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Manchester City v Aston Villa : Premier League match betting preview, prediction and odds

Sun 24th May, 16:00 BST, Etihad Stadium, Manchester

Josep Guardiola i Sala and Unai Emery Etxegoien pit their wits in the English Premier League on Sunday afternoon, as Manchester City face Aston Villa at the Etihad Stadium. We have predictions, tips, and odds and head-to-head stats across every market, so there really is only one place to get ready for this Premier League clash.

Want to know who’s consistently beating the odds? Check out the Top Premier League Tipsters and see the most profitable experts for this season!

If you’re keen on betting across various leagues and markets, our Live Bets page showcases active accumulator bets and real-time tips.

Best Tip: Under 2.5 goals

If you’re looking for a winner in this match, we think Man City are the most likely. Our predictive algorithm gives them a 54% chance of victory, and the bookies have them at a best price of 0.00.

Checkout the hundreds of tips picked but our top win/draw/win tipsters

Predictions	Bet365	Coral
Man City 54%	0.00	-
Draw 30%	0.00	-
A Villa 16%	0.00	-
Man City 1-0 21%	0.00	-
Draw 0-0 17%	0.00	-
Man City 2-0 13%	0.00	-
Draw 1-1 11%	0.00	-
A Villa 1-0 9%	0.00	-
Man City 2-1 7%	0.00	-
Man City 3-0 5%	0.00	-
A Villa 2-1 3%	0.00	-
Man City 3-1 3%	0.00	-
A Villa 2-0 2%	0.00	-
Draw 2-2 2%	0.00	-
Man City 4-0 2%	0.00	-
Man City 4-1 1%	0.00	-
Man City 3-2 1%	0.00	-
A Villa 3-1 1%	0.00	-
Over 2.5 Goals 26%	-	-
Under 2.5 Goals 74%	-	-
Home 1st Goal 55%	0.00	-
Away 1st Goal 32%	0.00	-
No 1st Goal 13%	0.00	-
BTTS - Yes 29%	0.00	-
BTTS - No 71%	0.00	-
BTTS - Home Win 12%	0.00	-
BTTS - Draw 13%	0.00	-
BTTS - Away Win 4%	0.00	-
Home/draw 84%	0.00	-
Away/draw 46%	0.00	-
Home/away 70%	0.00	-
Over 1.5 Goals 53%	0.00	-
Under 1.5 Goals 47%	0.00	-
Over 3.5 Goals 10%	0.00	-
Under 3.5 Goals 90%	0.00	-
Over 4.5 Goals 3%	0.00	-
Under 4.5 Goals 97%	0.00	-
Over 5.5 Goals 1%	0.00	-
Under 5.5 Goals 99%	0.00	-
Over 0.5 Goals 83%	0.00	-
Under 0.5 Goals 17%	0.00	-
Home DNB 75%	0.00	-
Away DNB 37%	0.00	-
Man City win to nil 42%	0.00	-
A Villa win to nil 12%	0.00	-
Man City / Man City 0%	0.00	-
Man City / A Villa 0%	0.00	-
Man City / Draw 0%	0.00	-
Draw / Man City 0%	0.00	-
Draw / A Villa 0%	0.00	-
Draw / Draw 0%	0.00	-
A Villa / Man City 0%	0.00	-
A Villa / A Villa 0%	0.00	-
A Villa / Draw 0%	0.00	-

Win / draw / win Premier League table

Man City have played 36 matches so far this season and lay in 2nd place in the Premier League league table.

Performance against teams below them in the league

They have played 34 games against teams below in the table, having won 22, drawn 7 and lost 5 matches. They have kept 16 clean sheets and have failed to score in 4 fixtures. Man City have outscored their opponents by 75 goals to 54 goals.

Home League Performance

Man City have played 18 games at home winning 14, drawing 3 and losing 1 game. They have scored 44 goals, kept 9 clean sheets and conceded 12 goals at home.

A Villa are in 4th position in the Premier League on 62 points having played 37 matches so far this season.

Away League Performance

6 of those games have been losing matches. They have conceded 26 goals and kept 3 clean sheets. They have scored 22 goals in total and failed to score in 6 fixtures.

Performance against teams above them in the league

5 games have come against teams above them in the table. They have lost 2 games, drawn 0 and won 3. A Villa have conceded 9 goals, scored 7, scored in every game and have kept 1 clean sheet.

