FC Union Berlin's team badge 1. FSV Mainz 05's team badge

FC Union Berlin v 1. FSV Mainz 05 : Bundesliga match betting preview, prediction and odds

Sat 10th Jan, 14:30 BST, An der Alten Forsterei, Berlin

Steffen Baumgart and Bo Henriksen take on one another in the Bundesliga on Saturday afternoon, as FC Union Berlin face 1. FSV Mainz 05 at the An der Alten Forsterei. Bundesliga statistics are the backbone of the predictions you'll find below, with head-to-head performance included too. You can view it all, with infographics and odds from leading bookmakers available for seventeen major betting markets via the tabs.


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Best Tip: Over 1.5 goals

We're ruling out a bore-draw or a slim 1-0 win here, and instead we're tipping over 1.5 goals. That means that Union Berlin and Mainz will score at least a couple of between them during 90 minutes. It's a tip based on the recent form of the respective sides, as well as past records of their head-to-head clashes. We give it a probability of 79%. Bookmakers have it available at 1.36.

In-Play
Win / Draw / Win
Over / Under 1.5 Goals
Over / Under 2.5 Goals
Over / Under 3.5 Goals
Win To Nil
Both Teams To Score
Correct Score
Both Teams To Score & Result
Double Chance
Half Time / Full Time
Over / Under 0.5 Goals
Over / Under 4.5 Goals
Over / Under 5.5 Goals
Draw No Bet
Team To Score First
There’s absolutely nothing to pick between these sides, and our predictive algorithm gives Union Berlin and Mainz an equal chance of claiming victory. The home win and the away win are both at 50% probability.

Checkout the hundreds of tips picked but our top win/draw/win tipsters

Change odds
Predictions Add Bet365 Coral
Union Berlin
50%
11/10
2%
23/20
2%
Draw
24%
23/109/4
Mainz
26%
5/2
3%
5/2
5%
Draw 1-1
11%
11/219/4
Union Berlin 2-1
10%
8/17/1
Union Berlin 1-0
9%
11/2
13%
11/2
Union Berlin 2-0
8%
17/2
5%
15/2
Mainz 2-1
7%
12/110/1
Mainz 1-0
6%
8/1
14%
15/2
Draw 2-2
6%
16/1
15%
12/1
8%
Union Berlin 3-1
6%
18/114/1
Draw 0-0
5%
15/2
18%
13/2
6%
Union Berlin 3-0
5%
18/114/1
12%
Mainz 2-0
4%
16/1
11%
12/1
Union Berlin 3-2
3%
33/1
12%
22/1
Mainz 3-1
3%
28/122/1
Union Berlin 4-1
2%
40/1
21%
28/1
Mainz 3-2
2%
40/1
21%
28/1
Over 2.5 Goals
56%
6/5
10%
23/20
2%
Under 2.5 Goals
44%
13/20
10%
13/20
2%
Home 1st Goal
53%
4/54/5
Away 1st Goal
44%
13/10
2%
7/5
3%
No 1st Goal
3%
15/2
18%
13/2
6%
BTTS - Yes
58%
19/20
9%
10/11
3%
BTTS - No
42%
4/5
5%
4/5
1%
BTTS - Home Win
25%
4/1
10%
7/2
BTTS - Draw
18%
15/4
6%
17/5
2%
BTTS - Away Win
14%
13/2
8%
11/2
8%
Home/draw
74%
2/7
1%
3/10
2%
Away/draw
50%
7/10
2%
4/6
1%
Home/away
76%
1/31/3
Over 1.5 Goals
79%
2/5
9%
4/11
1%
Under 1.5 Goals
21%
2/1
20%
15/8
3%
Over 3.5 Goals
34%
3/1
18%
29/10
4%
Under 3.5 Goals
66%
1/4
6%
2/9
Over 4.5 Goals
17%
8/1
33%
13/2
7%
Under 4.5 Goals
83%
1/14
4%
1/14
1%
Over 5.5 Goals
8%
18/1
46%
14/1
Under 5.5 Goals
92%
1/50
2%
1/80
1%
Over 0.5 Goals
95%
1/14
2%
1/14
1%
Under 0.5 Goals
5%
15/2
18%
13/2
Home DNB
67%
1/21/2
3%
Away DNB
43%
6/47/5
6%
Union Berlin win to nil
25%
12/5-
Mainz win to nil
12%
9/2
8%
-
Union Berlin / Union Berlin
24%
12/5
5%
23/10
3%
Union Berlin / Mainz
3%
33/1
17%
25/1
Union Berlin / Draw
6%
14/1
15%
11/1
Draw / Union Berlin
16%
4/1
9%
17/4
Draw / Mainz
11%
13/213/2
Draw / Draw
18%
15/4
9%
17/5
2%
Mainz / Union Berlin
3%
25/1
13%
20/1
Mainz / Mainz
14%
5/1
9%
17/4
5%
Mainz / Draw
6%
14/111/1
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Win / draw / win Bundesliga table

