Sport-Club Freiburg's team badge 1. FSV Mainz 05's team badge

Sport-Club Freiburg v 1. FSV Mainz 05 : Bundesliga match betting preview, prediction and odds

Sun 30th Nov, 18:30 BST, Schwarzwald-Stadion, Freiburg im Breisgau

Home advantage can be vital in the Bundesliga, and Julian Schuster’s Sport-Club Freiburg will have the joy of it on Sunday evening. Bo Henriksen’s 1. FSV Mainz 05 are their visitors to the Schwarzwald-Stadion. All of the key stats for the tie, including head-to-heads, predictions and the best odds across 17 of the biggest betting markets are included in this in-depth preview. It's all designed to help you make a well informed, intelligent bet.


Want to know who’s consistently beating the odds? Check out the Top Bundesliga Tipsters and see the most profitable experts for this season!

If you’re keen on betting across various leagues and markets, our Live Bets page showcases active accumulator bets and real-time tips.

Best Tip: Both teams to score

Here we have a pair of strong, attacking teams going head-to-head and, as such, we are predicting both of them to score at least 1 goal during the 90 mins. Can respective bosses Julian Schuster or Bo Henriksen mastermind a defensive masterclass to scupper our tip? Latest form stats and historical head-to-heads, as well as the latest odds from the bookies, suggest that's unlikely.

In-Play
Win / Draw / Win
Over / Under 1.5 Goals
Over / Under 2.5 Goals
Over / Under 3.5 Goals
Win To Nil
Both Teams To Score
Correct Score
Both Teams To Score & Result
Double Chance
Half Time / Full Time
Over / Under 0.5 Goals
Over / Under 4.5 Goals
Over / Under 5.5 Goals
Draw No Bet
Team To Score First
If you’re looking for a winner in this match, we think Freiburg are the most likely. Our predictive algorithm gives them a 46% chance of victory, and the bookies have them at a best price of 2.15.

Checkout the hundreds of tips picked but our top win/draw/win tipsters

Change odds
Predictions Add Bet365 Coral
Freiburg
46%
2.15
2%
2.15
Draw
24%
3.30
3%
3.40
3%
Mainz
30%
3.40
3%
3.30
Draw 1-1
11%
6.506.00
8%
Freiburg 2-1
9%
9.008.00
Freiburg 1-0
8%
8.00
6%
7.00
7%
Mainz 2-1
7%
12.0010.00
Freiburg 2-0
7%
10.00
9%
9.50
Mainz 1-0
6%
10.00
9%
9.00
5%
Draw 2-2
6%
13.0012.00
9%
Freiburg 3-1
5%
17.0013.00
Draw 0-0
5%
10.00
17%
8.50
11%
Mainz 2-0
4%
17.0013.00
13%
Freiburg 3-0
4%
21.00
11%
15.00
Freiburg 3-2
4%
26.00
13%
21.00
11%
Mainz 3-1
3%
26.0021.00
11%
Mainz 3-2
3%
34.00
17%
23.00
Freiburg 4-1
2%
41.00
21%
26.00
Over 2.5 Goals
59%
2.00
11%
1.91
6%
Under 2.5 Goals
41%
1.80
10%
1.80
6%
Home 1st Goal
51%
1.80
4%
1.80
Away 1st Goal
46%
2.202.30
2%
No 1st Goal
3%
10.00
17%
8.50
11%
BTTS - Yes
60%
1.75
5%
1.75
3%
BTTS - No
40%
2.00
5%
1.95
5%
BTTS - Home Win
25%
4.50
13%
4.20
8%
BTTS - Draw
19%
4.334.33
BTTS - Away Win
17%
6.50
8%
5.75
5%
Home/draw
70%
1.30
2%
1.33
Away/draw
54%
1.67
2%
1.67
2%
Home/away
76%
1.33
2%
1.30
Over 1.5 Goals
81%
1.30
4%
1.30
4%
Under 1.5 Goals
19%
3.50
13%
3.25
7%
Over 3.5 Goals
36%
3.40
6%
3.25
12%
Under 3.5 Goals
64%
1.33
2%
1.30
4%
Over 4.5 Goals
19%
6.50
18%
6.00
9%
Under 4.5 Goals
81%
1.11
3%
1.10
3%
Over 5.5 Goals
9%
13.00
18%
12.00
20%
Under 5.5 Goals
91%
1.04
1%
1.02
2%
Over 0.5 Goals
95%
1.06
2%
1.06
2%
Under 0.5 Goals
5%
10.00
17%
8.50
11%
Home DNB
63%
1.531.53
Away DNB
47%
2.382.30
Freiburg win to nil
22%
3.75-
Mainz win to nil
13%
6.00-
Freiburg / Freiburg
23%
3.50
3%
3.30
Freiburg / Mainz
3%
29.0023.00
Freiburg / Draw
6%
13.0012.00
Draw / Freiburg
15%
5.505.25
Draw / Mainz
11%
7.00
7%
7.00
Draw / Draw
16%
5.00
9%
4.80
4%
Mainz / Freiburg
3%
26.00
13%
21.00
11%
Mainz / Mainz
15%
5.505.00
Mainz / Draw
6%
15.0012.00
Match Predictor Pro
Your ultimate betting assistant
Try it now
Win / draw / win Bundesliga table

