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Chelsea v Sunderland : Premier League match betting preview, prediction and odds

Sat 25th Oct, 15:00 BST, Stamford Bridge, London

Chelsea are in English Premier League action on Saturday afternoon, as Enzo Maresca looks to get one over on Régis Le Bris and his Sunderland side at the Stamford Bridge. Analysing both clubs' last 20 Premier League matches, as well as trends within the competition and the market, to generate our match predictions. All the stats, including head to heads (H2H), are shown below, alongside odds from the UK's biggest bookmakers.


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Best Tip: Under 2.5 goals

We are expecting a relatively tight affair here and, as such, are predicting under 2.5 goals. For those unfamiliar with that term, this simply means that 2 goals or less will be scored in total as Chelsea and Sunderland go head-to-head. Good performances all round will be required to deliver us a winner, but we trust both sides to deliver exactly that. The stats and the odds below point in this direction too.

In-Play
Win / Draw / Win
Over / Under 1.5 Goals
Over / Under 2.5 Goals
Over / Under 3.5 Goals
Win To Nil
Both Teams To Score
Correct Score
Both Teams To Score & Result
Double Chance
Half Time / Full Time
Over / Under 0.5 Goals
Over / Under 4.5 Goals
Over / Under 5.5 Goals
Draw No Bet
Team To Score First
If you’re looking for a winner in this match, we think Chelsea are the most likely. Our predictive algorithm gives them a 56% chance of victory, and the bookies have them at a best price of 1.42.

Checkout the hundreds of tips picked but our top win/draw/win tipsters

Change odds
Predictions Add Bet365 Coral
Chelsea
56%
21/50
4%
2/5
Draw
27%
15/419/5
Sunderland
18%
6/1
27%
6/1
Chelsea 1-0
17%
7/1
11%
6/1
Chelsea 2-0
12%
13/2
12%
6/1
Draw 1-1
12%
9/115/2
Draw 0-0
12%
12/111/1
Chelsea 2-1
9%
17/27/1
Sunderland 1-0
8%
18/1
11%
14/1
Chelsea 3-0
6%
9/1
8%
8/1
Chelsea 3-1
4%
12/110/1
Sunderland 2-1
4%
22/1
21%
16/1
Draw 2-2
3%
20/116/1
Sunderland 2-0
3%
40/1
21%
28/1
Chelsea 4-0
2%
18/1
10%
14/1
Chelsea 4-1
2%
22/116/1
Chelsea 3-2
1%
28/1
12%
20/1
Sunderland 3-1
1%
50/1
24%
40/1
Over 2.5 Goals
36%
8/11
7%
4/6
Under 2.5 Goals
64%
11/10
9%
11/10
Home 1st Goal
56%
2/5
3%
4/11
Away 1st Goal
36%
21/10
8%
5/2
No 1st Goal
8%
12/1
13%
10/1
BTTS - Yes
38%
19/20
8%
19/20
BTTS - No
62%
4/5
8%
4/5
BTTS - Home Win
17%
11/521/10
BTTS - Draw
15%
5/119/4
BTTS - Away Win
6%
11/1
26%
10/1
Home/draw
82%
1/10
4%
1/11
Away/draw
45%
7/4
5%
9/5
Home/away
73%
2/112/11
Over 1.5 Goals
63%
2/9
2%
2/9
Under 1.5 Goals
37%
10/3
4%
29/10
Over 3.5 Goals
17%
7/4
5%
17/10
Under 3.5 Goals
83%
4/9
4%
4/9
Over 4.5 Goals
7%
4/1
11%
19/5
Under 4.5 Goals
93%
1/6
3%
1/6
Over 5.5 Goals
2%
9/1
11%
8/1
Under 5.5 Goals
98%
1/16
1%
1/20
Over 0.5 Goals
88%
1/25
1%
1/33
Under 0.5 Goals
12%
12/1
13%
10/1
Home DNB
74%
1/7
5%
1/8
Away DNB
36%
9/2
27%
17/4
Chelsea win to nil
38%
5/4
10%
-
Sunderland win to nil
12%
12/1
18%
-
Chelsea / Chelsea
39%
11/10
7%
21/20
Chelsea / Sunderland
2%
40/133/1
Chelsea / Draw
5%
16/114/1
Draw / Chelsea
20%
10/3
4%
3/1
Draw / Sunderland
6%
14/1
15%
12/1
Draw / Draw
12%
13/211/2
Sunderland / Chelsea
4%
20/116/1
Sunderland / Sunderland
7%
12/1
18%
9/1
Sunderland / Draw
5%
20/1
11%
14/1
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Win / draw / win Premier League table

