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Marseille v Nantes : Ligue 1 match betting preview, prediction and odds

Sun 4th Jan, 14:00 BST, Stade Vélodrome, Marseille

Marseille and Nantes clash at the Stade Vélodrome on Sunday afternoon, with both Roberto De Zerbi and Luís Manuel Ferreira de Castro seeking a win in the Ligue 1. We want you to make a winning bet on this match, so every statistics you could realistically need to make a well-informed wager is shown below. Switch between 17 betting markets or take our top tip. We have predictions, head to head (H2H) analysis and the best odds for each one.

Want to know who’s consistently beating the odds? Check out the Top Ligue 1 Tipsters and see the most profitable experts for this season!

If you’re keen on betting across various leagues and markets, our Live Bets page showcases active accumulator bets and real-time tips.

Best Tip: Marseille to win

As the Marseille players ready themselves for this clash, the bookmakers have predicted success for them. The odds and our pre-match statistics below also point that way, as does the historical head-to-head (H2H) record we use in our predictive algorithms. The Stade Vélodrome has rarely been an easy place to go for Nantes in the past, and we we'd back more of the same on Sunday afternoon. A win / draw / win home win is the way to go.

If you’re looking for a winner in this match, we think Marseille are the most likely. Our predictive algorithm gives them a 72% chance of victory, and the bookies have them at a best price of 1.25.

Checkout the hundreds of tips picked but our top win/draw/win tipsters

Predictions	Bet365	Coral
Marseille 72%	2/9	1/4
Draw 17%	5/1	5/1 8%
Nantes 11%	11/1	10/1
Marseille 2-0 11%	6/1	11/2
Marseille 2-1 9%	17/2	7/1
Marseille 1-0 9%	8/1	13/2
Marseille 3-0 9%	7/1	13/2 7%
Draw 1-1 8%	11/1	9/1 9%
Marseille 3-1 8%	10/1	17/2 6%
Marseille 4-0 6%	10/1	9/1
Marseille 4-1 5%	14/1	12/1
Draw 2-2 4%	22/1	16/1 11%
Draw 0-0 4%	18/1	14/1 12%
Nantes 2-1 3%	28/1	22/1 10%
Marseille 3-2 3%	25/1	20/1 11%
Nantes 1-0 3%	28/1	20/1 11%
Marseille 5-0 3%	20/1	14/1 12%
Marseille 5-1 2%	25/1	20/1
Over 2.5 Goals 64%	1/2	10/21
Under 2.5 Goals 36%	13/8	6/4
Home 1st Goal 60%	2/7	1/4
Away 1st Goal 38%	13/5	10/3 3%
No 1st Goal 2%	18/1	14/1
BTTS - Yes 52%	19/20	1/1
BTTS - No 48%	4/5	8/11 1%
BTTS - Home Win 33%	7/4	9/5 4%
BTTS - Draw 13%	13/2	6/1 7%
BTTS - Away Win 6%	18/1	14/1
Home/draw 89%	1/20	1/20
Away/draw 28%	3/1	14/5 5%
Home/away 83%	1/8	1/8 1%
Over 1.5 Goals 84%	1/7	1/7
Under 1.5 Goals 16%	9/2	4/1
Over 3.5 Goals 42%	6/5	23/20
Under 3.5 Goals 58%	4/6	13/20 2%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%	11/4	13/5
Under 4.5 Goals 77%	2/7	1/4
Over 5.5 Goals 11%	11/2	11/2
Under 5.5 Goals 89%	1/9	1/10
Over 0.5 Goals 96%	1/50	1/100
Under 0.5 Goals 4%	18/1	14/1 12%
Home DNB 84%	1/16	1/16
Away DNB 23%	9/1	7/1
Marseille win to nil 39%	1/1	-
Nantes win to nil 5%	18/1	-
Marseille / Marseille 48%	4/6	7/10
Marseille / Nantes 2%	40/1	45/1 12%
Marseille / Draw 4%	20/1	16/1 11%
Draw / Marseille 20%	3/1	16/5 5%
Draw / Nantes 4%	20/1	18/1 12%
Draw / Draw 9%	17/2	15/2 6%
Nantes / Marseille 4%	18/1	16/1
Nantes / Nantes 5%	20/1	12/1
Nantes / Draw 4%	22/1	18/1

Win / draw / win Ligue 1 table

Marseille have played 16 matches so far this season and lay in 3rd place in the Ligue 1 league table. Marseille are unbeaten at home after 8 games and have kept 4 clean sheets in those matches.

