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1. FSV Mainz 05 v Bayer Leverkusen : Bundesliga match betting preview, prediction and odds

Sat 17th May, 14:30 BST, Mewa Arena, Mainz

Bo Henriksen's 1. FSV Mainz 05 side are on home soil in the Bundesliga on Saturday afternoon, as Xabi Alonso's Bayer Leverkusen arrive at the Mewa Arena. Stats power the predictions below for all the markets, and switching between them will display bespoke analysis, including head to head (H2H), form and a whole lot more besides. Odds from the UK's biggest bookmakers are also provided. Click on the tabs below to explore.

Want to know who’s consistently beating the odds? Check out the Top Bundesliga Tipsters and see the most profitable experts for this season!

If you’re keen on betting across various leagues and markets, our Live Bets page showcases active accumulator bets and real-time tips.

Best Tip: Over 1.5 goals

Neither Mainz or Leverkusen are in a rich vein of form that would have us feeling very confident in tipping a match winner, so we're going with over 1.5 goals. The statistics tell us that both have a track record in this market, both individually and when going head-to-head. We're predicting there's a 78% chance of two goals or more.

If you’re looking for a winner in this match, we think Mainz are the most likely. Our predictive algorithm gives them a 39% chance of victory, and the bookies have them at a best price of 2.25.

Checkout the hundreds of tips picked but our top win/draw/win tipsters

Predictions	Bet365	Coral
Mainz 39%	5/4 20%	-
Draw 25%	14/5 1%	-
Leverkusen 37%	15/8 25%	-
Draw 1-1 12%	13/2	-
Mainz 2-1 9%	17/2 14%	-
Leverkusen 2-1 8%	10/1 16%	-
Mainz 1-0 8%	11/1	-
Leverkusen 1-0 8%	12/1 18%	-
Draw 2-2 6%	11/1	-
Mainz 2-0 6%	12/1 24%	-
Leverkusen 2-0 6%	16/1 31%	-
Draw 0-0 5%	16/1 13%	-
Mainz 3-1 4%	14/1 29%	-
Leverkusen 3-1 4%	20/1 24%	-
Mainz 3-2 3%	20/1 9%	-
Mainz 3-0 3%	22/1 21%	-
Leverkusen 3-2 3%	22/1 10%	-
Leverkusen 3-0 3%	28/1 26%	-
Over 2.5 Goals 56%	8/15 6%	-
Under 2.5 Goals 44%	6/4 9%	-
Home 1st Goal 49%	8/11 18%	-
Away 1st Goal 48%	11/10 21%	-
No 1st Goal 3%	16/1 13%	-
BTTS - Yes 59%	1/2 2%	-
BTTS - No 41%	6/4 5%	-
BTTS - Home Win 20%	11/4 21%	-
BTTS - Draw 19%	10/3	-
BTTS - Away Win 19%	7/2 13%	-
Home/draw 63%	2/5 11%	-
Away/draw 61%	8/13 16%	-
Home/away 75%	1/4	-
Over 1.5 Goals 79%	1/6 3%	-
Under 1.5 Goals 21%	4/1 11%	-
Over 3.5 Goals 33%	13/10 8%	-
Under 3.5 Goals 67%	8/13 6%	-
Over 4.5 Goals 17%	3/1 11%	-
Under 4.5 Goals 83%	1/4 4%	-
Over 5.5 Goals 8%	7/1 11%	-
Under 5.5 Goals 92%	1/12 1%	-
Over 0.5 Goals 95%	1/33	-
Under 0.5 Goals 5%	14/1	-
Home DNB 56%	4/6 17%	-
Away DNB 54%	11/10 21%	-
Mainz win to nil 18%	4/1 17%	-
Leverkusen win to nil 17%	5/1 33%	-
Mainz / Mainz 23%	13/5 20%	-
Mainz / Leverkusen 4%	22/1 10%	-
Mainz / Draw 6%	12/1	-
Draw / Mainz 14%	5/1 14%	-
Draw / Leverkusen 12%	6/1 17%	-
Draw / Draw 13%	11/2 8%	-
Leverkusen / Mainz 4%	20/1 9%	-
Leverkusen / Leverkusen 18%	7/2 25%	-
Leverkusen / Draw 6%	12/1	-

Win / draw / win Bundesliga table

Mainz have played 33 matches so far this season and are in 6th position in the league.