Chelsea have played 8 matches so far this season and lay in 5th place in the Premier League league table.

Performance against teams below them in the league

They have played 7 games against teams below in the table, having won 3, drawn 2 and lost 2 matches. They have kept 3 clean sheets and have failed to score in 1 fixture. Chelsea have outscored their opponents by 16 goals to 9 goals.

Home League Performance

Chelsea have played 4 games at home winning 2, drawing 1 and losing 1 game. They have scored 5 goals, kept 2 clean sheets and conceded 4 goals at home.

 
Won
Draw
Lost
Chelsea
Sunderland
Results by League Table
TEAM PLD W D L GD PTS HOME AWAY HOME AWAY
1
Arsenal86111219 
Nov 30
Feb 28
Nov 8
Feb 7
2
Man City85121116 
Apr 11
Jan 3
Dec 30
Dec 6
3
Liverpool8503315 
w
 
2-1F
May 9
Feb 11
Dec 3
4
Bournemouth8431315 
Dec 30
Dec 6
Nov 29
Feb 28
5
Chelsea8422714 
-
-
May 24
Oct 25
6
Spurs8422714 
May 17
Nov 1
Apr 11
Jan 3
7
Sunderland8422314 
Oct 25
May 24
-
-
8
Man Utd8413-113 
Apr 18
l
 
2-1A
May 9
l
 
2-0A
9
C Palace8341413 
d
 
0-00-0
Jan 24
Jan 17
d
 
0-00-0
10
Brighton8332112 
l
 
1-3F
Apr 25
Mar 14
Dec 20
11
A Villa8332012 
Dec 27
Mar 4
d
 
1-1A
Apr 18
12
Everton8323011 
Dec 13
Mar 21
Nov 3
May 17
13
Brentford8314-110 
Jan 17
d
 
2-2A
w
 
2-1A
Jan 7
14
Newcastle823309 
Mar 14
Dec 20
Dec 14
Mar 21
15
Fulham8224-48 
w
 
2-0F
Jan 7
Feb 21
Nov 22
16
Leeds8224-68 
Feb 11
Dec 3
Dec 27
Mar 4
17
Burnley8215-67 
Feb 21
Nov 22
Jan 31
l
 
