Hamburger SV's team badge 1. FSV Mainz 05's team badge

Hamburger SV v 1. FSV Mainz 05 : Bundesliga match betting preview, prediction and odds

Volksparkstadion, Hamburg

the Volksparkstadion crowd welcome 1. FSV Mainz 05's travelling contingent on Sunday afternoon, as Merlin Polzin's Hamburger SV face Urs Fischer's team in the Bundesliga. Form, head-to-head stats, predictions and odds from the UK's biggest bookmakers are all published below. Helping our users place smart bets is what we do best. Here we've gone for , but why not use the stats to find the perfect bet for you?

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Hamburger SV's next match is v Köln at 14:30 on Saturday 19th September
1. FSV Mainz 05's next match is v B. M'gladbach at 14:30 on Saturday 19th September
The last German Bundesliga meeting between Hamburg and Mainz was on Sunday 6th September 2026
German Bundesliga
September 6th 2026
Hamburg 0
5 Mainz
 
19' S. Becker
41' P. Mwene
48' P. Tietz
83' P. Tietz
90' R. Königsdörffer
 
HSV
M05
Shots On
1
8
Shots Off
2
7
Corners
4
5
Possession
55%
45%
Fouls
14
19
Yellow/red cards
1/0
3/0
 
HamburgMainz
 
D. Heuer Fernandes
D. Wolfe (L. Lemke 84')
Z. El Ouahdi
B. Nadir (F. Ferreira Vieira 46')
M. Adeline (P. Daka 46')
A. Erlykke
N. Remberg
T. Moffi (O. Emerson Stange 64')
J. Torunarigha (S. Nandja 46')
N. Capaldo
S. Bornauw
A. Schwolow
football iconP. Mwene
F. Gruber
(R. Nakuzola 88') S. Posch
(D. Vieira da Costa 81') A. Caci
(L. Maloney 88') K. Sano
(O. Ruoppi 88') J. Lee
N. Amiri
football iconfootball iconP. Tietz
(R. Königsdörffer 68') football iconS. Becker
K. Potulski

Want to know who’s consistently beating the odds? Check out the Top Bundesliga Tipsters and see the most profitable experts for this season!

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Best Tip: Over 1.5 goals

We're ruling out a bore-draw or a slim 1-0 win here, and instead are tipping over 1.5 goals. That means that Hamburg and Mainz will score at least a couple of between them during 90 mins. It's a tip based on form stats for each side, as well as past records of their head-to-head clashes. We give it a probability of 79%. Bookies have it available at 1.22.

In-Play
Win / Draw / Win
Over / Under 1.5 Goals
Over / Under 2.5 Goals
Over / Under 3.5 Goals
Win To Nil
Both Teams To Score
Correct Score
Both Teams To Score & Result
Double Chance
Half Time / Full Time
Over / Under 0.5 Goals
Over / Under 4.5 Goals
Over / Under 5.5 Goals
Draw No Bet
Team To Score First
If you’re looking for a winner in this match, we think Hamburg are the most likely. Our predictive algorithm gives them a 38% chance of victory, and the bookies have them at a best price of 2.50.

