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TSG 1899 Hoffenheim v Hamburger SV : Bundesliga match betting preview, prediction and odds

Sat 10th Oct, 14:30 BST, Wirsol Rhein-Neckar-Arena, Zuzenhausen

Hamburger SV, led by manager Merlin Polzin, visit Christian Ilzer and his TSG 1899 Hoffenheim side at the Wirsol Rhein-Neckar-Arena on Saturday afternoon in the Bundesliga. All statistics, including each side's 20 game form and head to head (H2H) records, will update as you explore each of the 17 major markets using the tabs below. Odds from the UK's biggest bookmakers and, of course, our algorithmic predictions will too.

Want to know who’s consistently beating the odds? Check out the Top Bundesliga Tipsters and see the most profitable experts for this season!

If you’re keen on betting across various leagues and markets, our Live Bets page showcases active accumulator bets and real-time tips.

Best Tip: Hoffenheim to win

Studying the bookmakers' odds and collated stats regarding both sides ahead of this Bundesliga game, a bet on win / draw / win for Hoffenheim to win in front of their own fans is our recommendation. We predict they will have too much for Hamburg, and head-to-head (H2H) records show they have a track record of doing so. It could be a tighter than we expect, but Hoffenheim to win is the bet come Saturday afternoon.

We're very confident in predicting that this game will have fewer than 5 goals in total. Our algorithm places ‘Under 5.5 goals’ at a 86% probability, making it by far the most likely outcome in this market.

Predictions	Bet365	Coral
Hoffenheim 67%	1.42 7%	-
Draw 18%	4.75 10%	-
Hamburg 15%	6.25 26%	-
Hoffenheim 2-1 10%	8.50 6%	-
Hoffenheim 2-0 9%	9.00 6%	-
Draw 1-1 8%	10.00 9%	-
Hoffenheim 3-1 8%	11.00 10%	-
Hoffenheim 1-0 7%	11.00	-
Hoffenheim 3-0 7%	11.00 10%	-
Draw 2-2 5%	15.00 12%	-
Hoffenheim 4-1 5%	17.00 13%	-
Hoffenheim 4-0 4%	17.00 13%	-
Hamburg 2-1 4%	19.00 17%	-
Hoffenheim 3-2 4%	19.00 10%	-
Hamburg 1-0 3%	23.00 21%	-
Draw 0-0 3%	21.00 9%	-
Hoffenheim 4-2 3%	29.00	-
Hoffenheim 5-1 2%	29.00 12%	-
Over 2.5 Goals 68%	1.44 3%	-
Under 2.5 Goals 32%	2.75 8%	-
Home 1st Goal 58%	1.40 3%	-
Away 1st Goal 41%	2.75 8%	-
No 1st Goal 1%	21.00 9%	-
BTTS - Yes 60%	1.57 6%	-
BTTS - No 40%	2.25 7%	-
BTTS - Home Win 36%	2.60 4%	-
BTTS - Draw 15%	5.50 8%	-
BTTS - Away Win 9%	9.50 21%	-
Home/draw 85%	1.13 5%	-
Away/draw 33%	2.75 15%	-
Home/away 82%	1.18 1%	-
Over 1.5 Goals 87%	1.13 2%	-
Under 1.5 Goals 13%	6.00 8%	-
Over 3.5 Goals 47%	2.00	-
Under 3.5 Goals 53%	1.80	-
Over 4.5 Goals 28%	3.40 6%	-
Under 4.5 Goals 72%	1.33 2%	-
Over 5.5 Goals 14%	6.00 9%	-
Under 5.5 Goals 86%	1.13 1%	-
Over 0.5 Goals 97%	1.02 1%	-
Under 0.5 Goals 3%	21.00 9%	-
Home DNB 80%	1.17 6%	-
Away DNB 27%	5.00 29%	-
Hoffenheim win to nil 31%	2.75 5%	-
Hamburg win to nil 6%	15.00 12%	-
Hoffenheim / Hoffenheim 41%	2.05 12%	-
Hoffenheim / Hamburg 2%	34.00 17%	-
Hoffenheim / Draw 6%	15.00 12%	-
Draw / Hoffenheim 19%	4.50 4%	-
Draw / Hamburg 6%	15.00 21%	-
Draw / Draw 10%	8.50 11%	-
Hamburg / Hoffenheim 5%	17.00	-
Hamburg / Hamburg 8%	11.00 27%	-
Hamburg / Draw 5%	17.00 11%	-