Performance against teams below them in the league

They have played 14 games against teams below in the table, having won 9, drawn 2 and lost 3 matches. They have kept 5 clean sheets and have failed to score in 3 fixtures. Marseille have outscored their opponents by 36 goals to 14 goals.

Home League Performance

Marseille have played 8 games at home winning 6, drawing 2 and losing 0 games. They have scored 24 goals, kept 4 clean sheets and conceded 8 goals at home.

Nantes are in 17th position in the Ligue 1 on 11 points having played 16 matches so far this season.

Away League Performance

4 of those games have been losing matches. They have conceded 13 goals and kept 1 clean sheet. They have scored 6 goals in total and failed to score in 4 fixtures.

Performance against teams above them in the league

15 games have come against teams above them in the table. They have lost 8 games, drawn 5 and won 2. Nantes have conceded 26 goals, scored 14, failed to score in 6 fixtures and have kept 2 clean sheets.

BTTS yes BTTS no BTTS yes BTTS no Won Draw Lost Won Draw Lost Won Draw Lost Won Draw Lost Won Draw Lost Won Draw Lost Won Draw Lost Over 0.5 Under 0.5 Over 1.5 Under 1.5 Over 2.5 Under 2.5 Over 3.5 Under 3.5 Over 4.5 Under 4.5 Over 5.5 Under 5.5 For 0-0 Against Won Draw Lost	Marseille Nantes
Results by League Table

	TEAM	PLD	W	D	L	GD	PTS	HOME	AWAY	HOME	AWAY
1	Lens	16	12	1	3	15	37	Jan 24	l 2-1F	l 1-2A	May 9
2	PSG	16	11	3	2	21	36	w 1-0F	Feb 8	l 0-1A	Mar 15
3	Marseille	16	10	2	4	21	32	-	-	May 3	Jan 4
4	Lille	16	10	2	4	13	32	Mar 22	l 1-0A	l 0-2A	Mar 1
5	Lyon	16	8	3	5	6	27	Mar 1	l 1-0A	Feb 8	l 3-0A
6	Rennes	16	7	6	3	3	27	May 16	l 1-0A	d 2-2A	Apr 26
7	Strasbourg	16	7	2	7	5	23	Feb 15	w 1-2A	Mar 22	l 1-0A
8	Toulouse	16	6	5	5	5	23	d 2-2A	Mar 8	May 16	d 2-2F
9	Monaco	16	7	2	7	-1	23	w 1-0F	Apr 5	l 3-5A	Feb 15
10	Angers	16	6	4	6	-1	22	d 2-2A	Jan 17	Mar 8	l 4-1A
11	Brest	16	5	4	7	-6	19	w 3-0F	Feb 22	Apr 19	d 0-00-0
12	Lorient	16	4	6	6	-9	18	w 4-0F	Apr 19	d 1-1A	Jan 31
13	Nice	16	5	2	9	-10	17	Apr 26	w 1-5F	Jan 25	l 1-0A
14	Paris FC	16	4	4	8	-8	16	w 5-2F	Jan 31	Jan 18	w 1-2F
15	Le Havre	16	3	6	7	-9	15	w 6-2A	May 9	Feb 22	d 1-1F
16	Auxerre	16	3	3	10	-11	12	Mar 15	w 0-1F	w 1-0F	Apr 12
17	Nantes	16	2	5	9	-14	11	Jan 4	May 3	-	-
18	Metz	16	3	2	11	-20	11	Apr 12	w 0-3F	l 0-2A	Apr 5

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	Relegation

Win / draw / win form

Nantes have lost 3 consecutive league games

Marseille have not lost in 12 consecutive home league games

Nantes have not won in 7 consecutive league games

Home

Overall

Goals: Scored

Conceded

Games: Scored

19 / 20

Conceded

15 / 20

Clean sheets

5 / 20

Failed to score

1 / 20

Won

HOME FORM Win / Draw / Win
Marseille	1 - 0	Monaco
Marseille	2 - 2	Toulouse
Marseille	3 - 0	Brest
Marseille	2 - 2	Angers
Marseille	6 - 2	Le Havre
Marseille	1 - 0	PSG
Marseille	4 - 0	Lorient
Marseille	5 - 2	Paris FC
Marseille	4 - 2	Rennes
Marseille	4 - 1	Brest
Marseille	5 - 1	Montpellier
Marseille	3 - 2	Toulouse
Marseille	0 - 1	Lens
Marseille	2 - 0	Nantes
Marseille	5 - 1	St Etienne
Marseille	3 - 2	Lyon
Marseille	1 - 1	Strasbourg
Marseille	5 - 1	Le Havre
Marseille	1 - 1	Lille
Marseille	2 - 1	Monaco

