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Leeds United v Arsenal : Premier League match betting preview, prediction and odds

Sat 31st Jan, 15:00 BST, Elland Road, Leeds

Leeds United are in English Premier League action on Saturday afternoon, as Daniel Farke attempts to outsmart Mikel Arteta Amatriain and his Arsenal side at the Elland Road. Recent form, head to head (H2H) stats, predictions and odds from the UK's biggest bookmakers are all shown below. Helping our users place smart bets is what we do best. Here we've gone for , but why not flip through the tabs and find the one you like best?


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Best Tip: Over 1.5 goals

Neither Leeds or Arsenal are in the kind of form that would have us feeling confident enough to tip a match winner, so we're going with over 1.5 goals. The statistics show that both have a track record in this market, both individually and when facing one another head-to-head. We're predicting there's a 75% chance of 2 goals or more.

In-Play
Win / Draw / Win
Over / Under 1.5 Goals
Over / Under 2.5 Goals
Over / Under 3.5 Goals
Win To Nil
Both Teams To Score
Correct Score
Both Teams To Score & Result
Double Chance
Half Time / Full Time
Over / Under 0.5 Goals
Over / Under 4.5 Goals
Over / Under 5.5 Goals
Draw No Bet
Team To Score First
An away win looks like the most likely outcome in the win/draw/win market, with our predictive algorithm suggesting there’s a 44% chance of Arsenal coming away with a win.

Checkout the hundreds of tips picked but our top win/draw/win tipsters

Change odds
Predictions Add Bet365 Coral
Leeds
30%
6.50
8%
5.75
5%
Draw
26%
3.80
1%
3.80
3%
Arsenal
44%
1.53
1%
1.60
1%
Draw 1-1
12%
8.007.00
7%
Arsenal 1-0
10%
7.00
7%
6.50
Arsenal 2-1
9%
9.50
6%
8.00
Leeds 1-0
8%
17.0013.00
8%
Arsenal 2-0
8%
7.50
6%
7.50
Leeds 2-1
7%
23.00
10%
17.00
13%
Draw 0-0
7%
10.009.50
Draw 2-2
5%
21.00
11%
15.00
Leeds 2-0
5%
41.00
21%
23.00
Arsenal 3-1
4%
15.0012.00
Arsenal 3-0
4%
12.0011.00
Leeds 3-1
3%
51.0034.00
Arsenal 3-2
3%
34.00
17%
21.00
Leeds 3-2
2%
51.0041.00
21%
Leeds 3-0
2%
81.0046.00
Over 2.5 Goals
49%
1.911.85
Under 2.5 Goals
51%
1.911.85
Home 1st Goal
45%
3.00
4%
3.10
Away 1st Goal
51%
1.44
4%
1.48
No 1st Goal
5%
10.008.50
6%
BTTS - Yes
53%
1.951.91
2%
BTTS - No
47%
1.801.80
BTTS - Home Win
14%
13.00
8%
10.00
5%
BTTS - Draw
19%
5.50
10%
5.00
BTTS - Away Win
20%
3.603.40
3%
Home/draw
56%
2.382.30
2%
Away/draw
70%
1.11
2%
1.13
1%
Home/away
74%
1.251.25
Over 1.5 Goals
74%
1.291.29
Under 1.5 Goals
26%
3.753.40
Over 3.5 Goals
27%
3.403.10
Under 3.5 Goals
73%
1.331.33
Over 4.5 Goals
13%
6.005.75
Under 4.5 Goals
87%
1.131.11
Over 5.5 Goals
5%
13.0011.00
Under 5.5 Goals
95%
1.041.03
Over 0.5 Goals
93%
1.061.05
Under 0.5 Goals
7%
10.009.00
Home DNB
48%
5.00
11%
4.20
5%
Away DNB
62%
1.17
1%
1.20
Leeds win to nil
16%
11.00
10%
-
Arsenal win to nil
24%
2.50-
Leeds / Leeds
8%
11.008.50
6%
Leeds / Arsenal
4%
23.0019.00
Leeds / Draw
5%
19.0015.00
Draw / Leeds
7%
13.00
8%
11.00
10%
Draw / Arsenal
19%
4.33
4%
4.33
2%
Draw / Draw
15%
6.005.00
5%
Arsenal / Leeds
2%
41.0034.00
Arsenal / Arsenal
34%
2.38
1%
2.38
Arsenal / Draw
5%
17.00
13%
13.00
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Win / draw / win Premier League table

Leeds have played 22 matches so far this season and are in 16th position in the league.

