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SV Werder Bremen v TSG 1899 Hoffenheim : Bundesliga match betting preview, prediction and odds

Sat 10th Jan, 14:30 BST, Weser-Stadion, Bremen

Home advantage is often beneficial in the Bundesliga, and Horst Steffen’s SV Werder Bremen will have the blessing of it on Saturday afternoon. Christian Ilzer’s TSG 1899 Hoffenheim are their visitors to the Weser-Stadion. Our predictions are based on extensive statistical analysis of both teams' performance, across 17 of the biggest markets. The data and the odds change with each market, and head to head (H2H) stats are included across the board.


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Best Tip: Over 1.5 goals

The statistics suggest there isn't an obvious winner for this clash, but the evidence does point towards the conclusion that W.Bremen and Hoffenheim will find the net twice at least between them. Goals have flowed freely when they've gone head-to-head in years gone by, and neither Horst Steffen or Christian Ilzer has suffered the frustration of many 0-0s of late either. The bookies predict over 1.5 goals too, with best odds of 1.17 equating to about a 80% probability.

In-Play
Win / Draw / Win
Over / Under 1.5 Goals
Over / Under 2.5 Goals
Over / Under 3.5 Goals
Win To Nil
Both Teams To Score
Correct Score
Both Teams To Score & Result
Double Chance
Half Time / Full Time
Over / Under 0.5 Goals
Over / Under 4.5 Goals
Over / Under 5.5 Goals
Draw No Bet
Team To Score First
An away win looks like the most likely outcome in the win/draw/win market, with our predictive algorithm suggesting there’s a 48% chance of Hoffenheim coming away with a win.

Checkout the hundreds of tips picked but our top win/draw/win tipsters

Change odds
Predictions Add Bet365 Coral
W.Bremen
28%
9/5
6%
17/10
7%
Draw
24%
11/414/5
4%
Hoffenheim
48%
5/4
6%
13/10
2%
Draw 1-1
11%
13/26/1
Hoffenheim 2-1
9%
17/215/2
Hoffenheim 1-0
9%
11/19/1
Hoffenheim 2-0
7%
14/111/1
W.Bremen 2-1
7%
10/1
10%
8/1
W.Bremen 1-0
6%
12/110/1
8%
Draw 2-2
6%
10/117/2
6%
Hoffenheim 3-1
5%
16/112/1
Draw 0-0
5%
18/1
12%
14/1
15%
Hoffenheim 3-0
4%
22/118/1
W.Bremen 2-0
4%
16/112/1
13%
Hoffenheim 3-2
4%
20/116/1
W.Bremen 3-1
3%
18/114/1
12%
W.Bremen 3-2
3%
22/1
10%
16/1
11%
Hoffenheim 4-1
2%
33/122/1
10%
Over 2.5 Goals
58%
4/78/15
Under 2.5 Goals
42%
11/811/8
Home 1st Goal
46%
20/21
3%
1/1
2%
Away 1st Goal
52%
4/5
2%
17/20
2%
No 1st Goal
3%
16/1
12%
12/1
BTTS - Yes
59%
1/21/2
BTTS - No
41%
6/429/20
BTTS - Home Win
16%
7/2
4%
16/5
4%
BTTS - Draw
19%
10/316/5
5%
BTTS - Away Win
25%
11/4
6%
27/10
3%
Home/draw
52%
8/13
6%
4/7
2%
Away/draw
72%
2/5
3%
4/9
3%
Home/away
76%
1/41/4
3%
Over 1.5 Goals
80%
1/61/6
Under 1.5 Goals
20%
4/119/5
Over 3.5 Goals
36%
11/813/10
Under 3.5 Goals
64%
4/74/7
Over 4.5 Goals
19%
10/33/1
3%
Under 4.5 Goals
81%
2/92/9
Over 5.5 Goals
9%
7/1
13%
13/2
Under 5.5 Goals
91%
1/12
2%
1/14
Over 0.5 Goals
95%
1/401/50
Under 0.5 Goals
5%
14/114/1
15%
Home DNB
45%
11/10
10%
1/1
5%
Away DNB
65%
4/6
7%
8/11
3%
W.Bremen win to nil
13%
5/1-
Hoffenheim win to nil
23%
4/1
9%
-
W.Bremen / W.Bremen
19%
7/2
4%
3/1
5%
W.Bremen / Hoffenheim
4%
20/116/1
W.Bremen / Draw
7%
12/110/1
Draw / W.Bremen
11%
6/16/1
Draw / Hoffenheim
13%
5/1
8%
5/1
Draw / Draw
13%
11/25/1
4%
Hoffenheim / W.Bremen
4%
22/118/1
10%
Hoffenheim / Hoffenheim
22%
13/5
4%
5/2
3%
Hoffenheim / Draw
7%
12/110/1
Win / draw / win Bundesliga table

W.Bremen have played 15 matches so far this season and are in 10th position in the league.

