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1. FSV Mainz 05 v Bayer Leverkusen : Bundesliga match betting preview, prediction and odds

Sat 10th Oct, 14:30 BST, Mewa Arena, Mainz

Carles Martínez Novell guides his Bayer Leverkusen side to the Mewa Arena in the Bundesliga on Saturday afternoon, with Urs Fischer's 1. FSV Mainz 05 their challengers. Analysing both clubs' last 20 Bundesliga matches, as well as baseline data within the competition and the market, to generate our match predictions. All the statistics, including head to heads (H2H), are shown below, alongside odds from leading bookmakers.

Want to know who’s consistently beating the odds? Check out the Top Bundesliga Tipsters and see the most profitable experts for this season!

If you’re keen on betting across various leagues and markets, our Live Bets page showcases active accumulator bets and real-time tips.

Best Tip: Both teams to score

Mainz should have reason to feel positive ahead of this match and, funnily enough, so might Leverkusen. The bookies can't split them and neither can we – there's no obvious victor in this clash. So we look to the both teams to score market, where there's far more clarity. The form stats, past head-to-head (H2H) records and bookmakers odds below are all pointing towards both sides scoring, and we think that's the tip to go with here.

We're very confident in predicting that this game will have fewer than 5 goals in total. Our algorithm places ‘Under 5.5 goals’ at a 86% probability, making it by far the most likely outcome in this market.

Predictions	Bet365	Coral
Mainz 34%	2.80 13%	-
Draw 22%	3.75 1%	-
Leverkusen 44%	2.20 10%	-
Draw 1-1 9%	8.00	-
Leverkusen 2-1 9%	9.50 6%	-
Mainz 2-1 8%	11.00 8%	-
Draw 2-2 7%	11.00	-
Leverkusen 1-0 6%	13.00 8%	-
Leverkusen 2-0 5%	15.00 15%	-
Leverkusen 3-1 5%	15.00	-
Mainz 1-0 5%	15.00 12%	-
Leverkusen 3-2 4%	19.00	-
Mainz 2-0 4%	19.00 10%	-
Mainz 3-1 4%	21.00	-
Mainz 3-2 4%	21.00 9%	-
Leverkusen 3-0 3%	23.00 10%	-
Draw 0-0 3%	21.00	-
Leverkusen 4-1 2%	29.00 12%	-
Over 2.5 Goals 67%	1.50	-
Under 2.5 Goals 33%	2.63	-
Home 1st Goal 48%	2.00 5%	-
Away 1st Goal 50%	1.80 4%	-
No 1st Goal 2%	21.00	-
BTTS - Yes 67%	1.44	-
BTTS - No 33%	2.63	-
BTTS - Home Win 21%	4.50 10%	-
BTTS - Draw 19%	4.33	-
BTTS - Away Win 27%	3.50 8%	-
Home/draw 56%	1.67 7%	-
Away/draw 66%	1.40 3%	-
Home/away 78%	1.25	-
Over 1.5 Goals 86%	1.14	-
Under 1.5 Goals 14%	5.50	-
Over 3.5 Goals 45%	2.10 5%	-
Under 3.5 Goals 55%	1.73 4%	-
Over 4.5 Goals 27%	3.75	-
Under 4.5 Goals 73%	1.29	-
Over 5.5 Goals 14%	6.50	-
Under 5.5 Goals 86%	1.11	-
Over 0.5 Goals 97%	1.03 1%	-
Under 0.5 Goals 3%	17.00 19%	-
Home DNB 50%	2.10 12%	-
Away DNB 59%	1.67 9%	-
Mainz win to nil 13%	6.50 19%	-
Leverkusen win to nil 17%	5.00 11%	-
Mainz / Mainz 18%	4.50 10%	-
Mainz / Leverkusen 4%	21.00 11%	-
Mainz / Draw 6%	13.00	-
Draw / Mainz 11%	7.50 6%	-
Draw / Leverkusen 14%	6.00 9%	-
Draw / Draw 13%	6.50 7%	-
Leverkusen / Mainz 4%	23.00	-
Leverkusen / Leverkusen 24%	3.50 9%	-
Leverkusen / Draw 6%	13.00	-

