5 Goals
49%
--
Under 2.5 Goals
51%
--
Home 1st Goal
50%
--
Away 1st Goal
45%
--
No 1st Goal
5%
--
BTTS - Yes
53%
--
BTTS - No
47%
--
BTTS - Home Win
20%
--
BTTS - Draw
19%
--
BTTS - Away Win
14%
--
Home/draw
70%
--
Away/draw
56%
--
Home/away
74%
--
Over 1.5 Goals
74%
--
Under 1.5 Goals
26%
--
Over 3.5 Goals
27%
--
Under 3.5 Goals
73%
--
Over 4.5 Goals
13%
--
Under 4.5 Goals
87%
--
Over 5.5 Goals
5%
--
Under 5.5 Goals
95%
--
Over 0.5 Goals
93%
--
Under 0.5 Goals
7%
--
Home DNB
62%
--
Away DNB
48%
--
Leeds win to nil
24%
--
Brighton win to nil
16%
--
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Win / draw / win Premier League table

Leeds have played 35 matches so far this season and are in 14th position in the league.

Performance against teams above them in the league

25 of those games have come against teams above them in the table. They have lost 9 games, drawn 12 and won 4. Leeds have conceded 40 goals, scored 27, failed to score in 9 matches and kept 5 clean sheets.

Home league performance

Leeds have played 18 games at home, winning 8, drawing 5 and losing 5 fixtures. They have scored 28 goals, conceded 21 goals, kept 5 clean sheets and failed to score 5 times in home league games.

Brighton lay in 8th place on 50 points in the Premier League league table having played 35 matches.

Performance against teams below them in the league

They have played 22 games against teams below them in the table, winning 9, drawing 9 and losing 4 games. They have scored 32 goals and kept 8 clean sheets against lower placed opposition. Brighton have conceded 21 goals and have failed to score in 4 matches.

Away league performance

Brighton have played 18 away games, winning 5, drawing 5 and losing 8 games. They have scored an average of 1.2 goals per away game and conceded an average 1.4 goals per away game.

Won
Draw
Lost
Leeds
Brighton
Results by League Table
TEAM PLD W D L GD PTS HOME AWAY HOME AWAY
1
Arsenal3523754176 
l
 