Performance against teams above them in the league

7 of those games have come against teams above them in the table. They have lost 5 games, drawn 1 and won 1. W.Bremen have conceded 20 goals, scored 5, failed to score in 4 matches and kept 1 clean sheet.

Home league performance

W.Bremen have played 7 games at home, winning 3, drawing 2 and losing 2 fixtures. They have scored 8 goals, conceded 12 goals, kept 2 clean sheets and failed to score 2 times in home league games.

Hoffenheim lay in 5th place on 27 points in the Bundesliga league table having played 15 matches.

Performance against teams below them in the league

They have played 11 games against teams below them in the table, winning 6, drawing 3 and losing 2 games. They have scored 23 goals and kept 3 clean sheets against lower placed opposition. Hoffenheim have conceded 12 goals and have failed to score in 2 matches.

Away league performance

Hoffenheim have played 8 away games, winning 4, drawing 3 and losing 1 game. They have scored an average of 1.8 goals per away game and conceded an average 1.1 goals per away game.

Won
Draw
Lost
W.Bremen
Hoffenheim
Results by League Table
TEAM PLD W D L GD PTS HOME AWAY HOME AWAY
1
Bayern1513204441 
Feb 14
l
 
4-0A
l
 
1-4A
Feb 8
2
Dortmund159511432 
May 16
Jan 13
Apr 18
l
 
2-0A
3
Leverkusen159241329 
d
 
3-3A
Jan 24
Jan 17
w
 
1-2A
4
RB Leipzig159241129 
Apr 4
l
 
2-0A
w
 
3-1A
Mar 21
5
Hoffenheim15834927 
Jan 10
May 9
-
-
6
Stuttgart15825326 
l
 
0-4A
Apr 25
May 2
d
 
0-00-0
7
E.Frankfurt15744025 
Jan 16
l
 
4-1A
l
 
1-3A
Jan 24
8
Union Berlin15636-321 
w
 
1-0F
Mar 7
Jan 31
w
 
2-4F
9
Freiburg15555-120 
l
 
0-3A
Feb 7
Feb 14
d
 
1-1A
10
W.Bremen15456-1017 
-
-
May 9
Jan 10
11
Köln15447-216 
d
 
1-1F
Apr 11
l
 
0-1A
Feb 21
12
B. M'gladbach15447-616 
Jan 31
w
 
0-4F
Jan 14
May 16
13
Hamburg15447-916 
Apr 18
l
 
3-2F
w
 
4-1F
Apr 25
14
Wolfsburg15438-515 
w
 
2-1A
Mar 21
Mar 14
w
 
2-3A
15
Augsburg15429-1114 
May 2
d
 
0-00-0
w
 
3-0F
Apr 11
16
St. Pauli15339-1312 
w
 
1-0F
Feb 22
Feb 28
w
 
0-3F
17
Heidenheim153210-2111 
Feb 28
d
 
2-2F
w
 
3-1F
Mar 7
18
Mainz15159-138 
Mar 14
d
 
1-1A
Apr 4
d
 
1-1F
Win / draw / win form
5
W.Bremen have not won in 5 consecutive league games
W.Bremen 10TH
20 league games
Home
Overall
5
Goals: Scored
27
Conceded
30
Games: Scored
15 / 20
Conceded
13 / 20
Clean sheets
7 / 20
Failed to score
5 / 20
Won
8
Draw
6
Lost
6
Goals: Scored
25
Conceded
31
Games: Scored
13 / 20
Conceded
13 / 20
Clean sheets
7 / 20
Failed to score
7 / 20
Won
6
Draw
8
Lost
6
Hoffenheim 5TH
20 league games
Away
Overall
Goals: Scored
32
Conceded
35
Games: Scored
15 / 20
Conceded
17 / 20
Clean sheets
3 / 20
Failed to score
5 / 20
Won
7
Draw
6
Lost
7
Goals: Scored
39
Conceded
36
Games: Scored
16 / 20
Conceded
17 / 20
Clean sheets
3 / 20
Failed to score
4 / 20
Won
8
Draw
5
Lost
7
Win / draw / win head to head (H2H)
