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Stade Brestois 29 v Toulouse : Ligue 1 match betting preview, prediction and odds

Sun 25th Jan, 16:15 BST, Stade Francis-Le Ble, Brest

Eric Roy and Carles Martínez Novell meet in the Ligue 1 on Sunday afternoon, as Stade Brestois 29 face Toulouse at the Stade Francis-Le Ble. Ligue 1 stats are the foundation of the predictions you'll find below, with head to head (H2H) performance included too. It's all on this page, with graphics and the best odds available for every betting markets via the tabs.


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Best Tip: Under 3.5 goals

There's 75% chance of Brest and Toulouse no more than 3 goals combined during this Ligue 1 fixture according to our predictive algorithm and, with no strong favourite in the win draw win market, we think that's a great tip here. Calculations are made based on recent form, historical head-to-head (H2H) stats and the view of the betting market, and you can go with it at a best price of 1.25.

In-Play
Win / Draw / Win
Over / Under 1.5 Goals
Over / Under 2.5 Goals
Over / Under 3.5 Goals
Win To Nil
Both Teams To Score
Correct Score
Both Teams To Score & Result
Double Chance
Half Time / Full Time
Over / Under 0.5 Goals
Over / Under 4.5 Goals
Over / Under 5.5 Goals
Draw No Bet
Team To Score First
If you’re looking for a winner in this match, we think Brest are the most likely. Our predictive algorithm gives them a 37% chance of victory, and the bookies have them at a best price of 2.60.

Checkout the hundreds of tips picked but our top win/draw/win tipsters

Change odds
Predictions Add Bet365 Coral
Brest
37%
8/5-
Draw
27%
12/5-
Toulouse
36%
8/5-
Draw 1-1
13%
11/2-
Brest 1-0
10%
7/1-
Toulouse 1-0
10%
7/1-
Brest 2-1
8%
9/1-
Draw 0-0
8%
8/1-
Toulouse 2-1
8%
9/1-
Brest 2-0
7%
11/1-
Toulouse 2-0
6%
11/1-
Draw 2-2
5%
14/1-
Brest 3-1
3%
20/1-
Toulouse 3-1
3%
20/1-
Brest 3-0
3%
25/1-
Toulouse 3-0
3%
25/1-
Brest 3-2
2%
33/1-
Toulouse 3-2
2%
33/1-
Over 2.5 Goals
46%
11/10-
Under 2.5 Goals
54%
8/11-
Home 1st Goal
48%
1/1-
Away 1st Goal
47%
1/1-
No 1st Goal
5%
8/1-
BTTS - Yes
51%
10/11-
BTTS - No
49%
10/11-
BTTS - Home Win
17%
9/2-
BTTS - Draw
19%
15/4-
BTTS - Away Win
16%
9/2-
Home/draw
64%
1/2-
Away/draw
63%
1/2-
Home/away
73%
3/10-
Over 1.5 Goals
72%
4/11-
Under 1.5 Goals
28%
11/5-
Over 3.5 Goals
25%
3/1-
Under 3.5 Goals
75%
1/4-
Over 4.5 Goals
11%
7/1-
Under 4.5 Goals
89%
1/12-
Over 5.5 Goals
4%
16/1-
Under 5.5 Goals
96%
1/33-
Over 0.5 Goals
92%
1/14-
Under 0.5 Goals
8%
8/1-
Home DNB
56%
5/6-
Away DNB
55%
5/6-
Brest win to nil
21%
10/3-
Toulouse win to nil
20%
10/3-
Brest / Brest
19%
10/3-
Brest / Toulouse
3%
28/1-
Brest / Draw
6%
14/1-
Draw / Brest
14%
5/1-
Draw / Toulouse
14%
5/1-
Draw / Draw
17%
15/4-
Toulouse / Brest
3%
28/1-
Toulouse / Toulouse
19%
10/3-
Toulouse / Draw
6%
14/1-
Win / draw / win Ligue 1 table

Brest have played 17 matches so far this season and are in 11th position in the league.

