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SV Werder Bremen v FC St. Pauli : Bundesliga match betting preview, prediction and odds

Weser-Stadion, Bremen

Ole Werner welcomes Alexander Blessin to the Weser-Stadion on Sunday afternoon, as their SV Werder Bremen and FC St. Pauli troops do battle in the Bundesliga. This preview has odds from the UK's biggest bookmakers for seventeen different betting markets, alongside bespoke data that changes as you go through them. Our predictions are based on the last 20 matches, so all statistics are shown for each side's last 20 too. Home, away and overall records can be viewed, while there's also head-to-head history towards the bottom of the page.

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SV Werder Bremen's next match is v RB Leipzig at 14:30 on Saturday 10th May
FC St. Pauli's next match is v E.Frankfurt at 16:30 on Sunday 11th May
The last German Bundesliga meeting between W.Bremen and St. Pauli was on Sunday 27th April 2025
German Bundesliga
April 27th 2025
W.Bremen 0
0 St. Pauli
 
SVW
STP
Shots On
2
4
Shots Off
4
2
Corners
1
3
Possession
51%
49%
Fouls
9
16
Yellow/red cards
2/0
2/1
 
W.BremenSt. Pauli
 
M. Zetterer
N. Stark
A. Pieper
M. Friedl
M. Weiser
F. Agu (D. Köhn 81')
R. Schmid
S. Lynen (L. Bittencourt 81')
J. Stage
J. Njinmah (O. Burke 69')
M. Ducksch (M. Grüll 87')
N. Vasilj
M. Saliakas
P. Treu
(L. Ritzka 88') S. Van der Heyden
D. Nemeth
H. Wahl
(R. Wagner 75') C. Boukhalfa
E. Smith
(E. Saad 62') N. Weißhaupt
(C. Metcalfe 75') D. Sinani
(J. Eggestein 88') M. Guilavogui

Want to know who’s consistently beating the odds? Check out the Top Bundesliga Tipsters and see the most profitable experts for this season!

If you’re keen on betting across various leagues and markets, our Live Bets page showcases active accumulator bets and real-time tips.

Best Tip: Over 1.5 goals

Neither W.Bremen or St. Pauli are in the kind of form that would have us feeling confident enough to tip a match winner, so we're going with over 1.5 goals. The stats show that both have a proven record in this market, both individually and when going head-to-head. We're predicting there's a 79% chance of 2 goals or more.

In-Play
Win / Draw / Win
Over / Under 1.5 Goals
Over / Under 2.5 Goals
Over / Under 3.5 Goals
Win To Nil
Both Teams To Score
Correct Score
Both Teams To Score & Result
Double Chance
Half Time / Full Time
Over / Under 0.5 Goals
Over / Under 4.5 Goals
Over / Under 5.5 Goals
Draw No Bet
Team To Score First
If you’re looking for a winner in this match, we think W.Bremen are the most likely. Our predictive algorithm gives them a 45% chance of victory, and the bookies have them at a best price of 1.85.

Checkout the hundreds of tips picked but our top win/draw/win tipsters

Change odds
Predictions Add Bet365 Coral
W.Bremen
45%
19/20
3%
-
Draw
25%
13/5
3%
-
St. Pauli
30%
14/5
6%
-
Draw 1-1
12%
11/2-
W.Bremen 2-1
9%
15/2-
W.Bremen 1-0
9%
7/1
6%
-
W.Bremen 2-0
7%
17/2
5%
-
St. Pauli 2-1
7%
12/1-
St. Pauli 1-0
7%
11/1-
Draw 2-2
6%
14/1
15%
-
Draw 0-0
6%
10/1
8%
-
W.Bremen 3-1
5%
14/1-
St. Pauli 2-0
5%
18/1-
W.Bremen 3-0
4%
16/1-
W.Bremen 3-2
3%
25/1
13%
-
St. Pauli 3-1
3%
28/1-
St. Pauli 3-2
2%
33/1-
W.Bremen 4-1
2%
33/1-
Over 2.5 Goals
54%
4/5-
Under 2.5 Goals
46%
1/1-
Home 1st Goal
51%
4/7
3%
-
Away 1st Goal
46%
6/4-
No 1st Goal
3%
10/1
8%
-
BTTS - Yes
57%
3/4
5%
-
BTTS - No
43%
1/1
5%
-
BTTS - Home Win
23%
3/1
7%
-
BTTS - Draw
19%
7/2
4%
-
BTTS - Away Win
16%
6/1
8%
-
Home/draw
70%
1/4
3%
-
Away/draw
55%
4/5-
Home/away
75%
2/7-
Over 1.5 Goals
78%
1/4-
Under 1.5 Goals
22%
3/1-
Over 3.5 Goals
32%
2/1-
Under 3.5 Goals
68%
2/5-
Over 4.5 Goals
16%
9/2-
Under 4.5 Goals
84%
1/7-
Over 5.5 Goals
7%
10/1-
Under 5.5 Goals
93%
1/20-
Over 0.5 Goals
94%
1/20
1%
-
Under 0.5 Goals
6%
10/1
8%
-
Home DNB
62%
4/9-
Away DNB
47%
13/8-
W.Bremen win to nil
23%
5/2
7%
-
St. Pauli win to nil
15%
6/1-
W.Bremen / W.Bremen
26%
21/10
5%
-
W.Bremen / St. Pauli
3%
28/1-
W.Bremen / Draw
6%
12/1-
Draw / W.Bremen
16%
4/1-
Draw / St. Pauli
10%
7/1-
Draw / Draw
15%
9/2-
St. Pauli / W.Bremen
4%
22/1
10%
-
St. Pauli / St. Pauli
14%
5/1-
St. Pauli / Draw
5%
14/1-
Win / draw / win Bundesliga table