0-4A
l
 
5-0A
l
 
0-1A
l
 
2-1A
2
Man City3321753770 
l
 
0-1A
l
 
3-2A
w
 
2-1A
d
 
1-1A
3
Man Utd35181071564 
d
 
1-1F
w
 
1-2F
May 24
l
 
4-2A
4
Liverpool35177111258 
d
 
3-3A
d
 
0-00-0
w
 
2-1F
l
 
2-0A
5
A Villa3517711458 
l
 
1-2F
d
 
1-1F
l
 
3-4F
l
 
1-0A
6
Bournemouth3512167352 
d
 
2-2A
d
 
2-2A
d
 
1-1A
l
 
2-1A
7
Brentford3514912651 
d
 
0-00-0
d
 
1-1A
w
 
2-1A
w
 
0-2F
8
Brighton35131111750 
May 17
l
 
3-0A
-
-
9
Chelsea3413912848 
w
 
3-1F
d
 
2-2A
w
 
3-0F
w
 
1-3A
10
Fulham3514615-548 
w
 
1-0F
l
 
1-0A
d
 
1-1F
l
 
2-1F
11
Everton3413813047 
w
 
1-0F
d
 
1-1F
d
 
1-1F
l
 
2-0A
12
Sunderland35121112-947 
l
 
0-1A
d
 
1-1A
d
 
0-00-0
w
 
0-1F
13
Newcastle3513616-245 
d
 
0-00-0
l
 
4-3F
w
 
2-1F
l
 
3-1A
14
Leeds35101312-543 
-
-
w
 
3-0F
May 17
15
C Palace34111013-643 
w
 
4-1F
d
 
0-00-0
l
 
0-1A
d
 
0-00-0
16
Nottm Forest3410915-439 
w
 
3-1F
l
 
3-1F
w
 
2-1F
w
 
0-2F
17
Spurs3591016-937 
l
 
1-2A
May 11
d
 
2-2F
d
 
2-2A
18
West Ham359917-1936 
w
 
2-1F
May 24
d
 
1-1A
d
 
2-2A
19
Burnley354823-3620 
w
 
3-1F
l
 
2-0A
w
 
2-0F
w
 
0-2F
20
Wolves353923-3818 
w
 
3-0F
w
 
1-3A
May 9
d
 
1-1A
Win / draw / win form
Leeds 14TH
20 league games
Home
Overall
Goals: Scored
38
Conceded
21
Games: Scored
15 / 20
Conceded
13 / 20
Clean sheets
7 / 20
Failed to score
5 / 20
Won
10
Draw
5
Lost
5
HOME FORM Win / Draw / Win
Leeds3 - 1Burnley
Leeds3 - 0Wolves
Leeds0 - 0Brentford
Leeds0 - 1Sunderland
Leeds0 - 1Man City
Leeds3 - 1Nottm Forest
Leeds0 - 4Arsenal
Leeds1 - 0Fulham
Leeds1 - 1Man Utd
Leeds4 - 1C Palace
Leeds3 - 3Liverpool
Leeds3 - 1Chelsea
Leeds1 - 2A Villa
Leeds2 - 1West Ham
Leeds1 - 2Spurs
Leeds2 - 2Bournemouth
Leeds0 - 0Newcastle
Leeds1 - 0Everton
Leeds4 - 0Bristol C
Leeds6 - 0Stoke
Goals: Scored
28
Conceded
23
Games: Scored
14 / 20
Conceded
15 / 20
Clean sheets
5 / 20
Failed to score
6 / 20
Won
6
Draw
10
L
4
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
HLeeds3 - 1Burnley
ALeeds2 - 2Bournemouth
HLeeds3 - 0Wolves
ALeeds2 - 1Man Utd
HLeeds0 - 0Brentford
ALeeds0 - 0C Palace
HLeeds0 - 1Sunderland
HLeeds0 - 1Man City
ALeeds1 - 1A Villa
ALeeds2 - 2Chelsea
HLeeds3 - 1Nottm Forest
HLeeds0 - 4Arsenal
ALeeds1 - 1Everton
HLeeds1 - 0Fulham
ALeeds3 - 4Newcastle
HLeeds1 - 1Man Utd
ALeeds0 - 0Liverpool
ALeeds1 - 1Sunderland
HLeeds4 - 1C Palace
ALeeds1 - 1Brentford
Brighton 8TH
20 league games
Away
Overall
Goals: Scored
28
Conceded
26
Games: Scored
16 / 20
Conceded
14 / 20
Clean sheets
6 / 20
Failed to score
4 / 20
Won
7
Draw
5
Lost
8
AWAY FORM Win / Draw / Win
Newcastle3 - 1Brighton
Spurs2 - 2Brighton
Burnley0 - 2Brighton
Sunderland0 - 1Brighton
Brentford0 - 2Brighton
A Villa1 - 0Brighton
Fulham2 - 1Brighton
Man City1 - 1Brighton
West Ham2 - 2Brighton
Arsenal2 - 1Brighton
Liverpool2 - 0Brighton
Nottm Forest0 - 2Brighton
C Palace0 - 0Brighton
Man Utd4 - 2Brighton
Wolves1 - 1Brighton
Chelsea1 - 3Brighton
Bournemouth2 - 1Brighton
Everton2 - 0Brighton
Spurs1 - 4Brighton
Wolves0 - 2Brighton
Goals: Scored
24
Conceded
21
Games: Scored
15 / 20
Conceded
14 / 20
Clean sheets
6 / 20
Failed to score
5 / 20
Won
7
Draw
6
Lost
7
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
ABrighton1 - 3Newcastle
HBrighton3 - 0Chelsea
ABrighton2 - 2Spurs
ABrighton2 - 0Burnley
HBrighton2 - 1Liverpool
ABrighton1 - 0Sunderland
HBrighton0 - 1Arsenal
HBrighton2 - 1Nottm Forest
ABrighton2 - 0Brentford
ABrighton0 - 1A Villa
HBrighton0 - 1C Palace
HBrighton1 - 1Everton
ABrighton1 - 2Fulham
HBrighton1 - 1Bournemouth
ABrighton1 - 1Man City
HBrighton2 - 0Burnley
ABrighton2 - 2West Ham
ABrighton1 - 2Arsenal
HBrighton0 - 0Sunderland
ABrighton0 - 2Liverpool
Win / draw / win head to head (H2H)
7
Brighton have not lost to Leeds in 7 consecutive league meetings
League games at Leeds since 2005
Leeds
Brighton
Goals: Scored
18
19
Games: Scored
11 / 14
12 / 14
Clean sheets
2 / 14
3 / 14
LEE
3
D
6
BHA
5
FIXTURE HISTORY AT Leeds
Draw2 - 2Draw
Draw1 - 1Draw
0 - 1Brighton
Leeds2 - 0
1 - 2Brighton
0 - 2Brighton
Leeds2 - 1
1 - 2Brighton
1 - 2Brighton
Draw1 - 1Draw
Leeds3 - 1
Draw0 - 0Draw
Draw3 - 3Draw
Draw1 - 1Draw
League games at Brighton since 2004
Brighton
Leeds
Goals: Scored
23
12
Games: Scored
11 / 15
6 / 15
Clean sheets
9 / 15
4 / 15
LEE
3
D
3
BHA
9
FIXTURE HISTORY AT Brighton
Brighton3 - 0
Brighton1 - 0
Draw0 - 0Draw
Brighton2 - 0
Brighton2 - 0
Brighton4 - 0
Brighton2 - 0
Brighton1 - 0
Draw2 - 2Draw
Draw3 - 3Draw
0 - 3Leeds
0 - 2Leeds
0 - 1Leeds
Brighton2 - 1
Brighton1 - 0
Goal Statistics
Leeds 14th Brighton 8th
Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction
1.5
goals
1.2
goals
Scoring probability
Scoring probability
0
23%
1
34%
2
25%
3
12%
4+
There is a 77% probability that Leeds will score 1 or more goals
0
31%
1
36%
2
21%
3
8%
4+
There is a 67% probability that Brighton will score no more than 1 goal
 
