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Sligo Rovers v Derry City : Premier Division match betting preview, prediction and odds

Sat 12th Jul, 19:45 BST, The Showgrounds, Sligo

The Showgrounds faithful welcome Derry City's fans on Saturday evening, as John Russell's Sligo Rovers go head to head with Huseyin Eroglu's team in the Premier Division. Stats for our tip of under 2.5 goals are shown below, including head to head (H2H) history. Changing the market with the tabs changes all stats and the odds from leading bookmakers, allowing you do find the bet that suits you best.


Best Tip: Under 2.5 goals

A tight, highly tactical defensive battle could be in store as Sligo and Derry go head-to-head, with little to choose between the sides in defence, making it difficult to predict who will win. The stats do not supply any proper confidence in that regard, but they are pointing strongly towards there being 2 goals or fewer in the match. That prediction is available at best priced odds of 1.62 with the bookies, so we've made under 2.5 goals our tip of the day on this occasion.

In-Play
Win / Draw / Win
Over / Under 1.5 Goals
Over / Under 2.5 Goals
Over / Under 3.5 Goals
Win To Nil
Both Teams To Score
Correct Score
Both Teams To Score & Result
Double Chance
Half Time / Full Time
Over / Under 0.5 Goals
Over / Under 4.5 Goals
Over / Under 5.5 Goals
Draw No Bet
Team To Score First
An away win looks like the most likely outcome in the win/draw/win market, with our predictive algorithm suggesting there’s a 46% chance of Derry coming away with a win.

Checkout the hundreds of tips picked but our top win/draw/win tipsters

Change odds
Predictions Add Bet365 Coral
Sligo
26%
4/1-
Draw
28%
5/2-
Derry
46%
4/6-
Derry 1-0
14%
9/2-
Draw 1-1
13%
6/1-
Draw 0-0
11%
7/1-
Sligo 1-0
10%
10/1-
Derry 2-0
9%
6/1-
Derry 2-1
8%
8/1-
Sligo 2-1
6%
16/1-
Sligo 2-0
4%
25/1-
Derry 3-0
4%
11/1-
Draw 2-2
4%
20/1-
Derry 3-1
4%
16/1-
Sligo 3-1
2%
40/1-
Derry 3-2
2%
33/1-
Sligo 3-0
1%
50/1-
Derry 4-0
1%
28/1-
Over 2.5 Goals
38%
5/4-
Under 2.5 Goals
62%
8/13-
Home 1st Goal
42%
9/4-
Away 1st Goal
51%
4/9-
No 1st Goal
7%
7/1-
BTTS - Yes
43%
6/5-
BTTS - No
57%
8/13-
BTTS - Home Win
10%
11/1-
BTTS - Draw
17%
9/2-
BTTS - Away Win
16%
7/2-
Home/draw
54%
23/20-
Away/draw
74%
1/6-
Home/away
72%
2/7-
Over 1.5 Goals
65%
2/5-
Under 1.5 Goals
35%
7/4-
Over 3.5 Goals
18%
10/3-
Under 3.5 Goals
82%
1/5-
Over 4.5 Goals
7%
9/1-
Under 4.5 Goals
93%
1/16-
Over 5.5 Goals
3%
20/1-
Under 5.5 Goals
97%
1/66-
Over 0.5 Goals
89%
1/14
1%
-
Under 0.5 Goals
11%
8/1
13%
-
Home DNB
46%
11/4-
Away DNB
66%
1/4-
Sligo win to nil
16%
7/1-
Derry win to nil
29%
6/4-
Sligo / Sligo
9%
8/1-
Sligo / Derry
3%
25/1-
Sligo / Draw
5%
16/1-
Draw / Sligo
8%
9/1-
Draw / Derry
19%
10/3-
Draw / Draw
17%
4/1-
Derry / Sligo
2%
40/1-
Derry / Derry
31%
13/8-
Derry / Draw
6%
14/1-
Win / draw / win Premier Division table

Sligo have played 23 matches so far this season and are in 9th position in the league.

