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Manchester City v Aston Villa : Premier League match betting preview, prediction and odds

Etihad Stadium, Manchester

It's a long trek for Unai Emery's Aston Villa side on Tuesday night, as they travel to the Etihad Stadium for a English Premier League meeting with Pep Guardiola's Manchester City. Quite simply, we want you to win betting on this game. To this end, statistics for seventeen major betting market have been published below, with head to head (H2H) history and statistically significant form streaks highlighted. Odds from leading bookmakers are provided too.

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Manchester City's next match is v Wolves at 20:00 on Friday 2nd May
Aston Villa's next match is v Fulham at 12:30 on Saturday 3rd May
The last English Premier League meeting between Man City and A Villa was on Tuesday 22nd April 2025
English Premier League
April 22nd 2025
Man City 2
1 A Villa
 
B. Silva 7'18' M. Rashford
M. Nunes 90'
 
MCI
AVL
Shots On
6
3
Shots Off
6
3
Corners
10
2
Possession
61%
39%
Fouls
7
9
Yellow/red cards
3/0
3/0
 
Man CityA Villa
 
S. Ortega Moreno
R. Santos Gato Alves Dias
J. Gvardiol
K. De Bruyne (M. Akanji 90')
İ. Gündoğan
B. Silvafootball icon
M. Nunesfootball icon
N. O'Reilly
M. Kovačić
J. Mcatee (J. Doku 74')
O. Marmoush
D. Martínez
(A. Disasi 61') M. Cash
L. Digne
P. Francisco Torres
E. Konsa Ngoyo
Y. Tielemans
(M. Asensio Willemsen 76') A. Mvom Onana
(D. Malen 86') M. Rogers
(J. McGinn 61') J. Ramsey
B. Kamara
(O. Watkins 76') football iconM. Rashford

Want to know who’s consistently beating the odds? Check out the Top Premier League Tipsters and see the most profitable experts for this season!

If you’re keen on betting across various leagues and markets, our Live Bets page showcases active accumulator bets and real-time tips.

Best Tip: Over 2.5 goals

As loyal fans of A Villa ready themselves for this clash, they have reason to expect some real entertainment. After reviewing the relevant statistics and past head-to-head (H2H) fixture history, it looks as though over 2.5 goals will be a bet worth taking, as both sides know they way to goal and either could ultimately get the win. The prediction and odds are aligned: over 2.5 goals is a smart bet.

In-Play
Win / Draw / Win
Over / Under 1.5 Goals
Over / Under 2.5 Goals
Over / Under 3.5 Goals
Win To Nil
Both Teams To Score
Correct Score
Both Teams To Score & Result
Double Chance
Half Time / Full Time
Over / Under 0.5 Goals
Over / Under 4.5 Goals
Over / Under 5.5 Goals
Draw No Bet
Team To Score First
If you’re looking for a winner in this match, we think Man City are the most likely. Our predictive algorithm gives them a 55% chance of victory, and the bookies have them at a best price of 1.75.

Checkout the hundreds of tips picked but our top win/draw/win tipsters

Change odds
Predictions Add Bet365 Coral
Man City
55%
17/20
7%
-
Draw
22%
29/10
3%
-
A Villa
23%
11/4
11%
-
Draw 1-1
10%
15/2-
Man City 2-1
10%
17/2
6%
-
Man City 1-0
8%
10/1-
Man City 2-0
8%
11/1
9%
-
Man City 3-1
6%
14/1-
A Villa 2-1
6%
14/1-
Draw 2-2
6%
12/1
13%
-
Man City 3-0
5%
18/1
12%
-
A Villa 1-0
5%
16/1-
Draw 0-0
4%
16/1-
Man City 3-2
4%
20/1
9%
-
Man City 4-1
3%
28/1
12%
-
A Villa 2-0
3%
22/1
12%
-
Man City 4-0
3%
33/1
17%
-
A Villa 3-1
2%
28/1
15%
-
Over 2.5 Goals
62%
8/13
3%
-
Under 2.5 Goals
38%
13/10
3%
-
Home 1st Goal
54%
8/15
2%
-
Away 1st Goal
44%
6/4
5%
-
No 1st Goal
3%
16/1-
BTTS - Yes
60%
8/15
3%
-
BTTS - No
40%
11/8
6%
-
BTTS - Home Win
30%
9/4
2%
-
BTTS - Draw
18%
7/2
5%
-
BTTS - Away Win
13%
5/1
8%
-
Home/draw
77%
1/4
2%
-
Away/draw
45%
10/11
7%
-
Home/away
78%
1/4
2%
-
Over 1.5 Goals
83%
1/5
3%
-
Under 1.5 Goals
17%
7/2
10%
-
Over 3.5 Goals
40%
6/4-
Under 3.5 Goals
60%
8/15-
Over 4.5 Goals
22%
7/2
4%
-
Under 4.5 Goals
78%
1/5
2%
-
Over 5.5 Goals
10%
7/1-
Under 5.5 Goals
90%
1/12-
Over 0.5 Goals
96%
1/33
1%
-
Under 0.5 Goals
4%
14/1
12%
-
Home DNB
71%
2/5
5%
-
Away DNB
38%
7/4
15%
-
Man City win to nil
26%
11/4
7%
-
A Villa win to nil
10%
7/1
11%
-
Man City / Man City
28%
2/1
9%
-
Man City / A Villa
3%
28/1
15%
-
Man City / Draw
6%
14/1-
Draw / Man City
16%
9/2
10%
-
Draw / A Villa
10%
8/1
10%
-
Draw / Draw
13%
11/2
7%
-
A Villa / Man City
4%
20/1-
A Villa / A Villa
14%
11/2
7%
-
A Villa / Draw
6%
14/1-
Match Predictor Pro
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Win / draw / win Premier League table

