Lorient's team badge Metz's team badge

Lorient v Metz : Ligue 1 match betting preview, prediction and odds

Sun 4th Jan, 16:15 BST, Stade du Moustoir, Lorient

Metz pay Ligue 1 rivals Lorient a visit on Sunday afternoon, as Stéphane Le Mignan leads his side into an away clash with Olivier Pantaloni & co. at the Stade du Moustoir. Ligue 1 statistics are the backbone of the predictions you'll find below, with head to head (H2H) records included too. It's all on this page, with data visualisations and the best odds available for every betting markets using the tabs.


Want to know who’s consistently beating the odds? Check out the Top Ligue 1 Tipsters and see the most profitable experts for this season!

If you’re keen on betting across various leagues and markets, our Live Bets page showcases active accumulator bets and real-time tips.

Best Tip: Lorient to win

It looks like we could well have a dominant side in this fixture, and it's Lorient. Their recent form stats show they're capable in front of their own fans, and historical head-to-head (H2H) data proves they know how to beat Metz too. The odds point towards Olivier Pantaloni's side claiming victory in the win / draw / win market, and that's what we're predicting for Sunday afternoon too.

In-Play
Win / Draw / Win
Over / Under 1.5 Goals
Over / Under 2.5 Goals
Over / Under 3.5 Goals
Win To Nil
Both Teams To Score
Correct Score
Both Teams To Score & Result
Double Chance
Half Time / Full Time
Over / Under 0.5 Goals
Over / Under 4.5 Goals
Over / Under 5.5 Goals
Draw No Bet
Team To Score First
If you’re looking for a winner in this match, we think Lorient are the most likely. Our predictive algorithm gives them a 62% chance of victory, and the bookies have them at a best price of 1.75.

Checkout the hundreds of tips picked but our top win/draw/win tipsters

Change odds
Predictions Add Bet365 Coral
Lorient
62%
3/43/4
Draw
19%
5/227/10
Metz
20%
15/418/5
Lorient 2-1
9%
15/213/2
Lorient 3-1
7%
12/110/1
Draw 1-1
7%
6/111/2
7%
Lorient 2-0
7%
15/2
6%
7/1
Draw 2-2
6%
12/111/1
Lorient 1-0
5%
7/16/1
Lorient 3-0
5%
12/1
13%
11/1
Metz 2-1
5%
14/111/1
Lorient 3-2
5%
22/118/1
Lorient 4-1
5%
25/1
10%
18/1
10%
Lorient 4-0
3%
25/1
10%
20/1
Lorient 4-2
3%
40/128/1
Metz 1-0
3%
14/1
15%
11/1
9%
Metz 3-2
3%
40/125/1
Metz 3-1
2%
40/1
21%
25/1
Over 2.5 Goals
73%
4/53/4
3%
Under 2.5 Goals
27%
1/119/20
Home 1st Goal
54%
4/711/20
1%
Away 1st Goal
44%
8/5
4%
7/4
2%
No 1st Goal
1%
10/117/2
BTTS - Yes
68%
3/43/4
BTTS - No
32%
1/11/1
3%
BTTS - Home Win
38%
13/512/5
BTTS - Draw
16%
7/27/2
2%
BTTS - Away Win
14%
8/1
6%
13/2
Home/draw
80%
2/111/5
Away/draw
38%
1/121/20
Home/away
81%
2/72/7
3%
Over 1.5 Goals
89%
1/41/4
Under 1.5 Goals
11%
3/127/10
3%
Over 3.5 Goals
53%
11/5
7%
9/5
3%
Under 3.5 Goals
47%
4/11
3%
2/5
3%
Over 4.5 Goals
33%
9/217/4
Under 4.5 Goals
67%
1/71/7
1%
Over 5.5 Goals
18%
10/19/1
Under 5.5 Goals
82%
1/201/25
Over 0.5 Goals
98%
1/201/25
Under 0.5 Goals
2%
10/19/1
5%
Home DNB
75%
2/7
1%
3/10
Away DNB
33%
5/2
3%
9/4
Lorient win to nil
24%
2/1
8%
-
Metz win to nil
6%
8/1-
Lorient / Lorient
30%
7/48/5
4%
Lorient / Metz
3%
33/125/1
10%
Lorient / Draw
6%
14/1
15%
11/1
8%
Draw / Lorient
17%
15/419/5
9%
Draw / Metz
9%
9/1
5%
8/1
6%
Draw / Draw
14%
5/117/4
5%
Metz / Lorient
4%
20/116/1
Metz / Metz
11%
13/2
7%
6/1
Metz / Draw
6%
14/112/1
Match Predictor Pro
Your ultimate betting assistant
Try it now
Win / draw / win Ligue 1 table

