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SC Paderborn 07 v VfB Stuttgart : Bundesliga match betting preview, prediction and odds

Sat 10th Oct, 14:30 BST, Benteler-Arena, Paderborn

VfB Stuttgart are away on Saturday afternoon, as manager Sebastian Hoeneß takes his team to visit SC Paderborn 07 and Ralf Kettemann at the Benteler-Arena in the Bundesliga. Analysing both clubs' last 20 Bundesliga matches, as well as baseline data within the competition and the market, to generate our percentage predictions. All the stats, including head-to-heads, are shown below, alongside the best odds.

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Best Tip: Stuttgart to win

No team in the Bundesliga wants to lose in front of their home fans, but the stats below are suggesting that could be Paderborn's fate as they go head-to-head with Stuttgart at Benteler-Arena on Saturday afternoon. The bookies agree, making an away win the most likely outcome at odds of 1.57, and so does our predictive algorithm. We've calculated the away win in the win / draw / win market has a 61% probability, easily making it the best bet here.

We're very confident in predicting that this game will have fewer than 5 goals in total. Our algorithm places ‘Under 5.5 goals’ at a 85% probability, making it by far the most likely outcome in this market.

Predictions	Bet365	Coral
Paderborn 20%	4.75 6%	-
Draw 19%	4.50 4%	-
Stuttgart 61%	1.57 3%	-
Stuttgart 2-1 9%	8.50 6%	-
Draw 1-1 8%	9.50	-
Stuttgart 2-0 7%	11.00 8%	-
Stuttgart 3-1 7%	11.00	-
Stuttgart 1-0 6%	12.00 8%	-
Draw 2-2 6%	13.00 8%	-
Stuttgart 3-0 6%	13.00 13%	-
Paderborn 2-1 5%	15.00	-
Stuttgart 3-2 5%	17.00	-
Stuttgart 4-1 4%	19.00	-
Paderborn 1-0 4%	21.00 9%	-
Stuttgart 4-0 3%	23.00	-
Draw 0-0 3%	23.00 12%	-
Stuttgart 4-2 3%	29.00 12%	-
Paderborn 3-2 3%	29.00 12%	-
Over 2.5 Goals 70%	1.40 3%	-
Under 2.5 Goals 30%	3.00 6%	-
Home 1st Goal 44%	2.50 5%	-
Away 1st Goal 55%	1.50 2%	-
No 1st Goal 1%	23.00 12%	-
BTTS - Yes 65%	1.50 7%	-
BTTS - No 35%	2.50 9%	-
BTTS - Home Win 13%	7.00 8%	-
BTTS - Draw 17%	5.00 5%	-
BTTS - Away Win 35%	2.63 1%	-
Home/draw 39%	2.30 2%	-
Away/draw 80%	1.18	-
Home/away 81%	1.18 2%	-
Over 1.5 Goals 87%	1.11 1%	-
Under 1.5 Goals 13%	6.50 7%	-
Over 3.5 Goals 48%	2.00 5%	-
Under 3.5 Goals 52%	1.80 6%	-
Over 4.5 Goals 29%	3.40 13%	-
Under 4.5 Goals 71%	1.33 5%	-
Over 5.5 Goals 15%	5.50 10%	-
Under 5.5 Goals 85%	1.14 3%	-
Over 0.5 Goals 97%	1.02 1%	-
Under 0.5 Goals 3%	21.00 19%	-
Home DNB 34%	3.75 7%	-
Away DNB 74%	1.25 3%	-
Paderborn win to nil 7%	11.00	-
Stuttgart win to nil 25%	3.50 7%	-
Paderborn / Paderborn 10%	8.00 7%	-
Paderborn / Stuttgart 5%	17.00	-
Paderborn / Draw 6%	15.00	-
Draw / Paderborn 8%	11.00	-
Draw / Stuttgart 17%	5.00	-
Draw / Draw 11%	7.50 6%	-
Stuttgart / Paderborn 3%	29.00 12%	-
Stuttgart / Stuttgart 35%	2.38 1%	-
Stuttgart / Draw 6%	13.00	-

Over / under 5.5 goals Bundesliga table

BTTS yes BTTS no BTTS yes BTTS no Won Draw Lost Won Draw Lost Won Draw Lost Won Draw Lost Won Draw Lost Won Draw Lost Won Draw Lost Over 0.5 Under 0.5 Over 1.5 Under 1.5 Over 2.5 Under 2.5 Over 3.5 Under 3.5 Over 4.5 Under 4.5 Over 5.5 Under 5.5 For 0-0 Against Won Draw Lost	Paderborn Stuttgart
Results by League Table

