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Chelsea v Brentford : Premier League match betting preview, prediction and odds

Sat 17th Jan, 15:00 BST, Stamford Bridge, London

Enzo Maresca welcomes Keith Andrews to the Stamford Bridge on Saturday afternoon, as their Chelsea and Brentford sides do battle in the English Premier League. Stats for our tip of are shown below, including head to head (H2H) history. Flipping the market using the tabs below changes all stats and the odds, making it easier than ever to find the right bet for you.


Want to know who’s consistently beating the odds? Check out the Top Premier League Tipsters and see the most profitable experts for this season!

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Best Tip: Over 1.5 goals

The KickOff predictive algorithm suggests there is a 76% chance of Chelsea and Brentford delivering a minimum of a couple of goals in this Premier League match. Recent form stats and head-to-head (H2H) records are included in the calculation , and it would appear that the bookmakers are predicting the same. This over 1.5 goals tip is available at a best price of 1.22.

In-Play
Win / Draw / Win
Over / Under 1.5 Goals
Over / Under 2.5 Goals
Over / Under 3.5 Goals
Win To Nil
Both Teams To Score
Correct Score
Both Teams To Score & Result
Double Chance
Half Time / Full Time
Over / Under 0.5 Goals
Over / Under 4.5 Goals
Over / Under 5.5 Goals
Draw No Bet
Team To Score First
If you’re looking for a winner in this match, we think Chelsea are the most likely. Our predictive algorithm gives them a 53% chance of victory, and the bookies have them at a best price of 1.62.

Checkout the hundreds of tips picked but our top win/draw/win tipsters

Change odds
Predictions Add Bet365 Coral
Chelsea
53%
1.571.62
Draw
24%
3.904.20
Brentford
24%
5.755.00
Draw 1-1
11%
8.007.50
Chelsea 1-0
10%
9.007.50
Chelsea 2-1
10%
9.008.00
Chelsea 2-0
9%
9.008.00
Brentford 1-0
6%
19.0013.00
Brentford 2-1
6%
19.0015.00
Draw 0-0
6%
13.0012.00
Chelsea 3-1
6%
13.0011.00
Draw 2-2
5%
17.0013.00
Chelsea 3-0
5%
13.0011.00
Brentford 2-0
3%
34.0021.00
Chelsea 3-2
3%
26.0019.00
Chelsea 4-1
3%
26.0019.00
Chelsea 4-0
2%
23.0019.00
Brentford 3-1
2%
41.0029.00
Over 2.5 Goals
54%
1.621.67
Under 2.5 Goals
46%
2.302.10
Home 1st Goal
54%
1.501.48
Away 1st Goal
43%
2.752.88
No 1st Goal
3%
13.0011.00
BTTS - Yes
55%
1.751.75
BTTS - No
45%
2.001.95
BTTS - Home Win
25%
3.203.20
BTTS - Draw
18%
5.005.00
BTTS - Away Win
12%
9.508.00
Home/draw
76%
1.141.17
Away/draw
47%
2.302.25
Home/away
76%
1.251.22
Over 1.5 Goals
78%
1.201.20
Under 1.5 Goals
22%
4.504.00
Over 3.5 Goals
32%
2.632.62
Under 3.5 Goals
68%
1.501.44
Over 4.5 Goals
16%
4.504.80
Under 4.5 Goals
84%
1.201.17
Over 5.5 Goals
7%
9.009.00
Under 5.5 Goals
93%
1.071.05
Over 0.5 Goals
94%
1.041.02
Under 0.5 Goals
6%
13.0012.00
Home DNB
69%
1.201.25
Away DNB
40%
4.333.70
Chelsea win to nil
28%
2.75-
Brentford win to nil
11%
11.00-
Chelsea / Chelsea
34%
2.402.38
Chelsea / Brentford
2%
41.0029.00
Chelsea / Draw
6%
15.0013.00
Draw / Chelsea
18%
4.754.60
Draw / Brentford
7%
12.0010.00
Draw / Draw
13%
7.006.00
Brentford / Chelsea
4%
21.0017.00
Brentford / Brentford
10%
9.507.00
Brentford / Draw
5%
17.0013.00
Win / draw / win Premier League table

Chelsea have played 20 matches so far this season and lay in 5th place in the Premier League league table.

