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Liverpool v Newcastle United : Premier League match betting preview, prediction and odds

Sat 31st Jan, 20:00 BST, Anfield, Liverpool

Arne Slot and Eddie Howe take on one another in the English Premier League on Saturday night, as Liverpool face Newcastle United at the Anfield. It's our aim to give you everything you need to make a smart bet on this encounter, so we've searched our expansive database and dug out the statistics that will help you do exactly that. Head to head (H2H) and recent form are included, and these are used to generate our predictions. Odds are there to ensure you get the best price.

Want to know who’s consistently beating the odds? Check out the Top Premier League Tipsters and see the most profitable experts for this season!

If you’re keen on betting across various leagues and markets, our Live Bets page showcases active accumulator bets and real-time tips.

Best Tip: Under 3.5 goals

It's our view that there's not a clear favourite to claim victory here, but does appear clear is that the odds suggest it'll have 3 goals or less. Our statistical analysis says the same. Liverpool and Newcastle have taken part in a lot of under 3.5 goal games lately, and key performance statistics point towards more of the same. We have confidence in predicting under 3.5 goals on Saturday night, and the bookies have it priced at 1.50.

If you’re looking for a winner in this match, we think Liverpool are the most likely. Our predictive algorithm gives them a 46% chance of victory, and the bookies have them at a best price of 1.85.

Checkout the hundreds of tips picked but our top win/draw/win tipsters

Predictions	Bet365	Coral
Liverpool 46%	1.80 2%	1.85
Draw 27%	4.00 8%	3.90
Newcastle 27%	4.00 3%	3.80
Draw 1-1 13%	8.50 6%	7.00
Liverpool 1-0 12%	10.00	8.50
Liverpool 2-1 9%	9.50	8.00
Newcastle 1-0 9%	17.00 13%	12.00
Liverpool 2-0 9%	11.00	9.50
Draw 0-0 9%	15.00	12.00
Newcastle 2-1 6%	15.00	12.00
Draw 2-2 5%	15.00	12.00
Newcastle 2-0 5%	26.00	17.00
Liverpool 3-1 4%	15.00	12.00
Liverpool 3-0 4%	17.00	13.00
Newcastle 3-1 2%	34.00	23.00
Liverpool 3-2 2%	23.00	19.00
Newcastle 3-2 2%	34.00	23.00
Newcastle 3-0 2%	51.00	29.00
Over 2.5 Goals 44%	1.62 3%	1.65
Under 2.5 Goals 56%	2.30 5%	2.15
Home 1st Goal 51%	1.62	1.62
Away 1st Goal 43%	2.38 3%	2.45
No 1st Goal 5%	15.00	12.00
BTTS - Yes 49%	1.62	1.65
BTTS - No 51%	2.20	2.15
BTTS - Home Win 19%	3.25 4%	3.40
BTTS - Draw 18%	4.75 6%	4.50
BTTS - Away Win 12%	6.50	6.00
Home/draw 73%	1.22 2%	1.25
Away/draw 54%	1.95 2%	1.91
Home/away 73%	1.22 5%	1.25
Over 1.5 Goals 70%	1.20	1.20
Under 1.5 Goals 30%	4.50	4.20
Over 3.5 Goals 23%	2.63	2.60
Under 3.5 Goals 77%	1.50	1.44
Over 4.5 Goals 10%	4.50	4.60
Under 4.5 Goals 90%	1.20	1.17
Over 5.5 Goals 4%	9.00 10%	8.50
Under 5.5 Goals 96%	1.07 1%	1.06
Over 0.5 Goals 91%	1.03	1.02
Under 0.5 Goals 9%	15.00	12.00
Home DNB 65%	1.36	1.40
Away DNB 46%	3.00	2.80
Liverpool win to nil 27%	3.50	-
Newcastle win to nil 15%	8.00	-
Liverpool / Liverpool 29%	2.88 4%	2.75
Liverpool / Newcastle 3%	34.00	23.00
Liverpool / Draw 6%	15.00	12.00
Draw / Liverpool 16%	5.00 9%	5.00
Draw / Newcastle 9%	9.50 6%	8.50
Draw / Draw 13%	6.50	5.75
Newcastle / Liverpool 4%	21.00	17.00
Newcastle / Newcastle 13%	7.00 8%	5.75
Newcastle / Draw 6%	15.00	12.00

Win / draw / win Premier League table

Liverpool have played 22 matches so far this season and lay in 4th place in the Premier League league table.

Performance against teams below them in the league

They have played 18 games against teams below in the table, having won 8, drawn 5 and lost 5 matches. They have kept 4 clean sheets and have failed to score in 2 fixtures. Liverpool have outscored their opponents by 33 goals to 32 goals.

