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Hamburger SV v VfB Stuttgart : Bundesliga match betting preview, prediction and odds

Sun 30th Nov, 14:30 BST, Volksparkstadion, Hamburg

VfB Stuttgart are away on Sunday afternoon, as manager Sebastian Hoeneß takes his side to visit Hamburger SV and Merlin Polzin at the Volksparkstadion in the Bundesliga. We provide predictions based on complex statistical analysis of each side, across seventeen major betting markets. The data and the odds are unique to each market, and head-to-head statistics are included across the board.


Want to know who’s consistently beating the odds? Check out the Top Bundesliga Tipsters and see the most profitable experts for this season!

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Best Tip: Both teams to score

Here we have a pair of effective, attacking sides going head-to-head and, as such, we are predicting both of them to score at least 1 goal during the 90 minutes. Can respective managers Merlin Polzin or Sebastian Hoeneß find a tactical plan to top their opponent? Recent form stats and historical head-to-heads, as well as the latest odds from the bookies, suggest that's unlikely.

In-Play
Win / Draw / Win
Over / Under 1.5 Goals
Over / Under 2.5 Goals
Over / Under 3.5 Goals
Win To Nil
Both Teams To Score
Correct Score
Both Teams To Score & Result
Double Chance
Half Time / Full Time
Over / Under 0.5 Goals
Over / Under 4.5 Goals
Over / Under 5.5 Goals
Draw No Bet
Team To Score First
If you’re looking for a winner in this match, we think Hamburg are the most likely. Our predictive algorithm gives them a 40% chance of victory, and the bookies have them at a best price of 3.00.

Checkout the hundreds of tips picked but our top win/draw/win tipsters

Change odds
Predictions Add Bet365 Coral
Hamburg
40%
3.003.00
Draw
24%
3.70
3%
3.80
6%
Stuttgart
36%
2.15
2%
2.15
4%
Draw 1-1
11%
7.50
7%
7.00
8%
Hamburg 2-1
9%
11.009.50
Stuttgart 2-1
8%
9.50
6%
8.00
Hamburg 1-0
8%
15.00
25%
12.00
20%
Stuttgart 1-0
7%
12.00
20%
10.00
11%
Draw 2-2
6%
11.00
8%
10.00
Hamburg 2-0
6%
19.00
12%
15.00
Stuttgart 2-0
5%
13.0011.00
Draw 0-0
5%
19.00
27%
13.00
18%
Hamburg 3-1
5%
21.0017.00
Stuttgart 3-1
4%
15.00
12%
12.00
8%
Hamburg 3-2
3%
23.00
12%
17.00
11%
Stuttgart 3-2
3%
19.00
10%
15.00
12%
Hamburg 3-0
3%
34.0023.00
Stuttgart 3-0
3%
21.0017.00
Over 2.5 Goals
59%
1.53
8%
1.50
7%
Under 2.5 Goals
41%
2.50
14%
2.40
9%
Home 1st Goal
50%
2.052.15
Away 1st Goal
48%
1.73
4%
1.75
3%
No 1st Goal
3%
19.00
27%
13.00
18%
BTTS - Yes
61%
1.44
8%
1.48
5%
BTTS - No
39%
2.63
17%
2.50
9%
BTTS - Home Win
22%
4.75
5%
4.50
6%
BTTS - Draw
19%
4.334.20
BTTS - Away Win
20%
3.50
13%
3.40
8%
Home/draw
64%
1.671.70
3%
Away/draw
60%
1.361.36
Home/away
76%
1.291.25
3%
Over 1.5 Goals
81%
1.17
3%
1.15
4%
Under 1.5 Goals
19%
5.00
11%
4.80
14%
Over 3.5 Goals
36%
2.30
13%
2.25
10%
Under 3.5 Goals
64%
1.62
8%
1.60
8%
Over 4.5 Goals
19%
4.00
11%
3.75
13%
Under 4.5 Goals
81%
1.25
4%
1.25
6%
Over 5.5 Goals
9%
7.00
22%
6.50
19%
Under 5.5 Goals
91%
1.10
3%
1.09
3%
Over 0.5 Goals
95%
1.031.02
1%
Under 0.5 Goals
5%
17.00
13%
13.00
18%
Home DNB
57%
2.202.25
5%
Away DNB
53%
1.621.57
3%
Hamburg win to nil
18%
7.00
17%
-
Stuttgart win to nil
16%
5.00
15%
-
Hamburg / Hamburg
17%
4.754.60
Hamburg / Stuttgart
4%
21.0017.00
11%
Hamburg / Draw
6%
13.0012.00
Draw / Hamburg
11%
7.50
7%
7.00
8%
Draw / Stuttgart
14%
6.005.50
Draw / Draw
13%
6.50
8%
6.00
9%
Stuttgart / Hamburg
4%
23.00
12%
21.00
Stuttgart / Stuttgart
24%
3.40
6%
3.25
4%
Stuttgart / Draw
6%
13.0012.00
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Win / draw / win Bundesliga table

