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Leeds United v Manchester United : Premier League match betting preview, prediction and odds

Sun 4th Jan, 12:30 BST, Elland Road, Leeds

Manchester United are on the road on Sunday lunch time, as manager Ruben Filipe Marques Amorim takes his team to visit Leeds United and Daniel Farke at the Elland Road in the English Premier League. All of the key statistics for the encounter, including head to heads (H2Hs), predictions and odds from leading bookmakers across seventeen major markets are covered in this preview. It's all designed to help you make a well informed, intelligent bet.


Want to know who’s consistently beating the odds? Check out the Top Premier League Tipsters and see the most profitable experts for this season!

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Best Tip: Both teams to score

Here we have a pair of impressive, attacking teams going head-to-head and, as such, we are predicting both of them to score at least 1 goal during the 90 minutes. Can respective managers Daniel Farke or Ruben Filipe Marques Amorim find a tactical plan to top their opponent? Recent form stats and historical head-to-heads, as well as the latest odds from the bookmakers, do not suggest so.

In-Play
Win / Draw / Win
Over / Under 1.5 Goals
Over / Under 2.5 Goals
Over / Under 3.5 Goals
Win To Nil
Both Teams To Score
Correct Score
Both Teams To Score & Result
Double Chance
Half Time / Full Time
Over / Under 0.5 Goals
Over / Under 4.5 Goals
Over / Under 5.5 Goals
Draw No Bet
Team To Score First
If you’re looking for a winner in this match, we think Leeds are the most likely. Our predictive algorithm gives them a 43% chance of victory, and the bookies have them at a best price of 2.70.

Checkout the hundreds of tips picked but our top win/draw/win tipsters

Change odds
Predictions Add Bet365 Coral
Leeds
43%
13/817/10
Draw
24%
23/1012/5
Man Utd
33%
8/56/4
Draw 1-1
11%
6/111/2
Leeds 2-1
9%
10/18/1
Man Utd 2-1
8%
10/18/1
Leeds 1-0
7%
10/18/1
Draw 2-2
6%
14/110/1
Man Utd 1-0
6%
9/18/1
Leeds 2-0
6%
14/111/1
Leeds 3-1
5%
22/116/1
Man Utd 2-0
5%
14/111/1
Draw 0-0
4%
10/19/1
Man Utd 3-1
4%
22/116/1
Leeds 3-2
4%
28/122/1
Leeds 3-0
3%
28/120/1
Man Utd 3-2
3%
28/120/1
Man Utd 3-0
2%
28/118/1
Over 2.5 Goals
60%
10/114/5
Under 2.5 Goals
40%
10/1110/11
Home 1st Goal
50%
20/211/1
Away 1st Goal
47%
20/2119/20
No 1st Goal
2%
10/117/2
BTTS - Yes
62%
4/64/6
BTTS - No
38%
11/1011/10
BTTS - Home Win
24%
4/118/5
BTTS - Draw
19%
10/316/5
BTTS - Away Win
19%
4/17/2
Home/draw
67%
1/21/2
Away/draw
57%
4/94/9
Home/away
76%
1/33/10
Over 1.5 Goals
82%
2/71/4
Under 1.5 Goals
18%
11/413/5
Over 3.5 Goals
38%
11/52/1
Under 3.5 Goals
62%
4/117/20
Over 4.5 Goals
21%
5/119/4
Under 4.5 Goals
79%
1/81/8
Over 5.5 Goals
10%
12/110/1
Under 5.5 Goals
90%
1/251/33
Over 0.5 Goals
96%
1/201/25
Under 0.5 Goals
4%
10/19/1
Home DNB
59%
5/610/11
Away DNB
50%
5/64/5
Leeds win to nil
19%
4/1-
Man Utd win to nil
14%
7/2-
Leeds / Leeds
20%
10/33/1
Leeds / Man Utd
3%
28/120/1
Leeds / Draw
6%
14/110/1
Draw / Leeds
13%
11/211/2
Draw / Man Utd
13%
11/25/1
Draw / Draw
16%
9/24/1
Man Utd / Leeds
3%
28/120/1
Man Utd / Man Utd
20%
10/314/5
Man Utd / Draw
6%
14/110/1
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Win / draw / win Premier League table

Leeds have played 18 matches so far this season and are in 16th position in the league.

