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Hamburger SV v FC St. Pauli : Bundesliga match betting preview, prediction and odds

Fri 29th Aug, 19:30 BST, Volksparkstadion, Hamburg

Friday evening sees Luis Freire’s Hamburger SV and Alexander Blessin’s FC St. Pauli go up against one another in a Bundesliga battle at the Volksparkstadion. We have odds for 17 different betting markets plus predictions, stats and head to head (H2H) data for both teams. You can access it all using the tabs below.


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Best Tip: Over 1.5 goals
In-Play
Win / Draw / Win
Over / Under 1.5 Goals
Over / Under 2.5 Goals
Over / Under 3.5 Goals
Win To Nil
Both Teams To Score
Correct Score
Both Teams To Score & Result
Double Chance
Half Time / Full Time
Over / Under 0.5 Goals
Over / Under 4.5 Goals
Over / Under 5.5 Goals
Draw No Bet
Team To Score First
If you’re looking for a winner in this match, we think Hamburg are the most likely. Our predictive algorithm gives them a 44% chance of victory, and the bookies have them at a best price of 2.10.

Checkout the hundreds of tips picked but our top win/draw/win tipsters

Change odds
Predictions Add Bet365 Coral
Hamburg
45%
6/55/4
Draw
24%
12/513/5
St. Pauli
31%
11/52/1
Draw 1-1
11%
11/2-
Hamburg 2-1
9%
8/1-
Hamburg 1-0
9%
8/1-
St. Pauli 2-1
7%
11/1-
St. Pauli 1-0
7%
10/1-
Hamburg 2-0
7%
10/1-
Draw 2-2
6%
12/1-
Draw 0-0
5%
11/1-
Hamburg 3-1
5%
16/1-
St. Pauli 2-0
5%
16/1-
Hamburg 3-0
4%
20/1-
St. Pauli 3-1
3%
22/1-
Hamburg 3-2
3%
22/1-
St. Pauli 3-2
3%
28/1-
St. Pauli 3-0
2%
33/1-
Over 2.5 Goals
56%
4/5-
Under 2.5 Goals
44%
1/1-
Home 1st Goal
51%
4/5-
Away 1st Goal
46%
11/10-
No 1st Goal
3%
11/1-
BTTS - Yes
58%
4/6-
BTTS - No
42%
11/10-
BTTS - Home Win
23%
10/3-
BTTS - Draw
19%
10/3-
BTTS - Away Win
16%
5/1-
Home/draw
69%
4/11-
Away/draw
55%
8/13-
Home/away
76%
3/10-
Over 1.5 Goals
79%
1/4-
Under 1.5 Goals
21%
3/1-
Over 3.5 Goals
33%
2/1-
Under 3.5 Goals
67%
2/5-
Over 4.5 Goals
17%
9/2-
Under 4.5 Goals
83%
1/7-
Over 5.5 Goals
8%
10/1-
Under 5.5 Goals
92%
1/20-
Over 0.5 Goals
95%
1/25-
Under 0.5 Goals
5%
11/1-
Home DNB
62%
4/7-
Away DNB
48%
5/4-
Hamburg win to nil
22%
3/1-
St. Pauli win to nil
15%
5/1-
Hamburg / Hamburg
24%
5/2-
Hamburg / St. Pauli
3%
28/1-
Hamburg / Draw
6%
12/1-
Draw / Hamburg
15%
9/2-
Draw / St. Pauli
12%
6/1-
Draw / Draw
15%
9/2-
St. Pauli / Hamburg
4%
22/1-
St. Pauli / St. Pauli
16%
4/1-
St. Pauli / Draw
5%
14/1-
Win / draw / win Bundesliga table
Won
Draw
Lost
Hamburg
St. Pauli
Results by League Table
TEAM PLD W D L GD PTS HOME AWAY HOME AWAY
1
Dortmund000000 
Nov 8
Mar 21
Aug 23
Jan 17
2
W.Bremen000000 
Dec 6
Apr 18
Feb 21
Oct 4
3
Augsburg000000 
Apr 4
Nov 22
Sep 14
Jan 31
4
RB Leipzig000000 
Feb 28
Oct 18
Jan 10
May 9
5
St. Pauli000000 
Aug 29
Jan 24
-
-
6
E.Frankfurt000000 
Dec 20
May 2
Mar 7
Oct 25
7
Bayern000000 
Jan 31
Sep 13
Apr 11
Nov 29
8
Wolfsburg000000 
Oct 25
Mar 7
May 16
Jan 13
9
B. M'gladbach000000 
Jan 17
Aug 24
Nov 1
Mar 14
10
Mainz000000 
Oct 4
Feb 21
May 2
Dec 20
11
Union Berlin000000 
Feb 14
Sep 28
Nov 22
Apr 4
12
Hamburg000000 
-
-
Jan 24
Aug 29
13
Hoffenheim000000 
Apr 25
Dec 13
Oct 18
Feb 28
14
Heidenheim000000 
Sep 20
Feb 7
Dec 13
Apr 25
15
Stuttgart000000 
Nov 29
Apr 11
Feb 7
Sep 19
16
Köln000000 
Mar 14
Nov 1
Apr 18
Dec 6
17
Leverkusen000000 
Jan 13
May 16
Sep 27
Feb 14
18
Freiburg000000 
May 9
Jan 10
Mar 21
Nov 8
Win / draw / win form
Hamburg
20 league games
Home
Overall
Goals: Scored
49
Conceded
22
Games: Scored
18 / 20
Conceded
14 / 20
Clean sheets
6 / 20
Failed to score
2 / 20
Won
10
Draw
7
L
3
Goals: Scored
47
Conceded
24
Games: Scored
18 / 20
Conceded
13 / 20
Clean sheets
7 / 20
Failed to score
2 / 20
Won
10
Draw
6
L
4
St. Pauli
20 league games
Away
Overall
Goals: Scored
22
Conceded
25
Games: Scored
13 / 20
Conceded
15 / 20
Clean sheets
5 / 20
Failed to score
7 / 20
Won
7
D
3
Lost
10
Goals: Scored
17
Conceded
22
Games: Scored
11 / 20
Conceded
15 / 20
Clean sheets
5 / 20
Failed to score
9 / 20
Won
5
Draw
6
Lost
9
Win / draw / win head to head (H2H)
3
Hamburg have beaten St. Pauli in 3 consecutive home league meetings
League games at Hamburg since 2018
Hamburg
St. Pauli
Goals: Scored
9
8
Games: Scored
4 / 6
4 / 6
Clean sheets
2 / 6
2 / 6
HSV
3
D
2
STP
1
League games at St. Pauli since 2019
St. Pauli
Hamburg
Goals: Scored
11
8
Games: Scored
5 / 6
3 / 6
Clean sheets
3 / 6
1 / 6
HSV
1
D
1
STP
4
Goal Statistics

