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Borussia Dortmund v RB Leipzig : Bundesliga match betting preview, prediction and odds

Sat 4th Oct, 14:30 BST, Signal Iduna Park, Dortmund

Niko Kovač and Ole Werner take on one another in the Bundesliga on Saturday afternoon, as Borussia Dortmund face RB Leipzig at the Signal Iduna Park. Quite simply, we want you to win betting on this game. To this end, statistics for seventeen major betting market have been laid out below, with head to head (H2H) records and particularly important form streaks highlighted. The best odds are also given.


Want to know who’s consistently beating the odds? Check out the Top Bundesliga Tipsters and see the most profitable experts for this season!

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Best Tip: Dortmund to win

Having examined the bookies' odds and collated statistics regarding the two sides ahead of this Bundesliga clash, a bet on win / draw / win for Dortmund to win in front of their own fans is the way we would recommend bettors go. We predict they'll have too much for RB Leipzig, and head-to-head (H2H) records show they have a track record of doing so. There could be some bumps along the way, but Dortmund claiming victory is the bet come Saturday afternoon.

In-Play
Win / Draw / Win
Over / Under 1.5 Goals
Over / Under 2.5 Goals
Over / Under 3.5 Goals
Win To Nil
Both Teams To Score
Correct Score
Both Teams To Score & Result
Double Chance
Half Time / Full Time
Over / Under 0.5 Goals
Over / Under 4.5 Goals
Over / Under 5.5 Goals
Draw No Bet
Team To Score First

Checkout the hundreds of tips picked but our top win/draw/win tipsters

Change odds
Predictions Add Bet365 Coral
Dortmund
63%
1.60-
Draw
19%
4.20-
RB Leipzig
17%
5.00-
Dortmund 2-1
10%
--
Dortmund 2-0
9%
--
Draw 1-1
9%
--
Dortmund 1-0
8%
--
Dortmund 3-1
7%
--
Dortmund 3-0
7%
--
Draw 2-2
5%
--
RB Leipzig 2-1
5%
--
Dortmund 4-1
4%
--
RB Leipzig 1-0
4%
--
Dortmund 3-2
4%
--
Dortmund 4-0
4%
--
Draw 0-0
4%
--
Dortmund 4-2
2%
--
RB Leipzig 2-0
2%
--
Over 2.5 Goals
64%
1.50-
Under 2.5 Goals
36%
2.63-
Home 1st Goal
57%
--
Away 1st Goal
41%
--
No 1st Goal
2%
--
BTTS - Yes
59%
--
BTTS - No
41%
--
BTTS - Home Win
33%
--
BTTS - Draw
16%
--
BTTS - Away Win
10%
--
Home/draw
83%
--
Away/draw
37%
--
Home/away
81%
--
Over 1.5 Goals
84%
--
Under 1.5 Goals
16%
--
Over 3.5 Goals
42%
--
Under 3.5 Goals
58%
--
Over 4.5 Goals
24%
--
Under 4.5 Goals
76%
--
Over 5.5 Goals
12%
--
Under 5.5 Goals
88%
--
Over 0.5 Goals
96%
--
Under 0.5 Goals
4%
--
Home DNB
77%
--
Away DNB
31%
--
Dortmund win to nil
30%
--
RB Leipzig win to nil
7%
--
Win / draw / win Bundesliga table
Won
Draw
Lost
Dortmund
RB Leipzig
Results by League Table
TEAM PLD W D L GD PTS HOME AWAY HOME AWAY
1
Bayern44001512 
Feb 28
Oct 18
Jan 17
l
 
6-0A
2
Dortmund4310610 
-
-
Feb 21
Oct 4
3
RB Leipzig4301-19 
Oct 4
Feb 21
-
-
4
Köln421127 
Oct 25
Mar 7
w
 
3-1F
Feb 7
5
St. Pauli421117 
Jan 17
d
 
3-3F
May 9
Jan 10
6
E.Frankfurt420226 
May 9
Jan 10
Dec 6
Apr 18
7
Freiburg420206 
Apr 25
Dec 13
Jan 14
May 16
8
Stuttgart420206 
Nov 22
Apr 4
Nov 1
Mar 14
9
Hoffenheim4202-26 
Dec 6
Apr 18
Mar 21
Nov 8
10
Union Berlin4202-36 
w
 
3-0F
Jan 24
Apr 25
Dec 13
11
Leverkusen412115 
Apr 11
Nov 29
Dec 20
May 2
12
Wolfsburg412115 
w
 
1-0F
Feb 7
Feb 14
Sep 27
13
Mainz411214 
Feb 14
Sep 27
Jan 31
w
 
0-1F
14
W.Bremen4112-24 
Jan 14
May 16
Nov 23
Apr 4
15
Hamburg4112-64 
Mar 21
Nov 8
Oct 18
Feb 28
16
Augsburg4103-33 
Mar 14
Oct 31
Mar 7
Oct 25
17
B. M'gladbach4022-52 
Dec 20
May 2
Apr 11
Nov 28
18
Heidenheim4004-70 
Jan 31
w
 
