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Hamburger SV v VfB Stuttgart : Bundesliga match betting preview, prediction and odds

Sat 17th Oct, 14:30 BST, Volksparkstadion, Hamburg

We’ve Bundesliga action to look forward to on Saturday afternoon, as Merlin Polzin and his Hamburger SV side host Sebastian Hoeneß’s VfB Stuttgart at the Volksparkstadion. The predictions for all the markets are calculated using the past 20 games each side has played (at home, away or overall) with additional weight applied to top teams. All the statistics and graphics are designed specifically for the selected market. Head to head (H2H) stats between the team are also given if there is some fixture history. Odds are provided directly from from leading bookmakers.


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Best Tip: Over 2.5 goals

As loyal fans of Stuttgart get ready for this clash, they have reason to expect some real entertainment. After analysing the relevant stats and past head-to-head (H2H) performance, it looks as though over 2.5 goals will be a worthwhile bet, as both teams know they way to goal and either could ultimately get the win. The prediction and odds are in agreement: over 2.5 goals is the best bet here.

In-Play
Win / Draw / Win
Over / Under 1.5 Goals
Over / Under 2.5 Goals
Over / Under 3.5 Goals
Win To Nil
Both Teams To Score
Correct Score
Both Teams To Score & Result
Double Chance
Half Time / Full Time
Over / Under 0.5 Goals
Over / Under 4.5 Goals
Over / Under 5.5 Goals
Draw No Bet
Team To Score First
An away win looks like the most likely outcome in the win/draw/win market, with our predictive algorithm suggesting there’s a 53% chance of Stuttgart coming away with a win.

Checkout the hundreds of tips picked but our top win/draw/win tipsters

Change odds
Predictions Add Bet365 Coral
Hamburg
26%
3.60
14%
-
Draw
20%
4.10
2%
-
Stuttgart
53%
1.80
8%
-
Stuttgart 2-1
9%
9.00-
Draw 1-1
8%
9.00-
Draw 2-2
7%
11.00
8%
-
Stuttgart 3-1
7%
13.00
8%
-
Hamburg 2-1
6%
13.00
13%
-
Stuttgart 2-0
6%
13.00
18%
-
Stuttgart 1-0
5%
15.00
25%
-
Stuttgart 3-2
5%
17.00-
Stuttgart 3-0
4%
19.00
27%
-
Hamburg 1-0
4%
21.00-
Stuttgart 4-1
4%
21.00-
Hamburg 3-2
3%
23.00
12%
-
Hamburg 3-1
3%
23.00
21%
-
Hamburg 2-0
3%
26.00
10%
-
Stuttgart 4-2
3%
29.00-
Over 2.5 Goals
71%
1.36
6%
-
Under 2.5 Goals
29%
3.20
16%
-
Home 1st Goal
46%
2.20
8%
-
Away 1st Goal
53%
1.62
6%
-
No 1st Goal
1%
26.00
13%
-
BTTS - Yes
69%
1.40
3%
-
BTTS - No
31%
2.75
5%
-
BTTS - Home Win
18%
5.00
23%
-
BTTS - Draw
18%
4.50
5%
-
BTTS - Away Win
34%
2.75-
Home/draw
47%
1.95
9%
-
Away/draw
74%
1.29
6%
-
Home/away
80%
1.22-
Over 1.5 Goals
88%
1.11
2%
-
Under 1.5 Goals
12%
6.50
8%
-
Over 3.5 Goals
51%
1.91
5%
-
Under 3.5 Goals
49%
1.91
6%
-
Over 4.5 Goals
31%
3.20
6%
-
Under 4.5 Goals
69%
1.36
2%
-
Over 5.5 Goals
17%
5.50
8%
-
Under 5.5 Goals
83%
1.14
1%
-
Over 0.5 Goals
98%
1.01-
Under 0.5 Goals
2%
26.00
13%
-
Home DNB
41%
2.75
19%
-
Away DNB
67%
1.40
8%
-
Hamburg win to nil
9%
10.00
9%
-
Stuttgart win to nil
20%
4.33
15%
-
Hamburg / Hamburg
14%
6.00
14%
-
Hamburg / Stuttgart
5%
17.00-
Hamburg / Draw
6%
15.00-
Draw / Hamburg
9%
9.00
10%
-
Draw / Stuttgart
15%
5.50
10%
-
Draw / Draw
11%
7.50-
Stuttgart / Hamburg
4%
23.00
21%
-
Stuttgart / Stuttgart
30%
2.75
10%
-
Stuttgart / Draw
6%
13.00-
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Win / draw / win Bundesliga table
Won
Draw
Lost
Hamburg
Stuttgart
Results by League Table
TEAM PLD W D L GD PTS HOME AWAY HOME AWAY
1
Dortmund4400712 
Jan 23
l
 
2-0A
l
 
0-1A
Feb 13
2
Bayern43101210 
Nov 28
Apr 3
Jan 23
l
 
5-1A
3
Freiburg4310910 
May 15
Jan 13
Apr 24
Dec 19
4
Augsburg421157 
Jan 16
May 22
Jan 9
May 8
5
Leverkusen421157 
Jan 9
May 8
Mar 6
Oct 31
6
Mainz421147 
l
 
