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SV Werder Bremen v SC Paderborn 07 : Bundesliga match betting preview, prediction and odds

Sat 17th Oct, 14:30 BST, Weser-Stadion, Bremen

The Bundesliga is the focus for both SV Werder Bremen and SC Paderborn 07 on Saturday afternoon, as managers Daniel Thioune and Ralf Kettemann face one another at the Weser-Stadion. Below you'll find unique stats for all of the main betting markets, from both teams to score to double chance, including form and historical head to head (H2H) data. Predictions are calculated from these, and the odds come directly from the UK's biggest bookmakers.

Want to know who’s consistently beating the odds? Check out the Top Bundesliga Tipsters and see the most profitable experts for this season!

If you’re keen on betting across various leagues and markets, our Live Bets page showcases active accumulator bets and real-time tips.

Best Tip: Both teams to score

Both Paderborn and W.Bremen fans should get a chance to celebrate as their clubs go head-to-head, with a match prediction of both teams to score looking a far more convincing pick than any bet on the full time result market. The two sides are more than capable of finding the net, as is borne out by the statistics and past head-to-head data below. Even the bookmakers odds are not finding much to pick between the sides, with equal threat among their respective squads. Both teams to score is the way to go here.

If you’re looking for a winner in this match, we think W.Bremen are the most likely. Our predictive algorithm gives them a 51% chance of victory, and the bookies have them at a best price of 1.83.

Checkout the hundreds of tips picked but our top win/draw/win tipsters

Predictions	Bet365	Coral
W.Bremen 51%	5/6 20%	-
Draw 23%	27/10 12%	-
Paderborn 27%	29/10 29%	-
Draw 1-1 10%	13/2 12%	-
W.Bremen 2-1 10%	15/2	-
W.Bremen 1-0 8%	9/1 9%	-
W.Bremen 2-0 7%	10/1 10%	-
Paderborn 2-1 7%	12/1 24%	-
Draw 2-2 6%	11/1 8%	-
W.Bremen 3-1 6%	12/1 18%	-
Paderborn 1-0 5%	14/1 29%	-
W.Bremen 3-0 5%	16/1 31%	-
Draw 0-0 4%	14/1 29%	-
W.Bremen 3-2 4%	20/1 11%	-
Paderborn 2-0 4%	22/1 32%	-
Paderborn 3-1 3%	28/1 29%	-
W.Bremen 4-1 3%	25/1 37%	-
Paderborn 3-2 3%	28/1 15%	-
Over 2.5 Goals 62%	4/7 9%	-
Under 2.5 Goals 38%	11/8 13%	-
Home 1st Goal 53%	8/13 8%	-
Away 1st Goal 45%	13/10 12%	-
No 1st Goal 3%	14/1 29%	-
BTTS - Yes 62%	8/15	-
BTTS - No 38%	11/8	-
BTTS - Home Win 28%	9/4 18%	-
BTTS - Draw 18%	10/3 9%	-
BTTS - Away Win 15%	11/2 24%	-
Home/draw 73%	1/4 10%	-
Away/draw 49%	10/11 20%	-
Home/away 77%	2/7 6%	-
Over 1.5 Goals 83%	1/6 3%	-
Under 1.5 Goals 17%	4/1 9%	-
Over 3.5 Goals 39%	13/10 10%	-
Under 3.5 Goals 61%	8/13 6%	-
Over 4.5 Goals 22%	10/3 15%	-
Under 4.5 Goals 78%	2/9 5%	-
Over 5.5 Goals 10%	6/1 8%	-
Under 5.5 Goals 90%	1/10 1%	-
Over 0.5 Goals 96%	1/40 1%	-
Under 0.5 Goals 4%	14/1 29%	-
Home DNB 67%	4/11 13%	-
Away DNB 42%	2/1 31%	-
W.Bremen win to nil 23%	11/4 15%	-
Paderborn win to nil 11%	8/1 31%	-
W.Bremen / W.Bremen 29%	15/8 25%	-
W.Bremen / Paderborn 3%	28/1 15%	-
W.Bremen / Draw 6%	12/1 13%	-
Draw / W.Bremen 17%	4/1 5%	-
Draw / Paderborn 9%	8/1 25%	-
Draw / Draw 13%	11/2 13%	-
Paderborn / W.Bremen 4%	18/1 12%	-
Paderborn / Paderborn 14%	5/1 29%	-
Paderborn / Draw 6%	14/1	-

Win / draw / win Bundesliga table

BTTS yes BTTS no BTTS yes BTTS no Won Draw Lost Won Draw Lost Won Draw Lost Won Draw Lost Won Draw Lost Won Draw Lost Won Draw Lost Over 0.5 Under 0.5 Over 1.5 Under 1.5 Over 2.5 Under 2.5 Over 3.5 Under 3.5 Over 4.5 Under 4.5 Over 5.5 Under 5.5 For 0-0 Against Won Draw Lost	W.Bremen Paderborn
Results by League Table

