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Toulouse v Nantes : Ligue 1 match betting preview, prediction and odds

Sat 27th Sep, 18:00 BST, Stadium Municipal, Toulouse, Toulouse

Carles Martínez Novell's Toulouse side enjoy home advantage in the Ligue 1 on Saturday evening, as Luís Manuel Ferreira de Castro's Nantes travel to the Stadium Municipal, Toulouse. All the odds are delivered straight from the bookmaker, while predictions are algorithmically generated from stats over a 20-game period. Particular attention is given to Ligue 1 match data, including head-to-head performance. Explore it all using the tabs below.


Want to know who’s consistently beating the odds? Check out the Top Ligue 1 Tipsters and see the most profitable experts for this season!

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Best Tip: Under 3.5 goals

There's 74% chance of Toulouse and Nantes no more than 3 goals combined during this Ligue 1 game according to our predictive algorithm and, without a strong favourite in the win draw win market, we think that's a great tip here. Calculations are made based on latest form, historical head-to-head (H2H) statistics and the view of the betting market, and you can go with it at a best price of 1.30.

In-Play
Win / Draw / Win
Over / Under 1.5 Goals
Over / Under 2.5 Goals
Over / Under 3.5 Goals
Win To Nil
Both Teams To Score
Correct Score
Both Teams To Score & Result
Double Chance
Half Time / Full Time
Over / Under 0.5 Goals
Over / Under 4.5 Goals
Over / Under 5.5 Goals
Draw No Bet
Team To Score First
If you’re looking for a winner in this match, we think Toulouse are the most likely. Our predictive algorithm gives them a 55% chance of victory, and the bookies have them at a best price of 1.75.

Checkout the hundreds of tips picked but our top win/draw/win tipsters

Change odds
Predictions Add Bet365 Coral
Toulouse
55%
3/4-
Draw
25%
5/2-
Nantes
20%
15/4-
Toulouse 1-0
13%
11/2-
Draw 1-1
12%
11/2-
Toulouse 2-0
11%
13/2-
Toulouse 2-1
10%
15/2-
Draw 0-0
8%
8/1-
Nantes 1-0
7%
10/1-
Toulouse 3-0
6%
12/1-
Toulouse 3-1
5%
14/1-
Nantes 2-1
5%
14/1-
Draw 2-2
4%
16/1-
Nantes 2-0
3%
22/1-
Toulouse 4-0
2%
28/1-
Toulouse 3-2
2%
28/1-
Toulouse 4-1
2%
33/1-
Nantes 3-1
2%
40/1-
Over 2.5 Goals
47%
11/10-
Under 2.5 Goals
53%
8/11-
Home 1st Goal
55%
4/7-
Away 1st Goal
40%
13/8-
No 1st Goal
5%
8/1-
BTTS - Yes
48%
19/20-
BTTS - No
52%
4/5-
BTTS - Home Win
22%
3/1-
BTTS - Draw
17%
4/1-
BTTS - Away Win
9%
9/1-
Home/draw
80%
2/11-
Away/draw
45%
1/1-
Home/away
76%
2/7-
Over 1.5 Goals
72%
4/11-
Under 1.5 Goals
28%
11/5-
Over 3.5 Goals
25%
3/1-
Under 3.5 Goals
75%
1/4-
Over 4.5 Goals
12%
7/1-
Under 4.5 Goals
88%
1/12-
Over 5.5 Goals
5%
16/1-
Under 5.5 Goals
95%
1/33-
Over 0.5 Goals
92%
1/14-
Under 0.5 Goals
8%
8/1-
Home DNB
72%
3/10-
Away DNB
38%
12/5-
Toulouse win to nil
33%
7/4-
Nantes win to nil
11%
7/1-
Toulouse / Toulouse
30%
7/4-
Toulouse / Nantes
2%
40/1-
Toulouse / Draw
6%
14/1-
Draw / Toulouse
18%
7/2-
Draw / Nantes
9%
17/2-
Draw / Draw
17%
4/1-
Nantes / Toulouse
4%
22/1-
Nantes / Nantes
10%
7/1-
Nantes / Draw
5%
16/1-
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Win / draw / win Ligue 1 table
Won
Draw
Lost
Toulouse
Nantes
Results by League Table
TEAM PLD W D L GD PTS HOME AWAY HOME AWAY
1
PSG4400712 
l
 
3-6A
Apr 5
l
 
0-1A
Mar 15
2
Lille4310810 
Apr 12
l
 
2-1F
Oct 19
Mar 1
3
Monaco430139 
Apr 26
Oct 25
Oct 29
Feb 15
4
Lyon430139 
May 9
Oct 5
Feb 8
Nov 30
5
Strasbourg430129 
Dec 7
May 3
Mar 22
l
 