Goals: Scored

Conceded

Games: Scored

17 / 20

Conceded

14 / 20

Clean sheets

6 / 20

Failed to score

3 / 20

Won

OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
H	Marseille	1 - 0	Monaco
A	Marseille	0 - 1	Lille
H	Marseille	2 - 2	Toulouse
A	Marseille	5 - 1	Nice
H	Marseille	3 - 0	Brest
A	Marseille	1 - 0	Auxerre
H	Marseille	2 - 2	Angers
A	Marseille	1 - 2	Lens
H	Marseille	6 - 2	Le Havre
A	Marseille	3 - 0	Metz
A	Marseille	2 - 1	Strasbourg
H	Marseille	1 - 0	PSG
H	Marseille	4 - 0	Lorient
A	Marseille	0 - 1	Lyon
H	Marseille	5 - 2	Paris FC
A	Marseille	0 - 1	Rennes
H	Marseille	4 - 2	Rennes
A	Marseille	3 - 1	Le Havre
A	Marseille	1 - 1	Lille
H	Marseille	4 - 1	Brest

Away

Overall

Goals: Scored

Conceded

Games: Scored

15 / 20

Conceded

19 / 20

Clean sheets

1 / 20

Failed to score

5 / 20

Draw

Lost

AWAY FORM Win / Draw / Win
Angers	4 - 1	Nantes
Lyon	3 - 0	Nantes
Le Havre	1 - 1	Nantes
Paris FC	1 - 2	Nantes
Brest	0 - 0	Nantes
Toulouse	2 - 2	Nantes
Nice	1 - 0	Nantes
Strasbourg	1 - 0	Nantes
Auxerre	1 - 1	Nantes
Rennes	2 - 1	Nantes
Nice	1 - 2	Nantes
Le Havre	3 - 2	Nantes
Marseille	2 - 0	Nantes
Monaco	7 - 1	Nantes
Reims	1 - 2	Nantes
St Etienne	1 - 1	Nantes
Lille	1 - 1	Nantes
Brest	4 - 1	Nantes
PSG	1 - 1	Nantes
Lens	3 - 2	Nantes

Goals: Scored

Conceded

Games: Scored

11 / 20

Conceded

16 / 20

Clean sheets

4 / 20

Failed to score

9 / 20

Draw

Lost

OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
A	Nantes	1 - 4	Angers
H	Nantes	1 - 2	Lens
A	Nantes	0 - 3	Lyon
H	Nantes	1 - 1	Lorient
A	Nantes	1 - 1	Le Havre
H	Nantes	0 - 2	Metz
H	Nantes	3 - 5	Monaco
A	Nantes	2 - 1	Paris FC
H	Nantes	0 - 2	Lille
A	Nantes	0 - 0	Brest
A	Nantes	2 - 2	Toulouse
H	Nantes	2 - 2	Rennes
A	Nantes	0 - 1	Nice
H	Nantes	1 - 0	Auxerre
A	Nantes	0 - 1	Strasbourg
H	Nantes	0 - 1	PSG
H	Nantes	3 - 0	Montpellier
A	Nantes	1 - 1	Auxerre
H	Nantes	0 - 1	Angers
H	Nantes	0 - 0	Toulouse

Win / draw / win head to head (H2H)

Marseille have beaten Nantes in 5 consecutive home league meetings

Marseille have not lost to Nantes in 10 consecutive league meetings

Marseille

Nantes

Goals: Scored

Games: Scored

11 / 12

9 / 12

Clean sheets

3 / 12

1 / 12

MAR

NAN

FIXTURE HISTORY AT Marseille
Marseille	2 - 0
Marseille	2 - 0
Marseille	2 - 1
Marseille	3 - 2
Marseille	3 - 1
	1 - 3	Nantes
	1 - 2	Nantes
Draw	1 - 1	Draw
Marseille	2 - 1
Draw	1 - 1	Draw
Marseille	2 - 0
	0 - 1	Nantes

Nantes

Marseille

Goals: Scored

Games: Scored

7 / 12

10 / 12

Clean sheets

2 / 12

5 / 12

MAR

NAN

FIXTURE HISTORY AT Nantes
	1 - 2	Marseille
Draw	1 - 1	Draw
	0 - 2	Marseille
	0 - 1	Marseille
Draw	1 - 1	Draw
Draw	0 - 0	Draw
Nantes	3 - 2
	0 - 1	Marseille
Nantes	3 - 2
	0 - 1	Marseille
Nantes	1 - 0
Draw	1 - 1	Draw

Goal Statistics

Nantes have been awful at the back of late, conceding 2 or more goals in 3 consecutive Ligue 1 outings. This run could continue, with Marseille's PG an impressive 2.4.

