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AZ v Sparta Prague : Europa Conference match betting preview, prediction and odds

Thu 12th Mar, 17:45 BST, AFAS Stadion, Alkmaar

AZ are in Europa Conference action on Thursday evening, as Maarten Martens attempts to outsmart Brian Priske Pedersen and his Sparta Prague side at the AFAS Stadion. It's our aim to give you everything you need to make a smart bet on this encounter, so we've searched our 20+ year database and found the stats that matter the most. Head-to-head and recent form is included, and it all goes into our algorithmic predictions. The best odds are there to ensure you get the best price.


Best Tip: Over 1.5 goals

Neither AZ Alkmaar or Sparta are in the sort of form that would leave us feeling confident enough to tip a match winner, so instead we've gone for over 1.5 goals. The statistics tell us that both have a track record in this market, both individually and when facing one another head-to-head. We're predicting there's a 76% chance of 2 goals or more.

In-Play
Win / Draw / Win
Over / Under 1.5 Goals
Over / Under 2.5 Goals
Over / Under 3.5 Goals
Win To Nil
Both Teams To Score
Correct Score
Both Teams To Score & Result
Double Chance
Half Time / Full Time
Over / Under 0.5 Goals
Over / Under 4.5 Goals
Over / Under 5.5 Goals
Draw No Bet
Team To Score First
If you’re looking for a winner in this match, we think AZ Alkmaar are the most likely. Our predictive algorithm gives them a 45% chance of victory, and the bookies have them at a best price of 2.20.

Checkout the hundreds of tips picked but our top win/draw/win tipsters

Change odds
Predictions Add Bet365 Coral
AZ Alkmaar
45%
11/106/5
Draw
25%
12/512/5
Sparta
30%
21/1023/10
Draw 1-1
12%
11/211/2
AZ Alkmaar 1-0
10%
7/17/1
AZ Alkmaar 2-1
9%
8/115/2
Sparta 1-0
8%
9/19/1
AZ Alkmaar 2-0
8%
9/19/1
Sparta 2-1
7%
10/110/1
Draw 0-0
6%
10/19/1
Draw 2-2
6%
14/111/1
Sparta 2-0
5%
16/114/1
AZ Alkmaar 3-1
5%
16/114/1
AZ Alkmaar 3-0
4%
18/116/1
Sparta 3-1
3%
25/120/1
AZ Alkmaar 3-2
3%
25/120/1
Sparta 3-2
2%
33/122/1
Sparta 3-0
2%
33/125/1
Over 2.5 Goals
52%
17/2017/20
Under 2.5 Goals
48%
19/2017/20
Home 1st Goal
51%
4/53/4
Away 1st Goal
45%
6/55/4
No 1st Goal
4%
10/117/2
BTTS - Yes
55%
8/118/11
BTTS - No
45%
1/121/20
BTTS - Home Win
21%
10/33/1
BTTS - Draw
19%
7/210/3
BTTS - Away Win
15%
5/119/4
Home/draw
70%
4/111/3
Away/draw
55%
7/104/6
Home/away
75%
3/103/10
Over 1.5 Goals
76%
1/42/7
Under 1.5 Goals
24%
11/45/2
Over 3.5 Goals
30%
9/421/10
Under 3.5 Goals
70%
1/31/3
Over 4.5 Goals
14%
5/119/4
Under 4.5 Goals
86%
1/81/9
Over 5.5 Goals
6%
12/110/1
Under 5.5 Goals
94%
1/251/33
Over 0.5 Goals
94%
1/201/25
Under 0.5 Goals
6%
10/117/2
Home DNB
62%
4/711/20
Away DNB
48%
5/413/10
AZ Alkmaar win to nil
23%
11/4-
Sparta win to nil
15%
9/2-
AZ Alkmaar / AZ Alkmaar
24%
5/29/4
AZ Alkmaar / Sparta
3%
28/122/1
AZ Alkmaar / Draw
6%
12/111/1
Draw / AZ Alkmaar
15%
9/217/4
Draw / Sparta
11%
13/26/1
Draw / Draw
15%
9/24/1
Sparta / AZ Alkmaar
4%
22/118/1
Sparta / Sparta
15%
9/24/1
Sparta / Draw
6%
14/111/1
Win / draw / win Europa Conference table
Won
Draw
Lost
AZ Alkmaar
Sparta
Results by League Table
TEAM PLD W D L GD PTS HOME AWAY HOME AWAY
1
Strasbourg6510616 
-
-
-
-
2
Rakow6420714 
-
-
d
 