	TEAM	PLD	W	D	L	GD	PTS	HOME	AWAY	HOME	AWAY
1	Dortmund	4	4	0	0	7	12	Feb 20	Oct 9	Feb 6	l 3-0A
2	Bayern	4	3	1	0	12	10	Apr 24	Dec 19	Apr 10	Dec 5
3	Freiburg	4	3	1	0	9	10	Jan 23	l 4-1A	l 0-1A	Jan 30
4	Augsburg	4	2	1	1	5	7	w 3-2A	Feb 13	Apr 24	Dec 19
5	Leverkusen	4	2	1	1	5	7	Dec 12	Apr 17	Mar 20	Nov 21
6	Mainz	4	2	1	1	4	7	Mar 3	Oct 24	Jan 23	d 0-00-0
7	Elversberg	4	2	1	1	1	7	Jan 16	May 22	Dec 12	Apr 17
8	W.Bremen	4	2	1	1	0	7	-	-	Feb 27	Oct 17
9	RB Leipzig	4	2	0	2	4	6	w 3-1F	Jan 30	Jan 9	May 8
10	E.Frankfurt	4	1	2	1	-1	5	Apr 10	Dec 5	Nov 7	Mar 13
11	Schalke	4	1	2	1	-1	5	May 15	Jan 13	Nov 28	Apr 3
12	Paderborn	4	1	1	2	-2	4	Oct 17	Feb 27	-	-
13	Köln	4	1	1	2	-3	4	Feb 6	d 1-1A	Jan 16	May 22
14	Hoffenheim	4	1	0	3	-3	3	Oct 31	Mar 6	w 3-1F	Feb 13
15	Stuttgart	4	1	0	3	-3	3	Mar 13	Nov 7	Oct 10	Feb 20
16	Hamburg	4	1	0	3	-11	3	Nov 22	Mar 20	Oct 24	Mar 3
17	Union Berlin	4	0	1	3	-13	1	Jan 9	May 8	May 15	Jan 13
18	B. M'gladbach	4	0	0	4	-10	0	Nov 27	Apr 3	Mar 6	Oct 31

	UEFA Champions League
	UEFA Europa League
	UEFA Conference League Qualifiers
	Relegation Play Off
	Relegation

Win / draw / win form

Home

Overall

Goals: Scored

Conceded

Games: Scored

13 / 20

Conceded

16 / 20

Clean sheets

4 / 20

Failed to score

7 / 20

Won

Draw

Lost

HOME FORM Win / Draw / Win
W.Bremen	3 - 2	Augsburg
W.Bremen	3 - 1	RB Leipzig
W.Bremen	0 - 2	Dortmund
W.Bremen	1 - 3	Augsburg
W.Bremen	3 - 1	Hamburg
W.Bremen	1 - 2	RB Leipzig
W.Bremen	0 - 2	Mainz
W.Bremen	2 - 0	Heidenheim
W.Bremen	0 - 3	Bayern
W.Bremen	1 - 1	B. M'gladbach
W.Bremen	0 - 2	Hoffenheim
W.Bremen	3 - 3	E.Frankfurt
W.Bremen	0 - 4	Stuttgart
W.Bremen	1 - 1	Köln
W.Bremen	2 - 1	Wolfsburg
W.Bremen	1 - 0	Union Berlin
W.Bremen	1 - 0	St. Pauli
W.Bremen	0 - 3	Freiburg
W.Bremen	3 - 3	Leverkusen
W.Bremen	0 - 0	RB Leipzig

Goals: Scored

Conceded

Games: Scored

14 / 20

Conceded

18 / 20

Clean sheets

2 / 20

Failed to score

6 / 20

Won

Lost

OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
H	W.Bremen	3 - 2	Augsburg
A	W.Bremen	1 - 1	Köln
H	W.Bremen	3 - 1	RB Leipzig
A	W.Bremen	1 - 4	Freiburg
H	W.Bremen	0 - 2	Dortmund
A	W.Bremen	0 - 1	Hoffenheim
H	W.Bremen	1 - 3	Augsburg
A	W.Bremen	1 - 1	Stuttgart
H	W.Bremen	3 - 1	Hamburg
A	W.Bremen	1 - 3	Köln
H	W.Bremen	1 - 2	RB Leipzig
A	W.Bremen	1 - 0	Wolfsburg
H	W.Bremen	0 - 2	Mainz
A	W.Bremen	4 - 1	Union Berlin
H	W.Bremen	2 - 0	Heidenheim
A	W.Bremen	1 - 2	St. Pauli
H	W.Bremen	0 - 3	Bayern
A	W.Bremen	0 - 1	Freiburg
H	W.Bremen	1 - 1	B. M'gladbach
H	W.Bremen	0 - 2	Hoffenheim

