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FC Union Berlin v Borussia Dortmund : Bundesliga match betting preview, prediction and odds

Sat 17th Oct, 14:30 BST, An der Alten Forsterei, Berlin

Home advantage can be vital in the Bundesliga, and Mauro Lustrinelli’s FC Union Berlin will have the luxury of it on Saturday afternoon. Niko Kovač’s Borussia Dortmund are their opponents at the An der Alten Forsterei. The predictions for all the markets are calculated using the past 20 games for each team (at home, away or overall) with weighting applied to top teams. All the statistics and infographics are tailored for the betting market in question. Head to head (H2H) statistics between the team are also given where our data allows. Odds are provided straight from from the UK's biggest bookmakers.

Want to know who’s consistently beating the odds? Check out the Top Bundesliga Tipsters and see the most profitable experts for this season!

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Best Tip: Over 2.5 goals

As you can see, our prediction for Saturday's fixture is over 2.5 goals, meaning that we expect Union Berlin and Dortmund to score 3 goals or more combined during the traditional 90 mins. 2 goals or fewer would mean it's a losing tip but, with stats below suggesting there will be plenty of firepower on the pitch, we think there's good reason to feel confident.

An away win looks like the most likely outcome in the win/draw/win market, with our predictive algorithm suggesting there’s a 58% chance of Dortmund coming away with a win.

Checkout the hundreds of tips picked but our top win/draw/win tipsters

Predictions	Bet365	Coral
Union Berlin 22%	4.33 28%	-
Draw 20%	4.00 16%	-
Dortmund 58%	1.65 16%	-
Dortmund 2-1 10%	8.50 6%	-
Draw 1-1 9%	8.50 15%	-
Dortmund 2-0 7%	11.00 16%	-
Dortmund 3-1 7%	12.00 9%	-
Dortmund 1-0 7%	11.00 8%	-
Draw 2-2 6%	12.00 20%	-
Union Berlin 2-1 6%	15.00 21%	-
Dortmund 3-0 5%	15.00 36%	-
Dortmund 3-2 4%	19.00	-
Union Berlin 1-0 4%	19.00 17%	-
Dortmund 4-1 4%	21.00 24%	-
Draw 0-0 3%	21.00 9%	-
Dortmund 4-0 3%	26.00 53%	-
Union Berlin 3-2 3%	29.00 15%	-
Union Berlin 2-0 3%	29.00 29%	-
Over 2.5 Goals 67%	1.50 7%	-
Under 2.5 Goals 33%	2.63 12%	-
Home 1st Goal 44%	2.40 13%	-
Away 1st Goal 54%	1.53 9%	-
No 1st Goal 2%	21.00 9%	-
BTTS - Yes 64%	1.50 4%	-
BTTS - No 36%	2.50 11%	-
BTTS - Home Win 14%	6.50 28%	-
BTTS - Draw 17%	4.75 14%	-
BTTS - Away Win 33%	2.88 15%	-
Home/draw 42%	2.20 20%	-
Away/draw 78%	1.20 6%	-
Home/away 80%	1.22 3%	-
Over 1.5 Goals 86%	1.14 3%	-
Under 1.5 Goals 14%	5.50 15%	-
Over 3.5 Goals 46%	2.20 10%	-
Under 3.5 Goals 54%	1.67 7%	-
Over 4.5 Goals 27%	3.75 10%	-
Under 4.5 Goals 73%	1.29 3%	-
Over 5.5 Goals 14%	6.50 18%	-
Under 5.5 Goals 86%	1.11 3%	-
Over 0.5 Goals 97%	1.03 2%	-
Under 0.5 Goals 3%	17.00 26%	-
Home DNB 36%	3.40 32%	-
Away DNB 72%	1.30 11%	-
Union Berlin win to nil 8%	10.00 33%	-
Dortmund win to nil 24%	3.50 17%	-
Union Berlin / Union Berlin 12%	7.00 36%	-
Union Berlin / Dortmund 4%	19.00 12%	-
Union Berlin / Draw 5%	15.00 12%	-
Draw / Union Berlin 8%	10.00 33%	-
Draw / Dortmund 16%	5.00 11%	-
Draw / Draw 12%	7.00 18%	-
Dortmund / Union Berlin 3%	29.00 15%	-
Dortmund / Dortmund 33%	2.50 22%	-
Dortmund / Draw 6%	13.00 13%	-

