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Leeds United v West Ham United : Premier League match betting preview, prediction and odds

Fri 24th Oct, 20:00 BST, Elland Road, Leeds

West Ham United are on the road on Friday night, as manager Nuno Herlander Simões Espírito Santo takes his men to visit Leeds United and Daniel Farke at the Elland Road in the English Premier League. The aim of this preview is, quite simply, to help you make the smartest bet possible. To this end, stats for every betting market have been published below, with head-to-head records and statistically significant form streaks highlighted. Odds are included as well.


Want to know who’s consistently beating the odds? Check out the Top Premier League Tipsters and see the most profitable experts for this season!

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Best Tip: Under 3.5 goals

We don't think there's a clear favourite to claim victory here, but what is clear is that the odds suggest it'll have 3 goals or less. Our statistical analysis says the same. Leeds and West Ham have served up a lot of under 3.5 goal games of late, and key performance statistics point towards an extension of that record. We feel confident predicting under 3.5 goals on Friday night, and the bookmakers have it priced at 1.30.

In-Play
Win / Draw / Win
Over / Under 1.5 Goals
Over / Under 2.5 Goals
Over / Under 3.5 Goals
Win To Nil
Both Teams To Score
Correct Score
Both Teams To Score & Result
Double Chance
Half Time / Full Time
Over / Under 0.5 Goals
Over / Under 4.5 Goals
Over / Under 5.5 Goals
Draw No Bet
Team To Score First
If you’re looking for a winner in this match, we think Leeds are the most likely. Our predictive algorithm gives them a 44% chance of victory, and the bookies have them at a best price of 2.00.

Checkout the hundreds of tips picked but our top win/draw/win tipsters

Change odds
Predictions Add Bet365 Coral
Leeds
44%
2.00
7%
-
Draw
27%
3.60-
West Ham
29%
3.50
13%
-
Draw 1-1
13%
7.50-
Leeds 1-0
13%
8.00-
West Ham 1-0
10%
11.00
10%
-
Draw 0-0
9%
10.00-
Leeds 2-1
9%
9.50
5%
-
Leeds 2-0
8%
10.00
9%
-
West Ham 2-1
7%
13.00
8%
-
West Ham 2-0
5%
21.00
24%
-
Draw 2-2
4%
17.00-
Leeds 3-1
4%
19.00
10%
-
Leeds 3-0
4%
19.00
17%
-
West Ham 3-1
2%
34.00
17%
-
Leeds 3-2
2%
29.00
15%
-
West Ham 3-0
2%
41.00-
West Ham 3-2
2%
41.00-
Over 2.5 Goals
42%
2.00-
Under 2.5 Goals
58%
1.80-
Home 1st Goal
50%
1.73
4%
-
Away 1st Goal
44%
2.30
5%
-
No 1st Goal
6%
10.00-
BTTS - Yes
48%
1.80-
BTTS - No
52%
1.95-
BTTS - Home Win
18%
4.33
9%
-
BTTS - Draw
18%
4.75-
BTTS - Away Win
12%
7.00
17%
-
Home/draw
72%
1.29
5%
-
Away/draw
56%
1.80
8%
-
Home/away
73%
1.29-
Over 1.5 Goals
69%
1.33-
Under 1.5 Goals
31%
3.40-
Over 3.5 Goals
22%
3.50
7%
-
Under 3.5 Goals
78%
1.30
1%
-
Over 4.5 Goals
9%
7.00-
Under 4.5 Goals
91%
1.10-
Over 5.5 Goals
3%
15.00-
Under 5.5 Goals
97%
1.03-
Over 0.5 Goals
91%
1.06-
Under 0.5 Goals
9%
10.00-
Home DNB
63%
1.50
7%
-
Away DNB
48%
2.50
14%
-
Leeds win to nil
27%
3.40
9%
-
West Ham win to nil
17%
6.00
9%
-
Leeds / Leeds
27%
3.25
13%
-
Leeds / West Ham
3%
34.00-
Leeds / Draw
6%
15.00-
Draw / Leeds
16%
5.50-
Draw / West Ham
11%
8.00
7%
-
Draw / Draw
16%
5.50-
West Ham / Leeds
3%
26.00-
West Ham / West Ham
13%
6.50
18%
-
West Ham / Draw
6%
15.00-
Win / draw / win Premier League table
Won
Draw
Lost
Leeds
West Ham
Results by League Table
TEAM PLD W D L GD PTS HOME AWAY HOME AWAY
1
Arsenal86111219 
Jan 31
l
 
5-0A
May 9
l
 
2-0A
2
Man City85121116 
Feb 28
Nov 29
Mar 14
Dec 20
3
Liverpool7502415 
Dec 6
Dec 30
Nov 30
Feb 28
4
Bournemouth8431315 
d
 
2-2A
Apr 25
Feb 21
Nov 22
5
Spurs7421814 
l
 
1-2A
May 9
l
 
0-3A
Jan 17
6
Chelsea8422714 
Dec 3
Feb 11
l
 
1-5F
Jan 31
7
Sunderland8422314 
Mar 4
Dec 27
Jan 24
l
 
3-0A
8
C Palace8341413 
Dec 20
Mar 14
l
 
1-2A
Apr 18
9
Brighton8332112 
May 17
Nov 1
Dec 30
Dec 6
10
Everton8323011 
w
 
1-0F
Jan 24
Apr 25
d
 
1-1A
11
Man Utd7313-210 
Jan 3
Apr 11
Feb 11
Dec 4
12
Newcastle823309 
d
 
0-00-0
Jan 7
Nov 1
May 17
13
A Villa7232-19 
Nov 23
Feb 21
Dec 13
Mar 21
14
Fulham8224-48 
Jan 17
l
 
