Lech Poznan's team badge Shakhtar Donetsk's team badge

Lech Poznan v Shakhtar Donetsk : Europa Conference match betting preview, prediction and odds

Thu 12th Mar, 17:45 BST, ,

We want to see our users winning on this match, so every statistics you could ever need to make a smart selection is laid out below. Switch between seventeen betting markets or take our top tip. We have predictions, head-to-head analysis and odds from the UK's biggest bookmakers for each one.


Best Tip: Over 1.5 goals

The statistics suggest there's no obvious winner for this clash, but the evidence does point towards the conclusion that Lech Poznan and Shakhtar will score at least a couple of goals between them. That has been the case when they've gone head-to-head historically, and neither Niels Frederiksen or Arda Turan has served up too many 0-0s of late either. The bookies predict over 1.5 goals too, with best odds of 1.25 equating to about a 78% probability.

In-Play
Win / Draw / Win
Over / Under 1.5 Goals
Over / Under 2.5 Goals
Over / Under 3.5 Goals
Win To Nil
Both Teams To Score
Correct Score
Both Teams To Score & Result
Double Chance
Half Time / Full Time
Over / Under 0.5 Goals
Over / Under 4.5 Goals
Over / Under 5.5 Goals
Draw No Bet
Team To Score First
If you’re looking for a winner in this match, we think Lech Poznan are the most likely. Our predictive algorithm gives them a 37% chance of victory, and the bookies have them at a best price of 2.62.

Checkout the hundreds of tips picked but our top win/draw/win tipsters

Change odds
Predictions Add Bet365 Coral
Lech Poznan
37%
31/208/5
Draw
25%
11/512/5
Shakhtar
37%
31/208/5
Draw 1-1
12%
11/211/2
Shakhtar 1-0
9%
17/28/1
Lech Poznan 1-0
9%
17/28/1
Shakhtar 2-1
8%
9/18/1
Lech Poznan 2-1
8%
9/18/1
Draw 0-0
6%
10/110/1
Shakhtar 2-0
6%
12/111/1
Lech Poznan 2-0
6%
12/111/1
Draw 2-2
6%
12/110/1
Shakhtar 3-1
4%
20/116/1
Lech Poznan 3-1
4%
20/116/1
Shakhtar 3-0
3%
25/120/1
Lech Poznan 3-0
3%
25/120/1
Shakhtar 3-2
3%
28/120/1
Lech Poznan 3-2
3%
28/120/1
Over 2.5 Goals
53%
4/54/5
Under 2.5 Goals
47%
1/119/20
Home 1st Goal
48%
20/2119/20
Away 1st Goal
48%
20/211/1
No 1st Goal
4%
10/19/1
BTTS - Yes
57%
4/613/20
BTTS - No
43%
11/1023/20
BTTS - Home Win
19%
4/118/5
BTTS - Draw
19%
10/316/5
BTTS - Away Win
19%
4/17/2
Home/draw
63%
4/910/21
Away/draw
63%
4/910/21
Home/away
75%
1/33/10
Over 1.5 Goals
77%
1/41/4
Under 1.5 Goals
23%
11/413/5
Over 3.5 Goals
31%
2/119/10
Under 3.5 Goals
69%
4/114/11
Over 4.5 Goals
15%
9/29/2
Under 4.5 Goals
85%
1/71/8
Over 5.5 Goals
6%
12/110/1
Under 5.5 Goals
94%
1/251/33
Over 0.5 Goals
94%
1/251/25
Under 0.5 Goals
6%
12/19/1
Home DNB
55%
5/617/20
Away DNB
55%
5/617/20
Lech Poznan win to nil
19%
7/2-
Shakhtar win to nil
19%
7/2-
Lech Poznan / Lech Poznan
19%
10/329/10
Lech Poznan / Shakhtar
3%
25/120/1
Lech Poznan / Draw
7%
12/110/1
Draw / Lech Poznan
13%
5/15/1
Draw / Shakhtar
13%
5/15/1
Draw / Draw
15%
9/24/1
Shakhtar / Lech Poznan
3%
25/120/1
Shakhtar / Shakhtar
19%
10/33/1
Shakhtar / Draw
6%
12/110/1
Match Predictor Pro
Your ultimate betting assistant
Try it now
Win / draw / win Europa Conference table
Won
Draw
Lost
Lech Poznan
Shakhtar
Results by League Table
TEAM PLD W D L GD PTS HOME AWAY HOME AWAY
1
Strasbourg6510616 
-
-
-
-
2
Rakow6420714 
-
-
-
-
3
AEK6411713 
-
-
-
-
4
Sparta6411713 
-
-
-
-
5
R.Vallecano6411613 
-
l
 
