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Southampton v Manchester City : Premier League match betting preview, prediction and odds

Sat 10th May, 15:00 BST, St. Mary's Stadium, Southampton

Ivan Juric's Southampton side will have home backing in the English Premier League on Saturday afternoon, as Pep Guardiola's Manchester City arrive at the St. Mary's Stadium. All the odds are provided directly from the UK's leading bookmakers, while predictions are algorithmically generated from stats over a 20-game period. Particular attention is given to Premier League match data, including head-to-head performance. Click the tabs below to explore it all.


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Best Tip: Man City to win

Claiming a victory away from home the Premier League is always worth celebrating, and we're predicting that Pep Guardiola and his Man City side will do exactly that at St. Mary's Stadium on Saturday afternoon. The stats below, including long-running head-to-head (H2H) records, suggest they have a great chance of delivering, and the bookmakers think so too. The best available price is 1.25 on Man City to win. We think it's well worth backing.

In-Play
Win / Draw / Win
Over / Under 1.5 Goals
Over / Under 2.5 Goals
Over / Under 3.5 Goals
Win To Nil
Both Teams To Score
Correct Score
Both Teams To Score & Result
Double Chance
Half Time / Full Time
Over / Under 0.5 Goals
Over / Under 4.5 Goals
Over / Under 5.5 Goals
Draw No Bet
Team To Score First
An away win looks like the most likely outcome in the win/draw/win market, with our predictive algorithm suggesting there’s a 72% chance of Man City coming away with a win.

Checkout the hundreds of tips picked but our top win/draw/win tipsters

Change odds
Predictions Add Bet365 Coral
Southampton
11%
8/1
5%
-
Draw
17%
21/4
4%
-
Man City
72%
27/100
2%
-
Man City 2-0
11%
8/1
6%
-
Man City 2-1
9%
9/1-
Man City 1-0
9%
11/1-
Man City 3-0
9%
17/2-
Draw 1-1
8%
12/1
13%
-
Man City 3-1
8%
10/1-
Man City 4-0
5%
14/1
15%
-
Man City 4-1
5%
16/1
13%
-
Draw 2-2
4%
20/1
9%
-
Draw 0-0
4%
22/1-
Southampton 2-1
3%
28/1-
Man City 3-2
3%
22/1-
Southampton 1-0
3%
33/1-
Man City 5-0
3%
22/1-
Man City 5-1
2%
25/1-
Over 2.5 Goals
64%
2/5
3%
-
Under 2.5 Goals
36%
2/1
6%
-
Home 1st Goal
38%
3/1
8%
-
Away 1st Goal
60%
2/9
2%
-
No 1st Goal
2%
22/1-
BTTS - Yes
53%
3/4-
BTTS - No
47%
1/1-
BTTS - Home Win
6%
12/1
13%
-
BTTS - Draw
13%
6/1
7%
-
BTTS - Away Win
34%
6/4-
Home/draw
28%
11/4-
Away/draw
89%
1/14-
Home/away
83%
1/8
1%
-
Over 1.5 Goals
84%
1/9-
Under 1.5 Goals
16%
11/2-
Over 3.5 Goals
42%
1/1
5%
-
Under 3.5 Goals
58%
4/5
6%
-
Over 4.5 Goals
24%
11/5-
Under 4.5 Goals
76%
4/11-
Over 5.5 Goals
12%
9/2-
Under 5.5 Goals
88%
1/7-
Over 0.5 Goals
96%
1/66-
Under 0.5 Goals
4%
20/1
9%
-
Home DNB
23%
7/1-
Away DNB
84%
1/12-
Southampton win to nil
5%
18/1-
Man City win to nil
39%
11/8
6%
-
Southampton / Southampton
5%
18/1
10%
-
Southampton / Man City
5%
16/1
11%
-
Southampton / Draw
4%
22/1-
Draw / Southampton
4%
20/1
9%
-
Draw / Man City
20%
10/3-
Draw / Draw
8%
10/1-
Man City / Southampton
2%
50/1-
Man City / Man City
48%
4/5
4%
-
Man City / Draw
4%
20/1-
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Win / draw / win Premier League table

Southampton have played 34 matches so far this season and are in 20th position in the league.

Performance against teams above them in the league

34 of those games have come against teams above them in the table. They have lost 27 games, drawn 5 and won 2. Southampton have conceded 80 goals, scored 25, failed to score in 13 matches and kept 2 clean sheets.

