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Liverpool v Burnley : Premier League match betting preview, prediction and odds

Sat 17th Jan, 15:00 BST, Anfield, Liverpool

Liverpool are in English Premier League action on Saturday afternoon, as Arne Slot attempts to outsmart Scott Parker and his Burnley side at the Anfield. All stats, including 20-game form for both teams and head to head (H2H) history, will update as you browse each of the 17 major markets via the tabs below. Odds and, of course, our algorithmic predictions will too.


Want to know who’s consistently beating the odds? Check out the Top Premier League Tipsters and see the most profitable experts for this season!

If you’re keen on betting across various leagues and markets, our Live Bets page showcases active accumulator bets and real-time tips.

Best Tip: Liverpool to win

It looks like we could well have a dominant side in this fixture, and it's Liverpool. Their latest form statistics show what they've got in their locker on home turf, and historical head-to-head (H2H) data proves they know how to beat Burnley too. The odds point towards Arne Slot's side winning in the win / draw / win market, and that's our strong prediction for Saturday afternoon too.

In-Play
Win / Draw / Win
Over / Under 1.5 Goals
Over / Under 2.5 Goals
Over / Under 3.5 Goals
Win To Nil
Both Teams To Score
Correct Score
Both Teams To Score & Result
Double Chance
Half Time / Full Time
Over / Under 0.5 Goals
Over / Under 4.5 Goals
Over / Under 5.5 Goals
Draw No Bet
Team To Score First
If you’re looking for a winner in this match, we think Liverpool are the most likely. Our predictive algorithm gives them a 66% chance of victory, and the bookies have them at a best price of 1.25.

Checkout the hundreds of tips picked but our top win/draw/win tipsters

Change odds
Predictions Add Bet365 Coral
Liverpool
66%
1.221.25
Draw
19%
7.006.50
Burnley
15%
11.0011.00
Liverpool 2-0
10%
7.506.50
Liverpool 2-1
10%
10.009.00
Liverpool 1-0
9%
9.507.50
Draw 1-1
9%
15.0011.00
Liverpool 3-0
8%
8.007.50
Liverpool 3-1
7%
12.0010.00
Draw 2-2
5%
29.0019.00
Burnley 2-1
4%
34.0023.00
Liverpool 4-0
4%
12.0010.00
Liverpool 4-1
4%
17.0015.00
Draw 0-0
4%
21.0017.00
Burnley 1-0
4%
34.0021.00
Liverpool 3-2
4%
29.0023.00
Liverpool 4-2
2%
41.0029.00
Liverpool 5-0
2%
21.0015.00
Over 2.5 Goals
62%
1.501.50
Under 2.5 Goals
38%
2.632.50
Home 1st Goal
57%
1.251.25
Away 1st Goal
40%
3.754.33
No 1st Goal
3%
21.0015.00
BTTS - Yes
55%
2.002.05
BTTS - No
44%
1.751.70
BTTS - Home Win
32%
2.752.88
BTTS - Draw
15%
8.507.50
BTTS - Away Win
8%
19.0015.00
Home/draw
85%
1.041.05
Away/draw
34%
4.333.90
Home/away
81%
1.101.11
Over 1.5 Goals
83%
1.141.15
Under 1.5 Goals
17%
5.505.00
Over 3.5 Goals
40%
2.202.20
Under 3.5 Goals
60%
1.671.62
Over 4.5 Goals
22%
3.753.70
Under 4.5 Goals
78%
1.291.25
Over 5.5 Goals
11%
6.506.50
Under 5.5 Goals
89%
1.111.09
Over 0.5 Goals
96%
1.021.01
Under 0.5 Goals
4%
21.0015.00
Home DNB
79%
1.061.06
Away DNB
28%
10.008.00
Liverpool win to nil
34%
1.91-
Burnley win to nil
7%
19.00-
Liverpool / Liverpool
49%
1.671.67
Liverpool / Burnley
1%
67.0046.00
Liverpool / Draw
4%
21.0017.00
Draw / Liverpool
20%
4.004.20
Draw / Burnley
4%
29.0017.00
Draw / Draw
9%
10.009.00
Burnley / Liverpool
4%
21.0017.00
Burnley / Burnley
5%
23.0013.00
Burnley / Draw
4%
26.0017.00
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Win / draw / win Premier League table

Liverpool have played 20 matches so far this season and lay in 4th place in the Premier League league table.