BTTS yes BTTS no BTTS yes BTTS no Won Draw Lost Won Draw Lost Won Draw Lost Won Draw Lost Won Draw Lost Won Draw Lost Won Draw Lost Over 0.5 Under 0.5 Over 1.5 Under 1.5 Over 2.5 Under 2.5 Over 3.5 Under 3.5 Over 4.5 Under 4.5 Over 5.5 Under 5.5 For 0-0 Against Won Draw Lost	Man City A Villa
Results by League Table

	TEAM	PLD	W	D	L	GD	PTS	HOME	AWAY	HOME	AWAY
1	Arsenal	36	24	7	5	42	79	w 2-1F	d 1-1F	w 2-1F	l 4-1A
2	Man City	36	23	8	5	43	77	-	-	w 1-0F	May 24
3	Man Utd	37	19	11	7	16	68	w 3-0F	l 2-0A	w 2-1A	l 3-1A
4	A Villa	37	18	8	11	6	62	May 24	l 1-0A	-	-
5	Liverpool	37	17	8	12	10	59	w 3-0F	w 1-2A	w 4-2F	l 2-0A
6	Bournemouth	36	13	16	7	4	55	w 3-1F	May 19	w 4-0F	d 1-1F
7	Brighton	37	14	11	12	9	53	d 1-1F	l 2-1F	w 1-0F	w 3-4A
8	Brentford	37	14	10	13	3	52	w 3-0F	w 0-1F	l 0-1A	l 1-0A
9	Sunderland	37	13	12	12	-7	51	w 3-0F	d 0-00-0	w 4-3F	d 1-1F
10	Chelsea	36	13	10	13	6	49	d 1-1F	w 0-3F	l 1-4F	w 1-2A
11	Newcastle	37	14	7	16	0	49	w 2-1F	l 2-1A	d 0-00-0	w 0-2F
12	Everton	37	13	10	14	-2	49	w 2-0F	d 3-3F	l 0-1A	d 0-00-0
13	Fulham	37	14	7	16	-6	49	w 3-0F	w 4-5F	w 3-1A	l 1-0A
14	Leeds	37	11	14	12	-4	47	w 3-2F	w 0-1F	d 1-1A	w 1-2A
15	C Palace	37	11	12	14	-9	45	w 3-0F	w 0-3F	l 0-3A	d 0-00-0
16	Nottm Forest	37	11	10	16	-3	43	d 2-2F	w 1-2F	w 3-1F	d 1-1F
17	Spurs	36	9	11	16	-9	38	l 0-2A	d 2-2F	l 1-2A	w 1-2A
18	West Ham	37	9	9	19	-22	36	w 3-0F	d 1-1F	w 2-0F	w 2-3A
19	Burnley	36	4	9	23	-36	21	w 5-1F	w 0-1F	w 2-1F	d 2-2A
20	Wolves	37	3	10	24	-41	19	w 2-0F	w 0-4F	w 1-0F	l 2-0A

	UEFA Champions League
	UEFA Europa League
	Relegation

Win / draw / win form

Man City have won 3 consecutive home league games

Man City have not lost in 17 consecutive home league games

A Villa have not won in 6 consecutive away league games

Home

Overall

Goals: Scored

Conceded

Games: Scored

19 / 20

Conceded

10 / 20

Clean sheets

10 / 20

Failed to score

1 / 20

Won

HOME FORM Win / Draw / Win
Man City	3 - 0	C Palace
Man City	3 - 0	Brentford
Man City	2 - 1	Arsenal
Man City	2 - 2	Nottm Forest
Man City	2 - 1	Newcastle
Man City	3 - 0	Fulham
Man City	2 - 0	Wolves
Man City	1 - 1	Brighton
Man City	1 - 1	Chelsea
Man City	3 - 0	West Ham
Man City	3 - 0	Sunderland
Man City	3 - 2	Leeds
Man City	3 - 0	Liverpool
Man City	3 - 1	Bournemouth
Man City	2 - 0	Everton
Man City	5 - 1	Burnley
Man City	3 - 0	Man Utd
Man City	0 - 2	Spurs
Man City	3 - 1	Bournemouth
Man City	1 - 0	Wolves

