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Marseille v Lens : Ligue 1 match betting preview, prediction and odds

Sat 24th Jan, 20:05 BST, Stade Vélodrome, Marseille

Saturday night at the Stade Vélodrome, and it’s a Ligue 1 clash between Marseille and Lens. Roberto De Zerbi and Pierre Sage going all-out to claim the win. We've got bespoke stats for all of the main betting markets, from team to score first to full time result, including form and historical head-to-head data. Predictions are calculated from these, and the odds come straight from the UK's biggest bookmakers.


Want to know who’s consistently beating the odds? Check out the Top Ligue 1 Tipsters and see the most profitable experts for this season!

If you’re keen on betting across various leagues and markets, our Live Bets page showcases active accumulator bets and real-time tips.

Best Tip: Both teams to score

Marseille may feel positive ahead of this game and, funnily enough, so might Lens. The bookmakers don't think there's much between them and neither do we – there's no clear victor in this fixture. So we look to the both teams to score market, where the signs are pointing in one direction. The form statistics, past head-to-head (H2H) records and bookies odds below are all pointing towards both sides scoring, and we think that's the tip to go with here.

In-Play
Win / Draw / Win
Over / Under 1.5 Goals
Over / Under 2.5 Goals
Over / Under 3.5 Goals
Win To Nil
Both Teams To Score
Correct Score
Both Teams To Score & Result
Double Chance
Half Time / Full Time
Over / Under 0.5 Goals
Over / Under 4.5 Goals
Over / Under 5.5 Goals
Draw No Bet
Team To Score First
If you’re looking for a winner in this match, we think Marseille are the most likely. Our predictive algorithm gives them a 48% chance of victory, and the bookies have them at a best price of 1.91.

Checkout the hundreds of tips picked but our top win/draw/win tipsters

Change odds
Predictions Add Bet365 Coral
Marseille
48%
10/11-
Draw
23%
27/10-
Lens
29%
27/10-
Draw 1-1
10%
6/1-
Marseille 2-1
9%
15/2-
Marseille 1-0
8%
8/1-
Lens 2-1
7%
11/1-
Marseille 2-0
7%
10/1-
Draw 2-2
6%
12/1-
Lens 1-0
6%
12/1-
Marseille 3-1
6%
14/1-
Draw 0-0
4%
14/1-
Marseille 3-0
4%
16/1-
Lens 2-0
4%
20/1-
Marseille 3-2
4%
20/1-
Lens 3-1
3%
25/1-
Lens 3-2
3%
28/1-
Marseille 4-1
3%
28/1-
Over 2.5 Goals
61%
4/6-
Under 2.5 Goals
39%
6/5-
Home 1st Goal
52%
4/6-
Away 1st Goal
46%
5/4-
No 1st Goal
2%
14/1-
BTTS - Yes
62%
8/13-
BTTS - No
38%
6/5-
BTTS - Home Win
27%
13/5-
BTTS - Draw
19%
7/2-
BTTS - Away Win
17%
5/1-
Home/draw
71%
2/7-
Away/draw
52%
5/6-
Home/away
77%
2/7-
Over 1.5 Goals
82%
2/9-
Under 1.5 Goals
18%
10/3-
Over 3.5 Goals
39%
7/4-
Under 3.5 Goals
61%
4/9-
Over 4.5 Goals
21%
4/1-
Under 4.5 Goals
79%
1/6-
Over 5.5 Goals
10%
9/1-
Under 5.5 Goals
90%
1/16-
Over 0.5 Goals
96%
1/33-
Under 0.5 Goals
4%
14/1-
Home DNB
64%
4/9-
Away DNB
45%
13/8-
Marseille win to nil
22%
11/4-
Lens win to nil
12%
6/1-
Marseille / Marseille
27%
21/10-
Marseille / Lens
3%
28/1-
Marseille / Draw
6%
12/1-
Draw / Marseille
15%
9/2-
Draw / Lens
11%
7/1-
Draw / Draw
14%
5/1-
Lens / Marseille
4%
20/1-
Lens / Lens
14%
5/1-
Lens / Draw
6%
14/1-
Win / draw / win Ligue 1 table

Marseille have played 17 matches so far this season and are in 3rd position in the league.

