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Manchester City v Chelsea : Premier League match betting preview, prediction and odds

Sun 4th Jan, 17:30 BST, Etihad Stadium, Manchester

Josep Guardiola i Sala's Manchester City side will have home backing in the English Premier League on Sunday evening, as Enzo Maresca's Chelsea travel to the Etihad Stadium. This preview has odds from the UK's biggest bookmakers for 17 different markets, alongside bespoke data that updates as you go between markets. Our predictions are based on 20-game form, so all statistics are shown from a 20-game perspective. Home, away and overall records can be viewed, while you'll also find head-to-head history towards the bottom of the page.


Want to know who’s consistently beating the odds? Check out the Top Premier League Tipsters and see the most profitable experts for this season!

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Best Tip: Over 2.5 goals

As Josep Guardiola i Sala and his side approach kick-off, we predict a combined total of over 3 goals scored during the match. Stats imply both teams have the weapons to deliver up top, an encouraging sign for the neutrals. With a real favourite to win the game, we really like the look of over 2.5 goals.

In-Play
Win / Draw / Win
Over / Under 1.5 Goals
Over / Under 2.5 Goals
Over / Under 3.5 Goals
Win To Nil
Both Teams To Score
Correct Score
Both Teams To Score & Result
Double Chance
Half Time / Full Time
Over / Under 0.5 Goals
Over / Under 4.5 Goals
Over / Under 5.5 Goals
Draw No Bet
Team To Score First
If you’re looking for a winner in this match, we think Man City are the most likely. Our predictive algorithm gives them a 55% chance of victory, and the bookies have them at a best price of 1.75.

Checkout the hundreds of tips picked but our top win/draw/win tipsters

Change odds
Predictions Add Bet365 Coral
Man City
55%
8/133/4
Draw
22%
16/516/5
Chelsea
24%
15/416/5
Draw 1-1
10%
17/27/1
Man City 2-1
10%
8/17/1
Man City 1-0
8%
10/117/2
Man City 2-0
8%
10/19/1
Man City 3-1
6%
12/110/1
Chelsea 2-1
6%
16/112/1
Draw 2-2
6%
14/110/1
Man City 3-0
5%
14/112/1
Chelsea 1-0
5%
20/114/1
Man City 3-2
4%
20/116/1
Draw 0-0
4%
18/114/1
Man City 4-1
3%
22/118/1
Chelsea 2-0
3%
33/120/1
Man City 4-0
3%
25/120/1
Chelsea 3-1
3%
33/120/1
Over 2.5 Goals
63%
1/21/2
Under 2.5 Goals
37%
13/829/20
Home 1st Goal
54%
8/1511/20
Away 1st Goal
44%
6/46/4
No 1st Goal
2%
18/114/1
BTTS - Yes
62%
8/158/15
BTTS - No
38%
11/811/8
BTTS - Home Win
30%
15/819/10
BTTS - Draw
18%
4/118/5
BTTS - Away Win
14%
6/15/1
Home/draw
76%
2/112/9
Away/draw
45%
5/421/20
Home/away
78%
2/92/9
Over 1.5 Goals
83%
1/72/13
Under 1.5 Goals
17%
9/24/1
Over 3.5 Goals
41%
13/106/5
Under 3.5 Goals
59%
8/138/13
Over 4.5 Goals
23%
3/111/4
Under 4.5 Goals
77%
1/41/4
Over 5.5 Goals
11%
6/111/2
Under 5.5 Goals
89%
1/101/11
Over 0.5 Goals
96%
1/501/66
Under 0.5 Goals
4%
18/114/1
Home DNB
70%
2/71/3
Away DNB
39%
5/22/1
Man City win to nil
25%
12/5-
Chelsea win to nil
10%
9/1-
Man City / Man City
33%
6/46/4
Man City / Chelsea
3%
33/122/1
Man City / Draw
6%
14/111/1
Draw / Man City
16%
4/14/1
Draw / Chelsea
8%
10/18/1
Draw / Draw
12%
13/211/2
Chelsea / Man City
5%
18/116/1
Chelsea / Chelsea
12%
7/15/1
Chelsea / Draw
6%
16/111/1
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Win / draw / win Premier League table

Man City have played 18 matches so far this season and lay in 2nd place in the Premier League league table.

