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Hamburger SV v Borussia Monchengladbach : Bundesliga match betting preview, prediction and odds

Volksparkstadion, Hamburg

Merlin Polzin and Eugen Polanski take on one another in the Bundesliga on Saturday afternoon, as Hamburger SV face Borussia Monchengladbach at the Volksparkstadion. For each and every Bundesliga preview, KickOff delves into the stats for seventeen major betting markets. Meaningful stats, including head-to-head results, are then given alongside odds from leading bookmakers.

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Hamburger SV's next match is v St. Pauli at 19:30 on Friday 23rd January
Borussia Monchengladbach's next match is v Stuttgart at 14:30 on Sunday 25th January
The last German Bundesliga meeting between Hamburg and B. M'gladbach was on Saturday 17th January 2026
German Bundesliga
January 17th 2026
Hamburg 0
0 B. M'gladbach
 
HSV
BMG
Shots On
12
Shots Off
11
4
Corners
2
5
Possession
57%
43%
Fouls
16
18
Yellow/red cards
1/0
2/0
 
HamburgB. M'gladbach
 
D. Heuer Fernandes
J. Torunarigha
M. Muheim
F. Ferreira Vieira
N. Remberg
N. Capaldo (G. Gocholeishvili 67')
M. Diarra Dompé (A. Røssing-Lelesiit 80')
R. Königsdörffer (R. Philippe 67')
B. Jatta (G. Ramos 85')
L. Vušković
D. Downs (R. Glatzel 80')
(K. Takai 88') K. Diks
Y. Engelhardt
(G. Reyna 69') F. Neuhaus
P. Sander
(J. Castrop 69') F. Honorat
(S. Machino 90') H. Tabakovic
M. Nicolas
L. Netz
J. Scally
N. Elvedi
R. Reitz

Want to know who’s consistently beating the odds? Check out the Top Bundesliga Tipsters and see the most profitable experts for this season!

If you’re keen on betting across various leagues and markets, our Live Bets page showcases active accumulator bets and real-time tips.

Best Tip: Over 1.5 goals

The statistics suggest there isn't an obvious winner here, but good reason to think Hamburg and B. M'gladbach will find the net twice at least between them. We've seen goals when they've gone head-to-head in years gone by, and neither Merlin Polzin or Eugen Polanski has suffered the frustration of many 0-0s recently either. The bookmakers predict over 1.5 goals too, with odds of 1.22 equating to roughly a 75% probability.

In-Play
Win / Draw / Win
Over / Under 1.5 Goals
Over / Under 2.5 Goals
Over / Under 3.5 Goals
Win To Nil
Both Teams To Score
Correct Score
Both Teams To Score & Result
Double Chance
Half Time / Full Time
Over / Under 0.5 Goals
Over / Under 4.5 Goals
Over / Under 5.5 Goals
Draw No Bet
Team To Score First
If you’re looking for a winner in this match, we think Hamburg are the most likely. Our predictive algorithm gives them a 43% chance of victory, and the bookies have them at a best price of 2.45.

Checkout the hundreds of tips picked but our top win/draw/win tipsters

Change odds
Predictions Add Bet365 Coral
Hamburg
43%
29/2010/1
Draw
25%
5/21/12
B. M'gladbach
32%
9/514/1
Draw 1-1
12%
11/225/1
Hamburg 2-1
9%
17/2100/1
Hamburg 1-0
9%
10/15/1
B. M'gladbach 2-1
8%
10/1100/1
B. M'gladbach 1-0
7%
10/17/1
Hamburg 2-0
7%
12/133/1
Draw 2-2
6%
11/1150/1
Draw 0-0
6%
12/12/7
B. M'gladbach 2-0
5%
14/145/1
Hamburg 3-1
5%
18/1125/1
Hamburg 3-0
4%
22/1125/1
B. M'gladbach 3-1
3%
20/1200/1
Hamburg 3-2
3%
22/1125/1
B. M'gladbach 3-2
3%
25/1150/1
B. M'gladbach 3-0
2%
28/1150/1
Over 2.5 Goals
55%
8/11125/1
Under 2.5 Goals
45%
11/101/300
Home 1st Goal
50%
5/69/1
Away 1st Goal
47%
1/112/1
No 1st Goal
3%
12/11/12
BTTS - Yes
58%
4/760/1
BTTS - No
42%
5/41/1000
BTTS - Home Win
22%
10/370/1
BTTS - Draw
19%
3/122/1
BTTS - Away Win
17%
15/470/1
Home/draw
68%
2/51/66
Away/draw
57%
8/151/33
Home/away
75%
2/76/1
Over 1.5 Goals
78%
2/945/1
Under 1.5 Goals
22%
10/31/1000
Over 3.5 Goals
32%
7/41/50
Under 3.5 Goals
68%
4/91/50
Over 4.5 Goals
16%
4/11/50
Under 4.5 Goals
84%
1/61/50
Over 5.5 Goals
7%
9/11/50
Under 5.5 Goals
93%
1/161/50
Over 0.5 Goals
94%
1/256/1
Under 0.5 Goals
6%
12/11/12
Home DNB
60%
8/114/7
Away DNB
50%
1/15/4
Hamburg win to nil
21%
4/1-
B. M'gladbach win to nil
15%
9/2-
Hamburg / Hamburg
21%
11/412/1
Hamburg / B. M'gladbach
3%
25/140/1
Hamburg / Draw
7%
12/128/1
Draw / Hamburg
14%
5/17/4
Draw / B. M'gladbach
12%
11/227/10
Draw / Draw
15%
5/113/8
B. M'gladbach / Hamburg
4%
22/140/1
B. M'gladbach / B. M'gladbach
18%
10/318/1
B. M'gladbach / Draw
7%
12/128/1
Win / draw / win Bundesliga table

