1. FSV Mainz 05's team badge SV Werder Bremen's team badge

1. FSV Mainz 05 v SV Werder Bremen : Bundesliga match betting preview, prediction and odds

Sat 24th Oct, 14:30 BST, Mewa Arena, Mainz

Urs Fischer welcomes Daniel Thioune to the Mewa Arena on Saturday afternoon, as their 1. FSV Mainz 05 and SV Werder Bremen teams meet in the Bundesliga. We've analysed both sides' last 20 Bundesliga matches, as well as trends within the competition and the betting market, to generate our percentage predictions. All the stats, including head-to-heads, are shown below, alongside odds from leading bookmakers.


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In-Play
Win / Draw / Win
Over / Under 1.5 Goals
Over / Under 2.5 Goals
Over / Under 3.5 Goals
Win To Nil
Both Teams To Score
Correct Score
Both Teams To Score & Result
Double Chance
Half Time / Full Time
Over / Under 0.5 Goals
Over / Under 4.5 Goals
Over / Under 5.5 Goals
Draw No Bet
Team To Score First

Checkout the hundreds of tips picked but our top win/draw/win tipsters

Change odds
Predictions Add Bet365 Coral
Mainz
42%
--
Draw
25%
--
W.Bremen
33%
--
Draw 1-1
12%
--
Mainz 1-0
9%
--
Mainz 2-1
9%
--
W.Bremen 1-0
8%
--
W.Bremen 2-1
8%
--
Mainz 2-0
7%
--
Draw 0-0
6%
--
Draw 2-2
6%
--
W.Bremen 2-0
5%
--
Mainz 3-1
4%
--
Mainz 3-0
3%
--
W.Bremen 3-1
3%
--
Mainz 3-2
3%
--
W.Bremen 3-2
3%
--
W.Bremen 3-0
2%
--
Over 2.5 Goals
53%
--
Under 2.5 Goals
47%
--
Home 1st Goal
50%
--
Away 1st Goal
46%
--
No 1st Goal
4%
--
BTTS - Yes
57%
--
BTTS - No
43%
--
BTTS - Home Win
21%
--
BTTS - Draw
19%
--
BTTS - Away Win
17%
--
Home/draw
67%
--
Away/draw
58%
--
Home/away
75%
--
Over 1.5 Goals
77%
--
Under 1.5 Goals
23%
--
Over 3.5 Goals
31%
--
Under 3.5 Goals
69%
--
Over 4.5 Goals
15%
--
Under 4.5 Goals
85%
--
Over 5.5 Goals
7%
--
Under 5.5 Goals
93%
--
Over 0.5 Goals
94%
--
Under 0.5 Goals
6%
--
Home DNB
60%
--
Away DNB
51%
--
Mainz win to nil
21%
--
W.Bremen win to nil
16%
--
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Win / draw / win Bundesliga table
Won
Draw
Lost
Mainz
W.Bremen
Results by League Table
TEAM PLD W D L GD PTS HOME AWAY HOME AWAY
1
Dortmund5410713 
May 8
Jan 9
Feb 20
d
 
2-2A
2
Bayern43101210 
Nov 7
Mar 13
Apr 24
Dec 19
3
Freiburg4310910 
Dec 12
Apr 17
Jan 23
l
 
4-1A
4
W.Bremen522108 
Oct 24
Mar 3
-
-
5
Augsburg421157 
Mar 20
Nov 22
w
 
3-2A
Feb 13
6
Leverkusen421157 
Oct 10
Feb 20
Dec 12
Apr 17
7
Mainz421147 
-
-
Mar 3
Oct 24
8
Elversberg421117 
Mar 6
Oct 30
Jan 16
May 22
9
RB Leipzig420246 
Apr 10
Dec 5
w
 
3-1F
Jan 30
10
E.Frankfurt4121-15 
l
 
1-3A
Feb 6
Apr 10
Dec 5
11
Schalke4121-15 
Feb 27
Oct 17
May 15
Jan 13
12
Paderborn4112-24 
d
 
0-00-0
Jan 23
Oct 17
Feb 27
13
Köln4112-34 
Dec 19
Apr 24
Feb 6
d
 
1-1A
14
Hoffenheim4103-33 
Jan 13
May 15
Oct 31
Mar 6
15
Stuttgart4103-33 
May 22
Jan 16
Mar 13
Nov 7
16
Hamburg4103-113 
Jan 30
w
 
0-5F
Nov 22
Mar 20
17
Union Berlin4013-131 
Nov 28
Apr 3
Jan 9
May 8
18
B. M'gladbach4004-100 
Feb 13
w
 
