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Hamburger SV v VfB Stuttgart : Bundesliga match betting preview, prediction and odds

Sat 17th Oct, 14:30 BST, Volksparkstadion, Hamburg

Sebastian Hoeneß leads his VfB Stuttgart side to the Volksparkstadion in the Bundesliga on Saturday afternoon, with Merlin Polzin's Hamburger SV the opponent. Our predictions are based on complex statistical analysis of each side, across seventeen of the main markets. Data shown and the odds change with each market, and head-to-head stats are included across the board.


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Best Tip: Over 2.5 goals

As loyal fans of Stuttgart get ready for this clash, they have reason to expect some real entertainment. After analysing the relevant stats and past head-to-head (H2H) performance, it looks as though over 2.5 goals will be a worthwhile bet, as both teams know they way to goal and either could ultimately get the win. The prediction and odds are in agreement: over 2.5 goals is the best bet here.

In-Play
Win / Draw / Win
Over / Under 1.5 Goals
Over / Under 2.5 Goals
Over / Under 3.5 Goals
Win To Nil
Both Teams To Score
Correct Score
Both Teams To Score & Result
Double Chance
Half Time / Full Time
Over / Under 0.5 Goals
Over / Under 4.5 Goals
Over / Under 5.5 Goals
Draw No Bet
Team To Score First
An away win looks like the most likely outcome in the win/draw/win market, with our predictive algorithm suggesting there’s a 56% chance of Stuttgart coming away with a win.

Checkout the hundreds of tips picked but our top win/draw/win tipsters

Change odds
Predictions Add Bet365 Coral
Hamburg
24%
3.90
7%
-
Draw
20%
4.20-
Stuttgart
56%
1.75
5%
-
Stuttgart 2-1
9%
9.00-
Draw 1-1
8%
9.00-
Stuttgart 3-1
7%
12.00-
Draw 2-2
7%
11.00
8%
-
Stuttgart 2-0
6%
12.00
9%
-
Hamburg 2-1
6%
15.00-
Stuttgart 1-0
6%
13.00
8%
-
Stuttgart 3-2
5%
17.00-
Stuttgart 3-0
5%
17.00
13%
-
Stuttgart 4-1
4%
21.00-
Hamburg 1-0
4%
21.00-
Hamburg 3-2
3%
26.00-
Hamburg 3-1
3%
26.00
10%
-
Stuttgart 4-2
3%
29.00-
Stuttgart 4-0
3%
29.00
12%
-
Over 2.5 Goals
71%
1.40
3%
-
Under 2.5 Goals
29%
3.00
9%
-
Home 1st Goal
46%
2.25
5%
-
Away 1st Goal
53%
1.57
3%
-
No 1st Goal
1%
23.00-
BTTS - Yes
68%
1.40
3%
-
BTTS - No
32%
2.75
5%
-
BTTS - Home Win
16%
6.00
8%
-
BTTS - Draw
18%
4.50
5%
-
BTTS - Away Win
34%
2.75-
Home/draw
44%
2.00
7%
-
Away/draw
76%
1.25
2%
-
Home/away
80%
1.22-
Over 1.5 Goals
88%
1.11
2%
-
Under 1.5 Goals
12%
6.50
8%
-
Over 3.5 Goals
50%
2.00-
Under 3.5 Goals
50%
1.80-
Over 4.5 Goals
31%
3.20
6%
-
Under 4.5 Goals
69%
1.36
2%
-
Over 5.5 Goals
17%
5.50
8%
-
Under 5.5 Goals
83%
1.14
1%
-
Over 0.5 Goals
97%
1.01-
Under 0.5 Goals
3%
23.00-
Home DNB
38%
3.00
12%
-
Away DNB
70%
1.36
5%
-
Hamburg win to nil
8%
10.00
9%
-
Stuttgart win to nil
21%
4.00
7%
-
Hamburg / Hamburg
13%
6.50
7%
-
Hamburg / Stuttgart
5%
17.00-
Hamburg / Draw
6%
15.00-
Draw / Hamburg
9%
9.50
5%
-
Draw / Stuttgart
15%
5.50
10%
-
Draw / Draw
11%
7.50-
Stuttgart / Hamburg
3%
26.00
10%
-
Stuttgart / Stuttgart
32%
2.63
5%
-
Stuttgart / Draw
6%
13.00-
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Win / draw / win Bundesliga table
Won
Draw
Lost
Hamburg
Stuttgart
Results by League Table
TEAM PLD W D L GD PTS HOME AWAY HOME AWAY
1
Freiburg54101013 
May 15
Jan 13
Apr 24
Dec 19
2
Dortmund5410713 
Jan 23
l
 