Checkout the hundreds of tips picked but our top win/draw/win tipsters

Change odds
Predictions Add Bet365 Coral
Hamburg
34%
19/10-
Draw
25%
5/2-
Mainz
41%
27/20-
Draw 1-1
12%
11/2-
Mainz 1-0
9%
9/1-
Mainz 2-1
9%
17/2-
Hamburg 1-0
8%
10/1-
Hamburg 2-1
8%
10/1-
Mainz 2-0
7%
12/1-
Draw 0-0
6%
12/1-
Draw 2-2
6%
11/1-
Hamburg 2-0
5%
16/1-
Mainz 3-1
4%
16/1-
Hamburg 3-1
4%
20/1-
Mainz 3-0
3%
22/1-
Mainz 3-2
3%
22/1-
Hamburg 3-2
3%
25/1-
Hamburg 3-0
2%
28/1-
Over 2.5 Goals
54%
8/11-
Under 2.5 Goals
46%
11/10-
Home 1st Goal
47%
21/20-
Away 1st Goal
50%
5/6-
No 1st Goal
3%
12/1-
BTTS - Yes
57%
8/13-
BTTS - No
43%
6/5-
BTTS - Home Win
18%
4/1-
BTTS - Draw
19%
3/1-
BTTS - Away Win
21%
10/3-
Home/draw
59%
4/7-
Away/draw
66%
2/5-
Home/away
75%
2/7-
Over 1.5 Goals
77%
2/9-
Under 1.5 Goals
23%
10/3-
Over 3.5 Goals
31%
7/4-
Under 3.5 Goals
69%
4/9-
Over 4.5 Goals
16%
4/1-
Under 4.5 Goals
84%
1/6-
Over 5.5 Goals
7%
9/1-
Under 5.5 Goals
93%
1/16-
Over 0.5 Goals
94%
1/25-
Under 0.5 Goals
6%
12/1-
Home DNB
52%
11/10-
Away DNB
58%
4/6-
Hamburg win to nil
17%
9/2-
Mainz win to nil
20%
7/2-
Hamburg / Hamburg
18%
7/2-
Hamburg / Mainz
3%
22/1-
Hamburg / Draw
6%
12/1-
Draw / Hamburg
13%
6/1-
Draw / Mainz
14%
5/1-
Draw / Draw
15%
5/1-
Mainz / Hamburg
3%
25/1-
Mainz / Mainz
21%
11/4-
Mainz / Draw
6%
12/1-
Win / draw / win Bundesliga table
Won
Draw
Lost
Hamburg
Mainz
Results by League Table
TEAM PLD W D L GD PTS HOME AWAY HOME AWAY
1
Freiburg330099 
May 15
Jan 13
Dec 12
Apr 17
2
Dortmund330069 
Jan 23
l
 
2-0A
May 8
Jan 9
3
Augsburg321067 
Jan 16
May 22
Mar 20
Nov 22
4
Bayern321057 
Nov 28
Apr 3
Nov 7
Mar 13
5
RB Leipzig320166 
Feb 6
l
 
5-0A
Apr 10
Dec 5
6
Elversberg320116 
Apr 24
Dec 19
Mar 6
Oct 30
7
Leverkusen311134 
Jan 9
May 8
Oct 10
Feb 20
8
Mainz311134 
l
 
0-5A
Jan 30
-
-
9
E.Frankfurt3111-14 
Mar 6
Nov 1
l
 
1-3A
Feb 6
10
W.Bremen3111-14 
Mar 20
Nov 22
Oct 24
Mar 3
11
Schalke3111-14 
Dec 12
Apr 17
Feb 27
Oct 17
12
Köln3111-24 
Sep 19
Feb 13
Dec 19
Apr 24
13
Hoffenheim3102-13 
Feb 20
Oct 10
Jan 13
May 15
14
Stuttgart3102-23 
Oct 17
Feb 27
May 22
Jan 16
15
Paderborn3012-41 
Mar 3
Oct 24
d
 
0-00-0
Jan 23
16
Union Berlin3012-61 
Apr 10
Dec 5
Nov 28
Apr 3
17
B. M'gladbach3003-90 
Nov 6
Mar 13
Feb 13
Sep 19
18
Hamburg3003-120 
-
-
Jan 30
w
 
0-5F
Win / draw / win form
Hamburg 18TH
20 league games
Home
Overall
Goals: Scored
34
Conceded
29
Games: Scored
16 / 20
Conceded
18 / 20
Clean sheets
2 / 20
Failed to score
4 / 20
Won
7
Draw
6
Lost
7
Goals: Scored
24
Conceded
31
Games: Scored
15 / 20
Conceded
17 / 20
Clean sheets
3 / 20
Failed to score
5 / 20
Won
5
Draw
7
Lost
8
Mainz 8TH
20 league games
Away
Overall
Goals: Scored
27
Conceded
34
Games: Scored
14 / 20
Conceded
18 / 20
Clean sheets
2 / 20
Failed to score
6 / 20
Won
7
Draw
5
Lost
8
Goals: Scored
31
Conceded
27
Games: Scored
17 / 20
Conceded
16 / 20
Clean sheets
4 / 20
Failed to score
3 / 20
Won
9
Draw
6
Lost
5
Win / draw / win head to head (H2H)
3
Hamburg have kept a clean sheet in 3 consecutive home league meetings with Mainz
League games at Hamburg since 2012
Hamburg
Mainz
Goals: Scored
10
7
Games: Scored
5 / 7
3 / 7
Clean sheets
4 / 7
2 / 7
HSV
3
D
2
M05
2
League games at Mainz since 2013
Mainz
Hamburg
Goals: Scored
12
10
Games: Scored
6 / 6
6 / 6
Clean sheets
0 / 6
0 / 6
HSV
2
D
1
M05
3
Goal Statistics

