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Atalanta v Roma : Serie A match betting preview, prediction and odds

Sat 3rd Jan, 19:45 BST, Atleti Azzurri d'Italia, Zingonia di Ciserano

Roma are on the road on Saturday evening, as manager Gian Piero Gasperini takes his men to visit Atalanta and Raffaele Palladino at the Atleti Azzurri d'Italia in the Serie A. For each and every Serie A match preview, KickOff dives into the statistics for seventeen major betting markets. Important stats, including head to head (H2H) results, are then given alongside odds from leading bookmakers.


Want to know who’s consistently beating the odds? Check out the Top Serie A Tipsters and see the most profitable experts for this season!

If you’re keen on betting across various leagues and markets, our Live Bets page showcases active accumulator bets and real-time tips.

Best Tip: Under 2.5 goals

Under 2.5 goals as a betting market simply means there will only be a maximum of 2 goals scored in total by Atalanta and Roma during the traditional 90 minutes. It's a bet the stats below and the odds both favour on this occasion, and an outcome that we've seen these sides produce before. In the absence of an obvious winner, our best bet prediction for this one is under 2.5 goals.

In-Play
Win / Draw / Win
Over / Under 1.5 Goals
Over / Under 2.5 Goals
Over / Under 3.5 Goals
Win To Nil
Both Teams To Score
Correct Score
Both Teams To Score & Result
Double Chance
Half Time / Full Time
Over / Under 0.5 Goals
Over / Under 4.5 Goals
Over / Under 5.5 Goals
Draw No Bet
Team To Score First
If you’re looking for a winner in this match, we think Atalanta are the most likely. Our predictive algorithm gives them a 38% chance of victory, and the bookies have them at a best price of 2.25.

Checkout the hundreds of tips picked but our top win/draw/win tipsters

Change odds
Predictions Add Bet365 Coral
Atalanta
38%
23/205/4
2%
Draw
29%
11/59/4
2%
Roma
33%
12/59/4
Draw 1-1
13%
5/119/4
Atalanta 1-0
12%
6/111/2
Roma 1-0
11%
8/17/1
Draw 0-0
10%
15/27/1
7%
Atalanta 2-1
8%
17/27/1
Atalanta 2-0
7%
9/18/1
5%
Roma 2-1
7%
11/19/1
Roma 2-0
6%
16/112/1
Draw 2-2
4%
14/111/1
8%
Atalanta 3-1
3%
18/114/1
Atalanta 3-0
3%
20/116/1
Roma 3-1
3%
28/120/1
Roma 3-0
2%
40/125/1
Atalanta 3-2
2%
33/122/1
Roma 3-2
2%
40/125/1
Over 2.5 Goals
39%
6/521/20
2%
Under 2.5 Goals
61%
4/67/10
3%
Home 1st Goal
48%
4/55/6
Away 1st Goal
46%
13/1013/10
No 1st Goal
7%
15/27/1
7%
BTTS - Yes
46%
19/2017/20
BTTS - No
54%
4/517/20
BTTS - Home Win
15%
4/17/2
2%
BTTS - Draw
18%
7/210/3
3%
BTTS - Away Win
13%
13/25/1
Home/draw
67%
3/101/3
Away/draw
62%
4/68/13
1%
Home/away
71%
4/111/3
1%
Over 1.5 Goals
66%
2/57/20
1%
Under 1.5 Goals
34%
2/12/1
3%
Over 3.5 Goals
19%
3/127/10
3%
Under 3.5 Goals
81%
1/41/4
Over 4.5 Goals
8%
7/16/1
7%
Under 4.5 Goals
92%
1/121/12
1%
Over 5.5 Goals
3%
16/114/1
Under 5.5 Goals
97%
1/401/80
Over 0.5 Goals
90%
1/141/16
1%
Under 0.5 Goals
10%
15/27/1
7%
Home DNB
58%
8/154/7
Away DNB
53%
11/85/4
Atalanta win to nil
24%
5/2-
Roma win to nil
20%
9/2-
Atalanta / Atalanta
23%
13/512/5
3%
Atalanta / Roma
3%
33/125/1
Atalanta / Draw
6%
14/111/1
Draw / Atalanta
15%
9/217/4
Draw / Roma
11%
6/16/1
Draw / Draw
17%
15/47/2
2%
Roma / Atalanta
3%
25/120/1
Roma / Roma
15%
9/24/1
Roma / Draw
6%
14/111/1
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Win / draw / win Serie A table

Atalanta have played 16 matches so far this season and are in 9th position in the league. Atalanta are winless in the 5 games they have played against teams above them in the table and have conceded in 4 of those games.

