FREE BETS	ODDS	RETURNS	BET
	-	-
	-	-

Hamburger SV v 1. FSV Mainz 05 : Bundesliga match betting preview, prediction and odds

Sun 5th Oct, 16:30 BST, Volksparkstadion, Hamburg

Bo Henriksen leads his 1. FSV Mainz 05 charges to the Volksparkstadion in the Bundesliga on Sunday afternoon, with Luis Freire's Hamburger SV their rivals. We want you to make a winning bet on this match, so every stats you could possibly need to make a well-informed wager is laid out below. Switch between 17 betting markets or take our top tip. We've got predictions, head to head (H2H) analysis and odds from the UK's biggest bookmakers for every one.

Want to know who’s consistently beating the odds? Check out the Top Bundesliga Tipsters and see the most profitable experts for this season!

If you’re keen on betting across various leagues and markets, our Live Bets page showcases active accumulator bets and real-time tips.

Best Tip: Over 2.5 goals

As you can see, our prediction for Sunday's game is over 2.5 goals, meaning that we expect Hamburg and Mainz to score 3 goals or more between them during the regulation 90 minutes. 2 goals or fewer would mean it's a losing tip but, with stats below suggesting there will be plenty of firepower on the pitch, we think there's good reason to feel confident.

Checkout the hundreds of tips picked but our top win/draw/win tipsters

Predictions	Bet365	Coral
Hamburg 47%	6/5	-
Draw 22%	11/4	-
Mainz 31%	15/8	-
Draw 1-1 9%	-	-
Hamburg 2-1 9%	-	-
Mainz 2-1 7%	-	-
Draw 2-2 7%	-	-
Hamburg 1-0 6%	-	-
Hamburg 3-1 6%	-	-
Hamburg 2-0 6%	-	-
Mainz 1-0 5%	-	-
Hamburg 3-2 5%	-	-
Mainz 3-1 4%	-	-
Mainz 2-0 4%	-	-
Mainz 3-2 4%	-	-
Hamburg 3-0 4%	-	-
Draw 0-0 3%	-	-
Hamburg 4-1 3%	-	-
Over 2.5 Goals 68%	4/5	-
Under 2.5 Goals 32%	1/1	-
Home 1st Goal 51%	-	-
Away 1st Goal 48%	-	-
No 1st Goal 1%	-	-
BTTS - Yes 68%	-	-
BTTS - No 32%	-	-
BTTS - Home Win 29%	-	-
BTTS - Draw 19%	-	-
BTTS - Away Win 20%	-	-
Home/draw 69%	-	-
Away/draw 53%	-	-
Home/away 78%	-	-
Over 1.5 Goals 87%	-	-
Under 1.5 Goals 13%	-	-
Over 3.5 Goals 47%	-	-
Under 3.5 Goals 53%	-	-
Over 4.5 Goals 28%	-	-
Under 4.5 Goals 72%	-	-
Over 5.5 Goals 15%	-	-
Under 5.5 Goals 85%	-	-
Over 0.5 Goals 97%	-	-
Under 0.5 Goals 3%	-	-
Home DNB 62%	-	-
Away DNB 47%	-	-
Hamburg win to nil 18%	-	-
Mainz win to nil 11%	-	-

Win / draw / win Bundesliga table

BTTS yes BTTS no BTTS yes BTTS no Won Draw Lost Won Draw Lost Won Draw Lost Won Draw Lost Won Draw Lost Won Draw Lost Won Draw Lost Over 0.5 Under 0.5 Over 1.5 Under 1.5 Over 2.5 Under 2.5 Over 3.5 Under 3.5 Over 4.5 Under 4.5 Over 5.5 Under 5.5 For 0-0 Against Won Draw Lost	Hamburg Mainz
Results by League Table