Performance against teams below them in the league

They have played 16 games against teams below in the table, having won 7, drawn 5 and lost 4 matches. They have kept 8 clean sheets and have failed to score in 2 fixtures. Chelsea have outscored their opponents by 33 goals to 32 goals.

Home League Performance

Chelsea have played 10 games at home winning 4, drawing 3 and losing 3 games. They have scored 15 goals, kept 4 clean sheets and conceded 11 goals at home.

Brentford are in 7th position in the Premier League on 30 points having played 20 matches so far this season.

Away League Performance

7 of those games have been losing matches. They have conceded 18 goals and kept 2 clean sheets. They have scored 12 goals in total and failed to score in 3 fixtures.

Performance against teams above them in the league

6 games have come against teams above them in the table. They have lost 2 games, drawn 1 and won 3. Brentford have conceded 8 goals, scored 9, failed to score in 2 fixtures and have kept 1 clean sheet.

Won
Draw
Lost
Chelsea
Brentford
Results by League Table
TEAM PLD W D L GD PTS HOME AWAY HOME AWAY
1
Arsenal2015322648 
d
 
1-1F
Mar 1
Feb 12
l
 
2-0A
2
Man City2013342642 
Apr 11
d
 
1-1A
l
 
0-1A
May 9
3
A Villa201334942 
l
 
1-2F
Mar 4
w
 
1-0F
Feb 1
4
Liverpool201046434 
w
 
2-1F
May 9
w
 
3-2F
May 24
5
Chelsea208751131 
-
-
d
 
2-2F
Jan 17
6
Man Utd20875431 
Apr 18
l
 
2-1A
w
 
3-1F
Apr 25
7
Brentford20938430 
Jan 17
d
 
2-2A
-
-
8
Sunderland20794230 
l
 
1-2F
May 24
Jan 7
l
 
2-1F
9
Newcastle20857429 
Mar 14
d
 
2-2A
w
 
3-1A
Feb 7
10
Brighton20776328 
l
 
1-3F
Apr 25
Feb 21
l
 
2-1F
11
Fulham20848-128 
w
 
2-0F
Jan 7
Apr 18
l
 
3-1F
12
Everton20848-228 
w
 
2-0F
Mar 21
Apr 11
w
 
2-4F
13
Spurs20767427 
May 17
w
 
0-1F
d
 
0-00-0
l
 
2-0A
14
C Palace20767-127 
d
 
0-00-0
Jan 25
May 17
l
 
2-0A
15
Bournemouth20587-723 
d
 
2-2A
d
 
0-00-0
w
 
4-1F
Mar 4
16
Leeds20578-722 
Feb 10
l
 
3-1A
d
 
1-1F
Mar 21
17
Nottm Forest205312-1418 
May 2
w
 
0-3F
Jan 25
l
 
3-1A
18
West Ham203512-2014 
Jan 31
w
 
1-5A
May 2
w
 
0-2F
19
Burnley203314-1912 
Feb 21
w
 
0-2F
w
 
3-1F
Feb 28
20
Wolves201316-266 
w
 
3-0F
Feb 7
Mar 14
w
 
0-2F
Win / draw / win form
Chelsea 5TH
20 league games
Home
Overall
Goals: Scored
35
Conceded
18
Games: Scored
19 / 20
Conceded
11 / 20
Clean sheets
9 / 20
Failed to score
1 / 20
Won
12
Draw
5
L
3
Goals: Scored
33
Conceded
22
Games: Scored
18 / 20
Conceded
12 / 20
Clean sheets
8 / 20
Failed to score
2 / 20
Won
8
Draw
7
Lost
5
Brentford 10TH
20 league games
Away
Overall
Goals: Scored
32
Conceded
24
Games: Scored
17 / 20
Conceded
13 / 20
Clean sheets
7 / 20
Failed to score
3 / 20
Won
10
D
2
Lost
8
Goals: Scored
32
Conceded
28
Games: Scored
15 / 20
Conceded
16 / 20
Clean sheets
4 / 20
Failed to score
5 / 20
Won
9
D
3
Lost
8
Win / draw / win head to head (H2H)
League games at Chelsea since 2022
Chelsea
Brentford
Goals: Scored
3
9
Games: Scored
2 / 4
4 / 4
Clean sheets
0 / 4
2 / 4
CHE
1
BRE
3
League games at Brentford since 2021
Brentford
Chelsea
Goals: Scored
4
5
Games: Scored
2 / 5
3 / 5
Clean sheets
2 / 5
3 / 5
CHE
1
D
4
Goal Statistics

