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Leeds United v Newcastle United : Premier League match betting preview, prediction and odds

Sat 30th Aug, 17:30 BST, Elland Road, Leeds

Daniel Farke welcomes Eddie Howe to the Elland Road on Saturday evening, as their Leeds United and Newcastle United sides meet in the English Premier League. Our predictions are based on extensive statistical analysis of each side, across seventeen of the main betting markets. The data and the odds is designed to fit each market, and head-to-head stats are included across the board.


Want to know who’s consistently beating the odds? Check out the Top Premier League Tipsters and see the most profitable experts for this season!

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Best Tip: Over 1.5 goals

KickOff's predictive algorithm suggests there's a 79% chance of Leeds and Newcastle delivering a minimum of a couple of goals in this Premier League tie. Recent form stats and head-to-head (H2H) records are factored into that calculation , and the bookmakers like the look of it as a tip too. This over 1.5 goals tip is available at a best price of 1.22.

In-Play
Win / Draw / Win
Over / Under 1.5 Goals
Over / Under 2.5 Goals
Over / Under 3.5 Goals
Win To Nil
Both Teams To Score
Correct Score
Both Teams To Score & Result
Double Chance
Half Time / Full Time
Over / Under 0.5 Goals
Over / Under 4.5 Goals
Over / Under 5.5 Goals
Draw No Bet
Team To Score First

Checkout the hundreds of tips picked but our top win/draw/win tipsters

Change odds
Predictions Add Bet365 Coral
Leeds
29%
3.50-
Draw
24%
3.30-
Newcastle
46%
2.10-
Draw 1-1
11%
7.00-
Newcastle 2-1
9%
10.00-
Newcastle 1-0
9%
10.00-
Newcastle 2-0
7%
12.00-
Leeds 2-1
7%
13.00-
Leeds 1-0
7%
15.00-
Draw 2-2
6%
13.00-
Draw 0-0
6%
12.00-
Newcastle 3-1
5%
17.00-
Leeds 2-0
4%
21.00-
Newcastle 3-0
4%
21.00-
Newcastle 3-2
3%
26.00-
Leeds 3-1
3%
29.00-
Leeds 3-2
2%
34.00-
Newcastle 4-1
2%
41.00-
Over 2.5 Goals
55%
1.80-
Under 2.5 Goals
45%
2.00-
Home 1st Goal
46%
2.20-
Away 1st Goal
51%
1.73-
No 1st Goal
3%
12.00-
BTTS - Yes
58%
1.62-
BTTS - No
42%
2.20-
BTTS - Home Win
15%
6.00-
BTTS - Draw
19%
4.00-
BTTS - Away Win
23%
4.00-
Home/draw
54%
1.70-
Away/draw
71%
1.29-
Home/away
76%
1.33-
Over 1.5 Goals
78%
1.22-
Under 1.5 Goals
22%
4.33-
Over 3.5 Goals
33%
2.75-
Under 3.5 Goals
67%
1.44-
Over 4.5 Goals
17%
5.50-
Under 4.5 Goals
83%
1.14-
Over 5.5 Goals
7%
11.00-
Under 5.5 Goals
93%
1.05-
Over 0.5 Goals
94%
1.05-
Under 0.5 Goals
6%
11.00-
Home DNB
46%
2.50-
Away DNB
63%
1.50-
Leeds win to nil
14%
7.00-
Newcastle win to nil
23%
4.00-
Leeds / Leeds
16%
5.50-
Leeds / Newcastle
4%
23.00-
Leeds / Draw
7%
13.00-
Draw / Leeds
11%
8.00-
Draw / Newcastle
16%
5.50-
Draw / Draw
14%
6.00-
Newcastle / Leeds
3%
29.00-
Newcastle / Newcastle
25%
3.40-
Newcastle / Draw
6%
15.00-
Win / draw / win Premier League table
Won
Draw
Lost
Leeds
Newcastle
Results by League Table
TEAM PLD W D L GD PTS HOME AWAY HOME AWAY
1
Man City110043 
Feb 28
Nov 29
Nov 22
Feb 21
2
Spurs110033 
Oct 4
May 9
Dec 3
Feb 11
3
Sunderland110033 
Mar 4
Dec 27
Mar 21
Dec 13
4
Liverpool110023 
Dec 6
Dec 30
Aug 25
Jan 31
5
Nottm Forest110023 
Feb 7
Nov 8
Oct 4
May 9
6
Arsenal110013 
Jan 31
Aug 23
Sep 28
Apr 25
7
Leeds110013 
-
-
Jan 7
Aug 30
8
Fulham101001 
Jan 17
Sep 13
Oct 25
May 24
9
Brighton101001 
May 17
Nov 1
May 2
Oct 18
10
A Villa101001 
Nov 22
Feb 21
Jan 24
d
 