Man City have played 33 matches so far this season and lay in 5th place in the Premier League league table.

Performance against teams below them in the league

They have played 25 games against teams below in the table, having won 14, drawn 6 and lost 5 matches. They have kept 8 clean sheets and have failed to score in 3 fixtures. Man City have outscored their opponents by 64 goals to 53 goals.

Home League Performance

Man City have played 16 games at home winning 9, drawing 4 and losing 3 games. They have scored 36 goals, kept 4 clean sheets and conceded 21 goals at home.

A Villa are in 7th position in the Premier League on 57 points having played 33 matches so far this season.

Away League Performance

7 of those games have been losing matches. They have conceded 27 goals and kept 4 clean sheets. They have scored 22 goals in total and failed to score in 4 fixtures.

Performance against teams above them in the league

11 games have come against teams above them in the table. They have lost 5 games, drawn 2 and won 4. A Villa have conceded 20 goals, scored 15, failed to score in 4 fixtures and have kept no clean sheets.

Won
Draw
Lost
Man City
A Villa
Results by League Table
TEAM PLD W D L GD PTS HOME AWAY HOME AWAY
1
Liverpool3425724882 
l
 
0-2A
l
 
2-0A
d
 
2-2A
l
 
2-0A
2
Arsenal34181333467 
d
 
2-2F
l
 
5-1A
l
 
0-2A
d
 
2-2A
3
Newcastle34195102162 
w
 
4-0F
d
 
1-1F
w
 
4-1F
l
 
3-0A
4
Man City Home3418792361 
-
-
w
 
2-1F
l
 
2-1A
5
Chelsea3417981960 
w
 
3-1A
w
 
0-2F
w
 
2-1A
l
 
3-0A
6
Nottm Forest3318691460 
w
 
3-0F
l
 
1-0A
w
 
2-1F
l
 
2-1F
7
A Villa Away341699557 
w
 
2-1F
l
 
2-1A
-
-
8
Fulham3414911451 
w
 
3-2A
May 25
May 3
w
 
1-3A
9
Brighton3413129151 
d
 
2-2F
l
 
2-1F
d
 
2-2A
w
 
0-3F
10
Bournemouth341311101250 
May 18
l
 
2-1A
d
 
1-1F
May 10
11
Brentford3313713646 
w
 
2-1A
d
 
2-2F
w
 
3-1F
w
 
0-1F
12
C Palace34111211-445 
w
 
5-2A
d
 
2-2A
d
 
2-2A
l
 
4-1A
13
Wolves3412517-1041 
May 2
w
 
1-2A
w
 
3-1A
l
 
2-0A
14
Man Utd3410915-839 
l
 
1-2F
d
 
0-00-0
d
 
0-00-0
May 25
15
Everton3481412-738 
d
 
1-1F
w
 
0-2F
w
 
3-2A
w
 
0-1F
16
Spurs3411419637 
l
 
0-4A
w
 
0-1F
May 18
l
 
4-1F
17
West Ham349916-1936 
w
 
4-1F
w
 
1-3F
d
 
1-1F
w
 
1-2F
18
Ipswich344921-4121 
w
 
4-1A
w
 
0-6F
d
 
1-1A
d
 
2-2A
19
Leicester344624-4918 
w
 
2-0F
w
 
0-2F
w
 
2-1F
w
 
1-2F
20
Southampton342527-5511 
w
 
1-0F
May 10
w
 
1-0F
w
 
0-3F
Win / draw / win form
Man City 4TH
20 league games
Home
Overall
Goals: Scored
53
Conceded
25
Games: Scored
17 / 20
Conceded
16 / 20
Clean sheets
4 / 20
Failed to score
3 / 20
Won
13
D
4
L
3
HOME FORM Win / Draw / Win
Man City5 - 2C Palace
Man City2 - 0Leicester
Man City2 - 2Brighton
Man City0 - 2Liverpool
Man City4 - 0Newcastle
Man City3 - 1Chelsea
Man City4 - 1West Ham
Man City1 - 1Everton
Man City1 - 2Man Utd
Man City3 - 0Nottm Forest
Man City0 - 4Spurs
Man City1 - 0Southampton
Man City3 - 2Fulham
Man City2 - 2Arsenal
Man City2 - 1Brentford
Man City4 - 1Ipswich
Man City3 - 1West Ham
Man City5 - 1Wolves
Man City5 - 1Luton
Man City4 - 1A Villa
Goals: Scored
42
Conceded
23
Games: Scored
