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Manchester United v Manchester City : Premier League match betting preview, prediction and odds

Sat 17th Jan, 12:30 BST, Old Trafford, Manchester

Saturday lunch time at the Old Trafford, and it’s a English Premier League clash between Manchester United and Manchester City. Ruben Filipe Marques Amorim and Josep Guardiola i Sala will be doing all they can to guide their side to the win. For every Premier League match, KickOff delves into the statistics for all of the biggest markets. Meaningful stats, including head-to-head results, are then given alongside the best odds.


Want to know who’s consistently beating the odds? Check out the Top Premier League Tipsters and see the most profitable experts for this season!

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Best Tip: Both teams to score

Studying our match predictions, bookmakers' odds and relevant stats, there's one market which catches the eye for this fixture: both teams to score. In Man Utd and Man City we have two sides going head-to-head that regularly score, but equally have trouble shutting the opposition out, and we expect them to prove that on Saturday lunch time. BTTS – yes best odds: 1.57.

In-Play
Win / Draw / Win
Over / Under 1.5 Goals
Over / Under 2.5 Goals
Over / Under 3.5 Goals
Win To Nil
Both Teams To Score
Correct Score
Both Teams To Score & Result
Double Chance
Half Time / Full Time
Over / Under 0.5 Goals
Over / Under 4.5 Goals
Over / Under 5.5 Goals
Draw No Bet
Team To Score First
An away win looks like the most likely outcome in the win/draw/win market, with our predictive algorithm suggesting there’s a 45% chance of Man City coming away with a win.

Checkout the hundreds of tips picked but our top win/draw/win tipsters

Change odds
Predictions Add Bet365 Coral
Man Utd
32%
4.203.80
Draw
24%
3.804.00
Man City
45%
1.751.85
Draw 1-1
11%
8.507.50
Man City 2-1
9%
9.508.00
Man City 1-0
8%
12.009.50
Man Utd 2-1
7%
15.0012.00
Man City 2-0
7%
12.0010.00
Draw 2-2
6%
13.0011.00
Man Utd 1-0
6%
21.0013.00
Man City 3-1
5%
13.0011.00
Draw 0-0
5%
19.0015.00
Man Utd 2-0
4%
29.0019.00
Man City 3-0
4%
17.0015.00
Man City 3-2
4%
21.0015.00
Man Utd 3-1
3%
34.0021.00
Man Utd 3-2
3%
34.0023.00
Man City 4-1
2%
26.0019.00
Over 2.5 Goals
60%
1.531.50
Under 2.5 Goals
40%
2.502.45
Home 1st Goal
47%
2.302.38
Away 1st Goal
51%
1.571.62
No 1st Goal
3%
19.0013.00
BTTS - Yes
61%
1.501.53
BTTS - No
39%
2.502.40
BTTS - Home Win
18%
6.505.75
BTTS - Draw
19%
4.504.40
BTTS - Away Win
25%
3.003.00
Home/draw
55%
2.001.95
Away/draw
68%
1.221.25
Home/away
76%
1.251.25
Over 1.5 Goals
81%
1.141.15
Under 1.5 Goals
19%
5.504.80
Over 3.5 Goals
37%
2.202.20
Under 3.5 Goals
63%
1.671.60
Over 4.5 Goals
20%
4.003.80
Under 4.5 Goals
80%
1.251.22
Over 5.5 Goals
9%
7.007.00
Under 5.5 Goals
91%
1.101.08
Over 0.5 Goals
95%
1.021.02
Under 0.5 Goals
5%
19.0015.00
Home DNB
48%
3.252.80
Away DNB
61%
1.331.40
Man Utd win to nil
14%
10.00-
Man City win to nil
20%
3.75-
Man Utd / Man Utd
13%
7.005.50
Man Utd / Man City
4%
21.0017.00
Man Utd / Draw
6%
15.0012.00
Draw / Man Utd
9%
10.008.50
Draw / Man City
15%
5.505.25
Draw / Draw
13%
7.006.00
Man City / Man Utd
3%
29.0023.00
Man City / Man City
30%
2.752.70
Man City / Draw
6%
15.0012.00
Win / draw / win Premier League table

Man Utd have played 20 matches so far this season and are in 6th position in the league.