Lorient have played 16 matches so far this season and lay in 12th place in the Ligue 1 league table.

Performance against teams below them in the league

They have played 5 games against teams below in the table, having won 1, drawn 2 and lost 2 matches. They have kept 0 clean sheets and have failed to score in 2 fixtures. Lorient have outscored their opponents by 19 goals to 17 goals.

Home League Performance

Lorient have played 8 games at home winning 4, drawing 3 and losing 1 game. They have scored 17 goals, kept 2 clean sheets and conceded 14 goals at home.

Metz are in 18th position in the Ligue 1 on 11 points having played 16 matches so far this season.

Away League Performance

7 of those games have been losing matches. They have conceded 27 goals and kept 1 clean sheet. They have scored 10 goals in total and failed to score in 2 fixtures.

Performance against teams above them in the league

16 games have come against teams above them in the table. They have lost 11 games, drawn 2 and won 3. Metz have conceded 37 goals, scored 17, failed to score in 6 fixtures and have kept 3 clean sheets.

Won
Draw
Lost
Lorient
Metz
Results by League Table
TEAM PLD W D L GD PTS HOME AWAY HOME AWAY
1
Lens1612131537 
Mar 15
l
 
3-0A
w
 
2-0F
Mar 8
2
PSG1611322136 
d
 
1-1A
May 3
l
 
2-3A
Feb 22
3
Marseille1610242132 
Apr 19
l
 
4-0A
l
 
0-3A
Apr 12
4
Lille1610241332 
l
 
1-7A
Mar 8
Feb 8
l
 
6-1A
5
Lyon16835627 
w
 
1-0F
Apr 12
Jan 25
l
 
3-0A
6
Rennes16763327 
w
 
4-0F
Jan 24
l
 
0-1A
Mar 22
7
Strasbourg16727523 
Apr 26
d
 
0-00-0
l
 
0-1A
Jan 18
8
Toulouse16655523 
d
 
1-1F
Mar 22
Mar 15
l
 
4-0A
9
Monaco16727-123 
w
 
3-1F
Jan 16
May 3
l
 
5-2F
10
Angers16646-122 
Feb 15
l
 
2-0A
d
 
1-1F
Feb 1
11
Brest16547-619 
d
 
3-3F
Feb 8
Mar 1
l
 
3-2A
12
Lorient16466-918 
-
-
May 9
Jan 4
13
Nice16529-1017 
w
 
3-1A
Feb 22
w
 
2-1A
May 16
14
Paris FC16448-816 
Apr 5
l
 
2-0A
Apr 19
l
 
3-2F
15
Le Havre16367-915 
May 16
d
 
1-1F
d
 
0-00-0
Apr 26
16
Auxerre163310-1112 
Mar 1
l
 
1-0A
Feb 15
l
 
3-1A
17
Nantes16259-1411 
Jan 31
d
 
1-1F
Apr 5
w
 
0-2F
18
Metz163211-2011 
Jan 4
May 9
-
-
Win / draw / win form
4
Metz have lost 4 consecutive league games
6
Lorient have not lost in 6 consecutive home league games
Lorient 12TH
20 league games
Home
6
Overall
Goals: Scored
51
Conceded
21
Games: Scored
18 / 20
Conceded
12 / 20
Clean sheets
8 / 20
Failed to score
2 / 20
Won
14
D
4
L
2
HOME FORM Win / Draw / Win
Lorient1 - 0Lyon
Lorient3 - 1Nice
Lorient1 - 1Toulouse
Lorient1 - 1PSG
