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Borussia Dortmund v Hamburger SV : Bundesliga match betting preview, prediction and odds

Sat 29th Aug, 17:30 BST, Signal Iduna Park, Dortmund

Home advantage can be vital in the Bundesliga, and Niko Kovač’s Borussia Dortmund will have the luxury of it on Saturday evening. Merlin Polzin’s Hamburger SV are their opponents at the Signal Iduna Park. All of the key stats for the encounter, including head-to-heads, predictions and the best odds across 17 of the biggest betting markets are included in this preview. It's all here with the aim of helping you make the most well-informed bet possible.


Want to know who’s consistently beating the odds? Check out the Top Bundesliga Tipsters and see the most profitable experts for this season!

If you’re keen on betting across various leagues and markets, our Live Bets page showcases active accumulator bets and real-time tips.

Best Tip: Dortmund to win

As the stadium fills and the Dortmund players ready themselves for this clash, the bookies have predicted a win for them. The odds and our pre-match statistics below suggest the same, as does the historical head-to-head (H2H) data we take advantage of in our predictive algorithms. The Signal Iduna Park hasn't been a successful away day for Hamburg in the past, and we expect more of the same come Saturday evening. A win / draw / win home win is the bet.

In-Play
Win / Draw / Win
Over / Under 1.5 Goals
Over / Under 2.5 Goals
Over / Under 3.5 Goals
Win To Nil
Both Teams To Score
Correct Score
Both Teams To Score & Result
Double Chance
Half Time / Full Time
Over / Under 0.5 Goals
Over / Under 4.5 Goals
Over / Under 5.5 Goals
Draw No Bet
Team To Score First
If you’re looking for a winner in this match, we think Dortmund are the most likely. Our predictive algorithm gives them a 71% chance of victory, and the bookies have them at a best price of 1.35.