Over / under 5.5 goals Bundesliga table

BTTS yes BTTS no BTTS yes BTTS no Won Draw Lost Won Draw Lost Won Draw Lost Won Draw Lost Won Draw Lost Won Draw Lost Won Draw Lost Over 0.5 Under 0.5 Over 1.5 Under 1.5 Over 2.5 Under 2.5 Over 3.5 Under 3.5 Over 4.5 Under 4.5 Over 5.5 Under 5.5 For 0-0 Against Won Draw Lost	Hoffenheim Hamburg
Results by League Table

	TEAM	PLD	W	D	L	GD	PTS	HOME	AWAY	HOME	AWAY
1	Dortmund	4	4	0	0	7	12	l 2-3F	Jan 30	Jan 23	l 2-0A
2	Bayern	4	3	1	0	12	10	Dec 12	Apr 17	Nov 28	Apr 3
3	Freiburg	4	3	1	0	9	10	Apr 10	Dec 5	May 15	Jan 13
4	Augsburg	4	2	1	1	5	7	Nov 29	Apr 3	Jan 16	May 22
5	Leverkusen	4	2	1	1	5	7	Oct 25	Mar 3	Jan 9	May 8
6	Mainz	4	2	1	1	4	7	May 15	Jan 13	l 0-5A	Jan 30
7	Elversberg	4	2	1	1	1	7	Jan 9	May 8	Apr 24	Dec 19
8	W.Bremen	4	2	1	1	0	7	Mar 6	Oct 31	Mar 20	Nov 22
9	RB Leipzig	4	2	0	2	4	6	Jan 16	May 22	Feb 6	l 5-0A
10	E.Frankfurt	4	1	2	1	-1	5	Mar 20	Nov 21	Mar 6	Nov 1
11	Schalke	4	1	2	1	-1	5	Nov 8	Mar 13	Dec 12	Apr 17
12	Paderborn	4	1	1	2	-2	4	Feb 13	l 3-1A	Mar 3	Oct 24
13	Köln	4	1	1	2	-3	4	Jan 23	l 3-2F	w 2-1F	Feb 13
14	Hoffenheim	4	1	0	3	-3	3	-	-	Feb 20	Oct 10
15	Stuttgart	4	1	0	3	-3	3	w 2-1F	Feb 6	Oct 17	Feb 27
16	Hamburg	4	1	0	3	-11	3	Oct 10	Feb 20	-	-
17	Union Berlin	4	0	1	3	-13	1	Apr 24	Dec 19	Apr 10	Dec 5
18	B. M'gladbach	4	0	0	4	-10	0	Feb 27	Oct 18	Nov 6	Mar 13

	UEFA Champions League
	UEFA Europa League
	UEFA Conference League Qualifiers
	Relegation Play Off
	Relegation

Over / under 5.5 goals form

There have been under 5.5 goals in 39 consecutive Hamburg league games

Home

Overall

Avg: Scored

2.0

Conceded

1.5

Games: Scored

17 / 20

Conceded

16 / 20

Clean sheets

4 / 20

Failed to score

3 / 20

Under

HOME FORM Over / Under 5.5 Goals
Hoffenheim	2 - 1	Stuttgart
Hoffenheim	2 - 3	Dortmund
Hoffenheim	1 - 0	W.Bremen
Hoffenheim	3 - 3	Stuttgart
Hoffenheim	2 - 1	Dortmund
Hoffenheim	1 - 2	Mainz
Hoffenheim	1 - 1	Wolfsburg
Hoffenheim	0 - 1	St. Pauli
Hoffenheim	3 - 0	Freiburg
Hoffenheim	3 - 1	Union Berlin
Hoffenheim	1 - 0	Leverkusen
Hoffenheim	5 - 1	B. M'gladbach
Hoffenheim	4 - 1	Hamburg
Hoffenheim	3 - 0	Augsburg
Hoffenheim	3 - 1	RB Leipzig
Hoffenheim	3 - 1	Heidenheim
Hoffenheim	0 - 1	Köln
Hoffenheim	1 - 4	Bayern
Hoffenheim	1 - 3	E.Frankfurt
Hoffenheim	0 - 4	Bayern

