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Lorient v Monaco : Ligue 1 match betting preview, prediction and odds

Sun 18th Oct, 16:15 BST, Stade du Moustoir, Lorient

Alexandre Dujeux's Lorient side enjoy home advantage in the Ligue 1 on Sunday afternoon, as Filipe Luis Kasmirski's Monaco arrive at the Stade du Moustoir. Analysing both clubs' last 20 Ligue 1 matches, as well as trends within the competition and the betting market, to generate our percentage predictions. All the stats, including head-to-heads, are shown below, alongside odds from leading bookmakers.


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Best Tip: Over 1.5 goals

We predict there's very little chance of a bore-draw or a sneaky 1-0 win here, and instead we're tipping over 1.5 goals. That means that Lorient and Monaco will score a minimum of two between them during 90 mins. It's a tip based on form stats for each side, as well as historical records when they go head-to-head. We give it a probability of 77%. Bookies have it priced at 1.29.

In-Play
Win / Draw / Win
Over / Under 1.5 Goals
Over / Under 2.5 Goals
Over / Under 3.5 Goals
Win To Nil
Both Teams To Score
Correct Score
Both Teams To Score & Result
Double Chance
Half Time / Full Time
Over / Under 0.5 Goals
Over / Under 4.5 Goals
Over / Under 5.5 Goals
Draw No Bet
Team To Score First
An away win looks like the most likely outcome in the win/draw/win market, with our predictive algorithm suggesting there’s a 46% chance of Monaco coming away with a win.

Checkout the hundreds of tips picked but our top win/draw/win tipsters

Change odds
Predictions Add Bet365 Coral
Lorient
29%
3.25
13%
-
Draw
25%
3.50
3%
-
Monaco
46%
2.05
11%
-
Draw 1-1
12%
7.00-
Monaco 1-0
10%
8.00
6%
-
Monaco 2-1
9%
9.00
6%
-
Monaco 2-0
8%
10.00-
Lorient 1-0
7%
11.00
15%
-
Lorient 2-1
7%
12.00
8%
-
Draw 0-0
6%
11.00
15%
-
Draw 2-2
6%
13.00-
Monaco 3-1
5%
17.00
13%
-
Lorient 2-0
5%
17.00
19%
-
Monaco 3-0
4%
19.00
12%
-
Monaco 3-2
3%
26.00
13%
-
Lorient 3-1
3%
26.00
10%
-
Lorient 3-2
2%
34.00-
Monaco 4-1
2%
34.00
17%
-
Over 2.5 Goals
53%
1.91
10%
-
Under 2.5 Goals
47%
1.91
9%
-
Home 1st Goal
45%
2.20
4%
-
Away 1st Goal
51%
1.73
4%
-
No 1st Goal
4%
11.00
15%
-
BTTS - Yes
56%
1.70
2%
-
BTTS - No
44%
2.05
2%
-
BTTS - Home Win
15%
6.00
8%
-
BTTS - Draw
19%
4.50-
BTTS - Away Win
22%
4.00
11%
-
Home/draw
54%
1.73
9%
-
Away/draw
71%
1.33
6%
-
Home/away
75%
1.29-
Over 1.5 Goals
77%
1.29
6%
-
Under 1.5 Goals
23%
3.75
13%
-
Over 3.5 Goals
31%
3.20
16%
-
Under 3.5 Goals
69%
1.36
6%
-
Over 4.5 Goals
15%
6.00
20%
-
Under 4.5 Goals
85%
1.13
3%
-
Over 5.5 Goals
7%
13.00
18%
-
Under 5.5 Goals
94%
1.04
1%
-
Over 0.5 Goals
94%
1.05
1%
-
Under 0.5 Goals
6%
11.00
15%
-
Home DNB
47%
2.38
13%
-
Away DNB
63%
1.53
9%
-
Lorient win to nil
15%
6.00
14%
-
Monaco win to nil
23%
3.75
7%
-
Lorient / Lorient
15%
5.50
15%
-
Lorient / Monaco
4%
23.00
10%
-
Lorient / Draw
6%
15.00-
Draw / Lorient
11%
7.50
12%
-
Draw / Monaco
15%
5.50
10%
-
Draw / Draw
15%
5.50
8%
-
Monaco / Lorient
3%
29.00-
Monaco / Monaco
25%
3.40
13%
-
Monaco / Draw
6%
13.00-
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Win / draw / win Ligue 1 table
Won
Draw
Lost
Lorient
Monaco
Results by League Table
TEAM PLD W D L GD PTS HOME AWAY HOME AWAY
1
Monaco5410513 
Oct 18
May 1
-
-
2
Lyon5320811 
May 22
Jan 16
Mar 6
Nov 29
3
Paris FC5320511 
Oct 10
Mar 13
May 16
Nov 1
4
Lille5311410 
Dec 12
Feb 20
Oct 25
Apr 24
5
Rennes5311-110 
Nov 22
Jan 30
Apr 10
Dec 12
6
PSG522118 
Apr 24
Nov 28
Jan 30
w
 