3-2F
-
-
6
Shakhtar6411513 
-
-
-
-
7
Mainz6411413 
d
 
1-1A
-
-
-
8
AEK Larnaca6330612 
-
-
-
-
9
Lausanne6321311 
w
 
2-0F
-
-
-
10
C Palace6312510 
-
-
-
-
11
Lech Poznan6312410 
-
-
-
-
12
Samsunspor6312410 
-
-
-
-
13
Celje6312110 
-
-
-
-
14
AZ Alkmaar6312010 
-
-
-
-
15
Fiorentina630339 
-
-
-
-
16
Rijeka623139 
-
-
d
 
0-00-0
-
17
Jagiellonia623119 
-
-
-
-
18
Omnia Nicosia622218 
-
-
-
-
19
Noah6222-18 
-
-
-
-
20
Drita6222-48 
-
-
-
-
21
Kuopio PS614117 
w
 
1-0F
w
 
0-2F
-
-
22
Skendija 796213-17 
-
-
-
-
23
Hsk Zrinjski Mostar6213-27 
-
-
-
-
24
SK Sigma6213-27 
-
w
 
1-2F
-
-
25
Universitatea Craiova6213-27 
-
-
-
-
26
Lincoln Red Imps6213-87 
-
l
 
2-1A
-
-
27
Dynamo Kyiv620406 
-
-
-
-
28
L. Warsaw620406 
-
-
l
 
1-2A
-
29
S. Bratislava6204-46 
-
-
-
-
30
Breiðablik6123-55 
-
-
w
 
2-0F
-
31
Shamrock6114-64 
-
-
-
w
 
1-2F
32
Häcken6033-33 
-
-
-
-
33
Hamrun Spartans6105-73 
-
-
-
w
 
0-2F
34
Shelbourne6024-72 
-
-
-
-
35
Aberdeen6024-112 
-
-
-
w
 
2-3A
36
Rapid Wien6015-111 
w
 
4-1F
-
-
-
37
Servette 
-
-
d
 
1-1A
w
 
1-2A
Next round
Play Off
Win / draw / win form
3
Lech Poznan have won 3 consecutive european games
3
Shakhtar have won 3 consecutive away european games
5
Lech Poznan have not lost in 5 consecutive european games
7
Shakhtar have not lost in 7 consecutive away european games
Lech Poznan 11TH
20 league games
Home
Overall
3
Goals: Scored
43
Conceded
21
Games: Scored
18 / 20
Conceded
11 / 20
Clean sheets
9 / 20
Failed to score
2 / 20
Won
14
D
2
L
4
HOME FORM Win / Draw / Win
Lech Poznan1 - 0Kuopio PS
Lech Poznan1 - 1Mainz
Lech Poznan2 - 0Lausanne
Lech Poznan4 - 1Rapid Wien
Lech Poznan1 - 5Genk
Lech Poznan1 - 3Red Star Bel.
Lech Poznan7 - 1Breiðablik
Lech Poznan2 - 1Spartak Trnava
Lech Poznan3 - 1Kauno Zalgiris
Lech Poznan1 - 4Fiorentina
Lech Poznan2 - 0Djurgårdens
Lech Poznan1 - 0Bodø
Lech Poznan3 - 0Villarreal
Lech Poznan0 - 0Beer Sheva
Lech Poznan4 - 1Austria Wien
Lech Poznan2 - 0F91 Dudelange
Lech Poznan2 - 1Víkingur
Lech Poznan5 - 0D Batumi
Lech Poznan1 - 0Qarabag
Lech Poznan0 - 2Rangers
Goals: Scored
39
Conceded
31
Games: Scored
20 / 20
Conceded
16 / 20
Clean sheets
4 / 20
Failed to score
0 / 20
Won
12
D
2
Lost
6
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
HLech Poznan1 - 0Kuopio PS
ALech Poznan2 - 0Kuopio PS
ALech Poznan2 - 1SK Sigma
HLech Poznan1 - 1Mainz
HLech Poznan2 - 0Lausanne
ALech Poznan2 - 3R.Vallecano
ALech Poznan1 - 2Lincoln Red Imps
HLech Poznan4 - 1Rapid Wien
ALech Poznan2 - 1Genk
HLech Poznan1 - 5Genk
ALech Poznan1 - 1Red Star Bel.
HLech Poznan1 - 3Red Star Bel.
ALech Poznan1 - 0Breiðablik
HLech Poznan7 - 1Breiðablik
ALech Poznan1 - 3Spartak Trnava
HLech Poznan2 - 1Spartak Trnava
ALech Poznan1 - 0Kauno Zalgiris
HLech Poznan3 - 1Kauno Zalgiris
ALech Poznan3 - 2Fiorentina
HLech Poznan1 - 4Fiorentina
Shakhtar 6TH
20 league games
Away
3
Overall
Goals: Scored
30
Conceded
38
Games: Scored
15 / 20
Conceded
16 / 20
Clean sheets
4 / 20
Failed to score
5 / 20
Won
6
Draw
5
Lost
9