1-0A
6
Rennes4211-17 
Oct 29
Mar 1
Sep 20
Apr 26
7
Marseille420256 
Mar 8
Nov 30
May 3
Jan 4
8
Nice420206 
Jan 18
w
 
0-1F
Jan 25
l
 
1-0A
9
Lens420206 
Jan 4
Apr 19
Dec 7
May 9
10
Toulouse4202-16 
-
-
May 16
Sep 27
11
Paris FC4202-26 
Feb 22
Dec 14
Jan 18
Oct 24
12
Angers412105 
Nov 23
Feb 8
Mar 8
Dec 14
13
Le Havre4103-23 
Nov 2
Feb 15
Feb 22
Nov 8
14
Nantes4103-23 
Sep 27
May 16
-
-
15
Auxerre4103-33 
Feb 1
Sep 21
w
 
1-0F
Apr 12
16
Lorient4103-73 
Mar 22
Nov 9
Nov 23
Feb 1
17
Brest4013-51 
w
 
2-0F
Jan 25
Apr 19
Oct 4
18
Metz4013-51 
Oct 19
Mar 15
Nov 2
Apr 5
Win / draw / win form
Toulouse 10TH
20 league games
Home
Overall
Goals: Scored
25
Conceded
31
Games: Scored
17 / 20
Conceded
15 / 20
Clean sheets
5 / 20
Failed to score
3 / 20
Won
6
Draw
5
Lost
9
HOME FORM Win / Draw / Win
Toulouse3 - 6PSG
Toulouse2 - 0Brest
Toulouse1 - 1Lens
Toulouse2 - 1Rennes
Toulouse1 - 2Lille
Toulouse2 - 4Brest
Toulouse1 - 1Monaco
Toulouse0 - 1PSG
Toulouse1 - 1Nice
Toulouse1 - 2Montpellier
Toulouse1 - 2Strasbourg
Toulouse2 - 1St Etienne
Toulouse2 - 0Auxerre
Toulouse1 - 0Reims
Toulouse1 - 1Angers
Toulouse1 - 2Lyon
Toulouse2 - 0Le Havre
Toulouse1 - 3Marseille
Toulouse0 - 0Nantes
Toulouse0 - 3Brest
Goals: Scored
32
Conceded
32
Games: Scored
17 / 20
Conceded
16 / 20
Clean sheets
4 / 20
Failed to score
3 / 20
Won
6
Draw
5
Lost
9
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
AToulouse1 - 2Lille
HToulouse3 - 6PSG
HToulouse2 - 0Brest
AToulouse1 - 0Nice
AToulouse3 - 2St Etienne
HToulouse1 - 1Lens
HToulouse2 - 1Rennes
AToulouse0 - 0Nantes
AToulouse0 - 1Reims
HToulouse1 - 2Lille
AToulouse2 - 3Marseille
HToulouse2 - 4Brest
AToulouse1 - 2Strasbourg
HToulouse1 - 1Monaco
AToulouse4 - 0Angers
AToulouse4 - 1Le Havre
HToulouse0 - 1PSG
AToulouse2 - 2Auxerre
HToulouse1 - 1Nice
HToulouse1 - 2Montpellier
Nantes 14TH
20 league games
Away
Overall
Goals: Scored
20
Conceded
40
Games: Scored
14 / 20
Conceded
19 / 20
Clean sheets
1 / 20
Failed to score
6 / 20
W
3
Draw
6
Lost
11
AWAY FORM Win / Draw / Win
Nice1 - 0Nantes
Strasbourg1 - 0Nantes
Auxerre1 - 1Nantes
Rennes2 - 1Nantes
Nice1 - 2Nantes
Le Havre3 - 2Nantes
Marseille2 - 0Nantes
Monaco7 - 1Nantes
Reims1 - 2Nantes
St Etienne1 - 1Nantes
Lille1 - 1Nantes
Brest4 - 1Nantes
PSG1 - 1Nantes
Lens3 - 2Nantes
Strasbourg3 - 1Nantes
Lyon2 - 0Nantes
Angers1 - 1Nantes
Montpellier1 - 3Nantes
Toulouse0 - 0Nantes
Monaco4 - 0Nantes
Goals: Scored
19
Conceded
27
Games: Scored
12 / 20
Conceded
16 / 20
Clean sheets
4 / 20
Failed to score
8 / 20
Won
6
D
4
Lost
10
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
ANantes0 - 1Nice
HNantes1 - 0Auxerre
ANantes0 - 1Strasbourg
HNantes0 - 1PSG
HNantes3 - 0Montpellier
ANantes1 - 1Auxerre
HNantes0 - 1Angers
HNantes0 - 0Toulouse
HNantes1 - 1PSG
ANantes1 - 2Rennes
ANantes2 - 1Nice
ANantes2 - 3Le Havre
HNantes1 - 0Lille
HNantes0 - 1Strasbourg
ANantes0 - 2Marseille
HNantes3 - 1Lens
ANantes1 - 7Monaco
HNantes0 - 2Brest
ANantes2 - 1Reims
HNantes1 - 1Lyon
Win / draw / win head to head (H2H)
League games at Toulouse since 2014
Toulouse
Nantes
Goals: Scored
6
8
Games: Scored
6 / 10
6 / 10
Clean sheets
4 / 10
4 / 10
TOU
1
D
6
NAN
3
FIXTURE HISTORY AT Toulouse
Draw0 - 0Draw
1 - 2Nantes
Draw0 - 0Draw
1 - 2Nantes
Toulouse1 - 0
Draw1 - 1Draw
0 - 1Nantes
Draw0 - 0Draw
Draw1 - 1Draw
Draw1 - 1Draw
League games at Nantes since 2013
Nantes
Toulouse
Goals: Scored
16
12
Games: Scored
9 / 11
9 / 11
Clean sheets
2 / 11
2 / 11
TOU
4
D
3
NAN
4
FIXTURE HISTORY AT Nantes
Draw0 - 0Draw
1 - 2Toulouse
Nantes3 - 1
0 - 1Toulouse
Nantes2 - 1
Nantes4 - 0
Nantes2 - 1
Draw1 - 1Draw
Draw1 - 1Draw
1 - 2Toulouse
1 - 2Toulouse
Goal Statistics