Over / under 5.5 goals Bundesliga table

BTTS yes BTTS no BTTS yes BTTS no Won Draw Lost Won Draw Lost Won Draw Lost Won Draw Lost Won Draw Lost Won Draw Lost Won Draw Lost Over 0.5 Under 0.5 Over 1.5 Under 1.5 Over 2.5 Under 2.5 Over 3.5 Under 3.5 Over 4.5 Under 4.5 Over 5.5 Under 5.5 For 0-0 Against Won Draw Lost	Mainz Leverkusen
Results by League Table

	TEAM	PLD	W	D	L	GD	PTS	HOME	AWAY	HOME	AWAY
1	Dortmund	4	4	0	0	7	12	May 8	Jan 9	Apr 3	Nov 29
2	Bayern	4	3	1	0	12	10	Nov 7	Mar 13	May 15	Jan 13
3	Freiburg	4	3	1	0	9	10	Dec 12	Apr 17	Oct 18	Feb 27
4	Augsburg	4	2	1	1	5	7	Mar 20	Nov 22	Feb 6	d 2-2F
5	Leverkusen	4	2	1	1	5	7	Oct 10	Feb 20	-	-
6	Mainz	4	2	1	1	4	7	-	-	Feb 20	Oct 10
7	Elversberg	4	2	1	1	1	7	Mar 6	Oct 30	Jan 23	l 3-2A
8	W.Bremen	4	2	1	1	0	7	Oct 24	Mar 3	Apr 17	Dec 12
9	RB Leipzig	4	2	0	2	4	6	Apr 10	Dec 5	w 2-0F	Feb 13
10	E.Frankfurt	4	1	2	1	-1	5	l 1-3A	Feb 6	Dec 19	Apr 24
11	Schalke	4	1	2	1	-1	5	Feb 27	Oct 17	Jan 16	May 22
12	Paderborn	4	1	1	2	-2	4	d 0-00-0	Jan 23	Nov 21	Mar 20
13	Köln	4	1	1	2	-3	4	Dec 19	Apr 24	Mar 13	Nov 8
14	Hoffenheim	4	1	0	3	-3	3	Jan 13	May 15	Mar 3	Oct 25
15	Stuttgart	4	1	0	3	-3	3	May 22	Jan 16	Oct 31	Mar 6
16	Hamburg	4	1	0	3	-11	3	Jan 30	w 0-5F	May 8	Jan 9
17	Union Berlin	4	0	1	3	-13	1	Nov 28	Apr 3	w 4-0F	Jan 30
18	B. M'gladbach	4	0	0	4	-10	0	Feb 13	w 3-4A	Dec 5	Apr 10

	UEFA Champions League
	UEFA Europa League
	UEFA Conference League Qualifiers
	Relegation Play Off
	Relegation

Over / under 5.5 goals form

Leverkusen have scored 2 goals or more in 4 consecutive league games

Leverkusen have conceded 2 goals or more in 3 consecutive away league games

Home

Overall

Avg: Scored

1.2

Conceded

1.5

Games: Scored

13 / 20

Conceded

17 / 20

Clean sheets

3 / 20

Failed to score

7 / 20

Under

HOME FORM Over / Under 5.5 Goals
Mainz	1 - 3	E.Frankfurt
Mainz	0 - 0	Paderborn
Mainz	1 - 3	Union Berlin
Mainz	3 - 4	Bayern
Mainz	0 - 1	Freiburg
Mainz	2 - 1	E.Frankfurt
Mainz	2 - 2	Stuttgart
Mainz	1 - 1	Hamburg
Mainz	2 - 0	Augsburg
Mainz	3 - 1	Wolfsburg
Mainz	2 - 1	Heidenheim
Mainz	0 - 0	St. Pauli
Mainz	0 - 1	B. M'gladbach
Mainz	1 - 1	Hoffenheim
Mainz	1 - 1	W.Bremen
Mainz	3 - 4	Leverkusen
Mainz	0 - 2	Dortmund
Mainz	0 - 1	RB Leipzig
Mainz	0 - 1	Köln
Mainz	2 - 2	Leverkusen