Lorient3 - 3Brest
Lorient3 - 1Monaco
Lorient1 - 7Lille
Lorient4 - 0Rennes
Lorient5 - 1Martigues
Lorient4 - 0Caen
Lorient5 - 0Pau
Lorient4 - 0Bastia
Lorient3 - 1Rodez
Lorient0 - 1Lavallois
Lorient3 - 1Amiens
Lorient3 - 2Clermont
Lorient0 - 0Metz
Lorient2 - 0Paris FC
Lorient2 - 0Troyes
Lorient3 - 1Guingamp
Goals: Scored
29
Conceded
31
Games: Scored
13 / 20
Conceded
15 / 20
Clean sheets
5 / 20
Failed to score
7 / 20
Won
6
Draw
7
Lost
7
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
ALorient0 - 0Strasbourg
HLorient1 - 0Lyon
HLorient3 - 1Nice
ALorient1 - 1Nantes
HLorient1 - 1Toulouse
ALorient0 - 3Lens
HLorient1 - 1PSG
ALorient0 - 2Angers
HLorient3 - 3Brest
ALorient0 - 2Paris FC
HLorient3 - 1Monaco
ALorient1 - 1Le Havre
ALorient0 - 4Marseille
HLorient1 - 7Lille
HLorient4 - 0Rennes
ALorient0 - 1Auxerre
HLorient5 - 1Martigues
ALorient1 - 2Ajaccio
HLorient4 - 0Caen
ALorient0 - 0Annecy
Metz 18TH
20 league games
Away
Overall
4
Goals: Scored
31
Conceded
39
Games: Scored
16 / 20
Conceded
15 / 20
Clean sheets
5 / 20
Failed to score
4 / 20
Won
7
Draw
5
Lost
8
AWAY FORM Win / Draw / Win
Auxerre3 - 1Metz
Brest3 - 2Metz
Nantes0 - 2Metz
Lille6 - 1Metz
Toulouse4 - 0Metz
Monaco5 - 2Metz
Paris FC3 - 2Metz
Lyon3 - 0Metz
Lavallois2 - 3Metz
Pau2 - 1Metz
Martigues1 - 4Metz
Caen2 - 2Metz
Dunkerque2 - 3Metz
Amiens1 - 2Metz
Guingamp0 - 3Metz
Bastia1 - 1Metz
Lorient0 - 0Metz
Annecy0 - 0Metz
Clermont1 - 1Metz
Ajaccio0 - 1Metz
Goals: Scored
25
Conceded
44
Games: Scored
14 / 20
Conceded
16 / 20
Clean sheets
4 / 20
Failed to score
6 / 20
Won
5
D
3
Lost
12
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
HMetz2 - 3PSG
AMetz1 - 3Auxerre
HMetz0 - 1Rennes
AMetz2 - 3Brest
HMetz2 - 1Nice
AMetz2 - 0Nantes
HMetz2 - 0Lens
AMetz1 - 6Lille
AMetz0 - 4Toulouse
HMetz0 - 3Marseille
HMetz0 - 0Le Havre
AMetz2 - 5Monaco
HMetz1 - 1Angers
AMetz2 - 3Paris FC
AMetz0 - 3Lyon
HMetz0 - 1Strasbourg
HMetz1 - 0Dunkerque
AMetz3 - 2Lavallois
HMetz3 - 3Rodez
AMetz1 - 2Pau
Win / draw / win head to head (H2H)
League games at Lorient since 2014
Lorient
Metz
Goals: Scored
13
6
Games: Scored
5 / 7
4 / 7
Clean sheets
3 / 7
2 / 7
LOR
4
D
2
MET
1
FIXTURE HISTORY AT Lorient
Draw0 - 0Draw
2 - 3Metz
Lorient1 - 0
Lorient2 - 1
Draw0 - 0Draw
Lorient5 - 1
Lorient3 - 1
League games at Metz since 2015
Metz
Lorient
Goals: Scored
14
13
Games: Scored
6 / 7
7 / 7
Clean sheets
0 / 7
1 / 7
LOR
2
D
2
MET
3
FIXTURE HISTORY AT Metz
Draw1 - 1Draw
1 - 2Lorient
Metz4 - 1
Metz3 - 1
Metz2 - 1
Draw3 - 3Draw
0 - 4Lorient
Goal Statistics