W.Bremen have played 30 matches so far this season and lay in 8th place in the Bundesliga league table.

Performance against teams below them in the league

They have played 17 games against teams below in the table, having won 9, drawn 3 and lost 5 matches. They have kept 4 clean sheets and have failed to score in 1 fixture. W.Bremen have outscored their opponents by 48 goals to 26 goals.

Home League Performance

W.Bremen have played 15 games at home winning 5, drawing 4 and losing 6 games. They have scored 21 goals, kept 4 clean sheets and conceded 26 goals at home.

St. Pauli are in 14th position in the Bundesliga on 30 points having played 30 matches so far this season.

Away League Performance

9 of those games have been losing matches. They have conceded 20 goals and kept 4 clean sheets. They have scored 16 goals in total and failed to score in 5 fixtures.

Performance against teams above them in the league

23 games have come against teams above them in the table. They have lost 14 games, drawn 6 and won 3. St. Pauli have conceded 31 goals, scored 16, failed to score in 12 fixtures and have kept 5 clean sheets.

Won
Draw
Lost
W.Bremen
St. Pauli
Results by League Table
TEAM PLD W D L GD PTS HOME AWAY HOME AWAY
1
Bayern3223726176 
l
 
0-5A
l
 
3-0A
l
 
0-1A
l
 
3-2A
2
Leverkusen32191123168 
d
 
2-2A
w
 
0-2F
d
 
1-1A
l
 
2-1A
3
E.Frankfurt3216882056 
w
 
2-0F
l
 
1-0A
l
 
0-1A
May 11
4
Freiburg3215710-352 
l
 
0-1A
l
 
5-0A
l
 
0-1A
w
 
0-3F
5
Dortmund32156111551 
d
 
0-00-0
d
 
2-2A
l
 
0-2A
l
 
2-1A
6
RB Leipzig3213118650 
May 10
l
 
4-2A
d
 
0-00-0
l
 
2-0A
7
Mainz3213910948 
w
 
1-0F
w
 
1-2F
l
 
0-3A
l
 
2-0A
8
W.Bremen Home3213811-647 
-
-
l
 
0-2A
d
 
0-00-0
9
B. M'gladbach3213613145 
l
 
2-4A
l
 
4-1A
d
 
1-1A
l
 
2-0A
10
Stuttgart3212812644 
d
 
2-2F
w
 
1-2A
l
 
0-1A
w
 
0-1F
11
Augsburg32111011-1143 
l
 
0-2A
d
 
2-2F
d
 
1-1F
l
 
3-1A
12
Wolfsburg3210913139 
l
 
1-2A
w
 
2-4A
d
 
0-00-0
d
 
1-1F
13
Union Berlin3291013-1437 
w
 
4-1F
d
 
2-2F
w
 
3-0F
l
 
1-0A
14
St. Pauli Away328717-1131 
d
 
0-00-0
w
 
0-2F
-
-
15
Hoffenheim3271015-1831 
l
 
1-3F
w
 
3-4A
w
 
1-0F
w
 
0-2F
16
Heidenheim327520-2726 
d
 
3-3F
May 17
l
 
0-2A
w
 
0-2F
17
Holstein326719-2725 
w
 
2-1F
w
 
0-3F
w
 
3-1F
w
 
1-2A
18
VfL Bochum325720-3322 
w
 
1-0F
w
 
0-1F
May 17
l
 
1-0A
Win / draw / win form
W.Bremen 8TH
20 league games
Home
Overall
Goals: Scored
30
Conceded
34
Games: Scored
15 / 20
Conceded
16 / 20
Clean sheets
4 / 20
Failed to score
5 / 20
Won
7
Draw
5
Lost
8
Goals: Scored
31
Conceded
33
Games: Scored
16 / 20
Conceded
13 / 20
Clean sheets
7 / 20
Failed to score
4 / 20
Won
9
D
3
Lost
8
St. Pauli 14TH
20 league games
Away
Overall
Goals: Scored
23
Conceded
25
Games: Scored
14 / 20
Conceded
15 / 20
Clean sheets
5 / 20
Failed to score
6 / 20
Won
8
D
1
Lost
11
Goals: Scored
19
Conceded
24
Games: Scored
12 / 20
Conceded
16 / 20
Clean sheets
4 / 20