Performance against teams above them in the league

18 of those games have come against teams above them in the table. They have lost 7 games, drawn 7 and won 4. Leeds have conceded 30 goals, scored 24, failed to score in 5 matches and kept 4 clean sheets.

Home league performance

Leeds have played 11 games at home, winning 5, drawing 4 and losing 2 fixtures. They have scored 19 goals, conceded 13 goals, kept 3 clean sheets and failed to score 1 time in home league games.

Arsenal lay in 1st place on 50 points in the Premier League league table having played 22 matches.

Performance against teams below them in the league

They have played 22 games against teams below them in the table, winning 15, drawing 5 and losing 2 games. They have scored 40 goals and kept 11 clean sheets against lower placed opposition. Arsenal have conceded 14 goals and have failed to score in 3 matches.

Away league performance

Arsenal have played 11 away games, winning 6, drawing 3 and losing 2 games. They have scored an average of 1.3 goals per away game and conceded an average 0.8 goals per away game.

Won
Draw
Lost
Leeds
Arsenal
Results by League Table
TEAM PLD W D L GD PTS HOME AWAY HOME AWAY
1
Arsenal2215522650 
Jan 31
l
 
5-0A
-
-
2
Man City2213452443 
Feb 28
l
 
3-2A
d
 
1-1A
Apr 18
3
A Villa221345843 
l
 
1-2F
Feb 21
w
 
4-1F
l
 
2-1A
4
Liverpool221066436 
d
 
3-3A
d
 
0-00-0
d
 
0-00-0
l
 
1-0A
5
Man Utd22985635 
d
 
1-1F
Apr 11
Jan 25
w
 
0-1F
6
Chelsea229761234 
w
 
3-1F
Feb 10
Mar 1
d
 
1-1A
7
Brentford221039533 
Mar 21
d
 
1-1A
w
 
2-0F
Feb 12
8
Newcastle22967533 
d
 
0-00-0
l
 
4-3F
Apr 25
w
 
1-2A
9
Sunderland22895033 
Mar 3
d
 
1-1A
Feb 7
d
 
2-2A
10
Everton22958-132 
w
 
1-0F
Jan 26
Mar 15
w
 
0-1F
11
Fulham22949-131 
w
 
1-0F
l
 
1-0A
May 2
w
 
0-1F
12
Brighton22796330 
May 17
l
 
3-0A
w
 
2-1F
Mar 4
13
C Palace22778-228 
w
 
4-1F
Mar 14
w
 
1-0F
May 24
14
Spurs22769227 
l
 
1-2A
May 9
w
 
4-1F
Feb 22
15
Bournemouth22697-627 
d
 
2-2A
Apr 25
Apr 11
w
 
2-3A
16
Leeds22679-725 
-
-
w
 
5-0F
Jan 31
17
Nottm Forest226412-1322 
Feb 6
l
 
3-1F
w
 
3-0F
d
 
0-00-0
18
West Ham224513-2017 
w
 
2-1F
May 24
w
 
2-0F
May 9
19
Burnley223514-1914 
May 2
l
 
2-0A
May 17
w
 
0-2F
20
Wolves221516-268 
Apr 18
w
 
1-3A
w
 
2-1F
Mar 21
Win / draw / win form
5
Leeds have not lost in 5 consecutive home league games
Leeds 16TH
20 league games
Home
5
Overall
Goals: Scored
47
Conceded
18
Games: Scored
19 / 20
Conceded
12 / 20
Clean sheets
8 / 20
Failed to score
1 / 20
Won
12
Draw
6
L
2
HOME FORM Win / Draw / Win
Leeds1 - 0Fulham
Leeds1 - 1Man Utd
Leeds4 - 1C Palace
Leeds3 - 3Liverpool
Leeds3 - 1Chelsea
Leeds1 - 2A Villa
Leeds2 - 1West Ham
Leeds1 - 2Spurs
Leeds2 - 2Bournemouth
Leeds0 - 0Newcastle
Leeds1 - 0Everton
Leeds4 - 0Bristol C
Leeds6 - 0Stoke
Leeds2 - 1Preston
Leeds2 - 2Swansea
Leeds2 - 0Millwall