Goals: Scored

Conceded

Games: Scored

18 / 20

Conceded

11 / 20

Clean sheets

9 / 20

Failed to score

2 / 20

Won

Draw

OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
H	Man City	3 - 0	C Palace
H	Man City	3 - 0	Brentford
A	Man City	3 - 3	Everton
A	Man City	1 - 0	Burnley
H	Man City	2 - 1	Arsenal
A	Man City	3 - 0	Chelsea
A	Man City	1 - 1	West Ham
H	Man City	2 - 2	Nottm Forest
A	Man City	1 - 0	Leeds
H	Man City	2 - 1	Newcastle
H	Man City	3 - 0	Fulham
A	Man City	2 - 1	Liverpool
A	Man City	2 - 2	Spurs
H	Man City	2 - 0	Wolves
A	Man City	0 - 2	Man Utd
H	Man City	1 - 1	Brighton
H	Man City	1 - 1	Chelsea
A	Man City	0 - 0	Sunderland
A	Man City	2 - 1	Nottm Forest
H	Man City	3 - 0	West Ham

Away

Overall

Goals: Scored

Conceded

Games: Scored

13 / 20

Conceded

16 / 20

Clean sheets

4 / 20

Failed to score

7 / 20

Won

Draw

Lost

AWAY FORM Win / Draw / Win
Burnley	2 - 2	A Villa
Fulham	1 - 0	A Villa
Nottm Forest	1 - 1	A Villa
Man Utd	3 - 1	A Villa
Wolves	2 - 0	A Villa
Bournemouth	1 - 1	A Villa
Newcastle	0 - 2	A Villa
C Palace	0 - 0	A Villa
Arsenal	4 - 1	A Villa
Chelsea	1 - 2	A Villa
West Ham	2 - 3	A Villa
Brighton	3 - 4	A Villa
Leeds	1 - 2	A Villa
Liverpool	2 - 0	A Villa
Spurs	1 - 2	A Villa
Sunderland	1 - 1	A Villa
Everton	0 - 0	A Villa
Brentford	1 - 0	A Villa
Man Utd	2 - 0	A Villa
Bournemouth	0 - 1	A Villa

Goals: Scored

Conceded

Games: Scored

15 / 20

Conceded

16 / 20

Clean sheets

4 / 20

Failed to score

5 / 20

Won

Draw

Lost

OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
H	A Villa	4 - 2	Liverpool
A	A Villa	2 - 2	Burnley
H	A Villa	1 - 2	Spurs
A	A Villa	0 - 1	Fulham
H	A Villa	4 - 3	Sunderland
A	A Villa	1 - 1	Nottm Forest
H	A Villa	2 - 0	West Ham
A	A Villa	1 - 3	Man Utd
H	A Villa	1 - 4	Chelsea
A	A Villa	0 - 2	Wolves
H	A Villa	1 - 1	Leeds
H	A Villa	1 - 0	Brighton
A	A Villa	1 - 1	Bournemouth
H	A Villa	0 - 1	Brentford
A	A Villa	2 - 0	Newcastle
H	A Villa	0 - 1	Everton
A	A Villa	0 - 0	C Palace
H	A Villa	3 - 1	Nottm Forest
A	A Villa	1 - 4	Arsenal
A	A Villa	2 - 1	Chelsea

Win / draw / win head to head (H2H)

Man City have beaten A Villa in 15 consecutive home league meetings

Man City have not lost to A Villa in 15 consecutive home league meetings

Man City

A Villa

Goals: Scored

Games: Scored

24 / 25

14 / 25

Clean sheets

11 / 25

1 / 25

MCI

AVL

FIXTURE HISTORY AT Man City
Man City	2 - 1
Man City	4 - 1
Man City	3 - 1
Man City	3 - 2
Man City	2 - 0
Man City	3 - 0
Man City	4 - 0
Man City	3 - 2
Man City	4 - 0
Man City	5 - 0
Man City	4 - 1
Man City	4 - 0
Man City	3 - 1
Man City	2 - 0
Man City	1 - 0
	0 - 2	A Villa
Man City	3 - 1
Man City	2 - 0
Man City	4 - 1
Man City	3 - 1
	1 - 3	A Villa
Man City	1 - 0
Draw	2 - 2	Draw
Man City	3 - 0
Draw	1 - 1	Draw