	TEAM	PLD	W	D	L	GD	PTS	HOME	AWAY	HOME	AWAY
1	Bayern	4	4	0	0	15	12	Jan 31	l 5-0A	Apr 25	Dec 13
2	Dortmund	4	3	1	0	6	10	Nov 8	Mar 21	Sep 27	Feb 14
3	RB Leipzig	4	3	0	1	-1	9	Feb 28	Oct 18	l 0-1A	Jan 31
4	Köln	4	2	1	1	2	7	Mar 14	Nov 2	l 0-1A	Jan 17
5	St. Pauli	4	2	1	1	1	7	l 0-2A	Jan 24	Dec 20	May 2
6	E.Frankfurt	4	2	0	2	2	6	Dec 20	May 2	Mar 21	Nov 9
7	Freiburg	4	2	0	2	0	6	May 9	Jan 10	Apr 11	Nov 30
8	Stuttgart	4	2	0	2	0	6	Nov 30	Apr 11	Mar 7	Oct 26
9	Hoffenheim	4	2	0	2	-2	6	Apr 25	Dec 13	Nov 21	Apr 4
10	Union Berlin	4	2	0	2	-3	6	Feb 14	Sep 28	May 9	Jan 10
11	Leverkusen	4	1	2	1	1	5	Jan 14	May 16	Oct 18	Feb 28
12	Wolfsburg	4	1	2	1	1	5	Oct 25	Mar 7	Jan 24	d 1-1A
13	Mainz	4	1	1	2	1	4	Oct 5	Feb 21	-	-
14	W.Bremen	4	1	1	2	-2	4	Dec 6	Apr 18	Nov 1	Mar 14
15	Hamburg	4	1	1	2	-6	4	-	-	Feb 21	Oct 5
16	Augsburg	4	1	0	3	-3	3	Apr 4	Nov 22	Feb 7	w 1-4F
17	B. M'gladbach	4	0	2	2	-5	2	Jan 17	d 0-00-0	Dec 6	Apr 18
18	Heidenheim	4	0	0	4	-7	0	w 2-1F	Feb 7	Jan 14	May 16

	UEFA Champions League
	UEFA Europa League
	UEFA Conference League Qualifiers
	Relegation Play Off
	Relegation

Win / draw / win form

Home

Overall

Goals: Scored

Conceded

Games: Scored

18 / 20

Conceded

15 / 20

Clean sheets

5 / 20

Failed to score

2 / 20

Won

Draw

HOME FORM Win / Draw / Win
Hamburg	2 - 1	Heidenheim
Hamburg	0 - 2	St. Pauli
Hamburg	6 - 1	Ulm
Hamburg	1 - 2	Karlsruher
Hamburg	2 - 4	E. Braun
Hamburg	0 - 0	Elversberg
Hamburg	4 - 1	Dusseldorf
Hamburg	3 - 0	Kaiserslautern
Hamburg	2 - 2	Hannover
Hamburg	1 - 0	Köln
Hamburg	5 - 0	Greuther
Hamburg	2 - 2	Darmstadt
Hamburg	2 - 2	Schalke
Hamburg	1 - 1	Nurnberg
Hamburg	3 - 1	Magdeburg
Hamburg	2 - 2	Paderborn
Hamburg	5 - 0	Regensburg
Hamburg	4 - 1	Preussen Munster
Hamburg	1 - 1	H.Berlin
Hamburg	4 - 1	Nurnberg

Goals: Scored

Conceded

Games: Scored

15 / 20

Conceded

14 / 20

Clean sheets

6 / 20

Failed to score

5 / 20

Won

Draw

Lost

OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
H	Hamburg	2 - 1	Heidenheim
A	Hamburg	0 - 5	Bayern
H	Hamburg	0 - 2	St. Pauli
A	Hamburg	0 - 0	B. M'gladbach
A	Hamburg	2 - 3	Greuther
H	Hamburg	6 - 1	Ulm
A	Hamburg	4 - 0	Darmstadt
H	Hamburg	1 - 2	Karlsruher
A	Hamburg	2 - 2	Schalke
H	Hamburg	2 - 4	E. Braun
A	Hamburg	3 - 0	Nurnberg
H	Hamburg	0 - 0	Elversberg
A	Hamburg	3 - 0	Magdeburg
H	Hamburg	4 - 1	Dusseldorf
A	Hamburg	0 - 2	Paderborn
H	Hamburg	3 - 0	Kaiserslautern
A	Hamburg	1 - 1	Regensburg
A	Hamburg	2 - 1	Preussen Munster
H	Hamburg	2 - 2	Hannover
A	Hamburg	3 - 2	H.Berlin

Away

Overall

Goals: Scored

Conceded

Games: Scored

15 / 20

Conceded

16 / 20

Clean sheets

4 / 20

Failed to score

5 / 20

Won

Lost

AWAY FORM Win / Draw / Win
Augsburg	1 - 4	Mainz
Wolfsburg	1 - 1	Mainz
VfL Bochum	1 - 4	Mainz
Bayern	3 - 0	Mainz
Hoffenheim	2 - 0	Mainz
Dortmund	3 - 1	Mainz
B. M'gladbach	1 - 3	Mainz
RB Leipzig	1 - 2	Mainz
Heidenheim	0 - 2	Mainz
W.Bremen	1 - 0	Mainz
Union Berlin	2 - 1	Mainz
Leverkusen	1 - 0	Mainz
E.Frankfurt	1 - 3	Mainz
Wolfsburg	4 - 3	Mainz
Holstein	0 - 3	Mainz
Freiburg	0 - 0	Mainz
St. Pauli	0 - 3	Mainz
Augsburg	2 - 3	Mainz
Stuttgart	3 - 3	Mainz
Wolfsburg	1 - 3	Mainz

