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FC Union Berlin v Borussia Dortmund : Bundesliga match betting preview, prediction and odds

Sat 24th Jan, 17:30 BST, An der Alten Forsterei, Berlin

FC Union Berlin are in Bundesliga action on Saturday evening, as Steffen Baumgart looks to get one over on Niko Kovač and his Borussia Dortmund side at the An der Alten Forsterei. Bundesliga stats are the foundation of the predictions you'll find below, with head-to-head history included too. There's so much to explore, with data visualisations and odds from the UK's biggest bookmakers available for seventeen major betting markets using the tabs.


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Best Tip: Over 1.5 goals

KickOff's predictive algorithm suggests there is a 79% probability of Union Berlin and Dortmund scoring a minimum of 2 goals in this Bundesliga match. Recent form stats and head-to-head (H2H) records are included in the calculation , and the bookies like the look of it as a tip too. This over 1.5 goals tip is available at a best price of 1.30.

In-Play
Win / Draw / Win
Over / Under 1.5 Goals
Over / Under 2.5 Goals
Over / Under 3.5 Goals
Win To Nil
Both Teams To Score
Correct Score
Both Teams To Score & Result
Double Chance
Half Time / Full Time
Over / Under 0.5 Goals
Over / Under 4.5 Goals
Over / Under 5.5 Goals
Draw No Bet
Team To Score First
An away win looks like the most likely outcome in the win/draw/win market, with our predictive algorithm suggesting there’s a 43% chance of Dortmund coming away with a win.

Checkout the hundreds of tips picked but our top win/draw/win tipsters

Change odds
Predictions Add Bet365 Coral
Union Berlin
32%
14/5
3%
13/5
5%
Draw
24%
12/55/2
Dortmund
43%
1/1
3%
21/20
5%
Draw 1-1
11%
11/25/1
Dortmund 2-1
9%
8/1
6%
7/1
7%
Dortmund 1-0
8%
7/1
7%
6/1
Union Berlin 2-1
8%
12/110/1
Union Berlin 1-0
7%
10/1
8%
8/1
5%
Dortmund 2-0
7%
9/1
5%
8/1
6%
Draw 2-2
6%
12/1
13%
11/1
Draw 0-0
5%
9/18/1
Dortmund 3-1
5%
16/1
13%
12/1
Union Berlin 2-0
5%
18/1
10%
14/1
Dortmund 3-0
4%
18/1
12%
14/1
15%
Union Berlin 3-1
3%
28/1
15%
22/1
Dortmund 3-2
3%
25/118/1
Union Berlin 3-2
3%
33/1
17%
25/1
Union Berlin 3-0
2%
40/128/1
15%
Over 2.5 Goals
57%
10/1110/11
Under 2.5 Goals
43%
10/115/6
Home 1st Goal
47%
13/10
3%
11/8
3%
Away 1st Goal
50%
8/11
4%
8/11
2%
No 1st Goal
3%
9/18/1
BTTS - Yes
59%
3/4
3%
3/4
3%
BTTS - No
41%
1/1
3%
19/20
BTTS - Home Win
17%
6/1
7%
11/2
BTTS - Draw
19%
10/3
4%
10/3
2%
BTTS - Away Win
23%
10/3
8%
29/10
3%
Home/draw
57%
4/53/4
3%
Away/draw
68%
1/42/7
3%
Home/away
76%
3/103/10
Over 1.5 Goals
79%
2/7
1%
2/7
1%
Under 1.5 Goals
21%
11/4
7%
23/10
Over 3.5 Goals
34%
12/511/5
Under 3.5 Goals
66%
1/31/3
2%
Over 4.5 Goals
18%
11/25/1
Under 4.5 Goals
82%
1/91/9
1%
Over 5.5 Goals
8%
12/111/1
Under 5.5 Goals
92%
1/251/40
Over 0.5 Goals
95%
1/161/20
Under 0.5 Goals
5%
9/18/1
Home DNB
49%
13/8
4%
8/5
4%
Away DNB
60%
4/9
3%
4/9
3%
Union Berlin win to nil
15%
11/2
7%
-
Dortmund win to nil
21%
5/2
3%
-
Union Berlin / Union Berlin
14%
5/1
8%
9/2
4%
Union Berlin / Dortmund
4%
22/118/1
Union Berlin / Draw
6%
14/111/1
Draw / Union Berlin
10%
7/113/2
6%
Draw / Dortmund
16%
4/117/4
5%
Draw / Draw
16%
9/219/5
Dortmund / Union Berlin
3%
33/125/1
Dortmund / Dortmund
26%
9/4
5%
2/1
Dortmund / Draw
6%
12/111/1
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Win / draw / win Bundesliga table

Union Berlin have played 18 matches so far this season and are in 9th position in the league.