A Villa

Man City

Goals: Scored

Games: Scored

19 / 26

20 / 26

Clean sheets

6 / 26

7 / 26

MCI

AVL

FIXTURE HISTORY AT A Villa
A Villa	1 - 0
A Villa	2 - 1
A Villa	1 - 0
Draw	1 - 1	Draw
	1 - 2	Man City
	1 - 2	Man City
	1 - 6	Man City
Draw	0 - 0	Draw
	0 - 2	Man City
A Villa	3 - 2
	0 - 1	Man City
	0 - 1	Man City
A Villa	1 - 0
Draw	1 - 1	Draw
A Villa	4 - 2
Draw	1 - 1	Draw
	1 - 3	Man City
	0 - 1	Man City
	1 - 2	Man City
Draw	1 - 1	Draw
A Villa	1 - 0
Draw	2 - 2	Draw
	0 - 1	Man City
Draw	1 - 1	Draw
Draw	0 - 0	Draw
A Villa	3 - 1

Goal Statistics

Aston Villa's defensive record is to be admired, U. Emery Etxegoien's men having conceded 1 or less in 6 consecutive English Premier League games. An underwhelming PG rating of 1.2 for Manchester City makes sense in this context.

	Man City 2nd	A Villa 4th
	Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction	1.2 goals	0.5 goals
	Scoring probability
Scoring probability	0 29% 1 36% 2 22% 3 4+ There is a 65% probability that Man City will score no more than 1 goal	0 59% 1 31% 2 3 4+ There is a 59% probability that A Villa will fail to score

	20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games	+10 Man City’s goalscoring at home has been inline with predictions	-15 A Villa have scored 15% fewer goals when away than predicted
	2.4 average goals scored	1.2 average goals scored
	0.7 conceded	1.4 conceded

Attack defence ratings
Premier League - 2025/2026 season

29%

better

MCI

AVL

view stats

Games scored	32		27
Failed to score	4		10
Scored first	30		15
Goals scored	75		54
Avg. goals scored	2.1		1.5
Avg. shots per game	11		9
Avg. shots per goal	5		6
Conversion rate for	19		16
Avg. XG for	2		1.4
KickOff rating		+29%

33%

better

MCI

AVL

view stats

Games conceded	20		28
Clean sheets	16		9
Conceded first	5		19
Goals conceded	32		48
Avg. goals conceded	0.9		1.3
Avg. shots/game conceded	7		9
Avg. shots/goal conceded	8		7
Conversion rate against	13%		15%
Avg. XG against	1.2		1.4
KickOff rating		+33%

Man City v A Villa Premier League lLine ups will show here when available.

Man City Premier League squad statistics 2025/2026

Overall

Attack

Defence

Most starts	Most goals	Most assists	Most cards
33	26	12	10
E Haaland	E Haaland	R Cherki	B Silva

Players	Appserances	goals	Assists	cards
B Silva MID	36	2	4	10 -
E Haaland FWD	34	26	8	2 -
G Donnarumma GLK	33			7 -
N. O'Reilly DEF	33	5	3	5 -
M Nunes DEF	33	1	5	5 -
R Cherki MID	31	4	12	1 -
P Foden MID	31	7	5	4 -
J Doku FWD	28	5	5	-
T Reijnders MID	27	5	2	2 -
R Dias DEF	25	2		3 -
N González MID	24	1		6 -
S Sávio FWD	22	1	1	2 -
A. Khusanov DEF	20			2 -
Rodri MID	20	1		2 -
O Marmoush FWD	20	3	3	3 -
J Gvardiol DEF	17	2	2	2 -
N Aké DEF	17			1 -
R Nouri DEF	16		2	2 -
A Semenyo FWD	15	6	1	1 -
M Guéhi DEF	14	1	1	2 -
R Lewis DEF	10		1	1 -
J Stones DEF	8			-
M Kovacic MID	4		1	-
J Trafford GLK	3			-
M. Alleyne DEF	2			-

Most goals	Most shots on target	Most assists	Most big chances
26	58	12	17
E Haaland	E Haaland	R Cherki	R Cherki

Players	goals	shots on	Assists	big chances
E Haaland FWD	26	58	8	9
P Foden MID	7	19	5	10
A Semenyo FWD	6	12	1	4
N. O'Reilly DEF	5	14	3	6
J Doku FWD	5	15	5	11
T Reijnders MID	5	15	2	4
R Cherki MID	4	14	12	17
O Marmoush FWD	3	9	3	3
B Silva MID	2	6	4	7
R Dias DEF	2	4
J Gvardiol DEF	2	6	2	1
M Nunes DEF	1	2	5	6
N González MID	1	2		1
S Sávio FWD	1	11	1
Rodri MID	1	2		2
M Guéhi DEF	1	5	1	1
A. Khusanov DEF		1
N Aké DEF		1		2
R Nouri DEF		2	2	2
R Lewis DEF			1	2
M Kovacic MID			1	1
M. Alleyne DEF		1