1-2A
7
Angers521217 
Feb 27
Oct 25
Dec 5
Apr 3
8
Strasbourg521207 
May 8
Dec 5
Apr 17
d
 
1-1A
9
Le Mans513106 
Feb 6
l
 
2-1A
Feb 20
Nov 8
10
Auxerre5203-56 
Jan 2
Apr 17
Nov 21
Feb 6
11
Brest5122-15 
Oct 31
Apr 3
Jan 16
Feb 27
12
Lorient5122-15 
-
-
May 1
Oct 18
13
Toulouse5122-25 
d
 
2-2F
May 16
Oct 10
Feb 13
14
Nice5122-35 
Mar 20
d
 
0-00-0
Jan 2
May 22
15
Lens511304 
Apr 10
w
 
0-1F
w
 
2-1F
May 8
16
Troyes5113-74 
l
 
1-2A
Mar 6
May 29
Jan 23
17
Marseille5104-13 
Jan 23
May 29
w
 
2-0F
Mar 13
18
Le Havre5023-32 
Feb 13
Nov 8
Mar 20
w
 
0-1F
Win / draw / win form
Lorient 12TH
20 league games
Home
Overall
Goals: Scored
39
Conceded
30
Games: Scored
19 / 20
Conceded
16 / 20
Clean sheets
4 / 20
Failed to score
1 / 20
Won
9
Draw
7
L
4
HOME FORM Win / Draw / Win
Lorient2 - 2Toulouse
Lorient1 - 2Troyes
Lorient0 - 2Le Havre
Lorient2 - 3Strasbourg
Lorient2 - 0Marseille
Lorient1 - 1Paris FC
Lorient2 - 1Lens
Lorient2 - 2Auxerre
Lorient2 - 0Angers
Lorient2 - 1Nantes
Lorient1 - 1Metz
Lorient1 - 0Lyon
Lorient3 - 1Nice
Lorient1 - 1Toulouse
Lorient1 - 1PSG
Lorient3 - 3Brest
Lorient3 - 1Monaco
Lorient1 - 7Lille
Lorient4 - 0Rennes
Lorient5 - 1Martigues
Goals: Scored
28
Conceded
27
Games: Scored
15 / 20
Conceded
15 / 20
Clean sheets
5 / 20
Failed to score
5 / 20
Won
6
Draw
7
Lost
7
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
ALorient1 - 2Le Mans
HLorient2 - 2Toulouse
ALorient1 - 0Lens
HLorient1 - 2Troyes
ALorient0 - 0Nice
HLorient0 - 2Le Havre
ALorient4 - 0Metz
ALorient2 - 2PSG
HLorient2 - 3Strasbourg
HLorient2 - 0Marseille
ALorient0 - 2Lyon
HLorient1 - 1Paris FC
ALorient0 - 1Toulouse
HLorient2 - 1Lens
ALorient1 - 1Lille
HLorient2 - 2Auxerre
ALorient3 - 3Nice
HLorient2 - 0Angers
ALorient0 - 2Brest
HLorient2 - 1Nantes
Monaco 1ST
20 league games
Away
Overall
Goals: Scored
31
Conceded
33
Games: Scored
15 / 20
Conceded
17 / 20
Clean sheets
3 / 20
Failed to score
5 / 20
Won
8
Draw
5
Lost
7
AWAY FORM Win / Draw / Win
Strasbourg1 - 1Monaco
PSG1 - 2Monaco
Le Havre0 - 1Monaco
Strasbourg5 - 4Monaco
Metz1 - 2Monaco
Toulouse2 - 2Monaco
Paris FC4 - 1Monaco
Lyon1 - 2Monaco
PSG1 - 3Monaco
Lens2 - 3Monaco
Nice0 - 0Monaco
Le Havre0 - 0Monaco
Marseille1 - 0Monaco
Brest1 - 0Monaco
Rennes4 - 1Monaco
Nantes3 - 5Monaco
Angers1 - 1Monaco
Lorient3 - 1Monaco
Auxerre1 - 2Monaco
Lille1 - 0Monaco
Goals: Scored
40
Conceded
24
Games: Scored
18 / 20
Conceded
14 / 20
Clean sheets
6 / 20
Failed to score
2 / 20
Won
13
D
4
L
3
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
HMonaco2 - 1Lens
AMonaco1 - 1Strasbourg
AMonaco2 - 1PSG
HMonaco2 - 0Marseille
AMonaco1 - 0Le Havre
AMonaco4 - 5Strasbourg
HMonaco0 - 1Lille
AMonaco2 - 1Metz
AMonaco2 - 2Toulouse
HMonaco2 - 2Auxerre
AMonaco1 - 4Paris FC
HMonaco2 - 1Marseille
AMonaco2 - 1Lyon
HMonaco2 - 0Brest
AMonaco3 - 1PSG
HMonaco2 - 0Angers
AMonaco3 - 2Lens
HMonaco3 - 1Nantes
AMonaco0 - 0Nice
HMonaco4 - 0Rennes
Win / draw / win head to head (H2H)
League games at Lorient since 2014
Lorient
Monaco
Goals: Scored
12
18
Games: Scored
6 / 9
8 / 9
Clean sheets
1 / 9
3 / 9
LOR
2
D
3
MCO
4
FIXTURE HISTORY AT Lorient
Lorient3 - 1
Draw2 - 2Draw
Draw2 - 2Draw
Lorient1 - 0
2 - 5Monaco
0 - 3Monaco
0 - 2Monaco
0 - 1Monaco
Draw2 - 2Draw
League games at Monaco since 2013
Monaco
Lorient
Goals: Scored
16
13
Games: Scored
8 / 9
6 / 9
Clean sheets
3 / 9
1 / 9
LOR
3
D
3
MCO
3
FIXTURE HISTORY AT Monaco
1 - 3Lorient
Draw2 - 2Draw
Monaco3 - 1
Draw0 - 0Draw
Draw2 - 2Draw
Monaco4 - 0
2 - 3Lorient
1 - 2Lorient
Monaco1 - 0
Goal Statistics

