1. FSV Mainz 05's team badge SC Paderborn 07's team badge

1. FSV Mainz 05 v SC Paderborn 07 : Bundesliga match betting preview, prediction and odds

Sat 29th Aug, 14:30 BST, Mewa Arena, Mainz

Saturday afternoon sees Urs Fischer’s 1. FSV Mainz 05 and Ralf Kettemann’s SC Paderborn 07 go head to head in a Bundesliga clash at the Mewa Arena. Below you'll find predictions for seventeen major betting markets, supporting stats including head-to-heads, and odds. All is accessible via the tabs below.


Want to know who’s consistently beating the odds? Check out the Top Bundesliga Tipsters and see the most profitable experts for this season!

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Best Tip: Over 1.5 goals

The stats suggest there's no obvious winner here, but the evidence does point towards the conclusion that Mainz and Paderborn will score 2 or more goals between them. Goals have flowed freely when they've gone head-to-head in years gone by, and neither Urs Fischer or Ralf Kettemann has suffered the frustration of many 0-0s of late either. The bookmakers predict over 1.5 goals too, with top odds of 1.20 equating to approximately a 80% probability.

In-Play
Win / Draw / Win
Over / Under 1.5 Goals
Over / Under 2.5 Goals
Over / Under 3.5 Goals
Win To Nil
Both Teams To Score
Correct Score
Both Teams To Score & Result
Double Chance
Half Time / Full Time
Over / Under 0.5 Goals
Over / Under 4.5 Goals
Over / Under 5.5 Goals
Draw No Bet
Team To Score First
If you’re looking for a winner in this match, we think Mainz are the most likely. Our predictive algorithm gives them a 56% chance of victory, and the bookies have them at a best price of 1.73.

Checkout the hundreds of tips picked but our top win/draw/win tipsters

Change odds
Predictions Add Bet365 Coral
Mainz
56%
1.701.73
Draw
22%
3.803.90
Paderborn
22%
4.504.50
Draw 1-1
11%
7.507.00
Mainz 2-1
10%
8.507.50
Mainz 1-0
10%
8.508.00
Mainz 2-0
9%
9.008.50
Mainz 3-1
6%
13.0011.00
Paderborn 2-1
6%
15.0013.00
Mainz 3-0
6%
13.0012.00
Paderborn 1-0
6%
15.0013.00
Draw 2-2
5%
15.0012.00
Draw 0-0
5%
13.0013.00
Mainz 3-2
3%
23.0019.00
Paderborn 2-0
3%
23.0021.00
Mainz 4-1
3%
26.0021.00
Mainz 4-0
3%
26.0021.00
Paderborn 3-1
2%
34.0026.00
Over 2.5 Goals
57%
1.67
3%
1.67
Under 2.5 Goals
43%
2.20
5%
2.10
Home 1st Goal
54%
1.571.53
Away 1st Goal
43%
2.502.70
No 1st Goal
3%
13.0013.00
BTTS - Yes
57%
1.701.67
BTTS - No
44%
2.052.10
BTTS - Home Win
27%
3.403.20
BTTS - Draw
17%
4.754.60
BTTS - Away Win
12%
8.007.50
Home/draw
78%
1.181.20
Away/draw
44%
2.102.10
Home/away
78%
1.251.25
Over 1.5 Goals
80%
1.221.20
Under 1.5 Goals
20%
4.334.20
Over 3.5 Goals
35%
2.752.62
Under 3.5 Goals
65%
1.441.44
Over 4.5 Goals
18%
5.004.80
Under 4.5 Goals
82%
1.171.17
Over 5.5 Goals
8%
10.009.00
Under 5.5 Goals
92%
1.061.05
Over 0.5 Goals
95%
1.041.02
Under 0.5 Goals
5%
13.0012.00
Home DNB
71%
1.301.30
Away DNB
38%
3.403.30
Mainz win to nil
28%
3.25-
Paderborn win to nil
10%
9.00-
Mainz / Mainz
32%
2.632.50
Mainz / Paderborn
3%
34.0029.00
Mainz / Draw
6%
13.0013.00
Draw / Mainz
17%
4.754.80
Draw / Paderborn
8%
10.009.50
Draw / Draw
13%
6.006.00
Paderborn / Mainz
4%
21.0019.00
Paderborn / Paderborn
11%
7.507.00
Paderborn / Draw
6%
15.0013.00
Win / draw / win Bundesliga table
Won
Draw
Lost
Mainz
Paderborn
Results by League Table
TEAM PLD W D L GD PTS HOME AWAY HOME AWAY
1
Schalke000000 
Feb 27
Oct 17
Nov 28
Apr 3
2
Dortmund000000 
May 8
Jan 9
Feb 6
Sep 12
3
W.Bremen000000 
Oct 24
Mar 3
Feb 27
Oct 17
4
Augsburg000000 
Mar 20
Nov 21
Apr 24
Dec 19
5
RB Leipzig000000 
Apr 10
Dec 5
Jan 9
May 8
6
E.Frankfurt000000 
Sep 12
Feb 6
Nov 7
Mar 13
7
Bayern000000 
Nov 7
Mar 13
Apr 10
Dec 5
8
B. M'gladbach000000 
Feb 13
Sep 19
Mar 6
Oct 31
9
Mainz000000 
-
-
Jan 23
Aug 29
10
Union Berlin000000 
Nov 28
Apr 3
May 15
Jan 13
11
Paderborn000000 
Aug 29
Jan 23
-
-
12
Hamburg000000 
Jan 30
Sep 6
Oct 24
Mar 3
13
Hoffenheim000000 
Jan 13
May 15
Sep 20
Feb 13
14
Stuttgart000000 
May 22
Jan 16
Oct 10
Feb 20
15
Köln000000 
Dec 19
Apr 24
Jan 16
May 22
16
Leverkusen000000 
Oct 10
Feb 20
Mar 20
Nov 21
17
Freiburg000000 
Dec 12
Apr 17
Sep 5
Jan 30
18
Elversberg000000 
Mar 6
Oct 31
Dec 12
Apr 17
Win / draw / win form
3
Mainz have lost 3 consecutive home league games
Mainz 9TH
20 league games
Home
3
Overall
Goals: Scored
26
Conceded
30
Games: Scored
14 / 20
Conceded
18 / 20
Clean sheets
2 / 20
Failed to score
6 / 20
W
4
Draw
8
Lost
8
Goals: Scored
31
Conceded
27
Games: Scored
17 / 20
Conceded
16 / 20
Clean sheets
4 / 20
Failed to score
3 / 20
Won
9
Draw
6
Lost
5
Paderborn 11TH
20 league games
Away
Overall
Goals: Scored
29
Conceded
23
Games: Scored
16 / 20
Conceded
12 / 20
Clean sheets
8 / 20
Failed to score
4 / 20
Won
10
Draw
5
Lost
5
Goals: Scored
38
Conceded
31
Games: Scored
18 / 20
Conceded
16 / 20
Clean sheets
4 / 20
Failed to score
2 / 20
Won
9
Draw
6
Lost
5
Goal Statistics

