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FC Union Berlin v 1. FSV Mainz 05 : Bundesliga match betting preview, prediction and odds

Sat 10th Jan, 14:30 BST, An der Alten Forsterei, Berlin

Bo Henriksen takes his 1. FSV Mainz 05 troops to the An der Alten Forsterei in the Bundesliga on Saturday afternoon, with Steffen Baumgart's FC Union Berlin waiting for them. We've got predictions, tips, and odds from leading bookmakers and head-to-head statistics across the biggest markets, all with the aim of helping you find a winning bet on this Bundesliga clash.


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Best Tip: Over 1.5 goals

We're ruling out a bore-draw or a slim 1-0 win here, and instead we're tipping over 1.5 goals. That means that Union Berlin and Mainz will score at least a couple of between them during 90 minutes. It's a tip based on the recent form of the respective sides, as well as past records of their head-to-head clashes. We give it a probability of 79%. Bookmakers have it available at 1.36.

In-Play
Win / Draw / Win
Over / Under 1.5 Goals
Over / Under 2.5 Goals
Over / Under 3.5 Goals
Win To Nil
Both Teams To Score
Correct Score
Both Teams To Score & Result
Double Chance
Half Time / Full Time
Over / Under 0.5 Goals
Over / Under 4.5 Goals
Over / Under 5.5 Goals
Draw No Bet
Team To Score First
We do not expect there to be more than 3 goals in total in this fixture. Our algorithm predicts a 66% chance of ‘Under 3.5 goals’, making it the most likely outcome in the ‘Over/under 3.5 goals’ market.

Discover the top tips from the communities best over/under tipsters

Change odds
Predictions Add Bet365 Coral
Union Berlin
50%
2.10
2%
2.15
2%
Draw
24%
3.303.25
Mainz
26%
3.50
3%
3.50
5%
Draw 1-1
11%
6.505.75
Union Berlin 2-1
10%
9.008.00
Union Berlin 1-0
9%
6.50
13%
6.50
Union Berlin 2-0
8%
9.50
5%
8.50
Mainz 2-1
7%
13.0011.00
Mainz 1-0
6%
9.00
14%
8.50
Draw 2-2
6%
17.00
15%
13.00
8%
Union Berlin 3-1
6%
19.0015.00
Draw 0-0
5%
8.50
18%
7.50
6%
Union Berlin 3-0
5%
19.0015.00
12%
Mainz 2-0
4%
17.00
11%
13.00
Union Berlin 3-2
3%
34.00
12%
23.00
Mainz 3-1
3%
29.0023.00
Union Berlin 4-1
2%
41.00
21%
29.00
Mainz 3-2
2%
41.00
21%
29.00
Over 2.5 Goals
56%
2.20
10%
2.15
2%
Under 2.5 Goals
44%
1.65
10%
1.65
2%
Home 1st Goal
53%
1.801.80
Away 1st Goal
44%
2.30
2%
2.40
3%
No 1st Goal
3%
8.50
18%
7.50
6%
BTTS - Yes
58%
1.95
9%
1.91
3%
BTTS - No
42%
1.80
5%
1.80
1%
BTTS - Home Win
25%
5.00
10%
4.50
BTTS - Draw
18%
4.75
6%
4.40
2%
BTTS - Away Win
14%
7.50
8%
6.50
8%
Home/draw
74%
1.29
1%
1.30
2%
Away/draw
50%
1.70
2%
1.67
1%
Home/away
76%
1.331.33
Over 1.5 Goals
79%
1.40
9%
1.36
1%
Under 1.5 Goals
21%
3.00
20%
2.88
3%
Over 3.5 Goals
34%
4.00
18%
3.90
4%
Under 3.5 Goals
66%
1.25
6%
1.22
Over 4.5 Goals
17%
9.00
33%
7.50
7%
Under 4.5 Goals
83%
1.07
4%
1.07
1%
Over 5.5 Goals
8%
19.00
46%
15.00
Under 5.5 Goals
92%
1.02
2%
1.01
1%
Over 0.5 Goals
95%
1.07
2%
1.07
1%
Under 0.5 Goals
5%
8.50
18%
7.50
Home DNB
67%
1.501.50
3%
Away DNB
43%
2.502.40
6%
Union Berlin win to nil
25%
3.40-
Mainz win to nil
12%
5.50
8%
-
Union Berlin / Union Berlin
24%
3.40
5%
3.30
3%
Union Berlin / Mainz
3%
34.00
17%
26.00
Union Berlin / Draw
6%
15.00
15%
12.00
Draw / Union Berlin
16%
5.00
9%
5.25
Draw / Mainz
11%
7.507.50
Draw / Draw
18%
4.75
9%
4.40
2%
Mainz / Union Berlin
3%
26.00
13%
21.00
Mainz / Mainz
14%
6.00
9%
5.25
5%
Mainz / Draw
6%
15.0012.00
Over / under 3.5 goals Bundesliga table
Over 3.5
Under 3.5
Union Berlin
Mainz
Results by League Table
TEAM PLD W D L GD PTS HOME AWAY HOME AWAY
1
Bayern1513204441 
d
 