Home League Performance

Liverpool have played 11 games at home winning 6, drawing 3 and losing 2 games. They have scored 16 goals, kept 4 clean sheets and conceded 11 goals at home.

Newcastle are in 8th position in the Premier League on 33 points having played 22 matches so far this season.

Away League Performance

5 of those games have been losing matches. They have conceded 12 goals and kept 4 clean sheets. They have scored 10 goals in total and failed to score in 6 fixtures.

Performance against teams above them in the league

7 games have come against teams above them in the table. They have lost 4 games, drawn 2 and won 1. Newcastle have conceded 12 goals, scored 8, failed to score in 2 fixtures and have kept 1 clean sheet.

BTTS yes BTTS no BTTS yes BTTS no Won Draw Lost Won Draw Lost Won Draw Lost Won Draw Lost Won Draw Lost Won Draw Lost Won Draw Lost Over 0.5 Under 0.5 Over 1.5 Under 1.5 Over 2.5 Under 2.5 Over 3.5 Under 3.5 Over 4.5 Under 4.5 Over 5.5 Under 5.5 For 0-0 Against Won Draw Lost	Liverpool Newcastle
Results by League Table

	TEAM	PLD	W	D	L	GD	PTS	HOME	AWAY	HOME	AWAY
1	Arsenal	22	15	5	2	26	50	w 1-0F	d 0-00-0	l 1-2F	Apr 25
2	Man City	22	13	4	5	24	43	Feb 8	l 3-0A	w 2-1F	Feb 21
3	A Villa	22	13	4	5	8	43	w 2-0F	May 17	Jan 25	d 0-00-0
4	Liverpool	22	10	6	6	4	36	-	-	l 2-3A	Jan 31
5	Man Utd	22	9	8	5	6	35	l 1-2A	May 2	Mar 4	l 1-0A
6	Chelsea	22	9	7	6	12	34	May 9	l 2-1A	d 2-2F	Mar 14
7	Brentford	22	10	3	9	5	33	May 24	l 3-2A	Feb 7	l 3-1F
8	Newcastle	22	9	6	7	5	33	Jan 31	w 2-3F	-	-
9	Sunderland	22	8	9	5	0	33	d 1-1A	Feb 11	Mar 22	l 1-0A
10	Everton	22	9	5	8	-1	32	w 2-1F	Apr 18	Feb 28	w 1-4F
11	Fulham	22	9	4	9	-1	31	Apr 11	d 2-2A	w 2-1F	May 24
12	Brighton	22	7	9	6	3	30	w 2-0F	Mar 21	May 2	l 2-1A
13	C Palace	22	7	7	8	-2	28	Apr 25	l 2-1A	w 2-0F	Apr 11
14	Spurs	22	7	6	9	2	27	Mar 15	w 1-2F	d 2-2F	Feb 10
15	Bournemouth	22	6	9	7	-6	27	w 4-2F	Jan 24	Apr 18	d 0-00-0
16	Leeds	22	6	7	9	-7	25	d 0-00-0	d 3-3F	w 4-3A	d 0-00-0
17	Nottm Forest	22	6	4	12	-13	22	l 0-3A	Feb 21	w 2-0F	May 9
18	West Ham	22	4	5	13	-20	17	Feb 28	w 0-2F	May 17	l 3-1F
19	Burnley	22	3	5	14	-19	14	d 1-1F	w 0-1F	w 2-1F	w 1-3F
20	Wolves	22	1	5	16	-26	8	w 2-1F	Mar 3	w 1-0F	d 0-00-0

	UEFA Champions League
	UEFA Europa League
	Relegation

Win / draw / win form

Liverpool have not lost in 5 consecutive home league games

Home

Overall

Goals: Scored

Conceded

Games: Scored

18 / 20

Conceded

14 / 20

Clean sheets

6 / 20

Failed to score

2 / 20

Won

Draw

HOME FORM Win / Draw / Win
Liverpool	1 - 1	Burnley
Liverpool	0 - 0	Leeds
Liverpool	2 - 1	Wolves
Liverpool	2 - 0	Brighton
Liverpool	1 - 1	Sunderland
Liverpool	0 - 3	Nottm Forest
Liverpool	2 - 0	A Villa
Liverpool	1 - 2	Man Utd
Liverpool	2 - 1	Everton
Liverpool	1 - 0	Arsenal
Liverpool	4 - 2	Bournemouth
Liverpool	1 - 1	C Palace
Liverpool	2 - 2	Arsenal
Liverpool	5 - 1	Spurs
Liverpool	2 - 1	West Ham
Liverpool	1 - 0	Everton
Liverpool	3 - 1	Southampton
Liverpool	2 - 0	Newcastle
Liverpool	2 - 1	Wolves
Liverpool	4 - 1	Ipswich