Performance against teams above them in the league

5 of those games have come against teams above them in the table. They have lost 3 games, drawn zero and won 2. Man Utd have conceded 8 goals, scored 5, failed to score in 2 matches and kept no clean sheets.

Home league performance

Man Utd have played 10 games at home, winning 5, drawing 3 and losing 2 fixtures. They have scored 18 goals, conceded 13 goals, kept 2 clean sheets and failed to score 2 times in home league games.

Man City lay in 2nd place on 42 points in the Premier League league table having played 20 matches.

Performance against teams below them in the league

They have played 19 games against teams below them in the table, winning 13, drawing 2 and losing 4 games. They have scored 43 goals and kept 9 clean sheets against lower placed opposition. Man City have conceded 17 goals and have failed to score in 3 matches.

Away league performance

Man City have played 10 away games, winning 5, drawing 2 and losing 3 games. They have scored an average of 1.8 goals per away game and conceded an average 1.1 goals per away game.

Won
Draw
Lost
Man Utd
Man City
Results by League Table
TEAM PLD W D L GD PTS HOME AWAY HOME AWAY
1
Arsenal2015322648 
l
 
0-1A
Jan 25
Apr 18
d
 
1-1F
2
Man City2013342642 
Jan 17
l
 
3-0A
-
-
3
A Villa201334942 
Mar 14
l
 
2-1F
May 24
l
 
1-0A
4
Liverpool201046434 
May 2
w
 
1-2F
w
 
3-0F
Feb 8
5
Chelsea208751131 
w
 
2-1F
Apr 18
d
 
1-1F
Apr 11
6
Man Utd20875431 
-
-
w
 
3-0F
Jan 17
7
Brentford20938430 
Apr 25
l
 
3-1A
May 9
w
 
0-1F
8
Sunderland20794230 
w
 
2-0F
May 9
w
 
3-0F
d
 
0-00-0
9
Newcastle20857429 
w
 
1-0F
Mar 4
Feb 21
l
 
2-1A
10
Brighton20776328 
w
 
4-2F
May 24
Jan 7
l
 
2-1F
11
Fulham20848-128 
Feb 1
d
 
1-1F
Feb 11
w
 
4-5F
12
Everton20848-228 
l
 
0-1A
Feb 23
w
 
2-0F
May 2
13
Spurs20767427 
Feb 7
d
 
2-2F
l
 
0-2A
Feb 1
14
C Palace20767-127 
Feb 28
w
 
1-2A
Mar 21
w
 
0-3F
15
Bournemouth20587-723 
d
 
4-4F
Mar 21
w
 
3-1F
May 17
16
Leeds20578-722 
Apr 11
d
 
1-1A
w
 
3-2F
Feb 28
17
Nottm Forest205312-1418 
May 17
d
 
2-2F
Mar 4
w
 
1-2F
18
West Ham203512-2014 
d
 
1-1F
Feb 10
w
 
3-0F
Mar 14
19
Burnley203314-1912 
w
 
3-2F
Jan 7
w
 
5-1F
Apr 25
20
Wolves201316-266 
d
 
1-1F
w
 
1-4F
Jan 24
w
 
0-4F
Win / draw / win form
Man Utd 6TH
20 league games
Home
Overall
Goals: Scored
28
Conceded
27
Games: Scored
13 / 20
Conceded
16 / 20
Clean sheets
4 / 20
Failed to score
7 / 20
Won
8
Draw
5
Lost
7
Goals: Scored
34
Conceded
30
Games: Scored
17 / 20
Conceded
18 / 20
Clean sheets
2 / 20
Failed to score
3 / 20
Won
8
Draw
7
Lost
5
Man City 2ND
20 league games
Away
Overall
Goals: Scored
34
Conceded
19
Games: Scored
15 / 20
Conceded
9 / 20
Clean sheets
11 / 20
Failed to score
5 / 20
Won
10
Draw
5
Lost
5
Goals: Scored
44
Conceded
18
Games: Scored
17 / 20
Conceded
11 / 20
Clean sheets
9 / 20
Failed to score
3 / 20
Won
13
D
3
L
4
Win / draw / win head to head (H2H)
League games at Man Utd since 1992
Man Utd
Man City
Goals: Scored
40
37
Games: Scored
20 / 28
19 / 28
Clean sheets
9 / 28
8 / 28
MNU
12
D
7
MCI
9
League games at Man City since 1993
Man City
Man Utd
Goals: Scored
47
39
Games: Scored
19 / 29
23 / 29
Clean sheets
6 / 29
10 / 29
MNU
14
D
3
MCI
12
Goal Statistics