Win / draw / win Bundesliga table

BTTS yes BTTS no BTTS yes BTTS no Won Draw Lost Won Draw Lost Won Draw Lost Won Draw Lost Won Draw Lost Won Draw Lost Won Draw Lost Over 0.5 Under 0.5 Over 1.5 Under 1.5 Over 2.5 Under 2.5 Over 3.5 Under 3.5 Over 4.5 Under 4.5 Over 5.5 Under 5.5 For 0-0 Against Won Draw Lost	Union Berlin Dortmund
Results by League Table

	TEAM	PLD	W	D	L	GD	PTS	HOME	AWAY	HOME	AWAY
1	Dortmund	4	4	0	0	7	12	Oct 17	Feb 27	-	-
2	Bayern	4	3	1	0	12	10	Feb 13	l 7-0A	Mar 6	Oct 31
3	Freiburg	4	3	1	0	9	10	Mar 13	Nov 8	Jan 16	May 22
4	Augsburg	4	2	1	1	5	7	Mar 3	Oct 24	Dec 12	Apr 17
5	Leverkusen	4	2	1	1	5	7	Jan 30	l 4-0A	Nov 29	Apr 3
6	Mainz	4	2	1	1	4	7	Apr 3	Nov 28	Jan 9	May 8
7	Elversberg	4	2	1	1	1	7	Oct 10	Feb 20	Nov 7	Mar 13
8	W.Bremen	4	2	1	1	0	7	May 8	Jan 9	Oct 9	Feb 20
9	RB Leipzig	4	2	0	2	4	6	Nov 21	Mar 20	Apr 24	Dec 19
10	E.Frankfurt	4	1	2	1	-1	5	d 3-3F	Jan 23	Oct 24	Mar 3
11	Schalke	4	1	2	1	-1	5	l 1-3A	Feb 6	Apr 10	Dec 5
12	Paderborn	4	1	1	2	-2	4	Jan 13	May 15	w 3-0F	Feb 6
13	Köln	4	1	1	2	-3	4	Nov 1	Mar 6	May 15	Jan 13
14	Hoffenheim	4	1	0	3	-3	3	Dec 19	Apr 24	Jan 30	w 2-3A
15	Stuttgart	4	1	0	3	-3	3	Apr 17	Dec 12	Feb 13	w 0-1F
16	Hamburg	4	1	0	3	-11	3	Dec 5	Apr 10	w 2-0F	Jan 23
17	Union Berlin	4	0	1	3	-13	1	-	-	Feb 27	Oct 17
18	B. M'gladbach	4	0	0	4	-10	0	May 22	Jan 16	Mar 20	Nov 21

	UEFA Champions League
	UEFA Europa League
	UEFA Conference League Qualifiers
	Relegation Play Off
	Relegation

Win / draw / win form

Dortmund have won 3 consecutive away league games

Home

Overall

Goals: Scored

Conceded

Games: Scored

16 / 20

Conceded

16 / 20

Clean sheets

4 / 20

Failed to score

4 / 20

Won

Draw

Lost

HOME FORM Win / Draw / Win
Union Berlin	1 - 3	Schalke
Union Berlin	3 - 3	E.Frankfurt
Union Berlin	4 - 0	Augsburg
Union Berlin	2 - 2	Köln
Union Berlin	1 - 2	Wolfsburg
Union Berlin	1 - 1	St. Pauli
Union Berlin	1 - 4	W.Bremen
Union Berlin	1 - 0	Leverkusen
Union Berlin	1 - 1	E.Frankfurt
Union Berlin	0 - 3	Dortmund
Union Berlin	2 - 2	Mainz
Union Berlin	3 - 1	RB Leipzig
Union Berlin	1 - 2	Heidenheim
Union Berlin	2 - 2	Bayern
Union Berlin	0 - 0	Freiburg
Union Berlin	3 - 1	B. M'gladbach
Union Berlin	0 - 0	Hamburg
Union Berlin	2 - 4	Hoffenheim
Union Berlin	2 - 1	Stuttgart
Union Berlin	0 - 3	Heidenheim