Hamburg have played 16 matches so far this season and are in 14th position in the league.

Performance against teams above them in the league

12 of those games have come against teams above them in the table. They have lost 6 games, drawn 4 and won 2. Hamburg have conceded 23 goals, scored 11, failed to score in 4 matches and kept 2 clean sheets.

Home league performance

Hamburg have played 8 games at home, winning 4, drawing 2 and losing 2 fixtures. They have scored 13 goals, conceded 9 goals, kept 1 clean sheet and failed to score 2 times in home league games.

B. M'gladbach lay in 10th place on 19 points in the Bundesliga league table having played 17 matches.

Performance against teams below them in the league

They have played 8 games against teams below them in the table, winning 5, drawing 1 and losing 2 games. They have scored 16 goals and kept 5 clean sheets against lower placed opposition. B. M'gladbach have conceded 8 goals and have failed to score in 2 matches.

Away league performance

B. M'gladbach have played 8 away games, winning 3, drawing 1 and losing 4 games. They have scored an average of 1.4 goals per away game and conceded an average 1.5 goals per away game.

Won
Draw
Lost
Hamburg
B. M'gladbach
Results by League Table
TEAM PLD W D L GD PTS HOME AWAY HOME AWAY
1
Bayern1816205750 
Jan 31
l
 