Performance against teams above them in the league

9 of those games have come against teams above them in the table. They have lost 3 games, drawn 3 and won 3. Union Berlin have conceded 17 goals, scored 14, failed to score in 3 matches and kept 1 clean sheet.

Home league performance

Union Berlin have played 9 games at home, winning 3, drawing 4 and losing 2 fixtures. They have scored 15 goals, conceded 13 goals, kept 2 clean sheets and failed to score 2 times in home league games.

Dortmund lay in 2nd place on 39 points in the Bundesliga league table having played 18 matches. Dortmund are unbeaten in 17 games against teams below them in the league and kept 9 clean sheets out of 17 games.

Performance against teams below them in the league

They have played 17 games against teams below them in the table, winning 11, drawing 6 and losing 0 games. They have scored 34 goals and kept 9 clean sheets against lower placed opposition. Dortmund have conceded 15 goals and scored in every game.

Away league performance

Dortmund have played 9 away games, winning 4, drawing 4 and losing 1 game. They have scored an average of 1.8 goals per away game and conceded an average 1.2 goals per away game.

Won
Draw
Lost
Union Berlin
Dortmund
Results by League Table
TEAM PLD W D L GD PTS HOME AWAY HOME AWAY
1
Bayern1816205750 
d
 
2-2F
Mar 21
Feb 28
l
 
2-1A
2
Dortmund1811611839 
Jan 24
l
 
3-0A
-
-
3
Hoffenheim1710341433 
l
 
2-4A
Jan 31
w
 
2-0F
Apr 18
4
Stuttgart181035733 
w
 
2-1F
d
 
1-1A
d
 
3-3F
Apr 4
5
RB Leipzig171025932 
w
 
3-1F
Apr 25
d
 
1-1A
Feb 21
6
Leverkusen17926929 
Feb 21
l
 
2-0A
Apr 11
w
 
1-2F
7
E.Frankfurt18765-127 
Feb 6
w
 
3-4F
May 9
d
 
3-3F
8
Freiburg18666-224 
d
 
0-00-0
Mar 14
Apr 25
d
 
1-1F
9
Union Berlin18666-324 
-
-
w
 
3-0F
Jan 24
10
Köln18558-320 
May 2
w
 
0-1F
w
 
1-0F
Mar 7
11
B. M'gladbach18558-620 
w
 
3-1F
Feb 28
w
 
2-0F
May 2
12
Wolfsburg18549-1119 
Apr 18
l
 
3-1A
w
 
1-0F
Feb 7
13
W.Bremen17467-1318 
Mar 7
l
 
1-0A
w
 
3-0F
May 16
14
Hamburg17458-1017 
d
 
0-00-0
Feb 14
Mar 21
d
 
1-1F
15
Augsburg184410-1516 
May 16
d
 
1-1A
Mar 14
w
 
0-1F
16
Heidenheim183411-2213 
l
 
1-2F
Apr 11
Feb 1
w
 
0-2F
17
Mainz182610-1312 
d
 
2-2A
May 9
Feb 13
w
 
0-2F
18
St. Pauli173311-1512 
Apr 4
w
 
0-1F
w
 
3-2F
d
 
3-3F
Win / draw / win form
11
Dortmund have not lost in 11 consecutive league games
Union Berlin 8TH
20 league games
Home
Overall
Goals: Scored
27
Conceded
31
Games: Scored
14 / 20
Conceded
16 / 20
Clean sheets
4 / 20
Failed to score
6 / 20
Won
5
Draw
9
Lost
6
HOME FORM Win / Draw / Win
Union Berlin2 - 2Mainz
Union Berlin3 - 1RB Leipzig
Union Berlin1 - 2Heidenheim
Union Berlin2 - 2Bayern
Union Berlin0 - 0Freiburg
Union Berlin3 - 1B. M'gladbach
Union Berlin0 - 0Hamburg
Union Berlin2 - 4Hoffenheim
Union Berlin2 - 1Stuttgart
Union Berlin0 - 3Heidenheim
Union Berlin2 - 2W.Bremen
Union Berlin4 - 4Stuttgart