Performance against teams above them in the league

14 of those games have come against teams above them in the table. They have lost 6 games, drawn 5 and won 3. Leeds have conceded 25 goals, scored 19, failed to score in 4 matches and kept 2 clean sheets.

Home league performance

Leeds have played 9 games at home, winning 4, drawing 3 and losing 2 fixtures. They have scored 17 goals, conceded 12 goals, kept 2 clean sheets and failed to score 1 time in home league games.

Man Utd lay in 6th place on 30 points in the Premier League league table having played 19 matches.

Performance against teams below them in the league

They have played 14 games against teams below them in the table, winning 6, drawing 6 and losing 2 games. They have scored 28 goals and kept 2 clean sheets against lower placed opposition. Man Utd have conceded 21 goals and have failed to score in 1 match.

Away league performance

Man Utd have played 9 away games, winning 3, drawing 3 and losing 3 games. They have scored an average of 1.7 goals per away game and conceded an average 1.8 goals per away game.

Won
Draw
Lost
Leeds
Man Utd
Results by League Table
TEAM PLD W D L GD PTS HOME AWAY HOME AWAY
1
Arsenal1914322545 
Jan 31
l
 
5-0A
l
 
0-1A
Jan 25
2
Man City1813142640 
Feb 28
l
 
3-2A
Jan 17
l
 
3-0A
3
A Villa191234739 
l
 
1-2F
Feb 21
Mar 14
l
 
2-1F
4
Liverpool181026432 
d
 
3-3A
Jan 1
May 2
w
 
1-2F
5
Chelsea198651130 
w
 
3-1F
Feb 10
w
 
2-1F
Apr 18
6
Man Utd19865430 
Jan 4
Apr 11
-
-
7
Sunderland18774228 
Mar 4
d
 
1-1A
w
 
2-0F
May 9
8
Everton19847028 
w
 
1-0F
Jan 26
l
 
0-1A
Feb 23
9
Newcastle19757226 
d
 
0-00-0
Jan 7
w
 
1-0F
Mar 4
10
Brentford18828226 
Mar 21
d
 
1-1A
Apr 25
l
 
3-1A
11
C Palace18756126 
w
 
4-1F
Mar 14
Feb 28
w
 
1-2A
12
Fulham18828-126 
Jan 17
l
 
1-0A
Feb 1
d
 
1-1F
13
Spurs18747425 
l
 
1-2A
May 9
Feb 7
d
 
2-2F
14
Brighton19676125 
May 17
l
 
3-0A
w
 
4-2F
May 24
15
Bournemouth19586-623 
d
 
2-2A
Apr 25
d
 
4-4F
Mar 21
16
Leeds18558-720 
-
-
Apr 11
Jan 4
17
Nottm Forest195311-1218 
Feb 6
l
 