Checkout the hundreds of tips picked but our top win/draw/win tipsters

Change odds
Predictions Add Bet365 Coral
Dortmund
71%
1.331.35
Draw
17%
5.505.50
Hamburg
12%
8.008.00
Dortmund 2-0
11%
7.007.00
Dortmund 1-0
10%
8.507.50
Dortmund 2-1
10%
9.007.50
Dortmund 3-0
9%
8.508.00
Draw 1-1
8%
10.008.50
Dortmund 3-1
8%
11.009.50
Dortmund 4-0
5%
15.0012.00
Dortmund 4-1
4%
17.0013.00
Draw 0-0
4%
17.0017.00
Draw 2-2
4%
21.0015.00
Hamburg 1-0
3%
21.0017.00
Hamburg 2-1
3%
21.0019.00
Dortmund 3-2
3%
23.0019.00
Dortmund 5-0
3%
26.0019.00
Dortmund 5-1
2%
34.0021.00
Over 2.5 Goals
62%
1.53
3%
1.50
Under 2.5 Goals
38%
2.50
5%
2.40
Home 1st Goal
60%
1.331.30
Away 1st Goal
37%
3.253.60
No 1st Goal
3%
17.0015.00
BTTS - Yes
52%
1.911.83
BTTS - No
48%
1.911.91
BTTS - Home Win
32%
2.882.75
BTTS - Draw
13%
7.006.00
BTTS - Away Win
6%
13.0012.00
Home/draw
88%
1.081.08
Away/draw
29%
3.253.20
Home/away
83%
1.141.14
Over 1.5 Goals
83%
1.171.15
Under 1.5 Goals
17%
5.005.00
Over 3.5 Goals
40%
2.382.25
Under 3.5 Goals
60%
1.571.57
Over 4.5 Goals
22%
4.00
8%
3.90
Under 4.5 Goals
78%
1.25
2%
1.22
Over 5.5 Goals
11%
8.007.00
Under 5.5 Goals
89%
1.081.08
Over 0.5 Goals
96%
1.031.01
Under 0.5 Goals
4%
17.0015.00
Home DNB
83%
1.111.10
Away DNB
24%
6.506.00
Dortmund win to nil
39%
2.20-
Hamburg win to nil
5%
15.00-
Dortmund / Dortmund
43%
1.911.85
Dortmund / Hamburg
2%
41.0041.00
Dortmund / Draw
5%
17.0015.00
Draw / Dortmund
19%
4.004.33
Draw / Hamburg
5%
17.0015.00
Draw / Draw
10%
8.008.00
Hamburg / Dortmund
5%
19.0017.00
Hamburg / Hamburg
6%
15.0011.00
Hamburg / Draw
5%
21.0015.00
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Win / draw / win Bundesliga table
Won
Draw
Lost
Dortmund
Hamburg
Results by League Table
TEAM PLD W D L GD PTS HOME AWAY HOME AWAY
1
Schalke000000 
Apr 10
Dec 5
Dec 12
Apr 17
2
Dortmund000000 
-
-
Jan 23
Aug 29
3
W.Bremen000000 
Oct 10
Feb 20
Mar 20
Nov 21
4
Augsburg000000 
Dec 12
Apr 17
Jan 16
May 22
5
RB Leipzig000000 
Apr 24
Dec 19
Feb 6
Sep 13
6
E.Frankfurt000000 
Oct 24
Mar 3
Mar 6
Oct 31
7
Bayern000000 
Mar 6
Oct 31
Nov 28
Apr 3
8
B. M'gladbach000000 
Mar 20
Nov 21
Nov 7
Mar 13
9
Mainz000000 
Jan 9
May 8
Sep 6
Jan 30
10
Union Berlin000000 
Feb 27
Oct 17
Apr 10
Dec 5
11
Paderborn000000 
Sep 12
Feb 6
Mar 3
Oct 24
12
Hamburg000000 
Aug 29
Jan 23
-
-
13
Hoffenheim000000 
Jan 30
Sep 5
Feb 20
Oct 10
14
Stuttgart000000 
Feb 13
Sep 19
Oct 17
Feb 27
15
Köln000000 
May 15
Jan 13
Sep 19
Feb 13
16
Leverkusen000000 
Nov 28
Apr 3
Jan 9
May 8
17
Freiburg000000 
Jan 16
May 22
May 15
Jan 13
18
Elversberg000000 
Nov 7
Mar 13
Apr 24
Dec 19
Win / draw / win form
Dortmund 2ND
20 league games
Home
Overall
Goals: Scored
50
Conceded
18
Games: Scored
19 / 20
Conceded
9 / 20
Clean sheets
11 / 20
Failed to score
1 / 20
Won
16
D
2
L
2
HOME FORM Win / Draw / Win
Dortmund3 - 2E.Frankfurt
Dortmund4 - 0Freiburg
Dortmund0 - 1Leverkusen
Dortmund3 - 2Hamburg
Dortmund2 - 0Augsburg
Dortmund2 - 3Bayern
Dortmund4 - 0Mainz
Dortmund3 - 2Heidenheim
Dortmund3 - 2St. Pauli
Dortmund3 - 0W.Bremen
Dortmund2 - 0B. M'gladbach
Dortmund2 - 0Hoffenheim
Dortmund3 - 3Stuttgart
Dortmund1 - 0Köln
Dortmund1 - 1RB Leipzig
Dortmund1 - 0Wolfsburg
Dortmund3 - 0Union Berlin
Dortmund3 - 0Holstein
Dortmund4 - 0Wolfsburg
Dortmund3 - 2B. M'gladbach
Goals: Scored
46
Conceded
22
Games: Scored
18 / 20
Conceded
12 / 20
Clean sheets
8 / 20
Failed to score
2 / 20
Won
14
D
2
L
4
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
ADortmund2 - 0W.Bremen
HDortmund3 - 2E.Frankfurt
ADortmund0 - 1B. M'gladbach
HDortmund4 - 0Freiburg
ADortmund1 - 2Hoffenheim
HDortmund0 - 1Leverkusen
ADortmund2 - 0Stuttgart
HDortmund3 - 2Hamburg
HDortmund2 - 0Augsburg
ADortmund2 - 1Köln
HDortmund2 - 3Bayern
ADortmund2 - 2RB Leipzig
HDortmund4 - 0Mainz
ADortmund2 - 1Wolfsburg
HDortmund3 - 2Heidenheim
ADortmund3 - 0Union Berlin
HDortmund3 - 2St. Pauli
HDortmund3 - 0W.Bremen
ADortmund3 - 3E.Frankfurt
HDortmund2 - 0B. M'gladbach
Hamburg 12TH
20 league games
Away
Overall
Goals: Scored
23
Conceded
37
Games: Scored
14 / 20
Conceded
15 / 20
Clean sheets
5 / 20
Failed to score
6 / 20
W
4
Draw
6
Lost
10
AWAY FORM Win / Draw / Win
Leverkusen1 - 1Hamburg
E.Frankfurt1 - 2Hamburg
W.Bremen3 - 1Hamburg
Stuttgart4 - 0Hamburg
Dortmund3 - 2Hamburg
Wolfsburg1 - 2Hamburg
Mainz1 - 1Hamburg
Heidenheim0 - 2Hamburg
St. Pauli0 - 0Hamburg
Freiburg2 - 1Hamburg
Hoffenheim4 - 1Hamburg
Augsburg1 - 0Hamburg
Köln4 - 1Hamburg
RB Leipzig2 - 1Hamburg
Union Berlin0 - 0Hamburg
Bayern5 - 0Hamburg
B. M'gladbach0 - 0Hamburg
Greuther3 - 2Hamburg
Darmstadt0 - 4Hamburg
Schalke2 - 2Hamburg
Goals: Scored
25
Conceded
30
Games: Scored
16 / 20
Conceded
17 / 20
Clean sheets
3 / 20
Failed to score
4 / 20
Won
5
Draw
8
Lost
7
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
AHamburg1 - 1Leverkusen
HHamburg3 - 2Freiburg
AHamburg2 - 1E.Frankfurt
HHamburg1 - 2Hoffenheim
AHamburg1 - 3W.Bremen
AHamburg0 - 4Stuttgart
HHamburg1 - 1Augsburg
AHamburg2 - 3Dortmund
HHamburg1 - 1Köln
AHamburg2 - 1Wolfsburg
HHamburg0 - 1Leverkusen
HHamburg1 - 2RB Leipzig
AHamburg1 - 1Mainz
HHamburg3 - 2Union Berlin
AHamburg2 - 0Heidenheim
HHamburg2 - 2Bayern
AHamburg0 - 0St. Pauli
HHamburg0 - 0B. M'gladbach
AHamburg1 - 2Freiburg
HHamburg1 - 1E.Frankfurt
Win / draw / win head to head (H2H)
League games at Dortmund since 2013
Dortmund
Hamburg
Goals: Scored
18
9
Games: Scored
6 / 7
4 / 7
Clean sheets
3 / 7
1 / 7
BVB
5
HSV
2
FIXTURE HISTORY AT Dortmund
Dortmund3 - 2
Dortmund2 - 0
Dortmund3 - 0
Dortmund3 - 0
0 - 1Hamburg
Dortmund6 - 2
1 - 4Hamburg
League games at Hamburg since 2012
Hamburg
Dortmund
Goals: Scored
12
12
Games: Scored
5 / 6
5 / 6
Clean sheets
1 / 6
1 / 6
BVB
2
D
1
HSV
3
FIXTURE HISTORY AT Hamburg
Draw1 - 1Draw
0 - 3Dortmund
2 - 5Dortmund
Hamburg3 - 1
Hamburg3 - 0
Hamburg3 - 2
Goal Statistics