Hamburger SV have been reliable in front of goal of late, finding the net in 7 consecutive Bundesliga matches. Their PG of 1.6 against FC St. Pauli on Friday suggests they're likely to extend that run.

Hamburg St. Pauli
Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction
1.6
goals
1.3
goals
Scoring probability
Scoring probability
0
20%
1
32%
2
26%
3
14%
4+
8%
There is a 80% probability that Hamburg will score 1 or more goals
0
27%
1
35%
2
23%
3
10%
4+
There is a 62% probability that St. Pauli will score no more than 1 goal
 
20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games
+19
Hamburg have scored 19% more goals at home than predicted
-13
St. Pauli have scored 13% fewer goals when away than predicted
2.5
average goals scored
1.1
average goals scored
1.1
conceded
1.3
conceded
 
Attack defence ratings
Bundesliga - 2025/2025 season
Hamburg
PG (predicted goals)
St. Pauli
1.6
1.3
Attack rating
0%
better
HSV
STP
view stats
Games scored0
0
Failed to score0
0
Scored first0
0
Goals scored0
0
Avg. goals scored0
0
Avg. shots per game0
0
Avg. shots per goal0
0
Conversion rate for0
0
Avg. XG for0
0
KickOff rating
0%
Defence rating
0%
better
HSV
STP
view stats
Games conceded0
0
Clean sheets0
0
Conceded first0
0
Goals conceded0
0
Avg. goals conceded0
0
Avg. shots/game conceded0
0
Avg. shots/goal conceded0
0
Conversion rate against0%
0%
Avg. XG against0
0
KickOff rating
0%

Hamburg v St. Pauli Bundesliga lLine ups will show here when available.

Hamburg Bundesliga squad statistics 2025
Overall
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
NO DATA AVAILABLE
St. Pauli Bundesliga squad statistics 2025
Overall
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
NO DATA AVAILABLE