Performance against teams above them in the league

2 of those games have come against teams above them in the table. They have lost 1 game, drawn zero and won 1. Marseille have conceded 2 goals, scored 2, scored in every game and kept 1 clean sheet.

Home league performance

Marseille have played 9 games at home, winning 6, drawing 2 and losing 1 fixture. They have scored 24 goals, conceded 10 goals, kept 4 clean sheets and failed to score 1 time in home league games.

Lens lay in 1st place on 40 points in the Ligue 1 league table having played 17 matches.

Performance against teams below them in the league

They have played 17 games against teams below them in the table, winning 13, drawing 1 and losing 3 games. They have scored 31 goals and kept 6 clean sheets against lower placed opposition. Lens have conceded 13 goals and have failed to score in 4 matches.

Away league performance

Lens have played 9 away games, winning 6, drawing 1 and losing 2 games. They have scored an average of 1.7 goals per away game and conceded an average 1 goals per away game.

Won
Draw
Lost
Marseille
Lens
Results by League Table
TEAM PLD W D L GD PTS HOME AWAY HOME AWAY
1
Lens1713131840 
Jan 24
l
 
2-1F
-
-
2
PSG1712322239 
w
 
1-0F
Feb 8
Apr 12
l
 
2-0A
3
Marseille1710251932 
-
-
w
 
2-1A
Jan 24
4
Lille1710251132 
Mar 22
l
 
1-0A
w
 
3-0F
Apr 5
5
Lyon17935830 
Mar 1
l
 
1-0A
l
 
0-1A
May 16
6
Rennes17863530 
May 16
l
 
1-0A
Feb 8
d
 
0-00-0
7
Strasbourg17737524 
Feb 15
w
 
1-2A
w
 
1-0F
Mar 1
8
Toulouse17656223 
d
 
2-2A
Mar 8
Apr 19
w
 
0-3F
9
Monaco17728-323 
w
 
1-0F
Apr 5
Feb 22
w
 
1-4F
10
Angers17647-222 
d
 
2-2A
Jan 17
Mar 22
w
 
1-2F
11
Brest17647-422 
w
 
3-0F
Feb 22
w
 
3-1A
Apr 26
12
Lorient17476-919 
w
 
4-0F
Apr 19
w
 
3-0F
Mar 15
13
Le Havre17467-818 
w
 
6-2A
May 9
Jan 30
w
 
1-2F
14
Nice17539-1018 
Apr 26
w
 
1-5F
w
 
2-0F
May 3
15
Paris FC17449-916 
w
 
5-2F
Jan 31
w
 
2-1F
Feb 15
16
Nantes17359-1214 
l
 
0-2A
May 3
May 9
w
 
1-2F
17
Auxerre173311-1312 
Mar 15
w
 
0-1F
Jan 17
w
 
1-2F
18
Metz173311-2012 
Apr 12
w
 
0-3F
Mar 8
l
 
2-0A
Win / draw / win form
4
Lens have won 4 consecutive away league games
Marseille 3RD
20 league games
Home
Overall
Goals: Scored
57
Conceded
23
Games: Scored
18 / 20
Conceded
15 / 20
Clean sheets
5 / 20
Failed to score
2 / 20
Won
14
D
4
L
2
Goals: Scored
44
Conceded
21
Games: Scored
16 / 20
Conceded
14 / 20
Clean sheets
6 / 20
Failed to score
4 / 20
Won
12
D
3
Lost
5
Lens 1ST
20 league games
Away
4
Overall
Goals: Scored
31
Conceded
21
Games: Scored
15 / 20
Conceded
15 / 20
Clean sheets
5 / 20
Failed to score
5 / 20
Won
12
D
3
Lost
5
Goals: Scored
38
Conceded
15
Games: Scored
16 / 20
Conceded
13 / 20
Clean sheets
7 / 20
Failed to score
4 / 20
Won
15
D
2
L
3
Win / draw / win head to head (H2H)
League games at Marseille since 2014
Marseille
Lens
Goals: Scored