2-2F
Mar 21
Apr 25
d
 
2-2A
2
Dortmund159511432 
Jan 24
l
 
3-0A
l
 
0-2A
Feb 13
3
Leverkusen159241329 
Feb 21
l
 
2-0A
l
 
3-4A
Feb 28
4
RB Leipzig159241129 
w
 
3-1F
Apr 25
l
 
0-1A
Jan 31
5
Hoffenheim15834927 
l
 
2-4A
Jan 31
d
 
1-1A
Apr 4
6
Stuttgart15825326 
w
 
2-1F
Jan 18
Mar 7
l
 
2-1F
7
E.Frankfurt15744025 
Feb 6
w
 
3-4F
Mar 21
l
 
1-0A
8
Union Berlin15636-321 
-
-
May 9
Jan 10
9
Freiburg15555-120 
d
 
0-00-0
Mar 14
Apr 11
l
 
4-0A
10
W.Bremen15456-1017 
Mar 7
l
 
1-0A
d
 
1-1F
Mar 14
11
Köln15447-216 
May 2
w
 
0-1F
l
 
0-1A
Jan 17
12
B. M'gladbach15447-616 
w
 
3-1F
Feb 28
l
 
0-1A
Apr 18
13
Hamburg15447-916 
d
 
0-00-0
Feb 14
Feb 20
l
 
4-0A
14
Wolfsburg15438-515 
Apr 18
l
 
3-1A
Jan 24
d
 
1-1A
15
Augsburg15429-1114 
May 16
Jan 15
Feb 7
w
 
1-4F
16
St. Pauli15339-1312 
Apr 4
w
 
0-1F
d
 
0-00-0
May 2
17
Heidenheim153210-2111 
l
 
1-2F
Apr 11
Jan 13
May 16
18
Mainz15159-138 
Jan 10
May 9
-
-
Over / under 3.5 goals form
Union Berlin 8TH
20 league games
Home
Overall
Avg: Scored
1.3
Conceded
1.6
Games: Scored
14 / 20
Conceded
16 / 20
Clean sheets
4 / 20
Failed to score
6 / 20
Over
6
Under
14
Avg: Scored
1.5
Conceded
1.7
Games: Scored
14 / 20
Conceded
16 / 20
Clean sheets
4 / 20
Failed to score
6 / 20
Over
8
Under
12
Mainz 18TH
20 league games
Away
Overall
Avg: Scored
1.5
Conceded
1.8
Games: Scored
13 / 20
Conceded
18 / 20
Clean sheets
2 / 20
Failed to score
7 / 20
Over
9
Under
11
Avg: Scored
1.1
Conceded
1.8
Games: Scored
11 / 20
Conceded
19 / 20
Clean sheets
1 / 20
Failed to score
9 / 20
Over
8
Under
12
Over / under 3.5 goals head to head (H2H)
League games at Union Berlin since 2020
Union Berlin
Mainz
Average goals:
2.7
0.8
Games: Scored
6 / 6
5 / 6
Clean sheets
1 / 6
0 / 6
Over
3
Under
3
League games at Mainz since 2019
Mainz
Union Berlin
Average goals:
1.0
1.2
Games: Scored
5 / 6
4 / 6
Clean sheets
2 / 6
1 / 6
Over
1
Under
5
Goal Statistics