Manchester City's defensive record is to be admired, Josep Guardiola's men having conceded 1 or less in 6 consecutive English Premier League games. An underwhelming PG rating of 1.4 for Manchester United makes sense in this context.

Man Utd 6th Man City 2nd
Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction
1.4
goals
1.7
goals
Scoring probability
Scoring probability
0
25%
1
35%
2
24%
3
11%
4+
There is a 75% probability that Man Utd will score 1 or more goals
0
18%
1
31%
2
26%
3
15%
4+
9%
There is a 82% probability that Man City will score 1 or more goals
 
20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games
-15
Man Utd have scored 15% fewer goals at home than predicted
=0
Man City’s goalscoring when away has been inline with predictions
1.4
average goals scored
1.7
average goals scored
1.4
conceded
1.0
conceded
 
Attack defence ratings
Premier League - 2025/2026 season
Man Utd
PG (predicted goals)
Man City
1.4
1.7
Attack rating
MNU
MCI
11%
better
view stats
Games scored17
17
Failed to score3
3
Scored first14
16
Goals scored34
44
Avg. goals scored1.7
2.2
Avg. shots per game12
10
Avg. shots per goal7
5
Conversion rate for15
22
Avg. XG for1.9
1.8
KickOff rating
+11%
Defence rating
MNU
MCI
37%
better
view stats
Games conceded18
11
Clean sheets2
9
Conceded first6
3
Goals conceded30
18
Avg. goals conceded1.5
0.9
Avg. shots/game conceded8
7
Avg. shots/goal conceded6
7
Conversion rate against18%
13%
Avg. XG against1.4
1.1
KickOff rating
+37%

Man Utd v Man City Premier League lLine ups will show here when available.

Man Utd Premier League squad statistics 2025/2026
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
20677
L ShawB MbeumoB FernandesCasemiro
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
L Yoro DEF20
-
L Shaw DEF201
3
-
P. Chinazaekpere Dorgu DEF1912
5
-
D Dalot DEF1812
2
-
Casemiro MID1841
6
1
B Fernandes MID1757
2
-
M Cunha FWD1741
1
-
B Sesko FWD1621
1
-
B Mbeumo FWD1661
3
-
M Mount  MID153
-
A Diallo FWD1522
1
-
S Lammens GLK14
-
M Ugarte MID14
1
-
M Ligt DEF131
-
J Zirkzee FWD1321
1
-
K Mainoo MID11
-
A. Heaven DEF91
1
-
N Mazraoui  DEF9
1
-
L Martínez  DEF8
-
H Maguire DEF811
-
A Bayındır GLK6
-
T Fredricson DEF1
-
T Malacia DEF1
-
Man City Premier League squad statistics 2025/2026
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
201975
E HaalandE HaalandR CherkiB Silva
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
R Dias DEF202
2
-
B Silva MID202
5
-
E Haaland FWD20194
-
N. O'Reilly DEF1913
3
-
T Reijnders MID1952
2
-
M Nunes DEF1813
3
-
N González  MID181
4
-
P Foden MID1872
3
-
G Donnarumma GLK17
4
-
J Doku FWD1714
-
J Gvardiol DEF1622
2
-
R Cherki MID1527
1
-
S Sávio FWD151
1
-
N Aké  DEF10
1
-
O Marmoush FWD101
-
O Bobb FWD91
1
-
R Lewis DEF81
-
Rodri MID8
-
J Stones DEF7
-
A. Khusanov DEF6
1
-
R Nouri DEF5
1
-
J Trafford GLK3
-
M Kovacic MID1
-