Performance against teams above them in the league

10 of those games have come against teams above them in the table. They have lost 5 games, drawn 2 and won 3. Brest have conceded 18 goals, scored 10, failed to score in 4 matches and kept 3 clean sheets.

Home league performance

Brest have played 9 games at home, winning 4, drawing 3 and losing 2 fixtures. They have scored 14 goals, conceded 11 goals, kept 4 clean sheets and failed to score 3 times in home league games.

Toulouse lay in 8th place on 23 points in the Ligue 1 league table having played 17 matches.

Performance against teams below them in the league

They have played 10 games against teams below them in the table, winning 4, drawing 3 and losing 3 games. They have scored 13 goals and kept 5 clean sheets against lower placed opposition. Toulouse have conceded 6 goals and have failed to score in 4 matches.

Away league performance

Toulouse have played 8 away games, winning 3, drawing 2 and losing 3 games. They have scored an average of 1.3 goals per away game and conceded an average 1 goals per away game.

Won
Draw
Lost
Brest
Toulouse
Results by League Table
TEAM PLD W D L GD PTS HOME AWAY HOME AWAY
1
Lens1713131840 
Apr 26
l
 
3-1F
l
 
0-3A
Apr 19
2
PSG1712322239 
l
 
0-3A
May 9
l
 
3-6A
Apr 5
3
Marseille1710251932 
Feb 22
l
 
3-0A
Mar 8
d
 
2-2F
4
Lille1710251132 
d
 
3-3A
Feb 15
Apr 12
l
 
2-1F
5
Lyon17935830 
d
 
0-00-0
Jan 18
May 9
w
 
1-2A
6
Rennes17863530 
Apr 5
l
 
3-1F
d
 
2-2A
Mar 1
7
Strasbourg17737524 
Apr 12
w
 
1-2A
w
 
1-0F
May 3
8
Toulouse17656223 
Jan 25
l
 
2-0A
-
-
9
Monaco17728-323 
w
 
1-0F
Mar 15
Apr 26
l
 
1-0A
10
Angers17647-222 
May 16
w
 
0-2F
l
 
0-1A
Feb 8
11
Brest17647-422 
-
-
w
 
2-0F
Jan 25
12
Lorient17476-919 
Feb 8
d
 
3-3A
Mar 22
d
 
1-1A
13
Le Havre17467-818 
Mar 8
l
 
1-0A
d
 
0-00-0
Feb 15
14
Nice17539-1018 
w
 
4-1F
Feb 1
Jan 17
w
 
0-1F
15
Paris FC17449-916 
l
 
1-2A
May 3
Feb 22
w
 
0-3F
16
Nantes17359-1214 
d
 
0-00-0
Apr 19
d
 
2-2A
May 16
17
Auxerre173311-1312 
w
 
2-0F
Mar 22
Feb 1
l
 
1-0A
18
Metz173311-2012 
w
 
3-2F
Mar 1
w
 
4-0F
Mar 15
Win / draw / win form
3
Brest have won 3 consecutive home league games
Brest 11TH
20 league games
Home
3
Overall
Goals: Scored
35
Conceded
25
Games: Scored
16 / 20
Conceded
12 / 20
Clean sheets
8 / 20
Failed to score
4 / 20
Won
11
Draw
5
L
4
Goals: Scored
26
Conceded
33
Games: Scored
13 / 20
Conceded
13 / 20
Clean sheets
7 / 20
Failed to score
7 / 20
Won
8
D
4
Lost
8
Toulouse 8TH
20 league games
Away
Overall
Goals: Scored
27
Conceded
24
Games: Scored
13 / 20
Conceded
14 / 20
Clean sheets
6 / 20
Failed to score
7 / 20
Won
7
Draw
5
Lost
8
Goals: Scored
30
Conceded
26
Games: Scored
15 / 20
Conceded
14 / 20
Clean sheets
6 / 20
Failed to score
5 / 20
Won
8
Draw
6
Lost
6
Win / draw / win head to head (H2H)
League games at Brest since 2019
Brest
Toulouse
Goals: Scored
7
3
Games: Scored
4 / 4
3 / 4
Clean sheets
1 / 4
0 / 4
SBR
2
D
2
League games at Toulouse since 2020
Toulouse
Brest
Goals: Scored
7
13
Games: Scored
4 / 5
4 / 5
Clean sheets
1 / 5
1 / 5
SBR
3
D
1
TOU
1
Goal Statistics

