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TSG 1899 Hoffenheim v Borussia Dortmund : Bundesliga match betting preview, prediction and odds

Sat 18th Apr, 14:30 BST, Wirsol Rhein-Neckar-Arena, Zuzenhausen

Christian Ilzer welcomes Niko Kovač to the Wirsol Rhein-Neckar-Arena on Saturday afternoon, as their TSG 1899 Hoffenheim and Borussia Dortmund teams do battle in the Bundesliga. For every Bundesliga fixture, KickOff dives into the stats for all of the biggest markets. Meaningful stats, including head to head (H2H) results, are then given alongside the best odds.


Want to know who’s consistently beating the odds? Check out the Top Bundesliga Tipsters and see the most profitable experts for this season!

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Best Tip: Both teams to score

After surveying all relevant statistics, including historical head-to-head (H2H) data, we predict this tie will deliver both elation and despair to both sets of fans. We predict both Hoffenheim and Dortmund to find the back of the net during the 90 minutes, but the ultimate victor of the match seems less clear. The odds point towards a both teams to score bet, and that's what we'd recommend going with.

In-Play
Win / Draw / Win
Over / Under 1.5 Goals
Over / Under 2.5 Goals
Over / Under 3.5 Goals
Win To Nil
Both Teams To Score
Correct Score
Both Teams To Score & Result
Double Chance
Half Time / Full Time
Over / Under 0.5 Goals
Over / Under 4.5 Goals
Over / Under 5.5 Goals
Draw No Bet
Team To Score First
If you’re looking for a winner in this match, we think Hoffenheim are the most likely. Our predictive algorithm gives them a 42% chance of victory, and the bookies have them at a best price of 2.63.

Checkout the hundreds of tips picked but our top win/draw/win tipsters

Change odds
Predictions Add Bet365 Coral
Hoffenheim
42%
2.63
3%
2.62
Draw
23%
3.753.80
Dortmund
34%
2.35
2%
2.40
Draw 1-1
11%
8.007.00
Hoffenheim 2-1
9%
10.00
9%
9.00
Dortmund 2-1
8%
10.00
5%
8.50
Hoffenheim 1-0
7%
15.0011.00
Draw 2-2
7%
11.009.50
Dortmund 1-0
6%
13.0011.00
Hoffenheim 2-0
6%
17.0013.00
Hoffenheim 3-1
5%
19.0015.00
Dortmund 2-0
5%
15.0013.00
Draw 0-0
4%
19.0015.00
Dortmund 3-1
4%
17.0013.00
Hoffenheim 3-2
4%
21.0017.00
Hoffenheim 3-0
3%
29.0021.00
Dortmund 3-2
3%
21.00
11%
15.00
Dortmund 3-0
2%
23.0019.00
Over 2.5 Goals
61%
1.501.48
Under 2.5 Goals
39%
2.632.50
Home 1st Goal
50%
1.91
2%
1.95
Away 1st Goal
48%
1.83
2%
1.91
No 1st Goal
2%
19.0015.00
BTTS - Yes
63%
1.441.44
BTTS - No
37%
2.632.62
BTTS - Home Win
24%
4.00
8%
3.90
BTTS - Draw
19%
4.334.20
BTTS - Away Win
20%
3.75
4%
3.70
Home/draw
66%
1.571.55
Away/draw
58%
1.441.48
Home/away
77%
1.251.25
Over 1.5 Goals
82%
1.141.14
Under 1.5 Goals
18%
5.505.25
Over 3.5 Goals
39%
2.202.15
Under 3.5 Goals
61%
1.671.65
Over 4.5 Goals
21%
4.003.60
Under 4.5 Goals
79%
1.251.25
Over 5.5 Goals
10%
7.006.50
Under 5.5 Goals
90%
1.101.09
Over 0.5 Goals
96%
1.03
1%
1.01
Under 0.5 Goals
4%
17.00
11%
15.00
Home DNB
59%
1.91
5%
1.91
Away DNB
51%
1.80
4%
1.80
Hoffenheim win to nil
18%
6.00
8%
-
Dortmund win to nil
14%
5.50-
Hoffenheim / Hoffenheim
20%
4.00
8%
3.80
Hoffenheim / Dortmund
4%
21.0019.00
Hoffenheim / Draw
7%
13.0011.00
Draw / Hoffenheim
12%
7.006.50
Draw / Dortmund
12%
6.506.50
Draw / Draw
13%
6.506.00
Dortmund / Hoffenheim
4%
23.0019.00
Dortmund / Dortmund
22%
3.75
4%
3.50
Dortmund / Draw
7%
13.0011.00
Win / draw / win Bundesliga table

Hoffenheim have played 29 matches so far this season and are in 6th position in the league.