0-00-0
-
3
AEK6411713 
-
-
-
-
4
Sparta6411713 
-
-
-
-
5
R.Vallecano6411613 
-
-
-
-
6
Shakhtar6411513 
-
-
-
-
7
Mainz6411413 
-
-
-
-
8
AEK Larnaca6330612 
-
l
 
4-0A
-
-
9
Lausanne6321311 
-
-
-
-
10
C Palace6312510 
-
l
 
3-1A
-
-
11
Lech Poznan6312410 
-
-
-
-
12
Samsunspor6312410 
-
-
-
-
13
Celje6312110 
-
-
-
-
14
AZ Alkmaar6312010 
-
-
-
-
15
Fiorentina630339 
-
-
-
-
16
Rijeka623139 
-
-
-
l
 
1-0A
17
Jagiellonia623119 
d
 
0-00-0
-
-
-
18
Omnia Nicosia622218 
-
-
-
-
19
Noah6222-18 
w
 
4-0F
l
 
1-0A
-
-
20
Drita6222-48 
-
w
 
0-3F
-
-
21
Kuopio PS614117 
-
-
-
-
22
Skendija 796213-17 
-
-
-
-
23
Hsk Zrinjski Mostar6213-27 
-
-
-
-
24
SK Sigma6213-27 
-
-
-
-
25
Universitatea Craiova6213-27 
-
-
-
w
 
1-2F
26
Lincoln Red Imps6213-87 
-
-
-
-
27
Dynamo Kyiv620406 
-
-
-
-
28
L. Warsaw620406 
-
-
-
w
 
0-1F
29
S. Bratislava6204-46 
w
 
1-0F
-
-
-
30
Breiðablik6123-55 
-
-
-
-
31
Shamrock6114-64 
-
-
w
 
4-1F
-
32
Häcken6033-33 
-
-
-
-
33
Hamrun Spartans6105-73 
-
-
-
-
34
Shelbourne6024-72 
w
 
2-0F
-
-
-
35
Aberdeen6024-112 
-
-
w
 
3-0F
-
36
Rapid Wien6015-111 
-
-
-
-
37
ILVES 
w
 
5-0F
l
 
4-3A
-
-
38
FC Vaduz 
w
 
3-0F
w
 
0-1F
-
-
39
Levski 
w
 
4-1F
w
 
0-2F
-
-
40
Aktobe 
-
-
w
 
4-0F
l
 
2-1A
41
Ararat-Armenia 
-
-
w
 
4-1A
w
 
1-2F
42
Riga 
-
-
w
 
2-0F
l
 
1-0A
Next round
Play Off
Win / draw / win form
14
AZ Alkmaar have not lost in 14 consecutive home european games
3
Sparta have won 3 consecutive european games
6
Sparta have not lost in 6 consecutive european games
4
AZ Alkmaar have kept a clean sheet for 4 consecutive home european games
AZ Alkmaar 14TH
20 league games
Home
14
Overall
Goals: Scored
40
Conceded
12
Games: Scored
18 / 20
Conceded
8 / 20
Clean sheets
12 / 20
Failed to score
2 / 20
Won
15
D
3
L
2
Goals: Scored
41
Conceded
23
Games: Scored
17 / 20
Conceded
9 / 20
Clean sheets
11 / 20
Failed to score
3 / 20
Won
12
D
2
Lost
6
Sparta 4TH
20 league games
Away
Overall
3
Goals: Scored
25
Conceded
37
Games: Scored
15 / 20
Conceded
16 / 20
Clean sheets
4 / 20
Failed to score
5 / 20
Won
7
D
3
Lost
10
Goals: Scored
30
Conceded
29
Games: Scored
13 / 20
Conceded
14 / 20
Clean sheets
6 / 20
Failed to score
7 / 20
Won
9
D
3
Lost
8
Goal Statistics

AZ have been consistent in attack of late, scoring in 10 consecutive Europa Conference games. Their PG of 1.5 against Sparta Prague on Thursday suggests that run is likely to continue.