An absolutely awful PG of just 0.8 should cause concerns for Nantes fans, as should a 6 Ligue 1 matches run in which they have failed to score more than 1 goal.

	Marseille 3rd	Nantes 17th
	Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction	2.4 goals	0.8 goals
	Scoring probability
Scoring probability	0 1 21% 2 26% 3 21% 4+ 23% There is a 70% probability that Marseille will score 2 or more goals in this match	0 43% 1 36% 2 15% 3 4+ There is a 79% probability of Nantes scoring 1 goal or less

	20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games	+44 Marseille have scored 44% more goals at home than predicted	=0 Nantes’s goalscoring when away has been inline with predictions
	3.0 average goals scored	1.1 average goals scored
	1.1 conceded	2.0 conceded

Attack defence ratings
Ligue 1 - 2025/2026 season

45%

better

MAR

NAN

view stats

Games scored	13		9
Failed to score	3		7
Scored first	9		4
Goals scored	36		14
Avg. goals scored	2.3		0.9
Avg. shots per game	11		7
Avg. shots per goal	5		8
Conversion rate for	21		13
Avg. XG for	1.8		0.9
KickOff rating		+45%

32%

better

MAR

NAN

view stats

Games conceded	10		14
Clean sheets	6		2
Conceded first	7		11
Goals conceded	15		28
Avg. goals conceded	0.9		1.8
Avg. shots/game conceded	7		12
Avg. shots/goal conceded	7		7
Conversion rate against	13%		14%
Avg. XG against	0.9		1.8
KickOff rating		+32%

Marseille v Nantes Ligue 1 lLine ups will show here when available.

Marseille Ligue 1 squad statistics 2025/2026

Overall

Attack

Defence

Most starts	Most goals	Most assists	Most cards
14	11	5	4
M Greenwood	M Greenwood	P Aubameyang	M Murillo

Players	Appserances	goals	Assists	cards
M Greenwood FWD	15	11	3	1 -
P Höjbjerg MID	14	2	1	2 -
R. Vaz FWD	14	4	2	2 -
P Aubameyang FWD	14	5	5	-
G Rulli GLK	13			1 -
M Murillo DEF	13	2		4 -
B Pavard DEF	13	1	2	3 -
Emerson DEF	13		1	1 -
A Gomes MID	13	3		4 -
T Weah FWD	13	1	1	1 -
I Paixão FWD	13	3	1	1 -
L Balerdi DEF	12		1	3 -
M O'Riley MID	12	1	2	2 -
B Nadir MID	12		4	1 -
N Aguerd DEF	11	1		2 -
A Vermeeren MID	9		1	1 -
C Egan-Riley DEF	8			1
D. Bakola MID	7			-
G Kondogbia MID	6			2 -
A Gouiri FWD	6	1	1	-
U Garcia DEF	4			1 1
J Lange GLK	3			-
P Lirola DEF	3			-
F Medina DEF	2			-
N Maupay FWD	1			-
H Traorè FWD	1			-

Most goals	Most shots on target	Most assists	Most big chances
11	24	5	8
M Greenwood	M Greenwood	P Aubameyang	M Greenwood

Players	goals	shots on	Assists	big chances
M Greenwood FWD	11	24	3	8
P Aubameyang FWD	5	13	5	7
R. Vaz FWD	4	6	2	2
A Gomes MID	3	5		1
I Paixão FWD	3	10	1
P Höjbjerg MID	2	8	1	2
M Murillo DEF	2	2		2
B Pavard DEF	1	3	2	3
T Weah FWD	1	4	1	1
M O'Riley MID	1	3	2	5
N Aguerd DEF	1	2
A Gouiri FWD	1	5	1	1
Emerson DEF		2	1	2
L Balerdi DEF		2	1
B Nadir MID		1	4	3
A Vermeeren MID			1
C Egan-Riley DEF				1
D. Bakola MID		1
G Kondogbia MID		1
U Garcia DEF		1		1
H Traorè FWD		1

