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TSG 1899 Hoffenheim v Hamburger SV : Bundesliga match betting preview, prediction and odds

Sat 13th Dec, 14:30 BST, Wirsol Rhein-Neckar-Arena, Zuzenhausen

Merlin Polzin pays counterpart Christian Ilzer a visit on Saturday afternoon in the Bundesliga, as their Hamburger SV and TSG 1899 Hoffenheim charges face each other at the Wirsol Rhein-Neckar-Arena. Statistics drive the algorithmic predictions below for seventeen markets, and switching between them will display bespoke analysis, including head to head (H2H), form and much more besides. Odds from leading bookmakers are also provided. Click on the tabs below to see it all.

Want to know who’s consistently beating the odds? Check out the Top Bundesliga Tipsters and see the most profitable experts for this season!

If you’re keen on betting across various leagues and markets, our Live Bets page showcases active accumulator bets and real-time tips.

Best Tip: Over 1.5 goals

The stats suggest there isn't an obvious winner in this fixture, but there's plenty of reasons to believe that Hoffenheim and Hamburg will score 2 or more goals between them. We've seen goals when they've gone head-to-head in years gone by, and neither Christian Ilzer or Merlin Polzin has suffered the frustration of many 0-0s lately either. The bookies are predicting over 1.5 goals too, with odds of 1.15 equating to approximately a 81% probability.

If you’re looking for a winner in this match, we think Hoffenheim are the most likely. Our predictive algorithm gives them a 58% chance of victory, and the bookies have them at a best price of 1.75.

Checkout the hundreds of tips picked but our top win/draw/win tipsters

Predictions	Bet365	Coral
Hoffenheim 58%	7/10 2%	3/4
Draw 22%	16/5 8%	16/5
Hamburg 20%	10/3 3%	3/1
Draw 1-1 10%	7/1	13/2
Hoffenheim 2-1 10%	15/2	13/2
Hoffenheim 1-0 9%	10/1 10%	8/1
Hoffenheim 2-0 9%	9/1	17/2
Hoffenheim 3-1 7%	11/1	10/1
Hoffenheim 3-0 6%	14/1	12/1
Hamburg 2-1 5%	14/1	10/1
Draw 2-2 5%	11/1	10/1
Hamburg 1-0 5%	18/1 12%	12/1
Draw 0-0 5%	18/1 12%	14/1 15%
Hoffenheim 3-2 4%	18/1	14/1
Hoffenheim 4-1 3%	20/1 9%	16/1
Hoffenheim 4-0 3%	25/1	18/1 10%
Hamburg 2-0 3%	25/1	18/1
Hamburg 3-1 2%	28/1	18/1 10%
Over 2.5 Goals 59%	1/2 2%	1/2
Under 2.5 Goals 41%	13/8 5%	29/20 2%
Home 1st Goal 55%	8/15 3%	4/7
Away 1st Goal 42%	7/5 1%	29/20
No 1st Goal 3%	18/1 12%	14/1 15%
BTTS - Yes 57%	8/15	8/15 1%
BTTS - No 43%	11/8	11/8
BTTS - Home Win 29%	2/1	19/10
BTTS - Draw 17%	15/4 6%	18/5
BTTS - Away Win 11%	6/1 8%	19/4
Home/draw 80%	1/5 2%	1/4 2%
Away/draw 42%	11/10 2%	21/20
Home/away 79%	2/9 2%	2/9
Over 1.5 Goals 81%	1/7 3%	2/13
Under 1.5 Goals 19%	9/2 10%	4/1 4%
Over 3.5 Goals 37%	6/5 4%	5/4
Under 3.5 Goals 63%	4/6 3%	3/5 2%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%	3/1	11/4
Under 4.5 Goals 80%	1/4	1/4
Over 5.5 Goals 9%	6/1	6/1
Under 5.5 Goals 91%	1/10	1/12
Over 0.5 Goals 95%	1/50 1%	1/66
Under 0.5 Goals 5%	18/1 12%	14/1 15%
Home DNB 73%	3/10 2%	7/20
Away DNB 35%	12/5 5%	2/1
Hoffenheim win to nil 29%	5/2	-
Hamburg win to nil 9%	9/1	-
Hoffenheim / Hoffenheim 31%	8/5 1%	8/5
Hoffenheim / Hamburg 3%	28/1	22/1
Hoffenheim / Draw 6%	12/1	11/1
Draw / Hoffenheim 16%	4/1	19/5
Draw / Hamburg 8%	9/1 5%	8/1 6%
Draw / Draw 12%	6/1	11/2
Hamburg / Hoffenheim 4%	18/1	16/1 13%
Hamburg / Hamburg 12%	6/1 8%	5/1
Hamburg / Draw 6%	14/1	12/1

Win / draw / win Bundesliga table

Hoffenheim have played 13 matches so far this season and lay in 5th place in the Bundesliga league table.