Performance against teams above them in the league

9 of those games have come against teams above them in the table. They have lost 3 games, drawn 3 and won 3. Mainz have conceded 13 goals, scored 12, failed to score in 3 matches and kept 1 clean sheet.

Home league performance

Mainz have played 16 games at home, winning 6, drawing 7 and losing 3 fixtures. They have scored 22 goals, conceded 16 goals, kept 5 clean sheets and failed to score 3 times in home league games.

Leverkusen lay in 2nd place on 68 points in the Bundesliga league table having played 33 matches. Leverkusen are unbeaten away after 16 games and have kept 4 clean sheets in those matches.

Performance against teams below them in the league

They have played 31 games against teams below them in the table, winning 19, drawing 9 and losing 3 games. They have scored 69 goals and kept 8 clean sheets against lower placed opposition. Leverkusen have conceded 40 goals and have failed to score in 4 matches.

Away league performance

Leverkusen have played 16 away games, winning 9, drawing 7 and losing 0 games. They have scored an average of 2.1 goals per away game and conceded an average 1.2 goals per away game.

BTTS yes BTTS no BTTS yes BTTS no Won Draw Lost Won Draw Lost Won Draw Lost Won Draw Lost Won Draw Lost Won Draw Lost Won Draw Lost Over 0.5 Under 0.5 Over 1.5 Under 1.5 Over 2.5 Under 2.5 Over 3.5 Under 3.5 Over 4.5 Under 4.5 Over 5.5 Under 5.5 For 0-0 Against Won Draw Lost	Mainz Leverkusen
Results by League Table

	TEAM	PLD	W	D	L	GD	PTS	HOME	AWAY	HOME	AWAY
1	Bayern	33	24	7	2	63	79	w 2-1F	l 3-0A	d 0-00-0	d 1-1F
2	Leverkusen Away	33	19	11	3	29	68	May 17	l 1-0A	-	-
3	E.Frankfurt	33	16	9	8	20	57	d 1-1A	w 1-3F	w 2-1A	w 1-4F
4	Freiburg	33	16	7	10	-2	55	d 2-2F	d 0-00-0	w 5-1F	d 2-2A
5	Dortmund	33	16	6	11	17	54	w 3-1F	l 3-1A	l 2-4F	w 2-3F
6	Mainz Home	33	14	9	10	12	51	-	-	w 1-0F	May 17
7	RB Leipzig	33	13	12	8	6	51	l 0-2A	w 1-2A	l 2-3F	d 2-2F
8	W.Bremen	33	13	9	11	-6	48	l 1-2A	l 1-0A	l 0-2A	d 2-2F
9	Stuttgart	33	13	8	12	10	47	w 2-0F	d 3-3A	d 0-00-0	w 3-4A
10	B. M'gladbach	33	13	6	14	-1	45	d 1-1F	w 1-3F	w 3-1F	w 2-3F
11	Augsburg	33	11	10	12	-15	43	d 0-00-0	w 2-3F	w 2-0F	w 0-2F
12	Wolfsburg	33	10	10	13	1	40	d 2-2A	l 4-3F	w 4-3A	d 0-00-0
13	Union Berlin	33	9	10	14	-17	37	d 1-1F	l 2-1A	d 0-00-0	w 1-2F
14	St. Pauli	33	8	8	17	-11	32	w 2-0F	w 0-3F	w 2-1F	d 1-1F
15	Hoffenheim	33	7	11	15	-18	32	w 2-0F	l 2-0A	w 3-1F	w 1-4F
16	Heidenheim	33	8	5	20	-24	29	l 0-2A	w 0-2F	w 5-2A	w 0-1F
17	Holstein	33	6	7	20	-28	25	d 1-1A	w 0-3F	d 2-2F	w 0-2F
18	VfL Bochum	33	5	7	21	-36	22	w 2-0F	w 1-4F	w 3-1F	d 1-1F