AZ's defensive record is very strong, M. Martens's men having conceded 1 or less in 5 consecutive Europa Conference outings. An underwhelming PG rating of 1.2 for Sparta Prague makes sense in this context.

AZ Alkmaar 14th Sparta 4th
Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction
1.5
goals
1.2
goals
Scoring probability
Scoring probability
0
22%
1
33%
2
25%
3
13%
4+
There is a 78% probability that AZ Alkmaar will score 1 or more goals
0
30%
1
36%
2
22%
3
9%
4+
There is a 66% probability that Sparta will score no more than 1 goal
 
20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games
+10
AZ Alkmaar’s goalscoring at home has been inline with predictions
=0
Sparta’s goalscoring when away has been inline with predictions
2.0
average goals scored
1.3
average goals scored
0.6
conceded
1.9
conceded
 
Attack defence ratings
Europa Conference - 2025/2025 season
AZ Alkmaar
PG (predicted goals)
Sparta
1.5
1.2
Attack rating
AZ
SPP
13%
better
view stats
Games scored16
16
Failed to score4
4
Scored first8
11
Goals scored28
36
Avg. goals scored1.4
1.8
Avg. shots per game10
11
Avg. shots per goal7
6
Conversion rate for14
17
Avg. XG for1.8
1.4
KickOff rating
+13%
Defence rating
AZ
SPP
35%
better
view stats
Games conceded14
10
Clean sheets6
10
Conceded first11
6
Goals conceded31
17
Avg. goals conceded1.6
0.9
Avg. shots/game conceded8
7
Avg. shots/goal conceded5
8
Conversion rate against19%
12%
Avg. XG against1.3
0.6
KickOff rating
+35%

The line-ups for the Europa Conference match between AZ Alkmaar v Sparta will show here when available.

AZ Alkmaar Europa Conference squad statistics 2025
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
13756
P KoopmeinersT ParrottM WitW Goes
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
P Koopmeiners MID142
1
-
I Jensen FWD1433
3
-
M Wit DEF1325
1
-
W Goes DEF13
6
-
A Penetra DEF13
1
S Mijnans MID1363
2
-
K. Smit MID134
1
-
T Parrott FWD1271
3
-
R. Daal FWD1111
2
1
I Sadiq FWD104
3
-
R Owusu-Oduro GLK9
-
E. Dijkstra DEF9
1
-
M Meerdink FWD932
1
-
M. Chávez García DEF8
3
-
D Kasius DEF812
-
D. Kwakman MID6
1
-
J Zoet GLK5
-
Z Buurmeester MID5
1
-
J Clasie MID4
1
-
L Zeefuik FWD41
-
M Dekker DEF3
-
B Duijl DEF2
-
Sparta Europa Conference squad statistics 2025
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
12443
P Jensen A RrahmaniA PreciadoA Rrahmani
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
P Jensen  GLK12
-
A Rrahmani FWD124
3
-
S Eneme MID11
1
-
J Kuchta FWD1133
1
-
V Birmancevic FWD1132
1
-
L Haraslin FWD1122
2
-
P Vydra MID101
-
M Ryneš MID1022
3
-
A Sörensen DEF91
2
-
A Preciado DEF914
2
-
A. Ševínský DEF91
3
-
K Kairinen MID91
-
P Kaderabek DEF82
-
J Zeleny DEF8
1
-
E. Aririerisim DEF8
2
-
J Mercado FWD71
-
M Suchomel MID51
1
-
K Milla FWD5
-
L Sadilek MID412
-
M Andersen MID4
-
E Cobbaut  DEF3
-
E Krasniqi MID11
-