Performance against teams below them in the league

They have played 17 games against teams below in the table, having won 8, drawn 4 and lost 5 matches. They have kept 4 clean sheets and have failed to score in 2 fixtures. Liverpool have outscored their opponents by 32 goals to 20 goals.

Home League Performance

Liverpool have played 10 games at home winning 6, drawing 2 and losing 2 games. They have scored 15 goals, kept 4 clean sheets and conceded 10 goals at home.

Burnley are in 19th position in the Premier League on 12 points having played 20 matches so far this season.

Away League Performance

8 of those games have been losing matches. They have conceded 26 goals and kept no clean sheets. They have scored 12 goals in total and failed to score in 2 fixtures.

Performance against teams above them in the league

19 games have come against teams above them in the table. They have lost 14 games, drawn 3 and won 2. Burnley have conceded 37 goals, scored 17, failed to score in 7 fixtures and have kept 3 clean sheets.

Won
Draw
Lost
Liverpool
Burnley
Results by League Table
TEAM PLD W D L GD PTS HOME AWAY HOME AWAY
1
Arsenal2015322648 
w
 
1-0F
Jan 8
l
 
0-2A
May 17
2
Man City2013342642 
Feb 8
l
 
3-0A
Apr 25
l
 
5-1A
3
A Villa201334942 
w
 
2-0F
May 17
May 9
l
 
2-1A
4
Liverpool201046434 
-
-
l
 
0-1A
Jan 17
5
Chelsea208751131 
May 9
l
 
2-1A
l
 
0-2A
Feb 21
6
Man Utd20875431 
l
 
1-2A
May 2
Jan 7
l
 
3-2A
7
Brentford20938430 
May 24
l
 
3-2A
Feb 28
l
 
3-1A
8
Sunderland20794230 
d
 
1-1A
Feb 11
w
 
2-0F
Feb 2
9
Newcastle20857429 
Jan 31
w
 
2-3F
l
 
1-3A
l
 
2-1A
10
Brighton20776328 
w
 
2-0F
Mar 21
Apr 11
l
 
2-0A
11
Fulham20848-128 
Apr 11
d
 
2-2A
l
 
2-3A
Mar 21
12
Everton20848-228 
w
 
2-1F
Apr 18
d
 
0-00-0
Mar 4
13
Spurs20767427 
Mar 14
w
 
1-2F
Jan 24
l
 
3-0A
14
C Palace20767-127 
Apr 25
l
 
2-1A
l
 
0-1A
Feb 11
15
Bournemouth20587-723 
w
 
4-2F
Jan 24
Mar 14
d
 
1-1A
16
Leeds20578-722 
d
 
0-00-0
d
 
3-3F
w
 
2-0F
May 2
17
Nottm Forest205312-1418 
l
 
0-3A
Feb 21
d
 
1-1A
Apr 18
18
West Ham203512-2014 
Feb 28
w
 
0-2F
Feb 7
l
 
3-2F
19
Burnley203314-1912 
Jan 17
w
 
0-1F
-
-
20
Wolves201316-266 
w
 
2-1F
Mar 4
May 24
w
 
2-3F
Win / draw / win form
5
Burnley have not won in 5 consecutive away league games
Liverpool 4TH
20 league games
Home
Overall
Goals: Scored
39
Conceded
20
Games: Scored
18 / 20
Conceded
14 / 20
Clean sheets
6 / 20
Failed to score
2 / 20
Won
13
Draw
5
L
2
HOME FORM Win / Draw / Win
Liverpool0 - 0Leeds
Liverpool2 - 1Wolves
Liverpool2 - 0Brighton
Liverpool1 - 1Sunderland
Liverpool0 - 3Nottm Forest
Liverpool2 - 0A Villa
Liverpool1 - 2Man Utd
Liverpool2 - 1Everton
Liverpool1 - 0Arsenal
Liverpool4 - 2Bournemouth
Liverpool1 - 1C Palace
Liverpool2 - 2Arsenal
Liverpool5 - 1Spurs
Liverpool2 - 1West Ham
Liverpool1 - 0Everton