Performance against teams above them in the league

21 of those games have come against teams above them in the table. They have lost 13 games, drawn 3 and won 5. Sligo have conceded 37 goals, scored 26, failed to score in 7 matches and kept 3 clean sheets.

Home league performance

Sligo have played 12 games at home, winning 3, drawing 3 and losing 6 fixtures. They have scored 14 goals, conceded 17 goals, kept 1 clean sheet and failed to score 3 times in home league games.

Derry lay in 2nd place on 40 points in the Premier Division league table having played 23 matches.

Performance against teams below them in the league

They have played 21 games against teams below them in the table, winning 12, drawing 3 and losing 6 games. They have scored 34 goals and kept 8 clean sheets against lower placed opposition. Derry have conceded 22 goals and have failed to score in 2 matches.

Away league performance

Derry have played 11 away games, winning 5, drawing 2 and losing 4 games. They have scored an average of 1 goals per away game and conceded an average 1.1 goals per away game.

Won
Draw
Lost
Sligo
Derry
Results by League Table
TEAM PLD GD PTS HOME AWAY HOME AWAY HOME AWAY HOME AWAY
1
Shamrock252149 
w
 
2-1F
l
 
2-0A
d
 
2-2F
Nov 1
l
 
1-2F
d
 
0-00-0
Oct 24
Aug 1
2
Derry231140 
l
 
0-1A
l
 
3-0A
Jul 12
Oct 3
-
-
-
-
3
Bohemians23538 
l
 
0-1A
l
 
4-2A
Aug 30
d
 
1-1F
w
 
1-0F
l
 
1-0A
Jul 25
Sep 12
4
Drogheda25438 
d
 
2-2A
l
 
3-0A
Sep 20
l
 
1-0A
l
 
1-3F
d
 
1-1A
w
 
3-0F
Sep 26
5
Shelbourne25335 
l
 
1-2A
l
 
3-2F
Aug 2
Oct 17
w
 
2-0F
l
 
3-1A
Sep 19
w
 
0-1F
6
St Patrick's25032 
l
 
0-1A
l
 
4-3A
Sep 27
Aug 8
w
 
1-0F
l
 
2-0A
Aug 29
w
 
0-1F
7
Galway23029 
l
 
1-2A
w
 
0-1F
w
 
2-1F
Sep 12
d
 
1-1A
w
 
2-3F
d
 
1-1A
Aug 22
8
Waterford23-1627 
l
 
2-3A
w
 
0-4F
w
 
1-0F
Aug 22
l
 
1-2A
l
 
2-1A
w
 
7-2F
Oct 17
9
Sligo23-1120 
-
-
-
-
w
 
3-0F
w
 
0-1F
Oct 3
Jul 12
10
Cork23-1715 
d
 
1-1A
d
 
1-1F
Oct 25
Jul 25
w
 
2-1A
w
 
1-2F
Aug 8
Nov 1
Win / draw / win form
Sligo 10TH
20 league games
Home
Overall
Goals: Scored
26
Conceded
24
Games: Scored
15 / 20
Conceded
16 / 20
Clean sheets
4 / 20
Failed to score
5 / 20
Won
9
D
3
Lost
8
Goals: Scored
23
Conceded
29
Games: Scored
14 / 20
Conceded
17 / 20
Clean sheets
3 / 20
Failed to score
6 / 20
Won
5
Draw
5
Lost
10
Derry 6TH
20 league games
Away
Overall
Goals: Scored
18
Conceded
19
Games: Scored
13 / 20
Conceded
12 / 20
Clean sheets
8 / 20
Failed to score
7 / 20
Won
8
D
4
Lost
8
Goals: Scored
32
Conceded
19
Games: Scored
17 / 20
Conceded
12 / 20
Clean sheets
8 / 20
Failed to score
3 / 20
Won
11
D
4
Lost
5
Win / draw / win head to head (H2H)
League games at Sligo since 2019
Sligo
Derry
Goals: Scored
9
8
Games: Scored
7 / 12
6 / 12
Clean sheets
6 / 12
5 / 12
SLR
5
D
3
DER
4
League games at Derry since 2019
Derry
Sligo
Goals: Scored
18
8
Games: Scored
10 / 12
6 / 12
Clean sheets
6 / 12
2 / 12
SLR
1
D
5
DER
6
Goal Statistics

With a PG of just 0.9, Sligo Rovers look set to find it difficult here. Add in the fact that Derry City haven't conceded a goal in 3 consecutive Premier Division games, and it could be a long evening for J. Russell's men.