Goals: Scored

Conceded

Games: Scored

15 / 20

Conceded

17 / 20

Clean sheets

3 / 20

Failed to score

5 / 20

Lost

OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
A	Union Berlin	0 - 7	Bayern
H	Union Berlin	1 - 3	Schalke
A	Union Berlin	0 - 4	Leverkusen
H	Union Berlin	3 - 3	E.Frankfurt
H	Union Berlin	4 - 0	Augsburg
A	Union Berlin	3 - 1	Mainz
H	Union Berlin	2 - 2	Köln
A	Union Berlin	1 - 3	RB Leipzig
H	Union Berlin	1 - 2	Wolfsburg
A	Union Berlin	1 - 3	Heidenheim
H	Union Berlin	1 - 1	St. Pauli
A	Union Berlin	0 - 4	Bayern
A	Union Berlin	1 - 0	Freiburg
H	Union Berlin	1 - 4	W.Bremen
A	Union Berlin	0 - 1	B. M'gladbach
H	Union Berlin	1 - 0	Leverkusen
A	Union Berlin	2 - 3	Hamburg
H	Union Berlin	1 - 1	E.Frankfurt
A	Union Berlin	1 - 3	Hoffenheim
H	Union Berlin	0 - 3	Dortmund

Away

Overall

Goals: Scored

Conceded

Games: Scored

19 / 20

Conceded

13 / 20

Clean sheets

7 / 20

Failed to score

1 / 20

Won

Draw

AWAY FORM Win / Draw / Win
Stuttgart	0 - 1	Dortmund
Hoffenheim	2 - 3	Dortmund
W.Bremen	0 - 2	Dortmund
B. M'gladbach	1 - 0	Dortmund
Hoffenheim	2 - 1	Dortmund
Stuttgart	0 - 2	Dortmund
Köln	1 - 2	Dortmund
RB Leipzig	2 - 2	Dortmund
Wolfsburg	1 - 2	Dortmund
Union Berlin	0 - 3	Dortmund
E.Frankfurt	3 - 3	Dortmund
Freiburg	1 - 1	Dortmund
Leverkusen	1 - 2	Dortmund
Hamburg	1 - 1	Dortmund
Augsburg	0 - 1	Dortmund
Bayern	2 - 1	Dortmund
Mainz	0 - 2	Dortmund
Heidenheim	0 - 2	Dortmund
St. Pauli	3 - 3	Dortmund
Leverkusen	2 - 4	Dortmund

Goals: Scored

Conceded

Games: Scored

18 / 20

Conceded

11 / 20

Clean sheets

9 / 20

Failed to score

2 / 20

Won

OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
A	Dortmund	1 - 0	Stuttgart
H	Dortmund	3 - 0	Paderborn
A	Dortmund	3 - 2	Hoffenheim
H	Dortmund	2 - 0	Hamburg
A	Dortmund	2 - 0	W.Bremen
H	Dortmund	3 - 2	E.Frankfurt
A	Dortmund	0 - 1	B. M'gladbach
H	Dortmund	4 - 0	Freiburg
A	Dortmund	1 - 2	Hoffenheim
H	Dortmund	0 - 1	Leverkusen
A	Dortmund	2 - 0	Stuttgart
H	Dortmund	3 - 2	Hamburg
H	Dortmund	2 - 0	Augsburg
A	Dortmund	2 - 1	Köln
H	Dortmund	2 - 3	Bayern
A	Dortmund	2 - 2	RB Leipzig
H	Dortmund	4 - 0	Mainz
A	Dortmund	2 - 1	Wolfsburg
H	Dortmund	3 - 2	Heidenheim
A	Dortmund	3 - 0	Union Berlin