Home league performance

Southampton have played 17 games at home, winning 1, drawing 2 and losing 14 fixtures. They have scored 12 goals, conceded 45 goals, kept 1 clean sheet and failed to score 7 times in home league games.

Man City lay in 4th place on 61 points in the Premier League league table having played 34 matches.

Performance against teams below them in the league

They have played 28 games against teams below them in the table, winning 17, drawing 5 and losing 6 games. They have scored 58 goals and kept 9 clean sheets against lower placed opposition. Man City have conceded 31 goals and have failed to score in 3 matches.

Away league performance

Man City have played 17 away games, winning 7, drawing 4 and losing 6 games. They have scored an average of 1.6 goals per away game and conceded an average 1.2 goals per away game.

Won
Draw
Lost
Southampton
Man City
Results by League Table
TEAM PLD W D L GD PTS HOME AWAY HOME AWAY
1
Liverpool3425724882 
l
 
2-3A
l
 
3-1F
l
 
0-2A
l
 
2-0A
2
Arsenal34181333467 
May 25
l
 
3-1F
d
 
2-2F
l
 
5-1A
3
Newcastle34195102162 
l
 
1-3F
l
 
1-0A
w
 
4-0F
d
 
1-1F
4
Man City Away3418792361 
May 10
l
 
1-0A
-
-
5
Chelsea3417981960 
l
 
1-5A
l
 
4-0A
w
 
3-1A
w
 
0-2F
6
Nottm Forest3318691460 
l
 
0-1A
l
 
3-2A
w
 
3-0F
l
 
1-0A
7
A Villa341699557 
l
 
0-3A
l
 
1-0A
w
 
2-1F
l
 
2-1A
8
Fulham3414911451 
l
 
1-2F
d
 
0-00-0
w
 
3-2A
May 25
9
Brighton3413129151 
l
 
0-4A
d
 
1-1A
d
 
2-2F
l
 
2-1F
10
Bournemouth341311101250 
l
 
1-3A
l
 
3-1A
May 18
l
 
2-1A
11
Brentford3313713646 
l
 
0-5A
l
 
3-1A
w
 
2-1A
d
 
2-2F
12
C Palace34111211-445 
d
 
1-1F
l
 
2-1F
w
 
5-2A
d
 
2-2A
13
Wolves3412517-1041 
l
 
1-2A
l
 
2-0A
May 2
w
 
1-2A
14
Man Utd3410915-839 
l
 
0-3A
l
 
3-1F
l
 
1-2F
d
 
0-00-0
15
Everton3481412-738 
w
 
1-0F
May 18
d
 
1-1F
w
 
0-2F
16
Spurs3411419637 
l
 
0-5A
l
 
3-1A
l
 
0-4A
w
 
0-1F
17
West Ham349916-1936 
l
 
0-1A
d
 
1-1A
w
 
4-1F
w
 
1-3F
18
Ipswich344921-4121 
d
 
1-1F
w
 
1-2F
w
 
4-1A
w
 
0-6F
19
Leicester344624-4918 
l
 
2-3F
May 3
w
 
2-0F
w
 
0-2F
20
Southampton H342527-5511 
-
-
w
 
1-0F
May 10
Win / draw / win form
Southampton 20TH
20 league games
Home
Overall
Goals: Scored
18
Conceded
47
Games: Scored
12 / 20
Conceded
18 / 20
Clean sheets
2 / 20
Failed to score
8 / 20
W
3
D
2
Lost
15
HOME FORM Win / Draw / Win
Southampton1 - 2Fulham
Southampton0 - 3A Villa
Southampton1 - 1C Palace
Southampton1 - 2Wolves
Southampton0 - 4Brighton
Southampton1 - 3Bournemouth
Southampton1 - 3Newcastle
Southampton0 - 5Brentford
Southampton0 - 1West Ham
Southampton0 - 5Spurs
Southampton1 - 5Chelsea
Southampton2 - 3Liverpool
Southampton1 - 0Everton
Southampton2 - 3Leicester
Southampton1 - 1Ipswich
Southampton0 - 3Man Utd
Southampton0 - 1Nottm Forest
Southampton3 - 1West Brom
Southampton0 - 1Stoke
Southampton3 - 0Preston
Goals: Scored
14
Conceded
50
Games: Scored
12 / 20
Conceded
19 / 20
Clean sheets
1 / 20
Failed to score
8 / 20
W
1
D
3
Lost
16
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
HSouthampton1 - 2Fulham
ASouthampton1 - 1West Ham