5-0A
l
 
0-3A
Mar 7
2
Dortmund1811611839 
d
 
1-1A
Mar 21
May 2
l
 
2-0A
3
Hoffenheim1710341433 
Apr 25
l
 
4-1A
May 16
l
 
5-1A
4
Stuttgart181035733 
w
 
2-1F
Apr 11
Jan 25
l
 
1-0A
5
RB Leipzig171025932 
Mar 1
l
 
2-1A
d
 
0-00-0
Apr 11
6
Leverkusen17926929 
Mar 4
May 16
Feb 7
d
 
1-1A
7
E.Frankfurt18765-127 
d
 
1-1F
May 2
l
 
4-6A
Feb 14
8
Freiburg18666-224 
May 9
l
 
2-1F
d
 
0-00-0
Feb 22
9
Union Berlin18666-324 
Feb 14
d
 
0-00-0
Feb 28
l
 
3-1A
10
Köln18558-320 
Mar 14
l
 
4-1A
w
 
3-1F
Mar 21
11
B. M'gladbach18558-620 
d
 
0-00-0
d
 
0-00-0
-
-
12
Wolfsburg18549-1119 
l
 
0-1A
Mar 7
l
 
1-3A
Apr 25
13
W.Bremen17467-1318 
w
 
3-2A
Apr 18
l
 
0-4A
Jan 31
14
Hamburg17458-1017 
-
-
d
 
0-00-0
d
 
0-00-0
15
Augsburg184410-1516 
Apr 4
l
 
1-0A
w
 
4-0F
May 9
16
Heidenheim183411-2213 
w
 
2-1F
Feb 7
Apr 4
w
 
0-3F
17
Mainz182610-1312 
w
 
4-0F
Feb 20
Apr 18
w
 
0-1F
18
St. Pauli173311-1512 
l
 
0-2A
Jan 23
Mar 14
w
 
0-4F
Win / draw / win form
Hamburg 13TH
20 league games
Home
Overall
Goals: Scored
42
Conceded
24
Games: Scored
17 / 20
Conceded
15 / 20
Clean sheets
5 / 20
Failed to score
3 / 20
Won
9
Draw
7
L
4
Goals: Scored
30
Conceded
33
Games: Scored
14 / 20
Conceded
16 / 20
Clean sheets
4 / 20
Failed to score
6 / 20
Won
6
D
4
Lost
10
B. M'gladbach 12TH
20 league games
Away
Overall
Goals: Scored
33
Conceded
38
Games: Scored
17 / 20
Conceded
16 / 20
Clean sheets
4 / 20
Failed to score
3 / 20
Won
8
D
2
Lost
10
Goals: Scored
27
Conceded
36
Games: Scored
11 / 20
Conceded
13 / 20
Clean sheets
7 / 20
Failed to score
9 / 20
Won
5
Draw
5
Lost
10
Win / draw / win head to head (H2H)
3
Hamburg have beaten B. M'gladbach in 3 consecutive home league meetings
5
Hamburg have not lost to B. M'gladbach in 5 consecutive home league meetings
League games at Hamburg since 2013
Hamburg
B. M'gladbach
Goals: Scored
9
5
Games: Scored
5 / 5
4 / 5
Clean sheets
1 / 5
0 / 5
HSV
4
D
1
League games at B. M'gladbach since 2012
B. M'gladbach
Hamburg
Goals: Scored
6
3
Games: Scored
3 / 5
2 / 5
Clean sheets
3 / 5
2 / 5
D
3
BMG
2
Goal Statistics

Hamburger SV have been steady in attack of late, scoring in 5 consecutive Bundesliga outings. Their PG of 1.6 against Borussia Monchengladbach on Saturday suggests that run is likely to continue.

Hamburg 13th B. M'gladbach 12th
Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction
1.6
goals
1.3
goals
Scoring probability
Scoring probability
0
21%
1
33%
2
26%
3
13%
4+
There is a 79% probability that Hamburg will score 1 or more goals
0
27%
1
35%
2
23%
3
10%
4+
There is a 62% probability that B. M'gladbach will score no more than 1 goal
 
20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games
+11
Hamburg have scored 11% more goals at home than predicted
+20
B. M'gladbach have scored 20% more goals when away than predicted
2.1
average goals scored
1.7
average goals scored
1.2
conceded
1.9
conceded
 
Attack defence ratings
Bundesliga - 2025/2025 season
Hamburg
PG (predicted goals)
B. M'gladbach
1.6
1.3
Attack rating
HSV
BMG
9%
better
view stats
Games scored10
10
Failed to score6
7
Scored first5
5
Goals scored17
23
Avg. goals scored1.1
1.4
Avg. shots per game10
9
Avg. shots per goal9
6
Conversion rate for11
16
Avg. XG for1.3
1.5
KickOff rating
+9%
Defence rating
HSV
BMG
10%
better
view stats
Games conceded13
10
Clean sheets3
7
Conceded first9
9
Goals conceded27
29
Avg. goals conceded1.7
1.7
Avg. shots/game conceded11
11
Avg. shots/goal conceded6
6
Conversion rate against16%
16%
Avg. XG against1.5
1.6
KickOff rating
+10%

Hamburg v B. M'gladbach Bundesliga lLine ups will show here when available.

Hamburg Bundesliga squad statistics 2025
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
17445
D FernandesR PhilippeM MuheimN Remberg
Line-upAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
D Fernandes GLK17
2
-
N Capaldo  DEF151
4
-
L. Vušković DEF153
4
-
J Torunarigha DEF9
1
-
B Jatta MID5
-
F Vieira MID1213
2
2
N Remberg MID161
5
-
M Muheim MID174
2
-
D Downs FWD2
-
R Königsdörffer FWD1712
1
-
M Dompé FWD132
-
Subs
H. Hermann GLK
-
W Mikelbrencis DEF12
-
G Ramos DEF8
-
G Gocholeishvili DEF141
1
1
I Pherai MID5
1
1
O Megeed MID
-
R Glatzel FWD101
-
R Philippe FWD164
2
-
A. Røssing-Lelesiit FWD101
2
1
B. M'gladbach Bundesliga squad statistics 2025
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
18945
M NicolasH TabakovicF HonoratJ Scally
Line-upAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
M Nicolas GLK18
-
P Sander DEF141
1
-
N Elvedi DEF18
2
-
K Diks DEF183
4
-
J Scally MID1612
5
-
R Reitz MID182
3
-
Y Engelhardt MID1611
2
-
L Netz MID143
1
-
F Honorat FWD124
-
F Neuhaus FWD131
-
H Tabakovic FWD1792
-
Subs
J Omlin GLK
-
K Takai DEF3
-
L Ullrich DEF12
1
-
K Stöger MID13
-
G Reyna MID13
1
-
J Castrop  MID141
1
1
W. Mohya MID4
-
S Machino FWD173
1
-
G Ranos FWD81
1
-