3-4A
Nov 27
Apr 3
Win / draw / win form
Mainz 7TH
20 league games
Home
Overall
Goals: Scored
24
Conceded
30
Games: Scored
13 / 20
Conceded
17 / 20
Clean sheets
3 / 20
Failed to score
7 / 20
W
4
Draw
7
Lost
9
HOME FORM Win / Draw / Win
Mainz1 - 3E.Frankfurt
Mainz0 - 0Paderborn
Mainz1 - 3Union Berlin
Mainz3 - 4Bayern
Mainz0 - 1Freiburg
Mainz2 - 1E.Frankfurt
Mainz2 - 2Stuttgart
Mainz1 - 1Hamburg
Mainz2 - 0Augsburg
Mainz3 - 1Wolfsburg
Mainz2 - 1Heidenheim
Mainz0 - 0St. Pauli
Mainz0 - 1B. M'gladbach
Mainz1 - 1Hoffenheim
Mainz1 - 1W.Bremen
Mainz3 - 4Leverkusen
Mainz0 - 2Dortmund
Mainz0 - 1RB Leipzig
Mainz0 - 1Köln
Mainz2 - 2Leverkusen
Goals: Scored
36
Conceded
28
Games: Scored
17 / 20
Conceded
15 / 20
Clean sheets
5 / 20
Failed to score
3 / 20
Won
10
Draw
5
Lost
5
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
AMainz4 - 3B. M'gladbach
HMainz1 - 3E.Frankfurt
AMainz5 - 0Hamburg
HMainz0 - 0Paderborn
AMainz2 - 0Heidenheim
HMainz1 - 3Union Berlin
AMainz2 - 1St. Pauli
HMainz3 - 4Bayern
AMainz1 - 1B. M'gladbach
HMainz0 - 1Freiburg
AMainz2 - 1Hoffenheim
HMainz2 - 1E.Frankfurt
AMainz2 - 0W.Bremen
HMainz2 - 2Stuttgart
AMainz1 - 1Leverkusen
HMainz1 - 1Hamburg
AMainz0 - 4Dortmund
HMainz2 - 0Augsburg
AMainz2 - 1RB Leipzig
HMainz3 - 1Wolfsburg
W.Bremen 4TH
20 league games
Away
Overall
Goals: Scored
22
Conceded
36
Games: Scored
13 / 20
Conceded
17 / 20
Clean sheets
3 / 20
Failed to score
7 / 20
W
3
Draw
6
Lost
11
AWAY FORM Win / Draw / Win
Dortmund2 - 2W.Bremen
Köln1 - 1W.Bremen
Freiburg4 - 1W.Bremen
Hoffenheim1 - 0W.Bremen
Stuttgart1 - 1W.Bremen
Köln3 - 1W.Bremen
Wolfsburg0 - 1W.Bremen
Union Berlin1 - 4W.Bremen
St. Pauli2 - 1W.Bremen
Freiburg1 - 0W.Bremen
Leverkusen1 - 0W.Bremen
Dortmund3 - 0W.Bremen
Augsburg0 - 0W.Bremen
Hamburg3 - 2W.Bremen
RB Leipzig2 - 0W.Bremen
Mainz1 - 1W.Bremen
Heidenheim2 - 2W.Bremen
Bayern4 - 0W.Bremen
B. M'gladbach0 - 4W.Bremen
E.Frankfurt4 - 1W.Bremen
Goals: Scored
26
Conceded
33
Games: Scored
15 / 20
Conceded
18 / 20
Clean sheets
2 / 20
Failed to score
5 / 20
Won
6
D
4
Lost
10
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
AW.Bremen2 - 2Dortmund
HW.Bremen3 - 2Augsburg
AW.Bremen1 - 1Köln
HW.Bremen3 - 1RB Leipzig
AW.Bremen1 - 4Freiburg
HW.Bremen0 - 2Dortmund
AW.Bremen0 - 1Hoffenheim
HW.Bremen1 - 3Augsburg
AW.Bremen1 - 1Stuttgart
HW.Bremen3 - 1Hamburg
AW.Bremen1 - 3Köln
HW.Bremen1 - 2RB Leipzig
AW.Bremen1 - 0Wolfsburg
HW.Bremen0 - 2Mainz
AW.Bremen4 - 1Union Berlin
HW.Bremen2 - 0Heidenheim
AW.Bremen1 - 2St. Pauli
HW.Bremen0 - 3Bayern
AW.Bremen0 - 1Freiburg
HW.Bremen1 - 1B. M'gladbach
Win / draw / win head to head (H2H)
League games at Mainz since 2013
Mainz
W.Bremen
Goals: Scored
15
17
Games: Scored
9 / 12
11 / 12
Clean sheets
1 / 12
3 / 12
M05
3
D
3
SVW
6
FIXTURE HISTORY AT Mainz
Draw1 - 1Draw
1 - 2W.Bremen
0 - 1W.Bremen
Draw2 - 2Draw
0 - 1W.Bremen
Mainz3 - 1
Mainz2 - 1
1 - 2W.Bremen
0 - 2W.Bremen
1 - 3W.Bremen
Mainz3 - 0
Draw1 - 1Draw
League games at W.Bremen since 2012
W.Bremen
Mainz
Goals: Scored
16
20
Games: Scored
8 / 13
10 / 13
Clean sheets
3 / 13
5 / 13
M05
6
D
3
SVW
4
FIXTURE HISTORY AT W.Bremen
0 - 2Mainz
W.Bremen1 - 0
W.Bremen4 - 0
0 - 2Mainz
0 - 1Mainz
0 - 5Mainz
W.Bremen3 - 1
Draw2 - 2Draw
1 - 2Mainz
Draw1 - 1Draw
Draw0 - 0Draw
2 - 3Mainz
W.Bremen2 - 1
Goal Statistics