Goals: Scored

Conceded

Games: Scored

14 / 20

Conceded

16 / 20

Clean sheets

4 / 20

Failed to score

6 / 20

Won

Draw

Lost

OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
A	Mainz	4 - 1	Augsburg
H	Mainz	0 - 1	RB Leipzig
A	Mainz	1 - 1	Wolfsburg
H	Mainz	0 - 1	Köln
H	Mainz	2 - 2	Leverkusen
A	Mainz	4 - 1	VfL Bochum
H	Mainz	1 - 1	E.Frankfurt
A	Mainz	0 - 3	Bayern
H	Mainz	2 - 2	Wolfsburg
A	Mainz	0 - 2	Hoffenheim
H	Mainz	1 - 1	Holstein
A	Mainz	1 - 3	Dortmund
H	Mainz	2 - 2	Freiburg
A	Mainz	3 - 1	B. M'gladbach
A	Mainz	2 - 1	RB Leipzig
H	Mainz	2 - 0	St. Pauli
A	Mainz	2 - 0	Heidenheim
H	Mainz	0 - 0	Augsburg
A	Mainz	0 - 1	W.Bremen
H	Mainz	2 - 0	Stuttgart

Win / draw / win head to head (H2H)

Hamburg

Mainz

Goals: Scored

Games: Scored

4 / 6

3 / 6

Clean sheets

3 / 6

2 / 6

HSV

M05

FIXTURE HISTORY AT Hamburg
Draw	0 - 0	Draw
Draw	0 - 0	Draw
	1 - 3	Mainz
Hamburg	2 - 1
	2 - 3	Mainz
Hamburg	1 - 0

Mainz

Hamburg

Goals: Scored

Games: Scored

5 / 5

Clean sheets

0 / 5

HSV

M05

FIXTURE HISTORY AT Mainz
Mainz	3 - 2
Mainz	3 - 1
	1 - 2	Hamburg
Mainz	3 - 2
	1 - 2	Hamburg

Goal Statistics

	Hamburg 14th	Mainz 12th
	Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction	2.0 goals	1.6 goals
	Scoring probability
Scoring probability	0 14% 1 28% 2 27% 3 18% 4+ 13% There is a 86% probability that Hamburg will score 1 or more goals	0 21% 1 33% 2 26% 3 13% 4+ 8% There is a 79% probability that Mainz will score 1 or more goals

	20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games	+21 Hamburg have scored 21% more goals at home than predicted	+29 Mainz have scored 29% more goals when away than predicted
	2.5 average goals scored	2.0 average goals scored
	1.2 conceded	1.4 conceded

Attack defence ratings
Bundesliga - 2025/2025 season

better

HSV

M05

view stats

Games scored	0		0
Failed to score	0		0
Scored first	0		0
Goals scored	0		0
Avg. goals scored	0		0
Avg. shots per game	0		0
Avg. shots per goal	0		0
Conversion rate for	0		0
Avg. XG for	0		0
KickOff rating		0%

better

HSV

M05

view stats

Games conceded	0		0
Clean sheets	0		0
Conceded first	0		0
Goals conceded	0		0
Avg. goals conceded	0		0
Avg. shots/game conceded	0		0
Avg. shots/goal conceded	0		0
Conversion rate against	0%		0%
Avg. XG against	0		0
KickOff rating		0%

Hamburg v Mainz Bundesliga lLine ups will show here when available.

Hamburg Bundesliga squad statistics 2025

Overall

Attack

Defence

Most starts	Most goals	Most assists	Most cards
4	1	1	2
D Fernandes	R Philippe	F Vieira	G Gocholeishvili

Players	Appserances	goals	Assists	cards
D Fernandes GLK	4			1 -
M Muheim DEF	4			1 -
D Elfadli DEF	4			1 -
W Mikelbrencis DEF	4			-
W Omari DEF	4			-
N Remberg MID	4			1 -
R Philippe FWD	4	1		1 -
R Königsdörffer FWD	4			-
A. Røssing-Lelesiit FWD	4			-
G Gocholeishvili DEF	3			1 1
N Capaldo MID	3			1 -
M Dompé FWD	3			-
J Torunarigha DEF	2			-
L. Vušković DEF	2	1		-
F Vieira MID	2		1	1 -
J Meffert MID	2			-
Y Poulsen FWD	2			1 -
E Sahiti FWD	2			-
F. Uri Baldé FWD	2			-
R Glatzel FWD	2			-
A. Souhmahoro DEF	1			1 -
A Lokonga MID	1			-

