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Marseille v Le Mans : Ligue 1 match betting preview, prediction and odds

Sun 22nd Nov, 19:45 BST, Stade Vélodrome, Marseille

The Ligue 1 is the focus for both Marseille and Le Mans on Sunday evening, as bosses Bruno Génésio and Patrick Videira go head to head at the Stade Vélodrome. This preview has odds from leading bookmakers for 17 different betting markets, alongside bespoke data that updates as you go between markets. Our predictions run off the last 20 matches, so all statistics are shown from a 20-game perspective. Home, away and overall performance can be viewed, while there's also head to head (H2H) history later on in the preview.


Want to know who’s consistently beating the odds? Check out the Top Ligue 1 Tipsters and see the most profitable experts for this season!

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Best Tip: Marseille to win

We are predicting Marseille will come out on top after 90 minutes on Sunday in the win / draw / win market. The recent form stats and historical head-to-head (H2H) records below all that they're well placed to do just that and, as favourites with the bookmakers, the odds back that up too. It should be great moment for the home fans when the referee blows the final whistle at Stade Vélodrome.

In-Play
Win / Draw / Win
Over / Under 1.5 Goals
Over / Under 2.5 Goals
Over / Under 3.5 Goals
Win To Nil
Both Teams To Score
Correct Score
Both Teams To Score & Result
Double Chance
Half Time / Full Time
Over / Under 0.5 Goals
Over / Under 4.5 Goals
Over / Under 5.5 Goals
Draw No Bet
Team To Score First
If you’re looking for a winner in this match, we think Marseille are the most likely. Our predictive algorithm gives them a 62% chance of victory, and the bookies have them at a best price of 1.42.

Checkout the hundreds of tips picked but our top win/draw/win tipsters

Change odds
Predictions Add Bet365 Coral
Marseille
62%
21/50
4%
-
Draw
19%
7/2
5%
-
Le Mans
19%
6/1
7%
-
Marseille 2-1
10%
15/2
6%
-
Draw 1-1
8%
8/1
10%
-
Marseille 2-0
8%
15/2
6%
-
Marseille 3-1
7%
10/1
10%
-
Marseille 1-0
7%
17/2
14%
-
Marseille 3-0
6%
10/1
10%
-
Draw 2-2
6%
14/1-
Le Mans 2-1
5%
20/1
9%
-
Marseille 3-2
4%
20/1
11%
-
Marseille 4-1
4%
16/1
13%
-
Marseille 4-0
4%
18/1
27%
-
Le Mans 1-0
4%
22/1
21%
-
Draw 0-0
3%
18/1
10%
-
Marseille 4-2
3%
28/1-
Le Mans 3-2
2%
40/1-
Over 2.5 Goals
68%
1/2
7%
-
Under 2.5 Goals
32%
13/8
12%
-
Home 1st Goal
56%
2/5
3%
-
Away 1st Goal
43%
15/8
4%
-
No 1st Goal
1%
18/1
10%
-
BTTS - Yes
63%
4/6
3%
-
BTTS - No
37%
11/10
5%
-
BTTS - Home Win
35%
7/4
10%
-
BTTS - Draw
16%
9/2-
BTTS - Away Win
12%
9/1
17%
-
Home/draw
81%
1/10-
Away/draw
38%
7/4
8%
-
Home/away
81%
2/11-
Over 1.5 Goals
87%
1/7
3%
-
Under 1.5 Goals
13%
9/2
15%
-
Over 3.5 Goals
47%
6/5
10%
-
Under 3.5 Goals
53%
4/6
7%
-
Over 4.5 Goals
28%
3/1
18%
-
Under 4.5 Goals
72%
1/4
6%
-
Over 5.5 Goals
14%
6/1
27%
-
Under 5.5 Goals
86%
1/10
4%
-
Over 0.5 Goals
97%
1/50-
Under 0.5 Goals
3%
18/1
10%
-
Home DNB
76%
1/7
3%
-
Away DNB
32%
9/2
15%
-
Marseille win to nil
27%
7/4
5%
-
Le Mans win to nil
7%
14/1
12%
-
Marseille / Marseille
39%
11/10
10%
-
Marseille / Le Mans
2%
40/1-
Marseille / Draw
6%
14/1
12%
-
Draw / Marseille
19%
10/3-
Draw / Le Mans
6%
14/1
12%
-
Draw / Draw
11%
13/2
17%
-
Le Mans / Marseille
5%
16/1-
Le Mans / Le Mans
8%
10/1
15%
-
Le Mans / Draw
5%
16/1
11%
-
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Win / draw / win Ligue 1 table

Marseille have played 9 matches so far this season and lay in 6th place in the Ligue 1 league table.

Performance against teams below them in the league

They have played 6 games against teams below in the table, having won 5, drawn 0 and lost 1 match. They have kept 3 clean sheets and have failed to score in 1 fixture. Marseille have outscored their opponents by 20 goals to 11 goals.

Home League Performance

Marseille have played 5 games at home winning 3, drawing 0 and losing 2 games. They have scored 13 goals, kept 2 clean sheets and conceded 8 goals at home.