Goals: Scored

Conceded

Games: Scored

16 / 20

Conceded

13 / 20

Clean sheets

7 / 20

Failed to score

4 / 20

Won

Draw

Lost

OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
H	Liverpool	1 - 1	Burnley
A	Liverpool	0 - 0	Arsenal
A	Liverpool	2 - 2	Fulham
H	Liverpool	0 - 0	Leeds
H	Liverpool	2 - 1	Wolves
A	Liverpool	2 - 1	Spurs
H	Liverpool	2 - 0	Brighton
A	Liverpool	3 - 3	Leeds
H	Liverpool	1 - 1	Sunderland
A	Liverpool	2 - 0	West Ham
H	Liverpool	0 - 3	Nottm Forest
A	Liverpool	0 - 3	Man City
H	Liverpool	2 - 0	A Villa
A	Liverpool	2 - 3	Brentford
H	Liverpool	1 - 2	Man Utd
A	Liverpool	1 - 2	Chelsea
A	Liverpool	1 - 2	C Palace
H	Liverpool	2 - 1	Everton
A	Liverpool	1 - 0	Burnley
H	Liverpool	1 - 0	Arsenal

Away

Overall

Goals: Scored

Conceded

Games: Scored

11 / 20

Conceded

14 / 20

Clean sheets

6 / 20

Failed to score

9 / 20

Won

Draw

Lost

AWAY FORM Win / Draw / Win
Wolves	0 - 0	Newcastle
Burnley	1 - 3	Newcastle
Man Utd	1 - 0	Newcastle
Sunderland	1 - 0	Newcastle
Everton	1 - 4	Newcastle
Brentford	3 - 1	Newcastle
West Ham	3 - 1	Newcastle
Brighton	2 - 1	Newcastle
Bournemouth	0 - 0	Newcastle
Leeds	0 - 0	Newcastle
A Villa	0 - 0	Newcastle
Arsenal	1 - 0	Newcastle
Brighton	1 - 1	Newcastle
A Villa	4 - 1	Newcastle
Leicester	0 - 3	Newcastle
West Ham	0 - 1	Newcastle
Liverpool	2 - 0	Newcastle
Man City	4 - 0	Newcastle
Southampton	1 - 3	Newcastle
Spurs	1 - 2	Newcastle

Goals: Scored

Conceded

Games: Scored

15 / 20

Conceded

14 / 20

Clean sheets

6 / 20

Failed to score

5 / 20

Won

Draw

Lost

OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
A	Newcastle	0 - 0	Wolves
H	Newcastle	4 - 3	Leeds
H	Newcastle	2 - 0	C Palace
A	Newcastle	3 - 1	Burnley
A	Newcastle	0 - 1	Man Utd
H	Newcastle	2 - 2	Chelsea
A	Newcastle	0 - 1	Sunderland
H	Newcastle	2 - 1	Burnley
H	Newcastle	2 - 2	Spurs
A	Newcastle	4 - 1	Everton
H	Newcastle	2 - 1	Man City
A	Newcastle	1 - 3	Brentford
A	Newcastle	1 - 3	West Ham
H	Newcastle	2 - 1	Fulham
A	Newcastle	1 - 2	Brighton
H	Newcastle	2 - 0	Nottm Forest
H	Newcastle	1 - 2	Arsenal
A	Newcastle	0 - 0	Bournemouth
H	Newcastle	1 - 0	Wolves
A	Newcastle	0 - 0	Leeds

Win / draw / win head to head (H2H)

Liverpool have beaten Newcastle in 4 consecutive home league meetings

Liverpool have not lost to Newcastle in 29 consecutive home league meetings

Liverpool

Newcastle

Goals: Scored

Games: Scored

29 / 30

17 / 30

Clean sheets

13 / 30

1 / 30

LIV

NEW

FIXTURE HISTORY AT Liverpool
Liverpool	2 - 0
Liverpool	4 - 2
Liverpool	2 - 1
Liverpool	3 - 1
Draw	1 - 1	Draw
Liverpool	3 - 1
Liverpool	4 - 0
Liverpool	2 - 0
Draw	2 - 2	Draw
Liverpool	2 - 0
Liverpool	2 - 1
Draw	1 - 1	Draw
Liverpool	3 - 1
Liverpool	3 - 0
Liverpool	3 - 0
Liverpool	3 - 0
Liverpool	2 - 0
Liverpool	2 - 0
Liverpool	3 - 1
Draw	1 - 1	Draw
Draw	2 - 2	Draw
Liverpool	3 - 0
Liverpool	3 - 0
Liverpool	2 - 1
Liverpool	4 - 2
Liverpool	1 - 0
Liverpool	4 - 3
Liverpool	4 - 3
Liverpool	2 - 0
	0 - 2	Newcastle