20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games
+29
Leeds have scored 29% more goals at home than predicted
+2
Brighton’s goalscoring when away has been inline with predictions
1.9
average goals scored
1.4
average goals scored
1.1
conceded
1.3
conceded
 
Attack defence ratings
Premier League - 2025/2026 season
Leeds
PG (predicted goals)
Brighton
1.5
1.2
Attack rating
LEE
BHA
8%
better
view stats
Games scored24
28
Failed to score11
7
Scored first15
15
Goals scored47
49
Avg. goals scored1.3
1.4
Avg. shots per game9
9
Avg. shots per goal7
7
Conversion rate for15
15
Avg. XG for1.6
1.5
KickOff rating
+8%
Defence rating
LEE
BHA
11%
better
view stats
Games conceded28
26
Clean sheets7
9
Conceded first16
18
Goals conceded52
42
Avg. goals conceded1.5
1.2
Avg. shots/game conceded9
9
Avg. shots/goal conceded6
7
Conversion rate against17%
13%
Avg. XG against1.5
1.4
KickOff rating
+11%

Leeds v Brighton Premier League lLine ups will show here when available.

Leeds Premier League squad statistics 2025/2026
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
321259
E AmpaduD Calvert-LewinB AaronsonE Ampadu
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
B Aaronson MID3445
2
-
J Bogle  DEF3314
6
-
G Gudmundsson  DEF32
5
1
J Rodon DEF322
2
-
P Struijk DEF321
5
-
E Ampadu MID3211
9
-
D Calvert-Lewin FWD32121
2
-
N Okafor FWD2881
3
-
L Nmecha  FWD2861
-
A Stach MID2753
3
-
J Justin  DEF2621
4
-
A Tanaka MID2521
1
-
I Gruev MID233
3
-
J Bijol DEF2212
3
-
S Longstaff MID2122
2
-
W Gnonto FWD201
3
-
K Darlow GLK19
1
-
L Perri GLK16
2
-
D James FWD16
-
J Piroe FWD14
-
S Bornauw DEF9
1
-
F Buonanotte MID2
1
-
S Byram DEF1
-
Brighton Premier League squad statistics 2025/2026
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
3513410
B VerbruggenD WelbeckY MintehL Dunk
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
B Verbruggen GLK35
3
-
F Kadioglu DEF341
6
-
D Welbeck FWD34131
5
-
J Hecke DEF3333
9
-
Y Minteh FWD3124
3
-
L Dunk DEF30
10
-
D Amarilla MID3051
9
-
G Rutter FWD2934
2
-
C Quomah MID28
5
-
M Cuyper DEF2721
2
-
Y Ayari MID2733
1
-
M Wieffer DEF2523
8
-
J Hinshelwood MID2433
-
K Mitoma FWD2431
4
-
J Veltman DEF221
5
-
J Milner  MID1911
2
-
C. Kostoulas FWD1821
2
-
P Groß MID1613
2
-
O Boscagli DEF121
2
-
S Tzimas FWD911
-
M O'Riley MID61
-
S March FWD1
-