Performance against teams above them in the league

5 of those games have come against teams above them in the table. They have lost 1 game, drawn 4 and won zero. Atalanta have conceded 6 goals, scored 4, failed to score in 1 match and kept 1 clean sheet.

Home league performance

Atalanta have played 8 games at home, winning 3, drawing 4 and losing 1 fixture. They have scored 11 goals, conceded 8 goals, kept 2 clean sheets and failed to score 2 times in home league games.

Roma lay in 4th place on 30 points in the Serie A league table having played 16 matches.

Performance against teams below them in the league

They have played 13 games against teams below them in the table, winning 10, drawing 0 and losing 3 games. They have scored 17 goals and kept 7 clean sheets against lower placed opposition. Roma have conceded 7 goals and have failed to score in 2 matches.

Away league performance

Roma have played 8 away games, winning 5, drawing 0 and losing 3 games. They have scored an average of 1.1 goals per away game and conceded an average 0.8 goals per away game.

Won
Draw
Lost
Atalanta
Roma
Results by League Table
TEAM PLD W D L GD PTS HOME AWAY HOME AWAY
1
Inter1511042033 
Dec 28
Mar 15
l
 
0-1A
Apr 4
2
Milan159511132 
d
 
1-1A
May 10
Jan 25
l
 
1-0A
3
Napoli151014931 
Feb 22
l
 
3-1A
l
 
0-1A
Feb 15
4
Roma161006730 
Jan 3
Apr 19
-
-
5
Juventus16853629 
Apr 12
d
 
1-1F
Mar 1
l
 
2-1A
6
Bologna157441025 
May 17
Jan 7
w
 
1-0F
Apr 26
7
Como 190715663724 
d
 
1-1F
Feb 1
w
 
1-0F
Mar 15
8
Lazio16655623 
d
 
0-00-0
Feb 15
May 17
w
 
0-1F
9
Atalanta16574222 
-
-
Apr 19
Jan 3
10
Sassuolo16637121 
l
 
0-3A
Mar 1
Jan 10
w
 
0-1F
11
Cremonese16565021 
Feb 8
d
 
1-1A
Feb 22
w
 
1-3F
12
Udinese16637-1021 
Mar 8
l
 
1-0A
w
 
2-0F
Feb 1
13
Torino16556-1020 
Jan 10
w
 
0-3F
l
 
0-1A
Jan 18
14
Lecce15447-816 
w
 
4-1F
Apr 4
Mar 22
Jan 6
15
Cagliari16367-615 
w
 
2-1F
Apr 26
Feb 8
l
 
1-0A
16
Genoa16358-814 
May 3
w
 
0-1F
Dec 29
Mar 8
17
Parma15357-814 
Jan 25
d
 
1-1F
w
 
2-1F
May 10
18
Verona15267-912 
Mar 22
l
 
3-1A
w
 
2-0F
May 24
19
Pisa16187-1011 
d
 
1-1A
Jan 16
Apr 12
w
 
0-1F
20
Fiorentina16169-109 
w
 
2-0F
May 24
May 3
w
 
1-2A
Win / draw / win form
Atalanta 9TH
20 league games
Home
Overall
Goals: Scored
25
Conceded
23
Games: Scored
14 / 20
Conceded
15 / 20
Clean sheets
5 / 20
Failed to score
6 / 20
Won
6
Draw
9
Lost
5
HOME FORM Win / Draw / Win
Atalanta2 - 1Cagliari
Atalanta2 - 0Fiorentina
Atalanta0 - 3Sassuolo
Atalanta1 - 1Milan
Atalanta0 - 0Lazio
Atalanta1 - 1Como 1907
Atalanta4 - 1Lecce
Atalanta1 - 1Pisa
Atalanta2 - 3Parma
Atalanta2 - 1Roma
Atalanta1 - 1Lecce
Atalanta2 - 0Bologna