17 / 20
Conceded
12 / 20
Clean sheets
8 / 20
Failed to score
3 / 20
Won
10
Draw
5
Lost
5
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
AMan City2 - 0Everton
HMan City5 - 2C Palace
AMan City0 - 0Man Utd
HMan City2 - 0Leicester
HMan City2 - 2Brighton
AMan City0 - 1Nottm Forest
AMan City1 - 0Spurs
HMan City0 - 2Liverpool
HMan City4 - 0Newcastle
AMan City1 - 5Arsenal
HMan City3 - 1Chelsea
AMan City6 - 0Ipswich
AMan City2 - 2Brentford
HMan City4 - 1West Ham
AMan City2 - 0Leicester
HMan City1 - 1Everton
AMan City1 - 2A Villa
HMan City1 - 2Man Utd
AMan City2 - 2C Palace
HMan City3 - 0Nottm Forest
A Villa 7TH
20 league games
Away
Overall
Goals: Scored
25
Conceded
37
Games: Scored
14 / 20
Conceded
15 / 20
Clean sheets
5 / 20
Failed to score
6 / 20
Won
8
D
2
Lost
10
AWAY FORM Win / Draw / Win
Southampton0 - 3A Villa
Brighton0 - 3A Villa
Brentford0 - 1A Villa
C Palace4 - 1A Villa
Wolves2 - 0A Villa
Arsenal2 - 2A Villa
Everton0 - 1A Villa
Newcastle3 - 0A Villa
Nottm Forest2 - 1A Villa
Chelsea3 - 0A Villa
Liverpool2 - 0A Villa
Spurs4 - 1A Villa
Fulham1 - 3A Villa
Ipswich2 - 2A Villa
Leicester1 - 2A Villa
West Ham1 - 2A Villa
C Palace5 - 0A Villa
Brighton1 - 0A Villa
Arsenal0 - 2A Villa
Man City4 - 1A Villa
Goals: Scored
34
Conceded
25
Games: Scored
18 / 20
Conceded
15 / 20
Clean sheets
5 / 20
Failed to score
2 / 20
Won
11
Draw
5
L
4
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
HA Villa4 - 1Newcastle
AA Villa3 - 0Southampton
HA Villa2 - 1Nottm Forest
AA Villa3 - 0Brighton
AA Villa1 - 0Brentford
AA Villa1 - 4C Palace
HA Villa2 - 1Chelsea
HA Villa2 - 2Liverpool
HA Villa1 - 1Ipswich
AA Villa0 - 2Wolves
HA Villa1 - 1West Ham
AA Villa2 - 2Arsenal
AA Villa1 - 0Everton
HA Villa2 - 1Leicester
HA Villa2 - 2Brighton
AA Villa0 - 3Newcastle
HA Villa2 - 1Man City
AA Villa1 - 2Nottm Forest
HA Villa1 - 0Southampton
HA Villa3 - 1Brentford
Win / draw / win head to head (H2H)
14
Man City have beaten A Villa in 14 consecutive home league meetings
14
Man City have not lost to A Villa in 14 consecutive home league meetings
League games at Man City since 1992
Man City
A Villa
Goals: Scored
65
19
Games: Scored
23 / 24
13 / 24
Clean sheets
11 / 24
1 / 24
MCI
20
D
2
AVL
2
FIXTURE HISTORY AT Man City
Man City4 - 1
Man City3 - 1
Man City3 - 2
Man City2 - 0
Man City3 - 0
Man City4 - 0
Man City3 - 2
Man City4 - 0
Man City5 - 0
Man City4 - 1
Man City4 - 0
Man City3 - 1
Man City2 - 0
Man City1 - 0
0 - 2A Villa
Man City3 - 1
Man City2 - 0
Man City4 - 1
Man City3 - 1
1 - 3A Villa
Man City1 - 0
Draw2 - 2Draw
Man City3 - 0
Draw1 - 1Draw
League games at A Villa since 1993
A Villa
Man City
Goals: Scored
27
34
Games: Scored
18 / 25
20 / 25
Clean sheets
5 / 25
7 / 25
MCI
10
D
8
AVL
7
FIXTURE HISTORY AT A Villa
A Villa2 - 1
A Villa1 - 0
Draw1 - 1Draw
1 - 2Man City
1 - 2Man City
1 - 6Man City
Draw0 - 0Draw
0 - 2Man City
A Villa3 - 2
0 - 1Man City
0 - 1Man City
A Villa1 - 0
Draw1 - 1Draw
A Villa4 - 2
Draw1 - 1Draw
1 - 3Man City
0 - 1Man City
1 - 2Man City
Draw1 - 1Draw
A Villa1 - 0
Draw2 - 2Draw
0 - 1Man City
Draw1 - 1Draw
Draw0 - 0Draw
A Villa3 - 1
Goal Statistics