Performance against teams above them in the league

8 of those games have come against teams above them in the table. They have lost 4 games, drawn 1 and won 3. Hoffenheim have conceded 18 goals, scored 8, failed to score in 3 matches and kept 2 clean sheets.

Home league performance

Hoffenheim have played 14 games at home, winning 8, drawing 1 and losing 5 fixtures. They have scored 29 goals, conceded 17 goals, kept 3 clean sheets and failed to score 2 times in home league games.

Dortmund lay in 2nd place on 64 points in the Bundesliga league table having played 29 matches.

Performance against teams below them in the league

They have played 27 games against teams below them in the table, winning 19, drawing 7 and losing 1 game. They have scored 57 goals and kept 13 clean sheets against lower placed opposition. Dortmund have conceded 24 goals and have failed to score in 1 match.

Away league performance

Dortmund have played 14 away games, winning 8, drawing 5 and losing 1 game. They have scored an average of 1.9 goals per away game and conceded an average 1.1 goals per away game.

Won
Draw
Lost
Hoffenheim
Dortmund
Results by League Table
TEAM PLD W D L GD PTS HOME AWAY HOME AWAY
1
Bayern2924417876 
l
 
1-4A
l
 
5-1A
l
 
2-3F
l
 
2-1A
2
Dortmund2919733164 
Apr 18
l
 
2-0A
-
-
3
Stuttgart2917572256 
May 2
d
 
0-00-0
d
 
3-3F
w
 
0-2F
4
RB Leipzig2917572056 
w
 
3-1A
l
 
5-0A
d
 
1-1A
d
 
2-2A
5
Leverkusen2915772052 
w
 
1-0F
w
 
1-2A
l
 
0-1A
w
 
1-2F
6
Hoffenheim2915681451 
-
-
w
 
2-0F
Apr 18
7
E.Frankfurt291199042 
l
 
1-3A
w
 
1-3A
May 8
d
 
3-3F
8
Freiburg2911711-540 
w
 
3-0F
d
 
1-1A
Apr 26
d
 
1-1F
9
Mainz298912-933 
l
 
1-2A
d
 
1-1F
w
 
4-0F
w
 
0-2F
10
Augsburg299614-1733 
w
 
3-0F
d
 
2-2A
w
 
2-0F
w
 
0-1F
11
Union Berlin298813-1732 
w
 
3-1F
w
 
2-4F
w
 
3-0F
w
 
0-3F
12
Hamburg2971012-1331 
w
 
4-1F
Apr 25
w
 
3-2A
d
 
1-1F
13
Köln297913-730 
l
 
0-1A
d
 
2-2A
w
 
1-0F
w
 
1-2F
14
B. M'gladbach297913-1430 
w
 
5-1F
May 16
w
 
2-0F
May 3
15
W.Bremen297715-2028 
May 9
w
 
0-2F
w
 
3-0F
May 16
16
St. Pauli296716-2525 
l
 
0-1A
w
 
0-3F
w
 
3-2F
d
 
3-3F
17
Wolfsburg295618-2621 
d
 
1-1A
w
 
2-3A
w
 
1-0F
w
 
1-2F
18
Heidenheim294718-3219 
w
 
3-1F
w
 
2-4F
w
 
3-2F
w
 
0-2F
Win / draw / win form
10
Dortmund have not lost in 10 consecutive away league games
Hoffenheim 6TH
20 league games
Home
Overall
Goals: Scored
36
Conceded
27
Games: Scored
17 / 20
Conceded
16 / 20
Clean sheets
4 / 20
Failed to score
3 / 20
Won
9
D
4
Lost
7
Goals: Scored
39
Conceded
28
Games: Scored
16 / 20
Conceded
15 / 20
Clean sheets
5 / 20
Failed to score
4 / 20
Won
10
Draw
5
Lost
5
Dortmund 2ND
20 league games
Away
10
Overall
Goals: Scored
42
Conceded
24
Games: Scored
19 / 20
Conceded
14 / 20
Clean sheets
6 / 20
Failed to score
1 / 20
Won
12
Draw
6
L
2
Goals: Scored
45
Conceded
23
Games: Scored
19 / 20
Conceded
13 / 20
Clean sheets
7 / 20
Failed to score
1 / 20
Won
13
Draw
5
L
2
Win / draw / win head to head (H2H)
5
Dortmund have beaten Hoffenheim in 5 consecutive away league meetings
5
Dortmund have not lost to Hoffenheim in 5 consecutive away league meetings
League games at Hoffenheim since 2012
Hoffenheim
Dortmund
Goals: Scored
17
22
Games: Scored
10 / 12
12 / 12
Clean sheets
0 / 12
2 / 12
TSG
2
D
4
BVB
6
League games at Dortmund since 2013
Dortmund
Hoffenheim
Goals: Scored
22
20
Games: Scored
11 / 12
10 / 12
Clean sheets
2 / 12
1 / 12
TSG
3
D
3
BVB
6
Goal Statistics