League games at W.Bremen since 2013
W.Bremen
Hoffenheim
Goals: Scored
17
24
Games: Scored
11 / 12
12 / 12
Clean sheets
0 / 12
1 / 12
SVW
1
D
6
TSG
5
League games at Hoffenheim since 2012
Hoffenheim
W.Bremen
Goals: Scored
22
24
Games: Scored
11 / 12
10 / 12
Clean sheets
2 / 12
1 / 12
SVW
6
D
2
TSG
4
Goal Statistics
W.Bremen 10th Hoffenheim 5th
Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction
1.3
goals
1.7
goals
Scoring probability
Scoring probability
0
28%
1
36%
2
23%
3
10%
4+
There is a 64% probability that W.Bremen will score no more than 1 goal
0
18%
1
31%
2
27%
3
15%
4+
10%
There is a 82% probability that Hoffenheim will score 1 or more goals
 
20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games
-18
W.Bremen have scored 18% fewer goals at home than predicted
+19
Hoffenheim have scored 19% more goals when away than predicted
1.4
average goals scored
1.6
average goals scored
1.5
conceded
1.8
conceded
 
Attack defence ratings
Bundesliga - 2025/2025 season
W.Bremen
PG (predicted goals)
Hoffenheim
1.3
1.7
Attack rating
%
better
SVW
TSG
view stats
Games scored0
0
Failed to score0
0
Scored first0
0
Goals scored0
0
Avg. goals scored0
0
Avg. shots per game0
0
Avg. shots per goal0
0
Conversion rate for0
0
Avg. XG for0
0
KickOff rating
0%
Defence rating
%
better
SVW
TSG
view stats
Games conceded0
0
Clean sheets0
0
Conceded first0
0
Goals conceded0
0
Avg. goals conceded0
0
Avg. shots/game conceded0
0
Avg. shots/goal conceded0
0
Conversion rate against0%
0%
Avg. XG against0
0
KickOff rating
0%

W.Bremen v Hoffenheim Bundesliga lLine ups will show here when available.

W.Bremen Bundesliga squad statistics 2025
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
15545
R SchmidJ StageR SchmidA. Coulibaly
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
R Schmid MID1524
3
-
M Grüll FWD1521
4
-
M Friedl DEF141
4
-
Y Sugawara DEF143
1
-
A. Coulibaly DEF141
4
1
S Lynen MID14
2
-
J Njinmah FWD143
1
-
M Backhaus GLK13
-
C Puertas MID13
3
-
J Stage MID1351
3
-
S. Mbangula FWD1331
-
K Topp FWD111
3
-
V Boniface FWD112
1
-
A Pieper DEF9
3
-
P. Čović MID9
1
-
I Schmidt DEF81
1
-
L Bittencourt MID8
1
-
N Stark DEF7
3
2
F Agu DEF6
1
-
J Malatini DEF3
1
-
K Hein GLK2
-
S Alvero MID2
-
I Hansen-Aaroen MID1
-
Hoffenheim Bundesliga squad statistics 2025
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
15645
O BaumannF AsllaniV CoufalBernardo
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
O Baumann GLK15
-
V Coufal DEF1514
1
-
R Hranáč DEF15
3
-
L Avdullahu MID151
2
-
G Prömel  MID1552
2
-
A Kramaric MID1533
1
-
F Asllani FWD1562
1
-
Bernardo DEF14
5
-
W Burger MID1434
2
-
B. Touré FWD1424
1
-
T Lemperle FWD1451
1
-
A Hajdari  DEF131
5
-
A Prass DEF131
-
M. Moerstedt FWD9
1
-
I Bebou FWD9
-
M Damar  MID8
-
O Kabak DEF71
-
U Tohumcu MID5
2
-
A Chaves DEF4
1
-
A Hlozek FWD3
-
K Akpoguma DEF2
-
V Gendrey DEF2
-
K Machida DEF1
1
-