Win / draw / win head to head (H2H)

Union Berlin

Dortmund

Goals: Scored

Games: Scored

4 / 7

6 / 7

Clean sheets

1 / 7

3 / 7

FCU

BVB

FIXTURE HISTORY AT Union Berlin
	0 - 3	Dortmund
Union Berlin	2 - 1
	0 - 2	Dortmund
Union Berlin	2 - 0
	0 - 3	Dortmund
Union Berlin	2 - 1
Union Berlin	3 - 1

Dortmund

Union Berlin

Goals: Scored

Games: Scored

7 / 7

3 / 7

Clean sheets

4 / 7

0 / 7

BVB

FIXTURE HISTORY AT Dortmund
Dortmund		3 - 0
Dortmund		6 - 0
Dortmund		4 - 2
Dortmund		2 - 1
Dortmund		4 - 2
Dortmund		2 - 0
Dortmund		5 - 0

Goal Statistics

FC Union Berlin have been abject at the back of late, conceding 2 or more goals in 4 consecutive Bundesliga matches. This run could continue, with Borussia Dortmund's PG an impressive 2.2.

	Union Berlin 17th	Dortmund 1st
	Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction	1.3 goals	2.2 goals
	Scoring probability
Scoring probability	0 28% 1 36% 2 23% 3 10% 4+ There is a 64% probability that Union Berlin will score no more than 1 goal	0 11% 1 25% 2 27% 3 20% 4+ 18% There is a 64% probability that Dortmund will score 2 or more goals in this match

	20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games	-4 Union Berlin’s goalscoring at home has been inline with predictions	+11 Dortmund have scored 11% more goals when away than predicted
	1.5 average goals scored	1.9 average goals scored
	1.8 conceded	1.1 conceded

Attack defence ratings
Bundesliga - 2026/2027 season

better

FCU

BVB

view stats

Games scored	0		0
Failed to score	0		0
Scored first	0		0
Goals scored	0		0
Avg. goals scored	0		0
Avg. shots per game	0		0
Avg. shots per goal	0		0
Conversion rate for	0		0
Avg. XG for	0		0
KickOff rating		0%

better

FCU

BVB

view stats

Games conceded	0		0
Clean sheets	0		0
Conceded first	0		0
Goals conceded	0		0
Avg. goals conceded	0		0
Avg. shots/game conceded	0		0
Avg. shots/goal conceded	0		0
Conversion rate against	0%		0%
Avg. XG against	0		0
KickOff rating		0%

Union Berlin v Dortmund Bundesliga lLine ups will show here when available.

Union Berlin Bundesliga squad statistics 2026/2027

Overall

Attack

Defence

Most starts	Most goals	Most assists	Most cards
4	2	2	3
T Rothe	T Skarke	J Juranovic	F Uduokhai

Players	Appserances	goals	Assists	cards
T Rothe DEF	4		1	-
A Kemlein MID	4			1 -
A Schäfer MID	4			-
M Aebischer MID	4			1 -
J Haberer MID	4			-
W Jeong MID	4			-
R Khedira MID	4			1 -
E Lath FWD	4	1		-
T Skarke FWD	4	2		-
L. Burcu FWD	4			1 -
F Rönnow GLK	3			-
F Uduokhai DEF	3			3 -
Z Bosch DEF	3			2 -
L Querfeld DEF	3	1	1	-
J Juranovic DEF	3		2	-
M Ljubicic FWD	3			1 -
D Köhn DEF	2			-
C Trimmel DEF	2			-
M Raab GLK	1			-
R Skov MID	1			-

Most goals	Most shots on target	Most assists	Most big chances
2	5	2	2
T Skarke	T Skarke	J Juranovic	J Juranovic