Sligo Rovers's defensive record is very strong, J. Russell's men having conceded 1 or less in 5 consecutive Premier Division games. An underwhelming PG rating of 1.3 for Derry City makes sense in this context.

Sligo 10th Derry 6th
Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction
0.9
goals
1.3
goals
Scoring probability
Scoring probability
0
40%
1
37%
2
17%
3
4+
There is a 77% probability of Sligo scoring 1 goal or less
0
27%
1
35%
2
23%
3
10%
4+
There is a 62% probability that Derry will score no more than 1 goal
 
20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games
+13
Sligo have scored 13% more goals at home than predicted
-19
Derry have scored 19% fewer goals when away than predicted
1.3
average goals scored
0.9
average goals scored
1.2
conceded
1.0
conceded
 
Attack defence ratings
Premier Division - 2025/2025 season
https://api.kickoff.co.uk/v1/fixture/290132/accaPanel/formStats/marketCode/FULL
Sligo
PG (predicted goals)
Derry
0.9
1.3
Attack rating
SLR
DER
25%
better
view stats
Games scored15
20
Failed to score7
3
Scored first8
13
Goals scored26
35
Avg. goals scored1.1
1.5
Avg. shots per game8
8
Avg. shots per goal7
6
Conversion rate for15
18
Avg. XG for0
0
KickOff rating
+25%
Defence rating
SLR
DER
29%
better
view stats
Games conceded19
14
Clean sheets3
9
Conceded first14
9
Goals conceded37
24
Avg. goals conceded1.6
1
Avg. shots/game conceded11
7
Avg. shots/goal conceded7
7
Conversion rate against15%
15%
Avg. XG against0
0
KickOff rating
+29%

Sligo v Derry Premier Division lLine ups will show here when available.

Sligo Premier Division squad statistics 2025
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
238611
W FitzgeraldO EldingW FitzgeraldJ Mahon
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
W Fitzgerald FWD236
4
-
F. Lomboto FWD234
3
-
R Hutchinson DEF2232
4
-
J Hakiki FWD224
6
-
O Elding FWD2283
6
-
J Mahon DEF191
10
1
G McElroy DEF182
2
-
C Kavanagh FWD1831
6
1
S Sargeant GLK17
1
-
J Doyle-Hayes MID171
9
1
C Reynolds MID17
6
1
M Wolfe MID162
4
-
R. Manning MID162
3
-
S Mallon MID14
-
H Lintott DEF121
2
-
C Malley MID121
5
-
O Hattum FWD121
1
-
O Denham DEF10
2
-
W. Waweru FWD91
-
D. Patton MID81
1
-
K. McDonagh MID8
1
-
C Walsh GLK6
1
-
P McClean DEF1
-
J McManus MID1
1
-
S Quirk MID1
-
R O'Kane FWD1
-
Derry Premier Division squad statistics 2025
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
238712
B MaherM DuffyM DuffyA O'Reilly
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
B Maher GLK23
2
-
M Duffy FWD2387
4
-
M Connolly  DEF221
5
-
S Todd DEF2112
2
-
A O'Reilly MID211
12
-
K Holt DEF202
2
-
C Winchester MID201
8
1
L Boyce  FWD2081
5
1
R Boyce DEF1922
3
-
R Benson MID191
2
1
G Whyte FWD1934
2
-
H Cann DEF181
3
-
D Mullen FWD186
5
1
S Ferguson MID121
5
-
S Diallo MID101
4
-
B Doherty DEF9
2
-
S Patton FWD9
2
-
P Hoban FWD81
2
-
C Harkin MID6
3
-
A Frizzell MID1
-
Irish Premier Division match betting previews, predictions and odds