HSouthampton0 - 3A Villa
ASouthampton1 - 3Spurs
HSouthampton1 - 1C Palace
HSouthampton1 - 2Wolves
ASouthampton1 - 3Liverpool
ASouthampton0 - 4Chelsea
HSouthampton0 - 4Brighton
HSouthampton1 - 3Bournemouth
ASouthampton2 - 1Ipswich
HSouthampton1 - 3Newcastle
ASouthampton2 - 3Nottm Forest
ASouthampton1 - 3Man Utd
HSouthampton0 - 5Brentford
ASouthampton1 - 2C Palace
HSouthampton0 - 1West Ham
ASouthampton0 - 0Fulham
HSouthampton0 - 5Spurs
ASouthampton0 - 1A Villa
Man City 4TH
20 league games
Away
Overall
Goals: Scored
35
Conceded
21
Games: Scored
17 / 20
Conceded
11 / 20
Clean sheets
9 / 20
Failed to score
3 / 20
Won
10
D
4
Lost
6
AWAY FORM Win / Draw / Win
Everton0 - 2Man City
Man Utd0 - 0Man City
Nottm Forest1 - 0Man City
Spurs0 - 1Man City
Arsenal5 - 1Man City
Ipswich0 - 6Man City
Brentford2 - 2Man City
Leicester0 - 2Man City
A Villa2 - 1Man City
C Palace2 - 2Man City
Liverpool2 - 0Man City
Brighton2 - 1Man City
Bournemouth2 - 1Man City
Wolves1 - 2Man City
Newcastle1 - 1Man City
West Ham1 - 3Man City
Chelsea0 - 2Man City
Spurs0 - 2Man City
Fulham0 - 4Man City
Nottm Forest0 - 2Man City
Goals: Scored
41
Conceded
24
Games: Scored
17 / 20
Conceded
13 / 20
Clean sheets
7 / 20
Failed to score
3 / 20
Won
10
Draw
5
Lost
5
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
HMan City2 - 1A Villa
AMan City2 - 0Everton
HMan City5 - 2C Palace
AMan City0 - 0Man Utd
HMan City2 - 0Leicester
HMan City2 - 2Brighton
AMan City0 - 1Nottm Forest
AMan City1 - 0Spurs
HMan City0 - 2Liverpool
HMan City4 - 0Newcastle
AMan City1 - 5Arsenal
HMan City3 - 1Chelsea
AMan City6 - 0Ipswich
AMan City2 - 2Brentford
HMan City4 - 1West Ham
AMan City2 - 0Leicester
HMan City1 - 1Everton
AMan City1 - 2A Villa
HMan City1 - 2Man Utd
AMan City2 - 2C Palace
Win / draw / win head to head (H2H)
3
Man City have beaten Southampton in 3 consecutive league meetings
7
Man City have not lost to Southampton in 7 consecutive league meetings
League games at Southampton since 1993
Southampton
Man City
Goals: Scored
17
29
Games: Scored
10 / 19
16 / 19
Clean sheets
3 / 19
9 / 19
SOU
4
D
5
MCI
10
FIXTURE HISTORY AT Southampton
1 - 4Man City
Draw1 - 1Draw
0 - 1Man City
Southampton1 - 0
1 - 3Man City
0 - 1Man City
0 - 3Man City
Southampton4 - 2
0 - 3Man City
Draw1 - 1Draw
Southampton3 - 1
Draw0 - 0Draw
0 - 2Man City
Southampton2 - 0
0 - 2Man City
Draw1 - 1Draw
Draw2 - 2Draw
0 - 1Man City
0 - 1Man City
League games at Man City since 1992
Man City
Southampton
Goals: Scored
43
21
Games: Scored
17 / 20
15 / 20
Clean sheets
5 / 20
3 / 20
SOU
3
D
4
MCI
13
FIXTURE HISTORY AT Man City
Man City1 - 0
Man City4 - 0
Draw0 - 0Draw
Man City5 - 2
Man City2 - 1
Man City6 - 1
Man City2 - 1
Draw1 - 1Draw
Man City3 - 1
Man City2 - 0
Man City4 - 1
Man City3 - 2
Man City2 - 1
1 - 3Southampton
0 - 1Southampton
0 - 1Southampton
Man City2 - 1
Draw3 - 3Draw
Draw1 - 1Draw
Man City1 - 0
Goal Statistics

A truly dreadful PG of just 0.9 should cause concerns for Southampton fans, as should a 9 English Premier League matches run in which they have failed to score more than 1 goal.