	UEFA Champions League
	UEFA Europa League
	UEFA Conference League Qualifiers
	Relegation Play Off
	Relegation

Win / draw / win form

Mainz have drawn 4 consecutive home league games

Mainz have not lost in 12 consecutive home league games

Leverkusen have not lost in 33 consecutive away league games

Home

Overall

Goals: Scored

Conceded

Games: Scored

17 / 20

Conceded

13 / 20

Clean sheets

7 / 20

Failed to score

3 / 20

Won

Draw

HOME FORM Win / Draw / Win
Mainz	1 - 1	E.Frankfurt
Mainz	2 - 2	Wolfsburg
Mainz	1 - 1	Holstein
Mainz	2 - 2	Freiburg
Mainz	2 - 0	St. Pauli
Mainz	0 - 0	Augsburg
Mainz	2 - 0	Stuttgart
Mainz	2 - 0	VfL Bochum
Mainz	2 - 1	Bayern
Mainz	2 - 0	Hoffenheim
Mainz	3 - 1	Dortmund
Mainz	1 - 1	B. M'gladbach
Mainz	0 - 2	RB Leipzig
Mainz	0 - 2	Heidenheim
Mainz	1 - 2	W.Bremen
Mainz	1 - 1	Union Berlin
Mainz	3 - 0	Dortmund
Mainz	1 - 1	Köln
Mainz	4 - 1	Hoffenheim
Mainz	4 - 0	Darmstadt

Goals: Scored

Conceded

Games: Scored

15 / 20

Conceded

15 / 20

Clean sheets

5 / 20

Failed to score

5 / 20

Won

Draw

Lost

OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
A	Mainz	4 - 1	VfL Bochum
H	Mainz	1 - 1	E.Frankfurt
A	Mainz	0 - 3	Bayern
H	Mainz	2 - 2	Wolfsburg
A	Mainz	0 - 2	Hoffenheim
H	Mainz	1 - 1	Holstein
A	Mainz	1 - 3	Dortmund
H	Mainz	2 - 2	Freiburg
A	Mainz	3 - 1	B. M'gladbach
A	Mainz	2 - 1	RB Leipzig
H	Mainz	2 - 0	St. Pauli
A	Mainz	2 - 0	Heidenheim
H	Mainz	0 - 0	Augsburg
A	Mainz	0 - 1	W.Bremen
H	Mainz	2 - 0	Stuttgart
A	Mainz	1 - 2	Union Berlin
A	Mainz	0 - 1	Leverkusen
H	Mainz	2 - 0	VfL Bochum
A	Mainz	3 - 1	E.Frankfurt
H	Mainz	2 - 1	Bayern

Away

Overall

Goals: Scored

Conceded

Games: Scored

19 / 20

Conceded

14 / 20

Clean sheets

6 / 20

Failed to score

1 / 20

Won

Draw

AWAY FORM Win / Draw / Win
Freiburg	2 - 2	Leverkusen
St. Pauli	1 - 1	Leverkusen
Heidenheim	0 - 1	Leverkusen
Stuttgart	3 - 4	Leverkusen
E.Frankfurt	1 - 4	Leverkusen
Holstein	0 - 2	Leverkusen
Wolfsburg	0 - 0	Leverkusen
RB Leipzig	2 - 2	Leverkusen
Dortmund	2 - 3	Leverkusen
Augsburg	0 - 2	Leverkusen
Union Berlin	1 - 2	Leverkusen
VfL Bochum	1 - 1	Leverkusen
W.Bremen	2 - 2	Leverkusen
Bayern	1 - 1	Leverkusen
Hoffenheim	1 - 4	Leverkusen
B. M'gladbach	2 - 3	Leverkusen
VfL Bochum	0 - 5	Leverkusen
E.Frankfurt	1 - 5	Leverkusen
Dortmund	1 - 1	Leverkusen
Union Berlin	0 - 1	Leverkusen

