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Monaco v Lyon : Ligue 1 match betting preview, prediction and odds

Sat 10th May, 20:00 BST, Stade Louis II, Fontvieille

the Stade Louis II is the setting on Saturday night, as Adi Hutter's Monaco host Paulo Alexandre Rodrigues Fonseca's Lyon in the Ligue 1. Form, head-to-head stats, predictions and odds from the UK's biggest bookmakers are all laid out below. It's our job to give you all the information you need to place a smart, well-informed bet. We've backed over 2.5 goals, but why not flip through the tabs and find the one you like best?


Want to know who’s consistently beating the odds? Check out the Top Ligue 1 Tipsters and see the most profitable experts for this season!

If you’re keen on betting across various leagues and markets, our Live Bets page showcases active accumulator bets and real-time tips.

Best Tip: Over 2.5 goals

KickOff's prediction and odds from the bookies suggest that this Ligue 1 clash is going to be entertaining, with at least 3 goals to scored in the game. As neither side is a nailed-on winner given their recent form, we're going with the statistics and past head-to-head (H2H) records below, both of which point strongly towards a tip of over 2.5 goals.

In-Play
Win / Draw / Win
Over / Under 1.5 Goals
Over / Under 2.5 Goals
Over / Under 3.5 Goals
Win To Nil
Both Teams To Score
Correct Score
Both Teams To Score & Result
Double Chance
Half Time / Full Time
Over / Under 0.5 Goals
Over / Under 4.5 Goals
Over / Under 5.5 Goals
Draw No Bet
Team To Score First
If you’re looking for a winner in this match, we think Monaco are the most likely. Our predictive algorithm gives them a 53% chance of victory, and the bookies have them at a best price of 1.75.

Checkout the hundreds of tips picked but our top win/draw/win tipsters

Change odds
Predictions Add Bet365 Coral
Monaco
53%
1.75-
Draw
20%
4.20-
Lyon
26%
3.90-
Monaco 2-1
9%
9.00-
Draw 1-1
8%
9.00-
Draw 2-2
7%
12.00-
Monaco 3-1
7%
12.00-
Lyon 2-1
6%
13.00-
Monaco 2-0
6%
12.00-
Monaco 1-0
5%
12.00-
Monaco 3-2
5%
17.00-
Monaco 3-0
4%
17.00-
Monaco 4-1
4%
21.00-
Lyon 1-0
4%
19.00-
Lyon 3-2
3%
26.00-
Lyon 3-1
3%
26.00-
Monaco 4-2
3%
29.00-
Lyon 2-0
3%
26.00-
Over 2.5 Goals
73%
1.44-
Under 2.5 Goals
27%
2.75-
Home 1st Goal
53%
1.50-
Away 1st Goal
46%
2.50-
No 1st Goal
1%
21.00-
BTTS - Yes
70%
1.44-
BTTS - No
30%
2.62-
BTTS - Home Win
34%
2.88-
BTTS - Draw
18%
4.75-
BTTS - Away Win
18%
5.50-
Home/draw
74%
1.25-
Away/draw
47%
2.00-
Home/away
80%
1.22-
Over 1.5 Goals
89%
1.12-
Under 1.5 Goals
11%
6.00-
Over 3.5 Goals
52%
2.10-
Under 3.5 Goals
48%
1.73-
Over 4.5 Goals
33%
3.50-
Under 4.5 Goals
67%
1.30-
Over 5.5 Goals
18%
6.00-
Under 5.5 Goals
82%
1.12-
Over 0.5 Goals
98%
1.01-
Under 0.5 Goals
2%
21.00-
Home DNB
68%
1.36-
Away DNB
40%
3.00-
Monaco win to nil
19%
4.00-
Lyon win to nil
8%
10.00-
Monaco / Monaco
31%
2.75-
Monaco / Lyon
3%
26.00-
Monaco / Draw
7%
13.00-
Draw / Monaco
15%
5.50-
Draw / Lyon
9%
9.50-
Draw / Draw
11%
7.50-
Lyon / Monaco
5%
17.00-
Lyon / Lyon
13%
6.50-
Lyon / Draw
6%
15.00-
Win / draw / win Ligue 1 table

Monaco have played 31 matches so far this season and lay in 4th place in the Ligue 1 league table.