Performance against teams below them in the league

They have played 9 games against teams below in the table, having won 5, drawn 2 and lost 2 matches. They have kept 2 clean sheets and have failed to score in 1 fixture. Hoffenheim have outscored their opponents by 25 goals to 14 goals.

Home League Performance

Hoffenheim have played 6 games at home winning 3, drawing 0 and losing 3 games. They have scored 11 goals, kept 1 clean sheet and conceded 10 goals at home.

Hamburg are in 13th position in the Bundesliga on 15 points having played 13 matches so far this season. Hamburg are having a poor run against away teams, having not won a match so far this season. They have also not scored in 4 of those games.

Away League Performance

4 of those games have been losing matches. They have conceded 12 goals and kept 2 clean sheets. They have scored 2 goals in total and failed to score in 4 fixtures.

Performance against teams above them in the league

8 games have come against teams above them in the table. They have lost 3 games, drawn 3 and won 2. Hamburg have conceded 15 goals, scored 8, failed to score in 3 fixtures and have kept 2 clean sheets.

BTTS yes BTTS no BTTS yes BTTS no Won Draw Lost Won Draw Lost Won Draw Lost Won Draw Lost Won Draw Lost Won Draw Lost Won Draw Lost Over 0.5 Under 0.5 Over 1.5 Under 1.5 Over 2.5 Under 2.5 Over 3.5 Under 3.5 Over 4.5 Under 4.5 Over 5.5 Under 5.5 For 0-0 Against Won Draw Lost	Hoffenheim Hamburg
Results by League Table

	TEAM	PLD	W	D	L	GD	PTS	HOME	AWAY	HOME	AWAY
1	Bayern	13	12	1	0	40	37	l 1-4A	Feb 7	Jan 31	l 5-0A
2	RB Leipzig	13	9	2	2	15	29	w 3-1A	Mar 21	Feb 28	l 2-1A
3	Dortmund	13	8	4	1	12	28	Apr 18	l 2-0A	d 1-1A	Mar 21
4	Leverkusen	13	7	2	4	9	23	Jan 17	w 1-2A	Jan 13	May 16
5	Hoffenheim	13	7	2	4	6	23	-	-	Apr 25	Dec 13
6	Stuttgart	13	7	1	5	-1	22	May 2	Dec 20	w 2-1F	Apr 11
7	E.Frankfurt	13	6	3	4	-1	21	l 1-3A	Jan 24	Dec 20	May 2
8	Köln	13	4	4	5	1	16	l 0-1A	Feb 21	Mar 14	l 4-1A
9	Freiburg	13	4	4	5	-2	16	Feb 14	d 1-1A	May 9	Jan 10
10	B. M'gladbach	13	4	4	5	-2	16	Jan 14	May 16	Jan 17	d 0-00-0
11	W.Bremen	13	4	4	5	-6	16	May 9	Jan 10	w 3-2A	Apr 18
12	Union Berlin	13	4	3	6	-6	15	Jan 31	w 2-4F	Feb 14	d 0-00-0
13	Hamburg	13	4	3	6	-6	15	Dec 13	Apr 25	-	-
14	Augsburg	13	4	1	8	-10	13	w 3-0F	Apr 11	Apr 4	l 1-0A
15	Wolfsburg	13	3	3	7	-6	12	Mar 14	w 2-3A	l 0-1A	Mar 7
16	Heidenheim	13	3	2	8	-16	11	w 3-1F	Mar 7	w 2-1F	Feb 7
17	St. Pauli	13	2	2	9	-14	8	Feb 28	w 0-3F	l 0-2A	Jan 23
18	Mainz	13	1	3	9	-13	6	Apr 4	d 1-1F	w 4-0F	Feb 21

	UEFA Champions League
	UEFA Europa League
	UEFA Conference League Qualifiers
	Relegation Play Off
	Relegation