Chelsea have been consistent in front of goal of late, finding the net in 21 consecutive English Premier League games. Their PG of 1.8 against Brentford on Saturday suggests that run is likely to continue.

Chelsea 5th Brentford 10th
Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction
1.8
goals
1.1
goals
Scoring probability
Scoring probability
0
17%
1
30%
2
27%
3
16%
4+
10%
There is a 83% probability that Chelsea will score 1 or more goals
0
34%
1
37%
2
20%
3
4+
There is a 71% probability that Brentford will score no more than 1 goal
 
20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games
-4
Chelsea’s goalscoring at home has been inline with predictions
+20
Brentford have scored 20% more goals when away than predicted
1.8
average goals scored
1.6
average goals scored
0.9
conceded
1.2
conceded
 
Attack defence ratings
Premier League - 2025/2026 season
Chelsea
PG (predicted goals)
Brentford
1.8
1.1
Attack rating
7%
better
CHE
BRE
view stats
Games scored18
15
Failed to score2
5
Scored first11
13
Goals scored33
32
Avg. goals scored1.7
1.6
Avg. shots per game10
8
Avg. shots per goal6
5
Conversion rate for17
21
Avg. XG for1.8
1.5
KickOff rating
+7%
Defence rating
17%
better
CHE
BRE
view stats
Games conceded12
16
Clean sheets8
4
Conceded first7
6
Goals conceded22
28
Avg. goals conceded1.1
1.4
Avg. shots/game conceded8
8
Avg. shots/goal conceded7
6
Conversion rate against13%
17%
Avg. XG against1.4
1.5
KickOff rating
+17%

Chelsea v Brentford Premier League lLine ups will show here when available.

Chelsea Premier League squad statistics 2025/2026
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
19646
R SánchezJ Pedro R James M Caicedo
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
J Pedro  FWD2063
2
-
P Neto FWD2053
2
-
R Sánchez GLK191
2
1
T Chalobah DEF193
3
1
R James  DEF1924
4
-
E Fernández MID1961
4
-
M Cucurella  DEF182
3
-
M Gusto DEF1822
2
1
E. Almeida de Oliveira Gonçalves FWD1711
3
-
M Caicedo MID1531
5
1
A Santos MID14
3
-
J Bynoe-Gittens FWD142
-
A Garnacho FWD1313
1
-
L Delap FWD11
2
-
W Fofana DEF10
1
-
C Palmer MID103
-
T Adarabioyo DEF9
1
-
J. Acheampong DEF71
-
M Guiu FWD71
1
-
B Badiashile  DEF6
2
-
J Hato DEF5
2
-
R Lavia MID4
-
T. George FWD4
2
-
F Jörgensen GLK2
-
F Buonanotte MID1
-
Brentford Premier League squad statistics 2025/2026
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
201435
C KelleherI ThiagoJ HendersonM Kayode
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
C Kelleher GLK20
1
-
M Kayode DEF20
5
-
N Collins DEF2011
4
-
Y Yarmoliuk MID202
4
-
I Thiago FWD20141
3
-
J Henderson MID1913
4
-
K Schade FWD1962
5
-
M Jensen MID182
1
-
K Lewis-Potter MID1821
1
-
S Berg DEF17
1
-
M Damsgaard MID1713
-
R Henry DEF16
2
-
V Janelt MID153
2
-
D Ouattara FWD153
3
-
K Ajer DEF141
1
-
A Hickey DEF12
1
-
F Carvalho MID61
-
F Onyeka MID61
-
R Nelson FWD5
-
E Pinnock DEF3
1
-
A Milambo MID1
-
M Peart-Harris MID1
-