Union Berlin have played 15 matches so far this season and lay in 8th place in the Bundesliga league table.

Performance against teams below them in the league

They have played 8 games against teams below in the table, having won 3, drawn 2 and lost 3 matches. They have kept 4 clean sheets and have failed to score in 3 fixtures. Union Berlin have outscored their opponents by 20 goals to 13 goals.

Home League Performance

Union Berlin have played 8 games at home winning 3, drawing 3 and losing 2 games. They have scored 13 goals, kept 2 clean sheets and conceded 11 goals at home.

Mainz are in 18th position in the Bundesliga on 8 points having played 15 matches so far this season.

Away League Performance

4 of those games have been losing matches. They have conceded 15 goals and kept no clean sheets. They have scored 8 goals in total and failed to score in 3 fixtures.

Performance against teams above them in the league

15 games have come against teams above them in the table. They have lost 9 games, drawn 5 and won 1. Mainz have conceded 26 goals, scored 13, failed to score in 8 fixtures and have kept 1 clean sheet.

Won
Draw
Lost
Union Berlin
Mainz
Results by League Table
TEAM PLD W D L GD PTS HOME AWAY HOME AWAY
1
Bayern1513204441 
d
 
2-2F
Mar 21
Apr 25
d
 
2-2A
2
Dortmund159511432 
Jan 24
l
 
3-0A
l
 
0-2A
Feb 13
3
Leverkusen159241329 
Feb 21
l
 
2-0A
l
 
3-4A
Feb 28
4
RB Leipzig159241129 
w
 
3-1F
Apr 25
l
 
0-1A
Jan 31
5
Hoffenheim15834927 
l
 
2-4A
Jan 31
d
 
1-1A
Apr 4
6
Stuttgart15825326 
w
 
2-1F
Jan 18
Mar 7
l
 
2-1F
7
E.Frankfurt15744025 
Feb 6
w
 
3-4F
Mar 21
l
 
1-0A
8
Union Berlin15636-321 
-
-
May 9
Jan 10
9
Freiburg15555-120 
d
 
0-00-0
Mar 14
Apr 11
l
 
4-0A
10
W.Bremen15456-1017 
Mar 7
l
 
1-0A
d
 
1-1F
Mar 14
11
Köln15447-216 
May 2
w
 
0-1F
l
 
0-1A
Jan 17
12
B. M'gladbach15447-616 
w
 
3-1F
Feb 28
l
 
0-1A
Apr 18
13
Hamburg15447-916 
d
 
0-00-0
Feb 14
Feb 20
l
 
4-0A
14
Wolfsburg15438-515 
Apr 18
l
 
3-1A
Jan 24
d
 
1-1A
15
Augsburg15429-1114 
May 16
Jan 15
Feb 7
w
 
1-4F
16
St. Pauli15339-1312 
Apr 4
w
 
0-1F
d
 
0-00-0
May 2
17
Heidenheim153210-2111 
l
 
1-2F
Apr 11
Jan 13
May 16
18
Mainz15159-138 
Jan 10
May 9
-
-
Win / draw / win form
11
Mainz have not won in 11 consecutive league games
Union Berlin 8TH
20 league games
Home
Overall
Goals: Scored
26
Conceded
31
Games: Scored
14 / 20
Conceded
16 / 20
Clean sheets
4 / 20
Failed to score
6 / 20
Won
5
Draw
8
Lost
7
HOME FORM Win / Draw / Win
Union Berlin3 - 1RB Leipzig
Union Berlin1 - 2Heidenheim
Union Berlin2 - 2Bayern
Union Berlin0 - 0Freiburg
Union Berlin3 - 1B. M'gladbach
Union Berlin0 - 0Hamburg
Union Berlin2 - 4Hoffenheim
Union Berlin2 - 1Stuttgart
Union Berlin0 - 3Heidenheim
Union Berlin2 - 2W.Bremen
Union Berlin4 - 4Stuttgart