Avg: Scored

1.8

Conceded

1.4

Games: Scored

17 / 20

Conceded

15 / 20

Clean sheets

5 / 20

Failed to score

3 / 20

Under

OVERALL FORM Over / Under 5.5 Goals
A	Mainz	4 - 3	B. M'gladbach
H	Mainz	1 - 3	E.Frankfurt
A	Mainz	5 - 0	Hamburg
H	Mainz	0 - 0	Paderborn
A	Mainz	2 - 0	Heidenheim
H	Mainz	1 - 3	Union Berlin
A	Mainz	2 - 1	St. Pauli
H	Mainz	3 - 4	Bayern
A	Mainz	1 - 1	B. M'gladbach
H	Mainz	0 - 1	Freiburg
A	Mainz	2 - 1	Hoffenheim
H	Mainz	2 - 1	E.Frankfurt
A	Mainz	2 - 0	W.Bremen
H	Mainz	2 - 2	Stuttgart
A	Mainz	1 - 1	Leverkusen
H	Mainz	1 - 1	Hamburg
A	Mainz	0 - 4	Dortmund
H	Mainz	2 - 0	Augsburg
A	Mainz	2 - 1	RB Leipzig
H	Mainz	3 - 1	Wolfsburg

Away

Overall

Avg: Scored

1.8

Conceded

1.8

Games: Scored

16 / 20

Conceded

18 / 20

Clean sheets

2 / 20

Failed to score

4 / 20

Under

AWAY FORM Over / Under 5.5 Goals
Augsburg	2 - 2	Leverkusen
Elversberg	3 - 2	Leverkusen
Stuttgart	3 - 1	Leverkusen
Köln	1 - 2	Leverkusen
Dortmund	0 - 1	Leverkusen
Heidenheim	3 - 3	Leverkusen
Freiburg	3 - 3	Leverkusen
Hamburg	0 - 1	Leverkusen
Union Berlin	1 - 0	Leverkusen
B. M'gladbach	1 - 1	Leverkusen
E.Frankfurt	1 - 3	Leverkusen
Hoffenheim	1 - 0	Leverkusen
RB Leipzig	1 - 3	Leverkusen
Augsburg	2 - 0	Leverkusen
Wolfsburg	1 - 3	Leverkusen
Bayern	3 - 0	Leverkusen
Mainz	3 - 4	Leverkusen
St. Pauli	1 - 2	Leverkusen
W.Bremen	3 - 3	Leverkusen
Mainz	2 - 2	Leverkusen

Avg: Scored

2.2

Conceded

1.4

Games: Scored

19 / 20

Conceded

15 / 20

Clean sheets

5 / 20

Failed to score

1 / 20

Under

OVERALL FORM Over / Under 5.5 Goals
H	Leverkusen	2 - 0	RB Leipzig
A	Leverkusen	2 - 2	Augsburg
H	Leverkusen	4 - 0	Union Berlin
A	Leverkusen	2 - 3	Elversberg
H	Leverkusen	1 - 1	Hamburg
A	Leverkusen	1 - 3	Stuttgart
H	Leverkusen	4 - 1	RB Leipzig
A	Leverkusen	2 - 1	Köln
H	Leverkusen	1 - 2	Augsburg
A	Leverkusen	1 - 0	Dortmund
H	Leverkusen	6 - 3	Wolfsburg
A	Leverkusen	3 - 3	Heidenheim
H	Leverkusen	1 - 1	Bayern
A	Leverkusen	3 - 3	Freiburg
A	Leverkusen	1 - 0	Hamburg
H	Leverkusen	1 - 1	Mainz
A	Leverkusen	0 - 1	Union Berlin
H	Leverkusen	4 - 0	St. Pauli
A	Leverkusen	1 - 1	B. M'gladbach
A	Leverkusen	3 - 1	E.Frankfurt

Over / under 5.5 goals head to head (H2H)

Mainz

Leverkusen

Average goals:

1.5

2.4

Games: Scored

10 / 14

13 / 14

Clean sheets

1 / 14

4 / 14

Over

Under

FIXTURE HISTORY AT Mainz Over \| Under
	3 - 4	Leverkusen
Draw	2 - 2	Draw
	0 - 3	Leverkusen
	0 - 3	Leverkusen
Mainz	3 - 2
	0 - 1	Leverkusen
	0 - 1	Leverkusen
	1 - 5	Leverkusen
Mainz	3 - 1
	2 - 3	Leverkusen
Mainz	3 - 1
	2 - 3	Leverkusen
	1 - 4	Leverkusen
Mainz	1 - 0