Le Mans are in 17th position in the Ligue 1 on 7 points having played 9 matches so far this season. Le Mans are having a poor run against away teams, having not won a match so far this season. They have also not scored in 1 of those game.

Away League Performance

3 of those games have been losing matches. They have conceded 10 goals and kept no clean sheets. They have scored 5 goals in total and failed to score in 1 fixture.

Performance against teams above them in the league

9 games have come against teams above them in the table. They have lost 4 games, drawn 4 and won 1. Le Mans have conceded 18 goals, scored 11, failed to score in 2 fixtures and have kept no clean sheets.

Won
Draw
Lost
Marseille
Le Mans
Results by League Table
TEAM PLD W D L GD PTS HOME AWAY HOME AWAY
1
PSG107211223 
l
 
1-2A
Feb 7
Feb 13
l
 
3-1A
2
Paris FC10622720 
l
 
2-3A
May 22
Feb 27
Dec 5
3
Lille9531618 
Jan 15
Mar 6
Nov 28
May 29
4
Lyon9522817 
Mar 21
Dec 13
Jan 3
May 16
5
Rennes9513116 
Feb 27
l
 
1-0A
Mar 13
l
 
3-2A
6
Marseille9504715 
-
-
Apr 3
Nov 22
7
Monaco9432215 
Mar 13
l
 
2-0A
Nov 8
Feb 20
8
Nice9423114 
Dec 6
May 8
Jan 30
d
 
1-1F
9
Lens9414313 
May 16
Nov 8
d
 
2-2F
May 1
10
Toulouse10343113 
w
 
2-0F
May 1
l
 
0-3A
Mar 6
11
Brest9333412 
Apr 10
Jan 2
d
 
2-2A
Apr 17
12
Lorient9333-112 
May 29
Jan 24
w
 
2-1F
Feb 6
13
Strasbourg10316-410 
w
 
4-0F
Feb 20
May 22
Jan 16
14
Auxerre10316-1110 
Apr 24
Nov 29
Apr 10
d
 
1-1F
15
Angers9225-88 
Feb 13
w
 
2-5A
Jan 23
Mar 20
16
Troyes10226-108 
Jan 31
w
 
0-2F
May 8
l
 
2-0A
17
Le Mans9144-77 
Nov 22
Apr 3
-
-
18
Le Havre9027-112 
w
 
4-3F
Apr 17
Apr 24
Dec 12
Win / draw / win form
Marseille 6TH
20 league games
Home
Overall
Goals: Scored
45
Conceded
26
Games: Scored
19 / 20
Conceded
14 / 20
Clean sheets
6 / 20
Failed to score
1 / 20
Won
12
D
4
L
4
HOME FORM Win / Draw / Win
Marseille2 - 0Toulouse
Marseille4 - 3Le Havre
Marseille1 - 2PSG
Marseille2 - 3Paris FC
Marseille4 - 0Strasbourg
Marseille3 - 1Rennes
Marseille1 - 1Nice
Marseille3 - 1Metz
Marseille1 - 2Lille
Marseille1 - 0Auxerre
Marseille3 - 2Lyon
Marseille2 - 2Strasbourg
Marseille3 - 1Lens
Marseille0 - 2Nantes
Marseille1 - 0Monaco
Marseille2 - 2Toulouse
Marseille3 - 0Brest
Marseille2 - 2Angers
Marseille6 - 2Le Havre
Marseille1 - 0PSG
Goals: Scored
35
Conceded
27
Games: Scored
16 / 20
Conceded
14 / 20
Clean sheets
6 / 20
Failed to score
4 / 20
Won
11
D
1
Lost
8
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
HMarseille2 - 0Toulouse
HMarseille4 - 3Le Havre
AMarseille5 - 2Angers
AMarseille2 - 0Troyes
HMarseille1 - 2PSG
AMarseille0 - 1Rennes
HMarseille2 - 3Paris FC
AMarseille0 - 2Monaco
HMarseille4 - 0Strasbourg
HMarseille3 - 1Rennes
AMarseille1 - 0Le Havre
AMarseille0 - 3Nantes
HMarseille1 - 1Nice
AMarseille0 - 2Lorient
HMarseille3 - 1Metz
AMarseille1 - 2Monaco
HMarseille1 - 2Lille
HMarseille1 - 0Auxerre
AMarseille1 - 0Toulouse
HMarseille3 - 2Lyon
Le Mans 17TH
20 league games
Away
Overall
Goals: Scored
32
Conceded
29
Games: Scored
17 / 20
Conceded
16 / 20
Clean sheets
4 / 20
Failed to score
3 / 20
Won
7
Draw
9
L
4
AWAY FORM Win / Draw / Win
Troyes2 - 0Le Mans
Auxerre1 - 1Le Mans
PSG3 - 1Le Mans
Nice1 - 1Le Mans
Rennes3 - 2Le Mans
Bastia0 - 2Le Mans
Grenoble1 - 1Le Mans
Boulogne0 - 0Le Mans
Amiens3 - 4Le Mans
Nancy2 - 4Le Mans
Red Star0 - 0Le Mans
Montpellier4 - 2Le Mans
Troyes0 - 2Le Mans
Rodez1 - 1Le Mans
Annecy1 - 2Le Mans
Pau1 - 2Le Mans
Lavallois1 - 1Le Mans
St Etienne2 - 3Le Mans
Clermont1 - 1Le Mans
Dunkerque2 - 2Le Mans
Goals: Scored
32
Conceded
26
Games: Scored
16 / 20
Conceded
14 / 20
Clean sheets
6 / 20
Failed to score
4 / 20
Won
7
Draw
9
L
4
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
ALe Mans0 - 2Troyes
ALe Mans1 - 1Auxerre
HLe Mans0 - 3Toulouse
ALe Mans1 - 3PSG
HLe Mans2 - 1Lorient
HLe Mans2 - 2Lens
ALe Mans1 - 1Nice
ALe Mans2 - 3Rennes
HLe Mans2 - 2Brest
ALe Mans2 - 0Bastia
HLe Mans1 - 1Reims
ALe Mans1 - 1Grenoble
HLe Mans1 - 0Clermont
ALe Mans0 - 0Boulogne
HLe Mans4 - 0Pau
ALe Mans4 - 3Amiens
ALe Mans4 - 2Nancy
HLe Mans3 - 0Annecy
ALe Mans0 - 0Red Star
HLe Mans1 - 1Guingamp
Goal Statistics