Goals: Scored

Conceded

Games: Scored

16 / 20

Conceded

12 / 20

Clean sheets

8 / 20

Failed to score

4 / 20

Won

Draw

OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
H	Leverkusen	2 - 4	Dortmund
A	Leverkusen	2 - 2	Freiburg
H	Leverkusen	2 - 0	Augsburg
A	Leverkusen	1 - 1	St. Pauli
H	Leverkusen	0 - 0	Union Berlin
A	Leverkusen	1 - 0	Heidenheim
H	Leverkusen	3 - 1	VfL Bochum
A	Leverkusen	4 - 3	Stuttgart
H	Leverkusen	0 - 2	W.Bremen
A	Leverkusen	4 - 1	E.Frankfurt
A	Leverkusen	2 - 0	Holstein
H	Leverkusen	0 - 0	Bayern
A	Leverkusen	0 - 0	Wolfsburg
H	Leverkusen	3 - 1	Hoffenheim
A	Leverkusen	2 - 2	RB Leipzig
H	Leverkusen	3 - 1	B. M'gladbach
H	Leverkusen	1 - 0	Mainz
A	Leverkusen	3 - 2	Dortmund
H	Leverkusen	5 - 1	Freiburg
A	Leverkusen	2 - 0	Augsburg

Win / draw / win head to head (H2H)

Leverkusen have beaten Mainz in 3 consecutive league meetings

Mainz

Leverkusen

Goals: Scored

Games: Scored

8 / 12

11 / 12

Clean sheets

1 / 12

4 / 12

M05

B04

FIXTURE HISTORY AT Mainz
	0 - 3	Leverkusen
	0 - 3	Leverkusen
Mainz	3 - 2
	0 - 1	Leverkusen
	0 - 1	Leverkusen
	1 - 5	Leverkusen
Mainz	3 - 1
	2 - 3	Leverkusen
Mainz	3 - 1
	2 - 3	Leverkusen
	1 - 4	Leverkusen
Mainz	1 - 0

Leverkusen

Mainz

Goals: Scored

Games: Scored

10 / 13

6 / 13

Clean sheets

7 / 13

3 / 13

M05

B04

FIXTURE HISTORY AT Leverkusen
Leverkusen	1 - 0
Leverkusen	2 - 1
	2 - 3	Mainz
Leverkusen	1 - 0
Draw	2 - 2	Draw
Leverkusen	1 - 0
Leverkusen	1 - 0
Leverkusen	2 - 0
	0 - 2	Mainz
Leverkusen	1 - 0
Draw	0 - 0	Draw
	0 - 1	Mainz
Draw	2 - 2	Draw

Goal Statistics

	Mainz 6th	Leverkusen 2nd
	Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction	1.5 goals	1.4 goals
	Scoring probability
Scoring probability	0 23% 1 34% 2 25% 3 12% 4+ There is a 77% probability that Mainz will score 1 or more goals	0 24% 1 34% 2 25% 3 12% 4+ There is a 76% probability that Leverkusen will score 1 or more goals

	20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games	+6 Mainz’s goalscoring at home has been inline with predictions	+20 Leverkusen have scored 20% more goals when away than predicted
	1.7 average goals scored	2.3 average goals scored
	0.9 conceded	1.1 conceded

Attack defence ratings
Bundesliga - 2024/2025 season

M05

B04

21%

better

view stats

Games scored	25		28
Failed to score	8		5
Scored first	17		23
Goals scored	53		70
Avg. goals scored	1.6		2.1
Avg. shots per game	9		11
Avg. shots per goal	6		5
Conversion rate for	18		20
Avg. XG for	1.4		1.7
KickOff rating		+21%

M05

B04

better

view stats

Games conceded	24		24
Clean sheets	9		9
Conceded first	14		6
Goals conceded	41		41
Avg. goals conceded	1.2		1.2
Avg. shots/game conceded	10		7
Avg. shots/goal conceded	8		6
Conversion rate against	12%		17%
Avg. XG against	1.5		1.1
KickOff rating		+5%

Mainz v Leverkusen Bundesliga lLine ups will show here when available.