Win / draw / win form

Hoffenheim have won 3 consecutive home league games

Hamburg have lost 3 consecutive away league games

Hamburg have not won in 7 consecutive away league games

Home

Overall

Goals: Scored

Conceded

Games: Scored

15 / 20

Conceded

18 / 20

Clean sheets

2 / 20

Failed to score

5 / 20

Won

Draw

Lost

HOME FORM Win / Draw / Win
Hoffenheim	3 - 0	Augsburg
Hoffenheim	3 - 1	RB Leipzig
Hoffenheim	3 - 1	Heidenheim
Hoffenheim	0 - 1	Köln
Hoffenheim	1 - 4	Bayern
Hoffenheim	1 - 3	E.Frankfurt
Hoffenheim	0 - 4	Bayern
Hoffenheim	2 - 3	Dortmund
Hoffenheim	2 - 0	Mainz
Hoffenheim	1 - 1	Augsburg
Hoffenheim	1 - 1	Heidenheim
Hoffenheim	1 - 1	Stuttgart
Hoffenheim	0 - 4	Union Berlin
Hoffenheim	2 - 2	E.Frankfurt
Hoffenheim	0 - 1	Wolfsburg
Hoffenheim	1 - 2	B. M'gladbach
Hoffenheim	1 - 1	Freiburg
Hoffenheim	4 - 3	RB Leipzig
Hoffenheim	0 - 2	St. Pauli
Hoffenheim	3 - 1	VfL Bochum

Goals: Scored

Conceded

Games: Scored

17 / 20

Conceded

17 / 20

Clean sheets

3 / 20

Failed to score

3 / 20

Won

Lost

OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
A	Hoffenheim	0 - 2	Dortmund
H	Hoffenheim	3 - 0	Augsburg
A	Hoffenheim	1 - 1	Mainz
H	Hoffenheim	3 - 1	RB Leipzig
A	Hoffenheim	3 - 2	Wolfsburg
H	Hoffenheim	3 - 1	Heidenheim
A	Hoffenheim	3 - 0	St. Pauli
H	Hoffenheim	0 - 1	Köln
A	Hoffenheim	1 - 1	Freiburg
H	Hoffenheim	1 - 4	Bayern
A	Hoffenheim	4 - 2	Union Berlin
H	Hoffenheim	1 - 3	E.Frankfurt
A	Hoffenheim	2 - 1	Leverkusen
H	Hoffenheim	0 - 4	Bayern
A	Hoffenheim	2 - 2	Wolfsburg
A	Hoffenheim	4 - 4	B. M'gladbach
H	Hoffenheim	2 - 3	Dortmund
A	Hoffenheim	2 - 3	Freiburg
H	Hoffenheim	2 - 0	Mainz
A	Hoffenheim	1 - 3	RB Leipzig

Away

Overall

Goals: Scored

Conceded

Games: Scored

15 / 20

Conceded

14 / 20

Clean sheets

6 / 20

Failed to score

5 / 20

Won

Draw

Lost

AWAY FORM Win / Draw / Win
Augsburg	1 - 0	Hamburg
Köln	4 - 1	Hamburg
RB Leipzig	2 - 1	Hamburg
Union Berlin	0 - 0	Hamburg
Bayern	5 - 0	Hamburg
B. M'gladbach	0 - 0	Hamburg
Greuther	3 - 2	Hamburg
Darmstadt	0 - 4	Hamburg
Schalke	2 - 2	Hamburg
Nurnberg	0 - 3	Hamburg
Magdeburg	0 - 3	Hamburg
Paderborn	2 - 0	Hamburg
Regensburg	1 - 1	Hamburg
Preussen Munster	1 - 2	Hamburg
H.Berlin	2 - 3	Hamburg
Ulm	1 - 1	Hamburg
Karlsruher	1 - 3	Hamburg
E. Braun	3 - 1	Hamburg
Elversberg	4 - 2	Hamburg
Dusseldorf	0 - 3	Hamburg

Goals: Scored

Conceded

Games: Scored

14 / 20

Conceded

15 / 20

Clean sheets

5 / 20

Failed to score

6 / 20

Won

Lost

OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
H	Hamburg	3 - 2	W.Bremen
H	Hamburg	2 - 1	Stuttgart
A	Hamburg	0 - 1	Augsburg
H	Hamburg	1 - 1	Dortmund
A	Hamburg	1 - 4	Köln
H	Hamburg	0 - 1	Wolfsburg
A	Hamburg	1 - 2	RB Leipzig
H	Hamburg	4 - 0	Mainz
A	Hamburg	0 - 0	Union Berlin
H	Hamburg	2 - 1	Heidenheim
A	Hamburg	0 - 5	Bayern
H	Hamburg	0 - 2	St. Pauli
A	Hamburg	0 - 0	B. M'gladbach
A	Hamburg	2 - 3	Greuther
H	Hamburg	6 - 1	Ulm
A	Hamburg	4 - 0	Darmstadt
H	Hamburg	1 - 2	Karlsruher
A	Hamburg	2 - 2	Schalke
H	Hamburg	2 - 4	E. Braun
A	Hamburg	3 - 0	Nurnberg

