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Bayern Munich v VfL Wolfsburg : Bundesliga match betting preview, prediction and odds

Sun 11th Jan, 16:30 BST, Allianz Arena, München

VfL Wolfsburg pay Bundesliga competitors Bayern Munich a visit on Sunday afternoon, as Paul Simonis leads his team into an away clash with Vincent Kompany & co. at the Allianz Arena. We provide predictions based on in-depth statistical analysis of each side, across 17 of the main markets. Data shown and the odds change with each market, and head-to-head statistics are included for all.


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Best Tip: Bayern to win

It looks like we could well have a dominant side in this fixture, and it's Bayern. Their recent form stats show their ability at home, and historical head-to-head (H2H) data proves they know how to beat Wolfsburg too. The odds point towards Vincent Kompany's side winning in the win / draw / win market, and that's definitely our prediction for Sunday afternoon too.

In-Play
Win / Draw / Win
Over / Under 1.5 Goals
Over / Under 2.5 Goals
Over / Under 3.5 Goals
Win To Nil
Both Teams To Score
Correct Score
Both Teams To Score & Result
Double Chance
Half Time / Full Time
Over / Under 0.5 Goals
Over / Under 4.5 Goals
Over / Under 5.5 Goals
Draw No Bet
Team To Score First
If you’re looking for a winner in this match, we think Bayern are the most likely. Our predictive algorithm gives them a 75% chance of victory, and the bookies have them at a best price of 1.18.

Checkout the hundreds of tips picked but our top win/draw/win tipsters

Change odds
Predictions Add Bet365 Coral
Bayern
75%
1/7
1%
2/11
Draw
14%
7/115/2
6%
Wolfsburg
11%
14/1
12%
11/1
Bayern 2-1
9%
10/1
8%
17/2
Bayern 2-0
9%
17/2
5%
15/2
Bayern 3-1
8%
9/117/2
Bayern 3-0
8%
15/2
6%
7/1
Draw 1-1
6%
16/112/1
Bayern 1-0
6%
14/1
12%
11/1
Bayern 4-1
6%
11/110/1
Bayern 4-0
6%
9/18/1
Draw 2-2
4%
22/118/1
11%
Bayern 3-2
4%
22/1
10%
16/1
Bayern 5-1
3%
16/114/1
Bayern 5-0
3%
14/111/1
Wolfsburg 2-1
3%
33/125/1
Bayern 4-2
3%
25/120/1
Wolfsburg 1-0
2%
40/1
20%
28/1
Over 2.5 Goals
74%
2/91/4
Under 2.5 Goals
26%
10/311/4
3%
Home 1st Goal
59%
1/41/5
2%
Away 1st Goal
40%
11/410/3
3%
No 1st Goal
1%
33/125/1
BTTS - Yes
60%
3/4
3%
3/4
3%
BTTS - No
40%
1/1
2%
19/20
BTTS - Home Win
41%
6/5
5%
5/4
BTTS - Draw
12%
15/215/2
6%
BTTS - Away Win
7%
18/1
17%
14/1
13%
Home/draw
89%
1/331/25
Away/draw
25%
9/2
8%
19/5
4%
Home/away
85%
1/121/14
Over 1.5 Goals
90%
1/16
1%
1/16
Under 1.5 Goals
10%
9/1
9%
15/2
Over 3.5 Goals
54%
8/13
6%
3/5
2%
Under 3.5 Goals
46%
13/10
8%
6/5
Over 4.5 Goals
34%
13/10
5%
13/10
1%
Under 4.5 Goals
66%
8/13
3%
11/20
Over 5.5 Goals
19%
11/4
7%
13/5
1%
Under 5.5 Goals
81%
2/7
1%
1/4
2%
Over 0.5 Goals
98%
1/2001/1000
Under 0.5 Goals
2%
28/1
15%
25/1
Home DNB
85%
1/25
1%
1/25
1%
Away DNB
21%
12/1
13%
17/2
5%
Bayern win to nil
34%
6/5-
Wolfsburg win to nil
4%
25/1
15%
-
Bayern / Bayern
54%
1/2
4%
1/2
Bayern / Wolfsburg
2%
40/1
24%
40/1
11%
Bayern / Draw
4%
22/118/1
Draw / Bayern
18%
10/319/5
Draw / Wolfsburg
3%
28/1
15%
20/1
Draw / Draw
6%
14/111/1
Wolfsburg / Bayern
5%
14/114/1
Wolfsburg / Wolfsburg
4%
25/1
10%
14/1
13%
Wolfsburg / Draw
4%
25/1
10%
18/1
Win / draw / win Bundesliga table

Bayern have played 15 matches so far this season and lay in 1st place in the Bundesliga league table. Bayern are unbeaten in 15 games against teams below them in the league and kept 8 clean sheets out of 15 games. Bayern are unbeaten at home after 8 games and have kept 4 clean sheets in those matches.

