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Lyon v Nice : Ligue 1 match betting preview, prediction and odds

Sun 18th Oct, 19:45 BST, Groupama Stadium, Lyon

Olivier Pantaloni pays counterpart Paulo Alexandre Rodrigues Fonseca a visit on Sunday evening in the Ligue 1, as their Nice and Lyon sides face each other at the Groupama Stadium. Analysing both clubs' last 20 Ligue 1 matches, as well as baseline data within the competition and the betting market, to generate our match predictions. All the stats, including head to heads (H2H), are shown below, alongside the best odds.


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Best Tip: Over 1.5 goals

We are making over 1.5 goals our best tip on this match, meaning that the sides will score 2 goals or more between them during the standard 90 mins. Both Lyon and Nice's recent form stats suggest goals are to be expected, while their head-to-head (H2H) record also supports the bet. The bookies make it the most likely outcome in this market too, available at 1.20.

In-Play
Win / Draw / Win
Over / Under 1.5 Goals
Over / Under 2.5 Goals
Over / Under 3.5 Goals
Win To Nil
Both Teams To Score
Correct Score
Both Teams To Score & Result
Double Chance
Half Time / Full Time
Over / Under 0.5 Goals
Over / Under 4.5 Goals
Over / Under 5.5 Goals
Draw No Bet
Team To Score First
If you’re looking for a winner in this match, we think Lyon are the most likely. Our predictive algorithm gives them a 57% chance of victory, and the bookies have them at a best price of 1.65.

Checkout the hundreds of tips picked but our top win/draw/win tipsters

Change odds
Predictions Add Bet365 Coral
Lyon
57%
1.65
5%
-
Draw
22%
3.75
6%
-
Nice
21%
5.00
5%
-
Draw 1-1
10%
7.50
6%
-
Lyon 2-1
10%
8.50-
Lyon 1-0
10%
8.00
6%
-
Lyon 2-0
9%
8.50-
Lyon 3-1
6%
13.00
8%
-
Lyon 3-0
6%
13.00
8%
-
Nice 2-1
5%
17.00-
Nice 1-0
5%
15.00
12%
-
Draw 2-2
5%
15.00-
Draw 0-0
5%
13.00
13%
-
Lyon 3-2
3%
23.00
10%
-
Lyon 4-1
3%
23.00
10%
-
Lyon 4-0
3%
23.00
10%
-
Nice 2-0
3%
26.00
10%
-
Nice 3-1
2%
41.00-
Over 2.5 Goals
57%
1.67
3%
-
Under 2.5 Goals
43%
2.20
4%
-
Home 1st Goal
55%
1.53
2%
-
Away 1st Goal
42%
2.60
1%
-
No 1st Goal
3%
13.00
13%
-
BTTS - Yes
56%
1.70-
BTTS - No
44%
2.05-
BTTS - Home Win
28%
3.25
5%
-
BTTS - Draw
17%
4.75
5%
-
BTTS - Away Win
11%
8.50
6%
-
Home/draw
79%
1.17-
Away/draw
43%
2.20
4%
-
Home/away
78%
1.25
2%
-
Over 1.5 Goals
80%
1.20-
Under 1.5 Goals
20%
4.50-
Over 3.5 Goals
35%
2.63-
Under 3.5 Goals
65%
1.50-
Over 4.5 Goals
18%
4.50-
Under 4.5 Goals
82%
1.20-
Over 5.5 Goals
8%
10.00
11%
-
Under 5.5 Goals
92%
1.06
1%
-
Over 0.5 Goals
95%
1.04
1%
-
Under 0.5 Goals
5%
13.00
13%
-
Home DNB
73%
1.25
2%
-
Away DNB
36%
3.75
6%
-
Lyon win to nil
30%
3.00-
Nice win to nil
10%
10.00
9%
-
Lyon / Lyon
32%
2.60
8%
-
Lyon / Nice
2%
34.00-
Lyon / Draw
6%
15.00-
Draw / Lyon
18%
4.75
6%
-
Draw / Nice
8%
10.00
9%
-
Draw / Draw
13%
6.50-
Nice / Lyon
4%
21.00
11%
-
Nice / Nice
11%
8.00
6%
-
Nice / Draw
6%
15.00
12%
-
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Win / draw / win Ligue 1 table
Won
Draw
Lost
Lyon
Nice
Results by League Table
TEAM PLD W D L GD PTS HOME AWAY HOME AWAY
1
Monaco5410513 
Nov 29
Mar 6
May 22
Jan 2
2
Lyon5320811 
-
-
Apr 3
Oct 18
3
Paris FC5320511 
May 29
d
 
0-00-0
Apr 10
l
 
3-0A
4
Lille5311410 
Jan 30
Nov 21
w
 
2-1F
Feb 13
5
Rennes5311-110 
w
 
4-0F
Feb 6
Oct 31
May 1
6
PSG522118 
May 9
Oct 25
Nov 21
May 16
7
Angers521217 
Oct 31
Apr 17
Apr 24
Nov 8
8
Strasbourg521207 
Apr 10
Jan 23
Oct 11
May 29
9
Le Mans513106 
May 16
Jan 2
d
 