Performance against teams below them in the league

They have played 17 games against teams below in the table, having won 13, drawn 0 and lost 4 matches. They have kept 8 clean sheets and have failed to score in 2 fixtures. Man City have outscored their opponents by 43 goals to 32 goals.

Home League Performance

Man City have played 9 games at home winning 8, drawing 0 and losing 1 game. They have scored 25 goals, kept 5 clean sheets and conceded 6 goals at home.

Chelsea are in 5th position in the Premier League on 30 points having played 19 matches so far this season.

Away League Performance

2 of those games have been losing matches. They have conceded 10 goals and kept 4 clean sheets. They have scored 17 goals in total and failed to score in 1 fixture.

Performance against teams above them in the league

3 games have come against teams above them in the table. They have lost 1 games, drawn 1 and won 1. Chelsea have conceded 4 goals, scored 4, scored in every game and have kept no clean sheets.

Won
Draw
Lost
Man City
Chelsea
Results by League Table
TEAM PLD W D L GD PTS HOME AWAY HOME AWAY
1
Arsenal1914322545 
Apr 18
d
 
1-1F
d
 
1-1F
Mar 1
2
Man City1813142640 
-
-
Apr 11
Jan 4
3
A Villa191234739 
May 24
l
 
1-0A
l
 
1-2F
Mar 4
4
Liverpool181026432 
w
 
3-0F
Feb 8
w
 
2-1F
May 9
5
Chelsea198651130 
Jan 4
Apr 11
-
-
6
Man Utd19865430 
w
 
3-0F
Jan 17
Apr 18
l
 
2-1A
7
Sunderland18774228 
w
 
3-0F
Jan 1
l
 
1-2F
May 24
8
Everton19847028 
w
 
2-0F
May 2
w
 
2-0F
Mar 21
9
Newcastle19757226 
Feb 21
l
 
2-1A
Mar 14
d
 
2-2A
10
Brentford18828226 
May 9
w
 
0-1F
Jan 17
d
 
2-2A
11
C Palace18756126 
Mar 21
w
 
0-3F
d
 
0-00-0
Jan 25
12
Fulham18828-126 
Feb 11
w
 
4-5F
w
 
2-0F
Jan 7
13
Spurs18747425 
l
 
0-2A
Feb 1
May 17
w
 
0-1F
14
Brighton19676125 
Jan 7
l
 
2-1F
l
 
1-3F
Apr 25
15
Bournemouth19586-623 
w
 
3-1F
May 17
d
 
2-2A
d
 
0-00-0
16
Leeds18558-720 
w
 
3-2F
Feb 28
Feb 10
l
 
3-1A
17
Nottm Forest195311-1218 
Mar 4
w
 
1-2F
May 2
w
 
0-3F
18
West Ham193511-1714 
w
 
3-0F
Mar 14
Jan 31
w
 
1-5A
19
Burnley193313-1712 
w
 
5-1F
Apr 25
Feb 21
w
 
0-2F
20
Wolves190316-293 
Jan 24
w
 
0-4F
w
 
3-0F
Feb 7
Win / draw / win form
8
Man City have won 8 consecutive home league games
8
Man City have not lost in 8 consecutive home league games
Man City 2ND
20 league games
Home
8
Overall
Goals: Scored
52
Conceded
17
Games: Scored
18 / 20
Conceded
12 / 20
Clean sheets
8 / 20
Failed to score
2 / 20
Won
16
D
2
L
2
HOME FORM Win / Draw / Win
Man City3 - 0West Ham
Man City3 - 0Sunderland
Man City3 - 2Leeds
Man City3 - 0Liverpool
Man City3 - 1Bournemouth
Man City2 - 0Everton
Man City5 - 1Burnley
Man City3 - 0Man Utd
Man City0 - 2Spurs
Man City3 - 1Bournemouth
Man City1 - 0Wolves
Man City2 - 1A Villa
Man City5 - 2C Palace
Man City2 - 0Leicester
Man City2 - 2Brighton
Man City0 - 2Liverpool
Man City4 - 0Newcastle
Man City3 - 1Chelsea
Man City4 - 1West Ham
Man City1 - 1Everton
Goals: Scored
48
Conceded
18
Games: Scored
18 / 20
Conceded
11 / 20
Clean sheets
9 / 20
Failed to score