Marseille's forwards have been excellent of late, scoring 2 goals or more in 4 consecutive Ligue 1 games. A PG of 2.3 suggests that run should continue on Sunday evening.

Marseille 6th Le Mans 17th
Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction
2.3
goals
1.2
goals
Scoring probability
Scoring probability
0
10%
1
23%
2
26%
3
20%
4+
20%
There is a 67% probability that Marseille will score 2 or more goals in this match
0
30%
1
36%
2
22%
3
9%
4+
There is a 66% probability that Le Mans will score no more than 1 goal
 
20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games
+10
Marseille’s goalscoring at home has been inline with predictions
+19
Le Mans have scored 19% more goals when away than predicted
2.3
average goals scored
1.6
average goals scored
1.3
conceded
1.5
conceded
 
Attack defence ratings
Ligue 1 - 2026/2027 season
Marseille
PG (predicted goals)
Le Mans
2.3
1.2
Attack rating
%
better
MAR
LMS
view stats
Games scored0
0
Failed to score0
0
Scored first0
0
Goals scored0
0
Avg. goals scored0
0
Avg. shots per game0
0
Avg. shots per goal0
0
Conversion rate for0
0
Avg. XG for0
0
KickOff rating
0%
Defence rating
%
better
MAR
LMS
view stats
Games conceded0
0
Clean sheets0
0
Conceded first0
0
Goals conceded0
0
Avg. goals conceded0
0
Avg. shots/game conceded0
0
Avg. shots/goal conceded0
0
Conversion rate against0%
0%
Avg. XG against0
0
KickOff rating
0%

Marseille v Le Mans Ligue 1 lLine ups will show here when available.

Marseille Ligue 1 squad statistics 2026/2027
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
9633
J LangeA GouiriEmersonT Weah
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
J Lange GLK9
-
N Aguerd DEF9
1
-
Emerson DEF93
-
C Egan-Riley DEF91
1
-
A Gomes MID911
2
-
H Abdelli MID93
1
-
A Harit  FWD931
1
-
A Gouiri FWD963
-
T Weah DEF812
2
1
N Maupay FWD8
1
-
I Paixão FWD822
1
-
K. Hikram Abdallah FWD81
1
-
P Höjbjerg MID71
1
-
T Nadi MID61
1
-
U Garcia DEF5
-
G Kondogbia MID5
-
F Moumbagna FWD5
-
D Cornelius DEF3
-
K. Bezahaf DEF3
-
N. Kamissoko MID31
-
T. Mmadi FWD2
-
Le Mans Ligue 1 squad statistics 2026/2027
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
9424
L MafoutaL MafoutaL CalodatN. Boissé
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
L Calodat DEF912
-
L Mafouta FWD941
1
-
D Gueye FWD91
1
-
N. Boissé DEF8
4
-
A Lauray MID8
4
-
L. Bretelle MID82
-
J. Vercruysse MID81
1
-
N Kocik GLK7
1
-
S Yohou DEF7
2
-
R. Bamba DEF71
1
-
A Rabillard FWD7
-
H Diallo FWD71
1
-
H. Voyer DEF6
1
-
Y Larouci DEF6
-
B Brahimi FWD6
1
-
D Sidibé DEF5
2
1
L Buadés DEF51
1
-
A. Bourabaa MID532
1
-
R Torrente DEF4
1
-
E Hatfout GLK3
-
D Traoré MID3
-
W. Harhouz FWD3
-
T. Eyoum DEF2
-
E. Colas FWD1
-