Players	goals	shots on	Assists	big chances
T Skarke FWD	2	5		1
E Lath FWD	1	2
L Querfeld DEF	1	1	1	1
T Rothe DEF		3	1	1
A Schäfer MID		1
J Haberer MID		2
W Jeong MID		1		1
L. Burcu FWD		1
J Juranovic DEF		2	2	2
M Ljubicic FWD		2
D Köhn DEF		1
C Trimmel DEF				1

Most passes	Most tackles	Most duels won
170	12	25
F Uduokhai	T Rothe	T Rothe

Players	passes	tackles	duels won
F Uduokhai DEF	170	6	23
L Querfeld DEF	153	8	23
T Rothe DEF	153	12	25
J Juranovic DEF	116	6	7
A Kemlein MID	111	3	9
R Khedira MID	98	8	17
F Rönnow GLK	98		2
Z Bosch DEF	92	2	7
A Schäfer MID	84	7	12
M Aebischer MID	75	7	12
W Jeong MID	70	1	14
L. Burcu FWD	55	2	16
J Haberer MID	49	4	7
E Lath FWD	33	2	13
M Raab GLK	33
M Ljubicic FWD	32	1	8
C Trimmel DEF	31
T Skarke FWD	25	2	11
D Köhn DEF	9	1	1
R Skov MID	2

Dortmund Bundesliga squad statistics 2026/2027

Overall

Attack

Defence

Most starts	Most goals	Most assists	Most cards
4	2	2	2
G Kobel	F Nmecha	M Beier	J Ryerson

Players	Appserances	goals	Assists	cards
G Kobel GLK	4			-
D Svensson DEF	4			1 -
J Ryerson DEF	4			2 -
W Anton DEF	4		1	-
K. Gadou DEF	4			1 -
J Bellingham MID	4		1	2 -
M Sabitzer MID	4		1	-
F Nmecha MID	4	2		-
J Veerman MID	4			1 -
M Beier FWD	4	1	2	1 -
S Guirassy FWD	4	2	2	-
E Nwaneri MID	3			-
K. Karetsas MID	3		1	-
F Silva FWD	3	2		-
R Bensebaini DEF	2			-
F. Mane DEF	2			-
N Schlotterbeck DEF	2			1 -
K. de Almeida DEF	1			-
L. Reggiani DEF	1			1 -
C Chukwuemeka MID	1			-
G Konstantelias MID	1	1		-
S. Inacio FWD	1			1

Most goals	Most shots on target	Most assists	Most big chances
2	7	2	4
F Nmecha	S Guirassy	M Beier	S Guirassy

Players	goals	shots on	Assists	big chances
F Nmecha MID	2	3
S Guirassy FWD	2	7	2	4
F Silva FWD	2	2
M Beier FWD	1	2	2	1
G Konstantelias MID	1	1
J Ryerson DEF				3
W Anton DEF			1	1
J Bellingham MID			1	2
M Sabitzer MID			1
J Veerman MID		1		1
E Nwaneri MID		1		2
K. Karetsas MID		4	1

Most passes	Most tackles	Most duels won
247	13	26
W Anton	D Svensson	D Svensson

Players	passes	tackles	duels won
W Anton DEF	247	4	19
K. Gadou DEF	221	7	12
D Svensson DEF	176	13	26
J Bellingham MID	147	9	19
G Kobel GLK	138		3
J Veerman MID	130	6	14
F Nmecha MID	121	7	17
N Schlotterbeck DEF	114	11	20
J Ryerson DEF	105	2	10
S Guirassy FWD	99		18
E Nwaneri MID	70	1	5
M Beier FWD	68	6	13
K. Karetsas MID	66	2	15
M Sabitzer MID	35	1	3
F. Mane DEF	32	1	2
F Silva FWD	31		4
G Konstantelias MID	26	1	2
C Chukwuemeka MID	12	1	2
R Bensebaini DEF	11		2
L. Reggiani DEF	7	1	1
S. Inacio FWD	1
K. de Almeida DEF		2	3