Performance against teams below them in the league

They have played 15 games against teams below in the table, having won 13, drawn 2 and lost no matches. They have kept 8 clean sheets and have scored in every game. Bayern have outscored their opponents by 55 goals to 23 goals.

Home League Performance

Bayern have played 8 games at home winning 7, drawing 1 and losing 0 games. They have scored 31 goals, kept 4 clean sheets and conceded 6 goals at home.

Wolfsburg are in 14th position in the Bundesliga on 15 points having played 15 matches so far this season.

Away League Performance

3 of those games have been losing matches. They have conceded 9 goals and kept 1 clean sheet. They have scored 10 goals in total and failed to score in 1 fixture.

Performance against teams above them in the league

12 games have come against teams above them in the table. They have lost 7 games, drawn 2 and won 3. Wolfsburg have conceded 23 goals, scored 18, failed to score in 3 fixtures and have kept 1 clean sheet.

Won
Draw
Lost
Bayern
Wolfsburg
Results by League Table
TEAM PLD W D L GD PTS HOME AWAY HOME AWAY
1
Bayern1513204441 
-
-
May 9
Jan 11
2
Dortmund159511432 
w
 
2-1F
Feb 28
Feb 7
l
 
1-0A
3
Leverkusen159241329 
w
 
3-0F
Mar 14
l
 
1-3A
Apr 4
4
RB Leipzig159241129 
w
 
6-0F
Jan 17
l
 
0-1A
Feb 15
5
Hoffenheim15834927 
Feb 8
w
 
1-4F
l
 
2-3F
Mar 14
6
Stuttgart15825326 
Apr 18
w
 
0-5F
l
 
0-3A
Mar 1
7
E.Frankfurt15744025 
Feb 21
w
 
0-3F
Apr 11
d
 
1-1F
8
Union Berlin15636-321 
Mar 21
d
 
2-2A
w
 
3-1F
Apr 18
9
Freiburg15555-120 
w
 
6-2A
Apr 4
l
 
3-4A
May 2
10
W.Bremen15456-1017 
w
 
4-0F
Feb 14
Mar 21
l
 
2-1F
11
Köln15447-216 
May 16
Jan 14
d
 
3-3A
Jan 30
12
B. M'gladbach15447-616 
Mar 7
w
 
0-3F
Apr 25
w
 
1-3F
13
Hamburg15447-916 
w
 
5-0F
Jan 31
Mar 7
w
 
0-1F
14
Wolfsburg15438-515 
Jan 11
May 9
-
-
15
Augsburg15429-1114 
Jan 24
w
 
2-3F
Feb 21
l
 
3-1A
16
St. Pauli15339-1312 
w
 
3-1A
Apr 11
Jan 14
May 16
17
Heidenheim153210-2111 
May 2
w
 
0-4F
Jan 17
w
 
1-3F
18
Mainz15159-138 
d
 
2-2F
Apr 25
d
 
1-1F
Jan 24
Win / draw / win form
24
Bayern have not lost in 24 consecutive league games
Bayern 1ST
20 league games
Home
Overall
24
Goals: Scored
71
Conceded
21
Games: Scored
20 / 20
Conceded
11 / 20
Clean sheets
9 / 20
Failed to score
0 / 20
Won
17
D
2
L
1
Goals: Scored
71
Conceded
14
Games: Scored
20 / 20
Conceded
8 / 20
Clean sheets
12 / 20
Failed to score
0 / 20
Won
17
D
3
Wolfsburg 14TH
20 league games
Away
Overall
Goals: Scored
31
Conceded
28
Games: Scored
16 / 20
Conceded
17 / 20
Clean sheets
3 / 20
Failed to score
4 / 20
Won
9
D
3
Lost
8
Goals: Scored
28
Conceded
37
Games: Scored
15 / 20
Conceded
18 / 20
Clean sheets
2 / 20
Failed to score
5 / 20
Won
5
Draw
5
Lost
10
Win / draw / win head to head (H2H)
7
Bayern have beaten Wolfsburg in 7 consecutive home league meetings
19
Bayern have not lost to Wolfsburg in 19 consecutive league meetings
League games at Bayern since 2012
Bayern
Wolfsburg
Goals: Scored
37
6
Games: Scored
12 / 12
4 / 12
Clean sheets
8 / 12
0 / 12
FCB
11
D
1
League games at Wolfsburg since 2013
Wolfsburg
Bayern
Goals: Scored
16
34
Games: Scored
9 / 12
12 / 12
Clean sheets
0 / 12
3 / 12
FCB
10
D
1
WOB
1
Goal Statistics