Win / draw / win head to head (H2H)

Hoffenheim

Hamburg

Goals: Scored

Games: Scored

5 / 6

3 / 6

Clean sheets

3 / 6

1 / 6

TSG

HSV

FIXTURE HISTORY AT Hoffenheim
Hoffenheim	2 - 0
Draw	2 - 2	Draw
	0 - 1	Hamburg
Hoffenheim	3 - 0
Hoffenheim	3 - 0
	1 - 4	Hamburg

Hamburg

Hoffenheim

Goals: Scored

Games: Scored

4 / 4

2 / 4

Clean sheets

2 / 4

0 / 4

HSV

FIXTURE HISTORY AT Hamburg
Hamburg	3 - 0
Hamburg	2 - 1
Draw	1 - 1	Draw
Hamburg	2 - 0

Goal Statistics

A PG of 2.0 is fairly strong for TSG 1899 Hoffenheim in their clash with Hamburger SV, as is their run of scoring 1 goal or more in 36 consecutive Bundesliga games.

	Hoffenheim 5th	Hamburg 13th
	Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction	2.0 goals	1.1 goals
	Scoring probability
Scoring probability	0 14% 1 27% 2 27% 3 18% 4+ 14% There is a 86% probability that Hoffenheim will score 1 or more goals	0 34% 1 37% 2 20% 3 4+ There is a 71% probability that Hamburg will score no more than 1 goal

	20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games	-12 Hoffenheim have scored 12% fewer goals at home than predicted	+3 Hamburg’s goalscoring when away has been inline with predictions
	1.5 average goals scored	1.6 average goals scored
	1.8 conceded	1.6 conceded

Attack defence ratings
Bundesliga - 2025/2025 season

47%

better

TSG

HSV

view stats

Games scored	11		6
Failed to score	1		6
Scored first	5		3
Goals scored	25		11
Avg. goals scored	1.9		0.8
Avg. shots per game	9		9
Avg. shots per goal	5		10
Conversion rate for	21		10
Avg. XG for	1.7		1.3
KickOff rating		+47%

TSG

HSV

better

view stats

Games conceded	10		9
Clean sheets	2		3
Conceded first	7		7
Goals conceded	17		18
Avg. goals conceded	1.3		1.4
Avg. shots/game conceded	8		10
Avg. shots/goal conceded	6		8
Conversion rate against	16%		13%
Avg. XG against	1.5		1.5
KickOff rating		+9%

Hoffenheim v Hamburg Bundesliga lLine ups will show here when available.

Hoffenheim Bundesliga squad statistics 2025

Overall

Attack

Defence

Most starts	Most goals	Most assists	Most cards
13	5	4	5
O Baumann	F Asllani	V Coufal	Bernardo

Players	Appserances	goals	Assists	cards
O Baumann GLK	13			-
V Coufal DEF	13	1	4	1 -
Bernardo DEF	13			5 -
R Hranáč DEF	13			2 -
L Avdullahu MID	13		1	2 -
G Prömel MID	13	4	1	1 -
A Kramaric MID	13	3	3	1 -
B. Touré FWD	13	2	3	1 -
F Asllani FWD	13	5	2	1 -
W Burger MID	12	3	3	2 -
T Lemperle FWD	12	4	1	1 -
A Prass DEF	11			-
A Hajdari DEF	11	1		4 -
M. Moerstedt FWD	9			1 -
M Damar MID	8			-
I Bebou FWD	8			-
O Kabak DEF	5			-
U Tohumcu MID	5			2 -
A Chaves DEF	4			1 -
K Akpoguma DEF	2			-
K Machida DEF	1			1 -
A Hlozek FWD	1			-

Most goals	Most shots on target	Most assists	Most big chances
5	11	4	8
F Asllani	T Lemperle	V Coufal	V Coufal

Players	goals	shots on	Assists	big chances
F Asllani FWD	5	10	2	3
G Prömel MID	4	5	1
T Lemperle FWD	4	11	1	3
A Kramaric MID	3	8	3	3
W Burger MID	3	6	3	4
B. Touré FWD	2	6	3	3
V Coufal DEF	1	3	4	8
A Hajdari DEF	1	2		2
Bernardo DEF				1
R Hranáč DEF		1
L Avdullahu MID		1	1	1
A Prass DEF		1		1
M Damar MID		6
I Bebou FWD		1		1