Union Berlin1 - 0Wolfsburg
Union Berlin1 - 1Bayern
Union Berlin0 - 1Holstein
Union Berlin1 - 2B. M'gladbach
Union Berlin0 - 0RB Leipzig
Union Berlin2 - 1Mainz
Union Berlin0 - 2Augsburg
Union Berlin1 - 1VfL Bochum
Goals: Scored
26
Conceded
31
Games: Scored
14 / 20
Conceded
16 / 20
Clean sheets
4 / 20
Failed to score
6 / 20
Won
7
Draw
6
Lost
7
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
AUnion Berlin1 - 1Stuttgart
AUnion Berlin1 - 1Augsburg
HUnion Berlin2 - 2Mainz
AUnion Berlin1 - 0Köln
HUnion Berlin3 - 1RB Leipzig
AUnion Berlin1 - 3Wolfsburg
HUnion Berlin1 - 2Heidenheim
AUnion Berlin1 - 0St. Pauli
HUnion Berlin2 - 2Bayern
HUnion Berlin0 - 0Freiburg
AUnion Berlin0 - 1W.Bremen
HUnion Berlin3 - 1B. M'gladbach
AUnion Berlin0 - 2Leverkusen
HUnion Berlin0 - 0Hamburg
AUnion Berlin4 - 3E.Frankfurt
HUnion Berlin2 - 4Hoffenheim
AUnion Berlin0 - 3Dortmund
HUnion Berlin2 - 1Stuttgart
AUnion Berlin2 - 1Augsburg
HUnion Berlin0 - 3Heidenheim
Dortmund 2ND
20 league games
Away
Overall
11
Goals: Scored
38
Conceded
30
Games: Scored
17 / 20
Conceded
16 / 20
Clean sheets
4 / 20
Failed to score
3 / 20
Won
10
Draw
5
Lost
5
AWAY FORM Win / Draw / Win
E.Frankfurt3 - 3Dortmund
Freiburg1 - 1Dortmund
Leverkusen1 - 2Dortmund
Hamburg1 - 1Dortmund
Augsburg0 - 1Dortmund
Bayern2 - 1Dortmund
Mainz0 - 2Dortmund
Heidenheim0 - 2Dortmund
St. Pauli3 - 3Dortmund
Leverkusen2 - 4Dortmund
Hoffenheim2 - 3Dortmund
Bayern2 - 2Dortmund
Freiburg1 - 4Dortmund
RB Leipzig2 - 0Dortmund
St. Pauli0 - 2Dortmund
VfL Bochum2 - 0Dortmund
Heidenheim1 - 2Dortmund
E.Frankfurt2 - 0Dortmund
Holstein4 - 2Dortmund
Wolfsburg1 - 3Dortmund
Goals: Scored
42
Conceded
19
Games: Scored
20 / 20
Conceded
10 / 20
Clean sheets
10 / 20
Failed to score
0 / 20
Won
13
Draw
6
L
1
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
HDortmund3 - 2St. Pauli
HDortmund3 - 0W.Bremen
ADortmund3 - 3E.Frankfurt
HDortmund2 - 0B. M'gladbach
ADortmund1 - 1Freiburg
HDortmund2 - 0Hoffenheim
ADortmund2 - 1Leverkusen
HDortmund3 - 3Stuttgart
ADortmund1 - 1Hamburg
ADortmund1 - 0Augsburg
HDortmund1 - 0Köln
ADortmund1 - 2Bayern
HDortmund1 - 1RB Leipzig
ADortmund2 - 0Mainz
HDortmund1 - 0Wolfsburg
ADortmund2 - 0Heidenheim
HDortmund3 - 0Union Berlin
ADortmund3 - 3St. Pauli
HDortmund3 - 0Holstein
ADortmund4 - 2Leverkusen
Win / draw / win head to head (H2H)
League games at Union Berlin since 2019
Union Berlin
Dortmund
Goals: Scored
9
8
Games: Scored
4 / 6
5 / 6
Clean sheets
1 / 6
2 / 6
FCU
4
BVB
2
FIXTURE HISTORY AT Union Berlin
Union Berlin2 - 1
0 - 2Dortmund
Union Berlin2 - 0
0 - 3Dortmund
Union Berlin2 - 1
Union Berlin3 - 1
League games at Dortmund since 2020
Dortmund
Union Berlin
Goals: Scored
26
5
Games: Scored
7 / 7
3 / 7
Clean sheets
4 / 7
0 / 7
BVB
7
FIXTURE HISTORY AT Dortmund
Dortmund3 - 0
Dortmund6 - 0
Dortmund4 - 2
Dortmund2 - 1
Dortmund4 - 2
Dortmund2 - 0
Dortmund5 - 0
Goal Statistics