0-5A
Jan 30
Jan 16
May 22
7
Elversberg421117 
Apr 24
Dec 19
Apr 10
Dec 5
8
W.Bremen421107 
Mar 20
Nov 22
Nov 7
Mar 13
9
RB Leipzig420246 
Feb 6
l
 
5-0A
May 15
Jan 13
10
E.Frankfurt4121-15 
Mar 6
Nov 1
Nov 28
Apr 3
11
Schalke4121-15 
Dec 12
Apr 17
Mar 20
Nov 21
12
Paderborn4112-24 
Mar 3
Oct 24
Feb 20
Oct 10
13
Köln4112-34 
w
 
2-1F
Feb 13
w
 
4-1F
Jan 30
14
Hoffenheim4103-33 
Feb 20
Oct 10
Feb 6
l
 
2-1A
15
Stuttgart4103-33 
Oct 17
Feb 27
-
-
16
Hamburg4103-113 
-
-
Feb 27
Oct 17
17
Union Berlin4013-131 
Apr 10
Dec 5
Dec 12
Apr 17
18
B. M'gladbach4004-100 
Nov 6
Mar 13
Oct 23
Mar 3
Win / draw / win form
Hamburg 16TH
20 league games
Home
Overall
Goals: Scored
33
Conceded
29
Games: Scored
15 / 20
Conceded
18 / 20
Clean sheets
2 / 20
Failed to score
5 / 20
Won
8
Draw
6
Lost
6
HOME FORM Win / Draw / Win
Hamburg2 - 1Köln
Hamburg0 - 5Mainz
Hamburg3 - 2Freiburg
Hamburg1 - 2Hoffenheim
Hamburg1 - 1Augsburg
Hamburg1 - 1Köln
Hamburg0 - 1Leverkusen
Hamburg1 - 2RB Leipzig
Hamburg3 - 2Union Berlin
Hamburg2 - 2Bayern
Hamburg0 - 0B. M'gladbach
Hamburg1 - 1E.Frankfurt
Hamburg3 - 2W.Bremen
Hamburg2 - 1Stuttgart
Hamburg1 - 1Dortmund
Hamburg0 - 1Wolfsburg
Hamburg4 - 0Mainz
Hamburg2 - 1Heidenheim
Hamburg0 - 2St. Pauli
Hamburg6 - 1Ulm
Goals: Scored
25
Conceded
40
Games: Scored
15 / 20
Conceded
19 / 20
Clean sheets
1 / 20
Failed to score
5 / 20
Won
6
Draw
5
Lost
9
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
HHamburg2 - 1Köln
AHamburg0 - 5RB Leipzig
HHamburg0 - 5Mainz
AHamburg0 - 2Dortmund
AHamburg1 - 1Leverkusen
HHamburg3 - 2Freiburg
AHamburg2 - 1E.Frankfurt
HHamburg1 - 2Hoffenheim
AHamburg1 - 3W.Bremen
AHamburg0 - 4Stuttgart
HHamburg1 - 1Augsburg
AHamburg2 - 3Dortmund
HHamburg1 - 1Köln
AHamburg2 - 1Wolfsburg
HHamburg0 - 1Leverkusen
HHamburg1 - 2RB Leipzig
AHamburg1 - 1Mainz
HHamburg3 - 2Union Berlin
AHamburg2 - 0Heidenheim
HHamburg2 - 2Bayern
Stuttgart 15TH
20 league games
Away
Overall
Goals: Scored
46
Conceded
42
Games: Scored
20 / 20
Conceded
17 / 20
Clean sheets
3 / 20
Failed to score
0 / 20
Won
7
Draw
5
Lost
8
AWAY FORM Win / Draw / Win
Hoffenheim2 - 1Stuttgart
Bayern5 - 1Stuttgart
E.Frankfurt2 - 2Stuttgart
Hoffenheim3 - 3Stuttgart
Bayern4 - 2Stuttgart
Augsburg2 - 5Stuttgart
Mainz2 - 2Stuttgart
Heidenheim3 - 3Stuttgart
St. Pauli2 - 1Stuttgart
B. M'gladbach0 - 3Stuttgart
Leverkusen1 - 4Stuttgart
W.Bremen0 - 4Stuttgart
Hamburg2 - 1Stuttgart
Dortmund3 - 3Stuttgart
RB Leipzig3 - 1Stuttgart
Wolfsburg0 - 3Stuttgart
Köln1 - 2Stuttgart
Freiburg3 - 1Stuttgart
Union Berlin2 - 1Stuttgart
RB Leipzig2 - 3Stuttgart
Goals: Scored
44
Conceded
32
Games: Scored
18 / 20
Conceded
15 / 20
Clean sheets
5 / 20
Failed to score
2 / 20
Won
9
Draw
5
Lost
6
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
HStuttgart0 - 1Dortmund
AStuttgart1 - 2Hoffenheim
HStuttgart4 - 1Köln
AStuttgart1 - 5Bayern
AStuttgart2 - 2E.Frankfurt
HStuttgart3 - 1Leverkusen
AStuttgart3 - 3Hoffenheim
HStuttgart1 - 1W.Bremen
AStuttgart2 - 4Bayern
HStuttgart4 - 0Hamburg
HStuttgart0 - 2Dortmund
AStuttgart5 - 2Augsburg
HStuttgart1 - 0RB Leipzig
AStuttgart2 - 2Mainz
HStuttgart4 - 0Wolfsburg
AStuttgart3 - 3Heidenheim
HStuttgart3 - 1Köln
AStuttgart1 - 2St. Pauli
HStuttgart1 - 0Freiburg
AStuttgart3 - 0B. M'gladbach
Win / draw / win head to head (H2H)
League games at Hamburg since 2012
Hamburg
Stuttgart
Goals: Scored
14
8
Games: Scored
4 / 5
5 / 5
Clean sheets
0 / 5
1 / 5
HSV
3
D
1
VFB
1
FIXTURE HISTORY AT Hamburg
Hamburg2 - 1
Hamburg6 - 2
Hamburg3 - 1
Draw3 - 3Draw
0 - 1Stuttgart
League games at Stuttgart since 2013
Stuttgart
Hamburg
Goals: Scored
13
6
Games: Scored
6 / 7
5 / 7
Clean sheets
2 / 7
1 / 7
HSV
1
D
1
VFB
5
FIXTURE HISTORY AT Stuttgart
Stuttgart4 - 0
Stuttgart3 - 2
Draw1 - 1Draw
Stuttgart2 - 1
Stuttgart2 - 1
Stuttgart1 - 0
0 - 1Hamburg
Goal Statistics