Manchester City's forwards have been excellent of late, finding the net twice or more in 3 consecutive English Premier League outings. A PG of 2.0 suggests that run should continue on Tuesday night.

Man City 4th A Villa 7th
Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction
2.0
goals
1.2
goals
Scoring probability
Scoring probability
0
14%
1
27%
2
27%
3
18%
4+
14%
There is a 86% probability that Man City will score 1 or more goals
0
30%
1
36%
2
22%
3
9%
4+
There is a 66% probability that A Villa will score no more than 1 goal
 
20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games
+21
Man City have scored 21% more goals at home than predicted
-10
A Villa’s goalscoring when away has been inline with predictions
2.7
average goals scored
1.3
average goals scored
1.3
conceded
1.9
conceded
 
Attack defence ratings
Premier League - 2024/2025 season
https://api.kickoff.co.uk/v1/fixture/278129/accaPanel/formStats/marketCode/FULL
Man City
PG (predicted goals)
A Villa
2
1.2
Attack rating
6%
better
MCI
AVL
view stats
Games scored27
27
Failed to score6
6
Scored first18
16
Goals scored63
53
Avg. goals scored1.9
1.6
Avg. shots per game11
9
Avg. shots per goal6
6
Conversion rate for17
17
Avg. XG for1.8
1.6
KickOff rating
+6%
Defence rating
13%
better
MCI
AVL
view stats
Games conceded23
27
Clean sheets10
6
Conceded first14
16
Goals conceded42
47
Avg. goals conceded1.3
1.4
Avg. shots/game conceded7
9
Avg. shots/goal conceded6
6
Conversion rate against17%
15%
Avg. XG against1.3
1.4
KickOff rating
+13%

Man City v A Villa Premier League lLine ups will show here when available.

Man City Premier League squad statistics 2024/2025
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
32787
J GvardiolP FodenS SávioM Kovacic
Line-upAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
S Ortega GLK13
1
-
M Nunes DEF2315
4
-
R Dias DEF23
5
-
J Gvardiol DEF335
2
-
N. O'Reilly DEF72
-
I Gündogan MID305
1
-
M Kovacic MID2861
7
-
B Silva MID2934
7
-
K Bruyne MID2437
2
-
J McAtee MID133
1
-
O Marmoush FWD126
-
Subs
S Carson GLK
-
M Akanji DEF22
4
-
A. Khusanov DEF6
1
-
R Lewis DEF2612
4
1
N González  MID8
3
-
P Foden MID2572
2
-
J Grealish MID1911
4
-
J Doku FWD2536
1
-
S Sávio FWD2718
5
-
A Villa Premier League squad statistics 2024/2025
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
3415810
Y TielemansO WatkinsM RogersM Rogers
Line-upAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
E Martínez GLK33
4
-
M Cash DEF2311
7
-
E Konsa DEF301
-
P Torres DEF201
1
-
L Digne DEF304
4
-
B Kamara MID22
2
-
A Onana MID223
4
-
M Rogers MID3388
10
-
Y Tielemans MID3427
4
-
J Ramsey MID2613
2
-
M Rashford FWD1022
-
Subs
R Olsen GLK3
-
A Disasi DEF7
2
-
A García DEF7
-
I Maatsen DEF2512
2
-
R Barkley MID1731
4
-
J McGinn MID3013
7
-
O Watkins FWD34157
2
-
D Malen FWD113
-
M Asensio FWD931
1
-