2 / 20
Won
15
D
1
L
4
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
AMan City2 - 1Nottm Forest
HMan City3 - 0West Ham
AMan City3 - 0C Palace
HMan City3 - 0Sunderland
AMan City5 - 4Fulham
HMan City3 - 2Leeds
AMan City1 - 2Newcastle
HMan City3 - 0Liverpool
HMan City3 - 1Bournemouth
AMan City0 - 1A Villa
HMan City2 - 0Everton
AMan City1 - 0Brentford
HMan City5 - 1Burnley
AMan City1 - 1Arsenal
HMan City3 - 0Man Utd
AMan City1 - 2Brighton
HMan City0 - 2Spurs
AMan City4 - 0Wolves
AMan City2 - 0Fulham
HMan City3 - 1Bournemouth
Chelsea 5TH
20 league games
Away
Overall
Goals: Scored
23
Conceded
25
Games: Scored
13 / 20
Conceded
13 / 20
Clean sheets
7 / 20
Failed to score
7 / 20
Won
6
Draw
6
Lost
8
AWAY FORM Win / Draw / Win
Newcastle2 - 2Chelsea
Bournemouth0 - 0Chelsea
Leeds3 - 1Chelsea
Burnley0 - 2Chelsea
Spurs0 - 1Chelsea
Nottm Forest0 - 3Chelsea
Man Utd2 - 1Chelsea
Brentford2 - 2Chelsea
West Ham1 - 5Chelsea
Nottm Forest0 - 1Chelsea
Newcastle2 - 0Chelsea
Fulham1 - 2Chelsea
Brentford0 - 0Chelsea
Arsenal1 - 0Chelsea
A Villa2 - 1Chelsea
Brighton3 - 0Chelsea
Man City3 - 1Chelsea
C Palace1 - 1Chelsea
Ipswich2 - 0Chelsea
Everton0 - 0Chelsea
Goals: Scored
33
Conceded
21
Games: Scored
18 / 20
Conceded
11 / 20
Clean sheets
9 / 20
Failed to score
2 / 20
Won
9
Draw
6
Lost
5
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
HChelsea2 - 2Bournemouth
HChelsea1 - 2A Villa
AChelsea2 - 2Newcastle
HChelsea2 - 0Everton
AChelsea0 - 0Bournemouth
AChelsea1 - 3Leeds
HChelsea1 - 1Arsenal
AChelsea2 - 0Burnley
HChelsea3 - 0Wolves
AChelsea1 - 0Spurs
HChelsea1 - 2Sunderland
AChelsea3 - 0Nottm Forest
HChelsea2 - 1Liverpool
HChelsea1 - 3Brighton
AChelsea1 - 2Man Utd
AChelsea2 - 2Brentford
HChelsea2 - 0Fulham
AChelsea5 - 1West Ham
HChelsea0 - 0C Palace
AChelsea1 - 0Nottm Forest
Win / draw / win head to head (H2H)
8
Man City have not lost to Chelsea in 8 consecutive league meetings
League games at Man City since 1992
Man City
Chelsea
Goals: Scored
34
31
Games: Scored
20 / 28
20 / 28
Clean sheets
8 / 28
8 / 28
MCI
12
D
3
CHE
13
FIXTURE HISTORY AT Man City
Man City3 - 1
Draw1 - 1Draw
Man City1 - 0
Man City1 - 0
1 - 2Chelsea
Man City2 - 1
Man City6 - 0
Man City1 - 0
1 - 3Chelsea
Man City3 - 0
Draw1 - 1Draw
0 - 1Chelsea
Man City2 - 0
Man City2 - 1
Man City1 - 0
Man City2 - 1
1 - 3Chelsea
0 - 2Chelsea
0 - 1Chelsea
0 - 1Chelsea
Man City1 - 0
0 - 1Chelsea
0 - 3Chelsea
1 - 2Chelsea
0 - 1Chelsea
1 - 2Chelsea
Draw2 - 2Draw
0 - 1Chelsea
League games at Chelsea since 1993
Chelsea
Man City
Goals: Scored
46
30
Games: Scored
20 / 28
16 / 28
Clean sheets
12 / 28
8 / 28
MCI
8
D
6
CHE
14
FIXTURE HISTORY AT Chelsea
0 - 2Man City
Draw4 - 4Draw
0 - 1Man City
0 - 1Man City
1 - 3Man City
Chelsea2 - 1
Chelsea2 - 0
0 - 1Man City
Chelsea2 - 1
0 - 3Man City
Draw1 - 1Draw
Chelsea2 - 1
Draw0 - 0Draw
Chelsea2 - 1
Chelsea2 - 0
2 - 4Man City
Chelsea1 - 0
Chelsea6 - 0
Chelsea3 - 0
Chelsea2 - 0
Draw0 - 0Draw
Chelsea1 - 0
Chelsea5 - 0
Chelsea2 - 1
Draw1 - 1Draw
Chelsea3 - 0
Draw0 - 0Draw
2 - 4Man City
Goal Statistics