Leeds1 - 1West Brom
Leeds2 - 1Sunderland
Leeds7 - 0Cardiff
Leeds2 - 0Norwich
Goals: Scored
29
Conceded
32
Games: Scored
15 / 20
Conceded
17 / 20
Clean sheets
3 / 20
Failed to score
5 / 20
Won
5
Draw
7
Lost
8
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
HLeeds1 - 0Fulham
ALeeds3 - 4Newcastle
HLeeds1 - 1Man Utd
ALeeds0 - 0Liverpool
ALeeds1 - 1Sunderland
HLeeds4 - 1C Palace
ALeeds1 - 1Brentford
HLeeds3 - 3Liverpool
HLeeds3 - 1Chelsea
ALeeds2 - 3Man City
HLeeds1 - 2A Villa
ALeeds1 - 3Nottm Forest
ALeeds0 - 3Brighton
HLeeds2 - 1West Ham
ALeeds0 - 2Burnley
HLeeds1 - 2Spurs
HLeeds2 - 2Bournemouth
ALeeds3 - 1Wolves
ALeeds0 - 1Fulham
HLeeds0 - 0Newcastle
Arsenal 1ST
20 league games
Away
Overall
Goals: Scored
28
Conceded
15
Games: Scored
17 / 20
Conceded
11 / 20
Clean sheets
9 / 20
Failed to score
3 / 20
Won
10
Draw
8
L
2
AWAY FORM Win / Draw / Win
Nottm Forest0 - 0Arsenal
Bournemouth2 - 3Arsenal
Everton0 - 1Arsenal
A Villa2 - 1Arsenal
Chelsea1 - 1Arsenal
Sunderland2 - 2Arsenal
Burnley0 - 2Arsenal
Fulham0 - 1Arsenal
Newcastle1 - 2Arsenal
Liverpool1 - 0Arsenal
Man Utd0 - 1Arsenal
Southampton1 - 2Arsenal
Liverpool2 - 2Arsenal
Ipswich0 - 4Arsenal
Everton1 - 1Arsenal
Man Utd1 - 1Arsenal
Nottm Forest0 - 0Arsenal
Leicester0 - 2Arsenal
Wolves0 - 1Arsenal
Brighton1 - 1Arsenal
Goals: Scored
34
Conceded
14
Games: Scored
17 / 20
Conceded
11 / 20
Clean sheets
9 / 20
Failed to score
3 / 20
Won
13
Draw
5
L
2
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
AArsenal0 - 0Nottm Forest
HArsenal0 - 0Liverpool
AArsenal3 - 2Bournemouth
HArsenal4 - 1A Villa
HArsenal2 - 1Brighton
AArsenal1 - 0Everton
HArsenal2 - 1Wolves
AArsenal1 - 2A Villa
HArsenal2 - 0Brentford
AArsenal1 - 1Chelsea
HArsenal4 - 1Spurs
AArsenal2 - 2Sunderland
AArsenal2 - 0Burnley
HArsenal1 - 0C Palace
AArsenal1 - 0Fulham
HArsenal2 - 0West Ham
AArsenal2 - 1Newcastle
HArsenal1 - 1Man City
HArsenal3 - 0Nottm Forest
AArsenal0 - 1Liverpool
Win / draw / win head to head (H2H)
6
Arsenal have beaten Leeds in 6 consecutive league meetings
9
Arsenal have not lost to Leeds in 9 consecutive league meetings
League games at Leeds since 1992
Leeds
Arsenal
Goals: Scored
13
23
Games: Scored
10 / 15
9 / 15
Clean sheets
6 / 15
5 / 15
LEE
5
D
4
ARS
6
FIXTURE HISTORY AT Leeds
0 - 1Arsenal
1 - 4Arsenal
Draw0 - 0Draw
1 - 4Arsenal
1 - 4Arsenal
Draw1 - 1Draw
Leeds1 - 0
0 - 4Arsenal
Leeds1 - 0
Draw1 - 1Draw
Draw0 - 0Draw
0 - 3Arsenal
Leeds1 - 0
Leeds2 - 1
Leeds3 - 0
League games at Arsenal since 1993
Arsenal
Leeds
Goals: Scored
40
17
Games: Scored
15 / 16
11 / 16
Clean sheets
5 / 16
1 / 16
LEE
3
D
1
ARS
12
FIXTURE HISTORY AT Arsenal
Arsenal5 - 0
Arsenal4 - 1
Arsenal2 - 1
Arsenal4 - 2
Arsenal5 - 0
2 - 3Leeds
1 - 2Leeds
Arsenal2 - 1
Arsenal2 - 0
Arsenal3 - 1
Arsenal2 - 1
Arsenal3 - 0
Arsenal2 - 1
1 - 3Leeds
Arsenal2 - 1
Draw0 - 0Draw
Goal Statistics