AWAY FORM Win / Draw / Win
Hamrun Spartans0 - 2Shakhtar
Shamrock1 - 2Shakhtar
Aberdeen2 - 3Shakhtar
Servette1 - 1Shakhtar
Panathinaikos0 - 0Shakhtar
Besiktas2 - 4Shakhtar
ILVES0 - 0Shakhtar
Dortmund3 - 1Shakhtar
PSV3 - 2Shakhtar
Arsenal1 - 0Shakhtar
Bologna0 - 0Shakhtar
Marseille3 - 1Shakhtar
Porto5 - 3Shakhtar
Barcelona2 - 1Shakhtar
Antwerp2 - 3Shakhtar
Feyenoord7 - 1Shakhtar
Rennes1 - 0Shakhtar
Celtic1 - 1Shakhtar
Real Madrid2 - 1Shakhtar
RB Leipzig1 - 4Shakhtar
Goals: Scored
32
Conceded
22
Games: Scored
15 / 20
Conceded
11 / 20
Clean sheets
9 / 20
Failed to score
5 / 20
Won
9
Draw
6
Lost
5
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
HShakhtar0 - 0Rijeka
AShakhtar2 - 0Hamrun Spartans
AShakhtar2 - 1Shamrock
HShakhtar2 - 0Breiðablik
HShakhtar1 - 2L. Warsaw
AShakhtar3 - 2Aberdeen
AShakhtar1 - 1Servette
HShakhtar1 - 1Servette
HShakhtar0 - 0Panathinaikos
AShakhtar0 - 0Panathinaikos
HShakhtar2 - 0Besiktas
AShakhtar4 - 2Besiktas
AShakhtar0 - 0ILVES
HShakhtar6 - 0ILVES
AShakhtar1 - 3Dortmund
HShakhtar2 - 0Brest
HShakhtar1 - 5Bayern
AShakhtar2 - 3PSV
HShakhtar2 - 1Young Boys
AShakhtar0 - 1Arsenal
Goal Statistics

Lech Poznan's defensive record is very strong, N. Frederiksen's men having conceded 1 or less in 5 consecutive Europa Conference matches. An average PG rating of 1.4 for Shakhtar Donetsk makes sense in this context.

Lech Poznan 11th Shakhtar 6th
Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction
1.4
goals
1.4
goals
Scoring probability
Scoring probability
0
25%
1
35%
2
24%
3
11%
4+
There is a 60% probability that Lech Poznan will score no more than 1 goal
0
25%
1
35%
2
24%
3
11%
4+
There is a 60% probability that Shakhtar will score no more than 1 goal
 
20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games
+16
Lech Poznan have scored 16% more goals at home than predicted
+19
Shakhtar have scored 19% more goals when away than predicted
2.2
average goals scored
1.5
average goals scored
1.1
conceded
1.9
conceded
 
Attack defence ratings
Europa Conference - 2025/2025 season
Lech Poznan
PG (predicted goals)
Shakhtar
1.4
1.4
Attack rating
11%
better
LPO
SDK
view stats
Games scored17
15
Failed to score3
5
Scored first11
9
Goals scored33
32
Avg. goals scored1.7
1.6
Avg. shots per game12
11
Avg. shots per goal7
7
Conversion rate for14
15
Avg. XG for2.3
1.5
KickOff rating
+11%
Defence rating
LPO
SDK
9%
better
view stats
Games conceded13
11
Clean sheets7
9
Conceded first7
7
Goals conceded25
22
Avg. goals conceded1.3
1.1
Avg. shots/game conceded10
8
Avg. shots/goal conceded8
8
Conversion rate against12%
13%
Avg. XG against1.4
1.4
KickOff rating
+9%

The line-ups for the Europa Conference match between Lech Poznan v Shakhtar will show here when available.

Lech Poznan Europa Conference squad statistics 2025
Overall
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
NO DATA AVAILABLE
Shakhtar Europa Conference squad statistics 2025
Overall
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
NO DATA AVAILABLE