Mainz Bundesliga squad statistics 2024/2025

Overall

Attack

Defence

Most starts	Most goals	Most assists	Most cards
33	17	7	12
K Sano	J Burkardt	A Caci	D Kohr

Players	Appserances	goals	Assists	cards
K Sano MID	33			3 -
A Caci MID	32	1	7	6 -
J Lee MID	32	7	6	4 -
R Zentner GLK	31			3 -
P Mwene DEF	31	1	5	7 -
P Nebel MID	30	9	5	4 1
N Amiri MID	29	7	5	8 2
D Kohr MID	28	2		11 1
J Burkardt FWD	28	17	2	-
A Sieb FWD	27	2	3	3 -
S Widmer DEF	26		1	3 -
D Costa DEF	24		1	-
H Hyun-seok MID	22		1	-
N Weiper FWD	22	3	2	2 -
A Hanche-Olsen DEF	21	1	2	2 1
M Jenz DEF	19			4 -
D Hoof DEF	17		1	3 -
N Veratschnig DEF	14			1 -
M Leitsch DEF	14	1		2 -
A Nordin FWD	6			-
L Maloney MID	4			1 -
L Rieß GLK	2			1 -

Most goals	Most shots on target	Most assists	Most big chances
17	27	7	26
J Burkardt	J Burkardt	A Caci	N Amiri

Players	goals	shots on	Assists	big chances
J Burkardt FWD	17	27	2	12
P Nebel MID	9	16	5	19
J Lee MID	7	15	6	16
N Amiri MID	7	25	5	26
N Weiper FWD	3	13	2	6
D Kohr MID	2	5		7
A Sieb FWD	2	7	3	7
P Mwene DEF	1	5	5	11
A Caci MID	1	12	7	23
M Leitsch DEF	1	1		2
A Hanche-Olsen DEF	1	2	2	1
K Sano MID		2		9
N Veratschnig DEF		1		1
A Nordin FWD				1
D Costa DEF		1	1	2
D Hoof DEF		4	1	5
M Jenz DEF		5		2
H Hyun-seok MID		2	1	4
S Widmer DEF		1	1	2
R Zentner GLK				2

Most passes	Most tackles	Most duels won
1529	64	199
N Amiri	D Kohr	K Sano

Players	passes	tackles	duels won
N Amiri MID	1529	50	149
K Sano MID	1384	53	199
D Kohr MID	1313	64	143
A Caci MID	1240	58	129
D Costa DEF	1105	42	84
R Zentner GLK	1005	2	11
P Nebel MID	1003	36	109
J Lee MID	977	44	139
P Mwene DEF	945	48	107
M Jenz DEF	842	36	116
D Hoof DEF	677	20	103
A Hanche-Olsen DEF	581	22	74
J Burkardt FWD	474	14	71
M Leitsch DEF	353	12	34
H Hyun-seok MID	225	8	24
S Widmer DEF	210	11	26
A Sieb FWD	185	8	47
N Weiper FWD	164	5	50
N Veratschnig DEF	98	9	19
L Rieß GLK	77
A Nordin FWD	33	3	8
L Maloney MID	13	1	3

Leverkusen Bundesliga squad statistics 2024/2025

Overall

Attack

Defence

Most starts	Most goals	Most assists	Most cards
33	19	12	7
G Xhaka	P Schick	F Wirtz	P Hincapié