Newcastle

Liverpool

Goals: Scored

Games: Scored

25 / 31

24 / 31

Clean sheets

7 / 31

6 / 31

LIV

NEW

FIXTURE HISTORY AT Newcastle
	2 - 3	Liverpool
Draw	3 - 3	Draw
	1 - 2	Liverpool
	0 - 2	Liverpool
	0 - 1	Liverpool
Draw	0 - 0	Draw
	1 - 3	Liverpool
	2 - 3	Liverpool
Draw	1 - 1	Draw
Newcastle	2 - 0
Newcastle	1 - 0
Draw	2 - 2	Draw
	0 - 6	Liverpool
Newcastle	2 - 0
Newcastle	3 - 1
	1 - 5	Liverpool
	0 - 3	Liverpool
Newcastle	2 - 1
	1 - 3	Liverpool
Newcastle	1 - 0
Draw	1 - 1	Draw
Newcastle	1 - 0
	0 - 2	Liverpool
Newcastle	2 - 1
Draw	2 - 2	Draw
	1 - 4	Liverpool
	1 - 2	Liverpool
Draw	1 - 1	Draw
Newcastle	2 - 1
Draw	1 - 1	Draw
Newcastle	3 - 0

Goal Statistics

	Liverpool 4th	Newcastle 9th
	Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction	1.4 goals	1.0 goals
	Scoring probability
Scoring probability	0 24% 1 34% 2 24% 3 12% 4+ There is a 76% probability that Liverpool will score 1 or more goals	0 36% 1 37% 2 19% 3 4+ There is a 73% probability that Newcastle will score no more than 1 goal

	20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games	-7 Liverpool’s goalscoring at home has been inline with predictions	-30 Newcastle have scored 30% fewer goals when away than predicted
	1.9 average goals scored	1.1 average goals scored
	1.0 conceded	1.3 conceded

Attack defence ratings
Premier League - 2025/2026 season

better

LIV

NEW

view stats

Games scored	18		16
Failed to score	4		6
Scored first	12		13
Goals scored	33		32
Avg. goals scored	1.5		1.5
Avg. shots per game	10		9
Avg. shots per goal	7		6
Conversion rate for	15		16
Avg. XG for	1.7		1.6
KickOff rating		+4%

LIV

NEW

better

view stats

Games conceded	15		15
Clean sheets	7		7
Conceded first	8		5
Goals conceded	29		27
Avg. goals conceded	1.3		1.2
Avg. shots/game conceded	8		8
Avg. shots/goal conceded	6		6
Conversion rate against	18%		16%
Avg. XG against	1.1		1.2
KickOff rating		+8%

Liverpool v Newcastle Premier League lLine ups will show here when available.

Liverpool Premier League squad statistics 2025/2026

Overall

Attack

Defence

Most starts	Most goals	Most assists	Most cards
22	8	3	5
V Dijk	H Ekitiké	C Gakpo	I Konaté

Players	Appserances	goals	Assists	cards
V Dijk DEF	22			3 -
I Konaté DEF	22			5 -
M Kerkez DEF	21	1		4 -
D Szoboszlai MID	21	2	1	5 -
A Mac Allister MID	21		2	3 -
F Wirtz MID	21	3	1	1 -
R Gravenberch MID	20	4	2	3 -
C Gakpo FWD	20	5	3	1 -
C Jones MID	19		1	1 -
H Ekitiké FWD	19	8	2	-
Alisson GLK	17			-
F Chiesa FWD	16	2	1	2 -
C Bradley DEF	15		2	5 -
M Salah FWD	14	4	3	1 -
A Robertson DEF	13			-
J Frimpong DEF	10		2	-
J Gomez DEF	10		2	2 -
A Isak FWD	10	2	1	-
R. Ngumoha FWD	7	1		-
G Mamardashvili GLK	5			-
W Endo MID	5		1	1 -
T. Nyoni MID	2			-

Most goals	Most shots on target	Most assists	Most big chances
8	13	3	7
H Ekitiké	D Szoboszlai	C Gakpo	C Gakpo