6
8
Games: Scored
3 / 6
6 / 6
Clean sheets
0 / 6
3 / 6
MAR
2
LEN
4
League games at Lens since 2015
Lens
Marseille
Goals: Scored
8
13
Games: Scored
5 / 7
6 / 7
Clean sheets
1 / 7
2 / 7
MAR
3
D
1
LEN
3
Goal Statistics
Marseille 3rd Lens 1st
Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction
1.8
goals
1.4
goals
Scoring probability
Scoring probability
0
16%
1
30%
2
27%
3
16%
4+
11%
There is a 84% probability that Marseille will score 1 or more goals
0
26%
1
35%
2
24%
3
11%
4+
There is a 74% probability that Lens will score 1 or more goals
 
20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games
+35
Marseille have scored 35% more goals at home than predicted
+9
Lens’s goalscoring when away has been inline with predictions
2.9
average goals scored
1.6
average goals scored
1.2
conceded
1.1
conceded
 
Attack defence ratings
Ligue 1 - 2025/2026 season
Marseille
PG (predicted goals)
Lens
1.8
1.4
Attack rating
4%
better
MAR
LEN
view stats
Games scored13
13
Failed to score4
4
Scored first9
11
Goals scored36
31
Avg. goals scored2.1
1.8
Avg. shots per game11
11
Avg. shots per goal5
6
Conversion rate for20
17
Avg. XG for1.8
2
KickOff rating
+4%
Defence rating
MAR
LEN
17%
better
view stats
Games conceded11
11
Clean sheets6
6
Conceded first8
5
Goals conceded17
13
Avg. goals conceded1
0.8
Avg. shots/game conceded7
8
Avg. shots/goal conceded7
11
Conversion rate against14%
9%
Avg. XG against1.1
1.5
KickOff rating
+17%

Marseille v Lens Ligue 1 lLine ups will show here when available.

Marseille Ligue 1 squad statistics 2025/2026
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
151154
M Greenwood M Greenwood P AubameyangM Murillo
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
M Greenwood  FWD16113
1
-
P Höjbjerg MID1521
2
-
P Aubameyang FWD1555
-
G Rulli GLK14
1
-
B Pavard DEF1412
3
-
Emerson DEF141
1
-
M Murillo DEF142
4
-
R. Vaz FWD1442
2
-
T Weah FWD1411
1
-
I Paixão FWD1431
1
-
M O'Riley MID1312
2
-
A Gomes MID133
4
-
B Nadir MID134
2
1
L Balerdi DEF121
3
-
N Aguerd DEF111
2
-
A Vermeeren MID101
1
1
C Egan-Riley DEF9
1
D. Bakola MID7
-
A Gouiri FWD711
-
G Kondogbia MID6
2
-
U Garcia DEF4
1
1
J Lange GLK3
-
F Medina DEF3
-
P Lirola DEF3
-
H Traorè FWD2
-
N Maupay FWD1
-
Lens Ligue 1 squad statistics 2025/2026
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
17765
R RisserW Saïd A ThomassonA Thomasson
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
R Risser GLK17
2
-
M Udol DEF175
1
-
F Thauvin FWD1752
4
-
W Saïd  FWD1772
-
S Baidoo DEF1621
2
-
R Aguilar DEF161
3
-
M Sarr DEF16
2
-
A Thomasson MID1626
5
-
M Sangaré MID1511
1
-
M Guilavogui FWD151
2
1
O Edouard FWD1472
1
-
R. Fofana FWD142
-
F Sotoca FWD12
1
-
S Abdulhamid DEF111
-
J Gradit DEF10
2
1
A. Bulatović MID71
1
-
A Sima FWD71
2
-
P Ganiou DEF62
1
1
D Machado DEF5
1
-
A. Bermont FWD5
-
F. Sylla MID2
-