3-1F
May 17
d
 
2-2F
18
West Ham193511-1714 
w
 
2-1F
May 24
d
 
1-1F
Feb 10
19
Burnley193313-1712 
May 2
l
 
2-0A
w
 
3-2F
Jan 7
20
Wolves190316-293 
Apr 18
w
 
1-3A
d
 
1-1F
w
 
1-4F
Win / draw / win form
Leeds 16TH
20 league games
Home
Overall
Goals: Scored
49
Conceded
18
Games: Scored
19 / 20
Conceded
12 / 20
Clean sheets
8 / 20
Failed to score
1 / 20
Won
12
Draw
6
L
2
HOME FORM Win / Draw / Win
Leeds4 - 1C Palace
Leeds3 - 3Liverpool
Leeds3 - 1Chelsea
Leeds1 - 2A Villa
Leeds2 - 1West Ham
Leeds1 - 2Spurs
Leeds2 - 2Bournemouth
Leeds0 - 0Newcastle
Leeds1 - 0Everton
Leeds4 - 0Bristol C
Leeds6 - 0Stoke
Leeds2 - 1Preston
Leeds2 - 2Swansea
Leeds2 - 0Millwall
Leeds1 - 1West Brom
Leeds2 - 1Sunderland
Leeds7 - 0Cardiff
Leeds2 - 0Norwich
Leeds3 - 0Sheff Wed
Leeds1 - 1Blackburn
Goals: Scored
31
Conceded
33
Games: Scored
15 / 20
Conceded
17 / 20
Clean sheets
3 / 20
Failed to score
5 / 20
Won
7
Draw
5
Lost
8
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
ALeeds1 - 1Sunderland
HLeeds4 - 1C Palace
ALeeds1 - 1Brentford
HLeeds3 - 3Liverpool
HLeeds3 - 1Chelsea
ALeeds2 - 3Man City
HLeeds1 - 2A Villa
ALeeds1 - 3Nottm Forest
ALeeds0 - 3Brighton
HLeeds2 - 1West Ham
ALeeds0 - 2Burnley
HLeeds1 - 2Spurs
HLeeds2 - 2Bournemouth
ALeeds3 - 1Wolves
ALeeds0 - 1Fulham
HLeeds0 - 0Newcastle
ALeeds0 - 5Arsenal
HLeeds1 - 0Everton
ALeeds2 - 1Plymouth
HLeeds4 - 0Bristol C
Man Utd 6TH
20 league games
Away
Overall
Goals: Scored
28
Conceded
34
Games: Scored
15 / 20
Conceded
18 / 20
Clean sheets
2 / 20
Failed to score
5 / 20
Won
5
Draw
6
Lost
9
AWAY FORM Win / Draw / Win
A Villa2 - 1Man Utd
Wolves1 - 4Man Utd
C Palace1 - 2Man Utd
Spurs2 - 2Man Utd
Nottm Forest2 - 2Man Utd
Liverpool1 - 2Man Utd
Brentford3 - 1Man Utd
Man City3 - 0Man Utd
Fulham1 - 1Man Utd
Chelsea1 - 0Man Utd
Brentford4 - 3Man Utd
Bournemouth1 - 1Man Utd
Newcastle4 - 1Man Utd
Nottm Forest1 - 0Man Utd
Leicester0 - 3Man Utd
Everton2 - 2Man Utd
Spurs1 - 0Man Utd
Fulham0 - 1Man Utd
Liverpool2 - 2Man Utd
Wolves2 - 0Man Utd
Goals: Scored
35
Conceded
29
Games: Scored
17 / 20
Conceded
17 / 20
Clean sheets
3 / 20
Failed to score
3 / 20
Won
9
Draw
6
Lost
5
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
HMan Utd1 - 1Wolves
HMan Utd1 - 0Newcastle
AMan Utd1 - 2A Villa
HMan Utd4 - 4Bournemouth
AMan Utd4 - 1Wolves
HMan Utd1 - 1West Ham
AMan Utd2 - 1C Palace
HMan Utd0 - 1Everton
AMan Utd2 - 2Spurs
AMan Utd2 - 2Nottm Forest
HMan Utd4 - 2Brighton
AMan Utd2 - 1Liverpool
HMan Utd2 - 0Sunderland
AMan Utd1 - 3Brentford
HMan Utd2 - 1Chelsea
AMan Utd0 - 3Man City
HMan Utd3 - 2Burnley
AMan Utd1 - 1Fulham
HMan Utd0 - 1Arsenal
HMan Utd2 - 0A Villa
Win / draw / win head to head (H2H)
9
Man Utd have not lost to Leeds in 9 consecutive league meetings
League games at Leeds since 1993
Leeds
Man Utd
Goals: Scored
14
22
Games: Scored
8 / 15
11 / 15
Clean sheets
4 / 15
7 / 15
LEE
4
D
4
MNU
7
FIXTURE HISTORY AT Leeds
0 - 2Man Utd
2 - 4Man Utd
Draw0 - 0Draw
0 - 1Man Utd
Leeds1 - 0
3 - 4Man Utd
Draw1 - 1Draw
0 - 1Man Utd
Draw1 - 1Draw
Leeds1 - 0
0 - 4Man Utd
Leeds3 - 1
Leeds2 - 1
0 - 2Man Utd
Draw0 - 0Draw
League games at Man Utd since 1992
Man Utd
Leeds
Goals: Scored
32
10
Games: Scored
13 / 15
7 / 15
Clean sheets
8 / 15
2 / 15
D
5
MNU
10
FIXTURE HISTORY AT Man Utd
Draw2 - 2Draw
Man Utd5 - 1
Man Utd6 - 2
Draw1 - 1Draw
Man Utd2 - 1
Draw1 - 1Draw
Man Utd3 - 0
Man Utd2 - 0
Man Utd3 - 2
Man Utd3 - 0
Man Utd1 - 0
Man Utd1 - 0
Draw0 - 0Draw
Draw0 - 0Draw
Man Utd2 - 0
Goal Statistics