Players	Appserances	goals	Assists	cards
J Frimpong MID	33	5	5	4 -
G Xhaka MID	33	2	7	3 -
J Tah DEF	32	3		2 -
A Grimaldo DEF	31	2	7	5 1
P Hincapié DEF	31	2	2	7 -
F Wirtz MID	30	10	12	2 -
P Schick FWD	30	19		4 -
L Hradecky GLK	28			1 -
E Tapsoba DEF	28			4 -
A García MID	27	3	3	2 -
N Tella MID	26	2	4	1 -
E Palacios MID	23	1	7	1 -
R Andrich MID	22	2	1	7 -
Arthur DEF	19		1	-
V Boniface FWD	19	8	1	2 -
A Adli FWD	19	2	1	3 -
N Mukiele DEF	15	1	1	3 -
M Terrier FWD	15	2	1	1 -
E Buendía MID	10	2		-
J Hofmann MID	10	2	1	1 -
M Kovář GLK	5			-
J Belocian DEF	5			1 -
M Hermoso DEF	4			-

Most goals	Most shots on target	Most assists	Most big chances
19	37	12	31
P Schick	F Wirtz	F Wirtz	G Xhaka

Players	goals	shots on	Assists	big chances
P Schick FWD	19	33		4
F Wirtz MID	10	37	12	31
V Boniface FWD	8	18	1	5
J Frimpong MID	5	16	5	20
J Tah DEF	3	7		3
A García MID	3	5	3	12
A Adli FWD	2	7	1	3
A Grimaldo DEF	2	14	7	31
P Hincapié DEF	2	3	2	9
J Hofmann MID	2	5	1	3
E Buendía MID	2	4		3
N Tella MID	2	11	4	8
G Xhaka MID	2	3	7	31
R Andrich MID	2	5	1	4
M Terrier FWD	2	6	1	7
E Palacios MID	1	9	7	10
N Mukiele DEF	1	3	1	4
Arthur DEF			1	2
E Tapsoba DEF		2		3

Most passes	Most tackles	Most duels won
2752	51	164
G Xhaka	P Hincapié	F Wirtz

Players	passes	tackles	duels won
G Xhaka MID	2752	49	127
J Tah DEF	2259	18	99
P Hincapié DEF	1947	51	159
E Tapsoba DEF	1855	36	102
A Grimaldo DEF	1719	26	86
F Wirtz MID	1549	34	164
A García MID	1231	13	27
E Palacios MID	958	21	43
R Andrich MID	937	23	63
L Hradecky GLK	757		2
J Frimpong MID	730	34	103
N Mukiele DEF	525	21	60
P Schick FWD	353	6	77
A Adli FWD	307	15	59
Arthur DEF	303	15	37
N Tella MID	303	15	77
M Hermoso DEF	241		13
V Boniface FWD	237	5	59
M Terrier FWD	191	4	26
J Hofmann MID	170	2	13
E Buendía MID	151	6	22
M Kovář GLK	130		2
J Belocian DEF	36	1	7

German Bundesliga match betting previews, predictions and odds

Dortmund v Holstein

Sat 17th May, 14:30

Heidenheim v W.Bremen

Sat 17th May, 14:30

RB Leipzig v Stuttgart

Sat 17th May, 14:30

Augsburg v Union Berlin

Sat 17th May, 14:30

Hoffenheim v Bayern

Sat 17th May, 14:30

Freiburg v E.Frankfurt

Sat 17th May, 14:30

Mainz v Leverkusen

Sat 17th May, 14:30

B. M'gladbach v Wolfsburg

Sat 17th May, 14:30

St. Pauli v VfL Bochum

Sat 17th May, 14:30

1. FSV Mainz 05 v Bayer Leverkusen : Bundesliga match betting preview, prediction and odds

Mainz have played 33 matches so far this season and are in 6th position in the league.

Performance against teams above them in the league

Home league performance

Leverkusen lay in 2nd place on 68 points in the Bundesliga league table having played 33 matches. Leverkusen are unbeaten away after 16 games and have kept 4 clean sheets in those matches.

Performance against teams below them in the league

Away league performance

Mainz v Leverkusen Bundesliga lLine ups will show here when available.

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