Avg: Scored

1.7

Conceded

2.0

Games: Scored

17 / 20

Conceded

17 / 20

Clean sheets

3 / 20

Failed to score

3 / 20

Under

OVERALL FORM Over / Under 5.5 Goals
A	Hoffenheim	1 - 3	Paderborn
H	Hoffenheim	2 - 1	Stuttgart
H	Hoffenheim	2 - 3	Dortmund
A	Hoffenheim	2 - 3	Köln
A	Hoffenheim	0 - 4	B. M'gladbach
H	Hoffenheim	1 - 0	W.Bremen
H	Hoffenheim	3 - 3	Stuttgart
A	Hoffenheim	2 - 1	Hamburg
H	Hoffenheim	2 - 1	Dortmund
A	Hoffenheim	2 - 2	Augsburg
H	Hoffenheim	1 - 2	Mainz
A	Hoffenheim	0 - 5	RB Leipzig
H	Hoffenheim	1 - 1	Wolfsburg
A	Hoffenheim	4 - 2	Heidenheim
H	Hoffenheim	0 - 1	St. Pauli
A	Hoffenheim	2 - 2	Köln
H	Hoffenheim	3 - 0	Freiburg
A	Hoffenheim	1 - 5	Bayern
H	Hoffenheim	3 - 1	Union Berlin
A	Hoffenheim	2 - 0	W.Bremen

Away

Overall

Avg: Scored

0.9

Conceded

2.1

Games: Scored

12 / 20

Conceded

16 / 20

Clean sheets

4 / 20

Failed to score

8 / 20

Under

AWAY FORM Over / Under 5.5 Goals
RB Leipzig	5 - 0	Hamburg
Dortmund	2 - 0	Hamburg
Leverkusen	1 - 1	Hamburg
E.Frankfurt	1 - 2	Hamburg
W.Bremen	3 - 1	Hamburg
Stuttgart	4 - 0	Hamburg
Dortmund	3 - 2	Hamburg
Wolfsburg	1 - 2	Hamburg
Mainz	1 - 1	Hamburg
Heidenheim	0 - 2	Hamburg
St. Pauli	0 - 0	Hamburg
Freiburg	2 - 1	Hamburg
Hoffenheim	4 - 1	Hamburg
Augsburg	1 - 0	Hamburg
Köln	4 - 1	Hamburg
RB Leipzig	2 - 1	Hamburg
Union Berlin	0 - 0	Hamburg
Bayern	5 - 0	Hamburg
B. M'gladbach	0 - 0	Hamburg
Greuther	3 - 2	Hamburg

Avg: Scored

1.3

Conceded

2.0

Games: Scored

15 / 20

Conceded

19 / 20

Clean sheets

1 / 20

Failed to score

5 / 20

Under

OVERALL FORM Over / Under 5.5 Goals
H	Hamburg	2 - 1	Köln
A	Hamburg	0 - 5	RB Leipzig
H	Hamburg	0 - 5	Mainz
A	Hamburg	0 - 2	Dortmund
A	Hamburg	1 - 1	Leverkusen
H	Hamburg	3 - 2	Freiburg
A	Hamburg	2 - 1	E.Frankfurt
H	Hamburg	1 - 2	Hoffenheim
A	Hamburg	1 - 3	W.Bremen
A	Hamburg	0 - 4	Stuttgart
H	Hamburg	1 - 1	Augsburg
A	Hamburg	2 - 3	Dortmund
H	Hamburg	1 - 1	Köln
A	Hamburg	2 - 1	Wolfsburg
H	Hamburg	0 - 1	Leverkusen
H	Hamburg	1 - 2	RB Leipzig
A	Hamburg	1 - 1	Mainz
H	Hamburg	3 - 2	Union Berlin
A	Hamburg	2 - 0	Heidenheim
H	Hamburg	2 - 2	Bayern