Most passes	Most tackles	Most duels won
1022	23	55
P Höjbjerg	Emerson	L Balerdi

Players	passes	tackles	duels won
P Höjbjerg MID	1022	14	48
N Aguerd DEF	980	16	46
B Pavard DEF	712	14	35
L Balerdi DEF	699	22	55
M Greenwood FWD	696	5	46
Emerson DEF	678	23	39
A Gomes MID	572	10	32
A Vermeeren MID	429	17	25
M O'Riley MID	409	13	18
M Murillo DEF	404	17	46
G Rulli GLK	400	2	21
C Egan-Riley DEF	396	6	16
T Weah FWD	386	19	39
I Paixão FWD	332	9	42
G Kondogbia MID	253	6	21
P Aubameyang FWD	215	3	20
B Nadir MID	208	6	12
F Medina DEF	133	4	8
A Gouiri FWD	106	3	10
U Garcia DEF	84	3	7
J Lange GLK	82
R. Vaz FWD	70	5	21
D. Bakola MID	39	2	6
H Traorè FWD	16	1	5
P Lirola DEF	12	1	5
N Maupay FWD	1

Nantes Ligue 1 squad statistics 2025/2026

Overall

Attack

Defence

Most starts	Most goals	Most assists	Most cards
16	3	2	6
C Awaziem	Y Arabi	M Abline	C Awaziem

Players	Appserances	goals	Assists	cards
C Awaziem DEF	16	1		6 -
K Amian DEF	16		1	2 -
M Abline FWD	16	2	2	3 -
A Lopes GLK	15			2 -
M Mohamed FWD	15	2		1 -
D. Assoumani MID	14			1 -
Y Arabi FWD	14	3		-
B. Guirassy FWD	13	2	1	-
N Cozza DEF	12			-
J Mwanga MID	12	1		1 1
K Hyeok-Kyu MID	12			2 -
L. Leroux MID	12	1	1	1 -
J Lepenant MID	10		1	1 -
Y Benhattab FWD	10		1	-
B. Deuff MID	9			-
A. Camara FWD	9			-
M. Lahdo FWD	8	1	1	1 -
F Centonze DEF	6	1		1 -
H Hyun-seok MID	6			-
U Radakovic DEF	4			-
F Coquelin MID	4			1 -
P Carlgren GLK	2			-

Most goals	Most shots on target	Most assists	Most big chances
3	13	2	6
Y Arabi	M Abline	M Abline	M Abline

Players	goals	shots on	Assists	big chances
Y Arabi FWD	3	5		1
M Abline FWD	2	13	2	6
M Mohamed FWD	2	2
B. Guirassy FWD	2	5	1	2
C Awaziem DEF	1	4
J Mwanga MID	1	2
L. Leroux MID	1	1	1
M. Lahdo FWD	1	1	1
F Centonze DEF	1	1
K Amian DEF			1	3
A Lopes GLK		1
D. Assoumani MID		1		1
N Cozza DEF		1
J Lepenant MID		2	1	2
Y Benhattab FWD		1	1	1
B. Deuff MID		2
H Hyun-seok MID		2
F Coquelin MID		1

Most passes	Most tackles	Most duels won
980	32	88
C Awaziem	J Lepenant	M Abline

Players	passes	tackles	duels won
C Awaziem DEF	980	12	60
K Amian DEF	585	24	61
A Lopes GLK	506	1	15
J Mwanga MID	411	21	51
L. Leroux MID	310	20	40
J Lepenant MID	302	32	61
N Cozza DEF	276	8	30
K Hyeok-Kyu MID	221	15	33
D. Assoumani MID	211	10	37
M Abline FWD	190	12	88
B. Guirassy FWD	170	18	43
Y Arabi FWD	142	3	32
Y Benhattab FWD	142	10	22
M Mohamed FWD	110	8	55
M. Lahdo FWD	100	5	18
H Hyun-seok MID	74	9	13
F Coquelin MID	69	2	7
B. Deuff MID	52	4	14
A. Camara FWD	45	4	8
F Centonze DEF	43	7	12
P Carlgren GLK	30		1
U Radakovic DEF	10		3

French Ligue 1 match betting previews, predictions and odds

Marseille v Nantes : Ligue 1 match betting preview, prediction and odds

Marseille have played 16 matches so far this season and lay in 3rd place in the Ligue 1 league table. Marseille are unbeaten at home after 8 games and have kept 4 clean sheets in those matches.

Performance against teams below them in the league

Home League Performance

Nantes are in 17th position in the Ligue 1 on 11 points having played 16 matches so far this season.

Away League Performance

Performance against teams above them in the league

Marseille v Nantes Ligue 1 lLine ups will show here when available.

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