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FC Schalke 04 v 1. FSV Mainz 05 : Bundesliga match betting preview, prediction and odds

Sat 17th Oct, 14:30 BST, Veltins-Arena, Gelsenkirchen

1. FSV Mainz 05 pay Bundesliga counterparts FC Schalke 04 a visit on Saturday afternoon, as Urs Fischer leads his team into an away clash with Miron Muslić & co. at the Veltins-Arena. Statistics for our tip of are shown below, including head-to-head history. Changing the market with the tabs changes all stats and the odds, allowing you do find the bet that suits you best.

Want to know who’s consistently beating the odds? Check out the Top Bundesliga Tipsters and see the most profitable experts for this season!

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Best Tip: Both teams to score

After surveying all relevant statistics, including historical head-to-head (H2H) data, we have come to the conclusion that this fixture will deliver both happiness and despair to both home and away fans. We predict both Schalke and Mainz to find the back of the net during the 90 mins, but the ultimate victor of the match seems less clear. The odds point towards a both teams to score bet, and that's our recommendation.

An away win looks like the most likely outcome in the win/draw/win market, with our predictive algorithm suggesting there’s a 44% chance of Mainz coming away with a win.

Checkout the hundreds of tips picked but our top win/draw/win tipsters

Predictions	Bet365	Coral
Schalke 33%	15/8 11%	-
Draw 24%	13/5 3%	-
Mainz 44%	5/4 8%	-
Draw 1-1 11%	6/1	-
Mainz 2-1 9%	17/2	-
Schalke 2-1 8%	10/1 10%	-
Mainz 1-0 7%	10/1	-
Draw 2-2 6%	11/1	-
Schalke 1-0 6%	12/1 18%	-
Mainz 2-0 6%	12/1	-
Mainz 3-1 5%	16/1 11%	-
Schalke 2-0 5%	16/1 13%	-
Draw 0-0 4%	14/1	-
Schalke 3-1 4%	20/1 11%	-
Mainz 3-2 4%	20/1 9%	-
Mainz 3-0 4%	20/1 9%	-
Schalke 3-2 3%	22/1	-
Schalke 3-0 2%	28/1 12%	-
Over 2.5 Goals 60%	8/13 3%	-
Under 2.5 Goals 40%	13/10 5%	-
Home 1st Goal 47%	21/20 5%	-
Away 1st Goal 50%	4/5 6%	-
No 1st Goal 2%	14/1	-
BTTS - Yes 62%	8/15 3%	-
BTTS - No 38%	11/8 6%	-
BTTS - Home Win 19%	4/1 11%	-
BTTS - Draw 19%	10/3	-
BTTS - Away Win 24%	3/1 8%	-
Home/draw 56%	8/13 6%	-
Away/draw 67%	2/5 7%	-
Home/away 76%	2/7	-
Over 1.5 Goals 82%	1/6 4%	-
Under 1.5 Goals 18%	4/1 15%	-
Over 3.5 Goals 38%	11/8 13%	-
Under 3.5 Goals 62%	4/7 9%	-
Over 4.5 Goals 21%	10/3 13%	-
Under 4.5 Goals 79%	2/9 4%	-
Over 5.5 Goals 10%	7/1 20%	-
Under 5.5 Goals 90%	1/12 2%	-
Over 0.5 Goals 96%	1/33	-
Under 0.5 Goals 4%	14/1	-
Home DNB 49%	11/10 10%	-
Away DNB 60%	4/6 7%	-
Schalke win to nil 14%	5/1 9%	-
Mainz win to nil 19%	7/2 10%	-
Schalke / Schalke 18%	7/2 4%	-
Schalke / Mainz 4%	20/1 9%	-
Schalke / Draw 6%	12/1	-
Draw / Schalke 12%	6/1 8%	-
Draw / Mainz 14%	5/1	-
Draw / Draw 14%	5/1	-
Mainz / Schalke 3%	25/1 13%	-
Mainz / Mainz 23%	13/5 10%	-
Mainz / Draw 6%	12/1	-

Win / draw / win Bundesliga table

BTTS yes BTTS no BTTS yes BTTS no Won Draw Lost Won Draw Lost Won Draw Lost Won Draw Lost Won Draw Lost Won Draw Lost Won Draw Lost Over 0.5 Under 0.5 Over 1.5 Under 1.5 Over 2.5 Under 2.5 Over 3.5 Under 3.5 Over 4.5 Under 4.5 Over 5.5 Under 5.5 For 0-0 Against Won Draw Lost	Schalke Mainz
Results by League Table