Liverpool3 - 1Southampton
Liverpool2 - 0Newcastle
Liverpool2 - 1Wolves
Liverpool4 - 1Ipswich
Liverpool2 - 2Man Utd
Goals: Scored
32
Conceded
28
Games: Scored
17 / 20
Conceded
14 / 20
Clean sheets
6 / 20
Failed to score
3 / 20
Won
10
D
4
Lost
6
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
ALiverpool2 - 2Fulham
HLiverpool0 - 0Leeds
HLiverpool2 - 1Wolves
ALiverpool2 - 1Spurs
HLiverpool2 - 0Brighton
ALiverpool3 - 3Leeds
HLiverpool1 - 1Sunderland
ALiverpool2 - 0West Ham
HLiverpool0 - 3Nottm Forest
ALiverpool0 - 3Man City
HLiverpool2 - 0A Villa
ALiverpool2 - 3Brentford
HLiverpool1 - 2Man Utd
ALiverpool1 - 2Chelsea
ALiverpool1 - 2C Palace
HLiverpool2 - 1Everton
ALiverpool1 - 0Burnley
HLiverpool1 - 0Arsenal
ALiverpool3 - 2Newcastle
HLiverpool4 - 2Bournemouth
Burnley 19TH
20 league games
Away
5
Overall
Goals: Scored
31
Conceded
29
Games: Scored
15 / 20
Conceded
13 / 20
Clean sheets
7 / 20
Failed to score
5 / 20
Won
8
D
4
Lost
8
AWAY FORM Win / Draw / Win
Brighton2 - 0Burnley
Bournemouth1 - 1Burnley
Newcastle2 - 1Burnley
Brentford3 - 1Burnley
West Ham3 - 2Burnley
Wolves2 - 3Burnley
A Villa2 - 1Burnley
Man City5 - 1Burnley
Man Utd3 - 2Burnley
Spurs3 - 0Burnley
QPR0 - 5Burnley
Watford1 - 2Burnley
Derby0 - 0Burnley
Coventry1 - 2Burnley
Swansea0 - 2Burnley
Cardiff1 - 2Burnley
Preston0 - 0Burnley
Portsmouth0 - 0Burnley
Plymouth0 - 5Burnley
Blackburn0 - 1Burnley
Goals: Scored
20
Conceded
39
Games: Scored
13 / 20
Conceded
17 / 20
Clean sheets
3 / 20
Failed to score
7 / 20
W
3
D
3
Lost
14
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
ABurnley0 - 2Brighton
HBurnley1 - 3Newcastle
HBurnley0 - 0Everton
ABurnley1 - 1Bournemouth
HBurnley2 - 3Fulham
ABurnley1 - 2Newcastle
HBurnley0 - 1C Palace
ABurnley1 - 3Brentford
HBurnley0 - 2Chelsea
ABurnley2 - 3West Ham
HBurnley0 - 2Arsenal
ABurnley3 - 2Wolves
HBurnley2 - 0Leeds
ABurnley1 - 2A Villa
ABurnley1 - 5Man City
HBurnley1 - 1Nottm Forest
HBurnley0 - 1Liverpool
ABurnley2 - 3Man Utd
HBurnley2 - 0Sunderland
ABurnley0 - 3Spurs
Win / draw / win head to head (H2H)
6
Liverpool have beaten Burnley in 6 consecutive league meetings
6
Liverpool have not lost to Burnley in 6 consecutive league meetings
League games at Liverpool since 2009
Liverpool
Burnley
Goals: Scored
19
7
Games: Scored
8 / 9
6 / 9
Clean sheets
3 / 9
1 / 9
LIV
6
D
2
BRN
1
FIXTURE HISTORY AT Liverpool
Liverpool3 - 1
Liverpool2 - 0
0 - 1Burnley
Draw1 - 1Draw
Liverpool4 - 2
Draw1 - 1Draw
Liverpool2 - 1
Liverpool2 - 0
Liverpool4 - 0
League games at Burnley since 2010
Burnley
Liverpool
Goals: Scored
4
20
Games: Scored
3 / 10
9 / 10
Clean sheets
1 / 10
7 / 10
LIV
9
BRN
1
FIXTURE HISTORY AT Burnley
0 - 1Liverpool
0 - 2Liverpool
0 - 1Liverpool
0 - 3Liverpool
0 - 3Liverpool
1 - 3Liverpool
1 - 2Liverpool
Burnley2 - 0
0 - 1Liverpool
0 - 4Liverpool
Goal Statistics