Over / under 5.5 goals head to head (H2H)

Hoffenheim

Hamburg

Average goals:

2.1

1.1

Games: Scored

6 / 7

4 / 7

Clean sheets

3 / 7

1 / 7

Under

FIXTURE HISTORY AT Hoffenheim Over \| Under
Hoffenheim	4 - 1
Hoffenheim	2 - 0
Draw	2 - 2	Draw
	0 - 1	Hamburg
Hoffenheim	3 - 0
Hoffenheim	3 - 0
	1 - 4	Hamburg

Hamburg

Hoffenheim

Average goals:

1.8

0.8

Games: Scored

5 / 5

3 / 5

Clean sheets

2 / 5

0 / 5

Under

FIXTURE HISTORY AT Hamburg Over \| Under
	1 - 2	Hoffenheim
Hamburg	3 - 0
Hamburg	2 - 1
Draw	1 - 1	Draw
Hamburg	2 - 0

Goal Statistics

A PG of 2.4 is decent for TSG 1899 Hoffenheim in their clash with Hamburger SV, as is their run of scoring 1 goal or more in 23 consecutive Bundesliga games.

	Hoffenheim 14th	Hamburg 16th
	Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction	2.4 goals	1.1 goals
	Scoring probability
Scoring probability	0 9% 1 21% 2 26% 3 21% 4+ 23% There is a 70% probability that Hoffenheim will score 2 or more goals in this match	0 34% 1 37% 2 20% 3 4+ There is a 71% probability that Hamburg will score no more than 1 goal

	20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games	+4 Hoffenheim’s goalscoring at home has been inline with predictions	-31 Hamburg have scored 31% fewer goals when away than predicted
	2.0 average goals scored	0.9 average goals scored
	1.5 conceded	2.1 conceded

Attack defence ratings
Bundesliga - 2026/2027 season

better

TSG

HSV

view stats

Games scored	0		0
Failed to score	0		0
Scored first	0		0
Goals scored	0		0
Avg. goals scored	0		0
Avg. shots per game	0		0
Avg. shots per goal	0		0
Conversion rate for	0		0
Avg. XG for	0		0
KickOff rating		0%

better

TSG

HSV

view stats

Games conceded	0		0
Clean sheets	0		0
Conceded first	0		0
Goals conceded	0		0
Avg. goals conceded	0		0
Avg. shots/game conceded	0		0
Avg. shots/goal conceded	0		0
Conversion rate against	0%		0%
Avg. XG against	0		0
KickOff rating		0%

Hoffenheim v Hamburg Bundesliga lLine ups will show here when available.

Hoffenheim Bundesliga squad statistics 2026/2027

Overall

Attack

Defence

Most starts	Most goals	Most assists	Most cards
4	2	2	3
O Baumann	A Daghim	V Coufal	W Burger

Players	Appserances	goals	Assists	cards
O Baumann GLK	4			-
O Kabak DEF	4	1		2 -
V Coufal DEF	4		2	-
A Hajdari DEF	4			1 -
M Rots DEF	4			-
L Avdullahu MID	4	1		-
B Conté MID	4		2	-
W Burger MID	4			3 -
A Daghim FWD	4	2	2	-
P Wimmer FWD	4			-
A Hlozek FWD	4	2		-
A Kramaric FWD	4			1 -
T Lemperle FWD	3	1		-
M. Moerstedt FWD	3		1	1 -
R Hranáč DEF	2			-
K Machida DEF	2			-
N. De Cat MID	2			-
F Asllani FWD	2			-
Bernardo DEF	1			-
V Gendrey DEF	1			-

Most goals	Most shots on target	Most assists	Most big chances
2	4	2	5
A Daghim	A Daghim	V Coufal	A Daghim