Failed to score
8 / 20
Won
6
D
4
Lost
10
Goal Statistics

SV Werder Bremen have been steady in front of goal of late, finding the net in 7 consecutive Bundesliga outings. Their PG of 1.6 against FC St. Pauli on Sunday suggests they're likely to extend that run.

W.Bremen 8th St. Pauli 14th
Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction
1.6
goals
1.3
goals
Scoring probability
Scoring probability
0
20%
1
32%
2
26%
3
14%
4+
8%
There is a 80% probability that W.Bremen will score 1 or more goals
0
28%
1
36%
2
22%
3
9%
4+
There is a 64% probability that St. Pauli will score no more than 1 goal
 
20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games
-5
W.Bremen’s goalscoring at home has been inline with predictions
-12
St. Pauli have scored 12% fewer goals when away than predicted
1.5
average goals scored
1.2
average goals scored
1.7
conceded
1.3
conceded
 
Attack defence ratings
Bundesliga - 2024/2025 season
https://api.kickoff.co.uk/v1/fixture/283689/accaPanel/formStats/marketCode/FULL
W.Bremen
PG (predicted goals)
St. Pauli
1.6
1.3
Attack rating
35%
better
SVW
STP
view stats
Games scored23
16
Failed to score7
14
Scored first14
9
Goals scored48
26
Avg. goals scored1.6
0.9
Avg. shots per game9
8
Avg. shots per goal6
9
Conversion rate for18
11
Avg. XG for1.5
1.1
KickOff rating
+35%
Defence rating
SVW
STP
10%
better
view stats
Games conceded22
22
Clean sheets8
8
Conceded first15
19
Goals conceded54
36
Avg. goals conceded1.8
1.2
Avg. shots/game conceded9
9
Avg. shots/goal conceded5
7
Conversion rate against19%
14%
Avg. XG against1.4
1.3
KickOff rating
+10%

W.Bremen v St. Pauli Bundesliga lLine ups will show here when available.

W.Bremen Bundesliga squad statistics 2024/2025
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
329811
M ZettererJ StageM WeiserM Friedl
Line-upAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
M Zetterer GLK32
2
-
N Stark DEF241
5
1
M Friedl DEF24
9
2
A Pieper DEF21
2
-
M Weiser MID3058
8
1
J Stage MID2695
9
-
S Lynen MID301
9
-
R Schmid MID3044
4
-
F Agu MID203
1
-
J Njinmah FWD2432
1
-
M Ducksch FWD3078
3
-
Subs
M Backhaus GLK
-
A Jung DEF27
1
-
D Köhn DEF2522
2
-
J Malatini DEF1011
1
-
L Bittencourt MID2521
3
-
A Silva FWD71
1
-
O Burke FWD245
4
-
M Grüll FWD2861
1
-
K Topp FWD1812
1
-
St. Pauli Bundesliga squad statistics 2024/2025
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
32546
N VasiljM GuilavoguiJ EggesteinE Smith
Line-upAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
N Vasilj GLK32
1
1
D Nemeth  DEF221
3
-
H Wahl DEF31
1
-
S Heyden DEF121
3
1
M Saliakas MID2811
4
-
C Boukhalfa MID232
1
-
E Smith MID3011
6
-
P Treu MID312
2
-
N Weißhaupt FWD171
-
M Guilavogui FWD2351
6
-
D Sinani FWD2422
3
-
Subs
B Voll GLK1
-
A Dzwigala DEF14
2
1
L Ritzka DEF191
1
-
E Ahlstrand MID5
-
C Metcalfe MID9
1
1
R Wagner MID11
1
-
J Eggestein FWD2634
3
-
O Afolayan FWD3031
3
-
E Saad FWD1832
1
-