1-1A
Jan 30
10
Auxerre5203-56 
w
 
3-1F
May 1
Feb 20
l
 
1-0A
11
Brest5122-15 
Apr 24
Nov 8
Feb 6
Oct 23
12
Lorient5122-15 
Jan 16
May 22
d
 
0-00-0
Mar 20
13
Toulouse5122-25 
Feb 27
w
 
0-2F
Mar 13
Jan 23
14
Nice5122-35 
Oct 18
Apr 3
-
-
15
Lens511304 
Feb 13
Oct 9
Dec 12
Apr 17
16
Troyes5113-74 
Mar 13
Dec 5
Nov 28
Feb 27
17
Marseille5104-13 
Dec 13
Mar 21
May 8
Dec 5
18
Le Havre5023-32 
d
 
1-1A
Feb 20
Jan 16
Mar 6
Win / draw / win form
3
Nice have lost 3 consecutive away league games
Lyon 2ND
20 league games
Home
Overall
Goals: Scored
38
Conceded
20
Games: Scored
19 / 20
Conceded
11 / 20
Clean sheets
9 / 20
Failed to score
1 / 20
Won
14
D
2
L
4
HOME FORM Win / Draw / Win
Lyon4 - 0Rennes
Lyon3 - 1Auxerre
Lyon1 - 1Le Havre
Lyon0 - 4Lens
Lyon4 - 2Rennes
Lyon3 - 2Auxerre
Lyon2 - 0Lorient
Lyon1 - 2Monaco
Lyon1 - 1Paris FC
Lyon2 - 0Nice
Lyon1 - 0Lille
Lyon2 - 1Brest
Lyon1 - 0Le Havre
Lyon3 - 0Nantes
Lyon2 - 3PSG
Lyon2 - 1Strasbourg
Lyon1 - 2Toulouse
Lyon1 - 0Angers
Lyon1 - 0Marseille
Lyon3 - 0Metz
Goals: Scored
31
Conceded
22
Games: Scored
16 / 20
Conceded
11 / 20
Clean sheets
9 / 20
Failed to score
4 / 20
Won
10
Draw
5
Lost
5
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
HLyon4 - 0Rennes
ALyon0 - 0Paris FC
HLyon3 - 1Auxerre
HLyon1 - 1Le Havre
ALyon2 - 0Toulouse
HLyon0 - 4Lens
ALyon1 - 2Toulouse
HLyon4 - 2Rennes
HLyon3 - 2Auxerre
ALyon2 - 1PSG
HLyon2 - 0Lorient
ALyon0 - 0Angers
HLyon1 - 2Monaco
ALyon0 - 0Le Havre
HLyon1 - 1Paris FC
ALyon2 - 3Marseille
ALyon1 - 3Strasbourg
HLyon2 - 0Nice
ALyon1 - 0Nantes
HLyon1 - 0Lille
Nice 14TH
20 league games
Away
3
Overall
Goals: Scored
18
Conceded
39
Games: Scored
12 / 20
Conceded
18 / 20
Clean sheets
2 / 20
Failed to score
8 / 20
W
3
D
3
Lost
14
AWAY FORM Win / Draw / Win
Auxerre1 - 0Nice
Paris FC3 - 0Nice
Auxerre2 - 1Nice
Marseille1 - 1Nice
Lille0 - 0Nice
Strasbourg3 - 1Nice
Angers0 - 2Nice
Paris FC1 - 0Nice
Lyon2 - 0Nice
Nantes1 - 4Nice
Toulouse5 - 1Nice
Lens2 - 0Nice
Lorient3 - 1Nice
Metz2 - 1Nice
PSG1 - 0Nice
Rennes1 - 2Nice
Monaco2 - 2Nice
Brest4 - 1Nice
Le Havre3 - 1Nice
Rennes2 - 0Nice
Goals: Scored
15
Conceded
30
Games: Scored
10 / 20
Conceded
15 / 20
Clean sheets
5 / 20
Failed to score
10 / 20
W
2
Draw
10
Lost
8
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
HNice2 - 1Lille
ANice0 - 1Auxerre
HNice1 - 1Le Mans
ANice0 - 3Paris FC
HNice0 - 0Lorient
HNice0 - 0Metz
ANice1 - 2Auxerre
HNice1 - 1Lens
ANice1 - 1Marseille
ANice0 - 0Lille
HNice1 - 1Le Havre
ANice1 - 3Strasbourg
HNice0 - 4PSG
ANice2 - 0Angers
HNice0 - 4Rennes
ANice0 - 1Paris FC
HNice3 - 3Lorient
ANice0 - 2Lyon
HNice0 - 0Monaco
HNice2 - 2Brest
Win / draw / win head to head (H2H)
3
Lyon have beaten Nice in 3 consecutive home league meetings
League games at Lyon since 2013
Lyon
Nice
Goals: Scored
26
15
Games: Scored
12 / 13
9 / 13
Clean sheets
4 / 13
1 / 13
LYN
7
D
3
NIC
3
FIXTURE HISTORY AT Lyon
Lyon2 - 0
Lyon4 - 1
Lyon1 - 0
Draw1 - 1Draw
Lyon2 - 0
2 - 3Nice
Lyon2 - 1
0 - 1Nice
Lyon3 - 2
Draw3 - 3Draw
Draw1 - 1Draw
1 - 2Nice
Lyon4 - 0
League games at Nice since 2014
Nice
Lyon
Goals: Scored
19
21
Games: Scored
9 / 13
9 / 13
Clean sheets
4 / 13
4 / 13
LYN
5
D
1
NIC
7
FIXTURE HISTORY AT Nice
Nice3 - 2
0 - 2Lyon
Draw0 - 0Draw
Nice3 - 1
Nice3 - 2
1 - 4Lyon
Nice2 - 1
Nice1 - 0
0 - 5Lyon
Nice2 - 0
Nice3 - 0
1 - 3Lyon
0 - 1Lyon
Goal Statistics