Most passes	Most tackles	Most duels won
723	33	84
L Avdullahu	Bernardo	Bernardo

Players	passes	tackles	duels won
L Avdullahu MID	723	14	40
Bernardo DEF	623	33	84
R Hranáč DEF	622	13	51
A Hajdari DEF	584	19	62
W Burger MID	536	27	68
V Coufal DEF	513	23	57
O Baumann GLK	474		9
A Kramaric MID	345	1	17
G Prömel MID	298	11	32
B. Touré FWD	294	15	75
F Asllani FWD	232	6	40
T Lemperle FWD	230	11	40
A Chaves DEF	130	7	19
A Prass DEF	112	11	19
M Damar MID	101	4	8
M. Moerstedt FWD	58	5	15
U Tohumcu MID	47	3	6
O Kabak DEF	40	1	7
K Machida DEF	36	1	2
I Bebou FWD	22		3
K Akpoguma DEF	9	1	2
A Hlozek FWD	1

Hamburg Bundesliga squad statistics 2025

Overall

Attack

Defence

Most starts	Most goals	Most assists	Most cards
13	3	3	4
D Fernandes	R Philippe	M Muheim	N Remberg

Players	Appserances	goals	Assists	cards
D Fernandes GLK	13			1 -
M Muheim DEF	13		3	2 -
N Remberg MID	13		1	4 -
R Philippe FWD	13	3		2 -
R Königsdörffer FWD	13	1	2	-
W Mikelbrencis DEF	11			-
L. Vušković DEF	11	2		3 -
N Capaldo MID	11		1	3 -
M Dompé FWD	11	2		-
G Gocholeishvili DEF	10		1	1 1
A Lokonga MID	10	3		-
D Elfadli DEF	9			2 -
R Glatzel FWD	9	1		-
F Vieira MID	8	1	2	2 2
F. Uri Baldé FWD	8		1	-
A. Røssing-Lelesiit FWD	8		1	1 1
Y Poulsen FWD	7	1		3 -
J Torunarigha DEF	6			-
G Ramos DEF	6			-
W Omari DEF	5			-
I Pherai MID	4			1 1
J Meffert MID	3			-
A. Souhmahoro DEF	2			1 -
E Sahiti FWD	2			-
B Jatta FWD	1			-

Most goals	Most shots on target	Most assists	Most big chances
3	11	3	5
R Philippe	R Philippe	M Muheim	M Dompé

Players	goals	shots on	Assists	big chances
R Philippe FWD	3	11		1
A Lokonga MID	3	5
L. Vušković DEF	2	2
M Dompé FWD	2	9		5
R Königsdörffer FWD	1	9	2
R Glatzel FWD	1	3
F Vieira MID	1	4	2	3
Y Poulsen FWD	1	3
M Muheim DEF		2	3	3
N Remberg MID		3	1	1
W Mikelbrencis DEF		2		1
N Capaldo MID		1	1	2
G Gocholeishvili DEF		2	1	1
D Elfadli DEF		1
F. Uri Baldé FWD		1	1	1
A. Røssing-Lelesiit FWD		1	1	1
G Ramos DEF		1
B Jatta FWD		1

Most passes	Most tackles	Most duels won
655	29	82
L. Vušković	N Remberg	L. Vušković

Players	passes	tackles	duels won
L. Vušković DEF	655	7	82
D Fernandes GLK	647		2
N Remberg MID	541	29	77
M Muheim DEF	524	26	60
D Elfadli DEF	425	14	30
N Capaldo MID	358	29	65
J Torunarigha DEF	304	16	36
A Lokonga MID	285	13	38
W Omari DEF	234	3	10
M Dompé FWD	206	4	28
F Vieira MID	197		16
R Königsdörffer FWD	153	1	34
G Gocholeishvili DEF	153	10	35
R Philippe FWD	139	13	31
W Mikelbrencis DEF	139	7	13
Y Poulsen FWD	68	4	26
A. Røssing-Lelesiit FWD	58	8	20
A. Souhmahoro DEF	47	1	1
J Meffert MID	45	4	5
G Ramos DEF	34		5
E Sahiti FWD	31		5
R Glatzel FWD	28		9
F. Uri Baldé FWD	26	3	7
B Jatta FWD	26	3	6
I Pherai MID	21	1	4