A PG of 2.4 is decent for Borussia Dortmund in their clash with Hamburger SV, as is their run of scoring 1 goal or more in 66 consecutive Bundesliga games.

Dortmund 2nd Hamburg 12th
Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction
2.4
goals
0.8
goals
Scoring probability
Scoring probability
0
9%
1
22%
2
26%
3
21%
4+
21%
There is a 69% probability that Dortmund will score 2 or more goals in this match
0
43%
1
36%
2
15%
3
4+
There is a 79% probability of Hamburg scoring 1 goal or less
 
20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games
+18
Dortmund have scored 18% more goals at home than predicted
-11
Hamburg have scored 11% fewer goals when away than predicted
2.5
average goals scored
1.2
average goals scored
0.9
conceded
1.9
conceded
 
Attack defence ratings
Bundesliga - 2026/2027 season
Dortmund
PG (predicted goals)
Hamburg
2.4
0.8
Attack rating
%
better
BVB
HSV
view stats
Games scored0
0
Failed to score0
0
Scored first0
0
Goals scored0
0
Avg. goals scored0
0
Avg. shots per game0
0
Avg. shots per goal0
0
Conversion rate for0
0
Avg. XG for0
0
KickOff rating
0%
Defence rating
%
better
BVB
HSV
view stats
Games conceded0
0
Clean sheets0
0
Conceded first0
0
Goals conceded0
0
Avg. goals conceded0
0
Avg. shots/game conceded0
0
Avg. shots/goal conceded0
0
Conversion rate against0%
0%
Avg. XG against0
0
KickOff rating
0%

Dortmund v Hamburg Bundesliga lLine ups will show here when available.

Dortmund Bundesliga squad statistics 2026/2027
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
0000
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
G Kobel GLK
-
S Ostrzinski GLK
-
D Ramaj GLK
-
A Meyer GLK
-
P Drewes GLK
-
K. de Almeida DEF
-
E Can DEF
-
D Svensson DEF
-
R Bensebaini DEF
-
J Ryerson DEF
-
W Anton DEF
-
F. Mane DEF
-
K. Gadou DEF
-
L. Reggiani DEF
-
N Schlotterbeck DEF
-
M. Kaba MID
-
J Bellingham MID
-
M Sabitzer  MID
-
F Nmecha MID
-
J. Lerma Soliz MID
-
C Chukwuemeka MID
-
K. Karetsas MID
-
M. Albert FWD
-
M Beier FWD
-
S Guirassy  FWD
-
S. Inacio FWD
-
F Silva FWD
-
Hamburg Bundesliga squad statistics 2026/2027
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
0000
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
F. Dickes GLK
-
S Tangvik GLK
-
D Fernandes GLK
-
E. Lahti GLK
-
S. Nandja DEF
-
J Torunarigha DEF
-
M Muheim DEF
-
D Elfadli DEF
-
N Capaldo  DEF
-
L. Lemke DEF
-
J. Agyekum DEF
-
W Omari DEF
-
M Adeline MID
-
M. Bröcker MID
-
K. Amoako MID
-
N Remberg MID
-
A Grönbaek MID
-
A Lokonga MID
-
I Pherai MID
-
B Nadir MID
-
P Daka FWD
-
B Jatta FWD
-
Y Poulsen FWD
-
M Dompé FWD
-
O. Emerson Stange FWD
-
E Sahiti FWD
-
R Philippe FWD
-
A. Røssing-Lelesiit FWD
-