Lyon have been consistent in front of goal of late, scoring in 5 consecutive Ligue 1 matches. Their PG of 1.9 against Nice on Sunday suggests that run is likely to continue.

Lyon's defensive record is very strong, P. Rodrigues Fonseca's men having conceded 1 or less in 5 consecutive Ligue 1 games. An average PG rating of 1.1 for Nice makes sense in this context.

Lyon 2nd Nice 14th
Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction
1.9
goals
1.1
goals
Scoring probability
Scoring probability
0
15%
1
28%
2
27%
3
17%
4+
13%
There is a 85% probability that Lyon will score 1 or more goals
0
35%
1
37%
2
19%
3
4+
There is a 72% probability that Nice will score no more than 1 goal
 
20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games
+6
Lyon’s goalscoring at home has been inline with predictions
-30
Nice have scored 30% fewer goals when away than predicted
1.9
average goals scored
0.9
average goals scored
1.0
conceded
2.0
conceded
 
Attack defence ratings
Ligue 1 - 2026/2027 season
Lyon
PG (predicted goals)
Nice
1.9
1.1
Attack rating
57%
better
LYN
NIC
view stats
Games scored4
2
Failed to score1
3
Scored first3
1
Goals scored10
3
Avg. goals scored2
0.6
Avg. shots per game10
8
Avg. shots per goal5
14
Conversion rate for19
7
Avg. XG for1.9
1
KickOff rating
+57%
Defence rating
56%
better
LYN
NIC
view stats
Games conceded2
4
Clean sheets3
1
Conceded first1
3
Goals conceded2
6
Avg. goals conceded0.4
1.2
Avg. shots/game conceded9
10
Avg. shots/goal conceded24
8
Conversion rate against4%
12%
Avg. XG against1
1.5
KickOff rating
+56%

Lyon v Nice Ligue 1 lLine ups will show here when available.

Lyon Ligue 1 squad statistics 2026/2027
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
5332
Z. AthekameE NuamahP SulcN. Teye Nartey
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
Z. Athekame DEF522
1
-
F Bacher DEF51
1
-
T Morton MID5
1
-
M Bidstrup MID5
-
C Tolisso MID512
-
P Sulc MID53
1
-
K. Boudache FWD5
-
D Greif GLK4
-
Abner DEF4
-
M Niakhaté DEF4
1
-
N. Teye Nartey MID41
2
-
T Tessmann MID4
1
-
L Openda FWD411
1
-
E Nuamah FWD431
-
K. Merah MID2
-
K Nakamura FWD2
-
R Descamps GLK1
-
M Ouédraogo DEF1
-
N Tagliafico DEF1
-
R Kluivert DEF1
-
C Mata DEF1
-
J Duranville FWD1
-
R. Himbert FWD1
-
Nice Ligue 1 squad statistics 2026/2027
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
5112
Y DioufE WahiG HeinY Ndayishimiye
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
Y Diouf GLK5
-
M Abdelmonem DEF5
1
-
Y Ndayishimiye DEF5
2
-
J Clauss  DEF5
-
D. Coulibaly MID5
1
-
X. Mandza Tsiendi MID5
1
-
N N'Goumou FWD5
-
G Hein FWD51
-
S Diop FWD51
-
A Witsel MID4
-
E Wahi FWD41
1
-
N Nkounkou DEF3
-
A Mendy DEF3
-
A Abdi DEF3
-
M Amoura FWD31
1
-
H. Koutoune DEF2
-
E. Pereira MID2
-
I Jansson FWD2
-
A Seidu DEF1
-
H Boudaoui MID1
-
Z. Diallo FWD1
1
-