Hamburg have played 10 matches so far this season and are in 13th position in the league. Hamburg are winless in the 6 games they have played against teams above them in the table and have conceded in 4 of those games.

Performance against teams above them in the league

6 of those games have come against teams above them in the table. They have lost 3 games, drawn 3 and won zero. Hamburg have conceded 12 goals, scored 3, failed to score in 3 matches and kept 2 clean sheets.

Home league performance

Hamburg have played 5 games at home, winning 2, drawing 1 and losing 2 fixtures. They have scored 7 goals, conceded 5 goals, kept 1 clean sheet and failed to score 2 times in home league games.

Stuttgart lay in 4th place on 21 points in the Bundesliga league table having played 10 matches.

Performance against teams below them in the league

They have played 9 games against teams below them in the table, winning 7, drawing 0 and losing 2 games. They have scored 16 goals and kept 4 clean sheets against lower placed opposition. Stuttgart have conceded 9 goals and scored in every game.

Away league performance

Stuttgart have played 5 away games, winning 2, drawing 0 and losing 3 games. They have scored an average of 1.6 goals per away game and conceded an average 1.8 goals per away game.

Won
Draw
Lost
Hamburg
Stuttgart
Results by League Table
TEAM PLD W D L GD PTS HOME AWAY HOME AWAY
1
Bayern109102928 
Jan 31
l
 
5-0A
Dec 6
Apr 18
2
RB Leipzig10712722 
Feb 28
l
 
2-1A
Mar 14
l
 
3-1A
3
Dortmund10631921 
d
 
1-1A
Mar 21
Apr 4
Nov 22
4
Stuttgart10703521 
Nov 30
Apr 11
-
-
5
Leverkusen106221020 
Jan 13
May 16
May 9
Jan 10
6
Hoffenheim10613519 
Apr 25
Dec 13
Dec 20
May 2
7
E.Frankfurt10523417 
Dec 20
May 2
Jan 13
May 16
8
W.Bremen10433-315 
Dec 7
Apr 18
Apr 25
Dec 14
9
Köln10424214 
Mar 14
l
 