Leeds United have been reliable in attack of late, finding the net in 8 consecutive English Premier League games. Their PG of 1.7 against Manchester United on Sunday suggests that run is likely to continue.

Leeds 16th Man Utd 6th
Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction
1.7
goals
1.5
goals
Scoring probability
Scoring probability
0
19%
1
31%
2
26%
3
15%
4+
9%
There is a 81% probability that Leeds will score 1 or more goals
0
23%
1
34%
2
25%
3
12%
4+
There is a 77% probability that Man Utd will score 1 or more goals
 
20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games
+44
Leeds have scored 44% more goals at home than predicted
+9
Man Utd’s goalscoring when away has been inline with predictions
2.5
average goals scored
1.4
average goals scored
0.9
conceded
1.7
conceded
 
Attack defence ratings
Premier League - 2025/2026 season
Leeds
PG (predicted goals)
Man Utd
1.7
1.5
Attack rating
LEE
MNU
21%
better
view stats
Games scored13
15
Failed to score5
3
Scored first6
13
Goals scored25
32
Avg. goals scored1.4
1.7
Avg. shots per game10
11
Avg. shots per goal7
7
Conversion rate for14
15
Avg. XG for1.7
2
KickOff rating
+21%
Defence rating
LEE
MNU
12%
better
view stats
Games conceded16
16
Clean sheets2
2
Conceded first11
5
Goals conceded32
28
Avg. goals conceded1.8
1.5
Avg. shots/game conceded8
8
Avg. shots/goal conceded5
5
Conversion rate against22%
19%
Avg. XG against1.4
1.4
KickOff rating
+12%

Leeds v Man Utd Premier League lLine ups will show here when available.

Leeds Premier League squad statistics 2025/2026
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
18834
J RodonD Calvert-LewinB AaronsonJ Bogle 
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
J Rodon DEF182
1
-
J Bogle  DEF182
4
-
G Gudmundsson  DEF18
2
-
B Aaronson MID1713
1
-
P Struijk DEF16
3
-
A Stach MID1632
2
-
E Ampadu MID161
4
-
D Calvert-Lewin FWD168
-
A Tanaka MID152
1
-
N Okafor FWD152
2
-
L Nmecha  FWD154
-
L Perri GLK13
2
-
S Longstaff MID1212
1
-
J Harrison FWD11
-
D James FWD10
-
W Gnonto FWD101
2
-
J Justin  DEF9
1
-
J Bijol DEF911
-
I Gruev MID9
1
-
J Piroe FWD9
-
K Darlow GLK5
-
S Bornauw DEF2
-
S Byram DEF1
-
Man Utd Premier League squad statistics 2025/2026
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
19677
L ShawB MbeumoB FernandesCasemiro
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
L Yoro DEF19
-
L Shaw DEF191
3
-
P. Chinazaekpere Dorgu DEF1812
4
-
D Dalot DEF1712
2
-
Casemiro MID1741
6
1
B Fernandes MID1757
2
-
M Cunha FWD1631
1
-
B Mbeumo FWD1661
3
-
M Mount  MID153
-
B Sesko FWD1521
1
-
A Diallo FWD1522
1
-
S Lammens GLK13
-
M Ligt DEF131
-
M Ugarte MID13
1
-
J Zirkzee FWD122
1
-
K Mainoo MID11
-
N Mazraoui  DEF9
1
-
A. Heaven DEF81
1
-
H Maguire DEF811
-
L Martínez  DEF7
-
A Bayındır GLK6
-
T Malacia DEF1
-
T Fredricson DEF1
-