Borussia Dortmund have been steady in front of goal of late, scoring in 26 consecutive Bundesliga outings. Their PG of 1.6 against FC Union Berlin on Saturday suggests they're likely to extend that run.

Union Berlin 8th Dortmund 2nd
Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction
1.4
goals
1.6
goals
Scoring probability
Scoring probability
0
26%
1
35%
2
24%
3
11%
4+
There is a 61% probability that Union Berlin will score no more than 1 goal
0
20%
1
32%
2
26%
3
14%
4+
8%
There is a 80% probability that Dortmund will score 1 or more goals
 
20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games
-8
Union Berlin’s goalscoring at home has been inline with predictions
+17
Dortmund have scored 17% more goals when away than predicted
1.4
average goals scored
1.9
average goals scored
1.6
conceded
1.5
conceded
 
Attack defence ratings
Bundesliga - 2025/2025 season
Union Berlin
PG (predicted goals)
Dortmund
1.4
1.6
Attack rating
FCU
BVB
37%
better
view stats
Games scored13
18
Failed to score5
0
Scored first8
16
Goals scored24
35
Avg. goals scored1.3
1.9
Avg. shots per game10
9
Avg. shots per goal7
5
Conversion rate for14
21
Avg. XG for1.5
1.6
KickOff rating
+37%
Defence rating
FCU
BVB
38%
better
view stats
Games conceded14
9
Clean sheets4
9
Conceded first8
2
Goals conceded27
17
Avg. goals conceded1.5
0.9
Avg. shots/game conceded9
8
Avg. shots/goal conceded6
8
Conversion rate against17%
12%
Avg. XG against1.4
1.1
KickOff rating
+38%

Union Berlin v Dortmund Bundesliga lLine ups will show here when available.

Union Berlin Bundesliga squad statistics 2025
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
18586
F RönnowI AnsahA IlićC Trimmel 
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
F Rönnow GLK18
1
-
L Querfeld DEF18
3
-
D Doekhi DEF184
3
-
I Ansah FWD1852
-
D Köhn DEF171
2
1
R Khedira MID173
5
-
O Burke FWD174
2
-
A Ilić FWD178
3
-
C Trimmel  DEF162
6
-
J Haberer  MID161
5
-
A Kemlein MID16
2
-
W Jeong MID1621
-
D Leite DEF14
2
-
A Schäfer  MID141
1
-
T Rothe DEF121
1
1
T Skarke FWD121
-
A Kral MID10
1
-
L. Burcu FWD5
1
-
J Juranovic DEF4
1
-
S Nsoki DEF311
-
R Skov MID3
-
M Ljubicic FWD22
-
Dortmund Bundesliga squad statistics 2025
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
18654
G KobelS Guirassy J RyersonJ Ryerson
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
G Kobel GLK18
1
-
D Svensson DEF1811
-
F Nmecha MID1823
-
K Adeyemi  FWD1852
3
-
J Ryerson DEF175
4
-
S Guirassy  FWD1762
2
-
W Anton DEF161
2
-
J Bellingham MID161
1
1
M Beier FWD1652
2
-
C Chukwuemeka MID152
-
N Schlotterbeck DEF1421
4
-
J Brandt MID1452
-
M Sabitzer  MID1411
2
-
Y Couto MID1213
4
-
F Silva FWD124
1
-
R Bensebaini DEF111
3
-
P Groß MID111
-
E Can DEF72
2
-
A Anselmino DEF51
-
N Süle DEF51
2
-
S Özcan MID4
-
F. Mane DEF2
1
W Campbell FWD1
-