	TEAM	PLD	W	D	L	GD	PTS	HOME	AWAY	HOME	AWAY
1	Dortmund	4	4	0	0	7	12	Feb 6	l 3-0A	l 0-1A	Feb 13
2	Bayern	4	3	1	0	12	10	Apr 10	Dec 5	Jan 23	l 5-1A
3	Freiburg	4	3	1	0	9	10	l 0-1A	Jan 30	Apr 24	Dec 19
4	Augsburg	4	2	1	1	5	7	Apr 24	Dec 19	Jan 9	May 8
5	Leverkusen	4	2	1	1	5	7	Mar 20	Nov 21	Mar 6	Oct 31
6	Mainz	4	2	1	1	4	7	Jan 23	d 0-00-0	Jan 16	May 22
7	Elversberg	4	2	1	1	1	7	Dec 12	Apr 17	Apr 10	Dec 5
8	W.Bremen	4	2	1	1	0	7	Feb 27	Oct 17	Nov 7	Mar 13
9	RB Leipzig	4	2	0	2	4	6	Jan 9	May 8	May 15	Jan 13
10	E.Frankfurt	4	1	2	1	-1	5	Nov 7	Mar 13	Nov 28	Apr 3
11	Schalke	4	1	2	1	-1	5	Nov 28	Apr 3	Mar 20	Nov 21
12	Paderborn	4	1	1	2	-2	4	-	-	Feb 20	Oct 10
13	Köln	4	1	1	2	-3	4	Jan 16	May 22	w 4-1F	Jan 30
14	Hoffenheim	4	1	0	3	-3	3	w 3-1F	Feb 13	Feb 6	l 2-1A
15	Stuttgart	4	1	0	3	-3	3	Oct 10	Feb 20	-	-
16	Hamburg	4	1	0	3	-11	3	Oct 24	Mar 3	Feb 27	Oct 17
17	Union Berlin	4	0	1	3	-13	1	May 15	Jan 13	Dec 12	Apr 17
18	B. M'gladbach	4	0	0	4	-10	0	Mar 6	Oct 31	Oct 23	Mar 3

	UEFA Champions League
	UEFA Europa League
	UEFA Conference League Qualifiers
	Relegation Play Off
	Relegation

Over / under 5.5 goals form

Stuttgart have conceded 2 goals or more in 9 consecutive away league games

Home

Overall

Avg: Scored

2.0

Conceded

1.5

Games: Scored

18 / 20

Conceded

18 / 20

Clean sheets

2 / 20

Failed to score

2 / 20

Under

HOME FORM Over / Under 5.5 Goals
Paderborn	3 - 1	Hoffenheim
Paderborn	0 - 1	Freiburg
Paderborn	2 - 2	Karlsruher
Paderborn	2 - 3	Schalke
Paderborn	4 - 3	Magdeburg
Paderborn	2 - 1	Dresden
Paderborn	1 - 1	E. Braun
Paderborn	5 - 2	H.Berlin
Paderborn	2 - 1	Nurnberg
Paderborn	2 - 1	Preussen Munster
Paderborn	2 - 2	Darmstadt
Paderborn	1 - 2	Elversberg
Paderborn	0 - 2	Hannover
Paderborn	2 - 1	Greuther
Paderborn	4 - 3	Arminia
Paderborn	2 - 0	Kaiserslautern
Paderborn	1 - 0	VfL Bochum
Paderborn	1 - 2	Dusseldorf
Paderborn	2 - 1	Holstein
Paderborn	2 - 1	Magdeburg

Avg: Scored

1.7

Conceded

1.5

Games: Scored

16 / 20

Conceded

16 / 20

Clean sheets

4 / 20

Failed to score

4 / 20

Under

OVERALL FORM Over / Under 5.5 Goals
H	Paderborn	3 - 1	Hoffenheim
A	Paderborn	0 - 3	Dortmund
H	Paderborn	0 - 1	Freiburg
A	Paderborn	0 - 0	Mainz
A	Paderborn	2 - 0	Darmstadt
H	Paderborn	2 - 2	Karlsruher
A	Paderborn	1 - 5	Elversberg
H	Paderborn	2 - 3	Schalke
A	Paderborn	1 - 1	Hannover
H	Paderborn	4 - 3	Magdeburg
A	Paderborn	2 - 0	Greuther
H	Paderborn	2 - 1	Dresden
A	Paderborn	2 - 2	Arminia
H	Paderborn	1 - 1	E. Braun
A	Paderborn	2 - 1	Kaiserslautern
H	Paderborn	5 - 2	H.Berlin
A	Paderborn	0 - 0	VfL Bochum
H	Paderborn	2 - 1	Nurnberg
A	Paderborn	1 - 2	Dusseldorf
H	Paderborn	2 - 1	Preussen Munster