Union Berlin1 - 0Wolfsburg
Union Berlin1 - 1Bayern
Union Berlin0 - 1Holstein
Union Berlin1 - 2B. M'gladbach
Union Berlin0 - 0RB Leipzig
Union Berlin2 - 1Mainz
Union Berlin0 - 2Augsburg
Union Berlin1 - 1VfL Bochum
Union Berlin1 - 2Leverkusen
Goals: Scored
29
Conceded
34
Games: Scored
14 / 20
Conceded
16 / 20
Clean sheets
4 / 20
Failed to score
6 / 20
Won
7
Draw
6
Lost
7
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
AUnion Berlin1 - 0Köln
HUnion Berlin3 - 1RB Leipzig
AUnion Berlin1 - 3Wolfsburg
HUnion Berlin1 - 2Heidenheim
AUnion Berlin1 - 0St. Pauli
HUnion Berlin2 - 2Bayern
HUnion Berlin0 - 0Freiburg
AUnion Berlin0 - 1W.Bremen
HUnion Berlin3 - 1B. M'gladbach
AUnion Berlin0 - 2Leverkusen
HUnion Berlin0 - 0Hamburg
AUnion Berlin4 - 3E.Frankfurt
HUnion Berlin2 - 4Hoffenheim
AUnion Berlin0 - 3Dortmund
HUnion Berlin2 - 1Stuttgart
AUnion Berlin2 - 1Augsburg
HUnion Berlin0 - 3Heidenheim
HUnion Berlin2 - 2W.Bremen
AUnion Berlin1 - 1VfL Bochum
HUnion Berlin4 - 4Stuttgart
Mainz 18TH
20 league games
Away
Overall
11
Goals: Scored
30
Conceded
35
Games: Scored
13 / 20
Conceded
18 / 20
Clean sheets
2 / 20
Failed to score
7 / 20
Won
7
D
2
Lost
11
AWAY FORM Win / Draw / Win
Bayern2 - 2Mainz
Freiburg4 - 0Mainz
E.Frankfurt1 - 0Mainz
Stuttgart2 - 1Mainz
Hamburg4 - 0Mainz
Augsburg1 - 4Mainz
Wolfsburg1 - 1Mainz
VfL Bochum1 - 4Mainz
Bayern3 - 0Mainz
Hoffenheim2 - 0Mainz
Dortmund3 - 1Mainz
B. M'gladbach1 - 3Mainz
RB Leipzig1 - 2Mainz
Heidenheim0 - 2Mainz
W.Bremen1 - 0Mainz
Union Berlin2 - 1Mainz
Leverkusen1 - 0Mainz
E.Frankfurt1 - 3Mainz
Wolfsburg4 - 3Mainz
Holstein0 - 3Mainz
Goals: Scored
22
Conceded
35
Games: Scored
11 / 20
Conceded
19 / 20
Clean sheets
1 / 20
Failed to score
9 / 20
W
2
Draw
8
Lost
10
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
HMainz0 - 0St. Pauli
AMainz2 - 2Bayern
HMainz0 - 1B. M'gladbach
AMainz0 - 4Freiburg
HMainz1 - 1Hoffenheim
AMainz0 - 1E.Frankfurt
HMainz1 - 1W.Bremen
AMainz1 - 2Stuttgart
HMainz3 - 4Leverkusen
AMainz0 - 4Hamburg
HMainz0 - 2Dortmund
AMainz4 - 1Augsburg
HMainz0 - 1RB Leipzig
AMainz1 - 1Wolfsburg
HMainz0 - 1Köln
HMainz2 - 2Leverkusen
AMainz4 - 1VfL Bochum
HMainz1 - 1E.Frankfurt
AMainz0 - 3Bayern
HMainz2 - 2Wolfsburg
Win / draw / win head to head (H2H)
League games at Union Berlin since 2020
Union Berlin
Mainz
Goals: Scored
16
5
Games: Scored
6 / 6
5 / 6
Clean sheets
1 / 6
0 / 6
FCU
5
D
1
FIXTURE HISTORY AT Union Berlin
Union Berlin2 - 1
Union Berlin4 - 1
Union Berlin2 - 1
Union Berlin3 - 1
Union Berlin4 - 0
Draw1 - 1Draw
League games at Mainz since 2019
Mainz
Union Berlin
Goals: Scored
6
7
Games: Scored
5 / 6
4 / 6
Clean sheets
2 / 6
1 / 6
FCU
2
D
3
M05
1
FIXTURE HISTORY AT Mainz
Draw1 - 1Draw
Draw1 - 1Draw
Draw0 - 0Draw
1 - 2Union Berlin
Mainz1 - 0
2 - 3Union Berlin
Goal Statistics