Atalanta0 - 1Lazio
Atalanta0 - 2Inter
Atalanta0 - 0Venezia
Atalanta0 - 0Cagliari
Atalanta1 - 1Torino
Atalanta2 - 3Napoli
Atalanta1 - 1Juventus
Atalanta3 - 2Empoli
Goals: Scored
31
Conceded
24
Games: Scored
17 / 20
Conceded
15 / 20
Clean sheets
5 / 20
Failed to score
3 / 20
Won
8
Draw
7
Lost
5
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
AAtalanta1 - 0Genoa
HAtalanta2 - 1Cagliari
AAtalanta1 - 3Verona
HAtalanta2 - 0Fiorentina
AAtalanta1 - 3Napoli
HAtalanta0 - 3Sassuolo
AAtalanta0 - 1Udinese
HAtalanta1 - 1Milan
AAtalanta1 - 1Cremonese
HAtalanta0 - 0Lazio
HAtalanta1 - 1Como 1907
AAtalanta1 - 1Juventus
AAtalanta3 - 0Torino
HAtalanta4 - 1Lecce
AAtalanta1 - 1Parma
HAtalanta1 - 1Pisa
HAtalanta2 - 3Parma
AAtalanta3 - 2Genoa
HAtalanta2 - 1Roma
AAtalanta4 - 0Monza
Roma 4TH
20 league games
Away
Overall
Goals: Scored
23
Conceded
15
Games: Scored
17 / 20
Conceded
11 / 20
Clean sheets
9 / 20
Failed to score
3 / 20
Won
12
D
3
Lost
5
AWAY FORM Win / Draw / Win
Juventus2 - 1Roma
Cagliari1 - 0Roma
Cremonese1 - 3Roma
Milan1 - 0Roma
Sassuolo0 - 1Roma
Fiorentina1 - 2Roma
Lazio0 - 1Roma
Pisa0 - 1Roma
Torino0 - 2Roma
Atalanta2 - 1Roma
Inter0 - 1Roma
Lazio1 - 1Roma
Lecce0 - 1Roma
Empoli0 - 1Roma
Parma0 - 1Roma
Venezia0 - 1Roma
Udinese1 - 2Roma
Bologna2 - 2Roma
Milan1 - 1Roma
Como 19072 - 0Roma
Goals: Scored
24
Conceded
13
Games: Scored
15 / 20
Conceded
11 / 20
Clean sheets
9 / 20
Failed to score
5 / 20
Won
13
Lost
7
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
ARoma1 - 2Juventus
HRoma1 - 0Como 1907
ARoma0 - 1Cagliari
HRoma0 - 1Napoli
ARoma3 - 1Cremonese
HRoma2 - 0Udinese
ARoma0 - 1Milan
HRoma2 - 1Parma
ARoma1 - 0Sassuolo
HRoma0 - 1Inter
ARoma2 - 1Fiorentina
HRoma2 - 0Verona
ARoma1 - 0Lazio
HRoma0 - 1Torino
ARoma1 - 0Pisa
HRoma1 - 0Bologna
ARoma2 - 0Torino
HRoma3 - 1Milan
ARoma1 - 2Atalanta
HRoma1 - 0Fiorentina
Win / draw / win head to head (H2H)
3
Atalanta have beaten Roma in 3 consecutive home league meetings
6
Atalanta have not lost to Roma in 6 consecutive league meetings
League games at Atalanta since 2014
Atalanta
Roma
Goals: Scored
23
19
Games: Scored
10 / 11
11 / 11
Clean sheets
0 / 11
1 / 11
ATA
6
D
2
RMA
3
FIXTURE HISTORY AT Atalanta
Atalanta2 - 1
Atalanta2 - 1
Atalanta3 - 1
1 - 4Roma
Atalanta4 - 1
Atalanta2 - 1
Draw3 - 3Draw
0 - 1Roma
Atalanta2 - 1
Draw3 - 3Draw
1 - 2Roma
League games at Roma since 2015
Roma
Atalanta
Goals: Scored
9
16
Games: Scored
7 / 11
10 / 11
Clean sheets
1 / 11
4 / 11
ATA
5
D
5
RMA
1
FIXTURE HISTORY AT Roma
0 - 2Atalanta
Draw1 - 1Draw
0 - 1Atalanta
Roma1 - 0
Draw1 - 1Draw
0 - 2Atalanta
Draw3 - 3Draw
1 - 2Atalanta
Draw1 - 1Draw
0 - 2Atalanta
Draw1 - 1Draw
Goal Statistics