Most goals	Most shots on target	Most assists	Most big chances
1	4	1	2
R Philippe	R Königsdörffer	F Vieira	F Vieira

Players	goals	shots on	Assists	big chances
R Philippe FWD	1	1
L. Vušković DEF	1	1
M Muheim DEF		1		1
W Mikelbrencis DEF		2
N Remberg MID		1
R Königsdörffer FWD		4
A. Røssing-Lelesiit FWD		1		1
G Gocholeishvili DEF				1
N Capaldo MID				1
M Dompé FWD		2
F Vieira MID		1	1	2
Y Poulsen FWD		1

Most passes	Most tackles	Most duels won
171	9	21
W Omari	M Muheim	N Remberg

Players	passes	tackles	duels won
W Omari DEF	171	2	8
D Fernandes GLK	168		1
D Elfadli DEF	165	3	11
M Muheim DEF	163	9	19
N Remberg MID	146	7	21
J Torunarigha DEF	140	4	15
L. Vušković DEF	101	1	10
G Gocholeishvili DEF	55	2	12
R Königsdörffer FWD	54	1	14
N Capaldo MID	52	2	9
F Vieira MID	47		4
M Dompé FWD	37		5
A. Røssing-Lelesiit FWD	32	6	10
E Sahiti FWD	31		5
J Meffert MID	30	2	3
W Mikelbrencis DEF	28		2
R Philippe FWD	26	8	14
Y Poulsen FWD	23	1	13
A. Souhmahoro DEF	19	1	1
A Lokonga MID	8	1	2
F. Uri Baldé FWD	5		1
R Glatzel FWD	5		2

Mainz Bundesliga squad statistics 2025

Overall

Attack

Defence

Most starts	Most goals	Most assists	Most cards
4	1	1	2
R Zentner	D Kohr	A Hanche-Olsen	D Kohr

Players	Appserances	goals	Assists	cards
R Zentner GLK	4			1 -
A Caci DEF	4			1 -
P Mwene DEF	4			-
D Kohr DEF	4	1		1 1
D Hoof DEF	4			1 -
D Costa DEF	4			1 -
A Hanche-Olsen DEF	4		1	1 -
N Amiri MID	4	1		-
K Sano MID	4	1	1	-
A Sieb FWD	4	1		1 -
N Weiper FWD	4			-
S Widmer DEF	3			-
N Veratschnig DEF	3			-
A Nordin FWD	3			-
P Nebel MID	2	1		1
J Lee MID	2			-
M Leitsch DEF	1			-
S Kawasaki MID	1			-
L Maloney MID	1			-
W Bøving FWD	1			-
B Hollerbach FWD	1			-
B Bobzien FWD	1			-

Most goals	Most shots on target	Most assists	Most big chances
1	2	1	1
D Kohr	D Kohr	A Hanche-Olsen	P Mwene

Players	goals	shots on	Assists	big chances
D Kohr DEF	1	2
N Amiri MID	1	2		1
K Sano MID	1	1	1	1
A Sieb FWD	1	2
P Nebel MID	1	1
P Mwene DEF				1
D Hoof DEF				1
A Hanche-Olsen DEF			1	1
N Weiper FWD		2
A Nordin FWD		1
J Lee MID				1

Most passes	Most tackles	Most duels won
210	8	35
N Amiri	D Kohr	D Kohr

Players	passes	tackles	duels won
N Amiri MID	210	7	19
D Costa DEF	192	4	17
D Kohr DEF	175	8	35
A Caci DEF	166	5	16
K Sano MID	142	4	21
R Zentner GLK	134		3
A Hanche-Olsen DEF	116	3	20
P Mwene DEF	73	2	9
A Nordin FWD	61	3	7
P Nebel MID	60		8
J Lee MID	54	4	13
D Hoof DEF	53	2	15
N Weiper FWD	53		15
A Sieb FWD	31		6
S Widmer DEF	31	3	7
N Veratschnig DEF	26	1	4
W Bøving FWD	18
L Maloney MID	10		1
B Bobzien FWD	10	2	2
S Kawasaki MID	5	1	2
B Hollerbach FWD	3		1
M Leitsch DEF	2