1. FSV Mainz 05 have been reliable in attack of late, finding the net in 5 consecutive Bundesliga matches. Their PG of 1.9 against SC Paderborn 07 on Saturday suggests they're likely to extend that run.

1. FSV Mainz 05's defensive record is very strong, U. Fischer's men having conceded 1 or less in 10 consecutive Bundesliga games. An average PG rating of 1.1 for SC Paderborn 07 makes sense in this context.

Mainz 9th Paderborn 11th
Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction
1.9
goals
1.1
goals
Scoring probability
Scoring probability
0
15%
1
29%
2
27%
3
17%
4+
12%
There is a 85% probability that Mainz will score 1 or more goals
0
33%
1
37%
2
20%
3
4+
There is a 70% probability that Paderborn will score no more than 1 goal
 
20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games
-15
Mainz have scored 15% fewer goals at home than predicted
-6
Paderborn’s goalscoring when away has been inline with predictions
1.3
average goals scored
1.5
average goals scored
1.5
conceded
1.2
conceded
 
Attack defence ratings
Bundesliga - 2026/2027 season
Mainz
PG (predicted goals)
Paderborn
1.9
1.1
Attack rating
%
better
M05
PAD
view stats
Games scored0
0
Failed to score0
0
Scored first0
0
Goals scored0
0
Avg. goals scored0
0
Avg. shots per game0
0
Avg. shots per goal0
0
Conversion rate for0
0
Avg. XG for0
0
KickOff rating
0%
Defence rating
%
better
M05
PAD
view stats
Games conceded0
0
Clean sheets0
0
Conceded first0
0
Goals conceded0
0
Avg. goals conceded0
0
Avg. shots/game conceded0
0
Avg. shots/goal conceded0
0
Conversion rate against0%
0%
Avg. XG against0
0
KickOff rating
0%

Mainz v Paderborn Bundesliga lLine ups will show here when available.

Mainz Bundesliga squad statistics 2026/2027
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
0000
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
R Zentner GLK
-
A Schwolow GLK
-
M. Kinzig GLK
-
S Posch DEF
-
F. Gruber DEF
-
A Caci DEF
-
P Mwene DEF
-
S Widmer  DEF
-
D Kohr DEF
-
D Hoof DEF
-
D Costa DEF
-
A Hanche-Olsen  DEF
-
K. Potulski DEF
-
M Richter MID
-
E Martel MID
-
S Kawasaki MID
-
O Ruoppi MID
-
P Nebel MID
-
J Lee MID
-
N Amiri MID
-
L Maloney MID
-
K Sano MID
-
H Hyun-seok MID
-
A. Haidara FWD
-
R Königsdörffer FWD
-
B Hollerbach FWD
-
Silas FWD
-
P Tietz FWD
-
W Bøving FWD
-
S Becker FWD
-
Paderborn Bundesliga squad statistics 2026/2027
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
0000
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
N Noll GLK
-
M Schubert GLK
-
F Pruhs GLK
-
N. Awortwie-Grant DEF
-
M Hansen DEF
-
T. Scheller DEF
-
F Götze DEF
-
M Hoffmeier DEF
-
T. Zobel DEF
-
J. ter Horst MID
-
L. Đurić MID
-
T Baack MID
-
O Meier MID
-
C. Lippmann MID
-
T. Gayret MID
-
S Klaas MID
-
L Curda MID
-
S Castaneda MID
-
N Bätzner MID
-
R Obermair MID
-
J. Sticker MID
-
Niklas Mohr MID
-
D. Zeitler FWD
-
L. Eickel FWD
-
A. Millgramm FWD
-
S Michel FWD
-
S Tigges FWD
-
K. Okpala FWD
-
R. Müller FWD
-
S Marino FWD
-