Manchester City's forwards have been superb of late, scoring 2 goals or more in 3 consecutive English Premier League matches. A PG of 2.4 suggests that run should continue on Saturday afternoon.

Southampton 20th Man City 4th
Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction
0.9
goals
2.4
goals
Scoring probability
Scoring probability
0
42%
1
36%
2
16%
3
4+
There is a 78% probability of Southampton scoring 1 goal or less
0
1
21%
2
26%
3
21%
4+
23%
There is a 70% probability that Man City will score 2 or more goals in this match
 
20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games
-32
Southampton have scored 32% fewer goals at home than predicted
-3
Man City’s goalscoring when away has been inline with predictions
0.9
average goals scored
1.8
average goals scored
2.4
conceded
1.1
conceded
 
Attack defence ratings
Premier League - 2024/2025 season
https://api.kickoff.co.uk/v1/fixture/278152/accaPanel/formStats/marketCode/FULL
Southampton
PG (predicted goals)
Man City
0.9
2.4
Attack rating
SOU
MCI
43%
better
view stats
Games scored21
29
Failed to score13
5
Scored first11
19
Goals scored25
66
Avg. goals scored0.7
1.9
Avg. shots per game6
12
Avg. shots per goal8
6
Conversion rate for12
17
Avg. XG for1
1.8
KickOff rating
+43%
Defence rating
SOU
MCI
37%
better
view stats
Games conceded32
24
Clean sheets2
10
Conceded first22
14
Goals conceded80
43
Avg. goals conceded2.4
1.3
Avg. shots/game conceded13
7
Avg. shots/goal conceded5
6
Conversion rate against18%
17%
Avg. XG against2.3
1.3
KickOff rating
+37%

Southampton v Man City Premier League lLine ups will show here when available.

Southampton Premier League squad statistics 2024/2025
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
324310
K Walker-PetersP OnuachuM FernandesM Fernandes
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
K Walker-Peters DEF322
5
-
M Fernandes MID3223
10
-
T Harwood-Bellis DEF311
9
-
C Archer FWD312
-
J Aribo MID303
1
-
T Obling FWD302
9
-
Y Sugawara DEF2911
5
-
J Bednarek DEF282
7
-
A Ramsdale GLK26
2
-
L Ugochukwu MID2311
5
-
F Downes MID231
10
-
P Onuachu FWD2341
4
-
R Manning DEF221
3
-
K Sulemana FWD2211
1
-
J Stephens DEF161
2
2
J Bree DEF151
-
W Smallbone MID141
1
-
A Lallana MID142
6
-
N Wood DEF9
2
-
R Stewart FWD8
2
-
R Fraser FWD81
1
C Taylor DEF7
1
-
Welington  DEF7
1
-
A McCarthy GLK5
-
A Bella-Kotchap DEF4
-
A Grönbaek MID4
-
J Lumley GLK3
-
Man City Premier League squad statistics 2024/2025
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
322187
J GvardiolE HaalandS SávioB Silva
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
J Gvardiol DEF335
2
-
I Gündogan MID305
1
-
B Silva MID2934
7
-
M Kovacic MID2861
7
-
E Haaland FWD28213
2
-
S Sávio FWD2718
5
-
R Lewis DEF2612
4
1
J Doku FWD2536
1
-
P Foden FWD2572
2
-
K Bruyne MID2437
2
-
R Dias DEF23
5
-
M Nunes MID2315
4
-
Ederson GLK224
2
-
M Akanji DEF22
4
-
J Grealish FWD1911
4
-
S Ortega GLK13
1
-
J McAtee MID133
1
-
O Marmoush FWD126
-
J Stones DEF112
2
-
N Aké  DEF10
-
N González  MID8
3
-
A. Khusanov DEF6
1
-
Rodri MID2
-
O Bobb FWD2
-
V. de Oliveira Nunes dos Reis DEF1
-