Manchester City's forwards have been superb of late, finding the net twice or more in 6 consecutive English Premier League games. A PG of 2.0 suggests that run should continue on Sunday evening.

Man City 2nd Chelsea 5th
Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction
2.0
goals
1.2
goals
Scoring probability
Scoring probability
0
14%
1
27%
2
27%
3
18%
4+
14%
There is a 86% probability that Man City will score 1 or more goals
0
29%
1
36%
2
22%
3
9%
4+
There is a 65% probability that Chelsea will score no more than 1 goal
 
20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games
+24
Man City have scored 24% more goals at home than predicted
-28
Chelsea have scored 28% fewer goals when away than predicted
2.6
average goals scored
1.2
average goals scored
0.9
conceded
1.3
conceded
 
Attack defence ratings
Premier League - 2025/2026 season
Man City
PG (predicted goals)
Chelsea
2
1.2
Attack rating
18%
better
MCI
CHE
view stats
Games scored16
16
Failed to score2
2
Scored first15
11
Goals scored43
30
Avg. goals scored2.4
1.6
Avg. shots per game10
9
Avg. shots per goal4
6
Conversion rate for23
17
Avg. XG for1.8
1.7
KickOff rating
+18%
Defence rating
6%
better
MCI
CHE
view stats
Games conceded10
10
Clean sheets8
8
Conceded first3
5
Goals conceded17
19
Avg. goals conceded0.9
1
Avg. shots/game conceded7
7
Avg. shots/goal conceded7
7
Conversion rate against14%
13%
Avg. XG against1.1
1.4
KickOff rating
+6%

Man City v Chelsea Premier League lLine ups will show here when available.

Man City Premier League squad statistics 2025/2026
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
181974
E HaalandE HaalandR CherkiB Silva
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
R Dias DEF182
1
-
B Silva MID182
4
-
E Haaland FWD18194
-
N. O'Reilly DEF1713
3
-
N González  MID171
4
-
T Reijnders MID1742
2
-
M Nunes DEF1613
2
-
P Foden MID1672
3
-
G Donnarumma GLK15
4
-
J Doku FWD1514
-
J Gvardiol DEF1422
2
-
S Sávio FWD141
1
-
R Cherki MID1327
1
-
O Marmoush FWD101
-
O Bobb FWD91
1
-
R Lewis DEF81
-
N Aké  DEF8
-
J Stones DEF7
-
Rodri MID6
-
A. Khusanov DEF5
1
-
R Nouri DEF5
1
-
J Trafford GLK3
-
M Kovacic MID1
-
Chelsea Premier League squad statistics 2025/2026
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
19646
R SánchezJ Pedro R James M Caicedo
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
R Sánchez GLK191
2
1
J Pedro  FWD1963
2
-
P Neto FWD1953
2
-
M Cucurella  DEF182
3
-
T Chalobah DEF183
3
1
R James  DEF1824
3
-
E Fernández MID1851
3
-
M Gusto DEF1722
2
1
E. Almeida de Oliveira Gonçalves FWD1611
3
-
M Caicedo MID1531
5
1
J Bynoe-Gittens FWD142
-
A Santos MID13
3
-
A Garnacho FWD1313
1
-
W Fofana DEF10
1
-
L Delap FWD10
1
-
T Adarabioyo DEF9
1
-
C Palmer MID93
-
M Guiu FWD71
1
-
J. Acheampong DEF61
-
B Badiashile  DEF5
2
-
J Hato DEF4
2
-
R Lavia MID4
-
T. George FWD4
2
-
F Jörgensen GLK1
-
F Buonanotte MID1
-