	TEAM	PLD	W	D	L	GD	PTS	HOME	AWAY	HOME	AWAY
1	Dortmund	4	4	0	0	7	12	Dec 5	Apr 10	May 8	Jan 9
2	Bayern	4	3	1	0	12	10	d 0-00-0	Jan 30	Nov 7	Mar 13
3	Freiburg	4	3	1	0	9	10	Feb 20	Oct 11	Dec 12	Apr 17
4	Augsburg	4	2	1	1	5	7	Jan 23	l 3-0A	Mar 20	Nov 22
5	Leverkusen	4	2	1	1	5	7	May 22	Jan 16	Oct 10	Feb 20
6	Mainz	4	2	1	1	4	7	Oct 17	Feb 27	-	-
7	Elversberg	4	2	1	1	1	7	d 0-00-0	Feb 13	Mar 6	Oct 30
8	W.Bremen	4	2	1	1	0	7	Jan 13	May 15	Oct 24	Mar 3
9	RB Leipzig	4	2	0	2	4	6	Oct 31	Mar 6	Apr 10	Dec 5
10	E.Frankfurt	4	1	2	1	-1	5	May 8	Jan 9	l 1-3A	Feb 6
11	Schalke	4	1	2	1	-1	5	-	-	Feb 27	Oct 17
12	Paderborn	4	1	1	2	-2	4	Apr 3	Nov 28	d 0-00-0	Jan 23
13	Köln	4	1	1	2	-3	4	Mar 3	Oct 24	Dec 19	Apr 24
14	Hoffenheim	4	1	0	3	-3	3	Mar 13	Nov 8	Jan 13	May 15
15	Stuttgart	4	1	0	3	-3	3	Nov 21	Mar 20	May 22	Jan 16
16	Hamburg	4	1	0	3	-11	3	Apr 17	Dec 12	Jan 30	w 0-5F
17	Union Berlin	4	0	1	3	-13	1	Feb 6	w 1-3F	Nov 28	Apr 3
18	B. M'gladbach	4	0	0	4	-10	0	Dec 19	Apr 24	Feb 13	w 3-4A

	UEFA Champions League
	UEFA Europa League
	UEFA Conference League Qualifiers
	Relegation Play Off
	Relegation

Win / draw / win form

Mainz have won 4 consecutive away league games

Schalke have kept a clean sheet for 4 consecutive home league games

Home

Overall

Goals: Scored

Conceded

Games: Scored

17 / 20

Conceded

10 / 20

Clean sheets

10 / 20

Failed to score

3 / 20

Won

Draw

HOME FORM Win / Draw / Win
Schalke	0 - 0	Elversberg
Schalke	0 - 0	Bayern
Schalke	1 - 0	E. Braun
Schalke	1 - 0	Dusseldorf
Schalke	4 - 1	Preussen Munster
Schalke	1 - 0	Karlsruher
Schalke	2 - 2	Hannover
Schalke	1 - 0	Arminia
Schalke	5 - 3	Magdeburg
Schalke	2 - 2	Dresden
Schalke	2 - 2	Kaiserslautern
Schalke	1 - 0	Nurnberg
Schalke	2 - 1	Paderborn
Schalke	1 - 0	Elversberg
Schalke	1 - 0	Darmstadt
Schalke	1 - 0	Greuther
Schalke	0 - 1	Holstein
Schalke	2 - 1	VfL Bochum
Schalke	2 - 1	H.Berlin
Schalke	1 - 2	Elversberg

Goals: Scored

Conceded

Games: Scored

15 / 20

Conceded

14 / 20

Clean sheets

6 / 20

Failed to score

5 / 20

Won

Draw

OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
H	Schalke	0 - 0	Elversberg
A	Schalke	3 - 1	Union Berlin
H	Schalke	0 - 0	Bayern
A	Schalke	0 - 3	Augsburg
H	Schalke	1 - 0	E. Braun
A	Schalke	0 - 3	Nurnberg
H	Schalke	1 - 0	Dusseldorf
A	Schalke	3 - 2	Paderborn
H	Schalke	4 - 1	Preussen Munster
A	Schalke	2 - 1	Elversberg
H	Schalke	1 - 0	Karlsruher
A	Schalke	1 - 1	Darmstadt
H	Schalke	2 - 2	Hannover
H	Schalke	1 - 0	Arminia
A	Schalke	1 - 1	Greuther
H	Schalke	5 - 3	Magdeburg
A	Schalke	2 - 1	Holstein
H	Schalke	2 - 2	Dresden
A	Schalke	0 - 2	VfL Bochum
H	Schalke	2 - 2	Kaiserslautern