Away

Overall

Avg: Scored

2.3

Conceded

2.1

Games: Scored

20 / 20

Conceded

17 / 20

Clean sheets

3 / 20

Failed to score

0 / 20

Over

Under

AWAY FORM Over / Under 5.5 Goals
Hoffenheim	2 - 1	Stuttgart
Bayern	5 - 1	Stuttgart
E.Frankfurt	2 - 2	Stuttgart
Hoffenheim	3 - 3	Stuttgart
Bayern	4 - 2	Stuttgart
Augsburg	2 - 5	Stuttgart
Mainz	2 - 2	Stuttgart
Heidenheim	3 - 3	Stuttgart
St. Pauli	2 - 1	Stuttgart
B. M'gladbach	0 - 3	Stuttgart
Leverkusen	1 - 4	Stuttgart
W.Bremen	0 - 4	Stuttgart
Hamburg	2 - 1	Stuttgart
Dortmund	3 - 3	Stuttgart
RB Leipzig	3 - 1	Stuttgart
Wolfsburg	0 - 3	Stuttgart
Köln	1 - 2	Stuttgart
Freiburg	3 - 1	Stuttgart
Union Berlin	2 - 1	Stuttgart
RB Leipzig	2 - 3	Stuttgart

Avg: Scored

2.2

Conceded

1.6

Games: Scored

18 / 20

Conceded

15 / 20

Clean sheets

5 / 20

Failed to score

2 / 20

Over

Under

OVERALL FORM Over / Under 5.5 Goals
H	Stuttgart	0 - 1	Dortmund
A	Stuttgart	1 - 2	Hoffenheim
H	Stuttgart	4 - 1	Köln
A	Stuttgart	1 - 5	Bayern
A	Stuttgart	2 - 2	E.Frankfurt
H	Stuttgart	3 - 1	Leverkusen
A	Stuttgart	3 - 3	Hoffenheim
H	Stuttgart	1 - 1	W.Bremen
A	Stuttgart	2 - 4	Bayern
H	Stuttgart	4 - 0	Hamburg
H	Stuttgart	0 - 2	Dortmund
A	Stuttgart	5 - 2	Augsburg
H	Stuttgart	1 - 0	RB Leipzig
A	Stuttgart	2 - 2	Mainz
H	Stuttgart	4 - 0	Wolfsburg
A	Stuttgart	3 - 3	Heidenheim
H	Stuttgart	3 - 1	Köln
A	Stuttgart	1 - 2	St. Pauli
H	Stuttgart	1 - 0	Freiburg
A	Stuttgart	3 - 0	B. M'gladbach

Goal Statistics

A PG of 2.3 is decent for VfB Stuttgart in their clash with SC Paderborn 07, as is their run of scoring 1 goal or more in 28 consecutive Bundesliga games.

	Paderborn 12th	Stuttgart 15th
	Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction	1.3 goals	2.3 goals
	Scoring probability
Scoring probability	0 28% 1 36% 2 23% 3 10% 4+ There is a 64% probability that Paderborn will score no more than 1 goal	0 10% 1 23% 2 26% 3 20% 4+ 20% There is a 67% probability that Stuttgart will score 2 or more goals in this match

	20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games	+11 Paderborn have scored 11% more goals at home than predicted	+36 Stuttgart have scored 36% more goals when away than predicted
	2.0 average goals scored	2.3 average goals scored
	1.5 conceded	2.1 conceded

Attack defence ratings
Bundesliga - 2026/2027 season

better

PAD

VFB

view stats

Games scored	0		0
Failed to score	0		0
Scored first	0		0
Goals scored	0		0
Avg. goals scored	0		0
Avg. shots per game	0		0
Avg. shots per goal	0		0
Conversion rate for	0		0
Avg. XG for	0		0
KickOff rating		0%

better

PAD

VFB

view stats

Games conceded	0		0
Clean sheets	0		0
Conceded first	0		0
Goals conceded	0		0
Avg. goals conceded	0		0
Avg. shots/game conceded	0		0
Avg. shots/goal conceded	0		0
Conversion rate against	0%		0%
Avg. XG against	0		0
KickOff rating		0%

Paderborn v Stuttgart Bundesliga lLine ups will show here when available.