Freiburg have played 10 matches so far this season and lay in 10th place in the Bundesliga league table.

Performance against teams below them in the league

They have played 4 games against teams below in the table, having won 1, drawn 2 and lost 1 match. They have kept 2 clean sheets and have failed to score in 2 fixtures. Freiburg have outscored their opponents by 13 goals to 10 goals.

Home League Performance

Freiburg have played 5 games at home winning 2, drawing 2 and losing 1 game. They have scored 9 goals, kept 0 clean sheets and conceded 8 goals at home.

Mainz are in 17th position in the Bundesliga on 5 points having played 10 matches so far this season.

Away League Performance

3 of those games have been losing matches. They have conceded 9 goals and kept no clean sheets. They have scored 6 goals in total and failed to score in 2 fixtures.

Performance against teams above them in the league

10 games have come against teams above them in the table. They have lost 7 games, drawn 2 and won 1. Mainz have conceded 18 goals, scored 10, failed to score in 5 fixtures and have kept no clean sheets.

Won
Draw
Lost
Freiburg
Mainz
Results by League Table
TEAM PLD W D L GD PTS HOME AWAY HOME AWAY
1
Bayern109102928 
Apr 4
Nov 22
Apr 25
Dec 14
2
RB Leipzig10712722 
May 16
Jan 14
l
 
0-1A
Jan 31
3
Dortmund10631921 
Dec 14
Apr 25
l
 
0-2A
Feb 14
4
Stuttgart10703521 
w
 
3-1A
Jan 31
Mar 7
l
 
2-1F
5
Leverkusen106221020 
Mar 7
l
 
2-0A
l
 
3-4A
Feb 28
6
Hoffenheim10613519 
d
 
1-1F
Feb 14
Nov 21
Apr 4
7
E.Frankfurt10523417 
d
 
2-2F
Feb 28
Mar 21
l
 
1-0A
8
W.Bremen10433-315 
Feb 7
w
 
0-3F
d
 
1-1F
Mar 14
9
Köln10424214 
Jan 25
l
 
4-1A
l
 
0-1A
Jan 17
10
Freiburg10343-113 
-
-
Apr 11
Nov 30
11
Union Berlin10334-412 
Mar 14
d
 