4-1A
Feb 14
w
 
1-2A
10
Freiburg10343-113 
May 9
Jan 10
Jan 31
l
 
3-1F
11
Union Berlin10334-412 
Feb 14
d
 
0-00-0
Jan 18
l
 
2-1A
12
B. M'gladbach10235-69 
Jan 17
d
 
0-00-0
w
 
1-0F
Jan 25
13
Hamburg10235-79 
-
-
Apr 11
Nov 30
14
Wolfsburg10226-68 
l
 
0-1A
Mar 7
Feb 28
w
 
0-3F
15
Augsburg10217-107 
Apr 4
Nov 22
w
 
3-2A
Mar 21
16
St. Pauli10217-117 
l
 
0-2A
Jan 23
w
 
2-0F
Feb 7
17
Mainz10127-85 
w
 
4-0F
Feb 21
w
 
2-1A
Mar 7
18
Heidenheim10127-155 
w
 
2-1F
Feb 7
w
 
1-0F
Feb 21
Win / draw / win form
Hamburg 13TH
20 league games
Home
Overall
Goals: Scored
46
Conceded
23
Games: Scored
17 / 20
Conceded
14 / 20
Clean sheets
6 / 20
Failed to score
3 / 20
Won
9
Draw
7
L
4
HOME FORM Win / Draw / Win
Hamburg1 - 1Dortmund
Hamburg0 - 1Wolfsburg
Hamburg4 - 0Mainz
Hamburg2 - 1Heidenheim
Hamburg0 - 2St. Pauli
Hamburg6 - 1Ulm
Hamburg1 - 2Karlsruher
Hamburg2 - 4E. Braun
Hamburg0 - 0Elversberg
Hamburg4 - 1Dusseldorf
Hamburg3 - 0Kaiserslautern
Hamburg2 - 2Hannover
Hamburg1 - 0Köln
Hamburg5 - 0Greuther
Hamburg2 - 2Darmstadt
Hamburg2 - 2Schalke
Hamburg1 - 1Nurnberg
Hamburg3 - 1Magdeburg
Hamburg2 - 2Paderborn
Hamburg5 - 0Regensburg
Goals: Scored
36
Conceded
29
Games: Scored
14 / 20
Conceded
13 / 20
Clean sheets
7 / 20
Failed to score
6 / 20
Won
7
Draw
5
Lost
8
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
HHamburg1 - 1Dortmund
AHamburg1 - 4Köln
HHamburg0 - 1Wolfsburg
AHamburg1 - 2RB Leipzig
HHamburg4 - 0Mainz
AHamburg0 - 0Union Berlin
HHamburg2 - 1Heidenheim
AHamburg0 - 5Bayern
HHamburg0 - 2St. Pauli
AHamburg0 - 0B. M'gladbach
AHamburg2 - 3Greuther
HHamburg6 - 1Ulm
AHamburg4 - 0Darmstadt
HHamburg1 - 2Karlsruher
AHamburg2 - 2Schalke
HHamburg2 - 4E. Braun
AHamburg3 - 0Nurnberg
HHamburg0 - 0Elversberg
AHamburg3 - 0Magdeburg
HHamburg4 - 1Dusseldorf
Stuttgart 4TH
20 league games
Away
Overall
Goals: Scored
33
Conceded
31
Games: Scored
16 / 20
Conceded
15 / 20
Clean sheets
5 / 20
Failed to score
4 / 20
Won
8
Draw
6
Lost
6
AWAY FORM Win / Draw / Win
RB Leipzig3 - 1Stuttgart
Wolfsburg0 - 3Stuttgart
Köln1 - 2Stuttgart
Freiburg3 - 1Stuttgart
Union Berlin2 - 1Stuttgart
RB Leipzig2 - 3Stuttgart
St. Pauli0 - 1Stuttgart
Union Berlin4 - 4Stuttgart
VfL Bochum0 - 4Stuttgart
E.Frankfurt1 - 0Stuttgart
Holstein2 - 2Stuttgart
Hoffenheim1 - 1Stuttgart
Dortmund1 - 2Stuttgart
Mainz2 - 0Stuttgart
Augsburg0 - 1Stuttgart
Heidenheim1 - 3Stuttgart
W.Bremen2 - 2Stuttgart
Leverkusen0 - 0Stuttgart
Bayern4 - 0Stuttgart
Wolfsburg2 - 2Stuttgart
Goals: Scored
39
Conceded
28
Games: Scored
18 / 20
Conceded
13 / 20
Clean sheets
7 / 20
Failed to score
2 / 20
Won
11
D
2
Lost
7
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
HStuttgart3 - 2Augsburg
AStuttgart1 - 3RB Leipzig
HStuttgart2 - 1Mainz
AStuttgart3 - 0Wolfsburg
HStuttgart1 - 0Heidenheim
AStuttgart2 - 1Köln
HStuttgart2 - 0St. Pauli
AStuttgart1 - 3Freiburg
HStuttgart1 - 0B. M'gladbach
AStuttgart1 - 2Union Berlin
AStuttgart3 - 2RB Leipzig
HStuttgart4 - 0Augsburg
AStuttgart1 - 0St. Pauli
HStuttgart0 - 1Heidenheim
AStuttgart4 - 4Union Berlin
HStuttgart1 - 2W.Bremen
AStuttgart4 - 0VfL Bochum
AStuttgart0 - 1E.Frankfurt
HStuttgart3 - 4Leverkusen
AStuttgart2 - 2Holstein
Win / draw / win head to head (H2H)
League games at Hamburg since 2012
Hamburg
Stuttgart
Goals: Scored
12
7
Games: Scored
3 / 4
4 / 4
Clean sheets
0 / 4
1 / 4
HSV
2
D
1
VFB
1
FIXTURE HISTORY AT Hamburg
Hamburg6 - 2
Hamburg3 - 1
Draw3 - 3Draw
0 - 1Stuttgart
League games at Stuttgart since 2013
Stuttgart
Hamburg
Goals: Scored
9
6
Games: Scored
5 / 6
5 / 6
Clean sheets
1 / 6
1 / 6
HSV
1
D
1
VFB
4
FIXTURE HISTORY AT Stuttgart
Stuttgart3 - 2
Draw1 - 1Draw
Stuttgart2 - 1
Stuttgart2 - 1
Stuttgart1 - 0
0 - 1Hamburg
Goal Statistics