Away

Overall

Goals: Scored

Conceded

Games: Scored

16 / 20

Conceded

17 / 20

Clean sheets

3 / 20

Failed to score

4 / 20

Won

Draw

Lost

AWAY FORM Win / Draw / Win
B. M'gladbach	3 - 4	Mainz
Hamburg	0 - 5	Mainz
Heidenheim	0 - 2	Mainz
St. Pauli	1 - 2	Mainz
B. M'gladbach	1 - 1	Mainz
Hoffenheim	1 - 2	Mainz
W.Bremen	0 - 2	Mainz
Leverkusen	1 - 1	Mainz
Dortmund	4 - 0	Mainz
RB Leipzig	1 - 2	Mainz
Köln	2 - 1	Mainz
Union Berlin	2 - 2	Mainz
Bayern	2 - 2	Mainz
Freiburg	4 - 0	Mainz
E.Frankfurt	1 - 0	Mainz
Stuttgart	2 - 1	Mainz
Hamburg	4 - 0	Mainz
Augsburg	1 - 4	Mainz
Wolfsburg	1 - 1	Mainz
VfL Bochum	1 - 4	Mainz

Goals: Scored

Conceded

Games: Scored

17 / 20

Conceded

15 / 20

Clean sheets

5 / 20

Failed to score

3 / 20

Won

Draw

Lost

OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
A	Mainz	4 - 3	B. M'gladbach
H	Mainz	1 - 3	E.Frankfurt
A	Mainz	5 - 0	Hamburg
H	Mainz	0 - 0	Paderborn
A	Mainz	2 - 0	Heidenheim
H	Mainz	1 - 3	Union Berlin
A	Mainz	2 - 1	St. Pauli
H	Mainz	3 - 4	Bayern
A	Mainz	1 - 1	B. M'gladbach
H	Mainz	0 - 1	Freiburg
A	Mainz	2 - 1	Hoffenheim
H	Mainz	2 - 1	E.Frankfurt
A	Mainz	2 - 0	W.Bremen
H	Mainz	2 - 2	Stuttgart
A	Mainz	1 - 1	Leverkusen
H	Mainz	1 - 1	Hamburg
A	Mainz	0 - 4	Dortmund
H	Mainz	2 - 0	Augsburg
A	Mainz	2 - 1	RB Leipzig
H	Mainz	3 - 1	Wolfsburg

Win / draw / win head to head (H2H)

Schalke

Mainz

Goals: Scored

Games: Scored

7 / 9

2 / 9

Clean sheets

7 / 9

2 / 9

S04

FIXTURE HISTORY AT Schalke
Schalke	1 - 0
Draw	0 - 0	Draw
Schalke	2 - 1
Schalke	1 - 0
Schalke	2 - 0
Schalke	3 - 0
Schalke	2 - 1
Draw	0 - 0	Draw
Schalke	3 - 0

Mainz

Schalke

Goals: Scored

Games: Scored

5 / 8

6 / 8

Clean sheets

2 / 8

3 / 8

S04

M05

FIXTURE HISTORY AT Mainz
	2 - 3	Schalke
Draw	2 - 2	Draw
Draw	0 - 0	Draw
Mainz	3 - 0
	0 - 1	Schalke
	0 - 1	Schalke
Mainz	2 - 1
Draw	2 - 2	Draw

Goal Statistics

1. FSV Mainz 05's defensive record is to be admired, U. Fischer's men having conceded 1 or less in 10 consecutive Bundesliga matches. An average PG rating of 1.4 for FC Schalke 04 makes sense in this context.

	Schalke 11th	Mainz 6th
	Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction	1.4 goals	1.7 goals
	Scoring probability
Scoring probability	0 24% 1 34% 2 25% 3 12% 4+ There is a 76% probability that Schalke will score 1 or more goals	0 18% 1 31% 2 26% 3 15% 4+ 9% There is a 82% probability that Mainz will score 1 or more goals

	20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games	-5 Schalke’s goalscoring at home has been inline with predictions	+34 Mainz have scored 34% more goals when away than predicted
	1.5 average goals scored	1.8 average goals scored
	0.8 conceded	1.6 conceded

Attack defence ratings
Bundesliga - 2026/2027 season

better

S04

M05

view stats

Games scored	0		0
Failed to score	0		0
Scored first	0		0
Goals scored	0		0
Avg. goals scored	0		0
Avg. shots per game	0		0
Avg. shots per goal	0		0
Conversion rate for	0		0
Avg. XG for	0		0
KickOff rating		0%

better

S04

M05

view stats

Games conceded	0		0
Clean sheets	0		0
Conceded first	0		0
Goals conceded	0		0
Avg. goals conceded	0		0
Avg. shots/game conceded	0		0
Avg. shots/goal conceded	0		0
Conversion rate against	0%		0%
Avg. XG against	0		0
KickOff rating		0%

Schalke v Mainz Bundesliga lLine ups will show here when available.