Most passes	Most tackles	Most duels won
2126	69	167
B Silva	N. O'Reilly	J Doku

Players	passes	tackles	duels won
B Silva MID	2126	51	97
M Nunes DEF	2100	57	149
R Dias DEF	1688	14	82
Rodri MID	1530	40	107
N. O'Reilly DEF	1303	69	155
R Cherki MID	1245	27	110
N González MID	1244	40	99
M Guéhi DEF	1193	15	88
P Foden MID	1145	35	93
J Gvardiol DEF	1032	18	55
A. Khusanov DEF	994	26	54
G Donnarumma GLK	857	1	21
T Reijnders MID	770	11	48
J Doku FWD	744	23	167
R Nouri DEF	586	33	79
N Aké DEF	462	8	33
A Semenyo FWD	376	17	60
E Haaland FWD	369	15	127
S Sávio FWD	334	9	34
J Stones DEF	265		11
R Lewis DEF	234	6	16
O Marmoush FWD	161	13	45
M. Alleyne DEF	128	3	9
J Trafford GLK	107	2	5
M Kovacic MID	83	2	5

A Villa Premier League squad statistics 2025/2026

Overall

Attack

Defence

Most starts	Most goals	Most assists	Most cards
37	14	7	9
M Rogers	O Watkins	L Digne	M Cash

Players	Appserances	goals	Assists	cards
M Rogers MID	37	10	6	7 -
O Watkins FWD	36	14	3	4 -
E Buendía MID	35	6	2	6 -
M Cash DEF	34	3	3	9 -
E Konsa DEF	34			1
E Martínez GLK	32		1	2 -
L Digne DEF	31		7	3 -
I Maatsen DEF	29		1	2 -
J McGinn MID	29	5	4	5 -
L Bogarde MID	27			5 -
A Onana MID	24	2		3 -
Y Tielemans MID	24		4	-
J Sancho FWD	23		2	-
P Torres DEF	20			1 -
R Barkley MID	20	3		1 -
B Kamara MID	18	1	3	5 -
V Lindelöf DEF	16		1	-
T Mings DEF	16			1 -
D Luiz MID	12	1		1 -
T Abraham FWD	12	2		-
L Bailey FWD	12		1	1 -
M Bizot GLK	6			2 -
A García DEF	5			-
H Elliot MID	4			-
A. da Rocha dos Santos FWD	3			-

Most goals	Most shots on target	Most assists	Most big chances
14	37	7	14
O Watkins	O Watkins	L Digne	M Rogers

Players	goals	shots on	Assists	big chances
O Watkins FWD	14	37	3	4
M Rogers MID	10	32	6	14
E Buendía MID	6	12	2	4
J McGinn MID	5	11	4	7
M Cash DEF	3	10	3	4
R Barkley MID	3	8		3
A Onana MID	2	7		1
T Abraham FWD	2	3		1
B Kamara MID	1	4	3
D Luiz MID	1	4		2
E Konsa DEF		2		1
E Martínez GLK			1	2
L Digne DEF		5	7	5
I Maatsen DEF		5	1	4
Y Tielemans MID		7	4	5
J Sancho FWD		4	2	3
P Torres DEF		1
V Lindelöf DEF			1	1
T Mings DEF		3		1
L Bailey FWD		1	1	1

Most passes	Most tackles	Most duels won
2098	66	158
E Konsa	M Cash	M Rogers

Players	passes	tackles	duels won
E Konsa DEF	2098	22	101
M Cash DEF	1375	66	137
E Martínez GLK	1213		28
P Torres DEF	1152	23	59
Y Tielemans MID	1111	56	127
M Rogers MID	1068	42	158
T Mings DEF	853	4	52
A Onana MID	841	47	121
B Kamara MID	818	37	116
J McGinn MID	748	28	106
L Digne DEF	729	36	87
I Maatsen DEF	682	39	96
E Buendía MID	626	42	113
V Lindelöf DEF	584	6	18
L Bogarde MID	483	28	56
O Watkins FWD	461	22	109
D Luiz MID	383	12	31
R Barkley MID	380	12	47
J Sancho FWD	378	7	28
M Bizot GLK	198		2
L Bailey FWD	121	8	21
H Elliot MID	74		3
T Abraham FWD	44	4	10
A García DEF	25	1	1
A. da Rocha dos Santos FWD	17		3