Toulouse have been reliable in attack of late, scoring in 6 consecutive Ligue 1 games. Their PG of 1.6 against Nantes on Saturday suggests they're likely to extend that run.

Toulouse 10th Nantes 14th
Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction
1.6
goals
0.9
goals
Scoring probability
Scoring probability
0
19%
1
32%
2
26%
3
14%
4+
9%
There is a 81% probability that Toulouse will score 1 or more goals
0
41%
1
37%
2
16%
3
4+
There is a 78% probability of Nantes scoring 1 goal or less
 
20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games
-17
Toulouse have scored 17% fewer goals at home than predicted
-10
Nantes’s goalscoring when away has been inline with predictions
1.3
average goals scored
1.0
average goals scored
1.6
conceded
2.0
conceded
 
Attack defence ratings
Ligue 1 - 2025/2026 season
Toulouse
PG (predicted goals)
Nantes
1.6
0.9
Attack rating
73%
better
TOU
NAN
view stats
Games scored4
1
Failed to score0
3
Scored first3
1
Goals scored7
1
Avg. goals scored1.8
0.3
Avg. shots per game8
6
Avg. shots per goal4
22
Conversion rate for23
5
Avg. XG for1.4
0.4
KickOff rating
+73%
Defence rating
TOU
NAN
5%
better
view stats
Games conceded2
3
Clean sheets2
1
Conceded first1
3
Goals conceded8
3
Avg. goals conceded2
0.8
Avg. shots/game conceded10
11
Avg. shots/goal conceded5
15
Conversion rate against21%
7%
Avg. XG against1.9
1.5
KickOff rating
+5%

Toulouse v Nantes Ligue 1 lLine ups will show here when available.

Toulouse Ligue 1 squad statistics 2025/2026
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
4322
G. RestesF MagriS HidalgoA Dönnum
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
G. Restes GLK4
1
-
D. Methalie DEF4
1
-
M McKenzie DEF4
-
D Sidibé DEF41
-
R Nicolaisen DEF4
-
C Cresswell DEF41
-
W Kamanzi DEF4
-
M Sauer MID4
1
-
A Dönnum MID41
2
-
S Hidalgo FWD42
-
Y Gboho FWD411
-
F Magri FWD43
1
-
C Yepes MID3
-
N. Edjouma FWD3
-
A Francis MID1
-
R. Messali MID1
-
Nantes Ligue 1 squad statistics 2025/2026
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
4112
A LopesM MohamedB. GuirassyC Awaziem
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
A Lopes GLK4
-
C Awaziem DEF4
2
-
N Cozza DEF4
-
K Amian DEF4
1
-
D. Assoumani MID4
-
L. Leroux MID4
-
H Hyun-seok MID4
-
J Lepenant MID4
-
Y Benhattab FWD4
-
M Mohamed FWD41
-
M Abline FWD4
-
F Coquelin MID3
1
-
K Hyeok-Kyu MID3
-
A. Camara FWD3
-
B. Guirassy FWD31
-
Y Arabi FWD2
-
J Mwanga MID1
-
M. Lahdo FWD1
-