1. FSV Mainz 05's fans will be hoping for goals on Saturday afternoon, not least because SV Werder Bremen have conceded in each of their last 12 Bundesliga outings. A PG of 1.5 for U. Fischer's side suggests that run should continue.

1. FSV Mainz 05's defensive record is to be admired, U. Fischer's men having conceded 1 or less in 10 consecutive Bundesliga games. An average PG rating of 1.3 for SV Werder Bremen makes sense in this context.

Mainz 7th W.Bremen 4th
Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction
1.5
goals
1.3
goals
Scoring probability
Scoring probability
0
22%
1
33%
2
25%
3
13%
4+
There is a 78% probability that Mainz will score 1 or more goals
0
27%
1
35%
2
23%
3
10%
4+
There is a 62% probability that W.Bremen will score no more than 1 goal
 
20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games
-24
Mainz have scored 24% fewer goals at home than predicted
-12
W.Bremen have scored 12% fewer goals when away than predicted
1.2
average goals scored
1.1
average goals scored
1.5
conceded
1.8
conceded
 
Attack defence ratings
Bundesliga - 2026/2027 season
Mainz
PG (predicted goals)
W.Bremen
1.5
1.3
Attack rating
%
better
M05
SVW
view stats
Games scored0
0
Failed to score0
0
Scored first0
0
Goals scored0
0
Avg. goals scored0
0
Avg. shots per game0
0
Avg. shots per goal0
0
Conversion rate for0
0
Avg. XG for0
0
KickOff rating
0%
Defence rating
%
better
M05
SVW
view stats
Games conceded0
0
Clean sheets0
0
Conceded first0
0
Goals conceded0
0
Avg. goals conceded0
0
Avg. shots/game conceded0
0
Avg. shots/goal conceded0
0
Conversion rate against0%
0%
Avg. XG against0
0
KickOff rating
0%

Mainz v W.Bremen Bundesliga lLine ups will show here when available.

Mainz Bundesliga squad statistics 2026/2027
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
4433
F. GruberP TietzS BeckerP Mwene
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
F. Gruber DEF4
-
A Caci DEF41
1
-
P Mwene DEF411
3
-
D Costa DEF41
-
K. Potulski DEF4
1
-
J Lee MID41
-
N Amiri MID4
-
K Sano MID42
-
R Königsdörffer FWD41
1
-
P Tietz FWD441
-
S Becker FWD423
1
-
S Posch DEF3
1
-
O Ruoppi MID31
-
A Schwolow GLK2
1
-
R Zentner GLK2
-
R. Nakuzola DEF2
-
L Maloney MID2
-
S Widmer  DEF1
-
D Kohr DEF1
-
E Martel MID11
-
B Hollerbach FWD1
-
W.Bremen Bundesliga squad statistics 2026/2027
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
5451
K HeinN FüllkrugM GrüllO Deman
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
K Hein GLK5
-
M Friedl DEF5
-
A Pieper DEF5
-
O Deman DEF5
1
-
M. Schmetgens DEF5
-
L Reis MID51
1
-
I. San José Cantalejo MID52
1
-
N Füllkrug FWD54
-
E Dinkçi FWD51
-
M Grüll FWD525
1
-
Arthur DEF4
1
-
Y Regeer MID4
-
D Stalmach MID41
1
-
M Weiser DEF31
-
P. Erevbenagie FWD3
-
C Itten  FWD3
-
S. Musah FWD3
-
O Wojcik DEF21
-
S Lynen MID1
-
J Njinmah FWD1
-