0-00-0
May 9
Jan 10
12
B. M'gladbach10235-69 
Feb 21
d
 
0-00-0
Dec 5
Apr 18
13
Hamburg10235-79 
Jan 10
May 9
Feb 21
l
 
4-0A
14
Wolfsburg10226-68 
May 2
Dec 20
Jan 24
d
 
1-1A
15
Augsburg10217-107 
l
 
1-3A
Jan 18
Feb 7
w
 
1-4F
16
St. Pauli10217-117 
w
 
2-1F
Mar 21
Dec 21
May 2
17
Mainz10127-85 
Nov 30
Apr 11
-
-
18
Heidenheim10127-155 
Apr 18
Dec 6
Jan 13
May 16
Win / draw / win form
3
Mainz have lost 3 consecutive away league games
Freiburg 10TH
20 league games
Home
Overall
Goals: Scored
36
Conceded
32
Games: Scored
17 / 20
Conceded
16 / 20
Clean sheets
4 / 20
Failed to score
3 / 20
Won
9
Draw
5
Lost
6
HOME FORM Win / Draw / Win
Freiburg2 - 1St. Pauli
Freiburg2 - 2E.Frankfurt
Freiburg1 - 1Hoffenheim
Freiburg3 - 1Stuttgart
Freiburg1 - 3Augsburg
Freiburg1 - 3E.Frankfurt
Freiburg2 - 2Leverkusen
Freiburg3 - 2Hoffenheim
Freiburg1 - 4Dortmund
Freiburg1 - 2Union Berlin
Freiburg0 - 0RB Leipzig
Freiburg5 - 0W.Bremen
Freiburg1 - 0Heidenheim
Freiburg1 - 2Bayern
Freiburg3 - 2Holstein
Freiburg3 - 2Wolfsburg
Freiburg3 - 1B. M'gladbach
Freiburg0 - 0Mainz
Freiburg3 - 1Augsburg
Freiburg0 - 3St. Pauli
Goals: Scored
28
Conceded
31
Games: Scored
16 / 20
Conceded
15 / 20
Clean sheets
5 / 20
Failed to score
4 / 20
Won
7
Draw
7
Lost
6
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
HFreiburg2 - 1St. Pauli
AFreiburg0 - 0Union Berlin
AFreiburg0 - 2Leverkusen
HFreiburg2 - 2E.Frankfurt
AFreiburg0 - 0B. M'gladbach
HFreiburg1 - 1Hoffenheim
AFreiburg3 - 0W.Bremen
HFreiburg3 - 1Stuttgart
AFreiburg1 - 4Köln
HFreiburg1 - 3Augsburg
HFreiburg1 - 3E.Frankfurt
AFreiburg2 - 1Holstein
HFreiburg2 - 2Leverkusen
AFreiburg1 - 0Wolfsburg
HFreiburg3 - 2Hoffenheim
AFreiburg2 - 1B. M'gladbach
HFreiburg1 - 4Dortmund
HFreiburg1 - 2Union Berlin
AFreiburg2 - 2Mainz
HFreiburg0 - 0RB Leipzig
Mainz 17TH
20 league games
Away
3
Overall
Goals: Scored
31
Conceded
29
Games: Scored
13 / 20
Conceded
16 / 20
Clean sheets
4 / 20
Failed to score
7 / 20
Won
8
D
2
Lost
10
AWAY FORM Win / Draw / Win
E.Frankfurt1 - 0Mainz
Stuttgart2 - 1Mainz
Hamburg4 - 0Mainz
Augsburg1 - 4Mainz
Wolfsburg1 - 1Mainz
VfL Bochum1 - 4Mainz
Bayern3 - 0Mainz
Hoffenheim2 - 0Mainz
Dortmund3 - 1Mainz
B. M'gladbach1 - 3Mainz
RB Leipzig1 - 2Mainz
Heidenheim0 - 2Mainz
W.Bremen1 - 0Mainz
Union Berlin2 - 1Mainz
Leverkusen1 - 0Mainz
E.Frankfurt1 - 3Mainz
Wolfsburg4 - 3Mainz
Holstein0 - 3Mainz
Freiburg0 - 0Mainz
St. Pauli0 - 3Mainz
Goals: Scored
26
Conceded
36
Games: Scored
13 / 20
Conceded
20 / 20
Clean sheets
0 / 20
Failed to score
7 / 20
W
3
Draw
7
Lost
10
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
AMainz0 - 1E.Frankfurt
HMainz1 - 1W.Bremen
AMainz1 - 2Stuttgart
HMainz3 - 4Leverkusen
AMainz0 - 4Hamburg
HMainz0 - 2Dortmund
AMainz4 - 1Augsburg
HMainz0 - 1RB Leipzig
AMainz1 - 1Wolfsburg
HMainz0 - 1Köln
HMainz2 - 2Leverkusen
AMainz4 - 1VfL Bochum
HMainz1 - 1E.Frankfurt
AMainz0 - 3Bayern
HMainz2 - 2Wolfsburg
AMainz0 - 2Hoffenheim
HMainz1 - 1Holstein
AMainz1 - 3Dortmund
HMainz2 - 2Freiburg
AMainz3 - 1B. M'gladbach
Win / draw / win head to head (H2H)
3
Freiburg have drawn with Mainz in 3 consecutive league meetings
8
Freiburg have not lost to Mainz in 8 consecutive league meetings
League games at Freiburg since 2012
Freiburg
Mainz
Goals: Scored
16
16
Games: Scored
11 / 12
9 / 12
Clean sheets
3 / 12
1 / 12
SCF
4
D
4
M05
4
FIXTURE HISTORY AT Freiburg
Draw0 - 0Draw
Draw1 - 1Draw
Freiburg2 - 1
Draw1 - 1Draw
1 - 3Mainz
Freiburg3 - 0
1 - 3Mainz
Freiburg2 - 1
Freiburg1 - 0
2 - 3Mainz
1 - 2Mainz
Draw1 - 1Draw
League games at Mainz since 2013
Mainz
Freiburg
Goals: Scored
20
10
Games: Scored
9 / 12
6 / 12
Clean sheets
6 / 12
3 / 12
SCF
2
D
5
M05
5
FIXTURE HISTORY AT Mainz
Draw2 - 2Draw
0 - 1Freiburg
Draw1 - 1Draw
Draw0 - 0Draw
Mainz1 - 0
1 - 2Freiburg
Mainz5 - 0
Mainz2 - 0
Mainz4 - 2
Draw2 - 2Draw
Mainz2 - 0
Draw0 - 0Draw
Goal Statistics