Away

Overall

Goals: Scored

Conceded

Games: Scored

14 / 20

Conceded

12 / 20

Clean sheets

8 / 20

Failed to score

6 / 20

Won

Draw

Lost

AWAY FORM Win / Draw / Win
Dortmund	3 - 0	Paderborn
Mainz	0 - 0	Paderborn
Darmstadt	0 - 2	Paderborn
Elversberg	5 - 1	Paderborn
Hannover	1 - 1	Paderborn
Greuther	0 - 2	Paderborn
Arminia	2 - 2	Paderborn
Kaiserslautern	1 - 2	Paderborn
VfL Bochum	0 - 0	Paderborn
Dusseldorf	2 - 1	Paderborn
Holstein	2 - 0	Paderborn
Karlsruher	0 - 4	Paderborn
Schalke	2 - 1	Paderborn
Magdeburg	0 - 1	Paderborn
Dresden	1 - 2	Paderborn
E. Braun	1 - 2	Paderborn
H.Berlin	0 - 2	Paderborn
Nurnberg	0 - 0	Paderborn
Preussen Munster	1 - 1	Paderborn
Karlsruher	3 - 0	Paderborn

Goals: Scored

Conceded

Games: Scored

16 / 20

Conceded

16 / 20

Clean sheets

4 / 20

Failed to score

4 / 20

Won

Draw

Lost

OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
H	Paderborn	3 - 1	Hoffenheim
A	Paderborn	0 - 3	Dortmund
H	Paderborn	0 - 1	Freiburg
A	Paderborn	0 - 0	Mainz
A	Paderborn	2 - 0	Darmstadt
H	Paderborn	2 - 2	Karlsruher
A	Paderborn	1 - 5	Elversberg
H	Paderborn	2 - 3	Schalke
A	Paderborn	1 - 1	Hannover
H	Paderborn	4 - 3	Magdeburg
A	Paderborn	2 - 0	Greuther
H	Paderborn	2 - 1	Dresden
A	Paderborn	2 - 2	Arminia
H	Paderborn	1 - 1	E. Braun
A	Paderborn	2 - 1	Kaiserslautern
H	Paderborn	5 - 2	H.Berlin
A	Paderborn	0 - 0	VfL Bochum
H	Paderborn	2 - 1	Nurnberg
A	Paderborn	1 - 2	Dusseldorf
H	Paderborn	2 - 1	Preussen Munster

Win / draw / win head to head (H2H)

W.Bremen

Paderborn

Goals: Scored

Games: Scored

1 / 2

2 / 2

Clean sheets

0 / 2

1 / 2

PAD

FIXTURE HISTORY AT W.Bremen
		1 - 4		Paderborn
		0 - 1		Paderborn

Paderborn

W.Bremen

Goals: Scored

Games: Scored

3 / 3

Clean sheets

0 / 3

SVW

FIXTURE HISTORY AT Paderborn
	3 - 4	W.Bremen
	1 - 5	W.Bremen
Draw	2 - 2	Draw

Goal Statistics

	W.Bremen 8th	Paderborn 12th
	Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction	1.9 goals	1.3 goals
	Scoring probability
Scoring probability	0 15% 1 29% 2 27% 3 17% 4+ 12% There is a 85% probability that W.Bremen will score 1 or more goals	0 27% 1 35% 2 23% 3 10% 4+ There is a 73% probability that Paderborn will score 1 or more goals

	20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games	-19 W.Bremen have scored 19% fewer goals at home than predicted	-19 Paderborn have scored 19% fewer goals when away than predicted
	1.3 average goals scored	1.2 average goals scored
	1.7 conceded	1.2 conceded

Attack defence ratings
Bundesliga - 2026/2027 season

52%

better

SVW

PAD

view stats

Games scored	4		1
Failed to score	0		3
Scored first	1		1
Goals scored	8		3
Avg. goals scored	2		0.8
Avg. shots per game	11		8
Avg. shots per goal	5		10
Conversion rate for	19		10
Avg. XG for	1.3		0.8
KickOff rating		+52%

SVW

PAD

40%

better

view stats

Games conceded	4		3
Clean sheets	0		1
Conceded first	3		2
Goals conceded	8		5
Avg. goals conceded	2		1.3
Avg. shots/game conceded	10		11
Avg. shots/goal conceded	5		9
Conversion rate against	21%		11%
Avg. XG against	1.6		1.5
KickOff rating		+40%

W.Bremen v Paderborn Bundesliga lLine ups will show here when available.