Bayern Munich's forwards have been in fine form of late, finding the net twice or more in 23 consecutive Bundesliga matches. A PG of 2.8 suggests that run should continue on Sunday afternoon.

Bayern 1st Wolfsburg 14th
Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction
2.8
goals
1.0
goals
Scoring probability
Scoring probability
1
17%
2
24%
3
22%
4
16%
5+
21%
There is a 83% probability that Bayern will score 2 or more goals in this match
0
36%
1
37%
2
19%
3
4+
There is a 73% probability that Wolfsburg will score no more than 1 goal
 
20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games
+23
Bayern have scored 23% more goals at home than predicted
+5
Wolfsburg’s goalscoring when away has been inline with predictions
3.6
average goals scored
1.6
average goals scored
1.1
conceded
1.4
conceded
 
Attack defence ratings
Bundesliga - 2025/2025 season
Bayern
PG (predicted goals)
Wolfsburg
2.8
1
Attack rating
45%
better
FCB
WOB
view stats
Games scored15
12
Failed to score0
3
Scored first12
8
Goals scored55
23
Avg. goals scored3.7
1.5
Avg. shots per game14
9
Avg. shots per goal4
6
Conversion rate for26
17
Avg. XG for2.6
1.3
KickOff rating
+45%
Defence rating
51%
better
FCB
WOB
view stats
Games conceded7
14
Clean sheets8
1
Conceded first3
7
Goals conceded11
28
Avg. goals conceded0.7
1.9
Avg. shots/game conceded6
11
Avg. shots/goal conceded8
6
Conversion rate against12%
17%
Avg. XG against0.8
1.8
KickOff rating
+51%

Bayern v Wolfsburg Bundesliga lLine ups will show here when available.

Bayern Bundesliga squad statistics 2025
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
131985
H KaneH KaneM OliseK Laimer
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
M Olise FWD1578
3
-
H Kane FWD15193
-
K Laimer DEF1423
5
-
L Goretzka MID14
4
-
L Díaz  FWD1486
5
-
L. Karl MID1332
-
J Kimmich MID1314
3
-
M Neuer  GLK12
-
D Upamecano DEF121
3
-
J Tah DEF1211
2
-
A Pavlović MID1211
2
-
T Bischof MID123
2
-
N Jackson FWD123
-
S Gnabry FWD1245
1
-
J Stanisic DEF1022
1
-
R Guerreiro DEF922
-
M Kim DEF91
-
S Boey DEF9
1
-
H Ito DEF42
-
J Urbig GLK3
-
W. Okpako Mike FWD3
-
A Davies DEF2
1
-
Wolfsburg Bundesliga squad statistics 2025
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
15644
K GrabaraM AmouraS KumbediM Arnold
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
K Grabara GLK15
1
-
K Koulierakis DEF14
3
-
M Svanberg MID1421
2
1
M Arnold MID1413
4
-
M Amoura FWD1462
2
-
L Majer MID1322
3
-
D Pejčinović FWD133
1
-
A Zehnter DEF122
-
C Eriksen MID123
1
-
V Souza MID12
1
-
P Wimmer FWD1233
3
-
J Seelt DEF9
-
S Kumbedi DEF94
1
-
A Daghim FWD92
-
M Jenz DEF8
3
-
A Olsen FWD81
1
-
J Wind FWD8
1
-
K Fischer DEF7
-
J Maehle DEF71
-
Y Gerhardt MID6
-
D Vavro DEF41
1
-
J Lindström FWD2
-
B. Dárdai MID1
-