Paderborn Bundesliga squad statistics 2026/2027

Overall

Attack

Defence

Most starts	Most goals	Most assists	Most cards
4	1	1	1
N Noll	S Castaneda	L Curda	J. ter Horst

Players	Appserances	goals	Assists	cards
N Noll GLK	4			-
J. ter Horst DEF	4			1 -
M Hansen DEF	4			1 -
T. Scheller DEF	4			1 -
L Ulrich MID	4			1 -
L Curda MID	4		1	1 -
S Castaneda MID	4	1		1 -
R Obermair MID	4			-
M Pieringer FWD	4			-
G Vidović FWD	4			-
S Tigges FWD	4	1		-
S Marino FWD	4	1		-
J. Sticker DEF	3		1	-
R Philippe FWD	3			-
T Baack MID	2			-
C. Lippmann MID	2			-
O Meier FWD	2			-
F Götze DEF	1			-
L. Đurić MID	1			-
Niklas Mohr MID	1			-

Most goals	Most shots on target	Most assists	Most big chances
1	2	1	1
S Castaneda	S Castaneda	L Curda	L Curda

Players	goals	shots on	Assists	big chances
S Castaneda MID	1	2		1
S Tigges FWD	1	1
S Marino FWD	1	2
L Curda MID			1	1
M Pieringer FWD		1		1
J. Sticker DEF			1	1
R Philippe FWD		2

Most passes	Most tackles	Most duels won
218	10	34
N Noll	L Curda	L Curda

Players	passes	tackles	duels won
N Noll GLK	218		2
T. Scheller DEF	218	7	24
M Hansen DEF	213	5	16
J. ter Horst DEF	187	9	21
S Castaneda MID	172	10	21
G Vidović FWD	147	2	14
L Curda MID	127	10	34
R Obermair MID	121	4	9
L Ulrich MID	117	7	18
M Pieringer FWD	79	3	10
S Marino FWD	56	1	9
S Tigges FWD	32	2	18
J. Sticker DEF	21	2	3
O Meier FWD	21	3	3
T Baack MID	15	3	4
L. Đurić MID	14		2
R Philippe FWD	11		1
C. Lippmann MID	10		1
F Götze DEF	3	1	1
Niklas Mohr MID	2

Stuttgart Bundesliga squad statistics 2026/2027

Overall

Attack

Defence

Most starts	Most goals	Most assists	Most cards
4	2	1	1
F Bredlow	J Vagnoman	M Mittelstädt	M Mittelstädt

Players	Appserances	goals	Assists	cards
F Bredlow GLK	4			-
M Mittelstädt DEF	4	1	1	1 -
J Chabot DEF	4			1 -
J Vagnoman DEF	4	2	1	-
F. Jeltsch DEF	4		1	1 -
A Stiller MID	4			1 -
B Khannouss MID	4	1		-
G Prömel MID	4	1		1 -
D Pejčinović FWD	4			-
J Leweling FWD	4			-
D Undav FWD	4			-
E Demirovic FWD	4	1		1 -
R Hendriks DEF	3			-
L. Sauer FWD	3			-
C Führich FWD	3			-
Y. Spalt MID	2			-
L Stergiou DEF	1			-
N Nartey MID	1			-
T Tomás FWD	1			-

Most goals	Most shots on target	Most assists	Most big chances
2	4	1	5
J Vagnoman	E Demirovic	M Mittelstädt	M Mittelstädt

Players	goals	shots on	Assists	big chances
J Vagnoman DEF	2	3	1	1
M Mittelstädt DEF	1	1	1	5
B Khannouss MID	1	2		1
G Prömel MID	1	3
E Demirovic FWD	1	4		1
J Chabot DEF		2
F. Jeltsch DEF		1	1	1
A Stiller MID				1
D Pejčinović FWD		2
D Undav FWD		2
L. Sauer FWD		1
C Führich FWD				1
T Tomás FWD		1

Most passes	Most tackles	Most duels won
229	9	30
A Stiller	J Chabot	J Chabot

Players	passes	tackles	duels won
A Stiller MID	229	2	9
F. Jeltsch DEF	213	8	21
M Mittelstädt DEF	212	8	22
J Chabot DEF	185	9	30
G Prömel MID	170	1	12
F Bredlow GLK	157		4
J Vagnoman DEF	154	2	13
C Führich FWD	114	6	7
R Hendriks DEF	97	3	15
D Pejčinović FWD	94	2	7
B Khannouss MID	89	7	16
D Undav FWD	74	1	4
E Demirovic FWD	43	1	8
J Leweling FWD	31		5
Y. Spalt MID	25	2	6
T Tomás FWD	23	2	7
L. Sauer FWD	16		2
N Nartey MID	11		2
L Stergiou DEF	8

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SC Paderborn 07 v VfB Stuttgart : Bundesliga match betting preview, prediction and odds

Paderborn v Stuttgart Bundesliga lLine ups will show here when available.

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