A PG of 2.2 is fairly strong for Liverpool in their meeting with Burnley, as is their run of scoring 1 goal or more in 28 consecutive English Premier League outings.

Liverpool 4th Burnley 19th
Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction
2.2
goals
1.0
goals
Scoring probability
Scoring probability
0
11%
1
24%
2
27%
3
20%
4+
19%
There is a 65% probability that Liverpool will score 2 or more goals in this match
0
38%
1
37%
2
18%
3
4+
There is a 75% probability of Burnley scoring 1 goal or less
 
20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games
-3
Liverpool’s goalscoring at home has been inline with predictions
+30
Burnley have scored 30% more goals when away than predicted
2.0
average goals scored
1.6
average goals scored
1.0
conceded
1.5
conceded
 
Attack defence ratings
Premier League - 2025/2026 season
Liverpool
PG (predicted goals)
Burnley
2.2
1
Attack rating
32%
better
LIV
BRN
view stats
Games scored17
13
Failed to score3
7
Scored first11
4
Goals scored32
20
Avg. goals scored1.6
1
Avg. shots per game10
6
Avg. shots per goal6
6
Conversion rate for16
16
Avg. XG for1.7
0.9
KickOff rating
+32%
Defence rating
24%
better
LIV
BRN
view stats
Games conceded14
17
Clean sheets6
3
Conceded first8
15
Goals conceded28
39
Avg. goals conceded1.4
2
Avg. shots/game conceded8
12
Avg. shots/goal conceded6
6
Conversion rate against18%
17%
Avg. XG against1.1
2.2
KickOff rating
+24%

Liverpool v Burnley Premier League lLine ups will show here when available.

Liverpool Premier League squad statistics 2025/2026
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
20835
V Dijk H EkitikéC GakpoD Szoboszlai
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
V Dijk  DEF20
3
-
I Konaté DEF20
4
-
M Kerkez DEF191
3
-
F Wirtz MID1921
1
-
D Szoboszlai MID1921
5
-
A Mac Allister MID192
2
-
R Gravenberch MID1842
3
-
C Jones MID18
1
-
H Ekitiké FWD1882
-
C Gakpo FWD1853
1
-
Alisson GLK15
-
F Chiesa FWD1521
2
-
C Bradley DEF142
5
-
M Salah FWD1443
1
-
A Robertson DEF12
-
A Isak FWD1021
-
J Gomez DEF92
2
-
J Frimpong DEF82
-
R. Ngumoha FWD61
-
G Mamardashvili GLK5
-
W Endo MID51
1
-
T. Nyoni MID2
-
Burnley Premier League squad statistics 2025/2026
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
20547
M DúbravkaZ FlemmingQ HartmanK Walker
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
M Dúbravka GLK20
-
K Walker DEF191
7
-
L Ugochukwu MID193
1
1
J Anthony FWD1941
3
-
J Cullen MID1822
2
-
J Larsen  FWD181
-
M Estève DEF17
-
J Laurent MID171
3
-
Florentino MID161
3
-
L Tchaouna FWD161
1
-
Q Hartman DEF154
1
-
Z Flemming FWD1551
3
-
H Ekdal DEF14
-
A Broja  FWD1411
-
H Mejbri MID131
3
-
L Foster FWD1321
1
-
M Edwards FWD101
-
A Tuanzebe  DEF8
1
-
L Pires DEF6
1
J Worrall DEF6
-
O Sonne DEF61
-
B Humphreys DEF4
1
-
M Trésor MID4
-
A Barnes FWD2
-
J Banel FWD1
-