Performance against teams below them in the league

They have played 25 games against teams below in the table, having won 15, drawn 6 and lost 4 matches. They have kept 8 clean sheets and have failed to score in 3 fixtures. They have been outscored by their opponents by 62 goals to 58 goals.

Home League Performance

Monaco have played 16 games at home winning 11, drawing 3 and losing 2 games. They have scored 36 goals, kept 6 clean sheets and conceded 16 goals at home.

Lyon are in 5th position in the Ligue 1 on 54 points having played 31 matches so far this season.

Away League Performance

6 of those games have been losing matches. They have conceded 23 goals and kept 4 clean sheets. They have scored 28 goals in total and failed to score in 2 fixtures.

Performance against teams above them in the league

7 games have come against teams above them in the table. They have lost 5 games, drawn 1 and won 1. Lyon have conceded 16 goals, scored 10, failed to score in 1 fixture and have kept no clean sheets.

Won
Draw
Lost
Monaco
Lyon
Results by League Table
TEAM PLD W D L GD PTS HOME AWAY HOME AWAY
1
PSG3124615378 
l
 
2-4A
l
 
4-1A
l
 
2-3A
l
 
3-1A
2
Marseille3118492358 
w
 
3-0F
l
 
2-1F
l
 
2-3F
l
 
3-2F
3
Lille3116871756 
d
 
0-00-0
l
 
2-1A
w
 
2-1A
d
 
1-1A
4
Monaco Home3116782255 
-
-
l
 
0-2A
May 10
5
Lyon Away3116692054 
May 10
w
 
0-2F
-
-
6
Nice3115972054 
w
 
2-1A
l
 
2-1F
w
 
4-1F
w
 
0-2F
7
Strasbourg3115971354 
d
 
0-00-0
w
 
1-3A
w
 
4-3A
l
 
4-2A
8
Lens3113612-245 
d
 
1-1F
May 17
May 4
d
 
0-00-0
9
Brest3113513-444 
w
 
3-2F
l
 
2-1A
w
 
2-1A
l
 
2-1A
10
Auxerre3111812041 
w
 
4-2F
w
 
0-3F
d
 
2-2F
w
 
1-3F
11
Rennes3112217238 
w
 
3-2F
w
 
1-2F
w
 
4-1F
l
 
3-0A
12
Toulouse319814-135 
w
 
2-0F
d
 
1-1F
d
 
0-00-0
w
 
1-2A
13
Reims318914-1033 
w
 
3-0F
d
 
0-00-0
w
 
4-0F
d
 
1-1F
14
Nantes3171113-1532 
w
 
7-1A
d
 
2-2A
w
 
2-0F
d
 
1-1F
15
Angers318617-2130 
l
 
0-1A
w
 
0-2F
May 17
w
 
0-3F
16
Le Havre318419-3128 
w
 
3-1F
d
 
1-1A
w
 
4-2F
w
 
0-4F
17
St Etienne317618-3727 
w
 
1-0F
May 3
w
 
1-0F
l
 
2-1A
18
Montpellier314423-4916 
w
 
2-1A
l
 
2-1F
w
 
1-0F
w
 
1-4F
Win / draw / win form
7
Monaco have not lost in 7 consecutive home league games
Monaco 4TH
20 league games
Home
7
Overall
Goals: Scored
46
Conceded
17
Games: Scored
17 / 20
Conceded
11 / 20
Clean sheets
9 / 20
Failed to score
3 / 20
Won
15
D
3
L
2
Goals: Scored
40
Conceded
28
Games: Scored
18 / 20
Conceded
14 / 20
Clean sheets
6 / 20
Failed to score
2 / 20
Won
9
Draw
5
Lost
6
Lyon 5TH
20 league games
Away
Overall
Goals: Scored
37
Conceded
31
Games: Scored
18 / 20
Conceded
15 / 20
Clean sheets
5 / 20
Failed to score
2 / 20
Won
9
D
4
Lost
7
Goals: Scored
44
Conceded
27
Games: Scored
19 / 20
Conceded
15 / 20
Clean sheets
5 / 20
Failed to score
1 / 20
Won
11
D
3
Lost
6
Win / draw / win head to head (H2H)
League games at Monaco since 2013
Monaco
Lyon
Goals: Scored
15
15
Games: Scored
8 / 11
8 / 11
Clean sheets
3 / 11
3 / 11
MCO
5
D
2
LYN
4
League games at Lyon since 2014
Lyon
Monaco
Goals: Scored
29
15
Games: Scored
10 / 11
9 / 11
Clean sheets
2 / 11
1 / 11
MCO
3
LYN
8
Goal Statistics

A PG of 2.2 is decent for Monaco in their clash with Lyon, as is their run of scoring 1 goal or more in 23 consecutive Ligue 1 matches.