FC Union Berlin have been consistent in front of goal of late, scoring in 6 consecutive Bundesliga outings. Their PG of 1.7 against 1. FSV Mainz 05 on Saturday suggests that run is likely to continue.

Union Berlin 8th Mainz 18th
Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction
1.7
goals
1.2
goals
Scoring probability
Scoring probability
0
18%
1
31%
2
27%
3
15%
4+
10%
There is a 82% probability that Union Berlin will score 1 or more goals
0
30%
1
36%
2
22%
3
9%
4+
There is a 66% probability that Mainz will score no more than 1 goal
 
20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games
-10
Union Berlin’s goalscoring at home has been inline with predictions
-3
Mainz’s goalscoring when away has been inline with predictions
1.3
average goals scored
1.5
average goals scored
1.6
conceded
1.8
conceded
 
Attack defence ratings
Bundesliga - 2025/2025 season
Union Berlin
PG (predicted goals)
Mainz
1.7
1.2
Attack rating
%
better
FCU
M05
view stats
Games scored0
0
Failed to score0
0
Scored first0
0
Goals scored0
0
Avg. goals scored0
0
Avg. shots per game0
0
Avg. shots per goal0
0
Conversion rate for0
0
Avg. XG for0
0
KickOff rating
0%
Defence rating
%
better
FCU
M05
view stats
Games conceded0
0
Clean sheets0
0
Conceded first0
0
Goals conceded0
0
Avg. goals conceded0
0
Avg. shots/game conceded0
0
Avg. shots/goal conceded0
0
Conversion rate against0%
0%
Avg. XG against0
0
KickOff rating
0%

Union Berlin v Mainz Bundesliga lLine ups will show here when available.

Union Berlin Bundesliga squad statistics 2025
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
15576
F RönnowI AnsahA IlićC Trimmel 
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
F Rönnow GLK15
1
-
L Querfeld DEF15
3
-
D Doekhi DEF154
2
-
D Köhn DEF15
2
-
I Ansah FWD1552
-
C Trimmel  DEF142
6
-
J Haberer  MID141
5
-
R Khedira MID143
5
-
O Burke FWD144
2
-
A Ilić FWD147
3
-
A Kemlein MID13
2
-
W Jeong MID131
-
T Rothe DEF121
1
1
T Skarke FWD121
-
D Leite DEF11
1
-
A Schäfer  MID111
1
-
A Kral MID9
1
-
J Juranovic DEF3
1
-
R Skov MID3
-
S Nsoki DEF21
-
L. Burcu FWD2
-
Mainz Bundesliga squad statistics 2025
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
15326
K SanoN AmiriB HollerbachD Kohr
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
D Costa DEF151
3
-
K Sano MID1511
1
-
A Hanche-Olsen  DEF131
3
-
P Mwene DEF13
3
-
N Amiri MID1331
5
-
J Lee MID132
1
-
N Weiper FWD13
-
A Sieb FWD122
1
-
N Veratschnig DEF11
2
-
D Kohr DEF111
4
2
D Hoof DEF111
2
-
P Nebel MID111
2
2
B Hollerbach FWD112
-
A Nordin FWD11
-
S Widmer  DEF101
2
-
R Zentner GLK9
2
1
L Maloney MID8
-
S Kawasaki MID6
1
-
L Rieß GLK4
-
A Caci DEF4
1
-
W Bøving FWD41
1
-
D Batz GLK3
-
M Leitsch  DEF3
-
B Bobzien FWD1
-