Hamburger SV's fans will be hoping for goals on Saturday afternoon, not least because VfB Stuttgart have conceded in each of their last 9 Bundesliga matches. A PG of 1.5 for M. Polzin's side suggests that run should continue.

A PG of 2.2 is decent for VfB Stuttgart in their meeting with Hamburger SV, as is their run of scoring 1 goal or more in 28 consecutive Bundesliga outings.

Hamburg 16th Stuttgart 15th
Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction
1.5
goals
2.2
goals
Scoring probability
Scoring probability
0
22%
1
33%
2
25%
3
13%
4+
There is a 78% probability that Hamburg will score 1 or more goals
0
11%
1
25%
2
27%
3
20%
4+
18%
There is a 64% probability that Stuttgart will score 2 or more goals in this match
 
20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games
+5
Hamburg’s goalscoring at home has been inline with predictions
+36
Stuttgart have scored 36% more goals when away than predicted
1.7
average goals scored
2.3
average goals scored
1.5
conceded
2.1
conceded
 
Attack defence ratings
Bundesliga - 2026/2027 season
Hamburg
PG (predicted goals)
Stuttgart
1.5
2.2
Attack rating
%
better
HSV
VFB
view stats
Games scored0
0
Failed to score0
0
Scored first0
0
Goals scored0
0
Avg. goals scored0
0
Avg. shots per game0
0
Avg. shots per goal0
0
Conversion rate for0
0
Avg. XG for0
0
KickOff rating
0%
Defence rating
%
better
HSV
VFB
view stats
Games conceded0
0
Clean sheets0
0
Conceded first0
0
Goals conceded0
0
Avg. goals conceded0
0
Avg. shots/game conceded0
0
Avg. shots/goal conceded0
0
Conversion rate against0%
0%
Avg. XG against0
0
KickOff rating
0%

Hamburg v Stuttgart Bundesliga lLine ups will show here when available.

Hamburg Bundesliga squad statistics 2026/2027
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
4121
D FernandesN Capaldo A GrönbaekN Capaldo 
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
D Fernandes GLK4
-
J Torunarigha DEF4
-
N Capaldo  DEF41
1
-
N Remberg MID4
-
A Grönbaek MID42
1
-
T Moffi FWD4
-
P Daka FWD4
-
D Wolfe DEF3
-
Z Ouahdi DEF3
1
-
L. Lemke DEF3
-
F Vieira MID3
-
M Adeline MID3
-
B Jatta MID3
-
A Lokonga MID3
1
-
Y Poulsen FWD31
-
O. Emerson Stange FWD3
-
S Bornauw DEF2
-
S. Nandja DEF2
1
-
W Omari DEF2
-
B Nadir MID2
-
Stuttgart Bundesliga squad statistics 2026/2027
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
4211
F BredlowJ VagnomanM MittelstädtM Mittelstädt
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
F Bredlow GLK4
-
M Mittelstädt DEF411
1
-
J Chabot DEF4
1
-
J Vagnoman DEF421
-
F. Jeltsch DEF41
1
-
G Prömel  MID41
1
-
A Stiller MID4
1
-
B Khannouss MID41
-
D Pejčinović FWD4
-
J Leweling FWD4
-
D Undav FWD4
-
E Demirovic  FWD41
1
-
R Hendriks  DEF3
-
L. Sauer FWD3
-
C Führich FWD3
-
Y. Spalt MID2
-
L Stergiou DEF1
-
N Nartey MID1
-
T Tomás FWD1
-