Leverkusen

Mainz

Average goals:

1.1

0.9

Games: Scored

11 / 14

7 / 14

Clean sheets

7 / 14

3 / 14

Under

FIXTURE HISTORY AT Leverkusen Over \| Under
Draw	1 - 1	Draw
Leverkusen	1 - 0
Leverkusen	2 - 1
	2 - 3	Mainz
Leverkusen	1 - 0
Draw	2 - 2	Draw
Leverkusen	1 - 0
Leverkusen	1 - 0
Leverkusen	2 - 0
	0 - 2	Mainz
Leverkusen	1 - 0
Draw	0 - 0	Draw
	0 - 1	Mainz
Draw	2 - 2	Draw

Goal Statistics

Bayer Leverkusen have been steady in front of goal of late, scoring in 16 consecutive Bundesliga games. Their PG of 1.8 against 1. FSV Mainz 05 on Saturday suggests they're likely to extend that run.

	Mainz 6th	Leverkusen 5th
	Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction	1.6 goals	1.8 goals
	Scoring probability
Scoring probability	0 20% 1 32% 2 26% 3 14% 4+ 8% There is a 80% probability that Mainz will score 1 or more goals	0 16% 1 29% 2 27% 3 17% 4+ 12% There is a 84% probability that Leverkusen will score 1 or more goals

	20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games	-24 Mainz have scored 24% fewer goals at home than predicted	+6 Leverkusen’s goalscoring when away has been inline with predictions
	1.2 average goals scored	1.8 average goals scored
	1.5 conceded	1.8 conceded

Attack defence ratings
Bundesliga - 2026/2027 season

better

M05

B04

view stats

Games scored	0		0
Failed to score	0		0
Scored first	0		0
Goals scored	0		0
Avg. goals scored	0		0
Avg. shots per game	0		0
Avg. shots per goal	0		0
Conversion rate for	0		0
Avg. XG for	0		0
KickOff rating		0%

better

M05

B04

view stats

Games conceded	0		0
Clean sheets	0		0
Conceded first	0		0
Goals conceded	0		0
Avg. goals conceded	0		0
Avg. shots/game conceded	0		0
Avg. shots/goal conceded	0		0
Conversion rate against	0%		0%
Avg. XG against	0		0
KickOff rating		0%

Mainz v Leverkusen Bundesliga lLine ups will show here when available.

Mainz Bundesliga squad statistics 2026/2027

Overall

Attack

Defence

Most starts	Most goals	Most assists	Most cards
4	4	3	3
F. Gruber	P Tietz	S Becker	P Mwene

Players	Appserances	goals	Assists	cards
F. Gruber DEF	4			-
A Caci DEF	4		1	1 -
P Mwene DEF	4	1	1	3 -
D Costa DEF	4	1		-
K. Potulski DEF	4			1 -
N Amiri MID	4			-
K Sano MID	4		2	-
J Lee MID	4		1	-
R Königsdörffer FWD	4	1		1 -
P Tietz FWD	4	4	1	-
S Becker FWD	4	2	3	1 -
S Posch DEF	3			1 -
O Ruoppi MID	3		1	-
A Schwolow GLK	2			1 -
R Zentner GLK	2			-
R. Nakuzola DEF	2			-
L Maloney MID	2			-
S Widmer DEF	1			-
D Kohr DEF	1			-
E Martel MID	1	1		-
B Hollerbach FWD	1			-

Most goals	Most shots on target	Most assists	Most big chances
4	7	3	3
P Tietz	P Tietz	S Becker	S Becker

Players	goals	shots on	Assists	big chances
P Tietz FWD	4	7	1	1
S Becker FWD	2	6	3	3
P Mwene DEF	1	2	1	1
D Costa DEF	1	1
R Königsdörffer FWD	1	2
E Martel MID	1	1
A Caci DEF		1	1	1
N Amiri MID		2		1
K Sano MID			2	2
J Lee MID			1	1
S Posch DEF		1
O Ruoppi MID			1
R. Nakuzola DEF		1		1
S Widmer DEF				1
D Kohr DEF		1