2-0A
18
Nottm Forest8125-105 
May 2
w
 
0-3F
Apr 25
w
 
0-1F
19
West Ham8116-124 
Jan 31
w
 
1-5A
w
 
3-0F
Jan 24
20
Wolves8026-112 
Nov 8
Feb 7
w
 
2-0F
May 2
Win / draw / win form
Chelsea 5TH
20 league games
Home
Overall
Goals: Scored
35
Conceded
17
Games: Scored
19 / 20
Conceded
12 / 20
Clean sheets
8 / 20
Failed to score
1 / 20
Won
13
Draw
5
L
2
HOME FORM Win / Draw / Win
Chelsea2 - 1Liverpool
Chelsea1 - 3Brighton
Chelsea2 - 0Fulham
Chelsea0 - 0C Palace
Chelsea1 - 0Man Utd
Chelsea3 - 1Liverpool
Chelsea1 - 0Everton
Chelsea2 - 2Ipswich
Chelsea1 - 0Spurs
Chelsea1 - 0Leicester
Chelsea4 - 0Southampton
Chelsea2 - 1West Ham
Chelsea3 - 1Wolves
Chelsea2 - 2Bournemouth
Chelsea1 - 2Fulham
Chelsea2 - 1Brentford
Chelsea3 - 0A Villa
Chelsea1 - 1Arsenal
Chelsea2 - 1Newcastle
Chelsea1 - 1Nottm Forest
Goals: Scored
32
Conceded
16
Games: Scored
16 / 20
Conceded
10 / 20
Clean sheets
10 / 20
Failed to score
4 / 20
Won
12
D
4
L
4
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
AChelsea3 - 0Nottm Forest
HChelsea2 - 1Liverpool
HChelsea1 - 3Brighton
AChelsea1 - 2Man Utd
AChelsea2 - 2Brentford
HChelsea2 - 0Fulham
AChelsea5 - 1West Ham
HChelsea0 - 0C Palace
AChelsea1 - 0Nottm Forest
HChelsea1 - 0Man Utd
AChelsea0 - 2Newcastle
HChelsea3 - 1Liverpool
HChelsea1 - 0Everton
AChelsea2 - 1Fulham
HChelsea2 - 2Ipswich
AChelsea0 - 0Brentford
HChelsea1 - 0Spurs
AChelsea0 - 1Arsenal
HChelsea1 - 0Leicester
HChelsea4 - 0Southampton
Sunderland 7TH
20 league games
Away
Overall
Goals: Scored
19
Conceded
24
Games: Scored
11 / 20
Conceded
14 / 20
Clean sheets
6 / 20
Failed to score
9 / 20
Won
8
D
4
Lost
8
AWAY FORM Win / Draw / Win
Man Utd2 - 0Sunderland
Nottm Forest0 - 1Sunderland
C Palace0 - 0Sunderland
Burnley2 - 0Sunderland
Sheff Utd1 - 2Sunderland
Coventry1 - 2Sunderland
Oxford Utd2 - 0Sunderland
Bristol C2 - 1Sunderland
Norwich0 - 0Sunderland
West Brom0 - 1Sunderland
Coventry3 - 0Sunderland
Sheff Wed1 - 2Sunderland
Leeds2 - 1Sunderland
M'Boro2 - 3Sunderland
Derby0 - 1Sunderland
Burnley0 - 0Sunderland
Stoke1 - 0Sunderland
Blackburn2 - 2Sunderland
Swansea2 - 3Sunderland
Sheff Utd1 - 0Sunderland
Goals: Scored
16
Conceded
19
Games: Scored
10 / 20
Conceded
13 / 20
Clean sheets
7 / 20
Failed to score
10 / 20
Won
8
D
3
Lost
9
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
HSunderland2 - 0Wolves
ASunderland0 - 2Man Utd
ASunderland1 - 0Nottm Forest
HSunderland1 - 1A Villa
ASunderland0 - 0C Palace
HSunderland2 - 1Brentford
ASunderland0 - 2Burnley
HSunderland3 - 0West Ham
ASunderland2 - 1Sheff Utd
HSunderland0 - 1Coventry
ASunderland2 - 1Coventry
HSunderland0 - 1QPR
ASunderland0 - 2Oxford Utd
HSunderland0 - 1Blackburn
ASunderland1 - 2Bristol C
HSunderland0 - 1Swansea
ASunderland0 - 0Norwich
ASunderland1 - 0West Brom
HSunderland1 - 0Millwall
ASunderland0 - 3Coventry
Win / draw / win head to head (H2H)
3
Chelsea have beaten Sunderland in 3 consecutive home league meetings
League games at Chelsea since 1997
Chelsea
Sunderland
Goals: Scored
50
17
Games: Scored
15 / 16
9 / 16
Clean sheets
7 / 16
1 / 16
CHE
13
SUN
3
FIXTURE HISTORY AT Chelsea
Chelsea5 - 1
Chelsea3 - 1
Chelsea3 - 1
1 - 2Sunderland
Chelsea2 - 1
Chelsea1 - 0
0 - 3Sunderland
Chelsea7 - 2
Chelsea5 - 0
Chelsea2 - 0
Chelsea2 - 0
Chelsea3 - 0
Chelsea4 - 0
2 - 4Sunderland
Chelsea4 - 0
Chelsea6 - 2
League games at Sunderland since 1996
Sunderland
Chelsea
Goals: Scored
23
28
Games: Scored
12 / 16
12 / 16
Clean sheets
4 / 16
4 / 16
CHE
10
D
2
SUN
4
FIXTURE HISTORY AT Sunderland
0 - 1Chelsea
Sunderland3 - 2
Draw0 - 0Draw
3 - 4Chelsea
1 - 3Chelsea
1 - 2Chelsea
2 - 4Chelsea
1 - 3Chelsea
2 - 3Chelsea
0 - 1Chelsea
1 - 2Chelsea
1 - 2Chelsea
Draw0 - 0Draw
Sunderland1 - 0
Sunderland4 - 1
Sunderland3 - 0
Goal Statistics