Goals have been an issue for Stade Brestois 29 of late. It has been 5 Ligue 1 games since they last scored more than 1, and a PG of 1.3 suggests they'll have problems ending that run on Sunday afternoon against Toulouse.

Brest 11th Toulouse 8th
Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction
1.3
goals
1.2
goals
Scoring probability
Scoring probability
0
28%
1
36%
2
23%
3
10%
4+
There is a 64% probability that Brest will score no more than 1 goal
0
29%
1
36%
2
22%
3
9%
4+
There is a 65% probability that Toulouse will score no more than 1 goal
 
20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games
+7
Brest’s goalscoring at home has been inline with predictions
+6
Toulouse’s goalscoring when away has been inline with predictions
1.8
average goals scored
1.4
average goals scored
1.3
conceded
1.2
conceded
 
Attack defence ratings
Ligue 1 - 2025/2026 season
Brest
PG (predicted goals)
Toulouse
1.3
1.2
Attack rating
SBR
TOU
7%
better
view stats
Games scored11
12
Failed to score6
5
Scored first7
7
Goals scored23
24
Avg. goals scored1.4
1.4
Avg. shots per game9
9
Avg. shots per goal7
6
Conversion rate for15
16
Avg. XG for1.4
1.5
KickOff rating
+7%
Defence rating
SBR
TOU
7%
better
view stats
Games conceded12
11
Clean sheets5
6
Conceded first8
9
Goals conceded27
22
Avg. goals conceded1.6
1.3
Avg. shots/game conceded9
8
Avg. shots/goal conceded6
6
Conversion rate against18%
17%
Avg. XG against1.5
1.3
KickOff rating
+7%

Brest v Toulouse Ligue 1 lLine ups will show here when available.

Brest Ligue 1 squad statistics 2025/2026
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
16655
K LalaR CastilloL AjorqueL Ajorque
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
K Lala DEF161
3
-
J Chotard MID162
1
-
H Magnetti MID161
3
-
L Ajorque FWD1625
4
1
R Castillo FWD1662
1
-
B Chardonnet DEF151
3
-
B Locko DEF141
-
P. Mboup FWD141
5
-
M Baldé FWD1322
-
K Doumbia MID1242
4
-
D Guindo DEF11
2
-
J Ebimbe MID111
1
-
R Lascary FWD1121
1
-
R Majecki GLK10
1
L Tousart MID10
-
S Coulibaly DEF9
2
-
H. Makalou MID9
-
G Coudert GLK8
-
M Diaz DEF8
-
J Cardinal DEF51
1
-
T. Zogbe DEF4
-
S. Diop FWD2
-
R. Le Guen DEF1
-
J. Bourgault DEF1
-
Toulouse Ligue 1 squad statistics 2025/2026
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
17535
G. RestesY GbohoD SidibéA Dönnum
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
G. Restes GLK17
2
-
D Sidibé DEF1723
1
-
R Nicolaisen DEF17
1
-
C Cresswell DEF1731
4
-
D. Methalie DEF16
4
-
M McKenzie DEF161
3
-
C Yepes MID16
3
-
Y Gboho FWD1653
-
F Magri FWD164
3
-
A Dönnum MID1433
5
-
W Kamanzi DEF13
-
A. Vossah MID1311
1
1
M Sauer MID13
2
-
Emersonn FWD1332
3
1
S Hidalgo FWD1322
1
-
N. Edjouma FWD10
-
A Francis MID8
2
-
R. Messali MID7
2
-
J. Vignolo FWD5
-
S. Koumbassa DEF2
-