Players	goals	shots on	Assists	big chances
H Ekitiké FWD	8	13	2	2
C Gakpo FWD	5	12	3	7
R Gravenberch MID	4	8	2	3
M Salah FWD	4	11	3	6
F Wirtz MID	3	12	1	2
D Szoboszlai MID	2	13	1	4
F Chiesa FWD	2	2	1	2
A Isak FWD	2	4	1	1
M Kerkez DEF	1	1		2
R. Ngumoha FWD	1	1
V Dijk DEF		4
I Konaté DEF		2		2
A Mac Allister MID		7	2	2
C Jones MID		4	1	3
C Bradley DEF			2	3
A Robertson DEF		1		2
J Frimpong DEF		1	2	2
J Gomez DEF			2	2
W Endo MID			1

Most passes	Most tackles	Most duels won
1777	35	144
V Dijk	M Kerkez	I Konaté

Players	passes	tackles	duels won
V Dijk DEF	1777	14	138
I Konaté DEF	1373	31	144
D Szoboszlai MID	1284	29	72
R Gravenberch MID	1245	33	95
C Jones MID	943	20	56
F Wirtz MID	917	24	73
A Mac Allister MID	775	22	55
M Kerkez DEF	755	35	83
Alisson GLK	528		5
C Bradley DEF	492	19	61
C Gakpo FWD	447	11	87
M Salah FWD	406	5	34
A Robertson DEF	334	10	23
H Ekitiké FWD	273	7	61
J Frimpong DEF	206	3	25
G Mamardashvili GLK	169		3
J Gomez DEF	118	1	6
F Chiesa FWD	84	8	17
A Isak FWD	66	6	12
R. Ngumoha FWD	40	1	7
W Endo MID	28	4	7
T. Nyoni MID	2

Newcastle Premier League squad statistics 2025/2026

Overall

Attack

Defence

Most starts	Most goals	Most assists	Most cards
20	8	3	5
B Guimarães	B Guimarães	B Guimarães	D Burn

Players	Appserances	goals	Assists	cards
S Tonali MID	22		1	3 -
B Guimarães MID	21	8	3	4 -
H Barnes FWD	21	5		-
M Thiaw DEF	19	3		3 -
N Woltemade FWD	19	7	2	-
Joelinton MID	18	2		4 -
L Miley MID	18	1	3	-
A Elanga FWD	18		1	-
J Murphy FWD	18	2	1	-
A Gordon FWD	17	2	1	2 1
N Pope GLK	16			1 -
F Schär DEF	16			1 -
L Hall DEF	15		1	1 -
D Burn DEF	15		2	4 1
T Livramento DEF	13		1	1 -
S Botman DEF	12		1	1 -
J Ramsey MID	12			2 -
J Willock MID	11			1 -
K Trippier DEF	10			1 -
W Osula FWD	10	1		-
Y Wissa FWD	8	1	1	1 -
A Ramsdale GLK	7			-
J Lascelles DEF	2			-
E Krafth DEF	1			-

Most goals	Most shots on target	Most assists	Most big chances
8	16	3	8
B Guimarães	B Guimarães	B Guimarães	J Murphy

Players	goals	shots on	Assists	big chances
B Guimarães MID	8	16	3	5
N Woltemade FWD	7	13	2	2
H Barnes FWD	5	15		3
M Thiaw DEF	3	6		1
Joelinton MID	2	9		2
J Murphy FWD	2	10	1	8
A Gordon FWD	2	10	1	4
L Miley MID	1	3	3	2
W Osula FWD	1	3
Y Wissa FWD	1	3	1	1
S Tonali MID		5	1	3
A Elanga FWD		3	1	1
F Schär DEF		4
L Hall DEF		2	1	4
D Burn DEF			2
T Livramento DEF		1	1	1
S Botman DEF		2	1	2
J Ramsey MID		1
J Willock MID		1		1

Most passes	Most tackles	Most duels won
1083	45	114
B Guimarães	B Guimarães	B Guimarães

Players	passes	tackles	duels won
B Guimarães MID	1083	45	114
M Thiaw DEF	949	22	92
S Tonali MID	907	17	63
F Schär DEF	791	14	66
L Hall DEF	625	28	87
D Burn DEF	614	19	85
L Miley MID	608	21	58
Joelinton MID	560	28	92
K Trippier DEF	557	11	32
T Livramento DEF	521	19	44
S Botman DEF	509	6	39
A Gordon FWD	352	12	63
N Pope GLK	344	1	12
J Murphy FWD	312	7	33
H Barnes FWD	296	8	34
J Ramsey MID	278	11	31
A Elanga FWD	245	6	27
N Woltemade FWD	220	15	68
A Ramsdale GLK	187		2
J Willock MID	109	10	15
Y Wissa FWD	42	2	8
W Osula FWD	26	1	10
E Krafth DEF	19
J Lascelles DEF	8		1