Roma's defensive record is to be admired, G. Gasperini's men having conceded 1 or less in 17 consecutive Serie A outings. An average PG rating of 1.2 for Atalanta makes sense in this context.

Atalanta 9th Roma 4th
Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction
1.2
goals
1.1
goals
Scoring probability
Scoring probability
0
31%
1
36%
2
21%
3
8%
4+
There is a 67% probability that Atalanta will score no more than 1 goal
0
34%
1
37%
2
20%
3
4+
There is a 71% probability that Roma will score no more than 1 goal
 
20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games
-27
Atalanta have scored 27% fewer goals at home than predicted
-11
Roma have scored 11% fewer goals when away than predicted
1.3
average goals scored
1.2
average goals scored
1.2
conceded
0.8
conceded
 
Attack defence ratings
Serie A - 2025/2026 season
Atalanta
PG (predicted goals)
Roma
1.2
1.1
Attack rating
8%
better
ATA
RMA
view stats
Games scored12
11
Failed to score3
5
Scored first7
9
Goals scored19
17
Avg. goals scored1.2
1.1
Avg. shots per game10
10
Avg. shots per goal8
9
Conversion rate for12
11
Avg. XG for1.7
1.3
KickOff rating
+8%
Defence rating
ATA
RMA
30%
better
view stats
Games conceded12
9
Clean sheets3
7
Conceded first7
7
Goals conceded18
10
Avg. goals conceded1.1
0.6
Avg. shots/game conceded7
9
Avg. shots/goal conceded7
14
Conversion rate against15%
7%
Avg. XG against1.1
1.1
KickOff rating
+30%

Atalanta v Roma Serie A lLine ups will show here when available.

Atalanta Serie A squad statistics 2025/2026
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
16535
M CarnesecchiG ScamaccaN KrstovicM Roon
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
M Carnesecchi GLK16
-
M Pasalic MID1512
1
-
I Hien DEF141
3
-
B Djimsiti DEF14
1
-
C Ketelaere MID1421
2
-
L Samardžić MID1312
1
-
D Zappacosta MID132
2
-
M Roon MID13
4
1
N Krstovic FWD1323
1
-
N Zalewski MID1212
1
-
Éderson MID12
1
-
R Bellanova MID121
-
K Sulemana FWD1221
2
-
O Kossounou  DEF111
-
A Lookman FWD112
-
G Scamacca FWD105
1
-
H. Ahanor DEF8
-
M Brescianini MID81
1
-
D Maldini MID8
1
-
Y Musah MID7
-
L Bernasconi MID6
1
-
G Scalvini DEF41
-
S Kolasinac DEF4
-
Roma Serie A squad statistics 2025/2026
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
16434
M SvilarM MalvanoM MalvanoG Mancini
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
M Svilar GLK16
-
G Mancini DEF161
4
-
M Koné MID161
1
-
B Cristante MID161
4
-
M Malvano FWD1643
1
-
E Ndicka DEF15
3
-
Wesley DEF143
4
-
Z Celik DEF1411
1
1
M Hermoso DEF121
3
-
N Aynaoui MID121
2
-
L Pellegrini MID122
1
-
E Ferguson FWD1211
1
-
P Dybala FWD1111
-
T Baldanzi MID101
2
-
A Dovbyk FWD1021
-
D Rensch DEF9
-
S Shaarawy FWD91
2
-
K Tsimikas DEF7
1
-
L Bailey FWD7
-
J. Ziółkowski DEF6
2
-
A Angeliño DEF5
1
-
D Ghilardi DEF3
-
N Pisilli MID3
-