Players	goals	shots on	Assists	big chances
A Daghim FWD	2	4	2	5
A Hlozek FWD	2	4		1
O Kabak DEF	1	2		1
L Avdullahu MID	1	1
T Lemperle FWD	1	3
V Coufal DEF			2	1
M Rots DEF				1
B Conté MID		1	2	1
W Burger MID		1
P Wimmer FWD		1		2
M. Moerstedt FWD		2	1	1
F Asllani FWD		1		1

Most passes	Most tackles	Most duels won
246	8	30
L Avdullahu	W Burger	O Kabak

Players	passes	tackles	duels won
L Avdullahu MID	246	7	11
A Hajdari DEF	222	5	13
V Coufal DEF	207	5	17
W Burger MID	204	8	23
O Kabak DEF	187	5	30
O Baumann GLK	153		1
M Rots DEF	139	6	13
A Daghim FWD	106	6	16
K Machida DEF	95	2	5
P Wimmer FWD	86	4	15
A Hlozek FWD	77	2	12
B Conté MID	77	5	18
T Lemperle FWD	69	1	6
R Hranáč DEF	41	2	4
A Kramaric FWD	28
Bernardo DEF	27	3	3
M. Moerstedt FWD	19	3	6
N. De Cat MID	16		2
F Asllani FWD	9	1	3
V Gendrey DEF	2	1	2

Hamburg Bundesliga squad statistics 2026/2027

Overall

Attack

Defence

Most starts	Most goals	Most assists	Most cards
4	1	2	1
D Fernandes	N Capaldo	A Grönbaek	N Capaldo

Players	Appserances	goals	Assists	cards
D Fernandes GLK	4			-
J Torunarigha DEF	4			-
N Capaldo DEF	4	1		1 -
N Remberg MID	4			-
A Grönbaek MID	4		2	1 -
T Moffi FWD	4			-
P Daka FWD	4			-
D Wolfe DEF	3			-
Z Ouahdi DEF	3			1 -
L. Lemke DEF	3			-
F Vieira MID	3			-
M Adeline MID	3			-
B Jatta MID	3			-
A Lokonga MID	3			1 -
Y Poulsen FWD	3	1		-
O. Emerson Stange FWD	3			-
S Bornauw DEF	2			-
S. Nandja DEF	2			1 -
W Omari DEF	2			-
B Nadir MID	2			-

Most goals	Most shots on target	Most assists	Most big chances
1	5	2	2
N Capaldo	F Vieira	A Grönbaek	A Grönbaek

Players	goals	shots on	Assists	big chances
N Capaldo DEF	1	1		1
Y Poulsen FWD	1	2
N Remberg MID		1
A Grönbaek MID		2	2	2
T Moffi FWD		2
D Wolfe DEF		1		1
Z Ouahdi DEF		1		1
F Vieira MID		5		1
A Lokonga MID				1

Most passes	Most tackles	Most duels won
187	12	26
D Fernandes	N Capaldo	N Capaldo

Players	passes	tackles	duels won
D Fernandes GLK	187
N Remberg MID	166	4	12
J Torunarigha DEF	140	3	12
N Capaldo DEF	134	12	26
A Lokonga MID	128	5	12
A Grönbaek MID	107	7	24
S Bornauw DEF	94	3	9
Z Ouahdi DEF	88	6	15
D Wolfe DEF	61		4
S. Nandja DEF	52	2	3
B Jatta MID	48	1	4
P Daka FWD	45	5	14
F Vieira MID	37	3	12
W Omari DEF	35		4
M Adeline MID	33	1	3
B Nadir MID	33	1	5
L. Lemke DEF	21	2	4
Y Poulsen FWD	20	1	9
T Moffi FWD	16	1	1
O. Emerson Stange FWD	9		2

German Bundesliga match betting previews, predictions and odds

Dortmund v W.Bremen

Fri 9th Oct, 19:30

Union Berlin v Elversberg

Paderborn v Stuttgart

Sat 10th Oct, 14:30

Hoffenheim v Hamburg

Sat 10th Oct, 14:30

RB Leipzig v E.Frankfurt

Sat 10th Oct, 17:30

TSG 1899 Hoffenheim v Hamburger SV : Bundesliga match betting preview, prediction and odds

Hoffenheim v Hamburg Bundesliga lLine ups will show here when available.

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