Lorient's defensive record is very strong, O. Pantaloni's men having conceded 1 or less in 5 consecutive Ligue 1 outings. An underwhelming PG rating of 1.4 for Metz makes sense in this context.

Lorient 12th Metz 18th
Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction
2.4
goals
1.4
goals
Scoring probability
Scoring probability
0
9%
1
21%
2
26%
3
21%
4+
23%
There is a 70% probability that Lorient will score 2 or more goals in this match
0
26%
1
35%
2
24%
3
11%
4+
There is a 61% probability that Metz will score no more than 1 goal
 
20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games
+44
Lorient have scored 44% more goals at home than predicted
+35
Metz have scored 35% more goals when away than predicted
2.6
average goals scored
1.6
average goals scored
1.1
conceded
2.0
conceded
 
Attack defence ratings
Ligue 1 - 2025/2026 season
Lorient
PG (predicted goals)
Metz
2.4
1.4
Attack rating
3%
better
LOR
MET
view stats
Games scored10
10
Failed to score6
6
Scored first7
5
Goals scored19
17
Avg. goals scored1.2
1.1
Avg. shots per game9
7
Avg. shots per goal8
6
Conversion rate for13
16
Avg. XG for1.4
1.1
KickOff rating
+3%
Defence rating
6%
better
LOR
MET
view stats
Games conceded13
13
Clean sheets3
3
Conceded first8
10
Goals conceded28
37
Avg. goals conceded1.8
2.3
Avg. shots/game conceded7
12
Avg. shots/goal conceded4
5
Conversion rate against24%
19%
Avg. XG against1.4
1.9
KickOff rating
+6%

Lorient v Metz Ligue 1 lLine ups will show here when available.

Lorient Ligue 1 squad statistics 2025/2026
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
16545
M TalbiP PagisK. KouassiL Abergel
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
K. Kouassi DEF1614
2
-
M Talbi DEF16
1
-
A Avon MID161
3
-
S Soumano FWD1642
2
-
T Bris MID1521
-
L Abergel MID151
5
-
D Yongwa DEF14
2
1
K Dermane MID141
3
-
A Tosin  FWD143
1
-
Mohamed Bamba FWD1411
2
-
Y Mvogo  GLK13
-
J Makengo MID131
-
P Pagis FWD135
1
-
J Mvuka FWD13
-
N Cadiou MID11
-
B Meïté DEF101
2
-
A. Faye DEF7
5
-
I Silva DEF71
1
-
B Dieng FWD41
1
-
B Kamara GLK3
-
P Katseris MID3
1
-
N Adjei DEF2
-
Metz Ligue 1 squad statistics 2025/2026
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
16534
J GbaminG HeinG HeinJ Deminguet
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
J. Fischer GLK16
-
J Gbamin DEF1611
-
A. Touré MID16
2
-
G Tsitaishvili FWD1621
-
J Deminguet MID151
4
-
K Kouao DEF14
3
-
C Sabaly FWD142
2
-
G Hein FWD1453
2
1
T Yegbe DEF131
-
B Traoré MID131
2
-
I. Sane FWD1311
1
-
H Diallo FWD1131
-
M Colin DEF10
-
G Abuashvili FWD101
1
-
B Stambouli MID9
-
M. Bokele Mputu FWD8
-
S. Sané DEF71
1
2
F Ballo-Touré  DEF6
1
-
J Asoro FWD6
-
B. Djomeni Madjo FWD5
-
U. Mboula DEF3
-
I. Guerti MID3
-
M Mbaye FWD3
1
-
C. Mélières DEF2
1
-
P Sy GLK1
-