Sport-Club Freiburg's fans will be hoping for goals on Sunday evening, not least because 1. FSV Mainz 05 have conceded in each of their last 21 Bundesliga outings. A PG of 1.7 for J. Schuster's side suggests that run should continue.

Freiburg 10th Mainz 17th
Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction
1.7
goals
1.3
goals
Scoring probability
Scoring probability
0
18%
1
31%
2
26%
3
15%
4+
9%
There is a 82% probability that Freiburg will score 1 or more goals
0
26%
1
35%
2
23%
3
10%
4+
There is a 74% probability that Mainz will score 1 or more goals
 
20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games
+4
Freiburg’s goalscoring at home has been inline with predictions
=0
Mainz’s goalscoring when away has been inline with predictions
1.8
average goals scored
1.6
average goals scored
1.6
conceded
1.5
conceded
 
Attack defence ratings
Bundesliga - 2025/2025 season
Freiburg
PG (predicted goals)
Mainz
1.7
1.3
Attack rating
23%
better
SCF
M05
view stats
Games scored7
5
Failed to score3
5
Scored first4
3
Goals scored13
10
Avg. goals scored1.3
1
Avg. shots per game8
8
Avg. shots per goal6
8
Conversion rate for16
13
Avg. XG for1.4
1.4
KickOff rating
+23%
Defence rating
32%
better
SCF
M05
view stats
Games conceded7
10
Clean sheets3
0
Conceded first4
7
Goals conceded14
18
Avg. goals conceded1.4
1.8
Avg. shots/game conceded8
11
Avg. shots/goal conceded6
6
Conversion rate against17%
17%
Avg. XG against1.4
1.4
KickOff rating
+32%

Freiburg v Mainz Bundesliga lLine ups will show here when available.

Freiburg Bundesliga squad statistics 2025
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
10313
N AtuboluV GrifoV GrifoP Lienhart
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
N Atubolu GLK10
-
M Ginter DEF10
1
-
V Grifo MID1031
-
M Eggestein MID102
-
D Scherhant  FWD92
-
L Höler FWD9
-
P Lienhart DEF8
2
1
J Makengo DEF8
1
-
L Kübler DEF811
1
-
J. Manzambi MID81
2
1
C Adamu FWD811
1
-
I Matanovic FWD82
-
P Treu DEF7
-
J Beste FWD71
2
-
E Dinkçi FWD7
1
-
C Günter DEF61
1
-
Y Suzuki MID51
-
P Osterhage MID5
2
-
M Rosenfelder DEF4
-
A Jung DEF3
-
N Höfler MID3
-
C. Irié FWD1
1
-
Mainz Bundesliga squad statistics 2025
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
10315
P MweneN AmiriN AmiriD Kohr
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
P Mwene DEF10
2
-
D Costa DEF10
2
-
N Amiri MID1031
4
-
K Sano MID1011
-
A Sieb FWD102
1
-
D Kohr DEF91
4
1
A Hanche-Olsen  DEF91
2
-
N Weiper FWD9
-
R Zentner GLK8
1
1
D Hoof DEF8
1
-
N Veratschnig DEF8
1
-
P Nebel MID81
2
1
J Lee MID81
1
-
A Nordin FWD8
-
S Widmer  DEF71
1
-
B Hollerbach FWD61
-
L Maloney MID5
-
A Caci DEF4
1
-
L Rieß GLK3
-
M Leitsch  DEF2
-
S Kawasaki MID2
-
W Bøving FWD2
1
-
B Bobzien FWD1
-