FC Union Berlin have been reliable in attack of late, finding the net in 6 consecutive Bundesliga games. Their PG of 1.7 against 1. FSV Mainz 05 on Saturday suggests they're likely to extend that run.

Union Berlin 8th Mainz 18th
Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction
1.7
goals
1.2
goals
Scoring probability
Scoring probability
0
18%
1
31%
2
27%
3
15%
4+
10%
There is a 82% probability that Union Berlin will score 1 or more goals
0
30%
1
36%
2
22%
3
9%
4+
There is a 66% probability that Mainz will score no more than 1 goal
 
20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games
-10
Union Berlin’s goalscoring at home has been inline with predictions
-3
Mainz’s goalscoring when away has been inline with predictions
1.3
average goals scored
1.5
average goals scored
1.6
conceded
1.8
conceded
 
Attack defence ratings
Bundesliga - 2025/2025 season
Union Berlin
PG (predicted goals)
Mainz
1.7
1.2
Attack rating
%
better
FCU
M05
view stats
Games scored0
0
Failed to score0
0
Scored first0
0
Goals scored0
0
Avg. goals scored0
0
Avg. shots per game0
0
Avg. shots per goal0
0
Conversion rate for0
0
Avg. XG for0
0
KickOff rating
0%
Defence rating
%
better
FCU
M05
view stats
Games conceded0
0
Clean sheets0
0
Conceded first0
0
Goals conceded0
0
Avg. goals conceded0
0
Avg. shots/game conceded0
0
Avg. shots/goal conceded0
0
Conversion rate against0%
0%
Avg. XG against0
0
KickOff rating
0%

Union Berlin v Mainz Bundesliga lLine ups will show here when available.

Union Berlin Bundesliga squad statistics 2025
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
15576
F RönnowI AnsahA IlićC Trimmel 
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
F Rönnow GLK15
1
-
L Querfeld DEF15
3
-
D Doekhi DEF154
2
-
D Köhn DEF15
2
-
I Ansah FWD1552
-
C Trimmel  DEF142
6
-
J Haberer  MID141
5
-
R Khedira MID143
5
-
O Burke FWD144
2
-
A Ilić FWD147
3
-
A Kemlein MID13
2
-
W Jeong MID131
-
T Rothe DEF121
1
1
T Skarke FWD121
-
D Leite DEF11
1
-
A Schäfer  MID111
1
-
A Kral MID9
1
-
J Juranovic DEF3
1
-
R Skov MID3
-
S Nsoki DEF21
-
L. Burcu FWD2
-
Mainz Bundesliga squad statistics 2025
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
15326
K SanoN AmiriB HollerbachD Kohr
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
D Costa DEF151
3
-
K Sano MID1511
1
-
P Mwene DEF13
3
-
A Hanche-Olsen  DEF131
3
-
N Amiri MID1331
5
-
J Lee MID132
1
-
N Weiper FWD13
-
A Sieb FWD122
1
-
D Kohr DEF111
4
2
D Hoof DEF111
2
-
N Veratschnig DEF11
2
-
P Nebel MID111
2
2
A Nordin FWD11
-
B Hollerbach FWD112
-
S Widmer  DEF101
2
-
R Zentner GLK9
2
1
L Maloney MID8
-
S Kawasaki MID6
1
-
L Rieß GLK4
-
A Caci DEF4
1
-
W Bøving FWD41
1
-
D Batz GLK3
-
M Leitsch  DEF3
-
B Bobzien FWD1
-