Lyon have been reliable in attack of late, scoring in 13 consecutive Ligue 1 outings. Their PG of 1.5 against Monaco on Saturday suggests that run is likely to continue.

Monaco 4th Lyon 5th
Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction
2.2
goals
1.5
goals
Scoring probability
Scoring probability
0
11%
1
24%
2
27%
3
20%
4+
19%
There is a 65% probability that Monaco will score 2 or more goals in this match
0
21%
1
33%
2
25%
3
13%
4+
7%
There is a 79% probability that Lyon will score 1 or more goals
 
20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games
+21
Monaco have scored 21% more goals at home than predicted
+19
Lyon have scored 19% more goals when away than predicted
2.3
average goals scored
1.9
average goals scored
0.9
conceded
1.6
conceded
 
Attack defence ratings
Ligue 1 - 2024/2025 season
https://api.kickoff.co.uk/v1/fixture/279244/accaPanel/formStats/marketCode/FULL
Monaco
PG (predicted goals)
Lyon
2.2
1.5
Attack rating
MCO
LYN
4%
better
view stats
Games scored27
27
Failed to score4
4
Scored first17
17
Goals scored58
62
Avg. goals scored1.9
2
Avg. shots per game11
9
Avg. shots per goal6
5
Conversion rate for17
22
Avg. XG for2.2
1.7
KickOff rating
+4%
Defence rating
4%
better
MCO
LYN
view stats
Games conceded21
22
Clean sheets10
9
Conceded first11
12
Goals conceded36
42
Avg. goals conceded1.2
1.4
Avg. shots/game conceded8
10
Avg. shots/goal conceded7
8
Conversion rate against15%
13%
Avg. XG against1.1
1.4
KickOff rating
+4%

Monaco v Lyon Ligue 1 lLine ups will show here when available.

Monaco Ligue 1 squad statistics 2024/2025
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
2613810
T KehrerM Biereth M AklioucheL Camara
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
E Seghir FWD3063
-
M Akliouche FWD2948
2
-
B Embolo FWD2864
5
-
T Minamino FWD2853
4
-
L Camara MID2726
9
1
T Kehrer DEF264
1
-
Vanderson DEF2613
5
1
C Henrique DEF245
3
-
W Singo DEF2412
4
-
D Zakaria MID2353
5
-
G Ilenikhena FWD2232
-
C Mawissa DEF19
3
-
A Golovin MID193
1
-
S Magassa MID181
5
-
P Köhn GLK16
1
-
M Salisu DEF161
2
-
K Diatta FWD16
1
-
R Majecki GLK15
1
-
M Biereth  FWD14132
1
-
J Teze DEF131
2
1
K Ouattara DEF121
2
-
F Balogun FWD123
-
A Musrati MID91
-
Lyon Ligue 1 squad statistics 2024/2025
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
3013108
L PerriA LacazetteR CherkiD Caleta-Car
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
G Mikautadze FWD31106
2
-
L Perri GLK30
1
-
C Tolisso MID3075
4
-
A Maitland-Niles DEF2914
1
-
M Niakhaté DEF28
-
A Lacazette FWD28132
4
-
C Mata DEF273
5
-
R Cherki MID27810
3
-
N Matić MID261
1
-
M Fofana FWD2654
1
-
J Veretout MID252
4
-
E Nuamah FWD2331
2
-
T Tessmann MID221
3
-
N Tagliafico DEF2131
6
-
Abner DEF1811
1
-
D Caleta-Car DEF171
8
-
S Kumbedi DEF14
1
-
T Almada MID1314
2
-
P Akouokou MID2
1
-
R Descamps GLK1
-
W Omari DEF1
-