2-0A
l
 
0-1A
Feb 13
3
Bayern53201211 
Nov 28
Apr 3
Jan 23
l
 
5-1A
4
Leverkusen5311610 
Jan 9
May 8
Mar 6
Oct 31
5
RB Leipzig5302109 
Feb 6
l
 
5-0A
May 15
Jan 13
6
Augsburg522158 
Jan 16
May 22
Jan 9
May 8
7
W.Bremen522108 
Mar 20
Nov 22
Nov 7
Mar 13
8
E.Frankfurt6222-68 
Mar 6
Nov 1
Nov 28
Apr 3
9
Mainz521237 
l
 
0-5A
Jan 30
Jan 16
May 22
10
Elversberg521207 
Apr 24
Dec 19
Apr 10
Dec 5
11
Köln6213-37 
w
 
2-1F
Feb 13
w
 
4-1F
Jan 30
12
Stuttgart5203-16 
Oct 17
Feb 27
-
-
13
Hamburg5203-106 
-
-
Feb 27
Oct 17
14
Schalke5122-25 
Dec 12
Apr 17
Mar 20
Nov 21
15
Paderborn5113-44 
Mar 3
Oct 24
Feb 20
w
 
0-2F
16
Union Berlin5113-124 
Apr 10
Dec 5
Dec 12
Apr 17
17
Hoffenheim5104-43 
Feb 20
w
 
2-3F
Feb 6
l
 
2-1A
18
B. M'gladbach5005-110 
Nov 6
Mar 13
Oct 23
Mar 3
Win / draw / win form
Hamburg 13TH
20 league games
Home
Overall
Goals: Scored
33
Conceded
29
Games: Scored
15 / 20
Conceded
18 / 20
Clean sheets
2 / 20
Failed to score
5 / 20
Won
8
Draw
6
Lost
6
HOME FORM Win / Draw / Win
Hamburg2 - 1Köln
Hamburg0 - 5Mainz
Hamburg3 - 2Freiburg
Hamburg1 - 2Hoffenheim
Hamburg1 - 1Augsburg
Hamburg1 - 1Köln
Hamburg0 - 1Leverkusen
Hamburg1 - 2RB Leipzig
Hamburg3 - 2Union Berlin
Hamburg2 - 2Bayern
Hamburg0 - 0B. M'gladbach
Hamburg1 - 1E.Frankfurt
Hamburg3 - 2W.Bremen
Hamburg2 - 1Stuttgart
Hamburg1 - 1Dortmund
Hamburg0 - 1Wolfsburg
Hamburg4 - 0Mainz
Hamburg2 - 1Heidenheim
Hamburg0 - 2St. Pauli
Hamburg6 - 1Ulm
Goals: Scored
26
Conceded
40
Games: Scored
15 / 20
Conceded
19 / 20
Clean sheets
1 / 20
Failed to score
5 / 20
Won
7
D
4
Lost
9
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
AHamburg3 - 2Hoffenheim
HHamburg2 - 1Köln
AHamburg0 - 5RB Leipzig
HHamburg0 - 5Mainz
AHamburg0 - 2Dortmund
AHamburg1 - 1Leverkusen
HHamburg3 - 2Freiburg
AHamburg2 - 1E.Frankfurt
HHamburg1 - 2Hoffenheim
AHamburg1 - 3W.Bremen
AHamburg0 - 4Stuttgart
HHamburg1 - 1Augsburg
AHamburg2 - 3Dortmund
HHamburg1 - 1Köln
AHamburg2 - 1Wolfsburg
HHamburg0 - 1Leverkusen
HHamburg1 - 2RB Leipzig
AHamburg1 - 1Mainz
HHamburg3 - 2Union Berlin
AHamburg2 - 0Heidenheim
Stuttgart 12TH
20 league games
Away
Overall
Goals: Scored
45
Conceded
40
Games: Scored
20 / 20
Conceded
16 / 20
Clean sheets
4 / 20
Failed to score
0 / 20
Won
7
Draw
5
Lost
8
AWAY FORM Win / Draw / Win
Paderborn0 - 2Stuttgart
Hoffenheim2 - 1Stuttgart
Bayern5 - 1Stuttgart
E.Frankfurt2 - 2Stuttgart
Hoffenheim3 - 3Stuttgart
Bayern4 - 2Stuttgart
Augsburg2 - 5Stuttgart
Mainz2 - 2Stuttgart
Heidenheim3 - 3Stuttgart
St. Pauli2 - 1Stuttgart
B. M'gladbach0 - 3Stuttgart
Leverkusen1 - 4Stuttgart
W.Bremen0 - 4Stuttgart
Hamburg2 - 1Stuttgart
Dortmund3 - 3Stuttgart
RB Leipzig3 - 1Stuttgart
Wolfsburg0 - 3Stuttgart
Köln1 - 2Stuttgart
Freiburg3 - 1Stuttgart
Union Berlin2 - 1Stuttgart
Goals: Scored
43
Conceded
32
Games: Scored
18 / 20
Conceded
15 / 20
Clean sheets
5 / 20
Failed to score
2 / 20
Won
9
Draw
5
Lost
6
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
AStuttgart2 - 0Paderborn
HStuttgart0 - 1Dortmund
AStuttgart1 - 2Hoffenheim
HStuttgart4 - 1Köln
AStuttgart1 - 5Bayern
AStuttgart2 - 2E.Frankfurt
HStuttgart3 - 1Leverkusen
AStuttgart3 - 3Hoffenheim
HStuttgart1 - 1W.Bremen
AStuttgart2 - 4Bayern
HStuttgart4 - 0Hamburg
HStuttgart0 - 2Dortmund
AStuttgart5 - 2Augsburg
HStuttgart1 - 0RB Leipzig
AStuttgart2 - 2Mainz
HStuttgart4 - 0Wolfsburg
AStuttgart3 - 3Heidenheim
HStuttgart3 - 1Köln
AStuttgart1 - 2St. Pauli
HStuttgart1 - 0Freiburg
Win / draw / win head to head (H2H)
3
Hamburg have beaten Stuttgart in 3 consecutive home league meetings
League games at Hamburg since 2012
Hamburg
Stuttgart
Goals: Scored
14
8
Games: Scored
4 / 5
5 / 5
Clean sheets
0 / 5
1 / 5
HSV
3
D
1
VFB
1
FIXTURE HISTORY AT Hamburg
Hamburg2 - 1
Hamburg6 - 2
Hamburg3 - 1
Draw3 - 3Draw
0 - 1Stuttgart
League games at Stuttgart since 2013
Stuttgart
Hamburg
Goals: Scored
13
6
Games: Scored
6 / 7
5 / 7
Clean sheets
2 / 7
1 / 7
HSV
1
D
1
VFB
5
FIXTURE HISTORY AT Stuttgart
Stuttgart4 - 0
Stuttgart3 - 2
Draw1 - 1Draw
Stuttgart2 - 1
Stuttgart2 - 1
Stuttgart1 - 0
0 - 1Hamburg
Goal Statistics