Chelsea have been consistent in front of goal of late, scoring in 17 consecutive English Premier League outings. Their PG of 1.5 against Sunderland on Saturday suggests they're likely to extend that run.

Chelsea 5th Sunderland 7th
Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction
1.5
goals
0.7
goals
Scoring probability
Scoring probability
0
23%
1
34%
2
25%
3
12%
4+
There is a 77% probability that Chelsea will score 1 or more goals
0
50%
1
35%
2
12%
3
4+
There is a 50% probability that Sunderland will fail to score
 
20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games
-7
Chelsea’s goalscoring at home has been inline with predictions
-9
Sunderland’s goalscoring when away has been inline with predictions
1.8
average goals scored
1.0
average goals scored
0.9
conceded
1.2
conceded
 
Attack defence ratings
Premier League - 2025/2026 season
Chelsea
PG (predicted goals)
Sunderland
1.5
0.7
Attack rating
36%
better
CHE
SUN
view stats
Games scored7
5
Failed to score1
3
Scored first4
3
Goals scored16
9
Avg. goals scored2
1.1
Avg. shots per game9
7
Avg. shots per goal4
6
Conversion rate for23
16
Avg. XG for1.8
1.1
KickOff rating
+36%
Defence rating
CHE
SUN
18%
better
view stats
Games conceded5
4
Clean sheets3
4
Conceded first3
4
Goals conceded9
6
Avg. goals conceded1.1
0.8
Avg. shots/game conceded8
9
Avg. shots/goal conceded7
12
Conversion rate against14%
8%
Avg. XG against1.5
1.4
KickOff rating
+18%

Chelsea v Sunderland Premier League lLine ups will show here when available.

Chelsea Premier League squad statistics 2025/2026
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
8332
R SánchezM CaicedoJ Pedro R Sánchez
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
R Sánchez GLK8
1
1
M Cucurella  DEF82
2
-
R James  DEF812
2
-
M Caicedo MID83
1
-
J Pedro  FWD823
-
P Neto FWD821
-
M Gusto DEF71
1
1
T Chalobah DEF72
1
1
E Fernández MID731
1
-
E. Almeida de Oliveira Gonçalves FWD711
2
-
A Santos MID6
1
-
J Bynoe-Gittens FWD6
-
T Adarabioyo DEF5
1
-
J. Acheampong DEF41
-
J Hato DEF4
2
-
W Fofana DEF3
-
R Lavia MID3
-
C Palmer MID31
-
A Garnacho FWD3
-
T. George FWD3
2
-
L Delap FWD3
-
B Badiashile  DEF2
1
-
M Guiu FWD2
-
F Jörgensen GLK1
-
F Buonanotte MID1
-
Sunderland Premier League squad statistics 2025/2026
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
8333
R RoefsW IsidorG XhakaG Xhaka
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
R Roefs GLK8
1
-
T Hume DEF81
-
O Alderete DEF811
1
-
G Xhaka MID83
3
-
N Sadiki MID8
3
-
C Talbi FWD81
-
W Isidor FWD83
-
E Fée MID71
-
D Ballard DEF61
-
N Mukiele DEF61
-
S Adingra FWD61
1
-
E Mayenda FWD61
-
R Mandava DEF5
1
1
L Geertruida DEF5
-
C Rigg MID5
-
H Diarra MID4
1
-
A Masuaku DEF3
1
-
B Brobbey FWD3
-
B Traoré FWD3
1
-
D Neil MID2
-