0-00-0
11
Chelsea101001 
Dec 3
Feb 11
Dec 20
Mar 14
12
Newcastle101001 
Aug 30
Jan 7
-
-
13
C Palace101001 
Dec 20
Mar 14
Jan 3
Apr 11
14
Everton1001-10 
w
 
1-0F
Jan 24
Feb 28
Nov 29
15
Man Utd1001-10 
Jan 3
Apr 11
Mar 4
Dec 27
16
Bournemouth1001-20 
Sep 27
Apr 25
Apr 18
Sep 20
17
Brentford1001-20 
Mar 21
Dec 13
Feb 7
Nov 8
18
Burnley1001-30 
May 2
Oct 18
Dec 6
Dec 30
19
West Ham1001-30 
Oct 25
May 24
May 17
Nov 1
20
Wolves1001-40 
Apr 18
Sep 20
Sep 13
Jan 17
Win / draw / win form
Leeds 7TH
20 league games
Home
Overall
Goals: Scored
54
Conceded
8
Games: Scored
20 / 20
Conceded
7 / 20
Clean sheets
13 / 20
Failed to score
0 / 20
Won
17
D
3
Goals: Scored
45
Conceded
11
Games: Scored
18 / 20
Conceded
9 / 20
Clean sheets
11 / 20
Failed to score
2 / 20
Won
14
Draw
5
L
1
Newcastle 12TH
20 league games
Away
Overall
Goals: Scored
28
Conceded
27
Games: Scored
15 / 20
Conceded
14 / 20
Clean sheets
6 / 20
Failed to score
5 / 20
Won
8
Draw
5
Lost
7
Goals: Scored
36
Conceded
26
Games: Scored
15 / 20
Conceded
13 / 20
Clean sheets
7 / 20
Failed to score
5 / 20
Won
11
D
2
Lost
7
Win / draw / win head to head (H2H)
League games at Leeds since 1994
Leeds
Newcastle
Goals: Scored
21
26
Games: Scored
8 / 15
14 / 15
Clean sheets
1 / 15
7 / 15
LEE
3
D
4
NEW
8
League games at Newcastle since 1993
Newcastle
Leeds
Goals: Scored
19
18
Games: Scored
12 / 15
12 / 15
Clean sheets
3 / 15
3 / 15
LEE
4
D
6
NEW
5
Goal Statistics

Leeds United's forwards have been superb of late, scoring 2 goals or more in 3 consecutive English Premier League outings. A PG of 2.1 suggests that run should continue on Saturday evening.

Leeds 7th Newcastle 12th
Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction
1.3
goals
1.6
goals
Scoring probability
Scoring probability
0
29%
1
36%
2
22%
3
9%
4+
There is a 65% probability that Leeds will score no more than 1 goal
0
19%
1
32%
2
26%
3
14%
4+
8%
There is a 81% probability that Newcastle will score 1 or more goals
 
20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games
+34
Leeds have scored 34% more goals at home than predicted
-11
Newcastle have scored 11% fewer goals when away than predicted
2.7
average goals scored
1.4
average goals scored
0.4
conceded
1.4
conceded
 
Attack defence ratings
Premier League - 2025/2026 season
Leeds
PG (predicted goals)
Newcastle
1.3
1.6
Attack rating
59%
better
LEE
NEW
view stats
Games scored1
0
Failed to score0
1
Scored first1
0
Goals scored1
0
Avg. goals scored1
0
Avg. shots per game10
9
Avg. shots per goal10
0
Conversion rate for10
0
Avg. XG for0
1.4
KickOff rating
+59%
Defence rating
LEE
NEW
4%
better
view stats
Games conceded0
0
Clean sheets1
1
Conceded first0
0
Goals conceded0
0
Avg. goals conceded0
0
Avg. shots/game conceded4
3
Avg. shots/goal conceded0
0
Conversion rate against0%
0%
Avg. XG against0
0.2
KickOff rating
+4%

Leeds v Newcastle Premier League lLine ups will show here when available.

Leeds Premier League squad statistics 2025/2026
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
1100
L PerriL Nmecha 
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
L Perri GLK1
-
J Rodon DEF1
-
J Bogle  DEF1
-
E Ampadu DEF1
-
P Struijk DEF1
-
G Gudmundsson  DEF1
-
S Longstaff MID1
-
A Stach MID1
-
D James MID1
-
A Tanaka MID1
-
B Aaronson MID1
-
I Gruev MID1
-
J Harrison FWD1
-
L Nmecha  FWD11
-
J Piroe FWD1
-
W Gnonto FWD1
-
Newcastle Premier League squad statistics 2025/2026
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
1001
N Pope Joelinton
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
N Pope  GLK1
-
K Trippier DEF1
-
F Schär DEF1
-
T Livramento  DEF1
-
D Burn DEF1
-
S Tonali MID1
-
Joelinton MID1
1
-
L Miley MID1
-
B Guimarães MID1
-
A Elanga FWD1
-
A Gordon FWD1
-
J Murphy FWD1
-
W Osula FWD1
-
H Barnes FWD1
-