1. FSV Mainz 05's defensive record is very strong, U. Fischer's men having conceded 1 or less in 10 consecutive Bundesliga games. An average PG rating of 1.3 for Hamburger SV makes sense in this context.

1. FSV Mainz 05's fans will be hoping for goals on Sunday afternoon, not least because Hamburger SV have conceded in each of their last 15 Bundesliga matches. A PG of 1.5 for U. Fischer's side suggests that run should continue.

Hamburg 18th Mainz 8th
Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction
1.3
goals
1.5
goals
Scoring probability
Scoring probability
0
26%
1
35%
2
24%
3
11%
4+
There is a 61% probability that Hamburg will score no more than 1 goal
0
23%
1
34%
2
25%
3
12%
4+
There is a 77% probability that Mainz will score 1 or more goals
 
20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games
+3
Hamburg’s goalscoring at home has been inline with predictions
+2
Mainz’s goalscoring when away has been inline with predictions
1.7
average goals scored
1.4
average goals scored
1.5
conceded
1.7
conceded
 
Attack defence ratings
Bundesliga - 2026/2027 season
Hamburg
PG (predicted goals)
Mainz
1.3
1.5
Attack rating
HSV
M05
7%
better
view stats
Games scored0
0
Failed to score1
1
Scored first0
0
Goals scored0
0
Avg. goals scored0
0
Avg. shots per game8
15
Avg. shots per goal0
0
Conversion rate for0
0
Avg. XG for0.8
1.3
KickOff rating
+7%
Defence rating
HSV
M05
66%
better
view stats
Games conceded1
0
Clean sheets0
1
Conceded first1
0
Goals conceded2
0
Avg. goals conceded2
0
Avg. shots/game conceded16
6
Avg. shots/goal conceded8
0
Conversion rate against13%
0%
Avg. XG against1.7
1
KickOff rating
+66%

Hamburg v Mainz Bundesliga lLine ups will show here when available.

Hamburg Bundesliga squad statistics 2026/2027
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
3001
D FernandesN Capaldo 
Line-upAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
D Fernandes GLK3
-
N Capaldo  DEF3
1
-
S Bornauw DEF2
-
J Torunarigha DEF3
-
Z Ouahdi MID2
1
-
B Nadir MID2
-
N Remberg MID3
-
D Wolfe MID2
-
M Adeline FWD2
-
A Grönbaek FWD3
-
T Moffi FWD3
-
Subs
S Tangvik GLK
-
S. Nandja DEF2
1
-
L. Lemke DEF2
-
B Jatta MID2
-
F Vieira MID2
-
K. Amoako MID
-
Y Poulsen FWD2
-
O. Emerson Stange FWD3
-
P Daka FWD3
-
Mainz Bundesliga squad statistics 2026/2027
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
3322
F. GruberP TietzS BeckerP Mwene
Line-upAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
A Schwolow GLK1
-
S Posch DEF2
-
F. Gruber DEF3
-
K. Potulski DEF3
-
A Caci MID3
1
-
J Lee MID31
-
K Sano MID31
-
N Amiri MID3
-
P Mwene MID311
2
-
P Tietz FWD33
-
S Becker FWD312
1
-
Subs
D Hoof DEF
-
D Costa DEF3
-
R. Nakuzola DEF2
-
L Maloney MID1
-
O Ruoppi MID31
-
S Kawasaki MID
-
R Königsdörffer FWD31
-
B Hollerbach FWD1
-