A PG of 2.2 is fairly strong for VfB Stuttgart in their clash with Hamburger SV, as is their run of scoring 1 goal or more in 24 consecutive Bundesliga games.

Hamburg 13th Stuttgart 12th
Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction
1.4
goals
2.2
goals
Scoring probability
Scoring probability
0
24%
1
34%
2
25%
3
12%
4+
There is a 76% probability that Hamburg will score 1 or more goals
0
11%
1
24%
2
27%
3
20%
4+
19%
There is a 65% probability that Stuttgart will score 2 or more goals in this match
 
20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games
+5
Hamburg’s goalscoring at home has been inline with predictions
+30
Stuttgart have scored 30% more goals when away than predicted
1.7
average goals scored
2.3
average goals scored
1.5
conceded
2.0
conceded
 
Attack defence ratings
Bundesliga - 2026/2027 season
Hamburg
PG (predicted goals)
Stuttgart
1.4
2.2
Attack rating
HSV
VFB
31%
better
view stats
Games scored2
4
Failed to score3
1
Scored first2
2
Goals scored5
8
Avg. goals scored1
1.6
Avg. shots per game8
12
Avg. shots per goal8
7
Conversion rate for12
14
Avg. XG for1
1.9
KickOff rating
+31%
Defence rating
HSV
VFB
35%
better
view stats
Games conceded5
4
Clean sheets0
1
Conceded first3
3
Goals conceded15
9
Avg. goals conceded3
1.8
Avg. shots/game conceded13
13
Avg. shots/goal conceded4
7
Conversion rate against23%
13%
Avg. XG against1.9
2.1
KickOff rating
+35%

Hamburg v Stuttgart Bundesliga lLine ups will show here when available.

Hamburg Bundesliga squad statistics 2026/2027
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
5211
D FernandesY PoulsenM MuheimN Capaldo 
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
D Fernandes GLK5
-
N Capaldo  DEF51
1
-
S Bornauw DEF3
-
W Omari DEF3
-
Z Ouahdi DEF3
1
-
D Wolfe DEF4
-
M Muheim MID111
-
K. Amoako MID1
-
F Vieira MID4
-
M Adeline MID4
-
Y Poulsen FWD42
-
Stuttgart Bundesliga squad statistics 2026/2027
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
5221
J VagnomanJ VagnomanA StillerF. Jeltsch
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
D Seimen GLK1
-
J Vagnoman DEF521
-
R Hendriks  DEF4
-
F. Jeltsch DEF51
1
-
L Assignon  DEF
-
A Karazor MID1
-
A Stiller MID52
1
-
C Führich MID41
-
J Leweling MID5
-
E Demirovic  FWD51
1
-
D Undav FWD5
-