Most passes	Most tackles	Most duels won
233	11	30
F. Gruber	F. Gruber	P Tietz

Players	passes	tackles	duels won
F. Gruber DEF	233	11	28
N Amiri MID	208	4	12
K. Potulski DEF	188	8	21
K Sano MID	184	6	15
S Posch DEF	158	7	18
A Caci DEF	119	7	12
P Mwene DEF	104	9	19
P Tietz FWD	102	1	30
J Lee MID	96	1	10
D Costa DEF	80	4	9
S Becker FWD	63	1	12
A Schwolow GLK	60		1
R Zentner GLK	58		2
D Kohr DEF	49	4	5
R Königsdörffer FWD	21	2	10
O Ruoppi MID	15
B Hollerbach FWD	11	1	3
S Widmer DEF	8
R. Nakuzola DEF	6	1	1
E Martel MID	4	2	5
L Maloney MID	3		1

Leverkusen Bundesliga squad statistics 2026/2027

Overall

Attack

Defence

Most starts	Most goals	Most assists	Most cards
4	4	3	2
M Flekken	P Schick	M Gutiérrez	I Maza

Players	Appserances	goals	Assists	cards
M Flekken GLK	4			-
F Medina DEF	4	1		1 -
M Gutiérrez DEF	4	1	3	1 -
E Tapsoba DEF	4		1	1 -
L Vázquez DEF	4			-
J Quansah DEF	4		1	-
I Maza MID	4	1	1	2 -
A García MID	4			-
E Fernández MID	4	1		-
A Moreira FWD	4			1 -
P Schick FWD	4	4	1	-
C. Kofane FWD	4	2		-
M Tillman MID	3		1	-
M Diaby FWD	3			-
L Badé DEF	2			-
R Andrich MID	2			-
G Doué DEF	1			1 -
J Hofmann MID	1			-
M Terrier FWD	1			-
V Boniface FWD	1			-

Most goals	Most shots on target	Most assists	Most big chances
4	7	3	5
P Schick	P Schick	M Gutiérrez	M Gutiérrez

Players	goals	shots on	Assists	big chances
P Schick FWD	4	7	1
C. Kofane FWD	2	2
F Medina DEF	1	2
M Gutiérrez DEF	1	2	3	5
I Maza MID	1	2	1	2
E Fernández MID	1	1		1
E Tapsoba DEF			1
J Quansah DEF		2	1	3
A García MID		2		1
A Moreira FWD		3
M Tillman MID			1
M Diaby FWD		1
J Hofmann MID		1
M Terrier FWD		1
V Boniface FWD		1

Most passes	Most tackles	Most duels won
376	11	20
A García	E Fernández	E Fernández

Players	passes	tackles	duels won
A García MID	376	5	10
E Tapsoba DEF	282	6	17
F Medina DEF	260	1	9
M Gutiérrez DEF	212	7	12
E Fernández MID	190	11	20
I Maza MID	168	4	19
J Quansah DEF	146	2	3
M Flekken GLK	117		1
A Moreira FWD	99	5	16
M Tillman MID	74	2	6
M Diaby FWD	68		7
L Badé DEF	59	4	8
P Schick FWD	45	1	11
L Vázquez DEF	34	1	3
G Doué DEF	33
R Andrich MID	28	2	4
J Hofmann MID	20
C. Kofane FWD	19	1	6
M Terrier FWD	6	1	1
V Boniface FWD	2		1

German Bundesliga match betting previews, predictions and odds

Dortmund v W.Bremen

Fri 9th Oct, 19:30

Union Berlin v Elversberg

Paderborn v Stuttgart

Sat 10th Oct, 14:30

Hoffenheim v Hamburg

Sat 10th Oct, 14:30

RB Leipzig v E.Frankfurt

Sat 10th Oct, 17:30

1. FSV Mainz 05 v Bayer Leverkusen : Bundesliga match betting preview, prediction and odds

Mainz v Leverkusen Bundesliga lLine ups will show here when available.

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