Schalke Bundesliga squad statistics 2026/2027

Overall

Attack

Defence

Most starts	Most goals	Most assists	Most cards
4	1	1	1
L Karius	M Wöber	H Hee-Chan	L Karius

Players	Appserances	goals	Assists	cards
L Karius GLK	4			1 -
M Wöber DEF	4	1		-
R Gosens DEF	4	1		-
T Becker DEF	4			-
H Kurucay DEF	4			1 -
N Katic DEF	4			1 -
A Aouchiche MID	4	1		-
S El-Faouzi MID	4			-
J Ebimbe MID	4			1 -
V. Becker DEF	3			-
S Tanaka MID	3			-
K Karaman MID	3			-
D Ljubicic MID	3			-
E Dzeko FWD	3			-
M Sylla FWD	3			-
M. Ayhan DEF	2			-
R Schallenberg MID	2			1
H Hee-Chan FWD	2		1	-
C Adamu FWD	2		1	-
J Bachmann MID	1			-
L. Vozar MID	1			-

Most goals	Most shots on target	Most assists	Most big chances
1	5	1	2
M Wöber	A Aouchiche	H Hee-Chan	A Aouchiche

Players	goals	shots on	Assists	big chances
M Wöber DEF	1	1
R Gosens DEF	1	1
A Aouchiche MID	1	5		2
S El-Faouzi MID		3		2
J Ebimbe MID		1		1
K Karaman MID				1
D Ljubicic MID		1		1
M Sylla FWD		2
R Schallenberg MID		1
H Hee-Chan FWD			1	1
C Adamu FWD		2	1	2

Most passes	Most tackles	Most duels won
154	18	37
S El-Faouzi	H Kurucay	N Katic

Players	passes	tackles	duels won
S El-Faouzi MID	154	12	25
T Becker DEF	132	12	24
H Kurucay DEF	127	18	24
L Karius GLK	124		1
N Katic DEF	124	10	37
A Aouchiche MID	94	3	13
R Gosens DEF	73	9	16
S Tanaka MID	72	6	15
J Ebimbe MID	57	13	26
D Ljubicic MID	48	3	4
E Dzeko FWD	43		14
R Schallenberg MID	42	1	3
K Karaman MID	38	1	9
M Sylla FWD	34	2	9
M Wöber DEF	31	3	7
C Adamu FWD	30	1	7
V. Becker DEF	26	2	4
H Hee-Chan FWD	17
M. Ayhan DEF	11	2	2
L. Vozar MID	5	1	1
J Bachmann MID	2

Mainz Bundesliga squad statistics 2026/2027

Overall

Attack

Defence

Most starts	Most goals	Most assists	Most cards
4	4	3	3
F. Gruber	P Tietz	S Becker	P Mwene

Players	Appserances	goals	Assists	cards
F. Gruber DEF	4			-
A Caci DEF	4		1	1 -
P Mwene DEF	4	1	1	3 -
D Costa DEF	4	1		-
K. Potulski DEF	4			1 -
J Lee MID	4		1	-
N Amiri MID	4			-
K Sano MID	4		2	-
R Königsdörffer FWD	4	1		1 -
P Tietz FWD	4	4	1	-
S Becker FWD	4	2	3	1 -
S Posch DEF	3			1 -
O Ruoppi MID	3		1	-
A Schwolow GLK	2			1 -
R Zentner GLK	2			-
R. Nakuzola DEF	2			-
L Maloney MID	2			-
S Widmer DEF	1			-
D Kohr DEF	1			-
E Martel MID	1	1		-
B Hollerbach FWD	1			-

Most goals	Most shots on target	Most assists	Most big chances
4	7	3	3
P Tietz	P Tietz	S Becker	S Becker

Players	goals	shots on	Assists	big chances
P Tietz FWD	4	7	1	1
S Becker FWD	2	6	3	3
P Mwene DEF	1	2	1	1
D Costa DEF	1	1
R Königsdörffer FWD	1	2
E Martel MID	1	1
A Caci DEF		1	1	1
J Lee MID			1	1
N Amiri MID		2		1
K Sano MID			2	2
S Posch DEF		1
O Ruoppi MID			1
R. Nakuzola DEF		1		1
S Widmer DEF				1
D Kohr DEF		1

Most passes	Most tackles	Most duels won
233	11	30
F. Gruber	F. Gruber	P Tietz

Players	passes	tackles	duels won
F. Gruber DEF	233	11	28
N Amiri MID	208	4	12
K. Potulski DEF	188	8	21
K Sano MID	184	6	15
S Posch DEF	158	7	18
A Caci DEF	119	7	12
P Mwene DEF	104	9	19
P Tietz FWD	102	1	30
J Lee MID	96	1	10
D Costa DEF	80	4	9
S Becker FWD	63	1	12
A Schwolow GLK	60		1
R Zentner GLK	58		2
D Kohr DEF	49	4	5
R Königsdörffer FWD	21	2	10
O Ruoppi MID	15
B Hollerbach FWD	11	1	3
S Widmer DEF	8
R. Nakuzola DEF	6	1	1
E Martel MID	4	2	5
L Maloney MID	3		1