1-0A
Dec 27
Mar 4
15
Leeds8224-68 
-
-
May 24
Oct 24
16
Brentford7214-37 
Mar 21
Dec 13
Oct 20
May 2
17
Burnley8215-67 
May 2
l
 
2-0A
Nov 8
Feb 7
18
Nottm Forest8125-105 
Feb 7
Nov 8
Jan 7
w
 
0-3F
19
West Ham7115-104 
Oct 24
May 24
-
-
20
Wolves8026-112 
Apr 18
w
 
1-3A
Apr 11
Jan 3
Win / draw / win form
Leeds 15TH
20 league games
Home
Overall
Goals: Scored
50
Conceded
11
Games: Scored
19 / 20
Conceded
8 / 20
Clean sheets
12 / 20
Failed to score
1 / 20
Won
14
Draw
5
L
1
Goals: Scored
31
Conceded
22
Games: Scored
15 / 20
Conceded
13 / 20
Clean sheets
7 / 20
Failed to score
5 / 20
Won
9
Draw
6
Lost
5
West Ham 19TH
20 league games
Away
Overall
Goals: Scored
23
Conceded
32
Games: Scored
16 / 20
Conceded
15 / 20
Clean sheets
5 / 20
Failed to score
4 / 20
Won
6
D
4
Lost
10
Goals: Scored
23
Conceded
31
Games: Scored
15 / 20
Conceded
16 / 20
Clean sheets
4 / 20
Failed to score
5 / 20
Won
5
Draw
5
Lost
10
Win / draw / win head to head (H2H)
League games at Leeds since 1993
Leeds
West Ham
Goals: Scored
25
12
Games: Scored
14 / 15
8 / 15
Clean sheets
7 / 15
1 / 15
LEE
9
D
3
WHU
3
League games at West Ham since 1993
West Ham
Leeds
Goals: Scored
18
23
Games: Scored
9 / 15
10 / 15
Clean sheets
5 / 15
6 / 15
LEE
7
D
5
WHU
3
Goal Statistics
Leeds 15th West Ham 19th
Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction
1.4
goals
1.0
goals
Scoring probability
Scoring probability
0
26%
1
35%
2
24%
3
11%
4+
There is a 61% probability that Leeds will score no more than 1 goal
0
36%
1
37%
2
19%
3
4+
There is a 73% probability that West Ham will score no more than 1 goal
 
20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games
+32
Leeds have scored 32% more goals at home than predicted
+7
West Ham’s goalscoring when away has been inline with predictions
2.5
average goals scored
1.2
average goals scored
0.6
conceded
1.6
conceded
 
Attack defence ratings
Premier League - 2025/2026 season
Leeds
PG (predicted goals)
West Ham
1.4
1
Attack rating
LEE
WHU
4%
better
view stats
Games scored4
4
Failed to score3
3
Scored first1
2
Goals scored7
6
Avg. goals scored0.9
0.9
Avg. shots per game7
7
Avg. shots per goal8
9
Conversion rate for12
12
Avg. XG for1.3
1.2
KickOff rating
+4%
Defence rating
24%
better
LEE
WHU
view stats
Games conceded5
6
Clean sheets2
1
Conceded first5
5
Goals conceded11
16
Avg. goals conceded1.4
2.3
Avg. shots/game conceded7
10
Avg. shots/goal conceded5
4
Conversion rate against20%
24%
Avg. XG against1.3
2.1
KickOff rating
+24%

Leeds v West Ham Premier League lLine ups will show here when available.

Leeds Premier League squad statistics 2025/2026
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
8212
G Gudmundsson N OkaforJ Bogle J Bogle 
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
G Gudmundsson  DEF8
1
-
J Rodon DEF81
-
J Bogle  DEF81
2
-
P Struijk DEF8
1
-
S Longstaff MID811
-
A Stach MID811
1
-
B Aaronson MID8
1
-
L Nmecha  FWD81
-
J Harrison FWD7
-
E Ampadu DEF6
2
-
A Tanaka MID6
-
D Calvert-Lewin FWD61
-
K Darlow GLK5
-
N Okafor FWD52
2
-
D James FWD5
-
I Gruev MID4
-
J Piroe FWD4
-
W Gnonto FWD4
1
-
L Perri GLK3
-
J Justin  DEF3
-
S Byram DEF1
-
West Ham Premier League squad statistics 2025/2026
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
7333
E DioufJ BowenE DioufM Kilman
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
E Diouf DEF73
1
-
M Kilman DEF7
3
-
L Paquetá MID72
2
-
J Bowen FWD73
-
K Walker-Peters DEF6
1
-
N Füllkrug FWD6
-
K Mavropanos DEF5
1
-
J Ward-Prowse MID5
-
M Fernandes MID5
-
C Wilson FWD51
-
C Summerville FWD51
1
-
M Hermansen GLK4
-
T Soucek MID4
1
A Irving MID4
-
S Magassa MID4
1
-
A Areola GLK3
-
A Wan-Bissaka DEF3
-
F Potts MID3
-
L Santos FWD3
-
J Todibo DEF2
-
Igor DEF1
-
G Rodríguez MID1
-
C Marshall FWD1
-