Borussia Dortmund's fans will be hoping for goals on Saturday afternoon, not least because TSG 1899 Hoffenheim have conceded in each of their last 7 Bundesliga outings. A PG of 1.5 for N. Kovač's side suggests that run should continue.

Hoffenheim 6th Dortmund 2nd
Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction
1.7
goals
1.5
goals
Scoring probability
Scoring probability
0
19%
1
31%
2
26%
3
15%
4+
9%
There is a 81% probability that Hoffenheim will score 1 or more goals
0
23%
1
34%
2
25%
3
12%
4+
There is a 77% probability that Dortmund will score 1 or more goals
 
20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games
+2
Hoffenheim’s goalscoring at home has been inline with predictions
+28
Dortmund have scored 28% more goals when away than predicted
1.8
average goals scored
2.1
average goals scored
1.4
conceded
1.2
conceded
 
Attack defence ratings
Bundesliga - 2025/2025 season
Hoffenheim
PG (predicted goals)
Dortmund
1.7
1.5
Attack rating
TSG
BVB
22%
better
view stats
Games scored24
28
Failed to score5
1
Scored first12
24
Goals scored57
60
Avg. goals scored2
2.1
Avg. shots per game11
10
Avg. shots per goal5
5
Conversion rate for19
22
Avg. XG for1.7
1.9
KickOff rating
+22%
Defence rating
TSG
BVB
35%
better
view stats
Games conceded23
16
Clean sheets6
13
Conceded first16
5
Goals conceded43
29
Avg. goals conceded1.5
1
Avg. shots/game conceded9
8
Avg. shots/goal conceded6
8
Conversion rate against16%
12%
Avg. XG against1.5
1.2
KickOff rating
+35%

Hoffenheim v Dortmund Bundesliga lLine ups will show here when available.

Hoffenheim Bundesliga squad statistics 2025
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
291089
O BaumannA KramaricB. TouréA Hajdari 
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
O Baumann GLK29
2
-
V Coufal DEF2917
4
-
G Prömel  MID2972
4
-
A Kramaric MID29105
1
-
L Avdullahu MID281
4
-
F Asllani FWD2897
2
-
A Prass MID2732
2
-
R Hranáč DEF261
4
-
A Hajdari  DEF2511
9
-
W Burger MID2546
5
1
B. Touré FWD2538
2
-
Bernardo DEF24
7
-
T Lemperle FWD2472
1
-
O Kabak DEF204
3
-
M. Moerstedt FWD192
2
-
I Bebou FWD16
1
-
M Damar  MID14
-
V Gendrey DEF811
-
K Akpoguma DEF6
1
U Tohumcu MID5
2
-
A Chaves DEF4
1
-
A Hlozek FWD3
-
K Machida DEF1
1
-
L. Đurić MID1
-
Dortmund Bundesliga squad statistics 2025
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
2913137
G KobelS Guirassy J RyersonJ Ryerson
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
G Kobel GLK29
2
-
D Svensson DEF2922
-
S Guirassy  FWD28132
3
-
W Anton DEF272
3
-
F Nmecha MID2723
-
J Bellingham MID272
1
1
M Beier FWD2784
3
-
J Ryerson DEF2613
7
-
K Adeyemi  FWD2673
5
-
C Chukwuemeka MID242
2
-
J Brandt MID2473
-
N Schlotterbeck DEF2341
6
-
F Silva FWD2316
3
-
M Sabitzer  MID2212
3
-
R Bensebaini DEF194
6
-
Y Couto MID1713
4
-
P Groß MID111
-
E Can DEF93
3
-
N Süle DEF91
3
-
S Özcan MID8
-
A Anselmino DEF61
-
F. Mane DEF4
1
A. Raouf Mohammed Kabar DEF1
-
W Campbell FWD1
-