0-2F
w
 
2-0F
Jan 24
Win / draw / win form
Dortmund 3RD
20 league games
Home
Overall
Goals: Scored
56
Conceded
20
Games: Scored
19 / 20
Conceded
13 / 20
Clean sheets
7 / 20
Failed to score
1 / 20
Won
14
D
3
L
3
Goals: Scored
47
Conceded
25
Games: Scored
16 / 20
Conceded
14 / 20
Clean sheets
6 / 20
Failed to score
4 / 20
Won
12
D
3
Lost
5
RB Leipzig 2ND
20 league games
Away
Overall
Goals: Scored
23
Conceded
33
Games: Scored
12 / 20
Conceded
11 / 20
Clean sheets
9 / 20
Failed to score
8 / 20
Won
6
Draw
7
Lost
7
Goals: Scored
27
Conceded
28
Games: Scored
13 / 20
Conceded
12 / 20
Clean sheets
8 / 20
Failed to score
7 / 20
Won
7
Draw
8
Lost
5
Win / draw / win head to head (H2H)
League games at Dortmund since 2017
Dortmund
RB Leipzig
Goals: Scored
20
18
Games: Scored
9 / 9
8 / 9
Clean sheets
1 / 9
0 / 9
BVB
5
D
1
RBL
3
League games at RB Leipzig since 2016
RB Leipzig
Dortmund
Goals: Scored
14
9
Games: Scored
7 / 9
6 / 9
Clean sheets
3 / 9
2 / 9
BVB
3
D
1
RBL
5
Goal Statistics

Borussia Dortmund's forwards have been superb of late, finding the net twice or more in 11 consecutive Bundesliga matches. A PG of 2.2 suggests that run should continue on Saturday afternoon.

Dortmund 3rd RB Leipzig 2nd
Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction
2.2
goals
1.1
goals
Scoring probability
Scoring probability
0
11%
1
24%
2
27%
3
20%
4+
19%
There is a 65% probability that Dortmund will score 2 or more goals in this match
0
34%
1
37%
2
20%
3
4+
There is a 71% probability that RB Leipzig will score no more than 1 goal
 
20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games
+29
Dortmund have scored 29% more goals at home than predicted
-27
RB Leipzig have scored 27% fewer goals when away than predicted
2.8
average goals scored
1.2
average goals scored
1.0
conceded
1.7
conceded
 
Attack defence ratings
Bundesliga - 2025/2025 season
Dortmund
PG (predicted goals)
RB Leipzig
2.2
1.1
Attack rating
54%
better
BVB
RBL
view stats
Games scored3
2
Failed to score0
1
Scored first3
2
Goals scored8
3
Avg. goals scored2.7
0.8
Avg. shots per game10
8
Avg. shots per goal4
11
Conversion rate for27
9
Avg. XG for2
1.6
KickOff rating
+54%
Defence rating
31%
better
BVB
RBL
view stats
Games conceded1
1
Clean sheets2
2
Conceded first0
1
Goals conceded3
6
Avg. goals conceded1
1.5
Avg. shots/game conceded8
7
Avg. shots/goal conceded8
5
Conversion rate against13%
22%
Avg. XG against1
1.4
KickOff rating
+31%

Dortmund v RB Leipzig Bundesliga lLine ups will show here when available.

Dortmund Bundesliga squad statistics 2025
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
3411
G KobelS Guirassy Y CoutoY Couto
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
G Kobel GLK3
-
Y Couto DEF31
1
-
R Bensebaini DEF3
1
-
W Anton DEF31
-
D Svensson MID3
-
P Groß MID31
-
F Nmecha MID311
-
J Bellingham MID3
-
S Guirassy  FWD34
1
-
K Adeyemi  FWD31
1
-
J Ryerson DEF21
1
-
F. Mane DEF2
1
S Özcan MID2
-
J Brandt MID21
-
M Sabitzer  MID21
1
-
C Chukwuemeka MID2
-
M Beier FWD211
-
A Anselmino DEF1
-
W Campbell FWD1
-
RB Leipzig Bundesliga squad statistics 2025
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
4211
P Gulácsi R RômuloR BakuR Baku
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
P Gulácsi  GLK4
-
R Baku DEF41
1
-
D Raum DEF411
1
-
C Lukeba DEF4
-
W Orbán DEF4
1
-
E Banzuzi MID41
1
-
N Seiwald MID4
-
C Baumgartner MID411
-
A Ouédraogo MID41
-
R Rômulo FWD421
-
Y. Diomande FWD4
-
J Bakayoko FWD41
-
X Schlager MID3
-
A Nusa FWD3
-
K. Nedeljković DEF2
-
K Kampl MID2
-
C Harder FWD2
-
A. Maksimović MID1
-