Monaco's defensive record is very strong, F. Kasmirski's men having conceded 1 or less in 5 consecutive Ligue 1 outings. An underwhelming PG rating of 1.2 for Lorient makes sense in this context.

Monaco have been reliable in attack of late, finding the net in 6 consecutive Ligue 1 matches. Their PG of 1.6 against Lorient on Sunday suggests that run is likely to continue.

Lorient 12th Monaco 1st
Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction
1.2
goals
1.6
goals
Scoring probability
Scoring probability
0
30%
1
36%
2
22%
3
9%
4+
There is a 66% probability that Lorient will score no more than 1 goal
0
21%
1
33%
2
26%
3
14%
4+
8%
There is a 79% probability that Monaco will score 1 or more goals
 
20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games
+24
Lorient have scored 24% more goals at home than predicted
-1
Monaco’s goalscoring when away has been inline with predictions
2.0
average goals scored
1.6
average goals scored
1.5
conceded
1.7
conceded
 
Attack defence ratings
Ligue 1 - 2026/2027 season
Lorient
PG (predicted goals)
Monaco
1.2
1.6
Attack rating
LOR
MCO
38%
better
view stats
Games scored4
5
Failed to score1
0
Scored first2
3
Goals scored5
8
Avg. goals scored1
1.6
Avg. shots per game8
8
Avg. shots per goal8
5
Conversion rate for12
20
Avg. XG for1.2
1.2
KickOff rating
+38%
Defence rating
LOR
MCO
22%
better
view stats
Games conceded3
3
Clean sheets2
2
Conceded first2
2
Goals conceded6
3
Avg. goals conceded1.2
0.6
Avg. shots/game conceded10
10
Avg. shots/goal conceded8
17
Conversion rate against13%
6%
Avg. XG against1.4
1.5
KickOff rating
+22%

Lorient v Monaco Ligue 1 lLine ups will show here when available.

Lorient Ligue 1 squad statistics 2026/2027
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
5131
Y Mvogo J MakengoP KatserisN Adjei
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
Y Mvogo  GLK5
-
D Sylla DEF5
-
N Adjei DEF5
1
-
M Talbi DEF5
-
K. Kouassi DEF51
1
-
A Avon MID5
1
-
G. Bernardeau MID5
-
T Bris MID5
-
P Katseris MID53
1
-
J Makengo MID51
1
-
N Cadiou MID5
-
M. Koné FWD51
-
I Jensen FWD41
-
N Mbamba MID31
-
I Baldé FWD31
-
S. Faye FWD3
-
A Tosin  FWD2
-
N. Obaretin DEF1
-
A Georgen DEF1
-
Monaco Ligue 1 squad statistics 2026/2027
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
5422
L HradeckyP. BrunnerA GolovinA Golovin
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
L Hradecky GLK5
1
-
F Nazinho DEF511
1
-
S. Sané DEF5
-
E Dier DEF511
-
Vanderson DEF5
1
-
A Golovin MID52
2
-
L Camara MID51
2
-
D Zakaria MID5
1
-
P. Brunner FWD54
-
A. Soubeir MID4
-
S. Idumbo Muzambo MID41
-
M Abline FWD41
-
M. Coulibaly MID3
-
M. Detourbet FWD3
-
M Biereth  FWD2
-
J Teze DEF11
1
-
C Mawissa DEF1
-
M Salisu DEF1
-
P. Cabral MID1
-
E Diop MID1
-
F Balogun FWD1
-