Arsenal's defensive record is to be admired, M. Arteta's men having conceded 1 or less in 6 consecutive English Premier League outings. An underwhelming PG rating of 1.2 for Leeds United makes sense in this context.

Arsenal have been consistent in attack of late, finding the net in 7 consecutive English Premier League matches. Their PG of 1.5 against Leeds United on Saturday suggests that run is likely to continue.

Leeds 16th Arsenal 1st
Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction
1.2
goals
1.5
goals
Scoring probability
Scoring probability
0
31%
1
36%
2
21%
3
8%
4+
There is a 67% probability that Leeds will score no more than 1 goal
0
23%
1
34%
2
25%
3
12%
4+
There is a 77% probability that Arsenal will score 1 or more goals
 
20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games
+41
Leeds have scored 41% more goals at home than predicted
-12
Arsenal have scored 12% fewer goals when away than predicted
2.4
average goals scored
1.4
average goals scored
0.9
conceded
0.8
conceded
 
Attack defence ratings
Premier League - 2025/2026 season
Leeds
PG (predicted goals)
Arsenal
1.2
1.5
Attack rating
LEE
ARS
23%
better
view stats
Games scored16
19
Failed to score6
3
Scored first9
13
Goals scored30
40
Avg. goals scored1.4
1.8
Avg. shots per game10
11
Avg. shots per goal7
6
Conversion rate for14
17
Avg. XG for1.6
2
KickOff rating
+23%
Defence rating
LEE
ARS
45%
better
view stats
Games conceded18
11
Clean sheets4
11
Conceded first11
7
Goals conceded37
14
Avg. goals conceded1.7
0.6
Avg. shots/game conceded9
5
Avg. shots/goal conceded5
8
Conversion rate against20%
13%
Avg. XG against1.5
0.9
KickOff rating
+45%

Leeds v Arsenal Premier League lLine ups will show here when available.

Leeds Premier League squad statistics 2025/2026
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
21937
G Gudmundsson D Calvert-LewinB AaronsonE Ampadu
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
G Gudmundsson  DEF22
2
-
B Aaronson MID2143
1
-
J Rodon DEF202
1
-
J Bogle  DEF202
4
-
P Struijk DEF201
3
-
D Calvert-Lewin FWD2091
1
-
A Stach MID1932
2
-
A Tanaka MID192
1
-
E Ampadu MID1911
7
-
N Okafor FWD192
2
-
L Nmecha  FWD195
-
L Perri GLK16
2
-
J Justin  DEF13
1
-
I Gruev MID131
1
-
W Gnonto FWD131
2
-
J Bijol DEF1211
1
-
S Longstaff MID1212
1
-
D James FWD10
-
J Piroe FWD10
-
K Darlow GLK6
-
S Bornauw DEF6
-
S Byram DEF1
-
Arsenal Premier League squad statistics 2025/2026
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
22545
D RayaV GyökeresL TrossardR Calafiori
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
D Raya GLK22
1
-
M Zubimendi MID2231
4
-
J Timber DEF2123
3
-
D Rice MID2143
1
-
M Merino MID2033
1
-
V Gyökeres FWD205
3
-
B Saka FWD2043
1
-
W Saliba DEF18
-
L Trossard FWD1854
1
-
G Martinelli FWD171
2
-
R Calafiori DEF1612
5
-
G Magalhães DEF1632
1
-
E Eze MID1642
-
M Ødegaard MID1613
-
M. Lewis-Skelly DEF14
3
-
N Madueke FWD13
-
P Hincapié DEF12
2
-
C Mosquera DEF10
1
-
G Jesus  FWD71
1
-
B White DEF61
-
C Nörgaard MID3
-
M. Dowman FWD2
-
K Havertz FWD1
-