VfB Stuttgart have been consistent in front of goal of late, scoring in 13 consecutive Bundesliga outings. Their PG of 1.5 against Hamburger SV on Sunday suggests they're likely to extend that run.

Hamburg 13th Stuttgart 4th
Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction
1.6
goals
1.5
goals
Scoring probability
Scoring probability
0
21%
1
33%
2
26%
3
13%
4+
8%
There is a 79% probability that Hamburg will score 1 or more goals
0
23%
1
34%
2
25%
3
12%
4+
There is a 77% probability that Stuttgart will score 1 or more goals
 
20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games
+18
Hamburg have scored 18% more goals at home than predicted
+4
Stuttgart’s goalscoring when away has been inline with predictions
2.3
average goals scored
1.7
average goals scored
1.2
conceded
1.6
conceded
 
Attack defence ratings
Bundesliga - 2025/2025 season
Hamburg
PG (predicted goals)
Stuttgart
1.6
1.5
Attack rating
HSV
VFB
50%
better
view stats
Games scored5
10
Failed to score5
0
Scored first2
5
Goals scored9
17
Avg. goals scored0.9
1.7
Avg. shots per game10
11
Avg. shots per goal11
6
Conversion rate for9
15
Avg. XG for1.4
1.6
KickOff rating
+50%
Defence rating
HSV
VFB
17%
better
view stats
Games conceded7
6
Clean sheets3
4
Conceded first6
5
Goals conceded16
12
Avg. goals conceded1.6
1.2
Avg. shots/game conceded11
9
Avg. shots/goal conceded7
8
Conversion rate against14%
13%
Avg. XG against1.5
1.2
KickOff rating
+17%

Hamburg v Stuttgart Bundesliga lLine ups will show here when available.

Hamburg Bundesliga squad statistics 2025
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
10324
D FernandesR PhilippeM MuheimF Vieira
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
D Fernandes GLK10
1
-
M Muheim DEF102
2
-
W Mikelbrencis DEF10
-
N Remberg MID101
3
-
R Philippe FWD103
2
-
R Königsdörffer FWD1011
-
D Elfadli DEF9
2
-
M Dompé FWD92
-
L. Vušković DEF81
1
-
N Capaldo  MID81
2
-
G Gocholeishvili DEF71
1
1
A Lokonga MID72
-
R Glatzel FWD7
-
Y Poulsen FWD6
3
-
F. Uri Baldé FWD6
-
A. Røssing-Lelesiit FWD6
-
W Omari DEF5
-
F Vieira MID51
2
2
G Ramos DEF4
-
J Torunarigha DEF3
-
J Meffert MID3
-
I Pherai MID3
1
1
E Sahiti FWD2
-
A. Souhmahoro DEF1
1
-
Stuttgart Bundesliga squad statistics 2025
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
10342
A NübelT TomásA StillerM Mittelstädt
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
A Nübel GLK101
-
A Stiller MID1014
-
T Tomás FWD103
1
-
M Mittelstädt DEF921
2
-
A Karazor MID9
-
J Leweling FWD93
2
-
C Führich FWD911
-
J Chabot DEF8
-
R Hendriks  DEF8
1
-
J Vagnoman DEF811
1
-
N Nartey MID8
1
-
B Khannouss MID822
2
-
L Assignon  DEF7
2
-
J. Andrés Baixauli MID71
-
B Bouanani FWD7
1
-
D Undav FWD63
2
-
E Demirovic  FWD631
1
-
F. Jeltsch DEF5
1
-
L Jaquez DEF51
1
-
A Al-Dakhil DEF3
-
D Zagadou DEF2
-
L. Jovanović FWD2
-
P Stenzel  DEF1
1
-