W.Bremen Bundesliga squad statistics 2026/2027

Overall

Attack

Defence

Most starts	Most goals	Most assists	Most cards
4	3	4	1
K Hein	N Füllkrug	M Grüll	O Deman

Players	Appserances	goals	Assists	cards
K Hein GLK	4			-
M Friedl DEF	4			-
A Pieper DEF	4			-
O Deman DEF	4			1 -
M. Schmetgens DEF	4			-
I. San José Cantalejo MID	4		2	1 -
L Reis MID	4			1 -
N Füllkrug FWD	4	3		-
E Dinkçi FWD	4	1		-
M Grüll FWD	4	2	4	1 -
Arthur DEF	3			1 -
D Stalmach MID	3	1		-
Y Regeer MID	3			-
C Itten FWD	3			-
S. Musah FWD	3			-
M Weiser DEF	2	1		-
P. Erevbenagie FWD	2			-
O Wojcik DEF	1			-
S Lynen MID	1			-
J Njinmah FWD	1			-

Most goals	Most shots on target	Most assists	Most big chances
3	7	4	2
N Füllkrug	N Füllkrug	M Grüll	I. San José Cantalejo

Players	goals	shots on	Assists	big chances
N Füllkrug FWD	3	7		2
M Grüll FWD	2	3	4	1
E Dinkçi FWD	1	1
D Stalmach MID	1	1
M Weiser DEF	1	2
A Pieper DEF		1
O Deman DEF		3		1
I. San José Cantalejo MID		4	2	2
L Reis MID		2
Y Regeer MID		1
P. Erevbenagie FWD		1

Most passes	Most tackles	Most duels won
302	15	26
M Friedl	O Deman	M Grüll

Players	passes	tackles	duels won
M Friedl DEF	302	2	10
A Pieper DEF	287	9	19
O Deman DEF	195	15	20
Y Regeer MID	172	7	13
L Reis MID	155	13	20
I. San José Cantalejo MID	140	5	11
Arthur DEF	140	4	16
K Hein GLK	126	1	4
M Grüll FWD	115	12	26
N Füllkrug FWD	95	6	21
E Dinkçi FWD	51	1	2
M. Schmetgens DEF	43	4	9
D Stalmach MID	23	4	5
C Itten FWD	16	1	3
S. Musah FWD	16	1	1
O Wojcik DEF	13		1
S Lynen MID	13	2	3
J Njinmah FWD	12	2	5
M Weiser DEF	9	1	6
P. Erevbenagie FWD	5	2	2

Paderborn Bundesliga squad statistics 2026/2027

Overall

Attack

Defence

Most starts	Most goals	Most assists	Most cards
4	1	1	1
N Noll	S Castaneda	L Curda	J. ter Horst

Players	Appserances	goals	Assists	cards
N Noll GLK	4			-
J. ter Horst DEF	4			1 -
M Hansen DEF	4			1 -
T. Scheller DEF	4			1 -
L Ulrich MID	4			1 -
L Curda MID	4		1	1 -
S Castaneda MID	4	1		1 -
R Obermair MID	4			-
M Pieringer FWD	4			-
G Vidović FWD	4			-
S Tigges FWD	4	1		-
S Marino FWD	4	1		-
J. Sticker DEF	3		1	-
R Philippe FWD	3			-
T Baack MID	2			-
C. Lippmann MID	2			-
O Meier FWD	2			-
F Götze DEF	1			-
Niklas Mohr MID	1			-
L. Đurić MID	1			-

Most goals	Most shots on target	Most assists	Most big chances
1	2	1	1
S Castaneda	S Castaneda	L Curda	L Curda

Players	goals	shots on	Assists	big chances
S Castaneda MID	1	2		1
S Tigges FWD	1	1
S Marino FWD	1	2
L Curda MID			1	1
M Pieringer FWD		1		1
J. Sticker DEF			1	1
R Philippe FWD		2

Most passes	Most tackles	Most duels won
218	10	34
N Noll	L Curda	L Curda

Players	passes	tackles	duels won
N Noll GLK	218		2
T. Scheller DEF	218	7	24
M Hansen DEF	213	5	16
J. ter Horst DEF	187	9	21
S Castaneda MID	172	10	21
G Vidović FWD	147	2	14
L Curda MID	127	10	34
R Obermair MID	121	4	9
L Ulrich MID	117	7	18
M Pieringer FWD	79	3	10
S Marino FWD	56	1	9
S Tigges FWD	32	2	18
J. Sticker DEF	21	2	3
O Meier FWD	21	3	3
T Baack MID	15	3	4
L. Đurić MID	14		2
R Philippe FWD	11		1
C. Lippmann MID	10		1
F Götze DEF	3	1	1
Niklas Mohr MID	2